Winner-Loser Performance and Macroeconomic Effects during three last Economic Crises in Finnish Stock Market

The main purpose of this thesis is to investigate winner-loser performance when financial markets are facing crisis. This is examined through the idea that does the prior loser portfolios outperform the prior winner portfolios during the three major crises: The depression of the 1990s, the IT-Bubble and the Subprime -crisis. Firstly, the winner and loser portfolios superiority is counted by using the cumulative excess returns from the examination period. The portfolios were formed by counting the excess returns and locating them in to the order of superiority. The excess returns are counted by using one year pre-data before the actual examination period. The results of this part did not support the results of De Bondt & Thaler’s (1985) paper. Secondly, it is investigated how the Finnish and the US macroeconomic factors are seen to be affecting the stock market valuation in Finnish Stock Markets during economic crises. This is done to explain better the changes in the successes of the winner-loser performance. The crises included different amount of selected macro factors. Two latest crises involved as well few selected US macro factors. Exclusively the IT-Bubble -crisis had the most statistically significant results with the US factors. Two other crises did not receive statistically significant results. An extra research was produced to study do the US macro factors impact more significantly on Finnish stock exchange after lags. The selected lags were three, six, nine and twelve months. Three and six month lagged US macro factors during the IT-Bubble -crisis improved the results. The extra research did not improve the results of the Subprime -crisis.

VIX as a stock market indicator

The goal of this research was to make an overall sight to VIX and how it can be used as a stock market indicator. Volatility index, often referred as the fear index, measures how much does it cost for investor to protect his/hers S&P 500 position from fluctuations with options. Over the relatively short history of VIX it has succesfull timing coordinator and it has told about the market state adding its own psychological view of the amount of fear and greed.

Gestió de les dades de recerca i biblioteques: relacions, activitats, motors i influències

La gestió de les dades de recerca és un gran repte per a les organitzacions de recerca. Grans quantitats de dades nascudes en entorns digitals estant essent produïdes en una vasta quantitat de formats a un ritme molt accelerat en l’àmbit universitari. Aquest document analitza la contribució de les biblioteques universitàries a la gestió de dades de recerca (RDM) en el context institucional més ampli. En particular: s’examinen els rols i les relacions implicades en la RDM, s’identifiquen els principals components d’un programa de RDM, s’avaluen els principals motors per a les activitats de la RDM i s’analitzen els factors clau que influeixen en la forma que adopten els desenvolupaments que es porten a terme en la RDM. L’estudi està escrit des de la perspectiva de professionals de les biblioteques, tot analitzant dades provinents de 26 entrevistes semiestructurades a personal bibliotecari de diferents institucions del Regne Unit. És una primera contribució qualitativa al tema que complementa altres enfocaments quantitatius i estudis de casos. Els resultats mostren que encara que les biblioteques estan jugant un rol significatiu en la RDM, hi ha incertesa i variacions en les relacions amb altres actors com els serveis de tecnologia de la informació i les oficines de suport a la recerca. L’èmfasi actual en els programes de RDM està en el desenvolupament de polítiques i directrius, amb algun incipient treball sobre infraestructures tecnològiques i serveis de suport. Els motors per al desenvolupament inclouen l’emmagatzematge, la seguretat, la qualitat, el compliment, la preservació i el compartiment, amb les biblioteques associades més estretament als tres darrers. L’article també destaca un motor “jurisdiccional” en el qual les biblioteques reclamen un rol en aquest espai. Un ampli ventall de factors, incloent el govern, la dotació de recursos i les habilitats, són identificats com influents en els desenvolupaments en curs. A partir de l’anàlisi, es construeix un model dissenyat per capturar els aspectes principals d’un programa institucional de RDM. Aquest model ajuda a esclarir els diferents temes implicats en la RDM, tot identificant capes d’activitat, múltiples actors i motors i un gran nombre de factors que influeixen en la implementació de qualsevol iniciativa. A les institucions els pot ser útil comparar les seves activitats amb les dades i el model de cara a informar sobre les activitats de RDM en curs.

Wages and productivity: the role of labour market institutions in OECD countries

In the context of a monetary union, to keep a territorial equilibrium in terms of economic activity and employment, the relationship between real wages and productivity is crucial. In this paper, empirical evidence about the response of wages to productivity is obtained for 20 OECD countries and the role of labour market institutions to explain differences in this response is analysed.

Market of biomass fuels in Finland : IEA Bioenergy Task 40 and EUBIONET III - Country report of Finland 2009

This study considered the current situation of solid and liquid biomass fuels in Finland. The fact that industry consumes more than half of the total primary energy, widely applied combined heat and power production and a high share of solid biomass fuels in the total energy consumption are specific to the Finnish energy system. Wood is the most important source of bioenergy in Finland, representing 20% of the total energy consumption in 2007. Almost 80% of the woodbased energy is recovered from industrial by-products and residues. As a member of the European Union, Finland has committed itself to the Union’s climate and energy targets, such as reducing its overall emissions of green house gases to at least 20% below 1990 levels by 2020, and increasing the share of renewable energy in the gross final consumption. The renewable energy target approved for Finland is 38%. The present National Climate and Energy Strategy was introduced in November 2008. The strategy covers climate and energy policy measures up to 2020, and in brief thereafter, up to 2050. In recent years, the actual emissions have exceeded the Kyoto commitment and the trend of emissions is on the increase. In 2007, the share of renewable energy in the gross final energy consumption was approximately 25% (360 PJ). Without new energy policy measures, the final consumption of renewable energy would increase to 380 PJ, which would be approximately only 31% of the final energy consumption. In addition, green house gas emissions would exceed the 1990 levels by 20%. Meeting the targets will need the adoption of more active energy policy measures in coming years. The international trade of biomass fuels has a substantial importance for the utilisation of bioenergy in Finland. In 2007, the total international trading of solid and liquid biomass fuels was approximately 77 PJ, of which import was 62 PJ. Most of the import is indirect and takes place within the forest industry’s raw wood imports. In 2007, as much as 21% of wood energy was based on foreign-origin wood. Wood pellets and tall oil form the majority of export streams of biomass fuels. The indirect import of wood fuels peaked in 2006 to 61 PJ. The foreseeable decline in raw wood import to Finland will decrease the indirect import of wood fuels. In 2004– 2007, the direct trade of solid and liquid biomass fuels has been on a moderate growth path. In 2007, the import of palm oil and export of bio-diesel emerged, as a large, 170 000 t/yr biodiesel plant came into operation in Porvoo.

Theoretical background for market emergence framework : Case: Electricity Distribution Industry

Both the competitive environment and the internal structure of an industrial organization are typically included in the processes which describe the strategic management processes of the firm, but less attention has been paid to the interdependence between these views. Therefore, this research focuses on explaining the particular conditions of an industry change, which lead managers to realign the firm in respect of its environment for generating competitive advantage. The research question that directs the development of the theoretical framework is: Why do firms outsource some of their functions? The three general stages of the analysis are related to the following research topics: (i) understanding forces that shape the industry, (ii) estimating the impacts of transforming customer preferences, rivalry, and changing capability bases on the relevance of existing assets and activities, and emergence of new business models, and (iii) developing optional structures for future value chains and understanding general boundaries for market emergence. The defined research setting contributes to the managerial research questions “Why do firms reorganize their value chains?”, “Why and how are decisions made?” Combining Transaction Cost Economics (TCE) and Resource-Based View (RBV) within an integrated framework makes it possible to evaluate the two dimensions of a company’s resources, namely the strategic value and transferability. The final decision of restructuring will be made based on an analysis of the actual business potential of the outsourcing, where benefits and risks are evaluated. The firm focuses on the risk of opportunism, hold-up problems, pricing, and opportunities to reach a complete contract, and finally on the direct benefits and risks for financial performance. The supplier analyzes the business potential of an activity outside the specific customer, the amount of customer-specific investments, the service provider’s competitive position, abilities to revenue gains in generic segments, and long-term dependence on the customer.

Prognosis of after spot volumes at the Scandinavian electricity market

The Thesis is dedicated to development of an operative tool to support decision making in after spot trading on the Nordic electricity market. The basics of the Nordic electricity market, trading mechanisms on the spot and after spot markets are presented in the Thesis. Mathematical equations that describe electricity balance condition in the power system are offered. The main driving factors that impact deviation of actual electricity balance from the scheduled one (object) in the power system have been explored and mathematically defined. The behavioral model of the object and principal trends in change of state of the object under an impact of the driving factors are determined with the help of regression analysis made in Microsoft Office Excel. The behavioral model gives an indication for the total regulation volume (Elbas trades volume, volume of regulation market, balance power) for a certain hour that serves as the base input in estimating prices on the after spot markets. Proposals for development of methodologies of forecasting the after spot electricity prices are offered.

The Market Behavior of Emerging Stock Markets in Europe

This study investigates the over and underreaction effects in nine emerging stock markets of Europe. Especially, the possible behavioral aspects behind them are an area of interest. These aspects would link them strongly to behavioral finance. Second, our aim is to provide more evidence of the similar or dissimilar behavior in general among these countries. Third, the possibility to gain abnormal returns from these markets is also under investigation. Data from nine emerging stock market indexes in Europe is gathered from January 1, 1998 to January 1, 2008 to find answers to the stated questions. Studies for the over and underreaction effects are done using a variant of the event study methodology which in this case includes two different calculation methods for the expected returns. Studies are performed using 60 day time intervals. The results between the two different methods used are relatively similar concerning the over and underreaction effects. Another of the methods, however, suggests there to be behavioral aspects behind the effects interpreted. On the other hand, the another method does not support this suggestion. However, a conclusion can be made that the factors driving these countries' behavior are related to their geographical location and to the fact that they are emerging countries.

Ecodesign-direktiivi ja sen vaikutukset Suomessa

Direktiivi 2005/32/EY energiaa käyttävien tuotteiden ekologiselle suunnittelulle asetettavien vaatimusten puitteista annettiin 6.7.2005. Direktiivin puitteissa Euroopan komissio tulee antamaan tuoteryhmäkohtaisia asetuksia, joissa määritellään tuoteryhmäkohtaisesti ympäristövaatimukset. Direktiivin tarkoituksena on integroida ymparistönakokohdat ja elinkaariajattelu tuotesuunnitteluvaiheessa. Tällä direktiivillä pyritään parantamaan ympäristösuojelun tasoa ja tuotteiden energiatehokkuutta. Tämän diplomityön tarkoituksena on esitellä Ecodesign direktiiviä ja selvittää sen puitteissa annettujen asetusten vaikutusta Suomessa. Työssä tutkitaan hehkulamppujen maahantuonnin kieltävän asetuksen vaikutuksia kotitalouksiin, ympäristöön ja sähkömarkkinoihin. Lisaksi työssä on tutkittu sähkömoottoreita koskevan asetuksen vaikutuksia Suomen teollisuudessa. Lopuksi työssä arvioidaan Suomen ilmasto ja energiapolitiikan tavoitteiden ja velvoitteiden tuomien toimenpiteiden vaikutuksia. Työssä esitetään esimerkkitarkasteluja siitä, millaisia saastoja sähkönkulutukseen voitaisiin saavuttaa eri tuoteryhmissä direktiivin pohjalta annetuilla asetuksilla. Tarkasteluun valitut tuoteryhmät olivat kotitalouksien valaistus ja sähkömoottorit.

Production Cycle Optimization: Defining the Market Potential for a New Planning Tool

An optimization tool has been developed to help companies to optimize their production cycles and thus improve their overall supply chain management processes. The application combines the functionality that traditional APS (Advanced Planning System) and ARP (Automatic Replenishment Program) systems provide into one optimization run. A qualitative study was organized to investigate opportunities to expand the product’s market base. Twelve personal interviews were conducted and the results were collected in industry specific production planning analyses. Five process industries were analyzed to identify the product’s suitability to each industry sector and the most important product development areas. Based on the research the paper and the plastic film industries remain the most potential industry sectors at this point. To be successful in other industry sectors some product enhancements would be required, including capabilities to optimize multiple sequential and parallel production cycles, handle sequencing of complex finishing operations and to include master planning capabilities to support overall supply chain optimization. In product sales and marketing processes the key to success is to find and reach the people who are involved directly with the problems that the optimization tool can help to solve.

Analysis of Patterns in Electricity Spot Market Time Series

Due to its non-storability, electricity must be produced at the same time that it is consumed, as a result prices are determined on an hourly basis and thus analysis becomes more challenging. Moreover, the seasonal fluctuations in demand and supply lead to a seasonal behavior of electricity spot prices. The purpose of this thesis is to seek and remove all causal effects from electricity spot prices and remain with pure prices for modeling purposes. To achieve this we use Qlucore Omics Explorer (QOE) for the visualization and the exploration of the data set and Time Series Decomposition method to estimate and extract the deterministic components from the series. To obtain the target series we use regression based on the background variables (water reservoir and temperature). The result obtained is three price series (for Sweden, Norway and System prices) with no apparent pattern.