Should pulmonary embolism be suspected in exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease?

BACKGROUND: The cause of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is often difficult to determine. Pulmonary embolism may be a trigger of acute dyspnoea in patients with COPD. AIM: To determine the prevalence of pulmonary embolism in patients with acute exacerbation of COPD. METHODS: 123 consecutive patients admitted to the emergency departments of two academic teaching hospitals for acute exacerbation of moderate to very severe COPD were included. Pulmonary embolism was investigated in all patients (whether or not clinically suspected) following a standardised algorithm based on d-dimer testing, lower-limb venous ultrasonography and multidetector helical computed tomography scan. RESULTS: Pulmonary embolism was ruled out by a d-dimer value <500 microg/l in 28 (23%) patients and a by negative chest computed tomography scan in 91 (74%). Computed tomography scan showed pulmonary embolism in four patients (3.3%, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.2% to 8%), including three lobar and one sub-segmental embolisms. The prevalence of pulmonary embolism was 6.2% (n = 3; 95% CI, 2.3% to 16.9%) in the 48 patients who had a clinical suspicion of pulmonary embolism and 1.3% (n = 1; 95% CI, 0.3% to 7.1%) in those not suspected. In two cases with positive computed tomography scan, the venous ultrasonography also showed a proximal deep-vein thrombosis. No other patient was diagnosed with venous thrombosis. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of unsuspected pulmonary embolism is very low in patients admitted in the emergency department for an acute exacerbation of their COPD. These results argue against a systematic examination for pulmonary embolism in this population.

Local re-inversion coronary MR angiography: arterial spin-labeling without the need for subtraction.

PURPOSE: To implement a double-inversion bright-blood coronary MR angiography sequence using a cylindrical re-inversion prepulse for selective visualization of the coronary arteries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Local re-inversion bright-blood magnetization preparation was implemented using a nonselective inversion followed by a cylindrical aortic re-inversion prepulse. After an inversion delay that allows for in-flow of the labeled blood-pool into the coronary arteries, three-dimensional radial steady-state free-precession (SSFP) imaging (repetition/echo time, 7.2/3.6 ms; flip angle, 120 degrees, 16 profiles per RR interval; field of view, 360 mm; matrix, 512, twelve 3-mm slices) is performed. Coronary MR angiography was performed in three healthy volunteers and in one patient on a commercial 1.5 Tesla whole-body MR System. RESULTS: In all subjects, coronary arteries were selectively visualized with positive contrast. In addition, a middle-grade stenosis of the proximal right coronary artery was seen in one patient. CONCLUSION: A novel T1 contrast-enhancement strategy is presented for selective visualization of the coronary arteries without extrinsic contrast medium application. In comparison to former arterial spin-labeling schemes, the proposed magnetization preparation obviates the need for a second data set and subtraction.

Comparison and validation of tissue modelization and statistical classification methods in T1-weighted MR brain images.

This paper presents a validation study on statistical nonsupervised brain tissue classification techniques in magnetic resonance (MR) images. Several image models assuming different hypotheses regarding the intensity distribution model, the spatial model and the number of classes are assessed. The methods are tested on simulated data for which the classification ground truth is known. Different noise and intensity nonuniformities are added to simulate real imaging conditions. No enhancement of the image quality is considered either before or during the classification process. This way, the accuracy of the methods and their robustness against image artifacts are tested. Classification is also performed on real data where a quantitative validation compares the methods' results with an estimated ground truth from manual segmentations by experts. Validity of the various classification methods in the labeling of the image as well as in the tissue volume is estimated with different local and global measures. Results demonstrate that methods relying on both intensity and spatial information are more robust to noise and field inhomogeneities. We also demonstrate that partial volume is not perfectly modeled, even though methods that account for mixture classes outperform methods that only consider pure Gaussian classes. Finally, we show that simulated data results can also be extended to real data.

Predictors of mortality from pump failure and sudden cardiac death in patients with systolic heart failure and left ventricular dyssynchrony: results of the CARE-HF trial.

BACKGROUND: Determining a specific death cause may facilitate individualized therapy in patients with heart failure (HF). Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) decreased mortality in the Cardiac Resynchronization in Heart Failure trial by reducing pump failure and sudden cardiac death (SCD). This study analyzes predictors of specific causes of death. METHODS AND RESULTS: Univariate and multivariate analyses used 8 baseline and 3-month post-randomization variables to predict pump failure and SCD (categorized as "definite," "probable," and "possible"). Of 255 deaths, 197 were cardiovascular. There were 71 SCDs with a risk reduction by CRT of 0.47 (95% confidence interval 0.29-0.76; P = .002) with similar reductions in SCD classified as definite, probable, and possible. Univariate SCD predictors were 3-month HF status (mitral regurgitation [MR] severity, plasma brain natriuretic peptide [BNP], end-diastolic volume, and systolic blood pressure), whereas randomization to CRT decreased risk. Multivariate SCD predictors were randomization to CRT 0.56 (0.53-0.96, P = .035) and 3-month MR severity 1.82 (1.77-2.60, P = .0012). Univariate pump failure death predictors related to baseline HF state (quality of life score, interventricular mechanical delay, end-diastolic volume, plasma BNP, MR severity, and systolic pressure), whereas randomization to CRT and nonischemic cardiomyopathy decreased risk; multivariate predictors of pump failure death were baseline plasma BNP and systolic pressure and randomization to CRT. CONCLUSION: CRT decreased SCD in patients with systolic HF and ventricular dyssynchrony. SCD risk was increased with increased severity of MR (including the 3-month value for MR as a time-dependent covariate) and reduced by randomization to CRT. HF death was increased related to the level of systolic blood pressure, log BNP, and randomization to CRT. These results emphasize the importance and interdependence of HF severity to mortality from pump failure and SCD.

In conspectu prope totius urbis: an application of different visual methods at the ager Tarraconensis landscape

We present in this paper the results of the application of several visual methods on a group of locations, dated between VI and I centuries BC, of the ager Tarraconensis (Tarragona, Spain) a Hinterland of the roman colony of Tarraco. The difficulty in interpreting the diverse results in a combined way has been resolved by means of the use of statistical methods, such as Principal Components Analysis (PCA) and K-means clustering analysis. These methods have allowed us to carry out site classifications in function of the landscape's visual structure that contains them and of the visual relationships that could be given among them.

Identification of Research Portfolio for the Development of Filtration Equipment

This piece of work which is Identification of Research Portfolio for Development of Filtration Equipment aims at presenting a novel approach to identify promising research topics in the field of design and development of filtration equipment and processes. The projected approach consists of identifying technological problems often encountered in filtration processes. The sources of information for the problem retrieval were patent documents and scientific papers that discussed filtration equipments and processes. The problem identification method adopted in this work focussed on the semantic nature of a sentence in order to generate series of subject-action-object structures. This was achieved with software called Knowledgist. List of problems often encountered in filtration processes that have been mentioned in patent documents and scientific papers were generated. These problems were carefully studied and categorized. Suggestions were made on the various classes of these problems that need further investigation in order to propose a research portfolio. The uses and importance of other methods of information retrieval were also highlighted in this work.

Evaluation and comparison of current fetal ultrasound image segmentation methods for biometric measurements: a grand challenge.

This paper presents the evaluation results of the methods submitted to Challenge US: Biometric Measurements from Fetal Ultrasound Images, a segmentation challenge held at the IEEE International Symposium on Biomedical Imaging 2012. The challenge was set to compare and evaluate current fetal ultrasound image segmentation methods. It consisted of automatically segmenting fetal anatomical structures to measure standard obstetric biometric parameters, from 2D fetal ultrasound images taken on fetuses at different gestational ages (21 weeks, 28 weeks, and 33 weeks) and with varying image quality to reflect data encountered in real clinical environments. Four independent sub-challenges were proposed, according to the objects of interest measured in clinical practice: abdomen, head, femur, and whole fetus. Five teams participated in the head sub-challenge and two teams in the femur sub-challenge, including one team who tackled both. Nobody attempted the abdomen and whole fetus sub-challenges. The challenge goals were two-fold and the participants were asked to submit the segmentation results as well as the measurements derived from the segmented objects. Extensive quantitative (region-based, distance-based, and Bland-Altman measurements) and qualitative evaluation was performed to compare the results from a representative selection of current methods submitted to the challenge. Several experts (three for the head sub-challenge and two for the femur sub-challenge), with different degrees of expertise, manually delineated the objects of interest to define the ground truth used within the evaluation framework. For the head sub-challenge, several groups produced results that could be potentially used in clinical settings, with comparable performance to manual delineations. The femur sub-challenge had inferior performance to the head sub-challenge due to the fact that it is a harder segmentation problem and that the techniques presented relied more on the femur's appearance.

Family Size Evolution in Drosophila Chemosensory Gene Families: A Comparative Analysis with a Critical Appraisal of Methods

Gene turnover rates and the evolution of gene family sizes are important aspects of genome evolution. Here, we use curated sequence data of the major chemosensory gene families from Drosophila-the gustatory receptor, odorant receptor, ionotropic receptor, and odorant-binding protein families-to conduct a comparative analysis among families, exploring different methods to estimate gene birth and death rates, including an ad hoc simulation study. Remarkably, we found that the state-of-the-art methods may produce very different rate estimates, which may lead to disparate conclusions regarding the evolution of chemosensory gene family sizes in Drosophila. Among biological factors, we found that a peculiarity of D. sechellia's gene turnover rates was a major source of bias in global estimates, whereas gene conversion had negligible effects for the families analyzed herein. Turnover rates vary considerably among families, subfamilies, and ortholog groups although all analyzed families were quite dynamic in terms of gene turnover. Computer simulations showed that the methods that use ortholog group information appear to be the most accurate for the Drosophila chemosensory families. Most importantly, these results reveal the potential of rate heterogeneity among lineages to severely bias some turnover rate estimation methods and the need of further evaluating the performance of these methods in a more diverse sampling of gene families and phylogenetic contexts. Using branch-specific codon substitution models, we find further evidence of positive selection in recently duplicated genes, which attests to a nonneutral aspect of the gene birth-and-death process.

Development of cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging techniques for improved characterization of atherosclerotic disease

Atherosclerosis is a chronic cardiovascular disease that involves the thicken¬ing of the artery walls as well as the formation of plaques (lesions) causing the narrowing of the lumens, in vessels such as the aorta, the coronary and the carotid arteries. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a promising modality for the assessment of atherosclerosis, as it is a non-invasive and patient-friendly procedure that does not use ionizing radiation. MRI offers high soft tissue con¬trast already without the need of intravenous contrast media; while modifica¬tion of the MR pulse sequences allows for further adjustment of the contrast for specific diagnostic needs. As such, MRI can create angiographic images of the vessel lumens to assess stenoses at the late stage of the disease, as well as blood flow-suppressed images for the early investigation of the vessel wall and the characterization of the atherosclerotic plaques. However, despite the great technical progress that occurred over the past two decades, MRI is intrinsically a low sensitive technique and some limitations still exist in terms of accuracy and performance. A major challenge for coronary artery imaging is respiratory motion. State- of-the-art diaphragmatic navigators rely on an indirect measure of motion, per¬form a ID correction, and have long and unpredictable scan time. In response, self-navigation (SM) strategies have recently been introduced that offer 100% scan efficiency and increased ease of use. SN detects respiratory motion di¬rectly from the image data obtained at the level of the heart, and retrospectively corrects the same data before final image reconstruction. Thus, SN holds po-tential for multi-dimensional motion compensation. To this regard, this thesis presents novel SN methods that estimate 2D and 3D motion parameters from aliased sub-images that are obtained from the same raw data composing the final image. Combination of all corrected sub-images produces a final image with reduced motion artifacts for the visualization of the coronaries. The first study (section 2.2, 2D Self-Navigation with Compressed Sensing) consists of a method for 2D translational motion compensation. Here, the use of com- pressed sensing (CS) reconstruction is proposed and investigated to support motion detection by reducing aliasing artifacts. In healthy human subjects, CS demonstrated an improvement in motion detection accuracy with simula¬tions on in vivo data, while improved coronary artery visualization was demon¬strated on in vivo free-breathing acquisitions. However, the motion of the heart induced by respiration has been shown to occur in three dimensions and to be more complex than a simple translation. Therefore, the second study (section 2.3,3D Self-Navigation) consists of a method for 3D affine motion correction rather than 2D only. Here, different techniques were adopted to reduce background signal contribution in respiratory motion tracking, as this can be adversely affected by the static tissue that surrounds the heart. The proposed method demonstrated to improve conspicuity and vi¬sualization of coronary arteries in healthy and cardiovascular disease patient cohorts in comparison to a conventional ID SN method. In the third study (section 2.4, 3D Self-Navigation with Compressed Sensing), the same tracking methods were used to obtain sub-images sorted according to the respiratory position. Then, instead of motion correction, a compressed sensing reconstruction was performed on all sorted sub-image data. This process ex¬ploits the consistency of the sorted data to reduce aliasing artifacts such that the sub-image corresponding to the end-expiratory phase can directly be used to visualize the coronaries. In a healthy volunteer cohort, this strategy improved conspicuity and visualization of the coronary arteries when compared to a con¬ventional ID SN method. For the visualization of the vessel wall and atherosclerotic plaques, the state- of-the-art dual inversion recovery (DIR) technique is able to suppress the signal coming from flowing blood and provide positive wall-lumen contrast. How¬ever, optimal contrast may be difficult to obtain and is subject to RR variability. Furthermore, DIR imaging is time-inefficient and multislice acquisitions may lead to prolonged scanning times. In response and as a fourth study of this thesis (chapter 3, Vessel Wall MRI of the Carotid Arteries), a phase-sensitive DIR method has been implemented and tested in the carotid arteries of a healthy volunteer cohort. By exploiting the phase information of images acquired after DIR, the proposed phase-sensitive method enhances wall-lumen contrast while widens the window of opportunity for image acquisition. As a result, a 3-fold increase in volumetric coverage is obtained at no extra cost in scanning time, while image quality is improved. In conclusion, this thesis presented novel methods to address some of the main challenges for MRI of atherosclerosis: the suppression of motion and flow artifacts for improved visualization of vessel lumens, walls and plaques. Such methods showed to significantly improve image quality in human healthy sub¬jects, as well as scan efficiency and ease-of-use of MRI. Extensive validation is now warranted in patient populations to ascertain their diagnostic perfor¬mance. Eventually, these methods may bring the use of atherosclerosis MRI closer to the clinical practice. Résumé L'athérosclérose est une maladie cardiovasculaire chronique qui implique le épaississement de la paroi des artères, ainsi que la formation de plaques (lé¬sions) provoquant le rétrécissement des lumières, dans des vaisseaux tels que l'aorte, les coronaires et les artères carotides. L'imagerie par résonance magné¬tique (IRM) est une modalité prometteuse pour l'évaluation de l'athérosclérose, car il s'agit d'une procédure non-invasive et conviviale pour les patients, qui n'utilise pas des rayonnements ionisants. L'IRM offre un contraste des tissus mous très élevé sans avoir besoin de médias de contraste intraveineux, tan¬dis que la modification des séquences d'impulsions de RM permet en outre le réglage du contraste pour des besoins diagnostiques spécifiques. À ce titre, l'IRM peut créer des images angiographiques des lumières des vaisseaux pour évaluer les sténoses à la fin du stade de la maladie, ainsi que des images avec suppression du flux sanguin pour une première enquête des parois des vais¬seaux et une caractérisation des plaques d'athérosclérose. Cependant, malgré les grands progrès techniques qui ont eu lieu au cours des deux dernières dé¬cennies, l'IRM est une technique peu sensible et certaines limitations existent encore en termes de précision et de performance. Un des principaux défis pour l'imagerie de l'artère coronaire est le mou¬vement respiratoire. Les navigateurs diaphragmatiques de pointe comptent sur une mesure indirecte de mouvement, effectuent une correction 1D, et ont un temps d'acquisition long et imprévisible. En réponse, les stratégies d'auto- navigation (self-navigation: SN) ont été introduites récemment et offrent 100% d'efficacité d'acquisition et une meilleure facilité d'utilisation. Les SN détectent le mouvement respiratoire directement à partir des données brutes de l'image obtenue au niveau du coeur, et rétrospectivement corrigent ces mêmes données avant la reconstruction finale de l'image. Ainsi, les SN détiennent un poten¬tiel pour une compensation multidimensionnelle du mouvement. A cet égard, cette thèse présente de nouvelles méthodes SN qui estiment les paramètres de mouvement 2D et 3D à partir de sous-images qui sont obtenues à partir des mêmes données brutes qui composent l'image finale. La combinaison de toutes les sous-images corrigées produit une image finale pour la visualisation des coronaires ou les artefacts du mouvement sont réduits. La première étude (section 2.2,2D Self-Navigation with Compressed Sensing) traite d'une méthode pour une compensation 2D de mouvement de translation. Ici, on étudie l'utilisation de la reconstruction d'acquisition comprimée (compressed sensing: CS) pour soutenir la détection de mouvement en réduisant les artefacts de sous-échantillonnage. Chez des sujets humains sains, CS a démontré une amélioration de la précision de la détection de mouvement avec des simula¬tions sur des données in vivo, tandis que la visualisation de l'artère coronaire sur des acquisitions de respiration libre in vivo a aussi été améliorée. Pourtant, le mouvement du coeur induite par la respiration se produit en trois dimensions et il est plus complexe qu'un simple déplacement. Par conséquent, la deuxième étude (section 2.3, 3D Self-Navigation) traite d'une méthode de cor¬rection du mouvement 3D plutôt que 2D uniquement. Ici, différentes tech¬niques ont été adoptées pour réduire la contribution du signal du fond dans le suivi de mouvement respiratoire, qui peut être influencé négativement par le tissu statique qui entoure le coeur. La méthode proposée a démontré une amélioration, par rapport à la procédure classique SN de correction 1D, de la visualisation des artères coronaires dans le groupe de sujets sains et des pa¬tients avec maladies cardio-vasculaires. Dans la troisième étude (section 2.4,3D Self-Navigation with Compressed Sensing), les mêmes méthodes de suivi ont été utilisées pour obtenir des sous-images triées selon la position respiratoire. Au lieu de la correction du mouvement, une reconstruction de CS a été réalisée sur toutes les sous-images triées. Cette procédure exploite la cohérence des données pour réduire les artefacts de sous- échantillonnage de telle sorte que la sous-image correspondant à la phase de fin d'expiration peut directement être utilisée pour visualiser les coronaires. Dans un échantillon de volontaires en bonne santé, cette stratégie a amélioré la netteté et la visualisation des artères coronaires par rapport à une méthode classique SN ID. Pour la visualisation des parois des vaisseaux et de plaques d'athérosclérose, la technique de pointe avec double récupération d'inversion (DIR) est capa¬ble de supprimer le signal provenant du sang et de fournir un contraste posi¬tif entre la paroi et la lumière. Pourtant, il est difficile d'obtenir un contraste optimal car cela est soumis à la variabilité du rythme cardiaque. Par ailleurs, l'imagerie DIR est inefficace du point de vue du temps et les acquisitions "mul- tislice" peuvent conduire à des temps de scan prolongés. En réponse à ce prob¬lème et comme quatrième étude de cette thèse (chapitre 3, Vessel Wall MRI of the Carotid Arteries), une méthode de DIR phase-sensitive a été implémenté et testé

Single centre experience of the application of self navigated 3D whole heart cardiovascular magnetic resonance for the assessment of cardiac anatomy in congenital heart disease.

BACKGROUND: For free-breathing cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR), the self-navigation technique recently emerged, which is expected to deliver high-quality data with a high success rate. The purpose of this study was to test the hypothesis that self-navigated 3D-CMR enables the reliable assessment of cardiovascular anatomy in patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) and to define factors that affect image quality. METHODS: CHD patients ≥2 years-old and referred for CMR for initial assessment or for a follow-up study were included to undergo a free-breathing self-navigated 3D CMR at 1.5T. Performance criteria were: correct description of cardiac segmental anatomy, overall image quality, coronary artery visibility, and reproducibility of great vessels diameter measurements. Factors associated with insufficient image quality were identified using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: Self-navigated CMR was performed in 105 patients (55% male, 23 ± 12y). Correct segmental description was achieved in 93% and 96% for observer 1 and 2, respectively. Diagnostic quality was obtained in 90% of examinations, and it increased to 94% if contrast-enhanced. Left anterior descending, circumflex, and right coronary arteries were visualized in 93%, 87% and 98%, respectively. Younger age, higher heart rate, lower ejection fraction, and lack of contrast medium were independently associated with reduced image quality. However, a similar rate of diagnostic image quality was obtained in children and adults. CONCLUSION: In patients with CHD, self-navigated free-breathing CMR provides high-resolution 3D visualization of the heart and great vessels with excellent robustness.

A comparison of three established age estimation methods on an adult Spanish sample.

Most current methods for adult skeletal age-at-death estimation are based on American samples comprising individuals of European and African ancestry. Our limited understanding of population variability hampers our efforts to apply these techniques to various skeletal populations around the world, especially in global forensic contexts. Further, documented skeletal samples are rare, limiting our ability to test our techniques. The objective of this paper is to test three pelvic macroscopic methods (1-Suchey-Brooks; 2- Lovejoy; 3- Buckberry and Chamberlain) on a documented modern Spanish sample. These methods were selected because they are popular among Spanish anthropologists and because they never have been tested in a Spanish sample. The study sample consists of 80 individuals (55 ♂ and 25 ♀) of known sex and age from the Valladolid collection. Results indicate that in all three methods, levels of bias and inaccuracy increase with age. The Lovejoy method performs poorly (27%) compared with Suchey-Brooks (71%) and Buckberry and Chamberlain (86%). However, the levels of correlation between phases and chronological ages are low and comparable in the three methods (< 0.395). The apparent accuracy of the Suchey-Brooks and Buckberry and Chamberlain methods is largely based on the broad width of the methods" estimated intervals. This study suggests that before systematic application of these three methodologies in Spanish populations, further statistical modeling and research into the co-variance of chronological age with morphological change is necessary. Future methods should be developed specific to various world populations, and should allow for both precision and flexibility in age estimation.

Ultra-high Field (7 T) MRI and a Novel Robust Segmentation of Thalamic Nuclei on DWI for Gamma Knife Surgery Purposes: The Targeting of the Ventrointermediate Nucleus

Introduction: Gamma Knife surgery (GKS) is a noninvasive neurosurgical stereotactic procedure, increasingly used as an alternative to open functional procedures. This includes the targeting of the ventrointermediate nucleus of the thalamus (e.g., Vim) for tremor. Objective: To enhance anatomic imaging for Vim GKS using high-field (7 T) MRI and Diffusion Weighted Imaging (DWI). Methods: Five young healthy subjects and two patients were scanned both on 3 and 7 T MRI. The protocol was the same in all cases, and included: T1-weighted (T1w) and DWI at 3T; susceptibility weighted images (SWI) at 7T for the visualization of thalamic subparts. SWI was further integrated into the Gamma Plan Software® (LGP, Elekta Instruments, AB, Sweden) and co-registered with 3T images. A simulation of targeting of the Vim was done using the quadrilatere of Guyot. Furthermore, a correlation with the position of the found target on SWI and also on DWI (after clustering of the different thalamic nuclei) was performed. Results: For the 5 healthy subjects, there was a good correlation between the position of the Vim on SWI, DWI and the GKS targeting. For the patients, on the pretherapeutic acquisitions, SWI helped in positioning the target. For posttherapeutic sequences, SWI supposed position of the Vim matched the corresponding contrast enhancement seen at follow-up MRI. Additionally, on the patient's follow-up T1w images, we could observe a small area of contrast-enhancement corresponding to the target used in GKS (e.g., Vim), which belongs to the Ventral-Lateral-Ventral (VLV) nuclei group. Our clustering method resulted in seven thalamic groups. Conclusion: The use of SWI provided us with a superior resolution and an improved image contrast within the central gray matter, enabling us to directly visualize the Vim. We additionally propose a novel robust method for segmenting the thalamus in seven anatomical groups based on DWI. The localization of the GKS target on the follow-up T1w images, as well as the position of the Vim on 7 T, have been used as a gold standard for the validation of VLV cluster's emplacement. The contrast enhancement corresponding to the targeted area was always localized inside the expected cluster, providing strong evidence of the VLV segmentation accuracy. The anatomical correlation between the direct visualization on 7T and the current targeting methods on 3T (e.g., quadrilatere of Guyot, histological atlases, DWI) seems to show a very good anatomical matching.

A test of Suchey-Brooks (pubic symphysis) and Buckberry-Chamberlain (auricular surface) methods on an identified Spanish sample: paleodemographic implications

Forensic Anthropology and Bioarchaeology studies depend critically on the accuracy and reliability of age-estimation techniques. In this study we have evaluated two age-estimation methods for adults based on the pubic symphysis (Suchey-Brooks) and the auricular surface (Buckberry-Chamberlain) in a current sample of 139 individuals (67 women and 72 men) from Madrid in order to verify the accuracy of both methods applied to a sample of innominate bones from the central Iberian Peninsula. Based on the overall results of this study, the Buckberry-Chamberlain method seems to be the method that provides better estimates in terms of accuracy (percentage of hits) and absolute difference to the chronological age taking into account the total sample. The percentage of hits and mean absolute difference of the Buckberry-Chamberlain and Suchey-Brooks methods are 97.3% and 11.24 years, and 85.7% and 14.38 years, respectively. However, this apparently greater applicability of the Buckberry-Chamberlain method is mainly due to the broad age ranges provided. Results indicated that Suchey-Brooks method is more appropriate for populations with a majority of young individuals, whereas Buckberry-Chamberlain method is recommended for populations with a higher percentage of individuals in the range 60-70 years. These different age estimation methodologies significantly influence the resulting demographic profile, consequently affecting the biological characteristics reconstruction of the samples in which they are applied.

CSF biomarkers for the differential diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease: A large-scale international multicenter study.

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to test the diagnostic value of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) beta-amyloid (Aβ1-42), phosphorylated tau, and total tau (tau) to discriminate Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia from other forms of dementia. METHODS: A total of 675 CSF samples collected at eight memory clinics were obtained from healthy controls, AD dementia, subjective memory impairment, mild cognitive impairment, vascular dementia, Lewy body dementia (LBD), fronto-temporal dementia (FTD), depression, or other neurological diseases. RESULTS: CSF Aβ1-42 showed the best diagnostic accuracy among the CSF biomarkers. At a sensitivity of 85%, the specificity to differentiate AD dementia against other diagnoses ranged from 42% (for LBD, 95% confidence interval or CI = 32-62) to 77% (for FTD, 95% CI = 62-90). DISCUSSION: CSF Aβ1-42 discriminates AD dementia from FTD, but shows significant overlap with other non-AD forms of dementia, possibly reflecting the underlying mixed pathologies.

Combining Advanced Forecasting Methods with System Dynamics - the Case of Finnish Seaports

Seaports play an important part in the wellbeing of a nation. Many nations are highly dependent on foreign trade and most trade is done using sea vessels. This study is part of a larger research project, where a simulation model is required in order to create further analyses on Finnish macro logistical networks. The objective of this study is to create a system dynamic simulation model, which gives an accurate forecast for the development of demand of Finnish seaports up to 2030. The emphasis on this study is to show how it is possible to create a detailed harbor demand System Dynamic model with the help of statistical methods. The used forecasting methods were ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) and regression models. The created simulation model gives a forecast with confidence intervals and allows studying different scenarios. The building process was found to be a useful one and the built model can be expanded to be more detailed. Required capacity for other parts of the Finnish logistical system could easily be included in the model.