Application of compositional data analysis to geochemical data of marine sediments

In an earlier investigation (Burger et al., 2000) five sediment cores near the RodriguesTriple Junction in the Indian Ocean were studied applying classical statistical methods(fuzzy c-means clustering, linear mixing model, principal component analysis) for theextraction of endmembers and evaluating the spatial and temporal variation ofgeochemical signals. Three main factors of sedimentation were expected by the marinegeologists: a volcano-genetic, a hydro-hydrothermal and an ultra-basic factor. Thedisplay of fuzzy membership values and/or factor scores versus depth providedconsistent results for two factors only; the ultra-basic component could not beidentified. The reason for this may be that only traditional statistical methods wereapplied, i.e. the untransformed components were used and the cosine-theta coefficient assimilarity measure.During the last decade considerable progress in compositional data analysis was madeand many case studies were published using new tools for exploratory analysis of thesedata. Therefore it makes sense to check if the application of suitable data transformations,reduction of the D-part simplex to two or three factors and visualinterpretation of the factor scores would lead to a revision of earlier results and toanswers to open questions . In this paper we follow the lines of a paper of R. Tolosana-Delgado et al. (2005) starting with a problem-oriented interpretation of the biplotscattergram, extracting compositional factors, ilr-transformation of the components andvisualization of the factor scores in a spatial context: The compositional factors will beplotted versus depth (time) of the core samples in order to facilitate the identification ofthe expected sources of the sedimentary process.Kew words: compositional data analysis, biplot, deep sea sediments

Optimization of treatment with interferon beta in multiple sclerosis. Usefulness of automatic system application criteria

Background. A software based tool has been developed (Optem) to allow automatize the recommendations of the Canadian Multiple Sclerosis Working Group for optimizing MS treatment in order to avoid subjective interpretation. METHODS: Treatment Optimization Recommendations (TORs) were applied to our database of patients treated with IFN beta1a IM. Patient data were assessed during year 1 for disease activity, and patients were assigned to 2 groups according to TOR: "change treatment" (CH) and "no change treatment" (NCH). These assessments were then compared to observed clinical outcomes for disease activity over the following years. RESULTS: We have data on 55 patients. The "change treatment" status was assigned to 22 patients, and "no change treatment" to 33 patients. The estimated sensitivity and specificity according to last visit status were 73.9% and 84.4%. During the following years, the Relapse Rate was always higher in the "change treatment" group than in the "no change treatment" group (5 y; CH: 0.7, NCH: 0.07; p < 0.001, 12 m - last visit; CH: 0.536, NCH: 0.34). We obtained the same results with the EDSS (4 y; CH: 3.53, NCH: 2.55, annual progression rate in 12 m - last visit; CH: 0.29, NCH: 0.13). CONCLUSION: Applying TOR at the first year of therapy allowed accurate prediction of continued disease activity in relapses and disability progression.

Comparison of application of the ACC/AHA guidelines, Adult Treatment Panel III guidelines, and European Society of Cardiology guidelines for cardiovascular disease prevention in a European cohort.

IMPORTANCE: The 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) guidelines introduced a prediction model and lowered the threshold for treatment with statins to a 7.5% 10-year hard atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. Implications of the new guideline's threshold and model have not been addressed in non-US populations or compared with previous guidelines. OBJECTIVE: To determine population-wide implications of the ACC/AHA, the Adult Treatment Panel III (ATP-III), and the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines using a cohort of Dutch individuals aged 55 years or older. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We included 4854 Rotterdam Study participants recruited in 1997-2001. We calculated 10-year risks for "hard" ASCVD events (including fatal and nonfatal coronary heart disease [CHD] and stroke) (ACC/AHA), hard CHD events (fatal and nonfatal myocardial infarction, CHD mortality) (ATP-III), and atherosclerotic CVD mortality (ESC). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Events were assessed until January 1, 2012. Per guideline, we calculated proportions of individuals for whom statins would be recommended and determined calibration and discrimination of risk models. RESULTS: The mean age was 65.5 (SD, 5.2) years. Statins would be recommended for 96.4% (95% CI, 95.4%-97.1%; n = 1825) of men and 65.8% (95% CI, 63.8%-67.7%; n = 1523) of women by the ACC/AHA, 52.0% (95% CI, 49.8%-54.3%; n = 985) of men and 35.5% (95% CI, 33.5%-37.5%; n = 821) of women by the ATP-III, and 66.1% (95% CI, 64.0%-68.3%; n = 1253) of men and 39.1% (95% CI, 37.1%-41.2%; n = 906) of women by ESC guidelines. With the ACC/AHA model, average predicted risk vs observed cumulative incidence of hard ASCVD events was 21.5% (95% CI, 20.9%-22.1%) vs 12.7% (95% CI, 11.1%-14.5%) for men (192 events) and 11.6% (95% CI, 11.2%-12.0%) vs 7.9% (95% CI, 6.7%-9.2%) for women (151 events). Similar overestimation occurred with the ATP-III model (98 events in men and 62 events in women) and ESC model (50 events in men and 37 events in women). The C statistic was 0.67 (95% CI, 0.63-0.71) in men and 0.68 (95% CI, 0.64-0.73) in women for hard ASCVD (ACC/AHA), 0.67 (95% CI, 0.62-0.72) in men and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.63-0.75) in women for hard CHD (ATP-III), and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.70-0.82) in men and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.71-0.83) in women for CVD mortality (ESC). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this European population aged 55 years or older, proportions of individuals eligible for statins differed substantially among the guidelines. The ACC/AHA guideline would recommend statins for nearly all men and two-thirds of women, proportions exceeding those with the ATP-III or ESC guidelines. All 3 risk models provided poor calibration and moderate to good discrimination. Improving risk predictions and setting appropriate population-wide thresholds are necessary to facilitate better clinical decision making.

Robust regression in biological assay: application to the evaluation of alternative experimental techniques.

Robust Huber type regression and testing of linear hypotheses are adapted to statistical analysis of parallel line and slope ratio assays. They are applied in the evaluation of results of several experiments carried out in order to compare and validate alternatives to animal experimentation based on embryo and cell cultures. Computational procedures necessary for the application of robust methods of analysis used the conversational statistical package ROBSYS. Special commands for the analysis of parallel line and slope ratio assays have been added to ROBSYS.

Conditional compositional biplots: theory and application

The biplot has proved to be a powerful descriptive and analytical tool in many areasof applications of statistics. For compositional data the necessary theoreticaladaptation has been provided, with illustrative applications, by Aitchison (1990) andAitchison and Greenacre (2002). These papers were restricted to the interpretation ofsimple compositional data sets. In many situations the problem has to be described insome form of conditional modelling. For example, in a clinical trial where interest isin how patients’ steroid metabolite compositions may change as a result of differenttreatment regimes, interest is in relating the compositions after treatment to thecompositions before treatment and the nature of the treatments applied. To study thisthrough a biplot technique requires the development of some form of conditionalcompositional biplot. This is the purpose of this paper. We choose as a motivatingapplication an analysis of the 1992 US President ial Election, where interest may be inhow the three-part composition, the percentage division among the three candidates -Bush, Clinton and Perot - of the presidential vote in each state, depends on the ethniccomposition and on the urban-rural composition of the state. The methodology ofconditional compositional biplots is first developed and a detailed interpretation of the1992 US Presidential Election provided. We use a second application involving theconditional variability of tektite mineral compositions with respect to major oxidecompositions to demonstrate some hazards of simplistic interpretation of biplots.Finally we conjecture on further possible applications of conditional compositionalbiplots

Compositional ideas in the bayesian analysis of categorical data with application to dose finding clinical trials

Compositional random vectors are fundamental tools in the Bayesian analysis of categorical data.Many of the issues that are discussed with reference to the statistical analysis of compositionaldata have a natural counterpart in the construction of a Bayesian statistical model for categoricaldata.This note builds on the idea of cross-fertilization of the two areas recommended by Aitchison (1986)in his seminal book on compositional data. Particular emphasis is put on the problem of whatparameterization to use

Functionalized nanostructures with application in regenerative medicine

In the last decade, both regenerative medicine and nanotechnology have been broadly developed leading important advances in biomedical research as well as in clinical practice. The manipulation on the molecular level and the use of several functionalized nanoscaled materials has application in various fields of regenerative medicine including tissue engineering, cell therapy, diagnosis and drug and gene delivery. The themes covered in this review include nanoparticle systems for tracking transplanted stem cells, self-assembling peptides, nanoparticles for gene delivery into stem cells and biomimetic scaffolds useful for 2D and 3D tissue cell cultures, transplantation and clinical application.

Alternative ways to estimate change points in multinomial sequences. An application to an authorship attribution problem

The statistical analysis of literary style is the part of stylometry that compares measurable characteristicsin a text that are rarely controlled by the author, with those in other texts. When thegoal is to settle authorship questions, these characteristics should relate to the author’s style andnot to the genre, epoch or editor, and they should be such that their variation between authors islarger than the variation within comparable texts from the same author.For an overview of the literature on stylometry and some of the techniques involved, see for exampleMosteller and Wallace (1964, 82), Herdan (1964), Morton (1978), Holmes (1985), Oakes (1998) orLebart, Salem and Berry (1998).Tirant lo Blanc, a chivalry book, is the main work in catalan literature and it was hailed to be“the best book of its kind in the world” by Cervantes in Don Quixote. Considered by writterslike Vargas Llosa or Damaso Alonso to be the first modern novel in Europe, it has been translatedseveral times into Spanish, Italian and French, with modern English translations by Rosenthal(1996) and La Fontaine (1993). The main body of this book was written between 1460 and 1465,but it was not printed until 1490.There is an intense and long lasting debate around its authorship sprouting from its first edition,where its introduction states that the whole book is the work of Martorell (1413?-1468), while atthe end it is stated that the last one fourth of the book is by Galba (?-1490), after the death ofMartorell. Some of the authors that support the theory of single authorship are Riquer (1990),Chiner (1993) and Badia (1993), while some of those supporting the double authorship are Riquer(1947), Coromines (1956) and Ferrando (1995). For an overview of this debate, see Riquer (1990).Neither of the two candidate authors left any text comparable to the one under study, and thereforediscriminant analysis can not be used to help classify chapters by author. By using sample textsencompassing about ten percent of the book, and looking at word length and at the use of 44conjunctions, prepositions and articles, Ginebra and Cabos (1998) detect heterogeneities that mightindicate the existence of two authors. By analyzing the diversity of the vocabulary, Riba andGinebra (2000) estimates that stylistic boundary to be near chapter 383.Following the lead of the extensive literature, this paper looks into word length, the use of the mostfrequent words and into the use of vowels in each chapter of the book. Given that the featuresselected are categorical, that leads to three contingency tables of ordered rows and therefore tothree sequences of multinomial observations.Section 2 explores these sequences graphically, observing a clear shift in their distribution. Section 3describes the problem of the estimation of a suden change-point in those sequences, in the followingsections we propose various ways to estimate change-points in multinomial sequences; the methodin section 4 involves fitting models for polytomous data, the one in Section 5 fits gamma modelsonto the sequence of Chi-square distances between each row profiles and the average profile, theone in Section 6 fits models onto the sequence of values taken by the first component of thecorrespondence analysis as well as onto sequences of other summary measures like the averageword length. In Section 7 we fit models onto the marginal binomial sequences to identify thefeatures that distinguish the chapters before and after that boundary. Most methods rely heavilyon the use of generalized linear models

Assessing the Precision of Compositional Data in a Stratified Double Stage Cluster Sample: Application to the Swiss Earnings Structure Survey

Precision of released figures is not only an important quality feature of official statistics,it is also essential for a good understanding of the data. In this paper we show a casestudy of how precision could be conveyed if the multivariate nature of data has to betaken into account. In the official release of the Swiss earnings structure survey, the totalsalary is broken down into several wage components. We follow Aitchison's approachfor the analysis of compositional data, which is based on logratios of components. Wefirst present diferent multivariate analyses of the compositional data whereby the wagecomponents are broken down by economic activity classes. Then we propose a numberof ways to assess precision

Prospective universal application of mycobacterial interspersed repetitive-unit-variable-number tandem-repeat genotyping to characterize Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates for fast identification of clustered and orphan cases.

The use of molecular tools for genotyping Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates in epidemiological surveys in order to identify clustered and orphan strains requires faster response times than those offered by the reference method, IS6110 restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) genotyping. A method based on PCR, the mycobacterial interspersed repetitive-unit-variable-number tandem-repeat (MIRU-VNTR) genotyping technique, is an option for fast fingerprinting of M. tuberculosis, although precise evaluations of correlation between MIRU-VNTR and RFLP findings in population-based studies in different contexts are required before the methods are switched. In this study, we evaluated MIRU-VNTR genotyping (with a set of 15 loci [MIRU-15]) in parallel to RFLP genotyping in a 39-month universal population-based study in a challenging setting with a high proportion of immigrants. For 81.9% (281/343) of the M. tuberculosis isolates, both RFLP and MIRU-VNTR types were obtained. The percentages of clustered cases were 39.9% (112/281) and 43.1% (121/281) for RFLP and MIRU-15 analyses, and the numbers of clusters identified were 42 and 45, respectively. For 85.4% of the cases, the RFLP and MIRU-15 results were concordant, identifying the same cases as clustered and orphan (kappa, 0.7). However, for the remaining 14.6% of the cases, discrepancies were observed: 16 of the cases clustered by RFLP analysis were identified as orphan by MIRU-15 analysis, and 25 cases identified as orphan by RFLP analysis were clustered by MIRU-15 analysis. When discrepant cases showing subtle genotypic differences were tolerated, the discrepancies fell from 14.6% to 8.6%. Epidemiological links were found for 83.8% of the cases clustered by both RFLP and MIRU-15 analyses, whereas for the cases clustered by RFLP or MIRU-VNTR analysis alone, links were identified for only 30.8% or 38.9% of the cases, respectively. The latter group of cases mainly comprised isolates that could also have been clustered, if subtle genotypic differences had been tolerated. MIRU-15 genotyping seems to be a good alternative to RFLP genotyping for real-time interventional schemes. The correlation between MIRU-15 and IS6110 RFLP findings was reasonable, although some uncertainties as to the assignation of clusters by MIRU-15 analysis were identified.

Dépistage du VIH: les médecins aux urgences de Suisse Romande connaissent-­‐ils les recommandations suisses ?

Contexte¦Le VIH reste une des préoccupations majeures de santé publique dans le monde. Le nombre de patients infectés en Europe continue de croître et s'élève, en 2008, à 2.3 millions (1). De plus, environ 30 % des personnes séropositives ignorent leur statut et, de ce fait, contribuent à la propagation de l'épidémie. Ces patients sont responsables de la moitié des nouveaux cas du VIH (2) ; ils transmettent, en effet, 3.5 fois plus l'infection que les patients dont le diagnostic est connu (3).¦Aux USA, en raison de l'épidémiologie actuelle du VIH, les Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) ont, en septembre 2006, mis le point sur la nécessité d'étendre drastiquement les tests et, de ce fait, ont publié de nouvelles recommandations. Non seulement, le test devra dépasser les groupes à risque dans les zones à grande prévalence mais aussi, être répandu à toute la population adulte de 13 à 64 ans sauf si la prévalence du VIH est en dessous de 0.1 % (4). Cette démarche est appelée routine opt-out HIV screening et plusieurs arguments parlent en faveur d'un dépistage systématique. Cette maladie rempli tout d'abord les 4 critères pour l'introduction d'un dépistage systématique : une maladie grave pouvant être mise en évidence avant l'apparition des symptômes, son diagnostic améliore la survie par une progression moins rapide et diminution de la mortalité, des tests de dépistage sensibles et spécifiques sont disponibles et les coûts sont moindres en comparaison aux bénéfices (5). Aux USA, 73 % des patients diagnostiqués à un stade avancé de l'infection VIH entre 2001 et 2005 avaient eu recours à l'utilisation des systèmes de soins au moins une fois dans les 8 ans précédant le diagnostic (6). Ces occasions manquées font aussi partie des arguments en faveur d'un dépistage systématique. En règle générale, le médecin se basant uniquement sur les symptômes et signes, ainsi que sur l'anamnèse sexuelle sous-estime la population à tester. Ce problème de sélection des candidats n'a plus lieu d'être lors d'un tel screening. Après cette publication des recommandations du CDC, qui introduit le dépistage systématique, il a été constaté que seulement 1/3 du personnel soignant interrogé connaissait les nouvelles directives et seulement 20 % offrait un dépistage de routine à tous les patients concernés (7). Cette étude nous montre alors qu'il est impératif de vérifier le niveau de connaissances des médecins après la publication de nouvelles recommandations.¦Devant le problème de l'épidémie du VIH, la Suisse opte pour une stratégie différente à celle des Etats-Unis. La Commission d'experts clinique et thérapie VIH et SIDA (CCT) de l'OFSP a tout d'abord publié, en 2007, des recommandations destinées à diminuer le nombre d'infections VIH non diagnostiquées, grâce à un dépistage initié par le médecin (8). Cette approche, appelée provider initiated counselling and testing (PICT), complétait alors celle du voluntary counselling and testing (VCT) qui préconisait un dépistage sur la demande du patient. Malheureusement, le taux d'infections diagnostiquées à un stade avancé a stagné aux environs de 30 % jusqu'en 2008 (9), raison pour laquelle l'OFSP apporte, en 2010, des modifications du PICT. Ces modifications exposent différentes situations où le test du VIH devrait être envisagé et apportent des précisions quant à la manière de le proposer. En effet, lors d'une suspicion de primo-infection, le médecin doit expliquer au patient qu'un dépistage du VIH est indiqué, un entretien conseil est réalisé avec des informations concernant la contagiosité élevée du virus à ce stade de l'infection. Si le patient présente un tableau clinique qui s'inscrit dans le diagnostic différentiel d'une infection VIH, le médecin propose le test de manière systématique. Il doit alors informer le patient qu'un tel test sera effectué dans le cadre d'une démarche diagnostique, sauf si celui-ci s'y oppose. Enfin, dans d'autres situations telles que sur la demande du patient ou si celui-ci fait partie d'un groupe de population à grande prévalence d'infection VIH, le médecin procède à une anamnèse sexuelle, suivie d'un entretien conseil et du test si l'accord explicite du patient a été obtenu (10).¦Nous pouvons donc constater les différentes stratégies face à l'épidémie du VIH entre les USA et la Suisse. Il est nécessaire d'évaluer les conséquences de ces applications afin d'adopter la conduite la plus efficace en terme de dépistage, pour amener à une diminution des transmissions, une baisse de la morbidité et mortalité. Aux USA, des études ont été faites afin d'évaluer l'impact de l'approche opt-out qui montrent que le screening augmente la probabilité d'être diagnostiqué (11). En revanche, en Suisse, aucune étude de ce type n'a été entreprise à l'heure actuelle. Nous savons également qu'il existe un hiatus entre la publication de nouvelles recommandations et l'application de celles-ci en pratique. Le 1er obstacle à la mise en oeuvre des guidelines étant leur méconnaissance (12), il est alors pertinent de tester les connaissances des médecins des urgences d'Hôpitaux de Suisse au sujet des nouvelles recommandations sur le dépistage du VIH de l'OFSP de mars 2010.¦Objectifs¦Montrer que les recommandations de l'OFSP de mars 2010 ne sont pas connues des médecins suisses.¦Méthodes¦Nous testerons la connaissance des médecins concernant ces recommandations via un questionnaire qui sera distribué lors d'un colloque organisé à cet effet avec tous les médecins du service des urgences d'un même établissement. Il n'y aura qu'une séance afin d'éviter d'éventuels biais (transmission d'informations d'un groupe à un autre). Ils recevront tout d'abord une lettre informative, accompagnée d'un formulaire de consentement pour l'utilisation des données de manière anonyme. La feuille d'information est rédigée de façon à ne pas influencer les candidats pour les réponses aux questions. Le questionnaire comprend deux parties, une première qui comprend divers cas cliniques. Les candidats devront dire si ces situations se trouvent, selon eux, dans les nouvelles recommandations de l'OFSP en termes de dépistage du VIH et indiquer la probabilité d'effectuer le test en pratique. La deuxième partie interrogera sur la manière de proposer le test au patient. La durée nécessaire pour remplir le questionnaire est estimée à 15 minutes.¦Le questionnaire élaboré avec la collaboration de Mme Dubois de l'UMSP à Lausanne et vont être testés par une vingtaine de médecins de premier recours de Vidy Med et Vidy Source, deux centres d'urgences lausannois.¦Réstulats escomptés¦Les médecins suisse ne sont pas au courant des nouvelles recommandations concernant le dépistage du VIH.¦Plus-value escomptée¦Après le passage du questionnaire, nous ferons une succincte présentation afin d'informer les médecins au sujet de ces recommandations. Aussi, l'analyse des résultats du questionnaire nous permettra d'agir au bon niveau pour que les nouvelles recommandations de l'OFSP de mars 2010 soient connues et appliquées, tout en ayant comme objectif l'amélioration du dépistage du VIH.