924 resultados para Building Simulation, Future Weather Data, Global Warming


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Climate impact studies have indicated ecological fingerprints of recent global warming across a wide range of habitats. Whereas these studies have shown responses from various local case studies, a coherent large-scale account on temperature-driven changes of biotic communities has been lacking. Here we use 867 vegetation samples above the treeline from 60 summit sites in all major European mountain systems to show that ongoing climate change gradually transforms mountain plant communities. We provide evidence that the more cold-adapted species decline and the more warm-adapted species increase, a process described here as thermophilisation. At the scale of individual mountains this general trend may not be apparent, but at the¦larger, continental scale we observed a significantly higher abundance of thermophilic species in 2008, compared with 2001. Thermophilisation of mountain plant communities mirrors the degree of recent warming and is more pronounced in areas where the temperature increase has been higher. In view of the projected climate change the observed transformation suggests a progressive decline of cold mountain habitats and their biota.

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Estimation of the dimensions of fluvial geobodies from core data is a notoriously difficult problem in reservoir modeling. To try and improve such estimates and, hence, reduce uncertainty in geomodels, data on dunes, unit bars, cross-bar channels, and compound bars and their associated deposits are presented herein from the sand-bed braided South Saskatchewan River, Canada. These data are used to test models that relate the scale of the formative bed forms to the dimensions of the preserved deposits and, therefore, provide an insight as to how such deposits may be preserved over geologic time. The preservation of bed-form geometry is quantified by comparing the Alluvial architecture above and below the maximum erosion depth of the modem channel deposits. This comparison shows that there is no significant difference in the mean set thickness of dune cross-strata above and below the basal erosion surface of the contemporary channel, thus suggesting that dimensional relationships between dune deposits and the formative bed-form dimensions are likely to be valid from both recent and older deposits. The data show that estimates of mean bankfull flow depth derived from dune, unit bar, and cross-bar channel deposits are all very similar. Thus, the use of all these metrics together can provide a useful check that all components and scales of the alluvial architecture have been identified correctly when building reservoir models. The data also highlight several practical issues with identifying and applying data relating to cross-strata. For example, the deposits of unit bars were found to be severely truncated in length and width, with only approximately 10% of the mean bar-form length remaining, and thus making identification in section difficult. For similar reasons, the deposits of compound bars were found to be especially difficult to recognize, and hence, estimates of channel depth based on this method may be problematic. Where only core data are available (i.e., no outcrop data exist), formative flow depths are suggested to be best reconstructed using cross-strata formed by dunes. However, theoretical relationships between the distribution of set thicknesses and formative dune height are found to result in slight overestimates of the latter and, hence, mean bankfull flow depths derived from these measurements. This article illustrates that the preservation of fluvial cross-strata and, thus, the paleohydraulic inferences that can be drawn from them, are a function of the ratio of the size and migration rate of bed forms and the time scale of aggradation and channel migration. These factors must thus be considered when deciding on appropriate length:thickness ratios for the purposes of object-based modeling in reservoir characterization.

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Para preservar la biodiversidad de los ecosistemas forestales de la Europa mediterránea en escenarios actuales y futuros de cambio global mediante una gestión forestal sostenible es necesario determinar cómo influye el medio ambiente y las propias características de los bosques sobre la biodiversidad que éstos albergan. Con este propósito, se analizó la influencia de diferentes factores ambientales y de estructura y composición del bosque sobre la riqueza de aves forestales a escala 1 × 1 km en Cataluña (NE de España). Se construyeron modelos univariantes y multivariantes de redes neuronales para respectivamente explorar la respuesta individual a las variables y obtener un modelo parsimonioso (ecológicamente interpretable) y preciso. La superficie de bosque (con una fracción de cabida cubierta superior a 5%), la fracción de cabida cubierta media, la temperatura anual y la precipitación estival medias fueron los mejores predictores de la riqueza de aves forestales. La red neuronal multivariante obtenida tuvo una buena capacidad de generalización salvo en las localidades con una mayor riqueza. Además, los bosques con diferentes grados de apertura del dosel arbóreo, más maduros y más diversos en cuanto a su composición de especies arbóreas se asociaron de forma positiva con una mayor riqueza de aves forestales. Finalmente, se proporcionan directrices de gestión para la planificación forestal que permitan promover la diversidad ornítica en esta región de la Europa mediterránea.

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In this chapter, we examine the multiple dimensions of declarations of fertility in-tention in order to provide a critical reading of currently used indicators of the childbearing decision-making process. Using a qualitative approach, we pay atten-tion to the complexity of the process through which individuals make (or fail to make) plans regarding their reproductive future. The data are a series of compara-ble in-depth interviews conducted in a number of European countries with varying fertility levels, and differing normative and institutional contexts. First, we ana-lyze the meanings that respondents attribute to their childbearing intentions, pay-ing particular attention to uncertain intentions that are often underanalyzed. Se-cond, we study the ways in which individuals vary in holding to their intentions over time, and consider why they might change their minds, even over relatively short periods of time. Third, we examine how several aspects of the larger social context (attitudes towards having children, family policy, norms related to the di-vision of labor, norms about the timing of children) shape fertility intentions.

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To study whether inversions (or arrangements) by themselves or karyotypes are the main global warming adaptive target of natural selection, two Drosophila subobscura Serbian populations (Apatin and Petnica) were re analyzed using different statistical approaches. Both populations were sampled in an approximately 15 years period: Apatin in 1994 and 2008 + 2009 and Petnica in 1995 and 2010. For all chromosomes, the four collections studied were in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium. Thus, it seems that inversions (or arrangements) combined at random to constitute populations" karyotypes. However, there were differences in karyotypic fre quencies along the years, although they were significant only for Apatin population. It is possible to conclude that inversions (or arrangements) are likely the target of natural selection, because they presented long term changes, but combine at random to generate the corresponding karyotypic combinations. As a consequence, the frequencies of karyotypes also change along time.

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Aim of this study was to investigate the means to reduce nutrient flows to water systems. Focus in this study was to examine peatland buffer zones as a solution to protect water bodies as well as to examine methane and nitrous oxide release from buffer zones. The literature survey covers a review of research which has been done till this day concerning the effects of forestry on water bodies. It also contains a review of the significance of forests and mires in hydrological cycle, effects of forestry on nutrient loads to water systems and a review of different solutions to diminish it. The solutions contain ditch shaping, submerged dams, sludge sumps, sedimentation ponds and buffer zones. The literature survey also covers nitrous oxide and methane gas emissions from buffer zones. Methane and nitrous oxide emissions from six different mires were studied during the summer of 2007. Measurements were conducted once a month using the static chamber method. Emissions of methane and nitrous oxide were calculated. Effects of water table level and peat temperature on emissions were also studied. The results showed a tendency to increased methane-emissions from natural peat lands when compared with restored buffer zones. The results showed also a tendency to increased CH4 emissions and decreased NO2 emissions with rising level of water table. Other mechanisms that influence emissions are vegetation composition and peat temperature. Considering the global warming as a result of increased greenhouse gas emissions, the emissions of CH4 and NO2 measured in the present study were not particularly high.

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Migratory marine vertebrates move annually across remote oceanic water masses crossing international borders. Many anthropogenic threats such as overfishing, bycatch, pollution or global warming put millions of marine migrants at risk especially during their long-distance movements. Therefore, precise knowledge about these migratory movements to understand where and when these animals are more exposed to human impacts is vital for addressing marine conservation issues. Because electronic tracking devices suffer from several constraints, mainly logistical and financial, there is emerging interest in finding appropriate intrinsic markers, such as the chemical composition of inert tissues, to study long-distance migrations and identify wintering sites. Here, using tracked pelagic seabirds and some of their own feathers which were known to be grown at different places and times within the annual cycle, we proved the value of biogeochemical analyses of inert tissue as tracers of marine movements and habitat use. Analyses of feathers grown in summer showed that both stable isotope signatures and element concentrations can signal the origin of breeding birds feeding in distinct water masses. However, only stable isotopes signalled water masses used during winter because elements mainly accumulated during the long breeding period are incorporated into feathers grown in both summer and winter. Our findings shed new light on the simple and effective assignment of marine organisms to distinct oceanic areas, providing new opportunities to study unknown migration patterns of secretive species, including in relation to human-induced mortality on specific populations in the marine environment.

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Maapallon ilmasto lämpenee koko ajan kasvihuonekaasujen määrän lisääntyessä ilmakehässä. Merkittävin ihmisten aiheuttama päästöjen lähde on fossiilisten polttoaineiden käyttö energiantuotannossa ja liikenteessä, jonka vuoksi on tärkeää lisätä uusiutuvien energialähteiden käyttöä. Tämän diplomityön tavoitteena oli selvittää esimerkkialueena olevan maaseutuyhteiskunnan mahdollisuutta olla energiaomavarainen ja materiaalikierroiltaan suljettu, jos alueen tarvitsema sähkö ja lämpö tuotettaisiin paikallisilla biomassavaroilla kahdella rinnakkaisella pienen mittakaavan CHP-laitoksella. Tarkastellut laitokset olivat anaerobisen mädätyksen ja polttokennojen yhdistelmä sekä termisen käsittelyn ja ORC-prosessin yhdistelmä. Työssä tehdyt laskelmat osoittivat, että esimerkkialue saisi tuotettua omilla biomassavaroillaan tarvitsemastaan sähköstä 75 % ja lämmöstä 90 % esimerkkilaitosten avulla. Laskelmissa ei kuitenkaan huomioitu kesä- ja talvikuukausien välistä eroa lämmön kulutuksessa, jonka vuoksi molemmat laitokset eivät voisi toimia koko ajan täydellä teholla. Lisäksi tuotetun lämmön hyötykäyttöä rajoittaa riittävän laajan kaukolämpöverkon puuttuminen esimerkkialueelta. Nykyisen kaukolämpöverkon avulla saataisiin hyödynnettyä vain kolmasosa ORC-prosessilla tuotetusta lämpöenergiasta. Laskelmat osoittivat myös, että alueen kasvihuonekaasupäästöt pienenisivät 21 % eli noin 6 000 hiilidioksidiekvivalenttitonnia vuodessa, jos suurin osa energiasta tuotettaisiin omista biomassavaroista CHP-laitosten avulla ja mädätyksen seurauksena syntyvä reaktorijäännös korvaisi kemiallisten lannoitteiden käytön.

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La empresa moderna, se encuentra en una situación actual de incertidumbre en la que además está más expuesta a factores externos con el aumento de la competencia y el impacto de la globalización. Se enfrenta a un panorama que debe ser gestionado adecuadamente para asegurar su supervivencia y el éxito de su existencia. En este TFC, se presenta una de las herramientas ‘buque insignia’ del Management moderno, aquella que está destinada a ser la base de la Gestión de la empresa y que cada vez más se hace imprescindible para la construcción de un futuro cada vez más incierto, la Planificación Estratégica. El Plan Estratégico 2012-2015 de AESL se desarrolla en varios apartados que intentarán dar con las claves de la dirección que la empresa debe seguir y propone los objetivos que encontrará a través de la puesta en marcha de las acciones y estrategias determinadas. La primera etapa, y la más extensa, realiza un Análisis de la situación externa e interna de la empresa además de un Diagnóstico de la misma. Se analizan diversos factores que pueden contribuir o hacer peligrar el futuro de la empresa, y constituye el punto de partida de la planificación. En la segunda etapa, y con la información de la anterior fase, comienza la fijación de los Objetivos Corporativos y la definición de las Decisiones Estratégicas que han de transformar nuestro rumbo actual en el logro de esos objetivos. Las estrategias no sólo comportarán un ámbito corporativo, también se centrarán en estrategias funcionales con un carácter más definitorio en el interior de la empresa. Por último, la tercera y última etapa, aglutinará todas estas Decisiones estratégicas para transformarlas en las Decisiones Operativas, aquellas que se encargarán de gestionar el día a día de la empresa a través de los Planes de Acción, que suponen la etapa de mayor concreción del Plan. Este Plan a 3 años deberá erigirse como la herramienta de planificación más importante de la empresa, debiendo guiar las principales decisiones tomadas y convirtiéndose en un instrumento de consulta no sólo para decidir hoy lo que se hará en el futuro sino también para mantener unos niveles altos de competitividad en el tremendo esfuerzo que supone la gestión de una PYME.

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Kirjallisuusarvostelu

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Ilmaston lämpeneminen ja luonnonvarojen ehtyminen ovat nostaneet ympäristöasiat erittäin ajankohtaisiksi ja kierrättämisen merkitys korostuu entisestään. Tässä diplomityössä on käsitelty teollisuuden jätteiden ja sivutuotteiden kierrättämistä puumuovikomposiitin raaka-aineeksi. Työssä on tutkittu Kaakkois-Suomessa olevia tärkeimpiä teollisuuden sivuainevirtoja puumuovikomposiitin kannalta sekä valmistettu puumuovikomposiittia hyödyntämällä kahta kaatopaikalle päätyvää jätettä. Kaakkois-Suomen teollisuuden jätteitä selvitettäessä löytyi paljon puumuovikomposiitin valmistamiseen soveltuvia jätteitä. Mekaanisen metsäteollisuuden sivutuotteita käytetään yleisesti puumuovikomposiitin valmistamiseen. Muita potentiaaliseksi havaittuja raakaaineita ovat mm. lentotuhka, lasikuitujäte, pakkauskartonki, muovijätteet ja vuorivillan valmistuksessa syntyvät jätteet. Koemateriaaleiksi valittiin puunpoltosta peräisin oleva lentotuhka ja vuorivillan valmistamisessa syntyvä vuorivillapöly. Materiaaleilla korvattiin puuta puumuovikomposiitissa ja valmistetulle komposiitille suoritettiin kokeita mekaanisten ominaisuuksien selvittämiseksi. Molempien materiaalien kohdalla ominaisuuksien havaittiin parantuneen ilman täyteainetta valmistettuun komposiittiin verrattuna.

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Aurinkoenergia on yksi monista uusiutuvan energian muodoista, joiden suosio on viimeisten vuosien aikana kasvanut fossiilisten polttoaineiden kallistumisen sekä ilmaston lämpenemisen vuoksi. Auringon säteilyn energiaa voidaan muuttaa sähköenergiaksi mm. aurinkopaneeleiden avulla. Aurinkopaneeleihin liitetään usein vaihtosuuntaaja, jolla tuotettu teho voidaan muokata sähköverkkoon tai kotitalouden sähköjärjestelmään sopivaksi. Tässä työssä on esitelty aurinkopaneelilla tuotettavan sähköenergian perusperiaatteet sekä tehoa tuottavan järjestelmän reunaehdot. Tutkimuksessa on perehdytty keskeisiin, aurinkopaneeleihin liitettäville vaihtosuuntaajille laadittuihin standardeihin, hyötysuhteen mittaamisen sekä sähkön laadun näkökulmista. Selvityksen avulla järjestelmän hyötysuhteen sekä lähtötehon laadun määrittämiseksi voidaan laatia standardien mukainen mittaussuunnitelma vaihtosuuntaajan nimellistehosta riippumatta. Standardien avulla on laadittu mittaussuunnitelma Global Inversonne, 100 kW - verkkovaihtosuuntaajayksikölle. Suunnitelman mukaisissa mittauksissa on tutkittu yksikön muunnoshyötysuhdetta sekä lähtöjännitteen- ja virran laatua. Lisäksi työssä on analysoitu mittaustulosten mittausepävarmuuksia ja niitä aiheuttavia tekijöitä.

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The large biodiversity of cyanobacteria together with the increasing genomics and proteomics metadata provide novel information for finding new commercially valuable metabolites. With the advent of global warming, there is growing interest in the processes that results in efficient CO2 capture through the use of photosynthetic microorganisms such as cyanobacteria. This requires a detailed knowledge of how cyanobacteria respond to the ambient CO2. My study was aimed at understanding the changes in the protein profile of the model organism, Synechocystis PCC 6803 towards the varying CO2 level. In order to achieve this goal I have employed modern proteomics tools such as iTRAQ and DIGE, recombinant DNA techniques to construct different mutants in cyanobacteria and biophysical methods to study the photosynthetic properties. The proteomics study revealed several novel proteins, apart from the well characterized proteins involved in carbon concentrating mechanisms (CCMs), that were upregulated upon shift of the cells from high CO2 concentration (3%) to that in air level (0.039%). The unknown proteins, Slr0006 and flavodiiron proteins (FDPs) Sll0217-Flv4 and Sll0219-Flv2, were selected for further characterization. Although slr0006 was substantially upregulated under Ci limiting conditions, inactivation of the gene did not result in any visual phenotype under various environmental conditions indicating that this protein is not essential for cell survival. However, quantitative proteomics showed the induction of novel plasmid and chromosome encoded proteins in deltaslr0006 under air level CO2 conditions. The expression of the slr0006 gene was found to be strictly dependent on active photosynthetic electron transfer. Slr0006 contains conserved dsRNA binding domain that belongs to the Sua5/YrdC/YciO protein family. Structural modelling of Slr0006 showed an alpha/beta twisted open-sheet structure and a positively charged cavity, indicating a possible binding site for RNA. The 3D model and the co-localization of Slr0006 with ribosomal subunits suggest that it might play a role in translation or ribosome biogenesis. On the other hand, deletions in the sll0217-sll218- sll0219 operon resulted in enhanced photodamage of PSII and distorted energy transfer from phycobilisome (PBS) to PSII, suggesting a dynamic photoprotection role of the operon. Constructed homology models also suggest efficient electron transfer in heterodimeric Flv2/Flv4, apparently involved in PSII photoprotection. Both Slr0006 and FDPs exhibited several common features, including negative regulation by NdhR and ambiguous cellular localization when subjected to different concentrations of divalent ions. This strong association with the membranes remained undisturbed even in the presence of detergent or high salt. My finding brings ample information on three novel proteins and their functions towards carbon limitation. Nevertheless, many pathways and related proteins remain unexplored. The comprehensive understanding of the acclimation processes in cyanobacteria towards varying environmental CO2 levels will help to uncover adaptive mechanisms in other organisms, including higher plants.

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The objective of this study was to simulate the impact of elevated temperature scenarios on leaf development of potato in Santa Maria, RS, Brazil. Leaf appearance was estimated using a multiplicative model that has a non-linear temperature response function which calculates the daily leaf appearance rate (LAR, leaves day-1) and the accumulated number of leaves (LN) from crop emergence to the appearance of the upper last leaf. Leaf appearance was estimated during 100 years in the following scenarios: current climate, +1 °C, +2 °C, +3 °C, +4 °C e +5 °C. The LAR model was estimated with coefficients of the Asterix cultivar in five emergence dates and in two growing seasons (Fall and Spring). Variable of interest was the duration (days) of the crop emergence to the appearance of the final leaf number (EM-FLN) phase. Statistical analysis was performed assuming a three-factorial experiment, with main effects being climate scenarios, growing seasons, and emergence dates in a completely randomized design using years (one hundred) as replications. The results showed that warmer scenarios lead to an increase, in the fall, and a decrease, in the spring growing season, in the duration of the leaf appearance phase, indicating high vulnerability and complexity of the response of potato crop grown in a Subtropical environment to climate change.

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ABSTRACT Cocoa is an important commercial crop in the tropics; and estimating the carbon emissions in the producing-areas is a worthwhile effort. The main goal of the current paper was to evaluate the carbon footprint (CF) per kilogram of Colombian cocoa bean produced under conventional and agroforestry managements, following the methods proposed by PAS 2050. In this research, we compared our results to other worldwide researches, showing an overview of the current limitations and challenges involving the CF researches. Our results showed that all calculated environmental burdens were lower for the conventional management. In the agroforestry practice, composting of cocoa pod husks contributed with approximately 34.00E+00 g methane and 2.55E+00 g nitrous oxide emissions per kilogram of cocoa grain produced. Therefore, such practice could reduce CF by 6.00E+00 kg CO2 Eq kg-1, which is certainly a significant amount. These cocoa residues left on the ground have a strong impact on CF of both studied managements due to the anaerobic decomposition of organic matter, which represents more than 85% of emissions. We concluded that both evaluated production processes can emit environmental burdens at the same magnitude. Definitely, there is a widespread need to improve cocoa production system by changing old and less productive plants to the so called clones to ensure cocoa yield and quality worldwide.