998 resultados para Critérios para alocação de riscos
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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
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The process for choosing the best components to build systems has become increasingly complex. It becomes more critical if it was need to consider many combinations of components in the context of an architectural configuration. These circumstances occur, mainly, when we have to deal with systems involving critical requirements, such as the timing constraints in distributed multimedia systems, the network bandwidth in mobile applications or even the reliability in real-time systems. This work proposes a process of dynamic selection of architectural configurations based on non-functional requirements criteria of the system, which can be used during a dynamic adaptation. This proposal uses the MAUT theory (Multi-Attribute Utility Theory) for decision making from a finite set of possibilities, which involve multiple criteria to be analyzed. Additionally, it was proposed a metamodel which can be used to describe the application s requirements in terms of the non-functional requirements criteria and their expected values, to express them in order to make the selection of the desired configuration. As a proof of concept, it was implemented a module that performs the dynamic choice of configurations, the MoSAC. This module was implemented using a component-based development approach (CBD), performing a selection of architectural configurations based on the proposed selection process involving multiple criteria. This work also presents a case study where an application was developed in the context of Digital TV to evaluate the time spent on the module to return a valid configuration to be used in a middleware with autoadaptative features, the middleware AdaptTV
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In urban, flooding and landslides are among the troubles that most bring human and material loss. Therefore, this study objected to perform an analysis on the risk perception on the population living in social environmental vulnerable places in order to understand what is the way this population realize the risks they are exposed to and what are the outbrave strategies the develop. The first analyzed area was Complexo Passo da Pátria for the flooding risk problematic and then the Cidade Nova neighborhood threatened by the dunes slides. The areas locate, respectively, in the West and East zones of Natal-RN. Using an interview screenplay adapted from risk perception researches from different brazilian cities, it was collected primarily data on the variables: perception, evaluation and choice, safety threshold, adjustment, decision and participation. Due to the studied areas characteristics the qualitative approach adjusted itself to the difficulties for accessing the areas. The studied places characterize for its insecure situation like selling/using drugs, robbery and murder among others. Due to this situation the interviewed individuals were the ones that could be found more accessibly and available in the moment and the interviews were made in the community leader presence of each area. Through the discourse of the respondents analysis it was able to conclude that the interviewed population is exposed to a high vulnerability grade and risks. However it was identified substantial differences between the perception and risks of Complexo Passo da Pátria and bairro Cidade Nova, because in the first area the intervied ones can recognize the high risk they are exposed to in a more emphatic way to the interviewed ones for the Cidade Nova neighborhood. Furthermore, there is a heavy dissatisfaction for the population of the two places about the city hall positions relating to the present problems in the studied areas. It was also identified the strategy development of acquaintanceship with the risk in the research places beyond a feeling of belonging and affection between the dwellers and the places, yet it was more evident for Complexo Passo da Pátria. Though this analysis it was possible to understand and perceptions and the behavior of the individuals or social groups facing the risks as acceptance and rejection of determined risks beyond adaptation measures of living together with the persistence presence of risks. Therefore, qualitative nature researches emphasizing the perception approach are in the fundamental importance in the studies about risks making it possible to offer aids to the urban planning and management in the implement of effective preventive measures and compatible with the population aims
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OBJETIVO: O objetivo deste estudo foi identificar variáveis ecocardiográficas que definam graus de disfunção cardíaca em ratos com estenose aórtica (EAo). MÉTODOS: Ratos Wistar (n = 23), machos (90-100 g), foram submetidos a cirurgia para indução de EAo. As variáveis ecocardiográficas analisadas foram: diâmetros diastólico do ventrículo esquerdo (DDVE) e sistólico do átrio esquerdo em valores absolutos e normalizados para o peso corporal; diâmetro sistólico do VE (DSVE); três índices de encurtamento do VE (% de encurtamento endocárdico, %Enc.Endo; % de encurtamento miocárdico, %Enc.Mio; e velocidade de encurtamento da parede posterior do VE, VEPP); e índice de massa do VE (IMVE). Essas variáveis foram utilizadas para a análise de agrupamento (cluster analysis). RESULTADOS: A análise de agrupamento possibilitou separar os ratos com EAo em dois grupos: disfunção leve (n = 13) e disfunção severa (n = 9). Os intervalos de confiança das seguintes variáveis não apresentaram superposição dos seus valores: DDVE, DSVE, %Enc.Endo, %Enc.Mio, IMVE e VEPP. CONCLUSÃO: A utilização conjunta dos intervalos de confiança dessas variáveis permite identificar dois grupos de ratos com estenose aórtica e diferentes graus de comprometimento cardíaco, possibilitando a realização de estudos longitudinais com grupos homogêneos de animais.
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Hydrogeological prospecting in Northeast Brazil and in other crystalline terrains has been developed on the basis of structural and regional geology concepts that date back to the 50-60 decades and, as such, demand a natural re-evaluation and update. In this kind of terrain, the percolation and accumulation of ground water are controlled by fractures and other types of discontinuities, such as foliations and geological contacts that, through weathering, impart porosity and permeability to the rocks, allowing water flow and storage. Several factors should be considered in the process of locating water wells, as discussed in the literature. Among these, the kind of structures, fracture geometry (including aperture and connectivity) and their geological and chronological context. It is important to correlate fracture systems with the regional neotectonic framework. Fractures at low angle (sub parallel) with the principal stress axis (s1) are those which tend to open (actually they work as tension joints) and, in principle, would present major hydric potential; in the opposite side, fractures at high angle to s1 would behave as closed by a compressional component. Fractures diagonal to the compression and tension axes correspond to shear fractures and, due to their connectivity with second fractures, are also important in terms of hydric potential. Uplift followed by terrain denudation leads to decompression and a general tendency to open (aided by weathering processes) fractures and other rock discontinuities, at different orientations. Low angle fractures, formed in this context, are equally important to increase connectivity, collection of water and recharge of the aquifer systems. In a general way, an opening component (neotectonic or by terrain decompression) and several models to increase fracture connectivity correlate with a greater hydric potential of these structures. Together with parallel research, this thesis addresses models of ground water occurrence in crystalline terrains, either improving well established concepts like the (Riacho-Fenda model), but also stressing other possibilities, like the role of alluvium and paleo-regoliths (the Calha Elúvio-Aluvionar model) and of strongly altered, permo-porous zones placed at variable depths below the present surface, flanking several types of discontinuities, especially interconnected fracture arrays (the Bolsões de Intemperismo model). Different methodological approaches are also discussed in order to improve success rates in the location of water wells in crystalline terrains. In this methodological review, a number of case studies were selected in the eastern domain of the State of Rio Grande do Norte, involving the localities of Santa Cruz, Santo Antônio, Serrinha, Nova Cruz, Montanhas, Lagoa de Pedras and Lagoa Salgada. Besides the neotectonic analysis of brittle structures, this Thesis addresses the validation of remote sensing as a tool for ground water prospecting. Several techniques were tested in order to detect and select areas with higher potential for ground water accumulation, using Landsat 5-TM and RADARSAT images, besides conventional aerial photos. A number of filters were tested to emphasize lineaments in the images, improving their discrimination, to identify areas with higher overburden humidity, which could reflect subsurface water accumulation, as well as alluvium and other sedimentary covers that might act as recharge zones. The work started with a regional analysis with the orbital images, followed by analysis of aerial photos, up to a detailed structural study of rock exposures in the terrain. This last step involved the analysis of outcrops surrounding wells (in a ray of approximately 10 to 100 m) with distinct productivities, including dry examples. At the level required for detail, it was not possible to accomplish a statistical approach using the available well data catalogs, which lack the desired specific information. The methodology worked out in this Thesis must undergo a testing phase through location of new water wells. An increase in the success rates as desired will led to a further consolidation step with wider divulgation of the methodology to private companies and governmental agencies involved in ground water prospecting in crystalline terrains
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Estudos têm demonstrado elevada prevalência de fatores de risco cardiovascular em adolescentes a redor do mundo, entretanto, é possível que esses fatores de risco se comportem de modo diferente em diferentes localidades. Objetivos: Examinar a prevalência do sobrepeso/obesidade e sua associação com outros fatores de risco cardiovasculares, em adolescentes, da cidade do Natal-Brasil. Métodos: Estudo observacional de delineamento transversal, realizado em 626 adolescentes (10 a 19 anos) de ambos os sexos. Foram estudadas as variáveis: peso, idade, gênero, cor, escolaridade, renda familiar, hábitos de vida, história familiar, peso, estatura, índice de massa corporal, relação cintura/quadril, pressão arterial, perfil lipídico, Glicose e Insulina de jejum e pós Dextrosol. Resultados: Foram avaliados 273 (43,6%) adolescentes do sexo masculino e 353 (56,4%) feminino. 26,4% dos adolescentes apresentaram sobrepeso/obesidade. A presença de obesidade familiar foi relatada por mais de 30 % da nossa amostra. Na análise de regressão logística múltipla; Idade, renda familiar, percentil de pressão sistólica, história familiar de hipertensão e obesidade, triglicerídeos, HDL colesterol, e HOMA RI mostraram-se associados com sobrepeso/obesidade. A relação cintura quadril apresentou-se mais elevada nas mulheres, e encontramos 10,9 % dos adolescentes com percentil de pressão sistólica (PAS) 95, e 7,4 % com percentil de pressão diastólica (PAD) 95. As dosagens de triglicerídeos, colesterol HDL e HOMA-RI alterados foram mais prevalentes nos que apresentavam IMC aumentado. As alterações do xi colesterol total, triglicerídios, glicemia pós dextrosol e HOMA teste, tiveram maior prevalência no gênero feminino. Na regressão logística binária, foram observadas associações do sobrepeso / obesidade com idade; OR 0,85, IC de 95% (0,78-0,92); p<0,001, pressão arterial sistólica; OR 2,65, IC de 95% (1,18- 5,94); p< 0,020, renda familiar; OR 2,34, IC de 95% (1,53-3,58); p< 0,001, história familiar de hipertensão arterial; OR 1,76, IC de 95% (1,15-2,71); p< 0,009, história familiar de obesidade; OR 1,50, IC de 95% (1,09-2,27); p< 0,04, aumento dos trigliceridios; OR 2,74, IC de 95% (1,69-4,43); p< 0,001, redução do colesterol; HDL OR 0,58, IC de 95% (0,38-0,87); p< 0,009 e o aumento do HOMA OR 3,16, IC de 95% (1,64 - 6,02); p<0,001. Conclusão: A prevalência de fatores de risco cardiovascular em Natal – Brasil se constitui em grave problema de saúde pública, atingindo níveis que se igualam ou até superam os de outras cidades tanto no Brasil, como em outros países
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We considered prediction techniques based on models of accelerated failure time with random e ects for correlated survival data. Besides the bayesian approach through empirical Bayes estimator, we also discussed about the use of a classical predictor, the Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Predictor (EBLUP). In order to illustrate the use of these predictors, we considered applications on a real data set coming from the oil industry. More speci - cally, the data set involves the mean time between failure of petroleum-well equipments of the Bacia Potiguar. The goal of this study is to predict the risk/probability of failure in order to help a preventive maintenance program. The results show that both methods are suitable to predict future failures, providing good decisions in relation to employment and economy of resources for preventive maintenance.
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This work shows a project method proposed to design and build software components from the software functional m del up to assembly code level in a rigorous fashion. This method is based on the B method, which was developed with support and interest of British Petroleum (BP). One goal of this methodology is to contribute to solve an important problem, known as The Verifying Compiler. Besides, this work describes a formal model of Z80 microcontroller and a real system of petroleum area. To achieve this goal, the formal model of Z80 was developed and documented, as it is one key component for the verification upto the assembly level. In order to improve the mentioned methodology, it was applied on a petroleum production test system, which is presented in this work. Part of this technique is performed manually. However, almost of these activities can be automated by a specific compiler. To build such compiler, the formal modelling of microcontroller and modelling of production test system should provide relevant knowledge and experiences to the design of a new compiler. In ummary, this work should improve the viability of one of the most stringent criteria for formal verification: speeding up the verification process, reducing design time and increasing the quality and reliability of the product of the final software. All these qualities are very important for systems that involve serious risks or in need of a high confidence, which is very common in the petroleum industry
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Environmental changes and their consequences on the global level have challenged the different fields of study to integrate towards effective solutions to minimize and /or equate the negative impacts of these changes in different types of environments. In this context, the Environmental Perception has been a widely used and relevant in studies that consider the relationship between the environment and human actions, by allowing analysis of perceptions, attitudes and values, key influencers of topophilia that resonates in conservation tool. Allied to Environmental Perception, Integrated Analysis of the Landscape is relevant because it allows to analyze in a systematic way the geographical space where all its elements are interrelated in a way that supports needed to understand the complex physical and human environment of a given environment. In this perspective, we have studied the João do Vale Serrano Complex, located in semiarid of Rio Grande do Norte state, which features a set of landscapes with different faces, which are being replaced by various economic activities and disordered population growth, with consequent exploitation the potential of natural resources. This thesis main goal was to combine the Environmental Perception of rural communities to the of Serrano Complex Landscape Analysis as additional criteria for the definition of Priority Areas for Conservation. The perception data were collected through direct observation, questioning, interviews and application forms to 240 people (100 % of occupied households in the mountain community) during the months of february and august 2011, with theoretical and methodological basis Environmental Perception. Integrated Landscape Analysis was performed by GTP (Geosystem - Territory - Landscape) method, using the Geographic Information System (GIS), using the technique of GIS for mapping the landscape. The results showed that respondents have a sense of topophilia by where they live, hold a vast knowledge of the natural resources in this Serrano Complex, and responded positively regarding the choice of an exclusive area for conservation. The Integrated Analysis of Landscape possible to identify the different forms of existing uses and occupations in Serrano Complex, have caused significant changes in space, especially on the plateau where vegetation was virtually replaced by human dwellings and cashew plantations. Through the maps of slope and environmental vulnerability was identified that areas with high slopes (gullies) are limiting factor for occupation by communities and therefore relevant and amenable to conservation, including by being Permanent Preservation Areas. These results, together, made possible to define a map of Priority Areas for Conservation in Serrano Complex, with three priority categories: low, medium and high. Therefore, the use of these additional criteria are relevant for the definition /designation of Priority Areas for Conservation
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The goal of this work comprises the detailed mapping of the coastal zone of the south coast of the State of Rio Grande do Norte. The emphasis of the study is the units of beachrocks and the features of the physical environment associated. The mapping of the beachrocks and of the adjacent coastal features is justified, among other aspects, by the fact that the beachrocks constitute an important protection agent against the sea erosion. By one side, they dissipate the energy of the sea waves and make possible the imprisonment of sediments in the foreshore. The beachrocks in the studied area are constituted of discontinuous strips, parallel to the coast line presenting emerged in some places, even in the highest tides, entirely submerged or partially buried by coastal sediments. These sandstones compose the landscape of big part of the coast and they are responsible for the partial dissipation of the energy of the waves on the studied coast. The methodology used in this work consisted of different techniques were used, as the use of aerial pictures of small format (FAPEFs), acquisition of data of system of global positioning (GPS) and later elaboration of thematic maps and of digital models of soil (MDTs). The results obtained in the mapping of the use and occupation of the soil, demonstrate the existence of strong human pressure in the coastal area (built lots and no built), occupying about 54,74% of built areas. This problem has been taking to degradation risks due to the inconsequent expansion of divisions into lots and tourist enterprises. The MDT came as an excellent resource, as visual as functional, being possible to visualize several angles and to act in three dimensions the relief of the area in study, as well as to identify the present features in the coastal area. By the importance of the bodies of beachrocks as a protection agent against the coastal erosion, faces were delimited in the sandstones based in geometric criteria, classifying them in, central face, outside face, inside face, break and undermiming. These last two associates to the erosion and washout in the base of these bodies. Field data indicate clearly that the most important process in the fracturing of the bodies is associated with mechanisms related to the gravity, being the joints formed by processes of gravitational sliding. Finally, the mapping of the coastal zone starting from aerial pictures of small format it made possible the identification of the elements that compose the beach strip, for accomplishing with larger detailed level and by presenting a better monitoring of the dynamics of the coastal zone
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Due to its high resolution, Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) has been used to image subsurface sedimentary deposits. Because GPR and Seismic methods share some principles of image construction, the classic seismostratigraphic interpretation method has been also applied as an attempt to interpret GPR data. Nonetheless some advances in few particular contexts, the adaptations from seismic to GPR of seismostratigraphic tools and concepts unsuitable because the meaning given to the termination criteria in seismic stratigraphy do not represent the adequate geologic record in the GPR scale. Essentially, the open question relies in proposing a interpretation method for GPR data which allow not only relating product and sedimentary process in the GPR scale but also identifying or proposing depositional environments and correlating these results with the well known Sequence Stratigraphy cornerstones. The goal of this dissertation is to propose an interpretation methodology of GPR data able to perform this task at least for siliciclastic deposits. In order to do so, the proposed GPR interpretation method is based both on seismostratigraphic concepts and on the bounding surface hierarchy tool from Miall (1988). As consequence of this joint use, the results of GPR interpretation can be associated to the sedimentary facies in a genetic context, so that it is possible to: (i) individualize radar facies and correlate them to the sedimentary facies by using depositional models; (ii) characterize a given depositional system, and (iii) determine its stratigraphic framework highligthing how it evolved through geologic time. To illustrate its use the proposed methodology was applied in a GPR data set from Galos area which is part of the Galinhos spit, located in Rio Grande do Norte state, Northeastern Brazil. This spit presents high lateral sedimentary facies variation, containing in its sedimentary record from 4th to 6th cicles caused by high frequency sea level oscillation. The interpretation process was done throughout the following phases: (i) identification of a vertical facies succession, (ii) characterization of radar facies and its associated sedimentary products, (iii) recognition of the associated sedimentary process in a genetic context, and finally (iv) proposal of an evolutionay model for the Galinhos spit. This model proposes that the Galinhos spit is a barrier island constituted, from base to top, of the following sedimentary facies: tidal channel facies, tidal flat facies, shore facies, and aeolic facies (dunes). The tidal channel facies, in the base, is constituted of lateral accretion bars and filling deposits of the channels. The base facies is laterally truncated by the tidal flat facies. In the foreshore zone, the tidal flat facies is covered by the shore facies which is the register of a sea transgression. Finally, on the top of the stratigraphic column, aeolic dunes are deposited due to areal exposition caused by a sea regression
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A síndrome da insuficiência androgênica na mulher (SIA) desperta, mesmo nos dias atuais, muitas discussões e encerra muitas controvérsias. Sabe-se, no entanto, que os níveis plasmáticos de testosterona declinam progressivamente ao longo do período reprodutivo. Conceitua-se a SIA como o conjunto de sintomas clínicos, a presença de biodisponibilidade diminuída de testosterona e os níveis normais de estrogênios. Entre os principais sintomas, citam-se o comprometimento do bem-estar, o humor disfórico, a fadiga sem causa aparente, o comprometimento do desejo sexual, o emagrecimento e a instabilidade vasomotora em mulheres pós-menopáusicas sob terapêutica estrogênica. Esses sintomas, no entanto, são potencialmente atribuíveis a diferentes etiologias e dificultam o correto diagnóstico na maioria dos casos, ainda que ele seja lembrado com freqüência em pacientes que se submetem à ooforectomia bilateral. O diagnóstico da SIA parece ser essencialmente clínico, não havendo a necessidade das dosagens laboratoriais para a sua comprovação. Não se deve indicar a terapêutica androgênica (TA) em pacientes que não estejam adequadamente estrogenizadas. Considera-se a testosterona o hormônio ideal para a TA. As pacientes com sintomas sugestivos de SIA, excluídas outras causas identificáveis, especialmente se pós-menopáusicas, são candidatas à TA. Não existem dados de segurança sobre a TA em usuárias em longo prazo. A via transdérmica - através de adesivos, cremes e gel - parece ser preferível à oral.
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INTRODUÇÃO: A histopatologia convencional continua sendo o padrão-ouro no diagnóstico dos melanomas cutâneos, apesar do progresso da imuno-histoquímica e da biologia molecular. Os critérios microscópicos existentes para esse diagnóstico são numerosos, porém nenhum deles é específico para se afirmar que uma determinada lesão é maligna quando ele está presente, ou é benigna na sua ausência. Alguns critérios têm uma relevância maior para o diagnóstico em relação a outros. OBJETIVO: Este estudo propõe uma análise daqueles critérios considerados mais importantes, comparando sua presença em lesões melanocíticas benignas e melanomas. MATERIAL E MÉTODOS: Foram estudadas 33 lesões melanocíticas benignas (nevo de Spitz: 13; nevo de Reed: 6; nevo displásico: 6; nevo congênito: 3; nevo adquirido: 3; nevo combinado: 1; nevo recorrente: 1), bem como 101 casos de melanomas extensivo/superficiais: 25 intra-epidérmicos e 76 invasivos de pequena espessura (< 2 mm). RESULTADOS: Alguns critérios mostraram alta freqüência em lesões benignas, apresentando pouca especificidade, enquanto outros tiveram menor positividade nas benignas, e alta freqüência nas malignas, mostrando sua maior especificidade e importância no diagnóstico dos melanomas. CONCLUSÃO: Os cinco critérios que mostraram diferenças estatisticamente significativas na comparação com as lesões benignas foram (em ordem decrescente de freqüência): 1. proliferação linear de células isoladas na camada basal; 2. início e fim da lesão com células isoladas; 3. melanócitos na camada granular; 4. disseminação pagetóide extensa; 5. nucléolos grandes, irregulares ou múltiplos. Os melanomas de pequena espessura não apresentam parte dos critérios considerados mais importantes, como falta de maturação, necrose e mitoses profundas.
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São bastante conhecidos pelos patologistas o desafio e a dificuldade que algumas lesões melanocíticas apresentam no momento de seu diagnóstico. A falta de uniformidade na maneira de aplicar os critérios diagnósticos é, sem dúvida, uma das causas principais dos altos índices de discordância descritos na literatura. O objetivo deste trabalho é tentar diminuir esta discordância e, para isso, foram selecionados os 12 critérios considerados mais importantes para o diagnóstico de melanoma: 1) tamanho; 2) simetria; 3) delimitação lateral; 4) maturação; 5) disseminação pagetóide; 6) necrose/ulceração; 7) infiltrado inflamatório; 8) regressão; 9) atipias celulares; 10) mitoses; 11) melanização; 12) proliferação de células isoladas. Foram expostas as características de cada um deles e sua aplicação no diagnóstico dos melanomas, lembrando sempre as possíveis exceções, onde estes critérios podem estar presentes em lesões melanocíticas benignas. Posteriormente, em três tabelas, estabeleceu-se o diagnóstico diferencial entre melanoma e três condições melanocíticas benignas que costumam apresentar maiores dificuldades no diagnóstico diferencial. Como nenhum critério deve ser considerado isoladamente, a aplicação rigorosa do conjunto de dados aqui fornecido pode ajudar substancialmente o patologista cirúrgico generalista (não-especialista em lesões melanocíticas) a resolver alguns problemas na sua rotina diária.
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A presente revisão focaliza aspectos conceituais e os principais problemas diagnósticos referentes ao esôfago de Barrett e à displasia. O esôfago de Barrett resulta de complicação da doença do refluxo gastroesofágico de longa duração. É identificado endoscopicamente pela presença de mucosa glandular no esôfago tubular acima da junção esofagogástrica. Histologicamente, é caracterizado pela substituição do epitélio estratificado pavimentoso por epitélio colunar especializado com células caliciformes, expresso como metaplasia intestinal. A importância biológica do esôfago de Barrett é o risco de progressão para câncer. A displasia é o principal marcador biológico preditivo de evolução para adenocarcinoma. Identificar e graduar a displasia constitui importante questão na prática diagnóstica. O diagnóstico patológico do esôfago de Barrett deve conter informações sobre a investigação de displasia. O principal diagnóstico diferencial da displasia é feito em relação a reatividade e regeneração epitelial no contexto de inflamação da mucosa. Como a variabilidade de interpretação é um dos principais problemas no diagnóstico da displasia, os casos de esôfago de Barrett devem ser enviados à consulta para segunda opinião diagnóstica. O exame anatomopatológico é fundamental para definir o diagnóstico de esôfago de Barrett e para rastrear a displasia, que é o principal marcador de risco para câncer nesta entidade.