The Role of model uncertainty and learning in the U.S. postwar policy response to oil prices

This paper studies optimal monetary policy in a framework that explicitly accounts for policymakers' uncertainty about the channels of transmission of oil prices into the economy. More specfically, I examine the robust response to the real price of oil that US monetary authorities would have been recommended to implement in the period 1970 2009; had they used the approach proposed by Cogley and Sargent (2005b) to incorporate model uncertainty and learning into policy decisions. In this context, I investigate the extent to which regulator' changing beliefs over different models of the economy play a role in the policy selection process. The main conclusion of this work is that, in the specific environment under analysis, one of the underlying models dominates the optimal interest rate response to oil prices. This result persists even when alternative assumptions on the model's priors change the pattern of the relative posterior probabilities, and can thus be attributed to the presence of model uncertainty itself.

Dynamical modeling and analysis of large cellular regulatory networks.

The dynamical analysis of large biological regulatory networks requires the development of scalable methods for mathematical modeling. Following the approach initially introduced by Thomas, we formalize the interactions between the components of a network in terms of discrete variables, functions, and parameters. Model simulations result in directed graphs, called state transition graphs. We are particularly interested in reachability properties and asymptotic behaviors, which correspond to terminal strongly connected components (or "attractors") in the state transition graph. A well-known problem is the exponential increase of the size of state transition graphs with the number of network components, in particular when using the biologically realistic asynchronous updating assumption. To address this problem, we have developed several complementary methods enabling the analysis of the behavior of large and complex logical models: (i) the definition of transition priority classes to simplify the dynamics; (ii) a model reduction method preserving essential dynamical properties, (iii) a novel algorithm to compact state transition graphs and directly generate compressed representations, emphasizing relevant transient and asymptotic dynamical properties. The power of an approach combining these different methods is demonstrated by applying them to a recent multilevel logical model for the network controlling CD4+ T helper cell response to antigen presentation and to a dozen cytokines. This model accounts for the differentiation of canonical Th1 and Th2 lymphocytes, as well as of inflammatory Th17 and regulatory T cells, along with many hybrid subtypes. All these methods have been implemented into the software GINsim, which enables the definition, the analysis, and the simulation of logical regulatory graphs.

CD8+ T-cell response to NY-ESO-1: relative antigenicity and in vitro immunogenicity of natural and analogue sequences.

We have shown previously that HLA-A*0201 melanoma patients can frequently develop a CTL response to the cancer testis antigen NY-ESO-1. In the present study, we have analyzed in detail the relative antigenicity and in vitro immunogenicity of natural and modified NY-ESO-1 peptide sequences. The results of this analysis revealed that, although suboptimal for binding to the HLA-A*0201 molecule, peptide NY-ESO-1 157-165 is, among natural sequences, very efficiently recognized by specific CTL clones derived from three melanoma patients. In contrast, peptides NY-ESO-1 157-167 and NY-ESO-1 155-163, which bind very strongly to HLA-A*0201, are recognized less efficiently. In agreement with previous data, substitution of peptide NY-ESO-1 157-165 COOH-terminal C with various other amino acids resulted in a significantly increased binding to HLA-A*0201 molecules as well as in an increased CTL recognition, although variable at the clonal level. Among natural peptides, NY-ESO-1 157-165 and NY-ESO-1 157-167 exhibited good in vitro immunogenicity, whereas peptide NY-ESO-1 155-163 was poorly immunogenic. The fine specificity of interaction between peptide NY-ESO-1 C165A, HLA-A*0201, and T-cell receptor was analyzed at the molecular level using a series of variant peptides containing single alanine substitutions. The findings reported here have significant implications for the formulation of NY-ESO-1-based vaccines as well as for the monitoring of either natural or vaccine-induced NY-ESO-1-specific CTL responses in cancer patients.

Dibenzofuran degradation by Sphingomonas wittichii RW1 under environmental stresses

Sphingomonas wittichii is a gram-negative Alpha-proteobacterium, capable of degrading xenobiotic compounds such as dibenzofuran (DBF), dibenzo-p-dioxin, carbazole, 2-hydroxybiphenyl or nitro diphenyl ether herbicides. The metabolism of strain RW1 has been the subject of previous studies and a number of genes involved in DBF degradation have been characterized. It is known that RW1 posseses a unique initial DBF dioxygenase (encoded by the dxnAl gene) that catalyzes the first step in the degradation pathway. None of the organisms known to be able to degrade DBF have a similar dioxygenase, the closest match being the DBF dioxygenase from Rhodococcus sp. with an overall amino acid similarity of 45%. Genes participating in the conversion of the metabolite salicylate via the ortho-cleavage pathway to TCA cycle intermediates were identified as well. Apart from this scarce information, however, there is a lack of global knowledge on the genes that are involved in DBF degradation by strain RW1 and the influence of environmental stresses on DBF-dependent global gene expression. A global analysis is necessary, because it may help to better understand the behaviour of the strain under field conditions and suggest improvements for the current bioaugmentation practice. Chapter 2 describes the results of whole-genome analysis to characterize the genes involved in DBF degradation by RW1. Micro-array analysis allowed us to detect differences in gene transcription when strain RW1 was exposed to DBF. This was complemented by ultra-high throughput sequencing of mutants no longer capable of growing on salicylate and DBF. Some of the genes of the ortho-cleavage pathway were induced 2 to 4 times in the presence of DBF, as well as the initial DBF dioxygenase. However two gene clusters, named 4925 and 5102 were induced up to 19 times in response to DBF induction. The cluster 4925 is putatively participating in a meta-cleavage pathway while the cluster 5102 might be part of a gentisate pathway. The three pathways, ortho-cleavage, meta-cleavage and gentisate pathway seem to be active in parallel when strain RW1 is exposed to DBF, presenting evidence for a redundancy of genes for DBF degradation in the genome of RW1. Chapter 3 focuses on exploiting genetic tools to construct bioreporters representative for DBF degradation in RW1. A set of basic tools for genetic manipulation in Sphingomonas wittichii RW1 was tested and optimized. Both plasmids and mini-transposons were evaluated for their ability to be maintained in RW1 with or without antibiotic selection pressure, and for their ability to lead to fluorescent protein expression in strain RW1 from a constitutive promoter. Putative promoter regions of three of the previously found DBF-induced genes (Swit_4925, Swit_5102 and Swit_4897-dxnAl) were then used to construct eg/^-bioreporters in RW1. Chapter 4 describes the use of the constructed RW1-based bioreporter strains for examining the expression of the DBF degradation pathway genes under microcosm conditions. The bioreporter strains were first exposed to different carbon sources in liquid culture to calibrate the egfp induction. Contrary to our expectations from micro-array analysis only the construct with the promoter from gene cluster 4925 responded to DBF, whereas the other two constructs did not show specific induction with DBF. The response from the bioreporters was subsequently tested for sensitivity to water stress, given that this could have an important impact in soils. Exposure to liquid cultures with decreasing water potential, achieved by NaCl or PEG addition to the growth media, showed that eGFP expression in RW1 from the promoter regions 4925 and 5102 was not directly influenced by water stress, but only through an overall reduction in growth rate. In contrast, expression of eGFP from the dxnAl or an uspA promoter was also directly dependent on the extent of water stress. The RW1 with the 4925 construct was subsequently used in soil microcosms to evaluate DBF bioavailability to the cells in presence or absence of native microbiota or other contaminated material. We found that RW1 could grow on DBF added to soil, but bioreporter expression suggested that competition with native microbiota for DBF intermediates may limit its ability to proliferate to a maximum. Chapter 5 describes the results from the experiments carried out to more specifically detect genes of RW1 that might be implicated in water stress resistance. Hereto we created transposon mutagenesis libraries in RW1, either with a classical mini-Tn5 or with a variant that would express egfp when the transposon would insert in a gene induced under water stress. Classical mutant libraries were screened by replica plating under high and low water stress conditions (achieved by adding NaCl to the agar medium). In addition, we screened for smaller microcolonies formed by mutants in agarose beads that could be analized with flow cytometry. A number of mutants impaired to grow on NaCl-supplemented media were recovered and the transposon insertion sites sequenced. In a second procedure we screened by flow cytometry for mutants with a higher eGFP production after exposure to growth medium with higher NaCl concentrations. Mutants from both libraries rarely overlapped. Discovered gene functions of the transposon insertions pointed to compatible solute synthesis (glutamate and proline), cell membrane synthesis and modification of cell membrane composition. The results obtained in the present study give us a more complete picture of the mechanisms of DBF degradation by S. wittichii RW1, how it reacts to different DBF availability and how the DBF catabolic activity may be affected by the conditions found in contaminated environments. - Sphingomonas wittichii est une alpha-protéobactérie gram-négative, capable de dégrader des composés xénobiotiques tels que le dibenzofurane (DBF), la dibenzo-p-dioxine, le carbazole, le 2-hydroxybiphényle ou les herbicides dérivés du nitro-diphényléther. Le métabolisme de la souche RW1 a fait l'objet d'études antérieures et un certain nombre de gènes impliqués dans la dégradation du DBF ont été caractérisés. Il est connu que RW1 possède une unique dioxygénase DBF initiale (codée par le gène dxnAl) qui catalyse la première étape de la voie de dégradation. Aucun des organismes connus pour être capables de dégrader le DBF n'a de dioxygénase similaire. L'enzyme la plus proche étant la DBF dioxygénase de Rhodococcus sp. avec 45% d'acides aminés conservés. Les gènes qui participent à la transformation du salicylate en métabolites intermédiaires du cycle de Krebs par la voie ort/io-cleavage ont aussi été identifiés. Outre ces informations lacunaires, il y a un manque de connaissances sur l'ensemble des gènes impliqués dans la dégradation du DBF par la souche RW1 ainsi que l'effet des stress environnementaux sur l'expression génétique globale, en présence du DBF. Une analyse globale est nécessaire, car elle peut aider à mieux comprendre le comportement de la souche dans les conditions de terrain et de proposer des améliorations pour l'utilisation de la bio-augmentation comme technique de bio-remédiation. Le chapitre 2 décrit les résultats de l'analyse du génome pour caractériser les gènes impliqués dans la dégradation du DBF par RW1. Une analyse de micro-arrays nous a permis de détecter des différences dans la transcription des gènes lorsque la souche RW1 a été exposée au DBF. L'analyse a été complétée par le criblage à ultra-haut débit de mutants qui n'étaient plus capables de croître avec le salicylate ou le DBF comme seule source de carbone. Certains des gènes de la voie ortho-cleavage, dont la DBF dioxygénase initiale, ont xî été induits 2 à 4 fois, en présence du DBF. Cependant, deux groupes de gènes, nommés 4925 et 5102 ont été induits jusqu'à 19 fois en réponse au DBF. Le cluster 4925 participe probablement dans une voie de meta-cleavage tandis que le cluster 5102 pourrait faire partie d'une voie du gentisate. Les trois voies, ortho-cleavage, meta-cleavage et la voie du gentisate semblent être activées en parallèle lorsque la souche RW1 est exposée au DBF, ce qui représente une redondance de voies pour la dégradation du DBF dans le génome de RW1. Le chapitre 3 se concentre sur l'exploitation des outils génétiques pour la construction de biorapporteurs de la dégradation du DBF par RW1. Un ensemble d'outils de base pour la manipulation génétique dans Sphingomonas wittichii RW1 a été testé et optimisé. Deux plasmides et mini-transposons ont été évalués pour leur capacité à être maintenu dans RW1 avec ou sans pression de sélection par des antibiotiques, et pour leur capacité à exprimer la protéine fluorescente verte (eGFP) dans la souche RW1. Les trois promoteurs des gènes Swit_4925, Swit_5102 et Swit_4897 (dxnAl), induits en réponse au DBF, ont ensuite été utilisés pour construire des biorapporteurs dans RW1. Le chapitre 4 décrit l'utilisation des souches biorapportrices construites pour l'analyse de l'expression des gènes de la voie de dégradation du DBF dans des microcosmes avec différents types de sols. Les souches biorapportrices ont d'abord été exposées à différentes sources de carbone en cultures liquides afin de calibrer l'induction de la eGFP. La construction avec le promoteur du gène 4925 a permis une réponse au DBF. Mais contrairement à nos attentes, basées sur les résultats de l'analyse des micro-arrays, les deux autres constructions n'ont pas montré d'induction spécifique au DBF. La réponse des biorapporteurs a ensuite été testée pour la sensibilité au stress hydrique, étant donné que cela pourrait avoir un impact important dans les microcosmes. La diminution du potentiel hydrique en culture liquide est obtenue par addition de NaCl ou de PEG au milieu de croissance. Nous avons montré que l'expression de la eGFP contrôlée par les promoteurs 4925 et 5102 n'était pas directement influencée par le stress hydrique, mais seulement par une réduction globale des taux de croissance. En revanche, l'expression de la eGFP dépendante des promoteurs dxnAl et uspA était aussi directement dépendante de l'ampleur du stress hydrique. La souche avec la construction 4925 a été utilisée par la suite dans des microcosmes avec différents types de sols pour évaluer la biodisponibilité du DBF en présence ou absence des microbes indigènes et d'autres composés contaminants. Nous avons constaté que RW1 pouvait se développer si le DBF a été ajouté au sol, mais l'expression de la eGFP par le biorapporteur suggère que la compétition avec la microbiota indigène pour les métabolites intermédiaires du DBF peut limiter sa capacité à proliférer de manière optimale. Le chapitre 5 décrit les résultats des expériences réalisées afin de détecter spécifiquement les gènes de RW1 qui pourraient être impliquées dans la résistance au stress hydrique. Ici on a crée des bibliothèques de mutants de RW1 par transposon, soit avec un mini-Tn5 classique ou avec une variante qui exprime la eGFP lorsque le transposon s'insère dans un gène induit par le stress hydrique. Les bibliothèques de mutants ont été criblées par la méthode classique de repiquage sur boîtes, dans des conditions de stress hydrique élevé (obtenu par l'addition de NaCl dans les boîtes). En outre, nous avons criblé des micro¬colonies dans des billes d'agarose qui ont pu être analysées par cytométrie de flux. Un certain nombre de mutants déficients à croître sur des milieux supplémentés avec du NaCl ont été isolés et les sites d'insertion du transposon séquencés. Dans une deuxième procédure nous avons criblé par cytométrie de flux des mutants avec une production de eGFP supérieure, après exposition à un milieu de croissance avec une concentration élevée de NaCl. Les mutants obtenus dans les deux bibliothèques n'étaient pas similaires. Les fonctions des gènes où se trouvent les insertions de transposons sont impliqués dans la synthèse de solutés compatibles (glutamate et de la proline), dans la synthèse de la membrane cellulaire et dans la modification de la composition de la membrane cellulaire. Les résultats obtenus dans la présente étude nous donnent une image plus complète des mécanismes de dégradation du DBF par S. wittichii RW1, comment cette souche réagit à la disponibilité du DBF et comment l'activité catabolique peut être affectée par les conditions rencontrées dans des environnements contaminés.

Party competition in regional elections: a framework for analysis

Whilst scholars have long recognised that processes of decentralisation create new regional arenas where distinct patterns of party competition are likely to emerge, there has been little systematic analysis of the dynamics of such competition. This working paper thus proposes a framework for analysing party competition between regional branches of state-wide parties, and autonomist parties, in regional arenas. Firstly, the different strategies political parties may adopt in response to their perceptions of voter preferences and to the strategies pursued by their competitors are identified. Secondly, different factors that impact on parties' strategic choices, and which may constrain a party's ability to select electorally optimal strategies in a given political context, are proposed.

Probability of achieving optimal molecular response to imatinib in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients: Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) relationships observed under field-conditions

Objectives: Imatinib has been increasingly proposed for therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM), as trough concentrations (Cmin) correlate with response rates in CML patients. This analysis aimed to evaluate the impact of imatinib exposure on optimal molecular response rates in a large European cohort of patients followed by centralized TDM.¦Methods: Sequential PK/PD analysis was performed in NONMEM 7 on 2230 plasma (PK) samples obtained along with molecular response (PD) data from 1299 CML patients. Model-based individual Bayesian estimates of exposure, parameterized as to initial dose adjusted and log-normalized Cmin (log-Cmin) or clearance (CL), were investigated as potential predictors of optimal molecular response, while accounting for time under treatment (stratified at 3 years), gender, CML phase, age, potentially interacting comedication, and TDM frequency. PK/PD analysis used mixed-effect logistic regression (iterative two-stage method) to account for intra-patient correlation.¦Results: In univariate analyses, CL, log-Cmin, time under treatment, TDM frequency, gender (all p<0.01) and CML phase (p=0.02) were significant predictors of the outcome. In multivariate analyses, all but log-Cmin remained significant (p<0.05). Our model estimates a 54.1% probability of optimal molecular response in a female patient with a median CL of 14.4 L/h, increasing by 4.7% with a 35% decrease in CL (percentile 10 of CL distribution), and decreasing by 6% with a 45% increased CL (percentile 90), respectively. Male patients were less likely than female to be in optimal response (odds ratio: 0.62, p<0.001), with an estimated probability of 42.3%.¦Conclusions: Beyond CML phase and time on treatment, expectedly correlated to the outcome, an effect of initial imatinib exposure on the probability of achieving optimal molecular response was confirmed in field-conditions by this multivariate analysis. Interestingly, male patients had a higher risk of suboptimal response, which might not exclusively derive from their 18.5% higher CL, but also from reported lower adherence to the treatment. A prospective longitudinal study would be desirable to confirm the clinical importance of identified covariates and to exclude biases possibly affecting this observational survey.

Effect of selective phosphodiesterase inhibitors on the rat eosinophil chemotactic response in vitro

In the present study, we have performed a comparative analysis of the effect of selective inhibitors of phosphodiesterase (PDE) type III, IV and V on eosinophil chemotaxis triggered by platelet activating factor (PAF) and leukotriene B4 (LTB4) in vitro. The effect of the analogues N6-2'-O-dibutyryladenosine 3':5' cyclic monophosphate (Bt2 cyclic AMP) and N2-2'-O- dibutyrylguanosine 3':5' cyclic monophosphate (Bt2 cyclic GMP) has also been determined. The eosinophils were obtained from the peritoneal cavity of naive Wistar rats and purified in discontinuous Percoll gradients to 85-95% purity. We observed that pre-incubation of eosinophils with the PDE type IV inhibitor rolipram suppressed the chemotactic response triggered by PAF and LTB4, in association with an increase in the intracellular levels of cyclic AMP. In contrast, neither zaprinast (type V inhibitor) nor type III inhibitors milrinone and SK&F 94836 affected the eosinophil migration. Only at the highest concentration tested did the analogue Bt2 cyclic AMP suppress the eosinophil chemotaxis, under conditions where Bt2 cyclic GMP was ineffective. We have concluded that inhibition of PDE IV, but not PDE III or V, was able to block the eosinophil chemotaxis in vitro, suggesting that the suppressive activity of selective PDE IV inhibitors on tissue eosinophil accumulation may, at least, be partially dependent on their ability to directly inhibit the eosinophil migration.

HIV Specific Humoral Immune Response in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Efforts to characterize HIV-1 polymorphism and anti-HIV immune response are being made in areas where anti-HIV/AIDS vaccines are to be employed. Anti-HIV-1 humoral immune response is being studied in infected individuals resident in Rio de Janeiro, in distinct cohorts involving recent seroconvertors, pregnant women or intravenous drug users (IDU). Comparative analyses of specificity of antibody response towards epitopes important for anti-HIV-1 immune response indicate quantitative differences between cohorts, with an exceptionally strong response in IDUs and weakest response in pregnant women. However, a comparative analysis between pregnant women cohorts from Rio de Janeiro and Rio Grande do Sul indicated an even lower response (with exception of the anti-V3-C clade peptide recognition) for the southern cohort. Studies analysing the immune function of the humoral response indicate a quite elevated occurrence of antibodies capable of neutralizing heterologous primary HIV-1 isolates from Rio de Janeiro. Attempts to correlate seroreactivity with HIV-1 neutralization with respect to HIV-1 polymorphism were not very successfull: while the Brazilian B clade B" variant could be recognized by binding assays, no significant distinction of HIV-1 clades/variants was observed in viral neutralization assays.

Selective and powerful stress gene expression in Arabidopsis in response to malondialdehyde.

The provenance, half-life and biological activity of malondialdehyde (MDA) were investigated in Arabidopsis thaliana. We provide genetic confirmation of the hypothesis that MDA originates from fatty acids containing more than two methylene-linked double bonds, showing that tri-unsaturated fatty acids are the in vivo source of up to 75% of MDA. The abundance of the combined pool of free and reversibly bound MDA did not change dramatically in stress, although a significant increase in the free MDA pool under oxidative conditions was observed. The half-life of infiltrated MDA indicated rapid metabolic turnover/sequestration. Exposure of plants to low levels of MDA using a recently developed protocol powerfully upregulated many genes on a cDNA microarray with a bias towards those implicated in abiotic/environmental stress (e.g. ROF1 and XERO2). Remarkably, and in contrast to the activities of other reactive electrophile species (i.e. small vinyl ketones), none of the pathogenesis-related (PR) genes tested responded to MDA. The use of structural mimics of MDA isomers suggested that the propensity of the molecule to act as a cross-linking/modifying reagent might contribute to the activation of gene expression. Changes in the concentration/localisation of unbound MDA in vivo could strongly affect stress-related transcription.

Activation of the heat shock response in plants by chlorophenols: transgenic Physcomitrella patens as a sensitive biosensor for organic pollutants.

The ability to detect early molecular responses to various chemicals is central to the understanding of biological impact of pollutants in a context of varying environmental cues. To monitor stress responses in a model plant, we used transgenic moss Physcomitrella patens expressing the beta-glucuronidase reporter (GUS) under the control of the stress-inducible promoter hsp17.3B. Following exposure to pollutants from the dye and paper industry, GUS activity was measured by monitoring a fluorescent product. Chlorophenols, heavy metals and sulphonated anthraquinones were found to specifically activate the hsp17.3B promoter (within hours) in correlation with long-term toxicity effects (within days). At mildly elevated physiological temperatures, the chemical activation of this promoter was strongly amplified, which considerably increased the sensitivity of the bioassay. Together with the activation of hsp17.3B promoter, chlorophenols induced endogenous chaperones that transiently protected a recombinant thermolabile luciferase (LUC) from severe heat denaturation. This sensitive bioassay provides an early warning molecular sensor to industrial pollutants under varying environments, in anticipation to long-term toxic effects in plants. Because of the strong cross-talk between abiotic and chemical stresses that we find, this P. patens line is more likely to serve as a direct toxicity bioassay for pollutants combined with environmental cues, than as an indicator of absolute toxicity thresholds for various pollutants. It is also a powerful tool to study the role of heat shock proteins (HSPs) in plants exposed to combined chemical and environmental stresses.

Toxic phytoplankton response to warming in two Mediterranean bays of the Ebro Delta

The analysis of the phytoplankton and environmental parameters of the time series in Alfacs and Fangar bays (north western Mediterranean) from 1990 to 2009 shows some trends. There is an increase in the average water column temperature, 0.11, 0.01, 0.80 and 0.23 ºC for spring, summer, fall and winter respectively in Alfacs Bay and 1.76, 0.71, 1.33, 0.89 ºC for spring, summer, fall and winter in Fangar Bay. The trends in phytoplankton populations show a shift in the timing of occurrence of Karlodinium spp. blooms and an increase of the Pseudo-nitzschia spp. abundances. There is a lack of correlation between the average seasonal temperatures and the toxic phytoplankton abundances.

Analysis of organic volatile residues in 9 mm spent cartridges

Determining the time since discharge of spent cartridges found on a crime scene may be very useful in firearm investigations. The potential of small calibre munitions was barely studied before and this work did therefore focus on that problematic. The first step was to optimize the detection potential of solidphase microextraction (SPME) followed by gas chromatography coupled to a mass spectrometry detector (GC/MS). This allowed determining the organic volatile composition of empty cartridges immediately after a gunshot. Identification of 32 detected compounds was confirmed by the analysis of reference substances. Preliminary aging studies over 32 hours were carried out on selected target compounds to evaluate their potential for the dating of shotguns.

IPH response to the HIQA consultation on the National Demographic Dataset and Guidance for use in health and social care settings in Ireland

The remit of the Institute of Public Health in Ireland (IPH) is to promote cooperation for public health between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland in the areas of research and information, capacity building and policy advice. Our approach is to support Departments of Health and their agencies in both jurisdictions, and maximise the benefits of all-island cooperation to achieve practical benefits for people in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. IPH have previously responded to consultations to the Department of Health’s Discussion Paper on the Proposed Health Information Bill (June 2008), the Health Information and Quality Authority on their Corporate Plan (Oct 2007), and the Road Safety Authority of Ireland Road Safety Strategy (Jul 2012). IPH supports the development of a national standard demographic dataset for use within the health and social care services. Provided necessary safeguards are put in place (such as ethics and data protection) and the purpose of collecting the information is fully explained to subjects, mandatory provision of a minimum demographic dataset is usually the best way to achieve the necessary coverage and data quality. Demographic information is needed in several forms to support the public health function: Detailed aggregated information for comparison to population counts in order to assess equity of access to healthcare as well as examining population patterns and trends in morbidity and mortality Accurate demographic information for the surveillance of infectious disease outbreaks, monitoring vaccination programmes, setting priorities for public health interventions Linked to other data outside of health and social care such as population data, survey data, and longitudinal studies for research and analysis purposes.   Identify and address public health issues to tackle health inequalities, and to monitor the success of such efforts to tackle them.

Detailed DEM analysis of a rockslide scar to characterize the basal sliding surface of active rockslides

The basal sliding surfaces in large rockslides are often composed of several surfaces and possess a complex geometry. The exact morphology and location in three dimensions of the sliding surface remains generally unknown, in spite of extensive field and subsurface investigations, such as those at the Åknes rockslide (western Norway). This knowledge is crucial for volume estimations, failure mechanisms, and numerical slope stability modeling. This paper focuses on the geomorphologic characterization of the basal sliding surface of a postglacial rockslide scar in the vicinity of Åknes. This scar displays a stepped basal sliding surface formed by dip slopes of the gneiss foliation linked together by steeply dipping fractures. A detailed characterization of the rockslide scar by means of high-resolution digital elevation models permits statistical parameters of dip angle, spacing, persistence, and roughness of foliation surfaces and step fractures to be obtained. The characteristics are used for stochastic simulations of stepped basal sliding surfaces at the Åknes rockslide. These findings are compared with previous models based on geophysical investigations. This study discusses the investigation of rockslide scars and rock outcrops for a better understanding of potential rockslides. This work identifies possible basal sliding surface locations, which is a valuable input for volume estimates, design and location of monitoring instrumentation, and numerical slope stability modeling.

Analysis of stop-gain and frameshift variants in human innate immunity genes.

Loss-of-function variants in innate immunity genes are associated with Mendelian disorders in the form of primary immunodeficiencies. Recent resequencing projects report that stop-gains and frameshifts are collectively prevalent in humans and could be responsible for some of the inter-individual variability in innate immune response. Current computational approaches evaluating loss-of-function in genes carrying these variants rely on gene-level characteristics such as evolutionary conservation and functional redundancy across the genome. However, innate immunity genes represent a particular case because they are more likely to be under positive selection and duplicated. To create a ranking of severity that would be applicable to innate immunity genes we evaluated 17,764 stop-gain and 13,915 frameshift variants from the NHLBI Exome Sequencing Project and 1,000 Genomes Project. Sequence-based features such as loss of functional domains, isoform-specific truncation and nonsense-mediated decay were found to correlate with variant allele frequency and validated with gene expression data. We integrated these features in a Bayesian classification scheme and benchmarked its use in predicting pathogenic variants against Online Mendelian Inheritance in Man (OMIM) disease stop-gains and frameshifts. The classification scheme was applied in the assessment of 335 stop-gains and 236 frameshifts affecting 227 interferon-stimulated genes. The sequence-based score ranks variants in innate immunity genes according to their potential to cause disease, and complements existing gene-based pathogenicity scores. Specifically, the sequence-based score improves measurement of functional gene impairment, discriminates across different variants in a given gene and appears particularly useful for analysis of less conserved genes.