Modelo de plan estratégico para la gestión de inventarios para los repuestos John Deere de Ponce Yepes S.A.

En el presente trabajo se propone un modelo de plan estratégico, cuya aplicación se sugiere en la empresa Ponce Yepes S.A., con el objetivo de conseguir una eficiente y eficaz gestión de inventarios para la Línea de Repuestos John Deere. El estudio se ha dividido en tres capítulos, en los cuales se van estructurando progresivamente las diferentes etapas para el establecimiento del plan estratégico que se propone. El primer capítulo contiene un resumen teórico sobre la administración de inventarios, los conceptos, la clasificación y los modelos más difundidos. En el segundo capítulo se realiza el análisis de la situación actual de la empresa, enfocado a la Línea de Repuestos John Deere. Este capítulo incluye el análisis del entorno, el esquema de funcionamiento actual del sistema de inventarios, el análisis FODA, la determinación de los clientes internos y externos con sus correspondientes demandas, la elaboración y análisis de las matrices de evaluación de factores internos y externos, en forma individual y combinada; y, se presentan las listas de las estrategias a aplicarse. En el tercer capítulo se presenta la estructuración del plan estratégico, que está compuesto por la reformulación de la misión y visión, el establecimiento de objetivos globales para la gestión de repuestos John Deere, la formulación de las estrategias y políticas para alcanzar dichos objetivos y se concluye detallando el plan operativo, el cual incluye la matriz de aplicación del plan operativo, el cronograma de cumplimiento, el modelo de evaluación y seguimiento de dicho plan, y el flujo de caja del presupuesto de costos. Finalmente se presentan las conclusiones y recomendaciones resultantes del modelo de plan estratégico propuesto.

An objective climatology of the dynamical forcing of polar lows in the Nordic seas

A new objective climatology of polar lows in the Nordic (Norwegian and Barents) seas has been derived from a database of diagnostics of objectively identified cyclones spanning the period January 2000 to April 2004. There are two distinct parts to this study: the development of the objective climatology and a characterization of the dynamical forcing of the polar lows identified. Polar lows are an intense subset of polar mesocyclones. Polar mesocyclones are distinguished from other cyclones in the database as those that occur in cold air outbreaks over the open ocean. The difference between the wet-bulb potential temperature at 700 hPa and the sea surface temperature (SST) is found to be an effective discriminator between the atmospheric conditions associated with polar lows and other cyclones in the Nordic seas. A verification study shows that the objective identification method is reliable in the Nordic seas region. After demonstrating success at identifying polar lows using the above method, the dynamical forcing of the polar lows in the Nordic seas is characterized. Diagnostics of the ratio of mid-level vertical motion attributable to quasi-geostrophic forcing from upper and lower levels (U/L ratio) are used to determine the prevalence of a recently proposed category of extratropical cyclogenesis, type C, for which latent heat release is crucial to development. Thirty-one percent of the objectively identified polar low events (36 from 115) exceeded the U/L ratio of 4.0, previously identified as a threshold for type C cyclones. There is a contrast between polar lows to the north and south of the Nordic seas. In the southern Norwegian Sea, the population of polar low events is dominated by type C cyclones. These possess strong convection and weak low-level baroclinicity. Over the Barents and northern Norwegian seas, the well-known cyclogenesis types A and B dominate. These possess stronger low-level baroclinicity and weaker convection.

Dr John Snow and an early investigation of groundwater contamination

John Snow was a physician but his studies of the way in which cholera is spread have long attracted the interest of hydrogeologists. From his investigation into the epidemiology of the cholera outbreak around the well in Broad Street, London, in 1854, Snow gained valuable evidence that cholera is spread by contamination of drinking water. Subsequent research by others showed that the well was contaminated by sewage. The study therefore represents one of the first, if not the first, study of an incident of groundwater contamination in Britain. Although he had no formal geological training, it is clear that Snow had a much better understanding of groundwater than many modern medical practitioners. At the time of the outbreak Snow was continuing his practice as a physician and anaesthetist. His casebooks for 1854 do not even mention cholera. Yet, nearly 150 years later, he is as well known for his work on cholera as for his pioneering work on anaesthesia, and his discoveries are still the subject of controversy.