920 resultados para Global Warming, Building Simulation, Internal Load Density, Adaptation Strategies
Resumo:
[EN] The last 5 Myr are characterized by cliamatic variations globally and are reflected in ancient fossiliferous marine deposits visible in the Canary Islands. The fossils contained are identificated as paleoecological and paleoclimatic indicators. The Mio-Pliocene Transit is represented by the coral Siderastrea micoenica Osasco, 1897; the gastropods Rothpletzia rudista Simonelli, 1890; Ancilla glandiformis (Lamarck, 1822); Strombus coronatus Defrance, 1827 and Nerita emiliana Mayer, 1872 and the bivalve Gryphaea virleti Deshayes, 1832 as most characteristic fossils and typical of a very warm climate and littoral zone. Associated lava flows have been dated radiometrically and provides a range between 8.9 and about 4.2 Kyr. In the mid-Pleistocene, about 400,000 years ago, the called Marine Isotope Stage 11, a strong global warming that caused a sea level rise happens. Remains of the MIS 11 are preserved on the coast of Arucas (Gran Canaria), and associated with a tsunami in Piedra Alta (Lanzarote). These fossilifeorus deposits contains the bivalve Saccostrea cucullata (Born, 1780), the gastropod Purpurellus gambiensis (Reeve, 1845) and the corals Madracis pharensis (Heller, 1868) and Dendrophyllia cornigera (Lamarck, 1816). Both sites have been dated by K-Ar on pillow lavas (approximately 420,000 years) and by Uranium Series on corals (about 481,000 years) respectively. The upper Pleistocene starts with another strong global warming known as the last interglacial or marine isotope stage (MIS) 5.5, about 125,000 years ago, which also left marine fossil deposits exposed in parallel to current in Igueste of San Andrés (Tenerife), El Altillo, the city of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria and Maspalomas (Gran Canaria), Matas Blancas, the Playitas and Morrojable (Fuerteventura ) and in Playa Blanca and Punta Penedo (Lanzarote ). The fossil coral Siderastrea radians (Pallas , 1766 ) currently living in the Cape Verde Islands , the Gulf of Guinea and the Caribbean has allowed Uranium series dating. The gastropods Strombus bubonius Lamarck, 1822 and Harpa doris (Röding , 1798 ) currently living in the Gulf of Guinea. Current biogeography using synoptic data obtained through satellites provided by the ISS Canary Seas provides data of Ocean Surface Temperature (SST) and Chlorophyll a (Chlor a) . This has allowed the estimation of these sea conditions during interglacials compared to today .
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Water resources management will become increasingly important in agriculture as global warming takes place. Cover crop is largely used in viticultural areas based on the many positive agronomic and environmental benefits it provides. However, it is not clear what effect the cover crop can have on water use in the vineyard. This study is designed to develop a further understanding of the role cover crops play in total water use in the vineyard and develop our understanding of the potential use of cover crops as a water management tool. Two techniques were used to measure cover crop water use, the mini-lysimeters and a portable open chamber and data from both was compared to reference evapotranspiration (ETo) (FAO guidelines). While the mini-lysimeters seemed to be limited in their ability to accurately represent the water use of the surrounding soil, the open chamber method is a reliable and suitable instrument to be used for the accurate measurement of evapotranspiration. Further, the relationship between vineyard grass water use and the contributing environmental factors thought to influence water use were analyzed. A strong relationship between total available radiation and cover crop evapotranspiration was found suggesting the possibility of an indirect method of evapotranspiration measurement in a vineyard grass cover crop. Mowing the cover crop was determined to significantly effect transpiration as shown by both the mini-lysimeter and open chamber, however, the reduction was largely dependent on the growth rate of the grass.
Resumo:
Einfluß der internen Architektur von Polymermikronetzwerken auf Struktur und Dynamik konzentrierter Kolloid-Dispersionen Kugelförmige Polymermikronetzwerk-Kolloide gehören zur Klasse der sogenannten Mikrogele. Dabei handelt es sich um kolloidale Modellsysteme, die durch ihre interne Vernetzungsdichte charakterisiert werden.In dieser Arbeit sollte untersucht werden, ob sich die Wechselwirkungen zwischen den Mikrogel-Kolloiden über ein repulsives Potential der Form U(r) = 1/rn beschreiben lassen und ob der Poten-tialexponent n von der Vernetzungsdichte abhängt. Dazu wurden vor allem die innere Architektur, das Phasenverhalten und der statische Strukturfaktor 1:10, 1:50, 1:72 und 1:100 vernetzter Polymer-Mikronetzwerk-Kolloide bis in den Bereich hochkonzentrierter Dispersionen mit den Mitteln der Kleinwinkelneutronenstreuung, der Digitalphotographie und der statischen Lichtstreuung untersucht. Polymeranalytische Untersuchungen ergaben einen bei der Synthese anfallenden Anteil von unver-netztem, freiem Polymer innerhalb der Mikronetzwerke, welcher sich beim Lösen aus den Netzwerken herausbewegte. Das freie Polymer spielte vor allem beim Phasenverhalten der untersuchten Teilchen eine große Rolle und verursachte bei den Untersuchungen der statischen Strukturfaktoren Abweichun-gen vom 'harte Kugel'-Verhalten. Als Ergebnis der Kleinwinkel-Neutronenstreuung konnte eine ab-nehmende Verteilungsdichte der Vernetzer innerhalb der Polymermikronetzwerke in Richtung der -Teilchenoberfläche nachgewiesen werden. Die damit verbundene Konformationsfreiheit der Polymer-segmente auf der Teilchenoberfläche (bis hin zu 'mushroom'-Strukturen) wurde als Grund dafür an-gesehen, daß sich die Resultate der untersuchten Mikrogele aller Vernetzungsdichten im wesentlichen auf 'harte Kugeln' skalieren lassen.
Resumo:
La temperatura influenza molti dei processi fisiologici degli organismi marini e, considerato che la riproduzione dei coralli sembrerebbe essere sensibile agli stress, è necessario comprendere come questa possa reagire ai cambiamenti climatici globali per riuscire a prevedere le future risposte delle popolazioni. Leptopsammia pruvoti (Scleractinia, Dendrophylliidae) è un corallo solitario non zooxantellato presente in Mediterraneo e lungo le coste Atlantiche dal Portogallo alla Gran Bretagna meridionale, dalla superficie fino a 70 metri di profondità.. È un organismo gonocorico con fecondazione interna. In questo lavoro di tesi sono stati analizzati gli aspetti della gametogenesi di L. pruvoti a diverse latitudini per ottenere risultati preliminari riguardanti le possibili correlazioni tra attività riproduttiva e parametri ambientali (temperatura e irradianza). Tale studio si colloca all’interno del progetto europeo sul riscaldamento globale e biologia dei coralli FP7–IDEAS-ERC “Corals and Global Warming: The Mediterranean versus the Red Sea” (CoralWarm). I risultati presentati in questo lavoro sono relativi a cinque popolazioni di L. pruvoti (Genova, Calafuria, Palinuro, Scilla e Pantelleria) disposte lungo un gradiente latitudinale di temperatura e irradianza nel versante occidentale della penisola italiana. I campioni sono stati raccolti mediante campionamenti mensili effettuati tramite immersioni subacquee. Su ogni campione sono state effettuate misurazioni biometriche e analisi cito-istometriche. Nelle popolazioni analizzate i parametri riproduttivi (fecondità, abbondanza, indice gonadico, dimensione) sono stati messi in relazione con la temperatura di fondo (DT, °C) e l’irradianza solare (W/m2) peculiari di ogni sito. L. pruvoti ha mostrato una sessualità gonocorica in tutti i siti considerati. In tutte le popolazioni, la presenza di due stock di ovociti e la distribuzione degli stadi di maturazione degli spermiari durante le fasi di attività riproduttiva, nell’arco dell’anno, hanno permesso di definire un periodo di reclutamento e uno di maturità gonadica, suggerendo che tali eventi siano influenzati dai cambiamenti stagionali della temperatura dell’acqua e del fotoperiodo. Nel periodo di reclutamento, la fecondità presentava una debole correlazione positiva con i parametri ambientali considerati. Al momento della maturità gonadica gli ovociti erano di dimensioni maggiori e meno numerosi rispetto al periodo precedente, nelle popolazioni con una maggiore temperatura e irradianza. Una possibile interpretazione potrebbe essere l’esistenza di un processo di fusione degli ovociti nel periodo di maturità gonadica che sembrerebbe più marcato nelle popolazioni più calde e maggiormente irradiate. La spermatogenesi, diversamente, non ha delineato finora un pattern chiaramente interpretabile. Con i dati attualmente in nostro possesso, non possiamo tuttavia escludere che le differenze riscontrate nelle dimensioni di ovociti e spermiari lungo il gradiente latitudinale considerato siano dovute a un lieve sfasamento nel raggiungimento della maturità gonadica, pur mantenendo la medesima stagionalità nel ciclo riproduttivo delle diverse popolazioni. Ulteriori studi saranno necessari per poter meglio comprendere i complessi meccanismi che regolano e controllano i processi riproduttivi al variare dei parametri ambientali. In questo modo sarà possibile considerare i risulti ottenuti nel contesto dei cambiamenti climatici globali.
Resumo:
Die Fragmentierung von Waldgebieten, der Verlust geeigneter Habitate, die Invasion exotischer Arten und globale Klimaveränderung haben auf Artengemeinschaften erhebliche Auswirkungen. Vögel dienen in vielen Fällen als Indikatorarten für Umweltveränderungen und, besonders, für Veränderungen im Zusammenhang mit globaler Erwärmung. In meiner Arbeit habe ich zuerst einen Literaturüberblick über die Auswirkungen globaler Klimaveränderung auf die Verbreitungsgebiete, den Artenreichtum und die Zusammensetzung von Vogelgemeinschaften dargestellt. Zahlreiche Untersuchungen zeigen, daß die Grenzen der Verbreitungsgebiete der meisten Vogelarten mit klimatischen Faktoren korrelieren. Verschiebungen der Verbreitungsgebiete in nördliche Richtung oder in höhere Regionen im Gebirge konnten bereits für viele temperate Vogelarten beobachtet werden. Weiterhin wurde ein zunehmender Artenreichtum besonders in nördlichen Breiten und in höheren Lagen für viele temperate Vogelgemeinschaften vorhergesagt. In trockenen Gebieten ist dagegen mit einer Abnahme des Artenreichtums zu rechnen. Im zweiten Teil meiner Arbeit habe ich untersucht, ob beobachtete Veränderungen in der Zusammensetzung europäischer Vogelgemeinschaften tatsächlich durch aktuelle Klimaveränderungen beeinflußt werden. Das Zugverhalten der Arten war dabei ein Schwerpunkt der Untersuchung, weil zu erwarten war, daß Vogelarten mit verschiedenem Zugverhalten unterschiedlich auf Klimaveränderungen reagieren. Ich habe ein Regressionsmodell genutzt, welches die räumliche Beziehung zwischen dem Anteil von Langstreckenziehern, Kurzstreckenziehern und Standvögeln in europäischen Vogelgemeinschaften und verschiedenen Klimavariablen beschreibt. Für 21 Gebiete in Europa habe ich Daten über beobachtete Veränderungen in der Struktur der Vogelgemeinschaften und isochrone Klimaveränderungen zusammengetragen. Mit Hilfe dieser Klimaveränderungen und dem räumlichen Regressionsmodell konnte ich berechnen, welche Veränderungen in den Vogelgemeinschaften aufgrund der veränderten Klimabedingungen zu erwarten wären und sie mit beobachteten Veränderungen vergleichen. Beobachtete und berechnete Veränderungen korrelierten signifikant miteinander. Die beobachteten Veränderungen konnten nicht durch räumliche Autokorrelationseffekte oder durch alternative Faktoren, wie z.B. Veränderungen in der Landnutzung, erklärt werden. Im dritten Teil der Arbeit untersuchte ich für eine mitteleuropäische Vogelgemeinschaft welchen Einfluß Habitatveränderungen, die Invasion exotischer Arten und die Klimaveränderung auf Veränderungen der Häufigkeit und Verbreitungsgröße der 159 Vogelarten am Bodensee zwischen 1980-1981 und 2000-2002 hatten. Dabei konnte gezeigt werden, daß Veränderungen in der regionalen Abundanz sowohl durch Habitatveränderungen als auch durch Klimavänderungen hervorgerufen wurden. Exotische Arten schienen in dieser Zeit keinen bedeutenden Einfluß zu haben. Besonders bei Agrarlandarten, Arten mit nördlicheren Verbreitungsgebieten und bei Langstreckenziehern konnten signifikante Abnahmen in der Abundanz beobachtet werden. Vor allem die anhaltenden negativen Bestandsveränderungen bei Langstreckenziehern und die in den letzten zehn Jahren aufgetretenen Abnahmen nördlicher verbreiteter Vogelarten deuten darauf hin, daß die Klimaveränderung aktuell als der größte Einfluß für Vögel in Europa angesehen werden muß. Insgesamt zeigen die Ergebnisse dieser Arbeit, daß sich der anhaltende Druck auf die Umwelt in erster Linie durch Habitat- und Klimaveränderungen manifestiert.
Resumo:
Successful conservation of tropical montane forest, one of the most threatened ecosystems on earth, requires detailed knowledge of its biogeochemistry. Of particular interest is the response of the biogeochemical element cycles to external influences such as element deposition or climate change. Therefore the overall objective of my study was to contribute to improved understanding of role and functioning of the Andean tropical montane forest. In detail, my objectives were to determine (1) the role of long-range transported aerosols and their transport mechanisms, and (2) the role of short-term extreme climatic events for the element budget of Andean tropical forest. In a whole-catchment approach including three 8-13 ha microcatchments under tropical montane forest on the east-exposed slope of the eastern cordillera in the south Ecuadorian Andes at 1850-2200 m above sea level I monitored at least in weekly resolution the concentrations and fluxes of Ca, Mg, Na, K, NO3-N, NH4-N, DON, P, S, TOC, Mn, and Al in bulk deposition, throughfall, litter leachate, soil solution at the 0.15 and 0.3 m depths, and runoff between May 1998 and April 2003. I also used meteorological data from my study area collected by cooperating researchers and the Brazilian meteorological service (INPE), as well as remote sensing products of the North American and European space agencies NASA and ESA. My results show that (1) there was a strong interannual variation in deposition of Ca [4.4-29 kg ha-1 a-1], Mg [1.6-12], and K [9.8-30]) between 1998 and 2003. High deposition changed the Ca and Mg budgets of the catchments from loss to retention, suggesting that the additionally available Ca and Mg was used by the ecosystem. Increased base metal deposition was related to dust outbursts of the Sahara and an Amazonian precipitation pattern with trans-regional dry spells allowing for dust transport to the Andes. The increased base metal deposition coincided with a strong La Niña event in 1999/2000. There were also significantly elevated H+, N, and Mn depositions during the annual biomass burning period in the Amazon basin. Elevated H+ deposition during the biomass burning period caused elevated base metal loss from the canopy and the organic horizon and deteriorated already low base metal supply of the vegetation. Nitrogen was only retained during biomass burning but not during non-fire conditions when deposition was much smaller. Therefore biomass burning-related aerosol emissions in Amazonia seem large enough to substantially increase element deposition at the western rim of Amazonia. Particularly the related increase of acid deposition impoverishes already base-metal scarce ecosystems. As biomass burning is most intense during El Niño situations, a shortened ENSO cycle because of global warming likely enhances the acid deposition at my study forest. (2) Storm events causing near-surface water flow through C- and nutrient-rich topsoil during rainstorms were the major export pathway for C, N, Al, and Mn (contributing >50% to the total export of these elements). Near-surface flow also accounted for one third of total base metal export. This demonstrates that storm-event related near-surface flow markedly affects the cycling of many nutrients in steep tropical montane forests. Changes in the rainfall regime possibly associated with global climate change will therefore also change element export from the study forest. Element budgets of Andean tropical montane rain forest proved to be markedly affected by long-range transport of Saharan dust, biomass burning-related aerosols, or strong rainfalls during storm events. Thus, increased acid and nutrient deposition and the global climate change probably drive the tropical montane forest to another state with unknown consequences for its functions and biological diversity.
Resumo:
Modern food systems are characterized by a high energy intensity as well as by the production of large amounts of waste, residuals and food losses. This inefficiency presents major consequences, in terms of GHG emissions, waste disposal, and natural resource depletion. The research hypothesis is that residual biomass material could contribute to the energetic needs of food systems, if recovered as an integrated renewable energy source (RES), leading to a sensitive reduction of the impacts of food systems, primarily in terms of fossil fuel consumption and GHG emissions. In order to assess these effects, a comparative life cycle assessment (LCA) has been conducted to compare two different food systems: a fossil fuel-based system and an integrated system with the use of residual as RES for self-consumption. The food product under analysis has been the peach nectar, from cultivation to end-of-life. The aim of this LCA is twofold. On one hand, it allows an evaluation of the energy inefficiencies related to agro-food waste. On the other hand, it illustrates how the integration of bioenergy into food systems could effectively contribute to reduce this inefficiency. Data about inputs and waste generated has been collected mainly through literature review and databases. Energy balance, GHG emissions (Global Warming Potential) and waste generation have been analyzed in order to identify the relative requirements and contribution of the different segments. An evaluation of the energy “loss” through the different categories of waste allowed to provide details about the consequences associated with its management and/or disposal. Results should provide an insight of the impacts associated with inefficiencies within food systems. The comparison provides a measure of the potential reuse of wasted biomass and the amount of energy recoverable, that could represent a first step for the formulation of specific policies on the integration of bioenergies for self-consumption.
Resumo:
L’elaborato finale presentato per la tesi di Dottorato analizza e riconduce a unitarietà, per quanto possibile, alcune delle attività di ricerca da me svolte durante questi tre anni, il cui filo conduttore è l'impatto ambientale delle attività umane e la promozione dello sviluppo sostenibile. Il mio filone di ricerca è stato improntato, dal punto di vista di politica economica, sull'analisi storica dello sviluppo del settore agricolo dall'Unità d'Italia ai giorni nostri e dei cambiamenti avvenuti in contemporanea nel contesto socio-economico e territoriale nazionale, facendo particolare riferimento alle tematiche legate ai consumi e alla dipendenza energetica ed all'impatto ambientale. Parte della mia ricerca è stata, infatti, incentrata sull'analisi dello sviluppo della Green Economy, in particolare per quanto riguarda il settore agroalimentare e la produzione di fonti di energia rinnovabile. Enfasi viene posta sia sulle politiche implementate a livello comunitario e nazionale, sia sul cambiamento dei consumi, in particolare per quanto riguarda gli acquisti di prodotti biologici. La Green Economy è vista come fattore di sviluppo e opportunità per uscire dall'attuale contesto di crisi economico-finanziaria. Crisi, che è strutturale e di carattere duraturo, affiancata da una crescente problematica ambientale dovuta all'attuale modello produttivo, fortemente dipendente dai combustibili fossili. Difatti la necessità di cambiare paradigma produttivo promuovendo la sostenibilità è visto anche in ottica di mitigazione del cambiamento climatico e dei suoi impatti socio-economici particolare dal punto di vista dei disastri ambientali. Questo punto è analizzato anche in termini di sicurezza internazionale e di emergenza umanitaria, con riferimento al possibile utilizzo da parte delle organizzazioni di intervento nei contesti di emergenza di tecnologie alimentate da energia rinnovabile. Dando così una risposta Green ad una problematica esacerbata dall'impatto dello sviluppo delle attività umane.
Resumo:
L’attuale rilevanza rappresentata dalla stretta relazione tra cambiamenti climatici e influenza antropogenica ha da tempo posto l’attenzione sull’effetto serra e sul surriscaldamento planetario così come sull’aumento delle concentrazioni atmosferiche dei gas climaticamente attivi, in primo luogo la CO2. Il radiocarbonio è attualmente il tracciante ambientale per eccellenza in grado di fornire mediante un approccio “top-down” un valido strumento di controllo per discriminare e quantificare il diossido di carbonio presente in atmosfera di provenienza fossile o biogenica. Ecco allora che ai settori applicativi tradizionali del 14C, quali le datazioni archeometriche, si affiancano nuovi ambiti legati da un lato al settore energetico per quanto riguarda le problematiche associate alle emissioni di impianti, ai combustibili, allo stoccaggio geologico della CO2, dall’altro al mercato in forte crescita dei cosiddetti prodotti biobased costituiti da materie prime rinnovabili. Nell’ambito del presente lavoro di tesi è stato quindi esplorato il mondo del radiocarbonio sia dal punto di vista strettamente tecnico e metodologico che dal punto di vista applicativo relativamente ai molteplici e diversificati campi d’indagine. E’ stato realizzato e validato un impianto di analisi basato sul metodo radiometrico mediante assorbimento diretto della CO2 ed analisi in scintillazione liquida apportando miglioramenti tecnologici ed accorgimenti procedurali volti a migliorare le performance del metodo in termini di semplicità, sensibilità e riproducibilità. Il metodo, pur rappresentando generalmente un buon compromesso rispetto alle metodologie tradizionalmente usate per l’analisi del 14C, risulta allo stato attuale ancora inadeguato a quei settori applicativi laddove è richiesta una precisione molto puntuale, ma competitivo per l’analisi di campioni moderni ad elevata concentrazione di 14C. La sperimentazione condotta su alcuni liquidi ionici, seppur preliminare e non conclusiva, apre infine nuove linee di ricerca sulla possibilità di utilizzare questa nuova classe di composti come mezzi per la cattura della CO2 e l’analisi del 14C in LSC.
Resumo:
Considerando l'elevato grado di inquinamento del pianeta e la forte dipendenza delle attività antropiche dai combustibili fossili, stanno avendo notevole sviluppo e incentivazione gli impianti per la produzione di energia elettrica da fonti rinnovabili. In particolare, la digestione anaerobica è in grande diffusione in Italia. Lo studio in oggetto si prefigge l'obiettivo di determinare, mediante analisi di Life Cycle Assessment (LCA), i carichi ambientali di un impianto di digestione anaerobica, e della sua filiera, per valutarne l'effettiva ecosostenibilità. L'analisi considera anche gli impatti evitati grazie all'immissione in rete dell'energia elettrica prodotta e all'utilizzo del digestato in sostituzione dell'urea. Lo studio analizza sei categorie d'impatto: Global warming potential (GWP), Abiotic depletion potential (ADP), Acidification potential (AP), Eutrophication potential (EP), Ozone layer depletion potential (ODP) e Photochemical oxidant formation potential (POFP). I valori assoluti degli impatti sono stati oggetto anche di normalizzazione per stabilire la loro magnitudo. Inoltre, è stata effettuata un'analisi di sensitività per investigare le variazioni degli impatti ambientali in base alla sostituzione di differenti tecnologie per la produzione di energia elettrica: mix elettrico italiano, carbone e idroelettrico. Infine, sono stati analizzati due scenari alternativi all'impianto in esame che ipotizzano la sua conversione ad impianto per l'upgrading del biogas a biometano. I risultati mostrano, per lo scenario di riferimento (produzione di biogas), un guadagno, in termini ambientali, per il GWP, l'ADP e il POFP a causa dei notevoli impatti causati dalla produzione di energia elettrica da mix italiano che la filiera esaminata va a sostituire. I risultati evidenziano anche quanto gli impatti ambientali varino in base alla tipologia di alimentazione del digestore anaerobica: colture dedicate o biomasse di scarto. I due scenari alternativi, invece, mostrano un aumento degli impatti, rispetto allo scenario di riferimento, causati soprattutto dagli ulteriori consumi energetici di cui necessitano sia i processi di purificazione del biogas in biometano sia i processi legati alla digestione anaerobica che, nel caso dello scenario di riferimento, sono autoalimentati. L'eventuale conversione dell'attuale funzione dell'impianto deve essere fatta tenendo anche in considerazione i benefici funzionali ed economici apportati dalla produzione del biometano rispetto a quella del biogas.
Resumo:
The thesis comprises three essays that use experimental methods, one about other-regarding motivations in economic behavior and the others on pro-social behavior in two environmental economics problems. The first chapter studies how the expectations of the others and the concern to maintain a balance between effort exerted and rewards obtained interact in shaping the behavior in a modified dictator game. We find that dictators condition their choices on recipients' expectations only when there is a high probability that the the recipient will not be compensated for her effort. Otherwise, dictators tend to balance the efforts and rewards of the recipients, irrespective of the recipients' expectations. In the second chapter, I investigate the problem of local opposition to large public projects (e.g. landfills, incinerators, etc.). In particular, the experiment shows how the uncertainty about the project's quality makes the community living in the host site skeptical about the project. I also test whether side-transfers and costly information disclosure can help to increase the efficiency. Both tools succesfully make the host more willing to accept the project, but they lead to the realization of different types of projects. The last chapter is an experiment on climate negotiations. To avoid the global warming, countries are called to cooperate in the abatement of their emissions. We study whether the dynamic aspect of the climate change makes cooperation across countries behaviorally more difficult. We also consider inequality across countries as a possible factor that hinders international cooperation.
Resumo:
The study was arranged to manifest its objectives through preceding it with an intro-duction. Particular attention was paid in the second part to detect the physical settings of the study area, together with an attempt to show the climatic characteristics in Libya. In the third part, observed temporal and spatial climate change in Libya was investigated through the trends of temperature, precipitation, relative humidity and cloud amount over the peri-ods (1946-2000), (1946-1975), and (1976-2000), comparing the results with the global scales. The forth part detected the natural and human causes of climate change concentrat-ing on the greenhouse effect. The potential impacts of climate change on Libya were ex-amined in the fifth chapter. As a case study, desertification of Jifara Plain was studied in the sixth part. In the seventh chapter, projections and mitigations of climate change and desertification were discussed. Ultimately, the main results and recommendations of the study were summarized. In order to carry through the objectives outlined above, the following methods and approaches were used: a simple linear regression analysis was computed to detect the trends of climatic parameters over time; a trend test based on a trend-to-noise-ratio was applied for detecting linear or non-linear trends; the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test for trend was used to reveal the behavior of the trends and their significance; PCA was applied to construct the all-Libya climatic parameters trends; aridity index after Walter-Lieth was shown for computing humid respectively arid months in Libya; correlation coefficient, (after Pearson) for detecting the teleconnection between sun spot numbers, NAOI, SOI, GHGs, and global warming, climate changes in Libya; aridity index, after De Martonne, to elaborate the trends of aridity in Jifara Plain; Geographical Information System and Re-mote Sensing techniques were applied to clarify the illustrations and to monitor desertifi-cation of Jifara Plain using the available satellite images MSS, TM, ETM+ and Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM). The results are explained by 88 tables, 96 figures and 10 photos. Temporal and spatial temperature changes in Libya indicated remarkably different an-nual and seasonal trends over the long observation period 1946-2000 and the short obser-vation periods 1946-1975 and 1976-2000. Trends of mean annual temperature were posi-tive at all study stations except at one from 1946-2000, negative trends prevailed at most stations from 1946-1975, while strongly positive trends were computed at all study stations from 1976-2000 corresponding with the global warming trend. Positive trends of mean minimum temperatures were observed at all reference stations from 1946-2000 and 1976-2000, while negative trends prevailed at most stations over the period 1946-1975. For mean maximum temperature, positive trends were shown from 1946-2000 and from 1976-2000 at most stations, while most trends were negative from 1946-1975. Minimum tem-peratures increased at nearly more than twice the rate of maximum temperatures at most stations. In respect of seasonal temperature, warming mostly occurred in summer and au-tumn in contrast to the global observations identifying warming mostly in winter and spring in both study periods. Precipitation across Libya is characterized by scanty and sporadically totals, as well as high intensities and very high spatial and temporal variabilities. From 1946-2000, large inter-annual and intra-annual variabilities were observed. Positive trends of annual precipi-tation totals have been observed from 1946-2000, negative trends from 1976-2000 at most stations. Variabilities of seasonal precipitation over Libya are more strikingly experienced from 1976-2000 than from 1951-1975 indicating a growing magnitude of climate change in more recent times. Negative trends of mean annual relative humidity were computed at eight stations, while positive trends prevailed at seven stations from 1946-2000. For the short observation period 1976-2000, positive trends were computed at most stations. Annual cloud amount totals decreased at most study stations in Libya over both long and short periods. Re-markably large spatial variations of climate changes were observed from north to south over Libya. Causes of climate change were discussed showing high correlation between tempera-ture increasing over Libya and CO2 emissions; weakly positive correlation between pre-cipitation and North Atlantic Oscillation index; negative correlation between temperature and sunspot numbers; negative correlation between precipitation over Libya and Southern Oscillation Index. The years 1992 and 1993 were shown as the coldest in the 1990s result-ing from the eruption of Mount Pinatubo, 1991. Libya is affected by climate change in many ways, in particular, crop production and food security, water resources, human health, population settlement and biodiversity. But the effects of climate change depend on its magnitude and the rate with which it occurs. Jifara Plain, located in northwestern Libya, has been seriously exposed to desertifica-tion as a result of climate change, landforms, overgrazing, over-cultivation and population growth. Soils have been degraded, vegetation cover disappeared and the groundwater wells were getting dry in many parts. The effect of desertification on Jifara Plain appears through reducing soil fertility and crop productivity, leading to long-term declines in agri-cultural yields, livestock yields, plant standing biomass, and plant biodiversity. Desertifi-cation has also significant implications on livestock industry and the national economy. Desertification accelerates migration from rural and nomadic areas to urban areas as the land cannot support the original inhabitants. In the absence of major shifts in policy, economic growth, energy prices, and con-sumer trends, climate change in Libya and desertification of Jifara Plain are expected to continue in the future. Libya cooperated with United Nations and other international organizations. It has signed and ratified a number of international and regional agreements which effectively established a policy framework for actions to mitigate climate change and combat deserti-fication. Libya has implemented several laws and legislative acts, with a number of ancil-lary and supplementary rules to regulate. Despite the current efforts and ongoing projects being undertaken in Libya in the field of climate change and desertification, urgent actions and projects are needed to mitigate climate change and combat desertification in the near future.
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Under the global change scenario, the possible effects of ocean warming were investigated on the larvae of five species of Caribbean Echinoids: Echinometra lucunter, Echinometra viridis, Clypeaster rosaceus, Tripneustes ventricosus and Lytechinus williamsi. Their thermal tolerance was evaluated rearing them for six days under different temperature regimes (26, 28, 30, 32, 34, 36°C). The larval sensitivity to the treatments was evaluated on the base of survival and growth. The rearing at higher temperatures has revealed a great suffering state of the larvae by inducing both reduction of live larvae and abnormality in their development. The extent of impact of the treatments varied from species to species, evidencing different levels of thermal tolerance. Anyway, higher temperature treatments have shown a general lethal threshold at about 34°C for most of the species. As an exception, the lethal threshold of Echinometra species was 36°C, few larvae of which being still capable of survive at the temperature of 34°C. The studies have also analyzed the effect of water warming on the larvae growth in terms of size and symmetry. The results put in evidence the presence of a critical upper temperature (about 32°C) at which the larvae of all species reveal a great suffering state that translates in the reduction of size (i.e., of body, stomach and postero-dorsal arm) and abnormalities (i.e., strong difference in the lengths of the two postero-dorsal arms). As sea surface temperatures are predicted to increase of 4-5°C by 2100, the high percentage of abnormal larvae and their scarce survival observed at 32- 34°C treatments indicate that the early stages of these species could be affected by future global warming.
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Climate change is occurring at a faster rate than in the past, with an expected increase of mean sea surface temperatures up to 4.8°C by the end of this century. The actual capabilities of marine invertebrates to adapt to these rapid changes has still to be understood. Adult echinoids play a crucial role in the tropical ecosystems where they live. Despite their role, few studies about the effect of temperature increase on their viability have been reported in literature. This thesis work reports a first systematic study on several Caribbean echinoids about their tolerance to temperature rise in the context of global warming. The research - carried out at the Bocas del Toro Station of the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, in Panama - focalized on the 6 sea urchins Lytechinus variegatus, L. williamsi, Echinometra lucunter, E. viridis, Tripneustes ventricosus and Eucidaris tribuloides, and the 2 sand dollars Clypeaster rosaceus and C. subdepressus. Mortality and neuromuscular well-being indicators - such as righting response, covering behaviour, adhesion to the substrate, spine and tube feet movements - have been analysed in the temperature range 28-38°C. The righting time RT (i.e., the time necessary for the animal to right itself completely after inversion) measured in the 6 sea urchin species, demonstrated a clearly dependence on the water temperature. The experiments allowed to determine the “thermal safety margin” (TSM) of each species. Echinometra lucunter and E. viridis resulted the most tolerant species to high temperatures with a TSM of 5.5°C, while T. ventricosus was the most vulnerable with a TSM of only 3°C. The study assessed that all the species already live at temperatures close to their upper thermal limit. Their TSMs are comparable to the predicted temperature increase by 2100. In absence of acclimatization to such temperature change, these species could experience severe die-offs, with important consequences for tropical marine ecosystems.
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The role of the binary nucleation of sulfuric acid in aerosol formation and its implications for global warming is one of the fundamental unsettled questions in atmospheric chemistry. We have investigated the thermodynamics of sulfuric acid hydration using ab initio quantum mechanical methods. For H2SO4(H2O)n where n = 1–6, we used a scheme combining molecular dynamics configurational sampling with high-level ab initio calculations to locate the global and many low lying local minima for each cluster size. For each isomer, we extrapolated the Møller–Plesset perturbation theory (MP2) energies to their complete basis set (CBS) limit and added finite temperature corrections within the rigid-rotor-harmonic-oscillator (RRHO) model using scaled harmonic vibrational frequencies. We found that ionic pair (HSO4–·H3O+)(H2O)n−1 clusters are competitive with the neutral (H2SO4)(H2O)n clusters for n ≥ 3 and are more stable than neutral clusters for n ≥ 4 depending on the temperature. The Boltzmann averaged Gibbs free energies for the formation of H2SO4(H2O)n clusters are favorable in colder regions of the troposphere (T = 216.65–273.15 K) for n = 1–6, but the formation of clusters with n ≥ 5 is not favorable at higher (T > 273.15 K) temperatures. Our results suggest the critical cluster of a binary H2SO4–H2O system must contain more than one H2SO4 and are in concert with recent findings(1) that the role of binary nucleation is small at ambient conditions, but significant at colder regions of the troposphere. Overall, the results support the idea that binary nucleation of sulfuric acid and water cannot account for nucleation of sulfuric acid in the lower troposphere.