870 resultados para Latent demand
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This paper empirically analyzes India’s money demand function during the period of 1980 to 2007 using monthly data and the period of 1976 to 2007 using annual data. Cointegration test results indicated that when money supply is represented by M1 and M2, a cointegrating vector is detected among real money balances, interest rates, and output. In contrast, it was found that when money supply is represented by M3, there is no long-run equilibrium relationship in the money demand function. Moreover, when the money demand function was estimated using dynamic OLS, the sign onditions of the coefficients of output and interest rates were found to be consistent with theoretical rationale, and statistical significance was confirmed when money supply was represented by either M1 or M2. Consequently, though India’s central bank presently uses M3 as an indicator of future price movements, it is thought appropriate to focus on M1 or M2, rather than M3, in managing monetary policy.
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This paper examines the degree to which supply and demand shift across skill groups contributed to the earnings inequality increase in urban China from 1988 to 2002. Product demand shift contributed to an equalizing of earnings distribution in urban China from 1988 to 1995 by increasing the relative product for the low educated. However, it contributed to enlarging inequality from 1995 to 2002 by increasing the relative demand for the highly educated. Relative demand was continuously higher for workers in the coastal region and contributed to a raising of interregional inequality. Supply shift contributed essentially nothing or contributed only slightly to a reduction in inequality. Remaining factors, the largest disequalizer, may contain skill-biased technological and institutional changes, and unobserved supply shift effects due to increasing numbers of migrant workers.
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This study presents a model of economic growth based on saturating demand, where the demand for a good has a certain maximum amount. In this model, the economy grows not only by the improvement in production efficiency in each sector, but also by the migration of production factors (labor in this model) from demand-saturated sectors to the non-saturated sector. It is assumed that the production of a brand-new good will begin after all the existing goods are demand-saturated. Hence, there are cycles where the production of a new good emerges followed by the demand saturation of that good. The model then predicts that should the growth rate be stable and positive in the long run, the above-mentioned cycle must become shorter over time. If the length of cycles is constant over time, the growth rate eventually approaches zero because the number of goods produced grows.
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International production fragmentation has been a global trend for decades, becoming especially important in Asia where the manufacturing process is fragmented into stages and dispersed around the region. This paper examines the effects of input and output tariff reductions on labor demand elasticities at the firm level. For this purpose, we consider a simple heterogenous firm model in which firms are allowed to export their products and to use imported intermediate inputs. The model predicts that only productive firms can use imported intermediate inputs (outsourcing) and tend to have larger constant-output labor demand elasticities. Input tariff reductions would lower the factor shares of labor for these productive firms and raise conditional labor demand elasticities further. We test these empirical predictions, constructing Chinese firm-level panel data over the 2000--2006 period. Controlling for potential tariff endogeneity by instruments, our empirical studies generally support these predictions.
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Microinsurance is widely considered an important tool for sustainable poverty reduction, especially in the face of increasing climate risk. Although index-based microinsurance, which should be free from the classical incentive problems, has attracted considerable attention, uptake rates have generally been weak in low-income rural communities. We explore the purchase patterns of index-based livestock insurance in southern Ethiopia, focusing in particular on the role of accurate product comprehension and price, including the prospective impact of temporary discount coupons on subsequent period demand due to price anchoring effects. We find that randomly distributed learning kits contribute to improving subjects' knowledge of the products; however, we do not find strong evidence that the improved knowledge per se induces greater uptake. We also find that reduced price due to randomly distributed discount coupons has an immediate, positive impact on uptake, without dampening subsequent period demand due to reference-dependence associated with price anchoring effects.
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This study adopts the perspective of demand spillovers to provide new insights regarding Chinese domestic-regions' production position in global value chains and their associated CO2 emissions. To this end, we constructed a new type of World Input-Output Database in which China's domestic interregional input-output table for 2007 is endogenously embedded. Then, the pattern of China's regional demand spillovers across both domestic regions and countries are revealed by employing this new database. These results were further connected to endowments theory, which help to make sense of the empirical results. It is found that China's regions locate relatively upstream in GVCs, and had CO2 emissions in net exports, which were entirely predicted by the environmental extended HOV model. Our study points to micro policy instruments to combat climate change, for example, the tax reform for energy inputs that helps to change the production pattern thus has impact on trade pattern and so forth.
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This paper presents the results of the analysis focused on scientific-technological KT in four Mexican firms and carried out by the case study approach. The analysis highlights the use of KT mechanisms as a means to obtain scientific-technological knowledge, learning, building S&T capabilities, and achieve the results of the R&D and innovation by firms.
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Predictions about electric energy needs, based on current electric energy models, forecast that the global energy consumption on Earth for 2050 will double present rates. Using distributed procedures for control and integration, the expected needs can be halved. Therefore implementation of Smart Grids is necessary. Interaction between final consumers and utilities is a key factor of future Smart Grids. This interaction is aimed to reach efficient and responsible energy consumption. Energy Residential Gateways (ERG) are new in-building devices that will govern the communication between user and utility and will control electric loads. Utilities will offer new services empowering residential customers to lower their electric bill. Some of these services are Smart Metering, Demand Response and Dynamic Pricing. This paper presents a practical development of an ERG for residential buildings.
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Ubiquitous sensor network deployments, such as the ones found in Smart cities and Ambient intelligence applications, require constantly increasing high computational demands in order to process data and offer services to users. The nature of these applications imply the usage of data centers. Research has paid much attention to the energy consumption of the sensor nodes in WSNs infrastructures. However, supercomputing facilities are the ones presenting a higher economic and environmental impact due to their very high power consumption. The latter problem, however, has been disregarded in the field of smart environment services. This paper proposes an energy-minimization workload assignment technique, based on heterogeneity and application-awareness, that redistributes low-demand computational tasks from high-performance facilities to idle nodes with low and medium resources in the WSN infrastructure. These non-optimal allocation policies reduce the energy consumed by the whole infrastructure and the total execution time.
Neural network controller for active demand side management with PV energy in the residential sector
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In this paper, we describe the development of a control system for Demand-Side Management in the residential sector with Distributed Generation. The electrical system under study incorporates local PV energy generation, an electricity storage system, connection to the grid and a home automation system. The distributed control system is composed of two modules: a scheduler and a coordinator, both implemented with neural networks. The control system enhances the local energy performance, scheduling the tasks demanded by the user and maximizing the use of local generation.
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During the last years cities around the world have invested important quantities of money in measures for reducing congestion and car-trips. Investments which are nothing but potential solutions for the well-known urban sprawl phenomenon, also called the “development trap” that leads to further congestion and a higher proportion of our time spent in slow moving cars. Over the path of this searching for solutions, the complex relationship between urban environment and travel behaviour has been studied in a number of cases. The main question on discussion is, how to encourage multi-stop tours? Thus, the objective of this paper is to verify whether unobserved factors influence tour complexity. For this purpose, we use a data-base from a survey conducted in 2006-2007 in Madrid, a suitable case study for analyzing urban sprawl due to new urban developments and substantial changes in mobility patterns in the last years. A total of 943 individuals were interviewed from 3 selected neighbourhoods (CBD, urban and suburban). We study the effect of unobserved factors on trip frequency. This paper present the estimation of an hybrid model where the latent variable is called propensity to travel and the discrete choice model is composed by 5 alternatives of tour type. The results show that characteristics of the neighbourhoods in Madrid are important to explain trip frequency. The influence of land use variables on trip generation is clear and in particular the presence of commercial retails. Through estimation of elasticities and forecasting we determine to what extent land-use policy measures modify travel demand. Comparing aggregate elasticities with percentage variations, it can be seen that percentage variations could lead to inconsistent results. The result shows that hybrid models better explain travel behavior than traditional discrete choice models.
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Applying foresight tools to determine future demand requirements on tourist destinations
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Esta Tesis plantea la pregunta de si el uso de morteros con parafinas microencapsuladas combinado con colectores solares térmicos puede reducir el consumo de energías convencionales, en un sistema tradicional de suelo radiante. Se pretende contribuir al conocimiento acerca del efecto que produce en el edificio, el calor latente acumulado en suelos radiantes, utilizando morteros de cemento Portland con material de cambio de fase (PCM), en conjunto con la energía solar. Para cumplir con este propósito, la investigación se desarrolla considerando diversos aspectos. En primer lugar, se revisa y analiza la documentación disponible en la actualidad, de almacenamiento de energía mediante calor latente en la construcción, y en particular la aplicación de microcápsulas de PCM en morteros y suelos radiantes. También se revisa la documentación relacionada con la aplicación de la energía solar térmica y en suelo radiante. Se analiza la normativa vigente respecto al material, a los colectores solares y al suelo radiante. Se verifica que no hay normativa relacionada con mortero-PCM, debido a esto se aplica en la investigación una adaptación de la existente. La fase experimental desarrollada esta principalmente dirigida a la cuantificación, caracterización y evaluación de las propiedades físicas, mecánicas y térmicas del mortero de cemento Portland con parafinas microencapsuladas. Los resultados obtenidos y su análisis, permiten conocer el comportamiento de este tipo de morteros, con las diferentes variables aplicadas en la investigación. Además, permite disponer de la información necesaria, para crear una metodología para el diseño de morteros con parafina microencapsulada, tanto del punto de vista de su resistencia a la compresión y contenido de PCM, como de su comportamiento térmico como acumulador de calor. Esto se logra procesando la información obtenida y generando modelos matemáticos, para dosificar mezclas, y predecir la acumulación de calor en función de su composición. Se determinan los tipos y cantidades de PCM, y el cemento más adecuado. Se obtienen importantes conclusiones respecto a los aspectos constructivos a considerar en la aplicación de morteros con PCM, en suelo radiante. Se analiza y evalúa la demanda térmica que se puede cubrir con el suelo radiante, utilizando morteros con parafina microencapsulada, a través de la acumulación de energía solar producida por colectores solares, para condiciones climáticas, técnicas y tipologías constructivas específicas. Se determina que cuando los paneles cubren más de 60 % de la demanda por calefacción, se puede almacenar en los morteros con PCM, el excedente generado durante el día. Se puede cubrir la demanda de acumulación de energía con los morteros con PCM, en la mayoría de los casos analizados. Con esto, se determina que el uso de morteros con PCM, aporta a la eficiencia energética de los edificios, disminuyendo el consumo de energías convencionales, reemplazándola por energía solar térmica. En esta investigación, el énfasis está en las propiedades del material mortero de cemento-PCM y en poder generar metodologías que faciliten su uso. Se aborda el uso de la energía solar, para verificar que es posible su acumulación en morteros con PCM aplicados en suelo radiante, posibilitando el reemplazo de energías convencionales. Quedan algunos aspectos de la aplicación de energía solar a suelo radiante con morteros con PCM, que no han sido tratados con la profundidad que requieren, y que resultan interesantes de evaluar en este tipo de aplicaciones constructivas, como entre otros, los relacionados con la cuantificación de los ahorros de energía en las diferentes estaciones del año, de la estabilización de temperaturas internas, su análisis de costo y la optimización de este tipo de sistemas para utilización en verano, los que dan pie para otras Tesis o proyectos de investigación. ABSTRACT This Thesis proposes the question of whether the use of mortars with microencapsulated paraffin combined with solar thermal collectors can reduce conventional energy consumption in a traditional heating floor system. It aims to contribute to knowledge about the effect that it has on the building, the latent heat accumulated in heating floor, using Portland cement mortars with phase change material (PCM), in conjunction with solar energy. To fulfill this purpose, the research develops it considering various aspects. First, it reviews and analyzes the documentation available today, about energy storage by latent heat in the building, and in particular the application of PCM microcapsules in mortars and heating floors. It also reviews the documentation related to the application of solar thermal energy and heating floor. Additionally, it analyzes the current regulations regarding to material, solar collectors and heating floors. It verifies that there aren’t regulations related to PCM mortar, due to this, it applies an adaptation in the investigation. The experimental phase is aimed to the quantification, mainly, characterization and evaluation of physical, mechanical and thermal properties of Portland cement mortar with microencapsulated paraffin. The results and analysis, which allow us to know the behavior of this type of mortars with different variables applied in research. It also allows having the information necessary to create a methodology for designing mortars with microencapsulated paraffin, both from the standpoint of its resistance to compression and PCM content, and its thermal performance as a heat accumulator. This accomplishes by processing the information obtained, and generating mathematical models for dosing mixtures, and predicting heat accumulation depending on their composition. The research determines the kinds and amounts of PCM, and the most suitable cement. Relevant conclusions obtain it regarding constructive aspects to consider in the implementation of PCM mortars in heating floor. Also, it analyzes and evaluates the thermal demand that it can be covered in heating floor using microencapsulated paraffin mortars, through the accumulation of solar energy produced by solar collectors to weather conditions, technical and specific building typologies. It determines that if the panels cover more than 60% of the demand for heating, the surplus generated during the day can be stored in PCM mortars. It meets the demand of energy storage with PCM mortars, in most of the cases analyzed. With this, it determines that the use of PCM mortars contributes to building energy efficiency, reducing consumption of conventional energy, replacing it with solar thermal energy. In this research approaches the use of solar energy to determine that it’s possible to verify its accumulation in PCM mortars applied in heating floor, enabling the replacement of conventional energy. The emphasis is on material properties of PCM mortar and, in order to generate methodologies to facilitate their use. There are some aspects of solar energy application in PCM mortars in heating floor, which have not been discussed with the depth required, and that they are relevant to evaluate in this kind of construction applications, including among others: the applications related to the energy savings quantification in different seasons of the year, the stabilizing internal temperatures, its cost analysis and optimization of these systems for use in summer, which can give ideas for other thesis or research projects.
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La demanda de contenidos de vídeo ha aumentado rápidamente en los últimos años como resultado del gran despliegue de la TV sobre IP (IPTV) y la variedad de servicios ofrecidos por los operadores de red. Uno de los servicios que se ha vuelto especialmente atractivo para los clientes es el vídeo bajo demanda (VoD) en tiempo real, ya que ofrece una transmisión (streaming) inmediata de gran variedad de contenidos de vídeo. El precio que los operadores tienen que pagar por este servicio es el aumento del tráfico en las redes, que están cada vez más congestionadas debido a la mayor demanda de contenidos de VoD y al aumento de la calidad de los propios contenidos de vídeo. Así, uno de los principales objetivos de esta tesis es encontrar soluciones que reduzcan el tráfico en el núcleo de la red, manteniendo la calidad del servicio en el nivel adecuado y reduciendo el coste del tráfico. La tesis propone un sistema jerárquico de servidores de streaming en el que se ejecuta un algoritmo para la ubicación óptima de los contenidos de acuerdo con el comportamiento de los usuarios y el estado de la red. Debido a que cualquier algoritmo óptimo de distribución de contenidos alcanza un límite en el que no se puede llegar a nuevas mejoras, la inclusión de los propios clientes del servicio (los peers) en el proceso de streaming puede reducir aún más el tráfico de red. Este proceso se logra aprovechando el control que el operador tiene en las redes de gestión privada sobre los equipos receptores (Set-Top Box) ubicados en las instalaciones de los clientes. El operador se reserva cierta capacidad de almacenamiento y streaming de los peers para almacenar los contenidos de vídeo y para transmitirlos a otros clientes con el fin de aliviar a los servidores de streaming. Debido a la incapacidad de los peers para sustituir completamente a los servidores de streaming, la tesis propone un sistema de streaming asistido por peers. Algunas de las cuestiones importantes que se abordan en la tesis son saber cómo los parámetros del sistema y las distintas distribuciones de los contenidos de vídeo en los peers afectan al rendimiento general del sistema. Para dar respuesta a estas preguntas, la tesis propone un modelo estocástico preciso y flexible que tiene en cuenta parámetros como las capacidades de enlace de subida y de almacenamiento de los peers, el número de peers, el tamaño de la biblioteca de contenidos de vídeo, el tamaño de los contenidos y el esquema de distribución de contenidos para estimar los beneficios del streaming asistido por los peers. El trabajo también propone una versión extendida del modelo matemático mediante la inclusión de la probabilidad de fallo de los peers y su tiempo de recuperación en el conjunto de parámetros del modelo. Estos modelos se utilizan como una herramienta para la realización de exhaustivos análisis del sistema de streaming de VoD asistido por los peers para la amplia gama de parámetros definidos en los modelos. Abstract The demand of video contents has rapidly increased in the past years as a result of the wide deployment of IPTV and the variety of services offered by the network operators. One of the services that has especially become attractive to the customers is real-time Video on Demand (VoD) because it offers an immediate streaming of a large variety of video contents. The price that the operators have to pay for this convenience is the increased traffic in the networks, which are becoming more congested due to the higher demand for VoD contents and the increased quality of the videos. Therefore, one of the main objectives of this thesis is finding solutions that would reduce the traffic in the core of the network, keeping the quality of service on satisfactory level and reducing the traffic cost. The thesis proposes a system of hierarchical structure of streaming servers that runs an algorithm for optimal placement of the contents according to the users’ behavior and the state of the network. Since any algorithm for optimal content distribution reaches a limit upon which no further improvements can be made, including service customers themselves (the peers) in the streaming process can further reduce the network traffic. This process is achieved by taking advantage of the control that the operator has in the privately managed networks over the Set-Top Boxes placed at the clients’ premises. The operator reserves certain storage and streaming capacity on the peers to store the video contents and to stream them to the other clients in order to alleviate the streaming servers. Because of the inability of the peers to completely substitute the streaming servers, the thesis proposes a system for peer-assisted streaming. Some of the important questions addressed in the thesis are how the system parameters and the various distributions of the video contents on the peers would impact the overall system performance. In order to give answers to these questions, the thesis proposes a precise and flexible stochastic model that takes into consideration parameters like uplink and storage capacity of the peers, number of peers, size of the video content library, size of contents and content distribution scheme to estimate the benefits of the peer-assisted streaming. The work also proposes an extended version of the mathematical model by including the failure probability of the peers and their recovery time in the set of parameters. These models are used as tools for conducting thorough analyses of the peer-assisted system for VoD streaming for the wide range of defined parameters.