Analyse rétrospective de la prise en charge du cancer ovarien au Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois

Introduction:¦L'incidence annuelle du cancer de l'ovaire en Suisse est de 600 cas, il touche principalement les femmes âgées de plus de 60 ans. Le cancer de l'ovaire est aujourd'hui la 1ère cause de mortalité par cancer gynécologique chez la femme. Le but de notre recherche, est de créer une base de données de toutes les¦patientes atteintes d'un cancer de l'ovaire et hospitalisées au CHUV pour la prise en charge de leur maladie.¦Cette étude rétrospective monocentrique nous permettra en premier lieu d'analyser les caractéristiques de¦cette tumeur présentées par les patientes, les traitements instaurés pour traiter ce cancer et les taux de¦récidives et de survie des patientes en fonction de ces variables.¦Méthodologie:¦Analyse rétrospective de 147 patientes diagnostiquées d'un cancer de l'ovaire et hospitalisées au CHUV entre¦septembre 2001 et mars 2010 pour la prise en charge de leur tumeur ovarienne. Utilisation du programme informatique ARCHIMED qui contient les dossiers médicaux de toutes les patientes inclues dans l'étude et création de 2 bases des données. La 1ère base de données regroupe l'ensemble des patientes de l'étude y¦compris les tumeurs type borderline, la 2ème base de données concerne uniquement les patientes ayant récidivé de leur tumeur. Les tumeurs bénignes ont été exclues de l'étude.¦Résultats:¦La probabilitéde survie à 1 an chez les patientes avec un cancer de l'ovaire, tous stades FIGO et prises en¦charge confondus, hospitalisées au CHUV est de 88,04% (95% CI = 0.7981-­‐0.9306), à 3 ans la probabilité de survie est de 70,4% (95% CI = 0.5864-­‐0.7936), et à plus de 5 ans, elle est de 60% (95% CI = 0.4315-­‐0.6859).¦Nous avons comparé le taux de survie en fonction du stade FIGO de la tumeur ovarienne et nous avons observé une différence significative de survie entre les stades FIGO précoces et les stades avancés (Pvaleur=¦0.0161).¦En plus d'une intervention chirurgicale, les patientes atteintes d'un cancer de l'ovaire sont normalement traitées par une chimiothérapie. Dans notre étude, 70 patientes ont bénéficié d'une chimiothérapie; un¦traitement adjuvant a été donné dans 78 % des cas (N = 55), un traitement néoadjuvant a été administré chez 22% des patientes (N=15). Le type combiné carboplatine-­‐taxane est la chimiothérapie la plus fréquente (75%). Au total sur l'étude, 66 patientes sur les 147 (44%) ont récidivé de leur tumeur. En ce qui¦concerne leur prise en charge, 46% des patientes ont reçu une chimiothérapie unique comme du gemzar, cealyx ou taxotère après leur récidive. Une cytoréduction secondaire a également été effectuée chez 33% de ces patientes ayant une récidive. Nous avons également étudié l'intervalle de temps entre la date de la¦récidive et celle du décès. Parmi les 28 patientes décédées chez les récidives, 10 d'entre-­‐elles (36%) ont survécu moins d'un an une fois la récidive diagnostiquée, 8 (28%) patientes ont survécu jusqu'à 2 ans, et¦les 10 (36%) autres patientes ont survécu de 2 à 5 ans. En ce qui concerne le taux de mortalité; 39 patientes sur les 147 étudiées sont décédées pendant la période d'observation, soit 26% des cas. La tumeur¦type borderline, présente une prolifération épithéliale atypique sans invasion dans le stroma et représente¦10 à 20% de toutes les tumeurs ovariennes. Dans notre étude, 41 patientes sont porteuses de cette tumeur¦(28%) et la moyenne d'âge est de 49 ans. En ce qui concerne leur prise en charge, l'intervention chirurgicale¦la plus fréquente, soit 23% des cas, est l'annexectomie unilatérale, qui reste une attitude conservative pour¦ces patientes désirant préserver leur fertilité. 6 patientes présentant ce type de tumeur ont récidivé, soit 14% des cas, avec une progression pelvienne, et 3 de ces 6 patientes sont décédées. Dans notre analyse, on observe que la probabilité de vivre plus longtemps que 1an pour les patientes ayant une tumeur borderline est de 93,8% (95% CI= 0.6323-­‐ 0.9910), à 3 ans elle est également de 93,8% (95% CI = 0.6323-­‐0.9910) et à 5 ans elle est de 78,1% (95% CI = 0.3171-­‐0.9483). Nous n'avons pas observé de¦différence de survie dans notre étude entre les patientes présentant une tumeur borderline et le « non‐borderline ». (Pvaleur=0.3301)

Development of CBCT-based prostate setup correction strategies and impact of rectal distension.

BACKGROUND: Cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) image-guided radiotherapy (IGRT) systems are widely used tools to verify and correct the target position before each fraction, allowing to maximize treatment accuracy and precision. In this study, we evaluate automatic three-dimensional intensity-based rigid registration (RR) methods for prostate setup correction using CBCT scans and study the impact of rectal distension on registration quality. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 115 CBCT scans of 10 prostate patients. CT-to-CBCT registration was performed using (a) global RR, (b) bony RR, or (c) bony RR refined by a local prostate RR using the CT clinical target volume (CTV) expanded with 1-to-20-mm varying margins. After propagation of the manual CT contours, automatic CBCT contours were generated. For evaluation, a radiation oncologist manually delineated the CTV on the CBCT scans. The propagated and manual CBCT contours were compared using the Dice similarity and a measure based on the bidirectional local distance (BLD). We also conducted a blind visual assessment of the quality of the propagated segmentations. Moreover, we automatically quantified rectal distension between the CT and CBCT scans without using the manual CBCT contours and we investigated its correlation with the registration failures. To improve the registration quality, the air in the rectum was replaced with soft tissue using a filter. The results with and without filtering were compared. RESULTS: The statistical analysis of the Dice coefficients and the BLD values resulted in highly significant differences (p<10(-6)) for the 5-mm and 8-mm local RRs vs the global, bony and 1-mm local RRs. The 8-mm local RR provided the best compromise between accuracy and robustness (Dice median of 0.814 and 97% of success with filtering the air in the rectum). We observed that all failures were due to high rectal distension. Moreover, the visual assessment confirmed the superiority of the 8-mm local RR over the bony RR. CONCLUSION: The most successful CT-to-CBCT RR method proved to be the 8-mm local RR. We have shown the correlation between its registration failures and rectal distension. Furthermore, we have provided a simple (easily applicable in routine) and automatic method to quantify rectal distension and to predict registration failure using only the manual CT contours.

Photodynamic therapy : a pathway for enhanced delivery of liposomal doxorubicin to tumors

Abstract Part I : Background : Isolated lung perfusion (ILP) was designed for the treatment of loco-regional malignancies of the lung. In contrast to intravenous (IV) drug application, ILP allows for a selective administration of cytostatic agents such as doxorubicin to the lung while sparing non-affected tissues. However, the clinical results with ILP were disappointing. Doxorubicinbased ILP on sarcoma rodent lungs suggested high overall doxorubicin concentrations within the perfused lung but a poor penetration of the cytostatic agent into tumors. The same holds true for liposomal-encapsulated macromolecular doxorubicin (LiporubicinTM) In specific conditions, low-dose photodynamic therapy (PDT) can enhance the distribution of macromolecules across the endothelial bamer in solid tumors. It was recently postulated that tumor neovessels were more responsive to PDT than the normal vasculature. We therefore hypothesized that Visudyne®-mediated PDT could selectively increase liposomal doxorubicin (LiporubicinTM) uptake in sarcoma tumors to rodent lungs during intravenous (IV) drug administration and isolated lung perfusion (ILP). Material and Methods : A sarcoma tumor was generated in the left lung of Fisher rats by subpleural injection of a sarcoma cell ,suspension via thoracotomy. Ten days later, LiporubicinTM is administered IV or by single pass antegrade ILP, with or without Visudyne® -mediated low-dose PDT pre-treatment of the sarcoma bearing lung. The drug concentration and distribution were assessed separately in tumors and lung tissues by high pressure liquid chromatography (HPLC) and fluorescence microscopy (FNI~, respectively. Results : PDT pretreatment before IV LiporubicinTM administration resulted in a significantly higher tumor drug uptake and tumor to lung drug ratio compared to IV drug injection alone without affecting the blood flow and drug distribution in the lung. PDT pre-treatment before LiporubicinTM-based ILP also resulted in a higher tumor drug uptake and a higher tumor to lung drug ratio compared to ILP alone, however, these differences were not significant due to a heterogeneous blood flow drug distribution during ILP which was further accentuated by PDT. Conclusions : Low-dose Visudyne®-mediated PDT pre-treatment has the potential to selectively enhance liposomal encapsulated doxorubicin uptake in tumors but not in normal lung tissue after IV drug application in a rat model of sarcoma tumors to the lung which opens new perspectives for the treatment of superficially spreading chemoresistant tumors of the chest cavity such as mesothelioma or malignant effusion. However, the impact of PDT on macromolecular drug uptake during ILP is limited since its therapeutic advantage is circumvented by ILP-induced heterogeneicity of blood flow and drug distribution Abstract Part II Background : Photodynamic therapy (PDT) with Visudyne® acts by direct cellular phototoxicity and/or by an indirect vascular-mediated effect. Here, we demonstrate that the vessel integrity interruption by PDT can promote the extravasation of a macromolecular agent in normal tissue. To obtain extravasation in normal tissue PDT conditions were one order of magnitude more intensive than the ones in tissue containing neovessels reported in the literature. Material and Methods : Fluorescein isothiocyanate dextran (FITC-D, 2000kDa), a macromolecular agent, was intravenously injected 10 minutes before (LKO group, n=14) or 2 hours (LK2 group, n=16) after Visudyne® mediated PDT in nude mice bearing a dorsal skin fold chamber. Control animals had no PDT (CTRL group, n=8). The extravasation of FITC-D from blood vessels in striated muscle tissue was observed in both groups in real-time for up to 2500 seconds after injection. We also monitored PDT-induced leukocyte rolling in-vivo and assessed, by histology, the corresponding inflammatory reaction score in the dorsal skin fold chambers. Results : In all animals, at the applied PDT conditions, FITC-D extravasation was significantly enhanced in the PDT treated areas as compared to the surrounding non-treated areas (p<0.0001). There was no FITC-D leakage in the control animals. Animals from the LKO group had significantly less FITC-D extravasation than those from the LK2 group (p = 0.0002). In the LKO group FITC-D leakage correlated significantly with the inflammation (p < 0.001). Conclusions: At the selected conditions, Visudyne-mediated PDT promotes vascular leakage and FITC-D extravasation into the interstitial space of normal tissue. The intensity of vascular leakage depends on the time interval between PDT and FITC-D injection. This concept could be used to locally modulate the delivery of macromolecules in vivo. Résumé : La perfusion cytostatique isolée du poumon permet une administration sélective des agents cytostatiques sans implication de la circulation systémique avec une forte accumulation au niveau du poumon mais une faible pénétration dans les tumeurs. La thérapie photodynamique (PDT) qui consiste en l'application d'un sensibilisateur activé par lumière laser non- thermique d'une longueur d'onde définie permet dans certaines conditions, une augmentation de la pénétration des agents cytostatiques macromoléculaires à travers la barrière endothéliale tumorale. Nous avons exploré cet avantage thérapeutique de la PDT dans un modèle expérimental afin d'augmenter d'une manière sélective la pénétration tumorale de la doxorubicin pegylée, liposomal- encapsulée macromoléculaire (Liporubicin). Une tumeur sarcomateuse a été générée au niveau du poumon de rongeur suivie d'administration de Liporubicin, soit par voie intraveineuse soit par perfusion isolée du poumon (ILP). Une partie des animaux ont reçus un prétraitement de la tumeur et du poumon sous jacent par PDT avec Visudyne comme photosensibilisateur. Les résultats ont démontrés que la PDT permet, sous certaines conditions, une augmentation sélective de Liporubicin dans les tumeurs mais pas dans le parenchyme pulmonaire sous jacent. Après administration intraveineuse de Liporubicin et prétraitement par PDT, l'accumulation dans les tumeurs était significative par rapport au poumon, et aux tumeurs sans PDT. Le même phénomène est observé après ILP du poumon. Cependant, les différences avec ou sans PDT n'étaient pas significatives lié à und distribution hétérogène de Liporubicin dans le poumon perfusé après ILP. Dans une deuxième partie de l'expérimentation, nous avons exploré la microscopie intra-vitale pour déterminer l'extravasion des substances macromoléculaires (FITS) à travers la barrière endothéliale avec ou sans Visudyne-PDT au niveau des chambres dorsales des souris nues. Les résultats montrent qu'après PDT, l'extravasion de FITS a été augmentée de manière significative par rapport au tissu non traité. L'intensité de l'extravasion de FITS dépendait également de l'intervalle entre PDT et injection de FITS. En conclusion, les expérimentations montrent que la PDT est capable, sous certaines conditions, d'augmenter de manière significative l'extravasion des macromolécules à travers la barrière endothéliale et leur accumulation dans des tumeurs mais pas dans le parenchyme pulmonaire. Ces résultats permettent une nouvelle perspective de traitement pour des tumeurs superficielles intrathoraciques chimio-résistent comme l'épanchement pleural malin ou le mésothéliome pleural.

Menarche, menopause, and breast cancer risk: individual participant meta-analysis, including 118 964 women with breast cancer from 117 epidemiological studies.

BACKGROUND: Menarche and menopause mark the onset and cessation, respectively, of ovarian activity associated with reproduction, and affect breast cancer risk. Our aim was to assess the strengths of their effects and determine whether they depend on characteristics of the tumours or the affected women. METHODS: Individual data from 117 epidemiological studies, including 118 964 women with invasive breast cancer and 306 091 without the disease, none of whom had used menopausal hormone therapy, were included in the analyses. We calculated adjusted relative risks (RRs) associated with menarche and menopause for breast cancer overall, and by tumour histology and by oestrogen receptor expression. FINDINGS: Breast cancer risk increased by a factor of 1·050 (95% CI 1·044-1·057; p<0·0001) for every year younger at menarche, and independently by a smaller amount (1·029, 1·025-1·032; p<0·0001), for every year older at menopause. Premenopausal women had a greater risk of breast cancer than postmenopausal women of an identical age (RR at age 45-54 years 1·43, 1·33-1·52, p<0·001). All three of these associations were attenuated by increasing adiposity among postmenopausal women, but did not vary materially by women's year of birth, ethnic origin, childbearing history, smoking, alcohol consumption, or hormonal contraceptive use. All three associations were stronger for lobular than for ductal tumours (p<0·006 for each comparison). The effect of menopause in women of an identical age and trends by age at menopause were stronger for oestrogen receptor-positive disease than for oestrogen receptor-negative disease (p<0·01 for both comparisons). INTERPRETATION: The effects of menarche and menopause on breast cancer risk might not be acting merely by lengthening women's total number of reproductive years. Endogenous ovarian hormones are more relevant for oestrogen receptor-positive disease than for oestrogen receptor-negative disease and for lobular than for ductal tumours. FUNDING: Cancer Research UK.

Prognostic value of sentinel node biopsy in 327 prospective melanoma patients from a single institution

AIM: To confirm the accuracy of sentinel node biopsy (SNB) procedure and its morbidity, and to investigate predictive factors for SN status and prognostic factors for disease-free survival (DFS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between October 1997 and December 2004, 327 consecutive patients in one centre with clinically node-negative primary skin melanoma underwent an SNB by the triple technique, i.e. lymphoscintigraphy, blue-dye and gamma-probe. Multivariate logistic regression analyses as well as the Kaplan-Meier were performed. RESULTS: Twenty-three percent of the patients had at least one metastatic SN, which was significantly associated with Breslow thickness (p<0.001). The success rate of SNB was 99.1% and its morbidity was 7.6%. With a median follow-up of 33 months, the 5-year DFS/DSS were 43%/49% for patients with positive SN and 83.5%/87.4% for patients with negative SN, respectively. The false-negative rate of SNB was 8.6% and sensitivity 91.4%. On multivariate analysis, DFS was significantly worsened by Breslow thickness (RR=5.6, p<0.001), positive SN (RR=5.0, p<0.001) and male sex (RR=2.9, p=0.001). The presence of a metastatic SN (RR=8.4, p<0.001), male sex (RR=6.1, p<0.001), Breslow thickness (RR=3.2, p=0.013) and ulceration (RR=2.6, p=0.015) were significantly associated with a poorer DSS. CONCLUSION: SNB is a reliable procedure with high sensitivity (91.4%) and low morbidity. Breslow thickness was the only statistically significant parameter predictive of SN status. DFS was worsened in decreasing order by Breslow thickness, metastatic SN and male gender. Similarly DSS was significantly worsened by a metastatic SN, male gender, Breslow thickness and ulceration. These data reinforce the SN status as a powerful staging procedure

Pediatric emergencies admitted in the resuscitation room of a swiss university hospital.

OBJECTIVES: Pediatric resuscitation is an intense, stressful, and challenging process. The aim of this study was to review the life-threatening pediatric (LTP) emergencies admitted in a Swiss university hospital with regards to patients' demographics, reason for admission, diagnosis, treatment, significant events, critical incidents, and outcomes. METHODS: A retrospective observational cohort study of prospectively collected data was conducted, including all LTP emergencies admitted over a period of 2 years in the resuscitation room (RR). Variables, including indication for transfer, mode of prehospital transportation, diagnosis, and time spent in RR, were recorded. RESULTS: Of the 60,939 pediatric emergencies treated in our university hospital over 2 years, a total of 277 LTP emergencies (0.46%) were admitted in the RR. They included 160 boys and 117 girls, aged 6 days to 15.95 years (mean, 6.69 years; median, 5.06). A medical problem was identified in 55.9% (n = 155) of the children. Of the 122 children treated for a surgical problem, 35 (28.3%) went directly from the RR to the operating room. Hemodynamic instability was noted in 19.5% of all LTP emergencies, of which 1.1% benefited from O negative transfusion. Admission to the intensive care unit was necessary for 61.6% of the children transferred from another hospital. The average time spent in the RR was 46 minutes. The overall mortality rate was 7.2%. CONCLUSIONS: The LTP emergencies accounted for a small proportion of all pediatric emergencies. They were more medical than surgical cases and resuscitation measures because of hemodynamic instability were the most frequent treatment.

Financial impact of introducing the Swiss-DRG reimbursement system on potentially avoidable readmissions at a university hospital.

QUESTION UNDER STUDY: Thirty-day readmissions can be classified as potentially avoidable (PARs) or not avoidable (NARs) by following a specific algorithm (SQLape®). We wanted to assess the financial impact of the Swiss-DRG system, which regroups some readmissions occurring within 18 days after discharge within the initial hospital stay, on PARs at our hospital. METHODS: First, PARs were identified from all hospitalisations recorded in 2011 at our university hospital. Second, 2012 Swiss-DRG readmission rules were applied, regrouped readmissions (RR) were identified, and their financial impact computed. Third, RRs were classified as potentially avoidable (PARRs), not avoidable (NARRs), and others causes (OCRRs). Characteristics of PARR patients and stays were retrieved, and the financial impact of PARRS was computed. RESULTS: A total of 36,777 hospitalisations were recorded in 2011, of which 3,140 were considered as readmissions (8.5%): 1,470 PARs (46.8%) and 1,733 NARs (53.2%). The 2012 Swiss-DRG rules would have resulted in 910 RRs (2.5% of hospitalisations, 29% of readmissions): 395 PARRs (43% of RR), 181 NARRs (20%), and 334 OCRRs (37%). Loss in reimbursement would have amounted to CHF 3.157 million (0.6% of total reimbursement). As many as 95% of the 395 PARR patients lived at home. In total, 28% of PARRs occurred within 3 days after discharge, and 58% lasted less than 5 days; 79% of the patients were discharged home again. Loss in reimbursement would amount to CHF 1.771 million. CONCLUSION: PARs represent a sizeable number of 30-day readmissions, as do PARRs of 18-day RRs in the 2012 Swiss DRG system. They should be the focus of attention, as the PARRs represent an avoidable loss in reimbursement.

Servicenivå för Östra Nylands kollektivtrafik : Nylands ELY-centrals servicenivådefiniering för kollektivtrafik

Utredningen "Servicenivå för Östra Nylands kollektivtrafik" är en fortsättning till Nylands ELY-centrals förstudie om bestämning av kollektivtrafikens servicenivå på Nylands ELY-centrals område, nr 29/2010. Enligt förstudiet blev definieringsarbetet för kollektivtrafikens servicenivå på Nylands ELY-centrals område delat upp för att förverkligas i sju helheter som baserar sig på regionbiljettområden. Det blev sju rapporter om definieringsarbetet av vilka denna som rör Östra Nyland är en. Utredningen är en del av processen där ELY-centralen i samarbete med kommuner, behöriga myndigheter, landskapsförbund och trafikidkare förberedde Nylands ELY-centrals bestämmelse över bestyrkning av kollektivtrafikens servicenivå enligt lagen om kollektivtrafik. ELY-centralen bestyrkte med sitt beslut i december 2011 den åsyftade servicenivån enligt utredningen för åren 2012 - 2016. I utredningen har man beskrivit både den nutida och den åsyftade servicenivån som sträcker sig till år 2016. I huvudsak har man gjort beskrivningen som förbindelsestreckanalys. De valda förbindelsestreckorna har klassificerats enligt trafikens kvantitativa och kvalitativa faktorer i sex klasser: konkurrensnivå, lockande nivå, medelnivå, grundservicenivå, miniminivå och lagstadgad nivå. Som viktigaste klassificeringsfaktorer användes trafikeringstid och turantal. I klassificeringen har Trafikverkets anvisning nr 15/2011 tillämpats.

Servicenivå för Västra Nylands kollektivtrafik : Nylands ELY-centrals servicenivådefiniering för kollektivtrafik

Utredningen "Servicenivå för Västra Nylands kollektivtrafik" är en fortsättning till Nylands ELY-centrals förstudie om bestämning av kollektivtrafikens servicenivå på Nylands ELY-centrals område, nr 29/2010. Enligt förstudiet blev definieringsarbetet för kollektivtrafikens servicenivå på Nylands ELY-centrals område delat upp för att förverkligas i sju helheter som baserar sig på regionbiljettområden. Det blev sju rapporter om definieringsarbetet av vilka denna som rör Västra Nyland är en. Utredningen är en del av processen där ELY-centralen i samarbete med kommuner, behöriga myndigheter, landskapsförbund och trafikidkare förberedde Nylands ELY-centrals bestämmelse över bestyrkning av kollektivtrafikens servicenivå enligt lagen om kollektivtrafik. ELY-centralen bestyrkte med sitt beslut i december 2011 den åsyftade servicenivån enligt utredningen för åren 2012 - 2016. I utredningen har man beskrivit både den nutida och den åsyftade servicenivån som sträcker sig till år 2016. I huvudsak har man gjort beskrivningen som förbindelsestreckanalys. De valda förbindelsestreckorna har klassificerats enligt trafikens kvantitativa och kvalitativa faktorer i sex klasser: konkurrensnivå, lockande nivå, medelnivå, grundservicenivå, miniminivå och lagstadgad nivå. Som viktigaste klassificeringsfaktorer användes trafikeringstid och turantal. I klassificeringen har Trafikverkets anvisning nr 15/2011 tillämpats.

Elliptical orbital studies of H21 and H2 molecules /|nS. K. Gupta. -- 260 St. Catharines, Ont. : [s. n.],

Calculations are performed on the \S <:Jd ground states of d ' + the H and HC) molecules using a basis set of non-integral ~ ~ I elliptical orbitals. Different variational wavefunctions constructed i- for H~ involved one parameter to three par~~eter variation. In order to l"'educe the ntunber of parameters in most commonly 0- used basis orbitals set, the importance of the term (,+~) Y\ over the term ;u 'Where n is a variational pararneter and the value of cr may be given by boundary condition or cusp condition is outlined in Chapters II and III. It is found that the two parameter -+ rr is obtained from the boundary condition in one case and from the cusp condition in the second case. In order to take into account in-out correlation partially, open shell calculation for the ground state of the hydrogen molecule for R =1.4 (equilibrium internuclear separation) is perfonaed. The results are excellent.

Autonomic regulation and blood pressure in children

Vagal baroreflex sensitivity (BRS) is a measure of short term blood pressure (BP) regulation through alterations in heart rate. Low BRS reflects impaired autonomic system regulation and has been found to be a surrogate marker for cardiovascular health. In particular, it has found to be associated with the pathogenesis of adult hypertension. However, only limited information exists as to the negative consequences of childhood BP on baroreflex function. The objective of this study was to investigate BRS in children with 2 different BP profiles while controlling for the effects of age, maturation, sex, and body composition. A preliminary subsample of 11-14 year-old children from the HBEAT (Heart Behavioural Environmental Assessment Team) Study was selected. The children were divided into 2 BP groups; high BP (HBP; 2:95tl1 percentile, n=21) and normal BP (NBP; <90th percentile, n=85). Following an initial 15 minutes of supine rest, 5 minutes of continuous beat-to-beat BP (Finapres) and RR interval (RRI) were recorded (standard ECG). Spectral indices were computed using Fast Fourier Transform and transfer function analysis was used to compute BRS. High frequency (HF) and low frequency (LF) power spectral areas were set to 0.15-0.4 Hz and 0.04-0.15 Hz, respectively. Body composition was measured using body mass index. After adjusting for body composition, maturation, age and sex ANCOV A results were as follows; LF and HF BRS, LF and HF RRI, and RRI total power were lower in the HBP versus NBP participants (p<0.05). As well, LF IHF SBP ratio was significantly higher in the HBP compared to the NBP group (p<0.05). The regression coefficients (unstandardized B) indicated that in changing groups (NBP to HBP) LF and HF BRS decreases by 4.04 and 6.18 ms/mmHg, respectively. Thus, as BP increases, BRS decreases. These data suggest that changes in autonomic activity occur in children who have HBP, regardless of age, sex, maturation, and body composition. Thus, despite their young age and relatively short amount of time having high BP compared with adults, these children are already demonstrating poor BP regulation and reduced cardiovagal activity. Given that childhood BP is associated with hypertension in adulthood, there is a growing concern in regards to the current cardiovascular health of our children and future adults.

Baroreflex sensitivity and developmental coordination disorder

Developmental coordination disorder (DCD) is a motor coordination disorder that is characterized by impairment of motor skills which leads to challenges with performing activities of daily living. Children with DCD have been shown to be less physically active and have increased body fatness. This is an important finding since a sedentary lifestyle and obesity are risk factors for cardiovascular disease. One indicator of cardiovascular health is baroreflex sensitivity (BRS), which is a measure of short term BP regulation that is accomplished through changes in HR. Diminished BRS is predictive of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. The purpose of this study was to investigate BRS in 117 children aged 12 to 13 years with probable DCD (pOCO) and their matched controls with normal coordination. Following 15 minutes of supine rest, five minutes of continuous beat-by-beat blood pressure (Finapres) and RR interval were recorded (standard ECG). Spectral indices were computed using Fast Fourier Transform and transfer function analysis was used to compute BRS. High frequency and low frequency power spectral areas were set to 0.15-0.6 Hz and 0.04-0.15 Hz, respectively. BRS was compared between groups with an independent t-test and the difference was not significant. It is likely that a difference in BRS was not seen between groups since the difference in BMI between groups was small. As well, differences in BRS may not have manifested yet at this early age. However, the cardiovascular health of this population still deserves attention since differences in body composition and fitness were found between groups.

Multiple Public Goods and Lexicographic Preferences Replacement Principle.

We study the problem of locating two public goods for a group of agents with single-peaked preferences over an interval. An alternative specifies a location for each public good. In Miyagawa (1998), each agent consumes only his most preferred public good without rivalry. We extend preferences lexicographically and characterize the class of single-peaked preference rules by Pareto-optimality and replacement-domination. This result is considerably different from the corresponding characterization by Miyagawa (2001a).

Statistical Inference for Computable General Equilibrium Models with Application to a Model of the Moroccan Economy

We study the problem of measuring the uncertainty of CGE (or RBC)-type model simulations associated with parameter uncertainty. We describe two approaches for building confidence sets on model endogenous variables. The first one uses a standard Wald-type statistic. The second approach assumes that a confidence set (sampling or Bayesian) is available for the free parameters, from which confidence sets are derived by a projection technique. The latter has two advantages: first, confidence set validity is not affected by model nonlinearities; second, we can easily build simultaneous confidence intervals for an unlimited number of variables. We study conditions under which these confidence sets take the form of intervals and show they can be implemented using standard methods for solving CGE models. We present an application to a CGE model of the Moroccan economy to study the effects of policy-induced increases of transfers from Moroccan expatriates.

Uncovering Financial Markets Beliefs About Inflation Targets

This paper exploits the term structure of interest rates to develop testable economic restrictions on the joint process of long-term interest rates and inflation when the latter is subject to a targeting policy by the Central Bank. Two competing models that econometrically describe agents’ inferences about inflation targets are developed and shown to generate distinct predictions on the behavior of interest rates. In an empirical application to the Canadian inflation target zone, results indicate that agents perceive the band to be substantially narrower than officially announced and asymmetric around the stated mid-point. The latter result (i) suggests that the monetary authority attaches different weights to positive and negative deviations from the central target, and (ii) challenges on empirical grounds the assumption, frequently made in the literature, that the policy maker’s loss function is symmetric (usually a quadratic function) around a desired inflation value.