942 resultados para Markov decision processes


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As the time goes on, it is a question of common sense to involve in the process of decision making people scattered around the globe. Groups are created in a formal or informal way, exchange ideas or engage in a process of argumentation and counterargumentation, negotiate, cooperate, collaborate or even discuss techniques and/or methodologies for problem solving. In this work it is proposed an agent-based architecture to support a ubiquitous group decision support system, i.e. based on the concept of agent, which is able to exhibit intelligent, and emotional-aware behaviour, and support argumentation, through interaction with individual persons or groups. It is enforced the paradigm of Mixed Initiative Systems, so the initiative is to be pushed by human users and/or intelligent agents.

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In this paper is proposed the integration of personality, emotion and mood aspects for a group of participants in a decision-making negotiation process. The aim is to simulate the participant behavior in that scenario. The personality is modeled through the OCEAN five-factor model of personality (Openness, Conscientiousness, Extraversion, Agreeableness and Negative emotionality). The emotion model applied to the participants is the OCC (Ortony, Clore and Collins) that defines several criteria representing the human emotional structure. In order to integrate personality and emotion is used the pleasure-arousal-dominance (PAD) model of mood.

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Since the last decade research in Group Decision Making area have been focus in the building of meeting rooms that could support the decision making task and improve the quality of those decisions. However the emergence of Ambient Intelligence concept contributes with a new perspective, a different way of viewing traditional decision rooms. In this paper we will present an overview of Smart Decision Rooms providing Intelligence to the meeting environment, and we will also present LAID, an Ambient Intelligence Environment oriented to support Group Decision Making and some of the software tools that we already have installed in this environment.

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Group decision making plays an important role in organizations, especially in the present-day economy that demands high-quality, yet quick decisions. Group decision-support systems (GDSSs) are interactive computer-based environments that support concerted, coordinated team efforts toward the completion of joint tasks. The need for collaborative work in organizations has led to the development of a set of general collaborative computer-supported technologies and specific GDSSs that support distributed groups (in time and space) in various domains. However, each person is unique and has different reactions to various arguments. Many times a disagreement arises because of the way we began arguing, not because of the content itself. Nevertheless, emotion, mood, and personality factors have not yet been addressed in GDSSs, despite how strongly they influence results. Our group’s previous work considered the roles that emotion and mood play in decision making. In this article, we reformulate these factors and include personality as well. Thus, this work incorporates personality, emotion, and mood in the negotiation process of an argumentbased group decision-making process. Our main goal in this work is to improve the negotiation process through argumentation using the affective characteristics of the involved participants. Each participant agent represents a group decision member. This representation lets us simulate people with different personalities. The discussion process between group members (agents) is made through the exchange of persuasive arguments. Although our multiagent architecture model4 includes two types of agents—the facilitator and the participant— this article focuses on the emotional, personality, and argumentation components of the participant agent.

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This paper aims to present a multi-agent model for a simulation, whose goal is to help one specific participant of multi-criteria group decision making process.This model has five main intervenient types: the human participant, who is using the simulation and argumentation support system; the participant agents, one associated to the human participant and the others simulating the others human members of the decision meeting group; the directory agent; the proposal agents, representing the different alternatives for a decision (the alternatives are evaluated based on criteria); and the voting agent responsiblefor all voting machanisms.At this stage it is proposed a two phse algorithm. In the first phase each participantagent makes his own evaluation of the proposals under discussion, and the voting agent proposes a simulation of a voting process.In the second phase, after the dissemination of the voting results,each one ofthe partcipan agents will argue to convince the others to choose one of the possible alternatives. The arguments used to convince a specific participant are dependent on agent knowledge about that participant. This two-phase algorithm is applied iteratively.

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In this paper a new free flight instrument is presented. The instrument named FlyMaster distinguishes from others not only at hardware level, since it is the first one based on a PDA and with an RF interface for wireless sensors, but also at software level once its structure was developed following some guidelines from Ambient Intelligence and ubiquitous and context aware mobile computing. In this sense the software has several features which avoid pilot intervention during flight. Basically, the FlyMaster adequate the displayed information to each flight situation. Furthermore, the FlyMaster has its one way of show information.

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Knowledge is central to the modern economy and society. Indeed, the knowledge society has transformed the concept of knowledge and is more and more aware of the need to overcome the lack of knowledge when has to make options or address its problems and dilemmas. One’s knowledge is less based on exact facts and more on hypotheses, perceptions or indications. Even when we use new computational artefacts and novel methodologies for problem solving, like the use of Group Decision Support Systems (GDSSs), the question of incomplete information is in most of the situations marginalized. On the other hand, common sense tells us that when a decision is made it is impossible to have a perception of all the information involved and the nature of its intrinsic quality. Therefore, something has to be made in terms of the information available and the process of its evaluation. It is under this framework that a Multi-valued Extended Logic Programming language will be used for knowledge representation and reasoning, leading to a model that embodies the Quality-of-Information (QoI) and its quantification, along the several stages of the decision-making process. In this way, it is possible to provide a measure of the value of the QoI that supports the decision itself. This model will be here presented in the context of a GDSS for VirtualECare, a system aimed at sustaining online healthcare services.

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Collaborative Work plays an important role in today’s organizations, especially in areas where decisions must be made. However, any decision that involves a collective or group of decision makers is, by itself complex, but is becoming recurrent in recent years. In this work we present the VirtualECare project, an intelligent multi-agent system able to monitor, interact and serve its customers, which are, normally, in need of care services. In last year’s there has been a substantially increase on the number of people needed of intensive care, especially among the elderly, a phenomenon that is related to population ageing. However, this is becoming not exclusive of the elderly, as diseases like obesity, diabetes and blood pressure have been increasing among young adults. This is a new reality that needs to be dealt by the health sector, particularly by the public one. Given this scenarios, the importance of finding new and cost effective ways for health care delivery are of particular importance, especially when we believe they should not to be removed from their natural “habitat”. Following this line of thinking, the VirtualECare project will be presented, like similar ones that preceded it. Recently we have also assisted to a growing interest in combining the advances in information society - computing, telecommunications and presentation – in order to create Group Decision Support Systems (GDSS). Indeed, the new economy, along with increased competition in today’s complex business environments, takes the companies to seek complementarities in order to increase competitiveness and reduce risks. Under these scenarios, planning takes a major role in a company life. However, effective planning depends on the generation and analysis of ideas (innovative or not) and, as a result, the idea generation and management processes are crucial. Our objective is to apply the above presented GDSS to a new area. We believe that the use of GDSS in the healthcare arena will allow professionals to achieve better results in the analysis of one’s Electronically Clinical Profile (ECP). This achievement is vital, regarding the explosion of knowledge and skills, together with the need to use limited resources and get better results.

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Tese de Doutoramento, Biologia (Taxonomia Zoológica), 11 de Outubro de 2013, Universidade dos Açores.

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Mestrado em Engenharia Informática

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Copyright © 2014 The Authors. Oikos © 2014 Nordic Society Oikos.

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Soil vapor extraction (SVE) is an efficient, well-known and widely applied soil remediation technology. However, under certain conditions it cannot achieve the defined cleanup goals, requiring further treatment, for example, through bioremediation (BR). The sequential application of these technologies is presented as a valid option but is not yet entirely studied. This work presents the study of the remediation of ethylbenzene (EB)-contaminated soils, with different soil water and natural organic matter (NOMC) contents, using sequential SVE and BR. The obtained results allow the conclusion that: (1) SVE was sufficient to reach the cleanup goals in 63% of the experiments (all the soils with NOMC below 4%), (2) higher NOMCs led to longer SVE remediation times, (3) BR showed to be a possible and cost-effective option when EB concentrations were lower than 335 mg kgsoil −1, and (4) concentrations of EB above 438 mg kgsoil −1 showed to be inhibitory for microbial activity.

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Orientada pela Prof. Doutora Cláudia Lopes

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OBJECTIVE: To estimate the spatial intensity of urban violence events using wavelet-based methods and emergency room data. METHODS: Information on victims attended at the emergency room of a public hospital in the city of São Paulo, Southeastern Brazil, from January 1, 2002 to January 11, 2003 were obtained from hospital records. The spatial distribution of 3,540 events was recorded and a uniform random procedure was used to allocate records with incomplete addresses. Point processes and wavelet analysis technique were used to estimate the spatial intensity, defined as the expected number of events by unit area. RESULTS: Of all georeferenced points, 59% were accidents and 40% were assaults. There is a non-homogeneous spatial distribution of the events with high concentration in two districts and three large avenues in the southern area of the city of São Paulo. CONCLUSIONS: Hospital records combined with methodological tools to estimate intensity of events are useful to study urban violence. The wavelet analysis is useful in the computation of the expected number of events and their respective confidence bands for any sub-region and, consequently, in the specification of risk estimates that could be used in decision-making processes for public policies.

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Os objectivos principais deste estudo são a caracterização de uma das linhas de extrusão existentes na Cabelte, nomeadamente a linha de extrusão de referência EP5, composta por duas extrusoras. Pretende-se fazer a determinação de indicadores energéticos e de processo e a optimização do consumo energético, no que diz respeito à energia consumida e às perdas térmicas relativas a esta linha. Para fazer a monitorização da linha de extrusão EP5 foi colocado no quadro geral dessa linha um equipamento central de medida de forma a ser possível a sua monitorização. No entanto, para a extrusora auxiliar as medições foram efectuadas com uma pinça amperimétrica e um fasímetro. Foram também efectuados ensaios onde foi avaliada a quantidade de material transformada, para isso foi utilizado um equipamento de pesagem, doseador gravimétrico aplicado nas extrusoras. As medições de temperatura para os cálculos das perdas térmicas da extrusora principal e para a caracterização dos materiais plásticos, foram efectuadas utilizando um termómetro digital. Foram efectuados ensaios de débito às extrusoras auxiliar e principal e foi estudada a variação do factor de potência em função da rotação do fuso. Na perspectiva do utilizador final a optimização para a utilização racional de energia está na redução de encargos da factura de energia eléctrica. Essa factura não depende só da quantidade mas também do modo temporal como se utiliza essa energia, principalmente a energia eléctrica, bastante dependente do período em que é consumida. Uma metodologia diferente no planeamento da produção, contemplando o fabrico dos cabos com maior custo específico nas horas de menor custo energético, implicaria uma redução dos custos específicos de 18,7% para o horário de verão e de 20,4% para o horário de inverno. Os materiais de revestimento utilizados (PE e PVC), influenciam directamente os custos energéticos, uma vez que o polietileno (PE) apresenta sempre valores de entalpia superiores (0,317 kWh/kg e 0,281 kWh/kg)) e necessita de temperaturas de trabalho mais elevadas do que o policloreto de vinilo (PVC) (0,141 kWh/kg e 0,124 kWh/kg). O consumo específico tendencialmente diminui à medida que aumenta a rotação do fuso, até se atingir o valor de rotação óptimo, a partir do qual esta tendência se inverte. O cosφ para as duas extrusoras em estudo, aumenta sempre com o aumento de rotação do fuso. Este estudo permitiu avaliar as condições óptimas no processo de revestimento dos cabos, de forma a minimizarmos os consumos energéticos. A redução de toda a espécie de desperdícios (sobre consumos, desperdício em purgas) é uma prioridade de gestão que alia também a eficácia à eficiência, e constitui uma ferramenta fundamental para assegurar o futuro da empresa. O valor médio lido para o factor de potência (0,38) da linha EP5, valor extremamente baixo e que vem associado à energia reactiva, além do factor económico que lhe está inerente, condiciona futuras ampliações. A forma de se corrigir o factor de potência é instalando uma bateria de condensadores de 500 kVAr. Considerando o novo sistema tarifário aplicado à energia reactiva, vamos ter um ganho de 36167,4 Euro/ano e o período de retorno de investimento é de 0,37 ano (4,5 meses). Esta medida implica também uma redução anual na quantidade de CO2 emitida de 6,5%. A quantificação das perdas térmicas é importante, pois só desta forma se podem definir modos de actuação de forma a aumentar a eficiência energética. Se não existir conhecimento profundo dos processos e metodologias correctas, não podem existir soluções eficientes, logo é importante medir antes de avançar com qualquer medida de gestão.