Análise de risco em carteiras

The work consists of analyzing the risk management of investments by applying statistical concepts, economic and mathematical models considering the assets on the market on renowned financial institution. The assessment of these risks becomes increasingly interesting in view of minimizing your losses thus maximizing your chances of gains in both markets boom as extreme uncertainty, even with the sudden changes of scenery. Introducing concepts of investment funds, as well as the classification of the types of funds as funds management and equity, its guidelines, the concept of market investment funds. The types of assets comprising the investment funds, their taxation rules beyond the incidents that market widely used by investors and skilled people, both physical and legal, who keep their resources in this modality. With the historical data collected yields of investment funds of the Bank of Brazil, is an accomplished inflation adjustment and calculated the mean and variance for the verification of the model of Markowitz efficient frontier, a method used as investment analysis. This scan is used Matlab to obtain the set (or border) efficient portfolios. Once verified such data, there will be a critique of the Markowitz model as a quadratic programming and more coherent risk measures currently studied as VaR and CVaR minimizing the expected error, approaching our studies of current research. It is found that such studies have much to be explored, since there are many discussions about how effectively measure risk investments such as its characteristic and behavior, using a time series and volatility

AN ANALYSIS OF SMALL BUSINESS LOAN GUARANTEE FUNDS

Small businesses are considered important engines for job growth and economic development by policy makers worldwide. One of the most commonly cited constraints of small businesses is a lack of access to capital. To address this constraint, small business loan guarantee programs have been established in over 100 countries. There are a variety of types of guarantee funds, with the most significant differences being which borrowers are eligible for guarantees, and how borrowers are approved for guarantees. There is currently no clear delineation between types of programs and the economic conditions they operate in, though some trends are becoming apparent. However, these trends may not be leading to the best economic outcomes possible. By better matching the structure of the guarantee fund to the economic conditions it operates in, the program’s success in meeting economic development goals may be greatly improved. Many programs in developing countries may not be taking advantage of bank expertise and may be limiting the scope of their effectiveness. At the same time, programs in developed countries may be wasting resources by scattering their efforts too thinly and subsidizing less competitive firms to the detriment of local economic development.

Tiered Pricing and Cost Functions: Are Equity, Cost Recovery and Economic Efficiency Compatible Goals?

Suppliers of water and energy are frequently natural monopolies, with their pricing regulated by governmental agencies. Pricing schemes are evaluated by the efficiency of the resource allocation they lead to, the capacity of the utilities to capture their costs and the distributional effects of the policies, in particular, impacts on the poor. One pricing approach has been average cost pricing, which guarantees cost recovery and allows utilities to provide their product at relatively low prices. However, average cost pricing leads to economically inefficient consumption levels, when sources of water and energy are limited and increasing the supply is costly. An alternative approach is increasing block rates (hereafter, IBR or tiered pricing), where individuals pay a low rate for an initial consumption block and a higher rate as they increase use beyond that block. An example of IBR is shown in Figure 1 (on next page), which shows a rate structure for residential water use. With the rates in Figure 1, a household would be charged $0.46 and $0.71 per hundred gallons for consumption below and above 21,000 gallons per month, respectively.

Measuring the Performance of Cooperative Equity Redemption Plans

Cooperatives differ from other businesses in that they are owned by their patrons and net margins are distributed to patrons on the basis of use instead of capital investment. For financing, cooperatives often rely on allocated equities from retained patronage refunds. Retained patronage refunds are noncash allocations of net margins reinvested in a cooperative by patrons. Under an ideal program of equity formation, equity is held by patrons in proportion to patronage. Each patron’s share of financing the cooperative is equal to the share of benefits received. Equities of former patrons are retired as active patrons take on more of the responsibility of financing the organization.

Precautionary principle, economic and energy systems and social equity

In this paper the precautionary principle is reviewed alongside the process of international implementation. Adoption of the precautionary principle is advocated to deal with energy choices as a mechanism to account for potential climate change impacts, notwithstanding the debate on scientific uncertainty on the links between solar activity, greenhouse gas concentration and climate. However, it is also recognized that the widespread application of the precautionary principle to energy choices does not seem to be taking place in the real world. Relevant concrete barriers are identified stemming from the intrinsic logic governing the hegemonic economic system, driving the energy choices by economic surplus and rent generation potential, the existence of social asymmetries inside and among societies as well as by the absence of democratic global governance mechanisms, capable of dealing with climate change issues. Such perception seems to have been reinforced by the outcome of the United Nations Climate Change Conference, held in Copenhagen in December 2009. (c) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Equity in health: tuberculosis in the Bolivian immigrant community of Sao Paulo, Brazil

Objectives To analyse the profile of tuberculosis (TB) among Bolivian immigrants, investigate the impact that this population has on the trends of TB and assess equity in access to TB treatment, in the city of Sao Paulo, Brazil. Methods Descriptive study of the epidemiological profile of TB in four city districts with large Bolivian populations, comparing cases among Brazilians and Bolivians, during the 19982008 period was carried out. We used logistic regression to adjust the treatment outcome for potential confounders. Results We identified 2056 new TB cases: 65.7% in Brazilians, 32.1% in Bolivians and 2.2% among other nationalities. Although TB incidence remained stable (high) over the study period, the annual proportion of cases among Bolivians increased from 15.0% to 53.0%. In comparison with the Brazilians, the Bolivians were younger (median age, 24 vs. 40 years; P < 0.0001) and presented a lower unemployment rate (3.1%vs. 11.6%; P < 0.0001), a lower rate of HIV co-infection (1.5%vs. 28.5%; P < 0.001), a higher proportion of individuals receiving supervised treatment (81.5%vs. 62.0%; P < 0.0001) and a higher proportion of cures (71.6%vs. 63.2%; P < 0.0001). After having been adjusted for potential confounder, cure after treatment was not associated with nationality. Conclusions Bolivian immigrants influenced the incidence but not the trends of TB among Brazilians in the study area. We found no significant differences between Bolivians and Brazilians regarding healthcare access or treatment outcome. Guaranteed universal health care access for all, including undocumented individuals, contributes to health equity. Specific intervention strategies are warranted for immigrants with tuberculosis.

Equity and women's health services for contraception, abortion and childbirth in Brazil

This paper addresses equity in health and health care in Brazil, examining unjust disparities between women and men, and between women from different social strata, with a focus on services for contraception, abortion and pregnancy. In 2010 women's life expectancy was 77.6 years, men's was 69.7 years. Women are two-thirds of public hospital services users and assess their health status less positively than men. The total fertility rate was 1.8 in 2011, and contraceptive prevalence has been high among women at all income levels. The proportion of sterilizations has decreased; lower-income women are more frequently sterilized. Abortions are mostly illegal; women with more money have better access to safe abortions in private clinics. Poorer women generally self-induce abortion with misoprostol, seeking treatment of complications from public clinics. Institutional violence on the part of health professionals is reported by half of women receiving abortion care and a quarter of women during childbirth. Maternity care is virtually universal. The public sector has fewer caesarean sections, fewer low birth weight babies, and more rooming-in, but excessive episiotomies and inductions. Privacy, continuity of care and companionship during birth are more common in the private sector. To achieve equity, the health system must go beyond universal, unregulated access to technology, and move towards safe, effective and transparent care. (C) 2012 Reproductive Health Matters

Le Finanziarie regionali come operatori di private equity

Obiettivo del presente lavoro è approntare un’analisi interpretativa dell’operatività dalle Finanziarie regionali, valutarne gli investimenti in capitale di rischio e, in particolare, l’attività di private equity, evidenziando le tendenze in atto, i possibili percorsi evolutivi e le eventuali criticità. La metodologia adottata ha previsto un’articolazione del lavoro lungo due principali direttive: un’analisi di tipo quantitativo sui bilanci di sette esercizi (dal 2002 al 2008), con la finalità di indagare nel dettaglio gli aspetti economici, finanziari e patrimoniali delle Finanziarie regionali attive sul territorio italiano; un’analisi qualitativa basata su un’approfondita rassegna della letteratura internazionale e su interviste mirate ad un campione ampiamente rappresentativo della popolazione osservata. I risultati raggiunti fanno ragionevolmente supporre che sia in atto una profonda ristrutturazione dell’intero sistema delle Finanziarie, che ha visto innanzitutto aumentare il controllo pubblico nella compagine sociale. L’indagine contabile ha permesso di identificare la presenza di due modelli di business ben differenziati: alcune Finanziarie sono orientate ad attività con forte contenuto di intermediazione finanziaria; altre invece sono focalizzate sull’attività di erogazione di servizi sia finanziari di consulenza che reali. L’investimento in capitale di rischio costituisce un attività centrale per le Finanziarie regionali; l’analisi dedicata a tali impieghi ha permesso di individuare, tra esse, alcune realtà tipiche del merchant banking, e più di frequente, del modello di holding. Complessivamente le Finanziarie campionate detengono oltre 400 partecipazioni per un valore che supera 1,7 miliardi di euro; prevalentemente concentrati su una ristretta cerchia di realtà spesso con impatto strategico sul territorio, ovvero strumentali. Segnatamente all’attività di private equity, è stato possibile rilevare come la politica d’investimento delle Finanziarie regionali sia complementare rispetto a quella mediamente espressa dal mercato domestico, anche se restano critici, anche per le Finanziarie, gli investimenti su imprese target con fatturato compreso tra 2 e 10 milioni di euro. Le evidenze circa la struttura dei contratti segnalano una parziale conformità alla best practice individuata dalla letteratura internazionale. In particolare l’uso limitato dello stage financing, la bassa partecipazione alla gestione sono le principali criticità individuate. Infine, della fase di riorganizzazione che pare interessare il sistema delle Finanziarie, si trova conferma nella percezione dei suoi operatori. Interpellati sul futuro dell’attività di investimento in capitale di rischio, hanno fornito indicazioni che consentono di concludere l’esistenza di una polarizzazione delle Finanziarie su due gruppi: da un lato quelle che implementeranno, più o meno, l’attività di private equity, dall’altro quelle che, viceversa, abbandoneranno tale strumento. La normativa sulle società a partecipazione pubblica regionale e la scarsa autonomia nella gestione delle misure affidate sono ritenute, dalle Finanziarie “interessate”, il principale fattore di freno alla loro crescita nel mercato del private equity.