961 resultados para Linear Models in Temporal Series
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Abstract During the last few decades, there has been an increasing international recognition of the studies related to the analysis of the family models change, the focus being the determinants of the female employment and the problems related to the work family balance (Lewis, 2001; Petit & Hook, 2005Saraceno, Crompton & Lyonette, 20062008; Pfau-Effinger, 2012). The majority of these studies have been focused on the analysis of the work-family balance problems as well as the effectiveness of the family and gender policies in order to encourage female employment (Korpi et al., 2013). In Spain, special attention has been given to the family policies implemented, the employability of women and on the role of the father in the family (Flaquer et al., 2015; Meil, 2015); however, there has been far less emphasis on the analysis of the family cultural models (González and Jurado, 2012; Crespi and Moreno, 2016). The purpose of this paper is to present some of the first results on the influence of the socio-demographic factors on the expectations and attitudes about the family models. This study offers an analytical reflection upon the foundation of the determinants of the family ambivalence in Spain from the cultural and the institutional dimension. This study shows the Spanish family models of preferences following the Pfau-Effinger (2004) classification of the famiy living arrangements. The reason for this study is twofold; on the one hand, there is confirmed the scarcity of studies that have focused their attention on this objective in Spain; on the other hand, the studies carried out in the international context have confirmed the analytical effectiveness of researching on the attitude and value changes to explain the meaning and trends of the family changes. There is also presented some preliminary results that have been obtained from the multinomial analysis related to the influence of the socio-demographic factors on the family model chosen by the individuals in Spain (father and mother working full time; mother part-time father full-time; mother not at work father full-time; mother and father part-time). 3 The database used has been the International Social Survey Programme: Family and Changing Gender Roles IV- ISSP 2012-. Spain is the only country of South Europe that has participated in the survey. For this reason it has been considered as a representative case study.
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Prostate cancer is the most common non-dermatological cancer amongst men in the developed world. The current definitive diagnosis is core needle biopsy guided by transrectal ultrasound. However, this method suffers from low sensitivity and specificity in detecting cancer. Recently, a new ultrasound based tissue typing approach has been proposed, known as temporal enhanced ultrasound (TeUS). In this approach, a set of temporal ultrasound frames is collected from a stationary tissue location without any intentional mechanical excitation. The main aim of this thesis is to implement a deep learning-based solution for prostate cancer detection and grading using TeUS data. In the proposed solution, convolutional neural networks are trained to extract high-level features from time domain TeUS data in temporally and spatially adjacent frames in nine in vivo prostatectomy cases. This approach avoids information loss due to feature extraction and also improves cancer detection rate. The output likelihoods of two TeUS arrangements are then combined to form our novel decision support system. This deep learning-based approach results in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.80 and 0.73 for prostate cancer detection and grading, respectively, in leave-one-patient-out cross-validation. Recently, multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging (mp-MRI) has been utilized to improve detection rate of aggressive prostate cancer. In this thesis, for the first time, we present the fusion of mp-MRI and TeUS for characterization of prostate cancer to compensates the deficiencies of each image modalities and improve cancer detection rate. The results obtained using TeUS are fused with those attained using consolidated mp-MRI maps from multiple MR modalities and cancer delineations on those by multiple clinicians. The proposed fusion approach yields the AUC of 0.86 in prostate cancer detection. The outcomes of this thesis emphasize the viable potential of TeUS as a tissue typing method. Employing this ultrasound-based intervention, which is non-invasive and inexpensive, can be a valuable and practical addition to enhance the current prostate cancer detection.
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Knowledge of the geographical distribution of timber tree species in the Amazon is still scarce. This is especially true at the local level, thereby limiting natural resource management actions. Forest inventories are key sources of information on the occurrence of such species. However, areas with approved forest management plans are mostly located near access roads and the main industrial centers. The present study aimed to assess the spatial scale effects of forest inventories used as sources of occurrence data in the interpolation of potential species distribution models. The occurrence data of a group of six forest tree species were divided into four geographical areas during the modeling process. Several sampling schemes were then tested applying the maximum entropy algorithm, using the following predictor variables: elevation, slope, exposure, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and height above the nearest drainage (HAND). The results revealed that using occurrence data from only one geographical area with unique environmental characteristics increased both model overfitting to input data and omission error rates. The use of a diagonal systematic sampling scheme and lower threshold values led to improved model performance. Forest inventories may be used to predict areas with a high probability of species occurrence, provided they are located in forest management plan regions representative of the environmental range of the model projection area.
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Il progetto di tesi è incentrato sull’ottimizzazione del procedimento di taratura dei regolatori lineari degli anelli di controllo di posizione e velocità presenti negli azionamenti usati industrialmente su macchine automatiche, specialmente quando il carico è ad inerzia variabile in dipendenza dalla posizione, dunque non lineare, come ad esempio un quadrilatero articolato. Il lavoro è stato svolto in collaborazione con l’azienda G.D S.p.A. ed il meccanismo di prova è realmente utilizzato nelle macchine automatiche per il packaging di sigarette. L’ottimizzazione si basa sulla simulazione in ambiente Matlab/Simulink dell’intero sistema di controllo, cioè comprensivo del modello Simulink degli anelli di controllo del drive, inclusa la dinamica elettrica del motore, e del modello Simscape del meccanismo, perciò una prima necessaria fase del lavoro è stata la validazione di tali modelli affinché fossero sufficientemente fedeli al comportamento reale. Il secondo passo è stato fornire una prima taratura di tentativo che fungesse da punto di partenza per l’algoritmo di ottimizzazione, abbiamo fatto ciò linearizzando il modello meccanico con l’inerzia minima e utilizzando il metodo delle formule di inversione per determinare i parametri di controllo. Già questa taratura, seppur conservativa, ha portato ad un miglioramento delle performance del sistema rispetto alla taratura empirica comunemente fatta in ambito industriale. Infine, abbiamo lanciato l’algoritmo di ottimizzazione definendo opportunamente la funzione di costo, ed il risultato è stato decisamente positivo, portando ad un miglioramento medio del massimo errore di inseguimento di circa il 25%, ma anche oltre il 30% in alcuni casi.
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This dissertation adopts a multidisciplinary approach to investigate graphical and formal features of Cretan Hieroglyphic and Linear A. Drawing on theories which understand inscribed artefacts as an interplay of materials, iconography, and texts, I combine archaeological and philological considerations with statistical and experimental observations. The work is formulated on three key-questions. The first deals with the origins of Cretan Hieroglyphic. After providing a fresh view on Prepalatial seals chronology, I identify a number of forerunners of Hieroglyphic signs in iconographic motifs attested among the Prepalatial glyptic and material culture. I further identified a specific style-group, i.e., the ‘Border and Leaf Complex’, as the decisive step towards the emergence of the Hieroglyphic graphic repertoire. The second deals with the interweaving of formal, iconographical, and epigraphic features of Hieroglyphic seals with the sequences they bear and the contexts of their usage. By means of two Correspondence Analyses, I showed that the iconography on seals in some materials and shapes is closer to Cretan Hieroglyphics, than that on the other ones. Through two Social Network Analyses, I showed that Hieroglyphic impressions, especially at Knossos, follow a precise sealing pattern due to their shapes and sequences. Furthermore, prisms with a high number of inscribed faces adhere to formal features of jasper ones. Finally, through experimental engravings, I showed differences in cutting rates among materials, as well as the efficiency of abrasives and tools unearthed within the Quartier Mu. The third question concerns overlaps in chronology, findspots and signaries between Cretan Hieroglyphic and Linear A. I discussed all possible earliest instances of both scripts and argued for some items datable to the MM I-IIA period. I further provide an insight into the Hieroglyphic-Linear A dubitanda and criteria for their interpretation. Finally, I suggest four different patterns in the creation and diversification of the two signaries.
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Il primo modello matematico in grado di descrivere il prototipo di un sistema eccitabile assimilabile ad un neurone fu sviluppato da R. FitzHugh e J. Nagumo nel 1961. Tale modello, per quanto schematico, rappresenta un importante punto di partenza per la ricerca nell'ambito neuroscientifico delle dinamiche neuronali, ed è infatti capostipite di una serie di lavori che hanno puntato a migliorare l’accuratezza e la predicibilità dei modelli matematici per le scienze. L’elevato grado di complessità nello studio dei neuroni e delle dinamiche inter-neuronali comporta, tuttavia, che molte delle caratteristiche e delle potenzialità dell’ambito non siano ancora state comprese appieno. In questo lavoro verrà approfondito un modello ispirato al lavoro originale di FitzHugh e Nagumo. Tale modello presenta l’introduzione di un termine di self-coupling con ritardo temporale nel sistema di equazioni differenziali, diventa dunque rappresentativo di modelli di campo medio in grado di descrivere gli stati macroscopici di un ensemble di neuroni. L'introduzione del ritardo è funzionale ad una descrizione più realistica dei sistemi neuronali, e produce una dinamica più ricca e complessa rispetto a quella presente nella versione originale del modello. Sarà mostrata l'esistenza di una soluzione a ciclo limite nel modello che comprende il termine di ritardo temporale, ove tale soluzione non può essere interpretata nell’ambito delle biforcazioni di Hopf. Allo scopo di esplorare alcune delle caratteristiche basilari della modellizzazione del neurone, verrà principalmente utilizzata l’impostazione della teoria dei sistemi dinamici, integrando dove necessario con alcune nozioni provenienti dall’ambito fisiologico. In conclusione sarà riportata una sezione di approfondimento sulla integrazione numerica delle equazioni differenziali con ritardo.
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Dissertação apresentada ao Instituto Politécnico do Porto para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Logística Orientada por: Professora Doutora Patrícia Alexandra Gregório Ramos
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Com o atual estado da construção em Portugal, a reabilitação urbana é uma realidade. Com muitos dos edifícios a necessitarem de reforço, procurou-se abordar o comportamento real das estruturas, indo além da típica análise linear elástica. Desta forma, pretendeu-se aumentar o conhecimento acerca da modelação numérica não-linear de estruturas de betão armado, expondo modelos de cálculo relativamente simples e de fácil compreensão, com o objetivo de servir de base a uma avaliação da capacidade de carga de um elemento estrutural. O modelo de cálculo foi validado com recurso ao trabalho experimental de Bresler e Scordelis (1963). Analisou-se o comportamento até à rotura de três vigas ensaiadas à flexão. Posteriormente, foi realizado um estudo paramétrico de algumas propriedades do betão com vista à discussão do melhor de ajuste. Em seguida, já no campo do reforço estrutural, simulou-se numericamente vigas reforçadas com CFRP, com recurso à técnica EBR e NSM. Comparam-se os resultados numéricos com os ensaios experimentais de Cruz et al. (2011a). Avaliou-se ainda o desempenho de soluções alternativas com variações na área e comprimento dos laminados. Para finalizar, foi desenvolvida uma campanha experimental com diferentes áreas de reforço. Conceberam-se e executaram-se três vigas de betão armado sobre as quais se instalaram laminados de CFRP. Os resultados experimentais são apresentados e discutidos à luz dos resultados do respetivo modelo numérico. No cômputo geral, o presente trabalho permitiu aferir a validade de modelos não-lineares na previsão do comportamento efetivo das estruturas até à rotura. Assinala-se a concordância em vários resultados experimentais analisados. Ficaram também patentes os principais fenómenos ligados ao reforço de vigas com CFRP, focados nos respetivos modelos de cálculo e nos resultados experimentais apresentados.
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Este trabalho baseia-se na análise de dados do desemprego em Cabo Verde nos anos de 2006 e 2008, usando informação da base de dados do INE e IEFP. Partindo da análise dos dados em estudo vai-se procurar descrever e perspectivar metodologias que contemplam as variáveis qualitativas e quantitativas com significado social positivo para a sociedade deste país. Após a introdução no capítulo 1, fez-se, no capítulo 2, a análise exploratória dos dados do desemprego em Cabo Verde referente aos anos 2006 e 2008. No capítulo 3 estudam-se associações entre variáveis, usando a metodologia de tabelas contingência, através da realização de testes de independência e testes de homogeneidade, e análise de medidas de associação. As variáveis usadas, vão ser essencialmente, o escalão etário, o género e o ano. O capítulo 4 é dedicado ao estudo de modelos Log - lineares em tabela de contingência, finalizando-se o trabalho com a apresentação das principais conclusões.
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The density, heat capacity and thermal conductivity of mango pulp (Mangifera indica L. cv. Tommy Atkins) were determined at moisture contents of between 0.9 and 0.52 kg kg(-1) (w.b.) and temperatures of between 20 and 80 degrees C. The experimental data were satisfactorily fitted (explained variation values >99.1%) as functions of the moisture content and temperature by using multivariate linear models. In the range of conditions considered, the moisture content exhibits a greater influence on the studied properties than temperature. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Pós-graduação em Física - FEG
Biodigestão anaeróbia dos dejetos de suínos e bovinos e utilização do biofertilizante no capim-piatã
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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
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The last three decades have seen quite dramatic changes the way we modeled time dependent data. Linear processes have been in the center stage in modeling time series. As far as the second order properties are concerned, the theory and the methodology are very adequate.However, there are more and more evidences that linear models are not sufficiently flexible and rich enough for modeling purposes and that failure to account for non-linearities can be very misleading and have undesired consequences.
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In this paper new robust nonlinear model construction algorithms for a large class of linear-in-the-parameters models are introduced to enhance model robustness, including three algorithms using combined A- or D-optimality or PRESS statistic (Predicted REsidual Sum of Squares) with regularised orthogonal least squares algorithm respectively. A common characteristic of these algorithms is that the inherent computation efficiency associated with the orthogonalisation scheme in orthogonal least squares or regularised orthogonal least squares has been extended such that the new algorithms are computationally efficient. A numerical example is included to demonstrate effectiveness of the algorithms. Copyright (C) 2003 IFAC.