An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in Montserrat

This report provides an analysis and evaluation of the likely effects of climate change on the tourism sector in Montserrat. Clayton (2009) identifies three reasons why the Caribbean should be concerned about the potential effects of climate change on tourism: (a) the relatively high dependence on tourism as a source of foreign exchange and employment; (b) the intrinsic vulnerability of small islands and their infrastructure (e.g. hotels and resorts) to sea level rise and extreme climatic events (e.g. hurricanes and floods); and, (c) the high dependence of the regional tourist industry on carbon-based fuels (both to bring tourist to the region as well as to provide support services in the region). The effects of climate change are already being felt on the island. Between 1970 and 2009, there was a rise in the number of relatively hot days experienced on the island. Added to this, there was also a decline in mean precipitation over the period. Besides temperature, there is also the threat of wind speeds. Since the early 20th century, the number of hurricanes passing through the Caribbean has risen from about 5-6 per year to more than 25 in some years of the twenty-first century. In Montserrat, the estimated damage from four windstorms (including hurricanes) affecting the island was US$260 million or almost five times 2009 gross domestic product (GDP). Climate change is also likely to significantly affect coral reefs. Hoegh-Guldberg (2007) estimates that should current concentrations of carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere rise from 380ppm to 560ppm, decreases in coral calcification and growth by 40% are likely. The report attempted to quantify the likely effects of the changes in the climatic factors mentioned above. As it relates to temperature and other climatic variables, a tourism climatic index that captures the elements of climate that impact on a destination’s experience was constructed. The index was calculated using historical observations as well as those under two likely climate scenarios: A2 and B2. The results suggest that under both scenarios, the island’s key tourism climatic features will likely decline and therefore negatively impact on the destination experience of visitors. Including this tourism climatic index in a tourism demand model suggests that this would translate into losses of around 145% of GDP. As it relates to coral reefs, the value of the damage due to the loss of coral reefs was estimated at 7.6 times GDP, while the damage due to land loss for the tourism industry was 45% of GDP. The total cost of climate change for the tourism industry was therefore projected to be 9.6 times 2009 GDP over a 40-year horizon. Given the potential for significant damage to the industry, a large number of potential adaptation measures were considered. Out of these, a short-list of 9 potential options was selected using 10 evaluation criteria. These included: (a) Increasing recommended design wind speeds for new tourism-related structures; (b) Construction of water storage tanks; (c) Irrigation network that allows for the recycling of waste water; (d) Enhanced reef monitoring systems to provide early warning alerts of bleaching events; (e) Deployment of artificial reefs and fish-aggregating devices; (f) Developing national evacuation and rescue plans; (g) Introduction of alternative attractions; (h) Providing re-training for displaced tourism workers, and; (i) Revised policies related to financing national tourism offices to accommodate the new climatic realities Using cost-benefit analysis, three options were put forward as being financially viable and ready for immediate implementation: (a) Increase recommended design speeds for new tourism-related structures; (b) Enhance reef monitoring systems to provide early warning alerts of bleaching events, and; (c) Deploy artificial reefs or fish-aggregating devices. While these options had positive benefit cost ratios, other options were also recommended based on their non-tangible benefits: an irrigation network that allows for the recycling of waste water, development of national evacuation and rescue plans, providing retraining for displaced tourism workers and the revision of policies related to financing national tourism offices to accommodate the new climatic realities.

The economics of climate change in the Caribbean

The present volume captures the results of the studies conducted during Phase 2 of the RECCC project to date. Chapter 1 provides the contextual framework within which the assessments were conducted and Chapter 2 focuses on the emissions scenarios as set out by the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The results of the economic assessments of the impacts of climate change on the agricultural, coastal and marine, energy and transportation, health, freshwater resources and tourism sectors in the Caribbean subregion are presented in Chapters 3 to 9, respectively. The report concludes with an examination of adaptation strategies and key policy recommendations for policymakers, in Chapter 10.

Lâminas de água, inoculação de sementes com Azospirillum brasilense e doses de nitrogênio em arroz terras altas

Pós-graduação em Agronomia - FEIS

Resposta do feijoeiro ao preparo do solo, manejo de água e parcelamento da adubação nitrogenada

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Comportamento de cultivares de arroz de terras altas em função do preparo do solo e irrigação por aspersão, em latossolo vermelho de cerrado

Pós-graduação em Agronomia - FEIS

Carta Circular de la Red de Cooperación en la Gestión Integral de Recursos Hídricos para el Desarrollo Sustentable en América Latina y el Caribe N° 44

Editorial .-- Discusión abierta: Nexo Agua, Energía y Alimentación. Conflictos por el agua en la región. Eficiencia energética y regulación. Políticas e institucionalidad en agua potable. Impactos y vulnerabilidad al cambio climático de los ríos de Mendoza y San Juan .-- Reuniones: − Políticas de Agua en el Contexto de la Agenda de Desarrollo Post-2015. Consulta Regional sobre Seguridad Hídrica. Latinosan 2016. -- Noticias de la Red: Bolivia: Ley de la Década del Riego. Chile: Política Nacional de Recursos Hídricos. Costa Rica: Comité Nacional de Hidrología y Meteorología. Honduras: Comisión Presidencial de Coordinación del Sector Agua. Perú: Decreto que Regula el Régimen de Monitoreo y Gestión de Aguas Subterráneas. -- Cursos: Tópicos Técnicos en Materia de Evacuación y Disposición de Aguas Servidas Rurales.

Produção de mudas nativas sob diferentes manejos hídricos

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Manejo hídrico sobre o desenvolvimento e a qualidade de mudas florestais nativas em ambientes protegidos

Pós-graduação em Ciência Florestal - FCA

Modelo de gerenciamento integrado de resíduos sólidos urbanos: uma contribuição ao planejamento urbano

Pós-graduação em Geociências e Meio Ambiente - IGCE

Qualidade de mudas clonais do híbrido de eucalyptus grandis vs. Eucalyptus urophylla, submetidas a diferentes regimes hídricos

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Potenciais hídricos no solo sobre a eficácia de herbicidas em plantas daninhas monocotiledôneas

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Adubação orgânica e nitrogenada em videira cv. syrah no vale do submédio São Francisco

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Irrigação e Drenagem) - FCA

Manejo da irrigação por gotejamento, com diferentes níveis de salinidade da água, na cultura do melão

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Irrigação e Drenagem) - FCA

Alterações morfo-fisiológicas em plantas de pimentão sob deficiência hídrica

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Irrigação e Drenagem) - FCA

Estimativa da umidade de um solo de várzea sob duas condições de drenagem e subirrigação

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Irrigação e Drenagem) - FCA