Inbreeding avoidance through kin recognition: choosy females boost male dispersal.

Inbreeding avoidance is predicted to induce sex biases in dispersal. But which sex should disperse? In polygynous species, females pay higher costs to inbreeding and thus might be expected to disperse more, but empirical evidence consistently reveals male biases. Here, we show that theoretical expectations change drastically if females are allowed to avoid inbreeding via kin recognition. At high inbreeding loads, females should prefer immigrants over residents, thereby boosting male dispersal. At lower inbreeding loads, by contrast, inclusive fitness benefits should induce females to prefer relatives, thereby promoting male philopatry. This result points to disruptive effects of sexual selection. The inbreeding load that females are ready to accept is surprisingly high. In absence of search costs, females should prefer related partners as long as delta<r/(1+r) where r is relatedness and delta is the fecundity loss relative to an outbred mating. This amounts to fitness losses up to one-fifth for a half-sib mating and one-third for a full-sib mating, which lie in the upper range of inbreeding depression values currently reported in natural populations. The observation of active inbreeding avoidance in a polygynous species thus suggests that inbreeding depression exceeds this threshold in the species under scrutiny or that inbred matings at least partly forfeit other mating opportunities for males. Our model also shows that female choosiness should decline rapidly with search costs, stemming from, for example, reproductive delays. Species under strong time constraints on reproduction should thus be tolerant of inbreeding.

Scenario-based assessment of future land use change on butterfly species distributions

Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly used to predict environmentally induced range shifts of habitats of plant and animal species. Consequently SDMs are valuable tools for scientifically based conservation decisions. The aims of this paper are (1) to identify important drivers of butterfly species persistence or extinction, and (2) to analyse the responses of endangered butterfly species of dry grasslands and wetlands to likely future landscape changes in Switzerland. Future land use was represented by four scenarios describing: (1) ongoing land use changes as observed at the end of the last century; (2) a liberalisation of the agricultural markets; (3) a slightly lowered agricultural production; and (4) a strongly lowered agricultural production. Two model approaches have been applied. The first (logistic regression with principal components) explains what environmental variables have significant impact on species presence (and absence). The second (predictive SDM) is used to project species distribution under current and likely future land uses. The results of the explanatory analyses reveal that four principal components related to urbanisation, abandonment of open land and intensive agricultural practices as well as two climate parameters are primary drivers of species occurrence (decline). The scenario analyses show that lowered agricultural production is likely to favour dry grassland species due to an increase of non-intensively used land, open canopy forests, and overgrown areas. In the liberalisation scenario dry grassland species show a decrease in abundance due to a strong increase of forested patches. Wetland butterfly species would decrease under all four scenarios as their habitats become overgrown

Appropriateness criteria for surgery improve clinical outcomes in patients with low back pain and/or sciatica.

STUDY DESIGN: Prospective, controlled, observational outcome study using clinical, radiographic, and patient/physician-based questionnaire data, with patient outcomes at 12 months follow-up. OBJECTIVE: To validate appropriateness criteria for low back surgery. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Most surgical treatment failures are attributed to poor patient selection, but no widely accepted consensus exists on detailed indications for appropriate surgery. METHODS: Appropriateness criteria for low back surgery have been developed by a multispecialty panel using the RAND appropriateness method. Based on panel criteria, a prospective study compared outcomes of patients appropriately and inappropriately treated at a single institution with 12 months follow-up assessment. Included were patients with low back pain and/or sciatica referred to the neurosurgical department. Information about symptoms, neurologic signs, the health-related quality of life (SF-36), disability status (Roland-Morris), and pain intensity (VAS) was assessed at baseline, at 6 months, and at 12 months follow-up. The appropriateness criteria were administered prospectively to each clinical situation and outside of the clinical setting, with the surgeon and patients blinded to the results of the panel decision. The patients were further stratified into 2 groups: appropriate treatment group (ATG) and inappropriate treatment group (ITG). RESULTS: Overall, 398 patients completed all forms at 12 months. Treatment was considered appropriate for 365 participants and inappropriate for 33 participants. The mean improvement in the SF-36 physical component score at 12 months was significantly higher in the ATG (mean: 12.3 points) than in the ITG (mean: 6.8 points) (P = 0.01), as well as the mean improvement in the SF-36 mental component score (ATG mean: 5.0 points; ITG mean: -0.5 points) (P = 0.02). Improvement was also significantly higher in the ATG for the mean VAS back pain (ATG mean: 2.3 points; ITG mean: 0.8 points; P = 0.02) and Roland-Morris disability score (ATG mean: 7.7 points; ITG mean: 4.2 points; P = 0.004). The ATG also had a higher improvement in mean VAS for sciatica (4.0 points) than the ITG (2.8 points), but the difference was not significant (P = 0.08). The SF-36 General Health score declined in both groups after 12 months, however, the decline was worse in the ITG (mean decline: 8.2 points) than in the ATG (mean decline: 1.2 points) (P = 0.04). Overall, in comparison to ITG patients, ATG patients had significantly higher improvement at 12 months, both statistically and clinically. CONCLUSION: In comparison to previously reported literature, our study is the first to assess the utility of appropriateness criteria for low back surgery at 1-year follow-up with multiple outcome dimensions. Our results confirm the hypothesis that application of appropriateness criteria can significantly improve patient outcomes.

Human antibody responses to Schistosoma mansoni: does antigen directed, isotype restriction result in the production of blocking antibodies?

After treatment young Kenyan schoolchildren are highly susceptible to reinfection with Schistosoma mansoni. Older children and adults are resistant to reinfection. There is no evidence that this age related resistance is due to a slow development of protective immunological mechanisms, rather, it appears that young children are susceptible because of the presence of blocking antibodies which decline with age, thus allowing the expression of protective responses. Correlations between antibody responses to different stages of the parasite life-cycle suggest that, in young children, antigen directed, isotype restriction of the response against cross-reactive polysaccharide egg antigens results in an ineffectual, or even blocking antibody response to the schistosomulum.

Old age mortality: a state of the art

This Phd research report aims to obtain a better understanding of the recent changes in mortality of the elderly population in developed countries. It’s essence will be a critical thinking, without performing empirical work, which means that the analysis and concepts of the actual demographic literature will form the main body of this work. There are two central questions: Which age and cause specific mortality trends caused these recent changes in the life expectancy?Did the increase in life expectancy of the elderly population accelerate, continue or decline in recent years?”

Vaniprevir with pegylated interferon alpha-2a and ribavirin in treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis C: a randomized phase II study.

Vaniprevir (MK-7009) is a macrocyclic hepatitis C virus (HCV) nonstructural protein 3/4A protease inhibitor. The aim of the present phase II study was to examine virologic response rates with vaniprevir in combination with pegylated interferon alpha-2a (Peg-IFN-α-2a) plus ribavirin (RBV). In this double-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-ranging study, treatment-naïve patients with HCV genotype 1 infection (n = 94) were randomized to receive open-label Peg-IFN-α-2a (180 μg/week) and RBV (1,000-1,200 mg/day) in combination with blinded placebo or vaniprevir (300 mg twice-daily [BID], 600 mg BID, 600 mg once-daily [QD], or 800 mg QD) for 28 days, then open-label Peg-IFN-α-2a and RBV for an additional 44 weeks. The primary efficacy endpoint was rapid viral response (RVR), defined as undetectable plasma HCV RNA at week 4. Across all doses, vaniprevir was associated with a rapid two-phase decline in viral load, with HCV RNA levels approximately 3 log(10) IU/mL lower in vaniprevir-treated patients, compared to placebo recipients. Rates of RVR were significantly higher in each of the vaniprevir dose groups, compared to the control regimen (68.8%-83.3% versus 5.6%; P < 0.001 for all comparisons). There were numerically higher, but not statistically significant, early and sustained virologic response rates with vaniprevir, as compared to placebo. Resistance profile was predictable, with variants at R155 and D168 detected in a small number of patients. No relationship between interleukin-28B genotype and treatment outcomes was demonstrated in this study. The incidence of adverse events was generally comparable between vaniprevir and placebo recipients; however, vomiting appeared to be more common at higher vaniprevir doses. CONCLUSION: Vaniprevir is a potent HCV protease inhibitor with a predictable resistance profile and favorable safety profile that is suitable for QD or BID administration.

Intraoperative cerebral perfusion and postoperative cognitive dysfunction in geriatric patients

Background: Inadequate intraoperative cerebral perfusion has been suggested as a possible cause of postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD). Methods: We investigated 35 patients aged 65 or older undergoing elective major non-cardiac surgery under standardized general anaesthesia (thiopental, sevoflurane, fentanyl, atracurium). Intraoperative cerebral perfusion was monitored with transcranial Doppler, and near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS). Arterial blood pressure was monitored continuously with a Finapres device. Mx, an index allowing continuous monitoring of cerebrovascular autoregulation based on the changes in mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) and cerebral blood flow velocity was calculated. Mx >0.5 was defined as disturbed cerebrovascular autoregulation. Cognitive function was measured preoperatively and 7 days postoperatively using the CERAD-NAB Plus test battery. A postoperative decline >1 z-score in at least two of the tested domains was defined as POCD. Data are shown as mean } SD. Results: Mean age was 75 } 7 yrs. Sixteen patients (46%) developed POCD. These patients were older (77 } 8 vs 73 } 7 yrs), had lower MAP (77 } 12 vs 81 } 11 mm Hg), lower cerebral tissue oxygenation indices measured by NIRS (66.8 } 6.0 vs 68.6 } 4.3%) and less efficient cerebrovascular autoregulation (Mx 0.54 } 0.17 and 0.44 } 0.22) than patients without POCD. Disturbed intraoperative cerebrovascular autoregulation was found more often (56 vs 37%) in patients with POCD. However, none of these differences reached statistical significance. Conclusions: Our data show a trend towards subtle changes in intraoperative cerebral perfusion in elderly patients who develop POCD. However, a cause effect relationship must not be assumed and a greater number of patients needs to be investigated patients. However, more patients need to be investigated to confirm and characterize these differences.

Response of bat species to sylvo-pastoral abandonment

We assessed the effect of abandonment of sylvo-pastoral practices in chestnut orchards (Castanea sativa) on bats in southern Switzerland to determine practical recommendations for bat conservation. We compared bat species richness and foraging activities between traditionally managed and unmanaged chestnut orchards, testing the hypothesis that managed orchards provide better foraging opportunities and harbour more bat species. Echolocation calls of foraging bats were sampled simultaneously at paired sites of managed and unmanaged orchards using custom made recorders. Vegetation structure and aerial insect availability were sampled at the recording sites and used as explanatory variables in the model. In a paired sampling design, we found twice the number of bat species (12) and five times higher total foraging activity in the managed chestnut orchards compared to the unmanaged ones. Bat species with low flight manoeuvrability were 14 times more common in managed orchards, whereas bats with medium to high manoeuvrability were only 5 times more common than in abandoned orchards. The vegetation structure was less dense in managed orchards. However, management did not affect relative insect abundance. Bats primarily visited the most open orchards, free of undergrowth. As a result of restricted access into the overgrown forests, the abandonment of chestnut orchards leads to a decline in bat species richness and foraging activities. Continued management of chestnut orchards to maintain an open structure is important for the conservation of endangered bat species in the southern Swiss Alps.

Labor supply response to international migration and remittances in the Republic of Haiti

The Republic of Haiti is the prime international remittances recipient country in the Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) region relative to its gross domestic product (GDP). The downside of this observation may be that this country is also the first exporter of skilled workers in the world by population size. The present research uses a zero-altered negative binomial (with logit inflation) to model households' international migration decision process, and endogenous regressors' Amemiya Generalized Least Squares method (instrumental variable Tobit, IV-Tobit) to account for selectivity and endogeneity issues in assessing the impact of remittances on labor market outcomes. Results are in line with what has been found so far in this literature in terms of a decline of labor supply in the presence of remittances. However, the impact of international remittances does not seem to be important in determining recipient households' labor participation behavior, particularly for women.

An alteration in the levels of populations of CD4+ Treg is in part responsible for altered cytokine production by cells of aged mice which follows injection with a fetal liver extract.

We have shown previously that a fetal sheep liver extract (FSLE) containing significant quantities of fetal ovine gamma globin chain (Hbgamma) and LPS injected into aged (>20 months) mice could reverse the altered polarization (increased IL-4 and IL-10 with decreased IL-2 and IFNgamma) in cytokine production seen from ConA stimulated lymphoid cells of those mice. The mechanism(s) behind this change in cytokine production were not previously investigated. We report below that aged mice show a >60% decline in numbers and suppressive function of both CD4(+)CD25(+)Foxp3(+) Treg and so-called Tr3 (CD4(+)TGFbeta(+)), and that their number/function is restored to levels seen in control (8-week-old) mice by FSLE. In addition, on a per cell basis, CD4(+)CD25(-)Treg from aged mice were >4-fold more effective in suppression of proliferation and IL-2 production from ConA-activated lymphoid cells of a pool of CD4(+)CD25(-)T cells from 8-week-old mice than similar cells from young animals, and this suppression by CD25(-)T cells was also ameliorated following FSLE treatment. Infusion of anti-TGFbeta and anti-IL-10 antibodies in vivo altered Treg development following FSLE treatment, and attenuated FSLE-induced alterations in cytokine production profiles.

Future of the Clean Development Mechanism in Tackling Climate Change

Using a theoretical framework, we explain the impact of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) on emissions in Annex I and non-Annex I countries. We show that on one hand, emissions in the non-Annex I country decline because of abatement sponsored by the Annex I country under the CDM; on the other hand, emissions may increase because (i) the Annex I country increases emissions in its own country, and (ii) the non-Annex I country crowds out the bene ts from the CDM projects by increasing its domestic emissions. For the CDM to be e¤ective in reducing global emissions, we show that partial Certi ed Emissions Reduction credits should be given to the Annex I country that sponsors CDM projects in the non-Annex I country. We also suggest that the CDM Executive Board should not allow the CDM projects to be hosted by non-Annex I countries that are too conscious about their emission levels.

Mortality from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Europe and other areas of the world: an update.

OBJECTIVE: To update trends in mortality from coronary heart diseases (CHD) and cerebrovascular diseases (CVD) over the period 1981-2004 in Europe, the USA, Latin America, Japan and other selected areas of the world. METHODS: Age-standardized mortality rates were derived from the World Health Organization database. Joinpoint analysis was used to identify significant changes in trends. RESULTS: In the European Union (27 countries), CHD mortality in men declined from 139/100,000 in 1985-1989 to 93/100,000 in 2000-2004 (-33%). In women, the fall was from 61/100,000 to 44/100,000 (-27%). In this area, a decline by over 30% was also registered in CVD mortality for both sexes. In the Russian Federation and other countries of the former Soviet Union, CHD rates in 2000-2004 were exceedingly high, around 380/100,000 men and 170/100,000 women in Russia, 430 for men and 240 for women in Ukraine, 420 and 200 in Belarus. For CVD, a similar situation was registered, with mortality rates of 226/100,000 for men and 159/100,000 for women in 2004 in the Russian Federation, and more than 24% increase since the late 1980s for men and 15% for women. CHD and CVD mortality continued to decline in most Latin American countries, Australia and other areas considered, including Asia (even if with marked differences). CONCLUSION: Although mortality from CHD and CVD continues to decline in several areas of the world including most countries of Europe and of the America providing data and Australia, unfavourable trends were still observed in the Russian Federation and other countries of the former Soviet Union, whose recent rates remain exceedingly high.

Role of the c-Jun N-terminal Kinase signaling in pancreatic β-cells

L'insuline est une hormone qui diminue la concentration de sucre dans le sang et qui est produite par la cellule β du pancréas. Un défaut de production de cette hormone est une des causes principales du diabète. Cette perte de production d'insuline est la conséquence à la fois, de la réduction du nombre de cellules β et du mauvais fonctionnement des cellules β restantes. L'inflammation, en activant la voie de signalisation «c-Jun N-terminal Kinase» (JNK) contribue au déclin de ces cellules. Cette voie de signalisation est activée par des protéines telles que des kinases qui reçoivent le signal de stress. Dans ce travail de thèse nous nous sommes intéressés à étudier le rôle de «Dual leucine zipper bearing kinase» (DLK) comme protéine capable de relayer le stress inflammatoire vers l'activation de la voie JNK dans les cellules β-pancréatiques. Nous montrons que DLK est présente dans les cellules β-pancréatiques et qu'elle agit effectivement comme un activateur de la voie de signalisation de JNK. En outre, DLK joue un rôle clé dans le contrôle de l'expression de l'insuline, de la sécrétion de l'insuline en réponse au glucose et au maintien de la survie des cellules β. Si l'expression de cette protéine diminue, la cellule produit moins d'insuline et sera plus sensible à la mort en réponse au stress inflammatoire. A l'inverse si l'expression de DLK est augmentée, la cellule β produit et secrète plus d'insuline. Des variations de l'expression de DLK sont par ailleurs, associées à l'état de santé de la cellule β. Chez la ratte en gestation ou la souris obèse, dans lesquelles la cellule β produit plus d'insuline, l'expression de DLK est augmentée. En revanche dans les cellules β des patients diabétiques, l'expression de DLK est diminuée par rapport aux cellules non malades. En résumé, DLK est nécessaire pour le bon fonctionnement de la cellule β-pancréatique et son expression corrèle avec le degré de santé des cellules, faisant que cette protéine pourrait être une cible thérapeutique potentiel. Les cellules β-pancréatiques ont la capacité de réguler la sécrétion d'insuline en s'adaptant précisément au stimulus et à la glycémie. La fonction de la cellule β est cruciale dans l'homéostasie du glucose puisque sa dysfonction et sa mort mènent au développement des diabètes de type 1 et 2. De nombreuses études suggèrent que l'inflammation pourrait avoir un rôle dans la dysfonction et la destruction de ces cellules dans le diabète de type 2. L'excès chronique de cytokines proinflammatoires accélère le dysfonctionnement de la cellule β pancréatique par un mécanisme qui implique la voie de signalisation «c-Jun N-terminal Kinase» (JNK). L'activation de cette voie est organisée par des protéines d'échafaudages. Elle se fait par trois étapes successives de phosphorylation impliquant une «Mitogen Activated Protein Kinase Kinase Kinase» (MAP3K), une MAP2K et JNK. Dans ce travail de thèse nous montrons l'expression abondante et spécifique de la MAP3K «Dual Leucine Zipper Bearing Kinase» (DLK) dans les cellules β pancréatiques. Cela est la conséquence de l'absence du répresseur transcriptionnel «Repressor Element 1 Silencing Transcription». Nous montrons également que DLK régule l'activation de JNK et qu'il s'avère nécessaire pour la fonction et la survie de la cellule β pancréatique par un mécanisme impliquant le facteur de transcription PDX-1. L'invalidation de l'expression de DLK diminue l'expression de l'insuline et potentialise l'apoptose induite par des cytokines proinflammatoires. A l'inverse, la surexpression de DLK augmente l'expression et la sécrétion d'insuline induites par le glucose. Par conséquent des niveaux d'expression appropriés de DLK sont déterminants pour la fonction et la survie de la cellule β pancréatique. L'obésité et la grossesse sont caractérisées par une hyperinsulinémie qui résulte d'une augmentation de la production et de la sécrétion de l'insuline. L'expression de DLK est augmentée dans des îlots de rattes gestantes et des souris obèses comparés à leurs contrôles respectifs. A l'inverse, dans des sujets diabétiques, l'expression de DLK est diminuée. Ensemble ces résultats montrent l'importance de DLK dans l'adaptation des îlots par un mécanisme qui pourrait impliquer la voie de signalisation de JNK. Des défauts dans cette voie régulée par DLK pourraient contribuer au dysfonctionnement et la mort de la cellule β pancréatique et par conséquent au développement du diabète. L'étude détaillée du mécanisme par lequel DLK active la voie de signalisation JNK et régule la fonction de la cellule β pancréatique pourrait ouvrir la voie des nouvelles thérapies ciblant l'amélioration de la fonction de la cellule β dans le diabète. - Pancreatic β-cells are evidently plastic in their ability to regulate insulin secretion. The quantity of insulin released by these cells varies according to the stimulus, and the prevailing glucose concentration, β-cell function is pivotal in glucose homeostasis, as their dysfunction, and death can lead to development of type 1 and type 2 diabetes. There are numerous reports so far underlying the role of inflammation in dysfunction, and destruction of β-cells, in both type 1 and type 2 diabetes. Chronic excess of pro¬inflammatory cytokines promotes a β-cell decline, via induction of the c-Jun N-terminal Kinase (JNK) pathway. The activation of the JNK pathway is organized by a scaffold protein-mediated module in which, a three-step phosphorylation cascade occurs. The latter includes, Mitogen activated protein kinase kinase kinase (MAP3K), MAP2K and JNK. In this thesis, we unveil that the MAP3K Dual Leucine Zipper Bearing Kinase (DLK) is selectively, and highly expressed in pancreatic β-cells, as the result from the absence of the transcriptional repressor named, Repressor Element 1 Silencing Transcription (REST). We show that DLK regulates activation of JNK, and is required for β-cell function and survival by modulating the PDX-1 transcription factor. Silencing of DLK expression diminishes insulin expression, and potentiated cytokine-mediated apoptosis. Conversely, overexpression of DLK increased insulin expression, and glucose-induced insulin secretion. Therefore, an appropriate level of DLK is critical for β-cell function and survival. Obesity and pregnancy are characterized by hyperinsulinemia resulting from an increased production and secretion of insulin. In isolated islets of pregnant rats, and obese mice, the expression of DLK was elevated when compared to their respective controls. However, decreased expression of DLK was observed in islets of individuals with diabetes. Taken together, we highlight the importance of DLK in islet adaptation, and describe a mechanism that may involve the JNK signaling. Deficiency in the JNK pathway regulated by DLK may contribute to β-cell failure and death, and thereby development of diabetes. Unraveling the mechanism whereby DLK activates the JNK pathway, and β-cell function, may pave the way for the design of novel therapies, aiming to improve β-cell function and survival in diabetes in general.

The Corrosion of Career? - Occupational Trajectories of Business Economists and Engineers in Switzerland

Achievement careers are regarded as a distinctive element of the post-war period in occidental societies. Such a career was at once a modal trajectory of the modern parts of middleclass men and a social emblem for progress and success. However, if the achievement career came to be a biographical pattern with great normative power, its precise sequential course remained vague. Theories of the 1960s and 1970s described it as an orderly advancement within large firms. By the 1990s, scholars postulated an erosion of the organizational structures that once contributed to the institutionalization of careers, accompanied by a weakening of the normative weight of the achievement career by management discourse. We question the thesis of the corrosion of achievement career by analysing the trajectories of 442 engineers and business economists in Switzerland in regard to their orderliness, loyalty, and temporal rhythm. An inspection of types of careers and cohorts reveals that even if we face a decline of loyalty over time, hierarchical orderliness is not touched by those changes. Foremost, technical-industrial careers fit the loyal and regular pattern. Hence, this trajectory-type represents only a minority and is by far the slowest and least successful in terms of hierarchical ascension.

The Impact of Population Ageing on the Labour Market: Evidence from Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) Model of Scotland

This paper presents a dynamic Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) model of Scotland. The model is used to examine the impact of population ageing on the labour market. More specifically, it is used to evaluate the effects of labour force decline and labour force ageing on key macro-economic variables. The second effect is assumed to operate through age-specific productivity and labour force participation. In the analysis, particular attention is paid to how population ageing impinges on the government expenditure constraint. The basic structure of the model follows in the Auerbach and Kotlikoff tradition. However, the model takes into consideration directly age-specific mortality. This is analogous to “building in” a cohort-component population projection structure to the model, which allows more complex and more realistic demographic scenarios to be considered.