Data Mining Approach to support the Generation of Realistic Scenarios for Multi-Agent simulation of Electricity Markets

This paper presents the Realistic Scenarios Generator (RealScen), a tool that processes data from real electricity markets to generate realistic scenarios that enable the modeling of electricity market players’ characteristics and strategic behavior. The proposed tool provides significant advantages to the decision making process in an electricity market environment, especially when coupled with a multi-agent electricity markets simulator. The generation of realistic scenarios is performed using mechanisms for intelligent data analysis, which are based on artificial intelligence and data mining algorithms. These techniques allow the study of realistic scenarios, adapted to the existing markets, and improve the representation of market entities as software agents, enabling a detailed modeling of their profiles and strategies. This work contributes significantly to the understanding of the interactions between the entities acting in electricity markets by increasing the capability and realism of market simulations.

Text mining e twitter : o poder das redes sociais num mercado competitivo

Actualmente, com a massificação da utilização das redes sociais, as empresas passam a sua mensagem nos seus canais de comunicação, mas os consumidores dão a sua opinião sobre ela. Argumentam, opinam, criticam (Nardi, Schiano, Gumbrecht, & Swartz, 2004). Positiva ou negativamente. Neste contexto o Text Mining surge como uma abordagem interessante para a resposta à necessidade de obter conhecimento a partir dos dados existentes. Neste trabalho utilizámos um algoritmo de Clustering hierárquico com o objectivo de descobrir temas distintos num conjunto de tweets obtidos ao longo de um determinado período de tempo para as empresas Burger King e McDonald’s. Com o intuito de compreender o sentimento associado a estes temas foi feita uma análise de sentimentos a cada tema encontrado, utilizando um algoritmo Bag-of-Words. Concluiu-se que o algoritmo de Clustering foi capaz de encontrar temas através do tweets obtidos, essencialmente ligados a produtos e serviços comercializados pelas empresas. O algoritmo de Sentiment Analysis atribuiu um sentimento a esses temas, permitindo compreender de entre os produtos/serviços identificados quais os que obtiveram uma polaridade positiva ou negativa, e deste modo sinalizar potencias situações problemáticas na estratégia das empresas, e situações positivas passíveis de identificação de decisões operacionais bem-sucedidas.

Saúde em Portugal : estudo das urgências hospitalares através do Data Mining

Qualquer assunto relacionado com a saúde é sempre um tema sensível, pela importância que tem junto da população, já que interage diretamente com o bem-estar das pessoas e, essencialmente, com a sensação de segurança que as estas pretendem ter na prestação dos cuidados básicos de saúde. Dados estatísticos mostram que a população está cada vez mais envelhecida, reforçando a importância da existência de bons centros hospitalares e de um bom Sistema Nacional de Saúde (SNS) (Plano Nacional de Saúde, 2010). Em Portugal, caso os pacientes necessitem de cuidados mais urgentes, podem recorrer ao Serviço de Urgências disponibilizado para toda a população através do SNS. No entanto, a gestão e planeamento deste serviço é complexa, dado este serviço ser frequentemente utilizado por pacientes que não necessitam de cuidados urgentes, levando a que os hospitais deixem de conseguir dar a resposta esperada, implicando a prestação por vezes um serviço de menor qualidade. Neste sentido, analisaram-se dados de um hospital do norte do país com o intuito de perceber o ponto de situação das urgências, de forma a encontrar padrões relevantes através da análise de clusters e de regras de associação. Começando pela análise de clusters, utilizaram-se apenas as variáveis que foram consideradas importantes para o problema, resultando da análise final 3 clusters. O primeiro cluster é constituído por elementos do sexo masculino de todas as idades, o segundo cluster por elementos do sexo masculino mais jovens e por elementos do sexo feminino até aos 60 anos e o terceiro cluster apenas por elementos do sexo feminino a partir dos 40 anos. No final verificaram-se muitas semelhanças entre os clusters 1 e 3, pois ambos continham os pacientes mais idosos, havendo um padrão comum no seu comportamento. No ano 2012 não houve registo de nenhuma epidemia, não havendo por isso nenhuma doença que se destacasse comparativamente às restantes. Concluiu-se também que na maior parte dos casos houve a necessidade de uma intervenção urgente (pulseira de cor Amarela), no entanto a maioria dos pacientes observados conseguiu regressar às suas habitações após as consultas nas Urgências Hospitalares, sem intervenções médicas adicionais. Relativamente às regras de associação, houve a necessidade de transformar e eliminar algumas variáveis que enviesassem o estudo. Após o processo da criação das regras de associação, percebeu-se que as regras eram muito similares entre si, apresentando uma maior confiança nas variáveis que apareceram em maior número (“Pacientes com pulseira de cor Amarela”, “distrito do Porto” ou “Alta Médica para a Residência”).

Syntrophic relationships between algae and bacteria in a fresh-water stream and in culture /

Interactions between freshwater algae and bacteria were examined in a natural stream habitat and a laboratory model. Field observations provided circumstantial evidence, in statistical correlation for syntrophy between the microbial populations. This relation is probably subject to control by the temperature and pH of the aquatic environment. Several species of a pond community were isolated in axenic culture and tests were performed to determine the nature of mixed species interactions. Isolation procedures and field studies indicated that selected strains of Chlorella and Azotobacter were closely associated in their natural habitat. With the suspected controlling parameters, pH and temperature, held constant, mixed cultures of algae and bacteria were compared to axenic cultures of the same organisms, and a mutual stimulation of growth was observed. A mixed pure culture apparatus was designed in this laboratory to study the algal-bacterial interaction and to test the hypothesis that such an interaction may take place through a diffusable substance or through certain medium-borne conditions, Azotobacter was found to take up a Chlorella-produced exudate, to stimulate protein synthesis, to enhance chlorophyll production and to cause a numerical increase in the interacting Chlorella population. It is not clear whether control is at the environmental, cellular or genetic level in these mixed population interactions. Experimental observations in the model system, taken with field correlations allow one to state that there may be a direct relationship governing the population fluctuations of these two organisms in their natural stream surroundings.

A tour from the City of New-York, to Detroit, in the Michigan Territory, made between the 2d of May and the 22d of September, 1818 : the tour extends from New-York, by Albany, Schenectady, and Utica to Sacket's Harbor, and thence throught Lake Ontario, to St. Lawrence river, and down that stream to Hamilton village. Thence along both banks of the St. Lawrence, from Hamilton to the Thousand Islands; thence to Sacket's Harbor by water; from that place by the route of great Sodus, Geneva, Cananaigua and Batavia, to Buffalo; and from thence to Black Rock, Fort Erie, the Falls of Niagara, Queenston, Lewiston, and the memorable fields of Bridgewater and Chippewa after viewing the interesting place of Niagara, the author traversed the south shore of Lake Erie to the City of Detroit, and visited in the latter range, Dunkirk, Erie, Cleveland, Sandusky, and other places of less note. The tour is accompanied with a map upon which the route will be designated; a particular map of the Falls andRiver of Niagara, and the environs of the City of Detroit /

Errata slip inserted.

Investigating the potential of thecamoebians (testate amoebae) as bio-indicators of impact of oil sands mining operations on freshwater environments in Northeastern Alberta, Canada

Thecamoebian (testate amoeba) species diversity and assemblages in reclamation wetlands and lakes in northeastern Alberta respond to chemical and physical parameters associated with oil sands extraction. Ecosystems more impacted by OSPM (oil sands process-affected material) contain sparse, low-diversity populations dominated by centropyxid taxa and Arcella vulgaris. More abundant and diverse thecamoebian populations rich in difflugiid species characterize environments with lower OSPM concentrations. These shelled protists respond quickly to environmental change, allowing year-to-year variations in OSPM impact to be recorded. Their fossil record thus provides corporations with interests in the Athabasca Oil Sands with a potential means of measuring the progression of highlyimpacted aquatic environments to more natural wetlands. Development of this metric required investigation of controls on their fossil assemblage (e.g. seasonal variability, fossilization potential) and their biogeographic distribution, not only in the constructed lakes and wetlands on the oil sands leases, but also in natural environments across Alberta.

Flow regime prediction via froude number calculation in a rock-bedded stream

Mathematical predictions of flow conditions along a steep gradient rock bedded stream are examined. Stream gage discharge data and Manning's Equation are used to calculate alternative velocities, and subsequently Froude Numbers, assuming varying values of velocity coefficient, full depth or depth adjusted for vertical flow separation. Comparison of the results with photos show that Froude Numbers calculated from velocities derived from Manning's Equation, assuming a velocity coefficient of 1.30 and full depth, most accurately predict flow conditions, when supercritical flow is defined as Froude Number values above 0.84. Calculated Froude Number values between 0.8 and 1.1 correlate well with observed transitional flow, defined as the first appearance of small diagonal waves. Transitions from subcritical through transitional to clearly supercritical flow are predictable. Froude Number contour maps reveal a sinuous rise and fall of values reminiscent of pool riffle energy distribution.

Glacial stratigraphy and micromorphology of the Pine Point Pb-­‐Zn mining district, Northwest Territories

This investigation aims to gain a better understanding of the glacial history of the Pine Point Mining district, Northwest Territories, by examining the sedimentological properties of the glacial sediments including, geochemical analysis, heavy mineral concentrate analysis, clast macro-­‐fabrics, pebble lithologies, and micromorphological investigation. Four till units were identified, and three were associated with identified erosional bedrock features and streamlined landforms in the area, indicating a minimum of three ice flow directions. Sedimentological properties suggest that these units were all Type-­B tectomict/mélange till, emplaced as part of a soft subglacial deformable bed. The lack of ice-­‐marginal advance and retreat sequences within the studied till, suggests the Middle Wisconsinan Laurentide Ice margin was likely north and west of the Pine Point area, as opposed to along the margin of the Canadian Shield and Western Sedimentary Basin where it has been suggested to have existed.

Union Pacific Railway from Kansas City , Omaha, St. Joseph to Denver, San Francisco, Portland, Helena, Butte, Boise, Leadville, Durango, Deadwood and all cities and mining camps in the west schedule

Union Pacific Railway from Kansas City , Omaha, St. Joseph to Denver, San Francisco, Portland, Helena, Butte, Boise, Leadville, Durango, Deadwood and all cities and mining camps in the west schedule, Jan. 15, 1882.

Travels in México, during the years 1843 and 44 ; including a description of California, the principal cities and mining districts of that republic the Oregón territory, etc.

UANL

McNeill's code : Arranged to meet the requirements of mi ning, metallurgical and civil engineers ; directors of mining, smetling and other companies...

UANL

Constituting "Community" at the onset of the Pascua Lama Mining Project

Mémoire numérisé par la Division de la gestion de documents et des archives de l'Université de Montréal.

The Gandarela Mountain Range and the “resistance space” against iron ore mining threat: a focus on the contrapositions

Full Text / Article complet

Low Level Jet stream of Asian Summer Monsoon and its Variability

The main objective of the of present study are to study the intraseasonal variability of LLJ and its relation with convective heating of the atmosphere, to establish whether LLJ splits into two branches over the Arabian sea as widely believed, the role of horizonatal wind shear of LLJ in the episodes of intense rainfall events observed over the west coast of India, to perform atmospheric modeling work to test whether small (meso) scale vortices form during intense rainfall events along the west coast; and to study the relation between LLJ and monsoon depression genesis. The results of a study on the evolution of Low Level Jetstream (LLJ) prior to the formation of monsoon depressions are presented. A synoptic model of the temporal evolution of monsoon depression has been produced. There is a systematic temporal evolution of the field of deep convection strength and position of the LLJ axis leading to the genesis of monsoon depression. One of the significant outcomes of the present thesis is that the LLJ plays an important role in the intraseasonal and the interannual variability of Indian monsoon activity. Convection and rainfall are dependent mainly on the cyclonic vorticity in the boundary layer associated with LLJ. Monsoon depression genesis and the episodes of very heavy rainfall along the west coast of India are closely related to the cyclonic shear of the LLJ in the boundary layer and the associated deep convection. Case studies by a mesoscale numerical model (MM5) have shown that the heavy rainfall episodes along the west coast of India are associated with generation of mesoscale cyclonic vortices in the boundary layer.