954 resultados para Electric load forecasting


Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Russia approved ambitious reform plan for the electricity sector in 2001 including privatisation of the country’s huge thermal generation assets. So far the sector had suffered from power shortages, aging infrastructure, substantial electricity losses, and weak productivity and profitability numbers. There was obvious need for foreign investments and technologies. The reform was rather successful; the generation assets were privatised in auctions in 2007-2008 and three European energy companies, E.On, Enel and Fortum, invested in and obtained together over 10% of the Russian production assets. The novelty of these foreign investments serves unique object for the study. The political risk is involved in the FDI due to the industry’s social and economic importance. The research’s objective was to identify and analyse the political risk that foreign investors face in the Russian electricity sector. The research had qualitative study method and the empirical data was collected by interviewing. The research’s theoretical framework was based on the existing political risk theories and it focused to understand the Russian government in relation to the country’s stability and define both macro-level and micro-level sources of political risk for the foreign direct investments in the sector. The research concludes that the centralised and obscure political decision-making, economic constriction, high level of governmental control in economy and corruption form the country’s internal macro-level risk sources for the foreign investors in the sector. Additionally the retribution due to the companies’ home country actions, possible violent confrontations at the Russian borders and the currency instability are externally originated risk sources. In the electricity industry there is risk of tightened governmental control and increased regulation and taxation. Similarly the company-level risk sources link to the unreformed heating sector, bargaining with the authorities, diplomatic stress between host and home countries and to companies and government’s divergent perspective for the profit-making. The research stresses the foreign companies’ ability to cope with the characteristics of Russian political environment. In addition to frequent political and market risk assessment, the companies need to focus on currency protection against rouble’s rate fluctuation and actively build good company-citizenship in the country. Good relationship is needed with the Russian political authorities. The political risk identification and the research’s conclusive framework also enable political risk study assessments for other industries in Russia

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Tässä diplomityössä tarkasteltiin Nissan Leaf -sähköauton käytetyn litiumakun soveltuvuutta UPS-varavirtalaitteen energialähteeksi. Kun akku on heikentynyt niin ettei sen kapasiteetti enää ole riittävä autokäyttöön, sitä voidaan kuitenkin vielä hyödyntää muissa sovelluksissa, kuten UPS-laitteessa. Työ sai alkunsa osana GreenDataNet-projektia, jossa pyritään kehittämään datakeskuksiin ympäristöä vähemmän kuormittavia ratkaisuja käyttämällä uusiutuvia energialähteitä, akkujen uusiokäytöllä, sekä energianhallinnan optimoinnilla. Työssä käytiin läpi akun ja sen ohjausjärjestelmän ominaisuuksia, kerrottiin UPS:in ohjelmistoon tehdyistä muutoksista sekä esitettiin testitulokset. Lopputuloksena todettiin akun sopivan muuten hyvin UPS-käyttöön, mutta vaadittu päivittäinen kennojännitteiden tasaus ja sen aiheuttama katkos energian saatavuuteen heikentää UPSin käyttövarmuutta kuorman suojauksessa. Lopussa esitettiin muutamia ehdotuksia tämän ongelman korjaamiseksi.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Tässä kandidaatintyössä tutkittiin sähkön kysyntäjouston kannattavuutta teollisuuskiinteis-tössä. Tutkimus suoritettiin tutkimalla vuosien 2014 ja 2015 sähkön käyttöraportteja sekä toteutuneita Elspot hintoja. Lisäksi suoritettiin mittauksia ilmalämpöpumpuista, joiden pe-rusteella selvitettiin ilmalämpöpumppujen soveltuvuutta kysyntäjoustoon. Työssä käydään läpi kysyntäjouston vaikutuksia sekä eri kuormanohjaus mahdollisuuksia asiakkaan näkökulmasta. Lisäksi tuodaan esille Elspot hinnan muodostuminen sekä Elspot hintaan vaikuttavat tekijät. Työssä vertaillaan esimerkkikiinteistön sähkönkulutuksen suh-detta toteutuneisiin Elspot hintoihin. Lisäksi tutkitaan lämmityskuormien ohjauspotentiaalia kysyntäjouston näkökulmasta. Potentiaalin kartoittamiseksi suoritettiin mittauksia sekä teh-tiin esimerkkilaskelmia kysyntäjouston kannattavuudesta. Tutkimusten perusteella voidaan huomata, että vuositasolla saavutetut säästöt jäävät pienik-si. Huomioiden riskit Elspot hinnan vaihteluissa voidaan todetta, ettei siirtyminen tuntihin-noiteltuun sähköenergiaan ole kannattavaa esimerkkikiinteistössä. Lämmityskuormien oh-jauksesta tuntitiedon mukaan saatavien lisäsäästöjen jäädessä vähäisiksi kiinteistöön ei ole järkevää investoida erillisiä järjestelmiä kuormien ohjaukseen.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Female crickets respond selectively to variations in species-specific male calling songs. This selectivity has been shown to be age-dependent; older females are less choosy. However, female quality should also affect female selectivity. The effect of female quality on mate choice was examined in Gryllus integer by comparing the phonotactic responses of females on different diets and with different parasite loads to various synthetic models of conspecific calling song. Test females were virgin, 11-14 days old, and had been maintained on one of five diets varying in protein and fat content. Phonotaxis was quantified using a non-compensating Kugel treadmill which generates vector scores incorporating the speed and direction of movement of each female. Test females were presented with four calling song models which differed in pulse rate, but were still within the natural range of the species for the experimental temperature. After testing, females were dissected and the number of gregarine parasites within the digestive tract counted. There were no significant effects of either diet or parasitism on female motivation to mate although the combined effects of these variables seem to have an effect with no apparent trend. Control females did not discriminate among song types, but there was a trend of female preferences for lower pulse rates which are closest to the mean pulse rate for the species. Heavily parasitized females did not discriminate among pulse rates altho~gh there was a similar trend of high vector scores for low pulse rates. Diet, however, affected selectivity with poorly-fed females showing significantly high vector scores for pulse rates near the species mean. Such findings raise interesting questions about energy allocation and costs and risks of phonotaxis and mate choice in acoustic Orthoptera. These results are discussed in terms of sexual selection and female mate choice.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Traditional psychometric theory and practice classify people according to broad ability dimensions but do not examine how these mental processes occur. Hunt and Lansman (1975) proposed a 'distributed memory' model of cognitive processes with emphasis on how to describe individual differences based on the assumption that each individual possesses the same components. It is in the quality of these components ~hat individual differences arise. Carroll (1974) expands Hunt's model to include a production system (after Newell and Simon, 1973) and a response system. He developed a framework of factor analytic (FA) factors for : the purpose of describing how individual differences may arise from them. This scheme is to be used in the analysis of psychometric tes ts . Recent advances in the field of information processing are examined and include. 1) Hunt's development of differences between subjects designated as high or low verbal , 2) Miller's pursuit of the magic number seven, plus or minus two, 3) Ferguson's examination of transfer and abilities and, 4) Brown's discoveries concerning strategy teaching and retardates . In order to examine possible sources of individual differences arising from cognitive tasks, traditional psychometric tests were searched for a suitable perceptual task which could be varied slightly and administered to gauge learning effects produced by controlling independent variables. It also had to be suitable for analysis using Carroll's f ramework . The Coding Task (a symbol substitution test) found i n the Performance Scale of the WISe was chosen. Two experiments were devised to test the following hypotheses. 1) High verbals should be able to complete significantly more items on the Symbol Substitution Task than low verbals (Hunt, Lansman, 1975). 2) Having previous practice on a task, where strategies involved in the task may be identified, increases the amount of output on a similar task (Carroll, 1974). J) There should be a sUbstantial decrease in the amount of output as the load on STM is increased (Miller, 1956) . 4) Repeated measures should produce an increase in output over trials and where individual differences in previously acquired abilities are involved, these should differentiate individuals over trials (Ferguson, 1956). S) Teaching slow learners a rehearsal strategy would improve their learning such that their learning would resemble that of normals on the ,:same task. (Brown, 1974). In the first experiment 60 subjects were d.ivided·into high and low verbal, further divided randomly into a practice group and nonpractice group. Five subjects in each group were assigned randomly to work on a five, seven and nine digit code throughout the experiment. The practice group was given three trials of two minutes each on the practice code (designed to eliminate transfer effects due to symbol similarity) and then three trials of two minutes each on the actual SST task . The nonpractice group was given three trials of two minutes each on the same actual SST task . Results were analyzed using a four-way analysis of variance . In the second experiment 18 slow learners were divided randomly into two groups. one group receiving a planned strategy practioe, the other receiving random practice. Both groups worked on the actual code to be used later in the actual task. Within each group subjects were randomly assigned to work on a five, seven or nine digit code throughout. Both practice and actual tests consisted on three trials of two minutes each. Results were analyzed using a three-way analysis of variance . It was found in t he first experiment that 1) high or low verbal ability by itself did not produce significantly different results. However, when in interaction with the other independent variables, a difference in performance was noted . 2) The previous practice variable was significant over all segments of the experiment. Those who received previo.us practice were able to score significantly higher than those without it. J) Increasing the size of the load on STM severely restricts performance. 4) The effect of repeated trials proved to be beneficial. Generally, gains were made on each successive trial within each group. S) In the second experiment, slow learners who were allowed to practice randomly performed better on the actual task than subjeots who were taught the code by means of a planned strategy. Upon analysis using the Carroll scheme, individual differences were noted in the ability to develop strategies of storing, searching and retrieving items from STM, and in adopting necessary rehearsals for retention in STM. While these strategies may benef it some it was found that for others they may be harmful . Temporal aspects and perceptual speed were also found to be sources of variance within individuals . Generally it was found that the largest single factor i nfluencing learning on this task was the repeated measures . What e~ables gains to be made, varies with individuals . There are environmental factors, specific abilities, strategy development, previous learning, amount of load on STM , perceptual and temporal parameters which influence learning and these have serious implications for educational programs .

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Cognitive control involves the ability to flexibly adjust cognitive processing in order to resist interference and promote goal-directed behaviour. Although frontal cortex is considered to be broadly involved in cognitive control, the mechanisms by which frontal brain areas implement control functions are unclear. Furthermore, aging is associated with reductions in the ability to implement control functions and questions remain as to whether unique cortical responses serve a compensatory role in maintaining maximal performance in later years. Described here are three studies in which electrophysiological data were recorded while participants performed modified versions of the standard Sternberg task. The goal was to determine how top-down control is implemented in younger adults and altered in aging. In study I, the effects of frequent stimulus repetition on the interference-related N450 were investigated in a Sternberg task with a small stimulus set (requiring extensive stimulus resampling) and a task with a large stimulus set (requiring no stimulus resampling).The data indicated that constant stimulus res amp ling required by employing small stimulus sets can undercut the effect of proactive interference on the N450. In study 2, younger and older adults were tested in a standard version of the Sternberg task to determine whether the unique frontal positivity, previously shown to predict memory impairment in older adults during a proactive interference task, would be associated with the improved performance when memory recognition could be aided by unambiguous stimulus familiarity. Here, results indicated that the frontal positivity was associated with poorer memory performance, replicating the effect observed in a more cognitively demanding task, and showing that stimulus familiarity does not mediate compensatory cortical activations in older adults. Although the frontal positivity could be interpreted to reflect maladaptive cortical activation, it may also reflect attempts at compensation that fail to fully ameliorate agerelated decline. Furthermore, the frontal positivity may be the result of older adults' reliance on late occurring, controlled processing in contrast to younger adults' ability to identify stimuli at very early stages of processing. In the final study, working memory load was manipulated in the proactive interference Sternberg task in order to investigate whether the N450 reflects simple interference detection, with little need for cognitive resources, or an active conflict resolution mechanism that requires executive resources to implement. Independent component analysis was used to isolate the effect of interference revealing that the canonical N450 was based on two dissociable cognitive control mechanisms: a left frontal negativity that reflects active interference resolution, , but requires executive resources to implement, and a right frontal negativity that reflects global response inhibition that can be relied on when executive resources are minimal but at the cost of a slowed response. Collectively, these studies advance understanding of the factors that influence younger and older adults' ability to satisfy goal-directed behavioural requirements in the face of interference and the effects of age-related cognitive decline.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Walter D’Arcy Ryan was born in 1870 in Kentville, Nova Scotia. He became the chief of the department of illumination at the General Electric Company of Schenectady, New York. He was a founder in the field of electrical illumination. He built the electric steam scintillator which had numerous nozzles and valves. The operator would release steam through the valves. The nozzles all had names which included: Niagara, fan, snake, plume, column, pinwheel and sunburst. The steam scintillator was combined with projectors, prismatic reflectors, flashers and filters to produce the desired effects. In 1920 a group of businessmen from Niagara Falls, New York formed a group who called themselves the “generators’. They lobbied the American and Canadian governments to improve the illumination of the Falls. They were able to raise $58, 000 for the purchase and installation of 24 arc lights to illuminate the Falls. On February 24th, 1925 the Niagara Falls Illumination Board was formed. Initially, the board had a budget of $28,000 for management, operation and maintenance of the lights. The power was supplied free by the Ontario Power Company. They had 24 lights installed in a row on the Ontario Power Company surge tank which was next to the Refectory in Victoria Park on the Canadian side. The official opening ceremony took place on June 8th, 1925 and included a light parade in Niagara Falls, New York and an international ceremony held in the middle of the Upper Steel Arch Bridge. Walter D’Arcy Ryan was the illuminating engineer and A.D. Dickerson who was his New York field assistant directed the scintillator. with information from American Technological Sublime by David E. Nye and the Niagara Falls info website Location: Brock University Archives Source Information: Subject Headings: Added Entries: 100 Ryan, W. D’A. |q (Walter D’Arcy), |d 1870-1934 610 General Electric Company 650 Lighting, Architectural and decorative 650 Lighting |z New York (State) |z Niagara Falls 700 Dickerson, A.F. 700 Schaffer, J.W. Related material held at other repositories: The Niagara Falls Museum in Niagara Falls, Ontario has a program (pamphlet) dedicating new lighting in 1958 and it has postcards depicting the illumination of the Falls. Some of Ryan’s accomplishments can be seen at The Virtual Museum of the City of San Francisco. Described by: Anne Adams Date: Sept 26,Upper Steel Arch Bridge. Walter D’Arcy Ryan was the illuminating engineer and A.D. Dickerson who was his New York field assistant directed the scintillator. with information from American Technological Sublime by David E. Nye and the Niagara Falls info website

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Sir Adam Beck ( a London, Ontario manufacturer, Mayor and Conservative member of the provincial legislature) was a champion of municipal and provincial power ownership. Beck become the “Power Minister” and chairman of the Hydro-Electric Power Commission of Ontario which was the world’s first publicly owned utility. In 1925 the first unit of the Hydro Electric Power Commission’s Queenston Chippawa hydro-electric development on the Niagara River went into service. The station was renamed in 1950 as “Sir Adam Beck #1”. This marked the 25th anniversary of Beck’s death. This is one of 2 generating stations in Niagara Falls. There is also Adam Beck Plant #2. The Niagara generating stations supply one quarter of all power used in New York State and Ontario.Ontario Hydro has two water tunnels which traverse the entire City of Niagara Falls from the Village of Chippawa in the South to the Sir Adam Beck Hydro Electric Generating Stations in the North. Also they are in the process of building the third tunnel. In addition, Ontario Hydro has a 13.6 km open canal which traverses the entire City of Niagara Falls. Source: http://www.hydroone.com/OurCompany/Pages/OurHistory.aspx

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

A letter from 2nd Vice President and General Manager of Canadian General Electric Company, Frederic Nicholls to W. B. Rankine regarding a bid for contract. The letter mentions that the bid for two alternating generators for the Canadian side of Niagara Falls was won by Westinghouse Eletric and Manufacturing Co. Nicholls also mentions that there will be other opportunites to win contracts as more machines are required. Nicholls also implies that Westinghouse may have bid under cost in an effort to secure the first of many contracts with the Canadian Niagara Power Company.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Fourth Annual Report of The Electrical Development Company of Ontario Limited for for the year 1906. The report discusses the main line between Niagara Falls and Toronto and the line between the Township of Pelham and the city of Brantford. The report also details the purchase of stocks and bonds in several different companies.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

The Public Ownership League of America Conference, September 10th to 13th, 1923, at Toronto, Ontario.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

For the past 20 years, researchers have applied the Kalman filter to the modeling and forecasting the term structure of interest rates. Despite its impressive performance in in-sample fitting yield curves, little research has focused on the out-of-sample forecast of yield curves using the Kalman filter. The goal of this thesis is to develop a unified dynamic model based on Diebold and Li (2006) and Nelson and Siegel’s (1987) three-factor model, and estimate this dynamic model using the Kalman filter. We compare both in-sample and out-of-sample performance of our dynamic methods with various other models in the literature. We find that our dynamic model dominates existing models in medium- and long-horizon yield curve predictions. However, the dynamic model should be used with caution when forecasting short maturity yields

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Le But de Ce Rapport Est de Presenter L'approche Utilisee Par les Auteurs Pour Effectuer des Previsions a Long Terme du Trafic de Conteneurs Outre-Mer, Pour le Port de Montreal. Cette Approche Suppose D'abord L'estimation du Trafic de Conteneurs Par Categories de Marchandise, Par Origine et Destination, au Cours des Annees Recentes. Ensuite, Nous Avons Obtenu des Previsions du Trafic de Conteneurs Pour 1995, En Nous Basant Sur des Anticipations Relatives aux Tendances Generales du Commerce Exterieur Canadien et a la Composition de Ces Echanges, Par Groupes de Marchandises. Nous Avons Egalement du Effectuer des Projections Sur L'evolution Probable des Taux de Conteneurisation, En Tenant Compte des Diverses Marchandises et Egalement des Partenaires Commerciaux Impliques. Nous Avons Aussi Considere L'evolution Possible des Frontieres de la Zone D'influence (\"Hinterland\") du Port de Montreal. L'importance du Trafic Genere Par le Midwest des Etats Unis a Augmente Considerablement au Cours de la Derniere Decennie, a Cause D'un Certain Nombre de Facteurs Institutionnels. Nos Previsions du Trafic de Conteneurs, Pour le Port de Montreal, Dependent Donc,En Grande Partie, de L'eventualite Que le Midwest des Etats Unis Demeure Dans la Zone D'influence du Port de Montreal. Finalement, Nous Presentons Deux Scenarios de Previsions. le Premier de Ces Scenarios Suppose Que la Position Concurrentielle Actuelle du Port de Montreal Demeure Virtuellement Inchangee. le Second Scenario Suppose la Disparition D'une Importante Entreprise de Transport de Conteneurs, Situee a Montreal.