Short-term autocorrelation in Australian equities

This paper examines the statistical and economic significance of short-term autocorrelation in Australian equities. We document large negative first-order autocorrelation in individual stock returns. Preliminary results suggest this autocorrelation is economically significant, as two simple trading strategies based on the autocorrelation structure appear to yield large risk-adjusted returns. Further analysis, however, shows that these results are driven by the inclusion of small-capitalisation and low-priced stocks which are vulnerable to a number of market-microstructure-related problems. After revising the dataset to mitigate these problems, little evidence of economic significance remains.

On the robustness of short-term interest rate models

This paper investigates the robustness of a range of short–term interest rate models. We examine the robustness of these models over different data sets, time periods, sampling frequencies, and estimation techniques. We examine a range of popular one–factor models that allow the conditional mean (drift) and conditional variance (diffusion) to be functions of the current short rate. We find that parameter estimates are highly sensitive to all of these factors in the eight countries that we examine. Since parameter estimates are not robust, these models should be used with caution in practice.

Differential modes of alaryngeal communication and long-term voice outcomes following pharyngolaryngectomy and laryngectomy

Patterns of vocal rehabilitation for 37 pharyngolaryngectomy patients and 55 total laryngectomy patients over a 5-year period were compared. An electrolarynx (EL) was introduced as the initial communication mode immediately after surgery for 98% of patients, with 30% of pharyngolaryngectomy and 74% of laryngectomy patients subsequently developing tracheoesophageal speech (TES) as their primary mode of communication. Follow-up with 14 of 37 pharyngolaryngectomy patients and 36 of 55 laryngectomy patients was conducted 1-6 years following surgery and revealed that 90% of the pharyngolaryngectomy patients maintained the use of TES in the long term compared to 69% of the laryngectomy group. Long-term outcomes relating to communication disability and handicap did not differ significantly between the two surgical groups, however the laryngectomy patients had significantly higher levels of wellbeing. Across the whole group of patients, statistical comparison revealed that patients using TES had significantly lower levels of disability, handicap and distress than EL users. Considering that lower levels of disability, handicap and distress are associated with TES, and the data supports that suitably selected patients can maintain functional TES in the long term, increased application of this form of communication rehabilitation should be encouraged where viable for the pharyngolaryngectomy population. Copyright (C) 2003 S. Karger AG, Basel.

Immunogenicity of recombinant HBsAg/HCV particles in mice pre-immunised with hepatitis B virus-specific vaccine

Due to their spatial structure virus-like particles (VLPs) generally induce effective immune responses. VLPs derived from the small envelope protein (HBsAg-S) of hepatitis B virus (HBV) comprise the HBV vaccine. Modified HBsAs-S VLPs, carrying the immunodominant hypervariable region (HVR1) of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) envelope protein E2 within the exposed 'a'-determinant region (HBsAg/HVR1-VLPs), elicited HVR1-specific antibodies in mice. A high percentage of the human population is positive for anti-HBsAg antibodies (anti-HBs), either through vaccination or natural infection. We, therefore, determined if pre-existing anti-HBs could influence immunisation with modified VLPs. Mice were immunised with a commercial HBV vaccine, monitored to ensure an anti-HBs response, then immunised with HBsAg/HVR1-VLPs. The resulting anti-HVR1 antibody titre was similar in mice with or without pre-existing anti-HBs. This suggests that HBsAg/HVR1-VLPs induce a primary immune response to HVR1 in anti-HBs positive mice and, hence, they may be used successfully in individuals already immunised with the HBV vaccine. (C) 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

Centile reference for total energy expenditure in infants from 1 to 12 months

Background: A knowledge of energy expenditure in infancy is required for the estimation of recommended daily amounts of food energy, for designing artificial infant feeds, and as a reference standard for studies of energy metabolism in disease states. Objectives: The objectives of this study were to construct centile reference charts for total energy expenditure (TEE) in infants across the first year of life. Methods: Repeated measures of TEE using the doubly labeled water technique were made in 162 infants at 1.5, 3, 6, 9 and 12 months. In total, 322 TEE measurements were obtained. The LMS method with maximum penalized likelihood was used to construct the centile reference charts. Centiles were constructed for TEE expressed as MJ/day and also expressed relative to body weight (BW) and fat-free mass (FFM). Results: TEE increased with age and was 1.40,1.86, 2.64, 3.07 and 3.65 MJ/day at 1.5, 3, 6, 9 and 12 months, respectively. The standard deviations were 0.43, 0.47, 0.52, 0.66 and 0.88, respectively. TEE in MJ/kg increased from 0.29 to 0.36 and in MJ/day/kg FFM from 0.36 to 0.48. Conclusions: We have presented centile reference charts for TEE expressed as MJ/day and expressed relative to BW and FFM in infants across the first year of life. There was a wide variation or biological scatter in TEE values seen at all ages. We suggest that these centile charts may be used to assess and possibly quantify abnormal energy metabolism in disease states in infants.

Registro de pre??os nacional

Implementa????o de modelo gerencial de compras governamentais por meio do Sistema de Registro de Pre??os (SRP), chamado Registro de Pre??os Nacional (RPN), no qual s??o elaboradas especifica????es de materiais, em atendimento ??s demandas dos alunos do sistema de educa????o b??sica brasileiro (estados e munic??pios), proporcionando adequa????o ??s reais necessidades de seus usu??rios e maior qualidade. A ferramenta ?? baseada em arranjo institucional entre entes p??blicos e privados, visando a padroniza????o, adequa????o e qualidade dos produtos adquiridos. Dessa forma, o governo federal vale-se do conhecimento dos seus diversos ??rg??os e t??cnicos para realizar um ??nico processo de compra para todo o pa??s sem, necessariamente, precisar efetivar qualquer contrato, disponibilizando apenas o registro de pre??os, obtido por meio de preg??o eletr??nico. Assim, o processo de aquisi????o se torna menos burocr??tico e oneroso, primando pelos princ??pios da legalidade, efici??ncia e economicidade

Revis??o de pre??os por meio de indicadores de mercado e par??metros da licita????o

A metodologia de revis??o de pre??os dos contratos de fornecedores, com base em indicadores de mercado e em suporte informatizado, foi desenvolvida e est?? sendo aperfei??oada, de forma a garantir a manuten????o do equil??brio econ??mico-financeiro dos 330 contratos de servi??os de transporte de terceiros. Dessa forma, buscam-se maior agilidade nos processos e informa????es confi??veis, de forma a assegurar justa remunera????o para a execu????o dos servi??os com a qualidade necess??ria e a um menor custo

BPPH: banco de pre??os praticados na ??rea hospitalar

O BPPH foi idealizado pelo Ministro Jos?? Serra no in??cio de sua gest??o em Abril de 1998, visando uma pol??tica de transpar??ncia na utiliza????o dos recursos p??blicos e, tamb??m a busca da disponibilidade de mais um instrumento regulador de mercado. A implanta????o do sistema, abrange atualmente 32 hospitais federais, estaduais, municipais e 5 secretarias estaduais de sa??de que alimentam o BPPH via INTERNET, permitindo contabilizar um benef??cio de R$ 1.373.687,00 (redu????o do custo entre 2 compras consecutivas) somente nos 5 hospitais fundadores do sistema, sendo que 50% desse valor pode-se atribuir ao uso do Banco de Pre??os. Este trabalho foi apresentado no CONIP99 - Congresso de Inform??tica P??blica 1999 - em nome do Minist??rio da Sa??de, com a autoriza????o emitida pelo Senhor Chefe de Gabinete do Ministro, Dr. Ot??vio Azevedo Mercadante. O BPPH foi desenvolvido e implantado no per??odo de Maio de 1998 a Abril de 1999 como um projeto do Grupo Executivo de A????o Estrat??gica na ??rea Hospitalar, grupo este coordenado pelo Dr. Benedito Nicotero Filho, Assessor Especial do Ministro da Sa??de. O BPPH no seu processo de institucionaliza????o foi transferido do Gabinete do Ministro para a Secretaria de Gest??o de Investimentos em Sa??de. As Portarias do Ministro da Sa??de que regulamentam o sistema s??o: Portaria 3.505 publicada em 28 de Agosto de 1998 cria a C??mara T??cnica Consultiva do BPPH; Portaria 74 publicada em 02 de Fevereiro de 1999 institui a obrigatoriedade para hospitais p??blicos de mais de 320 leitos e a Portaria 481 publicada em 19 de Abril de 1999 transfere a subordina????o da C??mara T??cnica e do Sistema para a Secretaria de Gest??o de Investimentos em Sa??de. Este trabalho foi o ganhador do Pr??mio CONIP99 de Excel??ncia em Inform??tica P??blica

M??dulo 1 - a import??ncia e a necessidade da lei de licita????es: curso legisla????o aplicada ?? log??stica de suprimentos lei 8.666/93, preg??o e registro de pre??os

Este documento trata de: aspectos conceituais da lei: finalidade, import??ncia e hierarquia da lei.; no????es gerais da lei de licita????es - Lei n?? 8.666/93; tipos de licita????o:menor pre??o, melhor t??cnica, t??cnica e pre??o e maior lance ou oferta; modalidades de licita????o: concorr??ncia, tomada de pre??os, convite, concurso e leil??o; exce????es ?? obrigatoriedade de licita????o: dispensa e inexigibilidade; regime de execu????o indireta; comiss??o de licita????o; etapas do processo licitat??rio: edital, procedimentos/documentos do certame, registro cadastral, habilita????o dos interessados, julgamento e encerramento; preg??o; registro de pre??os