Unlocking the Potential of Zambian Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises "Learning from the international best practices - the Southeast Asian Experience"

This paper examines the SMEs performance in Zambia and attempts to identify some practical lessons that Zambia can learn from Southeast Asian countries (with reference to Malaysia) in order to facilitate industrial development through unlocking the potential of its SMEs sector. Malaysia and Zambia were at the same level of economic development as evidenced by similar per capita incomes but Zambia has remained behind economically and its manufacturing sector has stagnated as if both countries did not have similar initial endowments. It therefore, becomes imperative that Zambia learns from such countries on how they managed to take-off economically with a focus on SME development. Training (education), research & development, market availability and technological advancement through establishment of industrial linkages coupled with cluster formation were some of the outstanding strategies identified that Zambia could use as a “key” to unlock its SMEs’ potential as it strives to meet the UN MDGs in particular halving its poverty levels by 2015 and also realizing its vision of becoming a middle income earner by 2030.

What best transfers knowledge? : capital, goods, and innovative labor in East Asia

This paper compares three knowledge carriers—trade, foreign direct investment (FDI), and inventors—as knowledge mediums, and investigates their effects on knowledge flow in East Asia from 1996 to 2010. Using patent citations as a proxy for knowledge flow, this paper shows that FDI and inventor mobility have positive effects on increasing patent citations in East Asia when the technological portfolios of two countries are less similar. While trade shows statistical significance, the effect is inconsistent according to the regression models.

Estudio de la funcionalización de secciones eficaces de celda en multigrupos para cálculos best-estimate 3D pin-by-pin de núcleos PWR

Uno de los objetivos del Proyecto europeo NURISP (NUclear Reactor Integrated Platform) del 7º Programa Marco es avanzar en la simulación de reactores de agua ligera mediante el acoplamiento de códigos best-estimate que profundicen en la física de núcleo, termohidráulica bifásica y comportamiento del combustible [1]. Uno de estos códigos es COBAYA3, código de difusión 3D en multigrupos pin-by-pin desarrollado en la UPM, que requiere de librerías de secciones eficaces homogeneizadas a nivel de la barrita de combustible.

Polynomial approximation using particle swarm optimization of lineal enhanced neural networks with no hidden layers.

This paper presents some ideas about a new neural network architecture that can be compared to a Taylor analysis when dealing with patterns. Such architecture is based on lineal activation functions with an axo-axonic architecture. A biological axo-axonic connection between two neurons is defined as the weight in a connection in given by the output of another third neuron. This idea can be implemented in the so called Enhanced Neural Networks in which two Multilayer Perceptrons are used; the first one will output the weights that the second MLP uses to computed the desired output. This kind of neural network has universal approximation properties even with lineal activation functions. There exists a clear difference between cooperative and competitive strategies. The former ones are based on the swarm colonies, in which all individuals share its knowledge about the goal in order to pass such information to other individuals to get optimum solution. The latter ones are based on genetic models, that is, individuals can die and new individuals are created combining information of alive one; or are based on molecular/celular behaviour passing information from one structure to another. A swarm-based model is applied to obtain the Neural Network, training the net with a Particle Swarm algorithm.

Evolution not revolution of farming systemswill best feed and green the world

The challenge to properly feed a world population of 9.2 billion by 2050, that must be achieved on essentially currently cropped area, requires that food production be increased by 70%. This large increase can only be achieved by combinations of greater crop yields and more intensive cropping adapted to local conditions and availability of inputs. Farming systems are dynamic and continuously adapt to changing ecological, environmental and social conditions, while achieving greater production and resource-use efficiency by application of science and technology. This article argues that the solution to feed and green the world in 2050 is to support this evolution more strongly by providing farmers with necessary information, inputs, and recognition. There is no revolutionary alternative. Proposals to transform agriculture to low-input and organic systems would, because of low productiv- ity, exacerbate the challenge if applied in small part, and ensure failure if applied more widely. The challenge is, however, great. Irrigation, necessary to increase cropping intensity in many areas cannot be extended much more widely than at present, and it is uncertain if the current rate of crop yield increase can be maintained. Society needs greater recognition of the food-supply problem and must increase funding and support for agricultural research while it attends to issues of food waste and over consumption that can make valuable reductions to food demand from agriculture

Approximation to earth material from international normative

For centuries, earth has been used as a construction material. Nevertheless, the normative in this matter is very scattered, and the most developed countries, to carry out a construction with this material implies a variety of technical and legal problems. In this paper we review, in an international level, the normative panorama about earth constructions. It analyzes ninety one standards and regulations of countries all around the five continents. These standards represent the state of art that normalizes the earth as a construction material. In this research we analyze the international standards to earth construction, focusing on durability test (spray and drip erosion tests). It analyzes the differences between methods of test. Also we show all results about these tests in two types of compressed earth block.

Diffusion Gradient Temporal Difference for Cooperative Reinforcement Learning with Linear Function Approximation

We introduce a diffusion-based algorithm in which multiple agents cooperate to predict a common and global statevalue function by sharing local estimates and local gradient information among neighbors. Our algorithm is a fully distributed implementation of the gradient temporal difference with linear function approximation, to make it applicable to multiagent settings. Simulations illustrate the benefit of cooperation in learning, as made possible by the proposed algorithm.

Efficient algorithms for dynamic probabilistic safety assessment. An application to convex damage domain.

The design of nuclear power plant has to follow a number of regulations aimed at limiting the risks inherent in this type of installation. The goal is to prevent and to limit the consequences of any possible incident that might threaten the public or the environment. To verify that the safety requirements are met a safety assessment process is followed. Safety analysis is as key component of a safety assessment, which incorporates both probabilistic and deterministic approaches. The deterministic approach attempts to ensure that the various situations, and in particular accidents, that are considered to be plausible, have been taken into account, and that the monitoring systems and engineered safety and safeguard systems will be capable of ensuring the safety goals. On the other hand, probabilistic safety analysis tries to demonstrate that the safety requirements are met for potential accidents both within and beyond the design basis, thus identifying vulnerabilities not necessarily accessible through deterministic safety analysis alone. Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) methodology is widely used in the nuclear industry and is especially effective in comprehensive assessment of the measures needed to prevent accidents with small probability but severe consequences. Still, the trend towards a risk informed regulation (RIR) demanded a more extended use of risk assessment techniques with a significant need to further extend PSA’s scope and quality. Here is where the theory of stimulated dynamics (TSD) intervenes, as it is the mathematical foundation of the integrated safety assessment (ISA) methodology developed by the CSN(Consejo de Seguridad Nuclear) branch of Modelling and Simulation (MOSI). Such methodology attempts to extend classical PSA including accident dynamic analysis, an assessment of the damage associated to the transients and a computation of the damage frequency. The application of this ISA methodology requires a computational framework called SCAIS (Simulation Code System for Integrated Safety Assessment). SCAIS provides accident dynamic analysis support through simulation of nuclear accident sequences and operating procedures. Furthermore, it includes probabilistic quantification of fault trees and sequences; and integration and statistic treatment of risk metrics. SCAIS comprehensively implies an intensive use of code coupling techniques to join typical thermal hydraulic analysis, severe accident and probability calculation codes. The integration of accident simulation in the risk assessment process and thus requiring the use of complex nuclear plant models is what makes it so powerful, yet at the cost of an enormous increase in complexity. As the complexity of the process is primarily focused on such accident simulation codes, the question of whether it is possible to reduce the number of required simulation arises, which will be the focus of the present work. This document presents the work done on the investigation of more efficient techniques applied to the process of risk assessment inside the mentioned ISA methodology. Therefore such techniques will have the primary goal of decreasing the number of simulation needed for an adequate estimation of the damage probability. As the methodology and tools are relatively recent, there is not much work done inside this line of investigation, making it a quite difficult but necessary task, and because of time limitations the scope of the work had to be reduced. Therefore, some assumptions were made to work in simplified scenarios best suited for an initial approximation to the problem. The following section tries to explain in detail the process followed to design and test the developed techniques. Then, the next section introduces the general concepts and formulae of the TSD theory which are at the core of the risk assessment process. Afterwards a description of the simulation framework requirements and design is given. Followed by an introduction to the developed techniques, giving full detail of its mathematical background and its procedures. Later, the test case used is described and result from the application of the techniques is shown. Finally the conclusions are presented and future lines of work are exposed.

Accurate analytical approximation of asteroid deflection with constant tangential thrust

We present analytical formulas to estimate the variation of achieved deflection for an Earth-impacting asteroid following a continuous tangential low-thrust deflection strategy. Relatively simple analytical expressions are obtained with the aid of asymptotic theory and the use of Peláez orbital elements set, an approach that is particularly suitable to the asteroid deflection problem and is not limited to small eccentricities. The accuracy of the proposed formulas is evaluated numerically showing negligible error for both early and late deflection campaigns. The results will be of aid in planning future low-thrust asteroid deflection missions

Analysis of the operator action and the single failure criteria in a SGTR sequence using best estimate assumptions with TRACE 5.0

Steam Generator Tube Rupture (SGTR) sequences in Pressurized Water Reactors are known to be one of the most demanding transients for the operating crew. SGTR are a special kind of transient as they could lead to radiological releases without core damage or containment failure, as they can constitute a direct path from the reactor coolant system to the environment. The first methodology used to perform the Deterministic Safety Analysis (DSA) of a SGTR did not credit the operator action for the first 30 min of the transient, assuming that the operating crew was able to stop the primary to secondary leakage within that period of time. However, the different real SGTR accident cases happened in the USA and over the world demonstrated that the operators usually take more than 30 min to stop the leakage in actual sequences. Some methodologies were raised to overcome that fact, considering operator actions from the beginning of the transient, as it is done in Probabilistic Safety Analysis. This paper presents the results of comparing different assumptions regarding the single failure criteria and the operator action taken from the most common methodologies included in the different Deterministic Safety Analysis. One single failure criteria that has not been analysed previously in the literature is proposed and analysed in this paper too. The comparison is done with a PWR Westinghouse three loop model in TRACE code (Almaraz NPP) with best estimate assumptions but including deterministic hypothesis such as single failure criteria or loss of offsite power. The behaviour of the reactor is quite diverse depending on the different assumptions made regarding the operator actions. On the other hand, although there are high conservatisms included in the hypothesis, as the single failure criteria, all the results are quite far from the regulatory limits. In addition, some improvements to the Emergency Operating Procedures to minimize the offsite release from the damaged SG in case of a SGTR are outlined taking into account the offsite dose sensitivity results.

Revisión de la best practice “red española de ciudades por el clima”, desde la estrategia europea medioambiental

En el siglo pasado la comunidad internacional comenzó un período de reflexión relacionado con los problemas ambientales de nuestro planeta, que ha llegado hasta hoy, situándose en el centro de discusión el problema del cambio limático. El modelo territorial impuesto ha contribuido notablemente al aumento del problema, teniendo como principal exponente el modelo de ordenación territorial y urbana. Gran parte de la transformación está en poder de los municipios, que tienen la responsabilidad de modificar el diseño y gestión de las áreas urbanas, así como del desarrollo y ejecución de políticas públicas para enfrentarnos a estos desafíos. Los programas presentados por los gobiernos nacionales o las agencias de la UE, pueden parecer ajenos o de difícil gestión por los municipios, pero en realidad sus atribuciones son adecuadas para atender a las realidades territoriales y además, de mayor comprensión por los ciudadanos.

A unified framework for linear function approximation of value functions in stochastic control

This paper contributes with a unified formulation that merges previ- ous analysis on the prediction of the performance ( value function ) of certain sequence of actions ( policy ) when an agent operates a Markov decision process with large state-space. When the states are represented by features and the value function is linearly approxi- mated, our analysis reveals a new relationship between two common cost functions used to obtain the optimal approximation. In addition, this analysis allows us to propose an efficient adaptive algorithm that provides an unbiased linear estimate. The performance of the pro- posed algorithm is illustrated by simulation, showing competitive results when compared with the state-of-the-art solutions.

Membrane Systems Working with the PFactor: Best Strategy to Solve Complex Problems.

A membrane system is a massive parallel system, which is inspired by the living cells when processing information. As a part of unconventional computing, membrane systems are proven to be effective in solving complex problems. A new factor is introduced. This factor can decide whether a technique is worthwhile being used or not. The use of this factor provides the best chances for selecting the strategy for the rules application phase. Referring to the “best” is in reference to the one that reduces execution time within the membrane system. A pre-analysis of the membrane system determines the P-factor, which in return advises the optimal strategy to use. In particular, this paper compares the use of two strategies based on the P-factor and provides results upon the application of them. The paper concludes that the P-factor is an effective indicator for choosing the right strategy to implement the rules application phase in membrane systems.

Determinación de un modelo de geoide gravimétrico para Puerto Rico como sistema de referencia para las altitudes ortométricas

El geoide, definido como la superficie equipotencial que mejor se ajusta (en el sentido de los mínimos cuadrados) al nivel medio del mar en una determinada época, es la superficie que utilizamos como referencia para determinar las altitudes ortométricas. Si disponemos de una superficie equipotencial de referencia como dátum altimétrico preciso o geoide local, podemos entonces determinar las altitudes ortométricas de forma eficiente a partir de las altitudes elipsoidales proporcionadas por el Sistema Global de Navegación por Satélite (Global Navigation Satellite System, GNSS ). Como es sabido uno de los problemas no resueltos de la geodesia (quizás el más importante de los mismos en la actualidad) es la carencia de un dátum altimétrico global (Sjoberg, 2011) con las precisiones adecuadas. Al no existir un dátum altimétrico global que nos permita obtener los valores absolutos de la ondulación del geoide con la precisión requerida, es necesario emplear modelos geopotenciales como alternativa. Recientemente fue publicado el modelo EGM2008 en el que ha habido una notable mejoría de sus tres fuentes de datos, por lo que este modelo contiene coeficientes adicionales hasta el grado 2190 y orden 2159 y supone una sustancial mejora en la precisión (Pavlis et al., 2008). Cuando en una región determinada se dispone de valores de gravedad y Modelos Digitales del Terreno (MDT) de calidad, es posible obtener modelos de superficies geopotenciales más precisos y de mayor resolución que los modelos globales. Si bien es cierto que el Servicio Nacional Geodésico de los Estados Unidos de América (National Geodetic Survey, NGS) ha estado desarrollando modelos del geoide para la región de los Estados Unidos de América continentales y todos sus territorios desde la década de los noventa, también es cierto que las zonas de Puerto Rico y las Islas Vírgenes Estadounidenses han quedado un poco rezagadas al momento de poder aplicar y obtener resultados de mayor precisión con estos modelos regionales del geoide. En la actualidad, el modelo geopotencial regional vigente para la zona de Puerto Rico y las Islas Vírgenes Estadounidenses es el GEOID12A (Roman y Weston, 2012). Dada la necesidad y ante la incertidumbre de saber cuál sería el comportamiento de un modelo del geoide desarrollado única y exclusivamente con datos de gravedad locales, nos hemos dado a la tarea de desarrollar un modelo de geoide gravimétrico como sistema de referencia para las altitudes ortométricas. Para desarrollar un modelo del geoide gravimétrico en la isla de Puerto Rico, fue necesario implementar una metodología que nos permitiera analizar y validar los datos de gravedad terrestre existentes. Utilizando validación por altimetría con sistemas de información geográfica y validación matemática por colocación con el programa Gravsoft (Tscherning et al., 1994) en su modalidad en Python (Nielsen et al., 2012), fue posible validar 1673 datos de anomalías aire libre de un total de 1894 observaciones obtenidas de la base de datos del Bureau Gravimétrico Internacional (BGI). El aplicar estas metodologías nos permitió obtener una base de datos anomalías de la gravedad fiable la cual puede ser utilizada para una gran cantidad de aplicaciones en ciencia e ingeniería. Ante la poca densidad de datos de gravedad existentes, fue necesario emplear un método alternativo para densificar los valores de anomalías aire libre existentes. Empleando una metodología propuesta por Jekeli et al. (2009b) se procedió a determinar anomalías aire libre a partir de los datos de un MDT. Estas anomalías fueron ajustadas utilizando las anomalías aire libre validadas y tras aplicar un ajuste de mínimos cuadrados por zonas geográficas, fue posible obtener una malla de datos de anomalías aire libre uniforme a partir de un MDT. Tras realizar las correcciones topográficas, determinar el efecto indirecto de la topografía del terreno y la contribución del modelo geopotencial EGM2008, se obtuvo una malla de anomalías residuales. Estas anomalías residuales fueron utilizadas para determinar el geoide gravimétrico utilizando varias técnicas entre las que se encuentran la aproximación plana de la función de Stokes y las modificaciones al núcleo de Stokes, propuestas por Wong y Gore (1969), Vanicek y Kleusberg (1987) y Featherstone et al. (1998). Ya determinados los distintos modelos del geoide gravimétrico, fue necesario validar los mismos y para eso se utilizaron una serie de estaciones permanentes de la red de nivelación del Datum Vertical de Puerto Rico de 2002 (Puerto Rico Vertical Datum 2002, PRVD02 ), las cuales tenían publicados sus valores de altitud elipsoidal y elevación. Ante la ausencia de altitudes ortométricas en las estaciones permanentes de la red de nivelación, se utilizaron las elevaciones obtenidas a partir de nivelación de primer orden para determinar los valores de la ondulación del geoide geométrico (Roman et al., 2013). Tras establecer un total de 990 líneas base, se realizaron dos análisis para determinar la 'precisión' de los modelos del geoide. En el primer análisis, que consistió en analizar las diferencias entre los incrementos de la ondulación del geoide geométrico y los incrementos de la ondulación del geoide de los distintos modelos (modelos gravimétricos, EGM2008 y GEOID12A) en función de las distancias entre las estaciones de validación, se encontró que el modelo con la modificación del núcleo de Stokes propuesta por Wong y Gore presentó la mejor 'precisión' en un 91,1% de los tramos analizados. En un segundo análisis, en el que se consideraron las 990 líneas base, se determinaron las diferencias entre los incrementos de la ondulación del geoide geométrico y los incrementos de la ondulación del geoide de los distintos modelos (modelos gravimétricos, EGM2008 y GEOID12A), encontrando que el modelo que presenta la mayor 'precisión' también era el geoide con la modificación del núcleo de Stokes propuesta por Wong y Gore. En este análisis, el modelo del geoide gravimétrico de Wong y Gore presento una 'precisión' de 0,027 metros en comparación con la 'precisión' del modelo EGM2008 que fue de 0,031 metros mientras que la 'precisión' del modelo regional GEOID12A fue de 0,057 metros. Finalmente podemos decir que la metodología aquí presentada es una adecuada ya que fue posible obtener un modelo del geoide gravimétrico que presenta una mayor 'precisión' que los modelos geopotenciales disponibles, incluso superando la precisión del modelo geopotencial global EGM2008. ABSTRACT The geoid, defined as the equipotential surface that best fits (in the least squares sense) to the mean sea level at a particular time, is the surface used as a reference to determine the orthometric heights. If we have an equipotential reference surface or a precise local geoid, we can then determine the orthometric heights efficiently from the ellipsoidal heights, provided by the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). One of the most common and important an unsolved problem in geodesy is the lack of a global altimetric datum (Sjoberg, 2011)) with the appropriate precision. In the absence of one which allows us to obtain the absolute values of the geoid undulation with the required precision, it is necessary to use alternative geopotential models. The EGM2008 was recently published, in which there has been a marked improvement of its three data sources, so this model contains additional coefficients of degree up to 2190 and order 2159, and there is a substantial improvement in accuracy (Pavlis et al., 2008). When a given region has gravity values and high quality digital terrain models (DTM), it is possible to obtain more accurate regional geopotential models, with a higher resolution and precision, than global geopotential models. It is true that the National Geodetic Survey of the United States of America (NGS) has been developing geoid models for the region of the continental United States of America and its territories from the nineties, but which is also true is that areas such as Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands have lagged behind when to apply and get more accurate results with these regional geopotential models. Right now, the available geopotential model for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands is the GEOID12A (Roman y Weston, 2012). Given this need and given the uncertainty of knowing the behavior of a regional geoid model developed exclusively with data from local gravity, we have taken on the task of developing a gravimetric geoid model to use as a reference system for orthometric heights. To develop a gravimetric geoid model in the island of Puerto Rico, implementing a methodology that allows us to analyze and validate the existing terrestrial gravity data is a must. Using altimetry validation with GIS and mathematical validation by collocation with the Gravsoft suite programs (Tscherning et al., 1994) in its Python version (Nielsen et al., 2012), it was possible to validate 1673 observations with gravity anomalies values out of a total of 1894 observations obtained from the International Bureau Gravimetric (BGI ) database. Applying these methodologies allowed us to obtain a database of reliable gravity anomalies, which can be used for many applications in science and engineering. Given the low density of existing gravity data, it was necessary to employ an alternative method for densifying the existing gravity anomalies set. Employing the methodology proposed by Jekeli et al. (2009b) we proceeded to determine gravity anomaly data from a DTM. These anomalies were adjusted by using the validated free-air gravity anomalies and, after that, applying the best fit in the least-square sense by geographical area, it was possible to obtain a uniform grid of free-air anomalies obtained from a DTM. After applying the topographic corrections, determining the indirect effect of topography and the contribution of the global geopotential model EGM2008, a grid of residual anomalies was obtained. These residual anomalies were used to determine the gravimetric geoid by using various techniques, among which are the planar approximation of the Stokes function and the modifications of the Stokes kernel, proposed by Wong y Gore (1969), Vanicek y Kleusberg (1987) and Featherstone et al. (1998). After determining the different gravimetric geoid models, it was necessary to validate them by using a series of stations of the Puerto Rico Vertical Datum of 2002 (PRVD02) leveling network. These stations had published its values of ellipsoidal height and elevation, and in the absence of orthometric heights, we use the elevations obtained from first - order leveling to determine the geometric geoid undulation (Roman et al., 2013). After determine a total of 990 baselines, two analyzes were performed to determine the ' accuracy ' of the geoid models. The first analysis was to analyze the differences between the increments of the geometric geoid undulation with the increments of the geoid undulation of the different geoid models (gravimetric models, EGM2008 and GEOID12A) in function of the distance between the validation stations. Through this analysis, it was determined that the model with the modified Stokes kernel given by Wong and Gore had the best 'accuracy' in 91,1% for the analyzed baselines. In the second analysis, in which we considered the 990 baselines, we analyze the differences between the increments of the geometric geoid undulation with the increments of the geoid undulation of the different geoid models (gravimetric models, EGM2008 and GEOID12A) finding that the model with the highest 'accuracy' was also the model with modifying Stokes kernel given by Wong and Gore. In this analysis, the Wong and Gore gravimetric geoid model presented an 'accuracy' of 0,027 meters in comparison with the 'accuracy' of global geopotential model EGM2008, which gave us an 'accuracy' of 0,031 meters, while the 'accuracy ' of the GEOID12A regional model was 0,057 meters. Finally we can say that the methodology presented here is adequate as it was possible to obtain a gravimetric geoid model that has a greater 'accuracy' than the geopotential models available, even surpassing the accuracy of global geopotential model EGM2008.

Quantification of impacts in artistic gymnastics with accelerometry: an approximation

Intensity and volume of training in Artisti Gymnastics are increasing as the sooner athlete's age of incorporation creating some disturbance in them.