987 resultados para Probability generating function


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Neste trabalho serão apresentados e discutidos vários aspectos relacionados com células de combustível, com particular enfoque na modelação de células de combustível de membrana de permuta protónica. Este trabalho está dividido em vários capítulos. No Capítunlo 1 são apresentadas as motivações e os objectivos da tese. No Capítulo 2 serão apresentadas as células de combustível em geral, a sua origem, os diversos tipos, o que as diferencia das restantes tecnologias de geração de energia e as suas vantagens e desvantagens. No Capítulo 3 discute-se a modelação de células de combustível. Serão expostos e explicados os diferentes tipos de modelos, seguindo-se uma apresentação do modelo selecionado para estudo, com referência aos fundamentos teóricos exposição detalhada da fórmulação matemática e os parâmetros que caracterizam o modelo. É também apresentado a implementação do modelo em Matlab/Simulink. No Capítulo 4 será discutida e apresentada a abordagem utilizada para a identificação dos parâmetros do modelo da célula de combustível. Propõe-se e prova-se que uma abordagem baseada num algoritmo de optimização inteligente proporciona um método eficaz e preciso para a identificação dos parâmetros. Esta abordagem requer a existência de alguns dados experimentais que são também apresentados. O algoritmo utilizado designa-se por Optimização por Enxame de Partículas – Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). São apresentados os seus fundamentos, características, implementação em Matlab/Simulink e a estratégia de optimização, isto é, a configuração do algoritmo, a definição da função objectivo e limites de variação dos parâmetros. São apresentados os resultados do processo de optimização, resultados adicionais de validação do modelo, uma análise de robustez do conjunto óptimo de parâmetros e uma análise de sensibilidade dos mesmos. O trabalho termina apresentando, no último capítulo, algumas conclusões, das quais se destacam: - O bom desempenho do algoritmo PSO para a identificação dos parâmetros do modelo da célula de combsutível; - Uma robustez interessante do algoritmo PSO, no sentido em que, para várias execuções do método resultam valores do parâmetros e da função objectivo com variabilidade bastante reduzidas; - Um bom modelo da célula de combustível, que quando caracterizado pelo conjunto óptimo de parâmetros, apresenta, sistematicamente, erros relativos médios inferiores a 2,5% para um conjunto alargado de condições de funcionamento.

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Introdução – Os estudos Gated – Single Photon Emission Computed Tomography (SPECT) são uma das técnicas de imagiologia cardíaca que mais evoluiu nas últimas décadas. Para a análise das imagens obtidas, a utilização de softwares de quantificação leva a um aumento da reprodutibilidade e exatidão das interpretações. O objetivo deste estudo consiste em avaliar, em estudos Gated-SPECT, a variabilidade intra e interoperador de parâmetros quantitativos de função e perfusão do miocárdio, obtidos com os softwares Quantitative Gated SPECT (QGS) e Quantitative Perfusion SPECT (QPS). Material e métodos – Recorreu-se a uma amostra não probabilística por conveniência de 52 pacientes, que realizaram estudos Gated-SPECT do miocárdio por razões clínicas e que integravam a base de dados da estação de processamento da Xeleris da ESTeSL. Os cinquenta e dois estudos foram divididos em dois grupos distintos: Grupo I (GI) de 17 pacientes com imagens com perfusão do miocárdio normal; Grupo II (GII) de 35 pacientes que apresentavam defeito de perfusão nas imagens Gated-SPECT. Todos os estudos foram processados 5 vezes por 4 operadores independentes (com experiência de 3 anos em Serviços de Medicina Nuclear com casuística média de 15 exames/semana de estudos Gated-SPECT). Para a avaliação da variabilidade intra e interoperador foi utilizado o teste estatístico de Friedman, considerando α=0,01. Resultados e discussão – Para todos os parâmetros avaliados, os respectivos valores de p não traduziram diferenças estatisticamente significativas (p>α). Assim, não foi verificada variabilidade intra ou interoperador significativa no processamento dos estudos Gated-SPECT do miocárdio. Conclusão – Os softwares QGS e QPS são reprodutíveis na quantificação dos parâmetros de função e perfusão avaliados, não existindo variabilidade introduzida pelo operador.

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Aims - To compare reading performance in children with and without visual function anomalies and identify the influence of abnormal visual function and other variables in reading ability. Methods - A cross-sectional study was carried in 110 children of school age (6-11 years) with Abnormal Visual Function (AVF) and 562 children with Normal Visual Function (NVF). An orthoptic assessment (visual acuity, ocular alignment, near point of convergence and accommodation, stereopsis and vergences) and autorefraction was carried out. Oral reading was analyzed (list of 34 words). Number of errors, accuracy (percentage of success) and reading speed (words per minute - wpm) were used as reading indicators. Sociodemographic information from parents (n=670) and teachers (n=34) was obtained. Results - Children with AVF had a higher number of errors (AVF=3.00 errors; NVF=1.00 errors; p<0.001), a lower accuracy (AVF=91.18%; NVF=97.06%; p<0.001) and reading speed (AVF=24.71 wpm; NVF=27.39 wpm; p=0.007). Reading speed in the 3rd school grade was not statistically different between the two groups (AVF=31.41 wpm; NVF=32.54 wpm; p=0.113). Children with uncorrected hyperopia (p=0.003) and astigmatism (p=0.019) had worst reading performance. Children in 2nd, 3rd, or 4th grades presented a lower risk of having reading impairment when compared with the 1st grade. Conclusion - Children with AVF had reading impairment in the first school grade. It seems that reading abilities have a wide variation and this disparity lessens in older children. The slow reading characteristics of the children with AVF are similar to dyslexic children, which suggest the need for an eye evaluation before classifying the children as dyslexic.

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Mestrado em Tecnologia de Diagnóstico e Intervenção Cardiovascular - Ramo de especialização: Ultrassonografia Cardiovascular

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In the proposed model, the independent system operator (ISO) provides the opportunity for maintenance outage rescheduling of generating units before each short-term (ST) time interval. Long-term (LT) scheduling for 1 or 2 years in advance is essential for the ISO and the generation companies (GENCOs) to decide their LT strategies; however, it is not possible to be exactly followed and requires slight adjustments. The Cournot-Nash equilibrium is used to characterize the decision-making procedure of an individual GENCO for ST intervals considering the effective coordination with LT plans. Random inputs, such as parameters of the demand function of loads, hourly demand during the following ST time interval and the expected generation pattern of the rivals, are included as scenarios in the stochastic mixed integer program defined to model the payoff-maximizing objective of a GENCO. Scenario reduction algorithms are used to deal with the computational burden. Two reliability test systems were chosen to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed model for the ST decision-making process for future planned outages from the point of view of a GENCO.

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This technical report describes the PDFs which have been implemented to model the behaviours of certain parameters of the Repeater-Based Hybrid Wired/Wireless PROFIBUS Network Simulator (RHW2PNetSim) and Bridge-Based Hybrid Wired/Wireless PROFIBUS Network Simulator (BHW2PNetSim).

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In this paper, we analyze the performance limits of the slotted CSMA/CA mechanism of IEEE 802.15.4 in the beacon-enabled mode for broadcast transmissions in WSNs. The motivation for evaluating the beacon-enabled mode is due to its flexibility for WSN applications as compared to the non-beacon enabled mode. Our analysis is based on an accurate simulation model of the slotted CSMA/CA mechanism on top of a realistic physical layer, with respect to the IEEE 802.15.4 standard specification. The performance of the slotted CSMA/CA is evaluated and analyzed for different network settings to understand the impact of the protocol attributes (superframe order, beacon order and backoff exponent) on the network performance, namely in terms of throughput (S), average delay (D) and probability of success (Ps). We introduce the concept of utility (U) as a combination of two or more metrics, to determine the best offered load range for an optimal behavior of the network. We show that the optimal network performance using slotted CSMA/CA occurs in the range of 35% to 60% with respect to an utility function proportional to the network throughput (S) divided by the average delay (D).

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The IEEE 802.15.4 has been adopted as a communication protocol standard for Low-Rate Wireless Private Area Networks (LRWPANs). While it appears as a promising candidate solution for Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs), its adequacy must be carefully evaluated. In this paper, we analyze the performance limits of the slotted CSMA/CA medium access control (MAC) mechanism in the beacon-enabled mode for broadcast transmissions in WSNs. The motivation for evaluating the beacon-enabled mode is due to its flexibility and potential for WSN applications as compared to the non-beacon enabled mode. Our analysis is based on an accurate simulation model of the slotted CSMA/CA mechanism on top of a realistic physical layer, with respect to the IEEE 802.15.4 standard specification. The performance of the slotted CSMA/CA is evaluated and analyzed for different network settings to understand the impact of the protocol attributes (superframe order, beacon order and backoff exponent), the number of nodes and the data frame size on the network performance, namely in terms of throughput (S), average delay (D) and probability of success (Ps). We also analytically evaluate the impact of the slotted CSMA/CA overheads on the saturation throughput. We introduce the concept of utility (U) as a combination of two or more metrics, to determine the best offered load range for an optimal behavior of the network. We show that the optimal network performance using slotted CSMA/CA occurs in the range of 35% to 60% with respect to an utility function proportional to the network throughput (S) divided by the average delay (D).

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Penalty and Barrier methods are normally used to solve Nonlinear Optimization Problems constrained problems. The problems appear in areas such as engineering and are often characterised by the fact that involved functions (objective and constraints) are non-smooth and/or their derivatives are not know. This means that optimization methods based on derivatives cannot net used. A Java based API was implemented, including only derivative-free optimizationmethods, to solve both constrained and unconstrained problems, which includes Penalty and Barriers methods. In this work a new penalty function, based on Fuzzy Logic, is presented. This function imposes a progressive penalization to solutions that violate the constraints. This means that the function imposes a low penalization when the violation of the constraints is low and a heavy penalisation when the violation is high. The value of the penalization is not known in beforehand, it is the outcome of a fuzzy inference engine. Numerical results comparing the proposed function with two of the classic penalty/barrier functions are presented. Regarding the presented results one can conclude that the prosed penalty function besides being very robust also exhibits a very good performance.

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OBJECTIVE To analyze the prevalence of individuals at risk of dependence and its associated factors.METHODS The study was based on data from the Catalan Health Survey, Spain conducted in 2010 and 2011. Logistic regression models from a random sample of 3,842 individuals aged ≥ 15 years were used to classify individuals according to the state of their personal autonomy. Predictive models were proposed to identify indicators that helped distinguish dependent individuals from those at risk of dependence. Variables on health status, social support, and lifestyles were considered.RESULTS We found that 18.6% of the population presented a risk of dependence, especially after age 65. Compared with this group, individuals who reported dependence (11.0%) had difficulties performing activities of daily living and had to receive support to perform them. Habits such as smoking, excessive alcohol consumption, and being sedentary were associated with a higher probability of dependence, particularly for women.CONCLUSIONS Difficulties in carrying out activities of daily living precede the onset of dependence. Preserving personal autonomy and function without receiving support appear to be a preventive factor. Adopting an active and healthy lifestyle helps reduce the risk of dependence.

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This paper proposes a Genetic Algorithm (GA) for the design of combinational logic circuits. The fitness function evaluation is calculated using Fractional Calculus. This approach extends the classical fitness function by including a fractional-order dynamical evaluation. The experiments reveal superior results when comparing with the classical method.

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The theory of fractional calculus (FC) is a useful mathematical tool in many applied sciences. Nevertheless, only in the last decades researchers were motivated for the adoption of the FC concepts. There are several reasons for this state of affairs, namely the co-existence of different definitions and interpretations, and the necessity of approximation methods for the real time calculation of fractional derivatives (FDs). In a first part, this paper introduces a probabilistic interpretation of the fractional derivative based on the Grünwald-Letnikov definition. In a second part, the calculation of fractional derivatives through Padé fraction approximations is analyzed. It is observed that the probabilistic interpretation and the frequency response of fraction approximations of FDs reveal a clear correlation between both concepts.

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This paper studies the describing function (DF) of systems consisting in a mass subjected to nonlinear friction. The friction force is composed in three components namely, the viscous, the Coulomb and the static forces. The system dynamics is analyzed in the DF perspective revealing a fractional-order behaviour. The reliability of the DF method is evaluated through the signal harmonic content and the limit cycle prediction.