Interest rate exposure of Spanish banks: A nonparametric analysis

Interest rate risk is one of the major financial risks faced by banks due to the very nature of the banking business. The most common approach in the literature has been to estimate the impact of interest rate risk on banks using a simple linear regression model. However, the relationship between interest rate changes and bank stock returns does not need to be exclusively linear. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the interest rate exposure of the Spanish banking industry employing both parametric and non parametric estimation methods. Its main contribution is to use, for the first time in the context of banks’ interest rate risk, a nonparametric regression technique that avoids the assumption of a specific functional form. One the one hand, it is found that the Spanish banking sector exhibits a remarkable degree of interest rate exposure, although the impact of interest rate changes on bank stock returns has significantly declined following the introduction of the euro. Further, a pattern of positive exposure emerges during the post-euro period. On the other hand, the results corresponding to the nonparametric model support the expansion of the conventional linear model in an attempt to gain a greater insight into the actual degree of exposure.

A multifactor approach to the social discount rate

This work focuses on the appraisal of public and environmental projects and, more specifically, on the calculation of the social discount rate (SDR) for this kind of very long-term investment projects. As a rule, we can state that the instantaneous discount rate must be equal to the hazard rate of the public good or to the mortality rate of the population that the project is intended to. The hazard can be due to technical failures of the system, but, in this paper, we are going to consider different independent variables that can cause the hazard. That is, we are going to consider a multivariate hazard rate. In our empirical application, the Spanish forest surface will be the system and the forest fire will be the fail that can be caused by several factors. The aim of this work is to integrate the different variables that produce the fail in the calculation of the SDR from a multivariate hazard rate approach.

The problem of estimating the volatility of zero coupon bond interest rate

Financial literature and financial industry use often zero coupon yield curves as input for testing hypotheses, pricing assets or managing risk. They assume this provided data as accurate. We analyse implications of the methodology and of the sample selection criteria used to estimate the zero coupon bond yield term structure on the resulting volatility of spot rates with different maturities. We obtain the volatility term structure using historical volatilities and Egarch volatilities. As input for these volatilities we consider our own spot rates estimation from GovPX bond data and three popular interest rates data sets: from the Federal Reserve Board, from the US Department of the Treasury (H15), and from Bloomberg. We find strong evidence that the resulting zero coupon bond yield volatility estimates as well as the correlation coefficients among spot and forward rates depend significantly on the data set. We observe relevant differences in economic terms when volatilities are used to price derivatives.

Incidence rate and spatio-temporal clustering of type 1 diabetes in Santiago, Chile, from 1997 to 1998

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the incidence rate of type 1 diabetes in the urban area of Santiago, Chile, from March 21, 1997 to March 20, 1998, and to assess the spatio-temporal clustering of cases during that period. METHODS: All sixty-one incident cases were located temporally (day of diagnosis) and spatially (place of residence) in the area of study. Knox's method was used to assess spatio-temporal clustering of incident cases. RESULTS: The overall incidence rate of type 1 diabetes was 4.11 cases per 100,000 children aged less than 15 years per year (95% confidence interval: 3.06--5.14). The incidence rate seems to have increased since the last estimate of the incidence calculated for the years 1986--1992 in the metropolitan region of Santiago. Different combinations of space-time intervals have been evaluated to assess spatio-temporal clustering. The smallest p-value was found for the combination of critical distances of 750 meters and 60 days (uncorrected p-value = 0.048). CONCLUSIONS: Although these are preliminary results regarding space-time clustering in Santiago, exploratory analysis of the data method would suggest a possible aggregation of incident cases in space-time coordinates.

Modulation of osteoclastogenesis by antihypertensive drugs

Despite its rigid structure, bone is a dynamic tissue that is in constant remodeling. This process requires the action of the bone-resorbing osteoclasts and the bone-synthesing osteoblasts. One of the adverse effects attributed to some antihypertensive agents is the ability to alter normal bone metabolism. However, their effective actions on human bone cells remain to be clarified. In this work, the effects of five calcium channel blockers, a class of antihypertensive drugs (AHDs), were investigated on osteoclastic differentiation. Osteoclastic cell cultures were established from precursor cells isolated from human peripheral blood, and were maintained in the absence (control) or in the presence of 10-8-10-4 M of different AHDs (amlodipine, felodipine, diltiazem, lercanidipine and nifedipine). Cell cultures were characterized throughout a 21 day period for tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase (TRAP) activity, number of TRAP+ multinucleated cells, presence of cells with actin rings and expressing vitronectin and calcitonin receptors, and apoptosis rate. Also, the involvement of several signaling pathways on the cellular response was addressed. It was observed that the tested AHDs had the ability to differentially affect osteoclastogenesis. At low doses, amlodipine and felodipine caused an increase on osteoclastic differentiation, while the other drugs inhibited it. At higher doses, all the molecules caused a decrease on the process. The tested AHDs also showed different effects on the analysed signaling pathways. In conclusion, AHDs appeared to have a direct effect on human osteoclast precursor cells, affecting their differentiation. Interestingly, some of them increased while others inhibited the process. Unraveling the mechanisms beneath these observations might help to explain the adverse effects on bone tissue described for this drug class.

Effect of temperature and prey in the biology of Scymnus subvillosus (Goeze) (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae)

Dissertação de Mestrado, Biotecnologia em Controlo Biológico, 18 de Dezembro de 2013, Universidade dos Açores.

Improved matching criterion for frame rate upconversion with trilateral filtering

Frame rate upconversion (FRUC) is an important post-processing technique to enhance the visual quality of low frame rate video. A major, recent advance in this area is FRUC based on trilateral filtering which novelty mainly derives from the combination of an edge-based motion estimation block matching criterion with the trilateral filter. However, there is still room for improvement, notably towards reducing the size of the uncovered regions in the initial estimated frame, this means the estimated frame before trilateral filtering. In this context, proposed is an improved motion estimation block matching criterion where a combined luminance and edge error metric is weighted according to the motion vector components, notably to regularise the motion field. Experimental results confirm that significant improvements are achieved for the final interpolated frames, reaching PSNR gains up to 2.73 dB, on average, regarding recent alternative solutions, for video content with varied motion characteristics.

Design of a Multiband Full-Rate Ultra-Wideband Receiver in FPGA

MultiBand OFDM (MB-OFDM) UWB [1] is a short-range promising wireless technology for high data rate communications up to 480 Mbps. In this paper, we have designed and implemented in an Virtex-6 FPGA an MB-OFDM UWB receiver for the highest data rate of 480 Mbps. To test the system, we have also implemented an MB-OFDM transmitter and an AWGN generator in VHDL and determined the bit error rates at the receiver running in an FPGA.

Adaptive mutations in bacteria: high rate and small effects

Evolution by natural selection is driven by the continuous generation of adaptive mutations. We measured the genomic mutation rate that generates beneficial mutations and their effects on fitness in Escherichia coli under conditions in which the effect of competition between lineages carrying different beneficial mutations is minimized. We found a rate on the order of 10–5 per genome per generation, which is 1000 times as high as previous estimates, and a mean selective advantage of 1%. Such a high rate of adaptive evolution has implications for the evolution of antibiotic resistance and pathogenicity.

Encapsulamento de monómeros da lenhina pela β-ciclodextrina: estudos químico e de biodegradação

Mestrado em Engenharia Química.Ramo Tecnologias de Protecção Ambiental

Estudo da influência das condições de armazenamento nas propriedades e composição do biodiesel

O objectivo deste trabalho era a determinação da influência das condições de armazenamento do biodiesel nas suas propriedades e composição. Para isso foi produzido biodiesel a partir de óleo alimentar usado e armazenado em diferentes condições. O biodiesel foi colocado em frascos de vidro e dividido em três grupos diferentes de temperatura. O primeiro foi colocado a uma temperatura de 6ºC (frigorifico) com frascos fechados e expostos ao ar e água. O segundo grupo foi colocado a uma temperatura de 40ºC (banho termostático) com frascos fechados, abertos ao ar e abertos ao ar e água. O terceiro e ultimo grupo foi colocado à temperatura ambiente (18,6constantes ao longo do tempo. O índice de iodo não permitiu concluir claramente que houve uma diminuição nas ligações duplas como seria espectável. Ao analisar os cromatogramas obtidos na determinação dos ésteres das amostras armazenadas em contacto com ar e água, a 40ºC verifica-se a formação de ácidos gordos a partir dos 81 dias de armazenamento. Com os resultados obtidos verificou-se que para as amostras colocadas a 40ºC e em contacto com ar e água a taxa de oxidação é mais acelerada, fazendo com que o biodiesel perca as características e propriedades iniciais, já no caso das amostras armazenadas a 6ºC e em frascos fechados verifica-se que os parâmetros estudados praticamente não sofrem alterações, mantendo quase inalteradas as propriedades e composição do biodiesel ao fim das 16 semanas de estudo. Assim é possível concluir que para se conseguir manter as características e propriedades do biodiesel durante um armazenamento prolongado é necessário garantir um ambiente fresco de preferência inerte e depósitos completamentos secos, de forma a evitar as condições que provocam oxidação.

Estudo da implementação de um sistema de vigilância e alarme num recurso hídrico

Neste trabalho estudou-se a implementação de um sistema de vigilância e alerta da qualidade da água de um recurso hídrico, para um possível caso de poluição. Em 25 de Agosto de 2008 foram derramadas 4 toneladas de ácido clorídrico acidentalmente para as águas do rio Febros. Este rio situa-se no concelho de Vila Nova de Gaia e é um pequeno afluente do rio Douro, tendo cerca de 14 km de extensão e tem a particularidade de atravessar o Parque Biológico de Gaia. A falta de uma rápida intervenção e da existência de um plano de ação levou a que parte da fauna e flora fosse destruída. Por este motivo realizou-se este estudo que se baseou na criação de um sistema de vigilância e alerta a ser implementado neste rio. A informação da hidrogeometria do rio e da capacidade de transporte e dispersão de poluentes é indispensável para o bom funcionamento deste sistema. O coeficiente de dispersão longitudinal é um parâmetro muito importante no estudo da qualidade da água. Recorreu-se à utilização da Rodamina WT como marcador, determinando assim a evolução da sua concentração ao longo do tempo e espaço. No cálculo do coeficiente de dispersão foi utilizado o modelo Transient Storage, que demonstrou ser um bom modelo de ajuste aproximando-se dos valores medidos em campo. Para três estações diferentes com distâncias de 290, 390 e 1100 metros do ponto de injeção, obtiveram-se valores de coeficiente de dispersão de 0,18, 0,15 e 0,39 m2/s respetivamente. Os valores do ajuste expressos sob a forma de coeficiente de correlação foram 0,988, 0,998 e 0,986, para a mesma ordem de estações. A constante de rearejamento do rio foi também determinada recorrendo ao método dos marcadores inertes, utilizando o propano como marcador gasoso. A constante determinada próximo de Casal Drijo, entre 2 estações de amostragem a 140 e 290 m do local de injeção, foi de 13,4 dia-1. Com os resultados do coeficiente de dispersão e da constante de rearejamento para além da velocidade e caudal da corrente do rio conseguir-se-á construir o modelo de simulação e previsão de um possível poluente. O sistema de vigilância a implementar sugere-se assim que seja construído por duas partes, uma de análise de evolução da nuvem de poluição e plano de ação outra de monitorização contínua e emissão de alerta. Após uma análise do investimento à implementação deste sistema chegou-se à conclusão que o valor de investimento é de 15.182,00 €.

Estudo do tratamento de águas contaminadas com tricloroetileno, usando ferro zerovalente

A tecnologia de barreiras reactivas é uma alternativa possível de ser implementada para tratamento de águas contaminadas com compostos organoclorados, nomeadamente o tricloroetileno (TCE). O recurso a ferro zerovalente (Fe0) como meio reactivo tem na actualidade inúmeras aplicações, tratando-se de uma reacção de desalogenação por mecanismo de oxidação-redução. Neste trabalho fizeram-se estudos em batch da reacção entre o Fe0 e o TCE de forma a conhecer os parâmetros cinéticos. A natureza e a área da superfície do ferro provaram ser determinantes na velocidade da reacção. Foi possível verificar que para o sistema ferro comercial / TCE a ordem da reacção é inferior a um, e a constante cinética da ordem de 10-2 Lm-2h-1. Para simular uma barreira reactiva, projectaram-se e construíram-se colunas, as quais foram cheias com areia e ferro depois de devidamente misturados, uma vez que se tratou da disposição a que corresponderam melhores eficiências de redução do TCE. Não foi possível estabelecer o mecanismo da reacção, nem conhecer os parâmetros cinéticos, pelas dificuldades experimentais encontradas na análise do TCE e pelo facto de se tratar de uma reacção muito lenta. A cromatografia gasosa com detector de ionização de chama provou ser o método mais apropriado para doseamento do TCE em águas contaminadas, nas condições usadas neste estudo. A elevada volatilização do TCE e a baixa solubilidade em água contribuíram para as dificuldades operacionais encontradas.

The impact of financial disclosures in the measurement of notional interest rate swaps in the period of 2007-2012

Mestrado em Contabilidade

Performance of a Brazilian population on the test of functional health literacy in adults

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the scoring obtained by an instrument, which evaluates the ability to read and understand items in the health care setting, according to education and age. METHODS: The short version of the Test of Functional Health Literacy in Adults was administered to 312 healthy participants of different ages and years of schooling. The study was conducted between 2006 and 2007, in the city of São Paulo, Southeastern Brazil. The test includes actual materials such as pill bottles and appointment slips and measures reading comprehension, assessing the ability to read and correctly pronounce a list of words and understand both prose passages and numerical information. Pearson partial correlations and a multiple regression model were used to verify the association between its scores and education and age. RESULTS: The mean age of the sample was 47.3 years(sd=16.8) and the mean education was 9.7 years(sd=5; range: 1 - 17). A total of 32.4% of the sample showed literacy/numeracy deficits, scoring in the inadequate and marginal functional health literacy ranges. Among the elderly (65 years or older) this rate increased to 51.6%. There was a positive correlation between schooling and scores (r=0.74; p<0.01) and a negative correlation between age and the scores (r=-0.259; p<0.01). The correlation between the scores and age was not significant when the effects of education were held constant (rp=-0.031, p=0.584). A significant association (B=3.877, Beta =0.733; p<0.001) was found between schooling and scores. Age was not a significant predictor in this model (B=-0.035, Beta=-0.22; p=0.584). CONCLUSIONS: The short version of the Test of Functional Health Literacy in Adults was a suitable tool to assess health literacy in the study population. The high number of individuals classified as functional illiterates in this test highlights the importance of special assistance to help them properly understand directions for healthcare.