A Multiple Criteria Utility-based Approa h for the Unit Commitment with Wind Power and Pumped Storage Hydro

The integration of wind power in eletricity generation brings new challenges to unit commitment due to the random nature of wind speed. For this particular optimisation problem, wind uncertainty has been handled in practice by means of conservative stochastic scenario-based optimisation models, or through additional operating reserve settings. However, generation companies may have different attitudes towards operating costs, load curtailment, or waste of wind energy, when considering the risk caused by wind power variability. Therefore, alternative and possibly more adequate approaches should be explored. This work is divided in two main parts. Firstly we survey the main formulations presented in the literature for the integration of wind power in the unit commitment problem (UCP) and present an alternative model for the wind-thermal unit commitment. We make use of the utility theory concepts to develop a multi-criteria stochastic model. The objectives considered are the minimisation of costs, load curtailment and waste of wind energy. Those are represented by individual utility functions and aggregated in a single additive utility function. This last function is adequately linearised leading to a mixed-integer linear program (MILP) model that can be tackled by general-purpose solvers in order to find the most preferred solution. In the second part we discuss the integration of pumped-storage hydro (PSH) units in the UCP with large wind penetration. Those units can provide extra flexibility by using wind energy to pump and store water in the form of potential energy that can be generated after during peak load periods. PSH units are added to the first model, yielding a MILP model with wind-hydro-thermal coordination. Results showed that the proposed methodology is able to reflect the risk profiles of decision makers for both models. By including PSH units, the results are significantly improved.

New strategies to detect and understand genotype-by-environment interactions and QTL-by-environment interactions

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Estatística e Gestão do Risco, especialidade em Estatística

Potential utility of hyperbaric oxygen therapy and propolis in enhancing the leishmanicidal activity of glucantime

In this study we investigated the efficacy of hyperbaric oxygen (HBO) therapy, alone or combined with the pentavalent antimonial glucantime on Leishmania amazonensis infection. In parallel, the effect of Brazilian red propolis gel (propain) alone or combined with glucantime on L. amazonensis infection was evaluated. The inhibition of the infection in macrophages treated with glucantime in combination with HBO exposition was greater than that of macrophages treated with glucantime alone or HBO alone. The susceptible mouse strain BALB/c infected in the shaved rump with L. amazonensis treated with glucantime and exposed to HBO showed: time points in the course of the disease in which lesions were smaller than those of mice treated with glucantime alone and revascularization of the skin in the lesion site; interferon-gamma (IFN-g) levels were not elevated in lymph node cells from these animals. Propain alone was not efficient against lesions, although less exudative lesions were observed in animals treated with propain alone or combined with glucantime. These results reveal the potential value of HBO and red propolis in combination with glucantime for treating cutaneous leishmaniasis and encourage further studies on the effect of more aggressive HBO, propolis and glucantime therapies on different mouse models of leishmaniasis.

In situ measured cross section geometry of old timber structures and its influence on structural safety

Old timber structures may show significant variation in the cross section geometry along the same element, as a result of both construction methods and deterioration. As consequence, the definition of the geometric parameters in situ may be both time consuming and costly. This work presents the results of inspections carried out in different timber structures. Based on the obtained results, different simplified geometric models are proposed in order to efficiently model the geometry variations found. Probabilistic modelling techniques are also used to define safety parameters of existing timber structures, when subjected to dead and live loads, namely self-weight and wind actions. The parameters of the models have been defined as probabilistic variables, and safety of a selected case study was assessed using the Monte Carlo simulation technique. Assuming a target reliability index, a model was defined for both the residual cross section and the time dependent deterioration evolution. As a consequence, it was possible to compute probabilities of failure and reliability indices, as well as, time evolution deterioration curves for this structure. The results obtained provide a proposal for definition of the cross section geometric parameters of existing timber structures with different levels of decay, using a simplified probabilistic geometry model and considering a remaining capacity factor for the decayed areas. This model can be used for assessing the safety of the structure at present and for predicting future performance.

BODY WEIGHT AS A DETERMINANT OF CLINICAL EVOLUTION IN HAMSTERS (Mesocricetus auratus) INFECTED WITH Leishmania (Viannia) panamensis

SUMMARY The clinical outcome of infection with Leishmania species of the subgenus Viannia in hamster model (Mesocricetus auratus) has shown to be different depending on experimental protocol. Body weight has been a relevant determinant of the clinical outcome of the infection in hamsters with visceral leishmaniasis but its importance as a clinical parameter in hamsters with cutaneous leishmaniasis is not known. In this study, the clinical evolution of infection with L. (V) panamensis was evaluated in juvenile and adult male hamsters during 11 weeks by comparing clinical parameters such as attitude, temperature, respiratory rate, appearance of the stool, and body weight between infected and non-infected groups. Results showed that body weight decreased in adult hamsters after infection by L. (V) panamensis; this observation supports the use of body weight as an additional parameter to define the management or treatment of cutaneous leishmaniasis in infected adult hamsters used as an animal experimental model for leishmaniasis.

Deletions within COL11A1 in Type 2 Stickler Syndrome Detected by Multiplex Ligation - Syndrome Detected by Multiplex Ligation Dependent Probe Amplification (MLPA)

Background: COL11A1 is a large complex gene around 250 kb in length and consisting of 68 exons. Pathogenic mutations in the gene can result in Stickler syndrome, Marshall syndrome or Fibrochondrogenesis. Many of the mutations resulting in either Stickler or Marshall syndrome alter splice sites and result in exon skipping, which because of the exon structure of collagen genes usually leaves the message in-frame. The mutant protein then exerts a dominant negative effect as it co-assembles with other collagen gene products. To date only one large deletion of 40 kb in the COL11A1, which was detected by RT-PCR, has been characterized. However, commonly used screening protocols, utilizing genomic amplification and exon sequencing, are unlikely to detect such large deletions. Consequently the frequency of this type of mutation is unknown. Case presentations: We have used Multiplex Ligation-Dependent Probe Amplification (MLPA) in conjunction with exon amplification and sequencing, to analyze patients with clinical features of Stickler syndrome, and have detected six novel deletions that were not found by exon sequencing alone. Conclusion: Exon deletions appear to represent a significant proportion of type 2 Stickler syndrome. This observation was previously unknown and so diagnostic screening of COL11A1 should include assays capable of detecting both large and small deletions, in addition to exon sequencing.

Estudo da Produção de Towpregs e Transformação por Pultrusão

Durante as últimas décadas, os materiais compósitos têm substituído com sucesso os materiais tradicionais em muitas aplicações de engenharia, muito devido às excelentes propriedades que se conseguem obter com a combinação de materiais diferentes. Nos compósitos reforçados com fibras longas ou contínuas tem-se verificado, ao longo dos últimos anos, um aumento do uso de matrizes termoplásticas, fruto de várias vantagens associadas, como o facto de serem bastante mais ecológicas, comparativamente às termoendurecíveis. No entanto, este aumento está muito dependente do desenvolvimento de novas tecnologias de processamento, pois a elevada viscosidade dos termoplásticos, comparativamente aos termoendurecíveis, dificulta significativamente o processo. Muitos equipamentos de produção de termoplásticos são resultado de adaptações de equipamentos de produção de termoendurecíveis, onde normalmente é necessário adicionar fornos de pré-aquecimento. Neste trabalho, pretendeu-se produzir pré-impregnados de fibras contínuas com matriz termoplástica, por deposição a seco de polímero em pó sobre fibras de reforço (denominados por towpreg) para, posteriormente, serem transformados por pultrusão e caracterizados. As matérias-primas utilizadas foram: Polipropileno (PP) como matriz termoplástica e fibra de carbono como reforço. Por forma a melhorar as propriedades finais do compósito, foram otimizadas as condições de processamento na produção dos towpregs, estudando-se a influência da variação dos parâmetros de processamento no teor de polímero presente nestes, tendo como objetivo teores mássicos de polímero superiores a 30%. A condição ótima e a influência dos parâmetros de processamento foram obtidas com o auxílio do Método de Taguchi. Os perfis produzidos por pultrusão foram sujeitos a ensaios de flexão, de forma a obter as suas propriedades quando sujeitos a esse tipo de esforço. Foram também realizados ensaios de calcinação de forma a obter as frações mássicas de fibra e polímero presentes no compósito final. Sabidas as frações mássicas, converteramse em frações volúmicas e obtiveram-se as propriedades teoricamente esperadas através da Lei das Misturas e compararam-se com as obtidas experimentalmente. As propriedades obtidas foram também comparadas com as de outros compósitos pultrudidos.

Information flow analysis using data-dependent logical propositions

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Informática

A família cuidadora perante a dependência do seu familiar idoso

RESUMO: O envelhecimento demográfico tem vindo a acentuar-se nas últimas décadas. É expectável um aumento mais acentuado no número de pessoas com mais de 80 anos, o que importará maiores custos médicos, mais suporte familiar e comunitário, maior probabilidade de cuidados de longa duração devido à prevalência de doenças crónicas. Conduzindo a uma maior procura de apoios formais e informais. A preocupação com aqueles que atingem idades avançadas tem vindo a suscitar inquietação face à urgência de necessidades de suporte, sentidas por familiares, amigos e vizinhos. A questão central que orientou este estudo diz respeito aos familiares cuidadores ou gestores de cuidados do seu familiar idoso dependente e ao idoso dependente. Procurei identificar quais as dificuldades sentidas e as estratégias desenvolvidas pela família cuidadora ou gestora dos cuidados prestados ao idoso dependente, descrever e caracterizar a dependência destes idosos. É um estudo transversal, exploratório, descritivo, de abordagem quantitativa e qualitativa. Apliquei um questionário a 25 familiares cuidadores ou gestores dos cuidados a idosos dependentes, internados nos serviços de medicina e cirurgia de um hospital privado, Hospital CUF Descobertas, possuindo previamente alguma dependência. Dos dados obtidos ressalta que as principais dificuldades sentidas pelos familiares cuidadores ou gestores dos cuidados são essencialmente na gestão do tempo e a saúde do cuidador. Estratégias mais desenvolvidas foram o recurso a empregada doméstica e a outros familiares. Posso Concluir que há uma tendência preferencial por parte da família, na complementaridade de apoios informais e formais para prestar os cuidados ao idoso dependente no seio da família.------------ ABSTRACT: Demographic aging has risen progressively over the past decades. The number of people over the age of 80 years old is expected to increase considerably and surely result in the rise of medical costs, the growing need for additional community and family support, higher probability of long-term medical care due to the increased risk of chronic disease and the seeking of help regarding formal and informal support. The concern with persons that attain advanced age has brought about a certain degree of uneasiness regarding the urgency of the need of support systems felt by family members, friends, neighbours. The main topic that has steered this study pertains to the family caregivers or the care managers of dependant elderly relatives and dependant elderly persons. I endeavoured to identify encountered difficulties and the strategies undertaken by family caregivers or care managers in regard to the elderly dependant, to describe and characterize the nature of the dependency of these elderly persons. Furthermore, this study could be defined as being wide-reaching, exploratory and descriptive, by means of a qualitative and quantitative approach. I utilized a questionnaire that involved 25 family caregivers and care managers of dependant elderly (hospitalized in medical or surgery wards of private hospital, CUF Descobertas Hospital and suffering from some type of dependency). Conclusions: The main difficulties felt by family caregivers or care managers are primarily related to time management and the health of the caregiver. Let it be mentioned that more developed strategies were adopted such as the employment/recruitment of a housemaid and the help of other relatives. In sum, it can be concluded that there is a preferential tendency by families in seeking the complementarity of informal and formal support in order to provide the necessary care to the dependent elderly in the family environment.

Planeamento de Trajetória para Operações de Busca e Salvamento com UAVs

Os sistemas autónomos trazem como mais valia aos cenários de busca e salvamento a possibilidade de minimizar a presença de Humanos em situações de perigo e a capacidade de aceder a locais de difícil acesso. Na dissertação propõe-se endereçar novos métodos para perceção e navegação de veículos aéreos não tripulados (UAV), tendo como foco principal o planeamento de trajetórias e deteção de obstáculos. No que respeita à perceção foi desenvolvido um método para gerar clusters tendo por base os voxels gerados pelo Octomap. Na área de navegação, foram desenvolvidos dois novos métodos de planeamento de trajetórias, GPRM (Grid Probabilistic Roadmap) e PPRM (Particle Probabilistic Roadmap), que tem como método base para o seu desenvolvimento o PRM. O primeiro método desenvolvido, GPRM, espalha as partículas numa grid pré-definida, construindo posteriormente o roadmap na área determinada pela grid e com isto estima o trajeto mais curto até ao ponto destino. O segundo método desenvolvido, PPRM, espalha as partículas pelo cenário de aplicação, gera o roadmap considerando o mapa total e atribui uma probabilidade que irá permitir definir a trajetória otimizada. Para analisar a performance de cada método em comparação com o PRM, efetua-se a sua avaliação em três cenários distintos com recurso ao simulador MORSE.

Long-Term and Concentration-Dependent Beneficial Effect of Efavirenz on HDL-Cholesterol in HIV-Infected Patients

AIMS: To investigate the long-term effects of efavirenz on cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein (LDL-C) and triglycerides (TG). METHODS: Thirty-four HIV-infected patients who commenced efavirenz therapy were monitored for 36 months. RESULTS: In patients with baseline HDL-C<40 mg.dL-1 an increase in HDL-C from 31+/-1 mg.dL-1 to 44+/-2 mg.dL-1 (95% confidence interval 5.9, 21.9, P<0.01) was observed and remained throughout the follow-up period. Median efavirenz plasma concentration was 1.98 mg.L-1 and a direct correlation between percentage of HDL-C variation or TC/HDL-C ratio and efavirenz plasma concentrations was found. CONCLUSIONS: There is evidence of a long-term and concentration-dependent beneficial effect of efavirenz on HDL-C in HIV-infected patients.

DENGUE DURING PREGNANCY: ASSOCIATION WITH LOW BIRTH WEIGHT AND PREMATURITY

The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of dengue virus infection during pregnancy and its correlation with low birth weight, prematurity, and asphyxia. A non-concurrent cohort study reveals the association of dengue during pregnancy with prematurity and low birth weight, when birth occurred during the maternal-fetal viremia period (p = 0.016 and p < 0.0001, respectively).

The mechanism of formate oxidation by metal-dependent formate dehydrogenases

J Biol Inorg Chem (2011) 16:1255–1268 DOI 10.1007/s00775-011-0813-8

Triple Regimen with Rituximab, Plasmapheresis and Intravenous Immunoglobulin in the Treatment of Dialysis Dependent Acute Humoral-Mediated Rejection in Kidney Grafts

Introduction: The clinical importance of humoral-mediated acute rejection has been progressively recognised. Early recognition and treatment with plasmapheresis and intravenous immunoglobulin have recently improved short term prognosis. Case report: In this report we describe the clinical features of three 2nd transplant patients developing severe acute humoral rejection during the first week post-transplant while on anti-thymocyte globulin therapy. Treatment with plasmapheresis/ intravenous immunoglobulin/rituximab resulted in rapid reversal of oliguria,and recovery of renal function within the 1st week of treatment in 2/3 patients. Diagnosis was confirmed by graft biopsies revealing peritubular neutrophiles and C4d deposits. Sequential graft biopsies in all three patients revealed complete histological recovery within two weeks. One patient never recovered renal function, and one patient lost his graft at three months following hemorrhagic shock. After 2 years follow up, the remaining patient maintains a serum creatinine of 1.1mg/dl. Conclusion: The regimen using plasmapheresis plus intravenous immunoglobulin and rituximab was effective in rapidly reversing severe acute humoral rejection.

A Pilot Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Treatments in Newly Diagnosed High-Grade Gliomas: The Example of 5-Aminolevulinic Acid Compared With White-Light Surgery

BACKGROUND: High-grade gliomas are aggressive, incurable tumors characterized by extensive diffuse invasion of the normal brain parenchyma. Novel therapies at best prolong survival; their costs are formidable and benefit is marginal. Economic restrictions thus require knowledge of the cost-effectiveness of treatments. Here, we show the cost-effectiveness of enhanced resections in malignant glioma surgery using a well-characterized tool for intraoperative tumor visualization, 5-aminolevulinic acid (5-ALA). OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of 5-ALA fluorescence-guided neurosurgery compared with white-light surgery in adult patients with newly diagnosed high-grade glioma, adopting the perspective of the Portuguese National Health Service. METHODS: We used a Markov model (cohort simulation). Transition probabilities were estimated with the use of data from 1 randomized clinical trial and 1 noninterventional prospective study. Utility values and resource use were obtained from published literature and expert opinion. Unit costs were taken from official Portuguese reimbursement lists (2012 values). The health outcomes considered were quality-adjusted life-years, lifeyears, and progression-free life-years. Extensive 1-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios are below €10 000 in all evaluated outcomes, being around €9100 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, €6700 per life-year gained, and €8800 per progression-free life-year gained. The probability of 5-ALA fluorescence-guided surgery cost-effectiveness at a threshold of €20000 is 96.0% for quality-adjusted life-year, 99.6% for life-year, and 98.8% for progression-free life-year. CONCLUSION: 5-ALA fluorescence-guided surgery appears to be cost-effective in newly diagnosed high-grade gliomas compared with white-light surgery. This example demonstrates cost-effectiveness analyses for malignant glioma surgery to be feasible on the basis of existing data.