Percutaneous closure of patent foramen ovale: head-to-head comparison of two different devices

Percutaneous closure of patent foramen ovale (PFO) has been proposed as the treatment of choice for young high-risk patients who suffered cryptogenic stroke and/or peripheral paradoxical embolism. We sought to compare prospectively two different devices used for percutaneous PFO closure.Prospective data were collected on 40 high risk patients (females: 38%, mean age : 44 +/- 11 years, interatrial septal aneurysm >10 mm: 68%) who underwent percutaneous PFO closure after cryptogenic stroke (n = 38) or peripheral paradoxical embolism (n = 2). Chronologically, 20 patients were first treated by a PFO-Star (Cardia, Burnsville, MI) device. Then, 20 other patients received a Starflex occluder (NMT, Boston, MA). The primary endpoint was complete PFO closure at 6 months as assessed by transthoracic contrast echocardiography. Secondary endpoints were major peri- or post procedural complications and clinical recurrence at 1 year follow-up.Baseline clinical and anatomical characteristics were comparable for both groups. Complete PFO closure was observed in 50% (PFO-Star) and 90% (Starflex) of patients (p=0.001) respectively. Major peri-procedural complications occurred in the PFO-star group only: right-sided device thrombus (1 patient) and aorto-right atrial fistula (1 patient). At 1 year follow-up, no clinical recurrence occurred.In conclusion, despite the absence of clinical recurrence in this high-risk population with presumed paradoxical embolism, complete PFO closure at 6 months follow-up was significantly related to the type of closure device used

Revision of the genus acrochordiceras hyatt, 1877 (Ammonoidea, Middle Triassic): Morphology, biometry, biostratigraphy and intra-specific variability

The family Acrochordiceratidae Arthaber, 1911 ranges in age from latest Spathian to the middle/late Anisian boundary, and it represents a major component of ammonoid faunas during that time. The middle Anisian genus Acrochordiceras Hyatt, 1877 is the most widespread taxon of the family and occurs abundantly worldwide within the low paleolatitude belt. However, there is a profusion of species names available for Acrochordiceras. This excessive diversity at the species level essentially results from the fact that sufficiently large samples were not available, thus leading to a typological approach to its taxonomy. Based on new extensive collections obtained from the Anisian (Middle Triassic) Fossil Hill Member (Star Peak Group, north-west Nevada) for which a high resolution biostratigraphic frame is available, the taxonomy and biostratigraphy of the genus Acrochordiceras Hyatt, 1877 is herein revised with respect to its intra-specific variation. Morphological and biometric studies (c. 550 bedrock-controlled specimens were measured) show that only one species occurs in each stratigraphic level. Continuous ranges of intra-specific variation of studied specimens enable us to synonymize Haydenites Diener, 1907, Silesiacrochordiceras Diener, 1916 and Epacrochordiceras Spath, 1934 with Acrochordiceras Hyatt, 1877. Three stratigraphically successive species are herein recognized in the low paleolatitude middle Anisian faunas from Nevada: A. hatschekii (Diener, 1907), A. hyatti Meek, 1877 and A. carolinae Mojsisovics, 1882. Moreover, an assessment of intra-specific variation of the adult size range does not support recognition of a dimorphic pair (Acrochordiceras and Epacrochordiceras) as previously suggested by other workers (Epacrochordiceras is the compressed and weakly ornamented end-member variant of Acrochordiceras). The successive middle Anisian species of Acrochordiceras form an anagenetic lineage characterized by increasing involution, adult size and intra-specific variation. This taxonomic revision based on new bedrock-controlled collections is thus an important prerequisite before studying the evolution of the group.

Role of Sam68 in post-transcriptional gene regulation.

The STAR family of proteins links signaling pathways to various aspects of post-transcriptional regulation and processing of RNAs. Sam68 belongs to this class of heteronuclear ribonucleoprotein particle K (hnRNP K) homology (KH) single domain-containing family of RNA-binding proteins that also contains some domains predicted to bind critical components in signal transduction pathways. In response to phosphorylation and other post-transcriptional modifications, Sam68 has been shown to have the ability to link signal transduction pathways to downstream effects regulating RNA metabolism, including transcription, alternative splicing or RNA transport. In addition to its function as a docking protein in some signaling pathways, this prototypic STAR protein has been identified to have a nuclear localization and to take part in the formation of both nuclear and cytosolic multi-molecular complexes such as Sam68 nuclear bodies and stress granules. Coupling with other proteins and RNA targets, Sam68 may play a role in the regulation of differential expression and mRNA processing and translation according to internal and external signals, thus mediating important physiological functions, such as cell death, proliferation or cell differentiation.

Scenarios for the milk production chain in Brazil in 2020

Brazilian milk production has grown steadily and in 2004 the country became self-sufficient in dairy production. This article develops possible scenarios for the milk production chain in Brazil for the year 2020 in order to contribute to decisions that must be made by stakeholders. A literature review on foresight and the use of scenarios was conducted, and a scenario writing approach based on Wright and Spers (2006) was adopted, which includes the use of the Delphi method, Michael Porter's Five Competitive Forces model, Interpretative Structural Modeling (ISM) (WRIGHT, 1991) and quantitative projections. This methodology provided four scenarios, with quantitative and qualitative elements: two exploratory scenarios ("milk, the new agribusiness star" and "a wasted future"), a most probable scenario ("continuous but uneven growth") and a desired scenario ("competitive family agriculture"). Overall, it is possible to note many market opportunities, as well as niche markets and the strengthening of cooperatives. Future prospects are also favorable to the dairy industry in general, but nearly all scenarios point to a concentration in the industrial sphere.

A simulation-based algorithm for solving the resource-assignment problem in satellite telecommunication networks

This paper proposes an heuristic for the scheduling of capacity requests and the periodic assignment of radio resources in geostationary (GEO) satellite networks with star topology, using the Demand Assigned Multiple Access (DAMA) protocol in the link layer, and Multi-Frequency Time Division Multiple Access (MF-TDMA) and Adaptive Coding and Modulation (ACM) in the physical layer.

Psychiatrie [Trends in psychiatry]

New data confirm that antidepressants have a global protective effect on the risk of suicide even if they very moderately and transiently increase suicide attempts, particularly in young people. We also present recent data about the following topics. (1) The main results of the STAR*D study, an outpatient study about depression treatment following a very complex algorithm. Nearly all the head to head comparisons between treatments showed a lack of significant difference, and the rates of clinical remission for patients non responders to their first two treatments were low. (2) The reintroduction of sertindole, an atypical antipsychotic: cardiac monitoring is necessary, but should not prevent its use as a second line drug. (3) The potential efficacy of dawn simulation and high density negative air ionization in seasonal depression.

Antibiotic susceptibility of Estrella lausannensis, a potential emerging pathogen.

Estrella lausannensis is a new Chlamydia-related bacterium, belonging to the Criblamydiaceae family. As suggested by its species name, this bacterium harbors a peculiar star shape. E. lausannensis is able to infect a wide range of amoebal, fish and mammalian cell lines. Moreover, seroprevalence of 2.9% was reported in children and in women with tubal pathology, showing that humans are commonly exposed to this recently discovered strict intracellular bacteria considered as a potential pathogen. Antibiotic susceptibility was determined using two approaches: qPCR and cellular mortality assay. Antibiotics classically used against intracellular bacteria were tested, including β-lactams, fluoroquinolones, cyclines and macrolides. We showed that E. lausannensis is resistant to β-lactams and fluoroquinolones, and sensitive to cyclines. Interestingly, E. lausannensis is slightly resistant to azithromycin with a MIC of 2 μg/ml, which is 10 fold higher compared to Waddlia chondrophila and Parachlamydia acanthamoebae MIC's. A single A2059C mutation in 23S rRNA gene could be responsible for this unexpected resistance.

Linguistic and maternal genetic diversity are not correlated in native mexicans

Mesoamerica, defined as the broad linguistic and cultural area from middle southern Mexico to Costa Rica, might have played a pivotal role during the colonization of theAmerican continent. It has been suggested that the Mesoamerican isthmus could have played an important role in severely restricting prehistorically gene flow between North and SouthAmerica. Although the Native American component has been already described in admixedMexican populations, few studies have been carried out in native Mexican populations. In thisstudy we present mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) sequence data for the first hypervariable region (HVR-I) in 477 unrelated individuals belonging to eleven different native populations from Mexico. Almost all the Native Mexican mtDNAs could be classified into the four pan-Amerindian haplogroups (A2, B2, C1 and D1); only three of them could be allocated to the rare Native American lineage D4h3. Their haplogroup phylogenies are clearly star-like, as expected from relatively young populations that have experienced diverse episodes of genetic drift (e.g. extensive isolation, genetic drift and founder effects) and posterior population expansions. In agreement with this observation is the fact that Native Mexican populations show a high degree of heterogeneity in their patterns of haplogroup frequencies. HaplogroupX2a was absent in our samples, supporting previous observations where this clade was only detected in the American northernmost areas. The search for identical sequences in the American continent shows that, although Native Mexican populations seem to show a closer relationship to North American populations, they cannot be related to a single geographical region within the continent. Finally, we did not find significant population structure on the maternal lineages when considering the four main and distinct linguistic groups represented in our Mexican samples (Oto-Manguean, Uto-Aztecan, Tarascan, and Mayan), suggesting that genetic divergence predates linguistic diversification in Mexico.

Guidelines for the Conversion of Urban Four-Lane Undivided Roadways to Three-Lane Two-Way Left-turn Lane Facilities, April 2001

Four-lane undivided roadways in urban areas can experience a degradation of service and/or safety as traffic volumes increase. In fact, the existence of turning vehicles on this type of roadway has a dramatic effect on both of these factors. The solution identified for these problems is typically the addition of a raised median or two-way left-turn lane (TWLTL). The mobility and safety benefits of these actions have been proven and are discussed in the “Past Research” chapter of this report along with some general cross section selection guidelines. The cost and right-of-way impacts of these actions are widely accepted. These guidelines focus on the evaluation and analysis of an alternative to the typical four-lane undivided cross section improvement approach described above. It has been found that the conversion of a four-lane undivided cross section to three lanes (i.e., one lane in each direction and a TWLTL) can improve safety and maintain an acceptable level of service. These guidelines summarize the results of past research in this area (which is almost nonexistent) and qualitative/quantitative before-and-after safety and operational impacts of case study conversions located throughout the United States and Iowa. Past research confirms that this type of conversion is acceptable or feasible in some situations but for the most part fails to specifically identify those situations. In general, the reviewed case study conversions resulted in a reduction of average or 85th percentile speeds (typically less than five miles per hour) and a relatively dramatic reduction in excessive speeding (a 60 to 70 percent reduction in the number of vehicles traveling five miles per hour faster than the posted speed limit was measured in two cases) and total crashes (reductions between 17 to 62 percent were measured). The 13 roadway conversions considered had average daily traffic volumes of 8,400 to 14,000 vehicles per day (vpd) in Iowa and 9,200 to 24,000 vehicles per day elsewhere. In addition to past research and case study results, a simulation sensitivity analysis was completed to investigate and/or confirm the operational impacts of a four-lane undivided to three-lane conversion. First, the advantages and disadvantages of different corridor simulation packages were identified for this type of analysis. Then, the CORridor SIMulation (CORSIM) software was used x to investigate and evaluate several characteristics related to the operational feasibility of a four-lane undivided to three-lane conversion. Simulated speed and level of service results for both cross sections were documented for different total peak-hour traffic, access densities, and access-point left-turn volumes (for a case study corridor defined by the researchers). These analyses assisted with the identification of the considerations for the operational feasibility determination of a four -lane to three-lane conversion. The results of the simulation analyses primarily confirmed the case study impacts. The CORSIM results indicated only a slight decrease in average arterial speed for through vehicles can be expected for a large range of peak-hour volumes, access densities, and access-point left-turn volumes (given the assumptions and design of the corridor case study evaluated). Typically, the reduction in the simulated average arterial speed (which includes both segment and signal delay) was between zero and four miles per hour when a roadway was converted from a four-lane undivided to a three-lane cross section. The simulated arterial level of service for a converted roadway, however, showed a decrease when the bi-directional peak-hour volume was about 1,750 vehicles per hour (or 17,500 vehicles per day if 10 percent of the daily volume is assumed to occur in the peak hour). Past research by others, however, indicates that 12,000 vehicles per day may be the operational capacity (i.e., level of service E) of a three-lane roadway due to vehicle platooning. The simulation results, along with past research and case study results, appear to support following volume-related feasibility suggestions for four-lane undivided to three-lane cross section conversions. It is recommended that a four-lane undivided to three-lane conversion be considered as a feasible (with respect to volume only) option when bi-directional peak-hour volumes are less than 1,500 vehicles per hour, but that some caution begin to be exercised when the roadway has a bi-directional peak-hour volume between 1,500 and 1,750 vehicles per hour. At and above 1,750 vehicles per hour, the simulation indicated a reduction in arterial level of service. Therefore, at least in Iowa, the feasibility of a four-lane undivided to three-lane conversion should be questioned and/or considered much more closely when a roadway has (or is expected to have) a peak-hour volume of more than 1,750 vehicles. Assuming that 10 percent of the daily traffic occurs during the peak-hour, these volume recommendations would correspond to 15,000 and 17,500 vehicles per day, respectively. These suggestions, however, are based on the results from one idealized case xi study corridor analysis. Individual operational analysis and/or simulations should be completed in detail once a four-lane undivided to three-lane cross section conversion is considered feasible (based on the general suggestions above) for a particular corridor. All of the simulations completed as part of this project also incorporated the optimization of signal timing to minimize vehicle delay along the corridor. A number of determination feasibility factors were identified from a review of the past research, before-and-after case study results, and the simulation sensitivity analysis. The existing and expected (i.e., design period) statuses of these factors are described and should be considered. The characteristics of these factors should be compared to each other, the impacts of other potentially feasible cross section improvements, and the goals/objectives of the community. The factors discussed in these guidelines include • roadway function and environment • overall traffic volume and level of service • turning volumes and patterns • frequent-stop and slow-moving vehicles • weaving, speed, and queues • crash type and patterns • pedestrian and bike activity • right-of-way availability, cost, and acquisition impacts • general characteristics, including - parallel roadways - offset minor street intersections - parallel parking - corner radii - at-grade railroad crossings xii The characteristics of these factors are documented in these guidelines, and their relationship to four-lane undivided to three-lane cross section conversion feasibility identified. This information is summarized along with some evaluative questions in this executive summary and Appendix C. In summary, the results of past research, numerous case studies, and the simulation analyses done as part of this project support the conclusion that in certain circumstances a four-lane undivided to three-lane conversion can be a feasible alternative for the mitigation of operational and/or safety concerns. This feasibility, however, must be determined by an evaluation of the factors identified in these guidelines (along with any others that may be relevant for a individual corridor). The expected benefits, costs, and overall impacts of a four-lane undivided to three-lane conversion should then be compared to the impacts of other feasible alternatives (e.g., adding a raised median) at a particular location.

Neuroretinitis: review of the literature and new observations.

Neuroretinitis (NR) is an inflammatory disorder characterized by optic disc edema and subsequent formation of a macular star figure. The underlying pathophysiology involves increased permeability of disc vasculature, but the etiology is not fully defined. In some cases, NR is probably due to an infectious process involving the disc; in others, a postviral or autoimmune mechanism is more likely. Cases can be divided into those in which a specific infectious agent has been identified, those considered idiopathic, and those with recurrent attacks. Some reports have not distinguished among these subgroups, and it is unclear if their clinical features vary. We reviewed the literature and our own patients looking particularly at features that might better distinguish these subtypes. Features common to all 3 groups included age, absence of pain, and fundus appearance. Preceding systemic symptoms were more common in patients with cat scratch disease (CSD) and uncommon in those with recurrence. The pattern and magnitude of visual field loss differed, more commonly confined to the central field in CSD cases and more severe in recurrent cases. Recovery of visual acuity and field was less substantial in recurrent cases even after the initial episode. MRI was usually normal in all 3 groups. Enhancement confined to the optic disc was found in all 3 groups, but enhancement of the retrobulbar optic nerve was seen only in recurrent cases. Findings that are strongly suggestive of CSD include very young age, preceding systemic symptoms, and poor visual acuity but with a small or absent relative afferent pupil defect (RAPD). In contrast, the following are suggestive of idiopathic NR with a high risk of recurrence: absence of systemic symptoms, visual field defect outside the central field, preserved visual acuity with a large RAPD, and poor recovery of vision. Decisions regarding evaluation and treatment should be made with these features in mind.

Effects of epigenetic regulatory elements on telomeric gene expression

Transgene expression in eukaryotic cells strongly depends on the locus of integration in the host genome and often results in limited transcription level because of unfavorable chromatin structure at the integration site. Epigenetic regulators are DNA sequences which are believed to act on the chromatin structure and may protect transgenes from this so-called position effect. Despite being extensively used to increase transgene expression, the mechanism of action of many of these elements remains largely unknown. Here we evaluated different epigenetic regulatory DNA elements for their ability to protect transgene transcription at telomeres, a defined chromatin environment associated to low or inconsistent expression caused by the Telomere Position Effect (TPE). For the assessment of the effects of epigenetic regulators at telomeres, a novel dual reporter system had to be designed. Telomeric integration of the newly-developed dual reporter system carrying different epigenetic regulators showed that MARs (Matrix Attachment Regions), a UCOE (Ubiquitous Chromatin-Opening Element) or the chicken cHS4 insulator have strong barrier activity which prevented TPE from spreading toward the centromere, resulting in stable and in some cases increased expression of a telomeric-distal reporter gene. In addition, MARs and STAR element 40 resulted in an increase of cells expressing the telomeric-proximal reporter gene, suggesting also an anti-silencing effect. Chromatin immunoprecipitation assays revealed that at telomeres MARs actively promote the deposition of euchromatic histone marks, especially acetylation of both histone H3 and H4, which might be involved in MARs' barrier and transcriptional activator activities. Differently, the chromatin in proximity of the UCOE element was depleted of several repressive chromatin marks, such as trimethylated lysine 9 and lysine 27 on histone H3 and trimethylated lysine 20 of histone H4, possibly favoring the preservation of an open chromatin structure at the integration site. We conclude that epigenetic regulatory elements that may be used to enhance and sustain transgene expression have all a specific epigenetic signature which might be at the basis of their mechanism of action, and that a combination of different classes of epigenetic regulators might be advantageous when high levels of protein expression are required. - L'expression des transgènes dans les cellules eucaryotes est fortement influencée par leur site d'intégration dans le génome. En effet, une structure chromatinienne défavorable au niveau du site d'intégration peut fortement limiter le degré d'expression d'un transgène. Il existe toutefois des séquences d'ADN qui, en agissant sur la structure de la chromatine, permettent de limiter cet effet de position et, par conséquent, de promouvoir l'expression soutenue d'un transgène. Ces éléments génomiques, connus comme régulateurs épigénétiques, sont largement utilisés dans plusieurs domaines où une expression élevée et soutenue est requise, malgré un mode de fonctionnement parfois méconnu. Dans cette étude, j'ai évalué la capacité de différents régulateurs épigénétiques à protéger la transcription de transgènes au niveau des télomères, régions chromatiniennes bien définies qui ont été associées à un fort effet de silençage, connu comme «effet de position télomérique». Pour cela, un nouveau système à deux gènes rapporteurs a été développé. Lorsque des MARs (Matrix Attachment Regions, séquences d'ADN pouvant s'associer à la matrice nucléaire), un UCOE (Ubiquitous Chromatin-Opening Element, élément pouvant ouvrir la chromatine) ou l'isolateur génétique cHS4 (dérivé du locus de la β-globine de poulet) sont placés entre les deux gènes rapporteurs, une forte activité barrière bloquant la propagation de la chromatine répressive télomérique est observée, résultant en un plus grand nombre de cellules exprimant le gène télomérique-distal. D'autre part, une augmentation du nombre de cellules exprimant le gène télomérique-proximal, observée en présence des éléments MAR et STAR 40 (Stabilizing Anti-Repressor element 40, un élément pouvant prévenir la répression génique), suggère aussi un faible effet anti-silençage pour ces éléments. Des expériences d'immunoprécipitation de la chromatine démontrent qu'au télomère, les MARs favorisent l'assemblage de marqueurs de la chromatine active, surtout l'acétylation des histones H3 et H4, qui pourraient être à la base de l'activité barrière et de celle d'activateur transcriptionel. Différemment, la chromatine à proximité de l'élément UCOE est particulièrement pauvre en marqueurs de la chromatine silencieuse, comme la trimethylation des lysines 9 et 27 de l'histone H3, ainsi que la trimethylation de la lysine 20 de l'histone H4. Cela suggère que UCOE pourrait préserver une structure chromatinienne ouverte au site d'intégration, favorisant l'expression des gènes à sa proximité. En conclusion, les régulateurs épigénétiques analysés lors de cette étude ont tous montré une signature épigénétique spécifique qui pourrait être à la base de leurs mécanismes de fonctionnement, suggérant aussi qu'une utilisation d'éléments épigénétiques de classe différente dans un même vecteur d'expression pourrait être avantageuse lorsque de hauts et soutenus niveaux d'expression sont nécessaires.

Elokuva Internetissä : katsaus elokuvaan verkossa sekä suunnitelma Uhripuu-elokuvan julkaisemisesta

Opinnäytetyössäni tarkastellaan Internet-elokuvan historiaa sekä nykyistä tilaa. Käyn läpi yleisimmät katseluohjelmat: QuickTime Player, Windows Media Player, RealPlayer ja Flash Player sekä Internet-elokuvasivustot: YouTube, IFILM, AtomFilm ja Pixoff.net. Kerron myös Flash-elokuvista ja siitä miten Internet on luonut kokonaan uuden elokuvan muodon sekä Internetissä julkaistuista Dogma 2001 The New Rules for Internet Cinema -säännöistä. Käsittelen myös lyhyesti miten Internet-elokuva on vaikuttanut perinteiseen elokuvaan. Käsittelen perinteisen, isolta ruudulta katsottavaksi tehdyn, elokuvan julkaisemista Internetissä. Tarkastelen kahta verkossa julkaistua elokuvaa: Star Wreck ja The Silent City ja käyn läpi miksi ne on julkaistu Internetissä. Star Wreck on tamperelainen poikkeuksellisen kunnianhimoinen amatööriprojekti. The Silent City on taas irlantilaisen 3D-animaattorin, Ruairi Robinsonin, lyhytelokuva, jonka hän on tehnyt työnäytteeksi Hollywoodiin. Käsittelen myös ohjaaja David Lynchin verkkosivut, koska ne ovat Internetissä ainoaa laatuaan ja mainio ympäristö elokuvan julkaisemiseen. Kerron oman Uhripuu-kauhuelokuvani synnystä ja tekoprosessista. Uhripuun idea sai alkunsa Iso-Britanniassa vuoden 2004 alussa. Käsikirjoitus sai lopullisen muotonsa keväällä 2006. Käsittelen miksi ja miten se julkaistaan Internetissä. Kerron elokuvan Internet-sivujen sisällöstä ja sen jaosta eri osiin: Tarina, Rooleissa, Tekijät, Uhripuista, Traileri, Näin tehtiin, Kuvagalleria, E-kortti, Näe/Katso elokuva. Koska olen saanut koulutukseni nimenomaan verkkoviestinnän enkä audiovisuaalisen viestinnän puolella, Uhripuu-elokuvan tekoprosessi on ollut minulle elokuvakoulu. Sen tekemisen aikana olen oppinut elokuvan tekemisestä paljon. Elokuva kuvattiin HD-tarkkuuksilla, jotta kuva ei kärsisi liikaa jälkikäsittelyssä. Mitä tulee elokuvan ja Internetin yhteiseen tulevaisuuteen, näyttää siltä, että nämä kaksi mediaa ovat yhdistymässä yhä enemmän toisiinsa.

The Effect of Four-Lane to Three-Lane Conversion on the Number of Crashes and Crash Rates in Iowa Roads, June 2005

We analyze crash data collected by the Iowa Department of Transportation using Bayesian methods. The data set includes monthly crash numbers, estimated monthly traffic volumes, site length and other information collected at 30 paired sites in Iowa over more than 20 years during which an intervention experiment was set up. The intervention consisted in transforming 15 undivided road segments from four-lane to three lanes, while an additional 15 segments, thought to be comparable in terms of traffic safety-related characteristics were not converted. The main objective of this work is to find out whether the intervention reduces the number of crashes and the crash rates at the treated sites. We fitted a hierarchical Poisson regression model with a change-point to the number of monthly crashes per mile at each of the sites. Explanatory variables in the model included estimated monthly traffic volume, time, an indicator for intervention reflecting whether the site was a “treatment” or a “control” site, and various interactions. We accounted for seasonal effects in the number of crashes at a site by including smooth trigonometric functions with three different periods to reflect the four seasons of the year. A change-point at the month and year in which the intervention was completed for treated sites was also included. The number of crashes at a site can be thought to follow a Poisson distribution. To estimate the association between crashes and the explanatory variables, we used a log link function and added a random effect to account for overdispersion and for autocorrelation among observations obtained at the same site. We used proper but non-informative priors for all parameters in the model, and carried out all calculations using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods implemented in WinBUGS. We evaluated the effect of the four to three-lane conversion by comparing the expected number of crashes per year per mile during the years preceding the conversion and following the conversion for treatment and control sites. We estimated this difference using the observed traffic volumes at each site and also on a per 100,000,000 vehicles. We also conducted a prospective analysis to forecast the expected number of crashes per mile at each site in the study one year, three years and five years following the four to three-lane conversion. Posterior predictive distributions of the number of crashes, the crash rate and the percent reduction in crashes per mile were obtained for each site for the months of January and June one, three and five years after completion of the intervention. The model appears to fit the data well. We found that in most sites, the intervention was effective and reduced the number of crashes. Overall, and for the observed traffic volumes, the reduction in the expected number of crashes per year and mile at converted sites was 32.3% (31.4% to 33.5% with 95% probability) while at the control sites, the reduction was estimated to be 7.1% (5.7% to 8.2% with 95% probability). When the reduction in the expected number of crashes per year, mile and 100,000,000 AADT was computed, the estimates were 44.3% (43.9% to 44.6%) and 25.5% (24.6% to 26.0%) for converted and control sites, respectively. In both cases, the difference in the percent reduction in the expected number of crashes during the years following the conversion was significantly larger at converted sites than at control sites, even though the number of crashes appears to decline over time at all sites. Results indicate that the reduction in the expected number of sites per mile has a steeper negative slope at converted than at control sites. Consistent with this, the forecasted reduction in the number of crashes per year and mile during the years after completion of the conversion at converted sites is more pronounced than at control sites. Seasonal effects on the number of crashes have been well-documented. In this dataset, we found that, as expected, the expected number of monthly crashes per mile tends to be higher during winter months than during the rest of the year. Perhaps more interestingly, we found that there is an interaction between the four to three-lane conversion and season; the reduction in the number of crashes appears to be more pronounced during months, when the weather is nice than during other times of the year, even though a reduction was estimated for the entire year. Thus, it appears that the four to three-lane conversion, while effective year-round, is particularly effective in reducing the expected number of crashes in nice weather.

Safety Impacts of Pavement Edge Drop-offs, 2006

A vehicle may leave its travel lane for a number of reasons, such as driver error, poor surface conditions, or avoidance of a collision with another vehicle in the travel lane. When a vehicle leaves the travel lane, pavement edge drop-off poses a potential safety hazard because significant vertical differences between surfaces can affect vehicle stability and reduce a driver’s ability to handle the vehicle. Numerous controlled studies have tested driver response to encountering drop-offs under various conditions, including different speeds, vehicle types, drop-off height and shape, and tire scrubbing versus non-scrubbing conditions. The studies evaluated the drivers’ ability to return to and recover within their own travel lane after leaving the roadway and encountering a drop-off. Many of these studies, however, have used professional drivers as test subjects, so results may not always apply to the population of average drivers. Furthermore, test subjects are always briefed on what generally is to be expected and how to respond; thus, the sense of surprise that a truly naïve driver may experience upon realizing that one or two of his or her tires have just dropped off the edge of the pavement, is very likely diminished. Additionally, the studies were carried out under controlled conditions. The actual impact of pavement edge drop-off on drivers’ ability to recover safely once they leave the roadway, however, is not well understood under actual driving conditions. Additionally, little information is available that quantifies the number or severity of crashes that occur where pavement edge drop-off may have been a contributing factor. Without sufficient information about the frequency of edge drop-off-related crashes, agencies are not fully able to measure the economic benefits of investment decisions, evaluate the effectiveness of different treatments to mitigate edge drop-off, or focus maintenance resources. To address these issues, this report details research to quantify the contribution of pavement edge drop-off to crash frequency and severity. Additionally, the study evaluated federal and state guidance in sampling and addressing pavement edge drop-off and quantified the extent of pavement edge drop-off in two states. This study focused on rural two-lane paved roadways with unpaved shoulders, since they are often high speed facilities (55+ mph), have varying levels of maintenance, and are likely to be characterized by adverse roadway conditions such as narrow lanes or no shoulders.

The clinical profile of idiopathic and cat scratch neuroretinitis: who is at risk for recurrence?

Background: Most cases of neuroretinitis (NR) are idiopathic or due to cat scratch disease and occur as a single episode but a subgroup of patients experience recurrent attacks with cumulative visual loss. We reviewed our cases of NR to better characterize the clinical features of these subgroups in an effort to predict the risk of recurrence. Methods: Retrospective study of NR patients from a single institution. Sixty-seven patients were divided into three groups: 22 cases due to cat scratch disease (CSD-NR), 24 with idiopathic neuroretinitis (I-NR) and 21 (23 eyes) with recurrent neuroretinitis (R-NR). Results: Preceding systemic symptoms, predominantly central visual field (VF) loss and the combination of poor acuity with small relative afferent pupillary defect at presentation were common features of CSD-NR. There were no cases of recurrent CSD-NR. In the first attack of R-NR, the magnitude of VF loss at presentation was greater compared to the other two groups. While 39% of R-NR had a pattern of VF loss other than a central or cecocentral scotoma, only 13.6% of CSD-NR and 17% of I-NR showed this pattern. Visual recovery was least substantial for the R-NR group (average gain of 3.7 lines of Snellen acuity vs. 5 and 6.4 lines for CSD-NR and I-NR, respectively, and an average gain in VF score of 5.1 in the R-NR group compared to 8.2 and 11.5 for the other two groups). Conclusion: The main predictive factors for recurrence are absence of systemic symptoms, significant VF loss at presentation, particularly loss outside the central 30°, and less substantial visual recovery.