Associationism and electoral participation: A multilevel study of 2000 Spanish general election

This work presents an application of the multilevel analysis techniques tothe study of the abstention in the 2000 Spanish general election. Theinterest of the study is both, substantive and methodological. From thesubstantive point of view the article intends to explain the causes ofabstention and analyze the impact of associationism on it. From themethodological point of view it is intended to analyze the interaction betweenindividual and context with a modelisation that takes into account thehierarchical structure of data. The multilevel study of this paper validatesthe one level results obtained in previous analysis of the abstention andshows that only a fraction of the differences in abstention are explained bythe individual characteristics of the electors. Another important fraction ofthese differences is due to the political and social characteristics of thecontext. Relating to associationism, the data suggest that individualparticipation in associations decrease the probability of abstention. However,better indicators are needed in order to catch more properly the effect ofassociationism in electoral behaviour.

Elytra colour polymorphism and randomness of matings in Chauliognathus fallax Germar 1824 from southern Brazil (Coleoptera, Cantharidae)

Beetles of the species Chauliognathus fallax Germar 1824 are polymorphic for elytron colouration with six morphs distinguished on the basis of black pigmentation on a yellow background. We investigated samples of C. fallax taken in eight consecutive weeks aiming to determine the frequency of the morphs which were grouped, for statistical analysis, into three classes according to elytra pigmentation as well as the possible occurrence of assortative mating. Our results showed a variation in the frequency of the classes throughout the season, both in males and females, with the maximum frequency of each class at the fourth and fifth week. The three classes (A, B, C) showed the same pattern of variation, and class B was always the more frequent. To test randomness of matings two approaches were taken: in the first, we compared the frequency of each class in copulating and non-copulating insects. In the second, the frequency of each class in the whole sample was taken as the probability of occurrence of the respective class; then, using the criterion of the probability of independent events we calculated the expected proportion of copulating insects for each pair of events. Both methods gave non-significant differences, suggesting that the matings were random.

What kind of relationships between the evolution of pain, beliefs and bio-psycho-social complexity after a locomotor traumatism?

Introduction: Pain and beliefs have an influence on the patient's course in rehabilitation, pain causes fears and fears influence pain perception. The aim of this study is to understand pain and beliefs evolutions during rehabilitation taking into account of bio-psycho-social complexity.Patients and methods: 631 consecutive patients admitted in rehabilitation after a musculoskeletal traumatism were included and assessed at admission and at discharge. Pain was measured by VAS (Visual Analogical Scale), bio-psycho-social complexity by Intermed scale, and beliefs by judgement on Lickert scales. Four kinds of beliefs were evaluated: fear of a severe origin of pain, fear of movement, fear of pain and feeling of distress (loss of control). The association between the changes in pain and beliefs during the hospitalization was assessed by linear regressions.Results: After adjustment for gender, age, education and native language, patients with a decrease in pain during rehabilitation have higher probability of decreasing their fears. For the distress feeling, this relationship is weaker among bio-psycho-socially complex patients (odds-ratio 1.22 for each decreasing of 10mm/100 VAS) than among non-complex patients (OR 1.47). Patients with a pain decrease of 30% or more during hospitalization have higher probability of seeing their fears decrease, this relationship being stronger in complex patient for fear of a severe origin of pain.Discussion: The relationships between evolution of pain and beliefs move in the same direction. The higher a patient feels pain, the less they could be able to modify their dysfunctional beliefs. When the pain diminishes of 30% or more, the probability to challenge the beliefs is increased. The prognostic with regard to feeling of distress and fear of a severe origin of pain, is worse among bio-psycho-socially complex patients.

Influence of the timing of cardiac surgery on the outcome of patients with infective endocarditis and stroke.

BACKGROUND: The timing of cardiac surgery after stroke in infective endocarditis (IE) remains controversial. We examined the relationship between the timing of surgery after stroke and the incidence of in-hospital and 1-year mortalities. METHODS: Data were obtained from the International Collaboration on Endocarditis-Prospective Cohort Study of 4794 patients with definite IE who were admitted to 64 centers from June 2000 through December 2006. Multivariate logistic regression and Cox regression analyses were performed to estimate the impact of early surgery on hospital and 1-year mortality after adjustments for other significant covariates. RESULTS: Of the 857 patients with IE complicated by ischemic stroke syndromes, 198 who underwent valve replacement surgery poststroke were available for analysis. Overall, 58 (29.3%) patients underwent early surgical treatment vs 140 (70.7%) patients who underwent late surgical treatment. After adjustment for other risk factors, early surgery was not significantly associated with increased in-hospital mortality rates (odds ratio, 2.308; 95% confidence interval [CI], .942-5.652). Overall, probability of death after 1-year follow-up did not differ between 2 treatment groups (27.1% in early surgery and 19.2% in late surgery group, P = .328; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.138; 95% CI, .802-1.650). CONCLUSIONS: There is no apparent survival benefit in delaying surgery when indicated in IE patients after ischemic stroke. Further observational analyses that include detailed pre- and postoperative clinical neurologic findings and advanced imaging data (eg, ischemic stroke size), may allow for more refined recommendations on the optimal timing of valvular surgery in patients with IE and recent stroke syndromes.

Fixed-term contracts and the duration distribution of unemployment

In the mid-1980s, many European countries introduced fixed-term contracts.Since then their labor markets have become more dynamic. This paper studiesthe implications of such reforms for the duration distribution ofunemployment, with particular emphasis on the changes in the durationdependence. I estimate a parametric duration model using cross-sectionaldata drawn from the Spanish Labor Force Survey from 1980 to 1994 to analyzethe chances of leaving unemployment before and after the introduction offixed-term contracts. I find that duration dependence has increased sincesuch reform. Semi-parametric estimation of the model also shows that forlong spells, the probability of leaving unemployment has decreased sincesuch reform.

The impact of interest-rate subsidies on long-term household debt: Evidence from a large program

The responsiveness of long-term household debt to the interest rate is acrucial parameter for assessing the effectiveness of public policies aimedat promoting specific types of saving. This paper estimates the effect ofa reform of Credito Bonificado, a large program in Portugal that subsidizedmortgage interest rates, on long-term household debt. The reform establisheda ceiling in the price of the house that could be financed through theprogram, and provides plausibly exogenous variation in incentives. Usinga unique dataset of matched household survey data and administrative recordsof debt, we document a large decrease in the probability of signing a newloan after the removal of the subsidy.

Simultaneous determination of antidementia drugs by HPLC-MS: validation data of the method and plasma level determinations in 300 patients

Aims: A rapid and simple HPLC-MS method was developed for the simultaneousdetermination of antidementia drugs, including donepezil, galantamine, rivastigmineand its major metabolite NAP 226 - 90, and memantine, for TherapeuticDrug Monitoring (TDM). In the elderly population treated with antidementiadrugs, the presence of several comorbidities, drug interactions resulting frompolypharmacy, and variations in drug metabolism and elimination, are possiblefactors leading to the observed high interindividual variability in plasma levels.Although evidence for the benefit of TDM for antidementia drugs still remains tobe demonstrated, an individually adapted dosage through TDM might contributeto minimize the risk of adverse reactions and to increase the probability of efficienttherapeutic response. Methods: A solid-phase extraction procedure with amixed-mode cation exchange sorbent was used to isolate the drugs from 0.5 mL ofplasma. The compounds were analyzed on a reverse-phase column with a gradientelution consisting of an ammonium acetate buffer at pH 9.3 and acetonitrile anddetected by mass spectrometry in the single ion monitoring mode. Isotope-labeledinternal standards were used for quantification where possible. The validatedmethod was used to measure the plasma levels of antidementia drugs in 300patients treated with these drugs. Results: The method was validated accordingto international standards of validation, including the assessment of the trueness(-8 - 11 %), the imprecision (repeatability: 1-5%, intermediate imprecision:2 - 9 %), selectivity and matrix effects variability (less than 6 %). Furthermore,short and long-term stability of the analytes in plasma was ascertained. Themethod proved to be robust in the calibrated ranges of 1 - 300 ng/mL for rivastigmineand memantine and 2 - 300 mg/mL for donepezil, galantamine and NAP226 - 90. We recently published a full description of the method (1). We found ahigh interindividual variability in plasma levels of these drugs in a study populationof 300 patients. The plasma level measurements, with some preliminaryclinical and pharmacogenetic results, will be presented. Conclusion: A simpleLC-MS method was developed for plasma level determination of antidementiadrugs which was successfully used in a clinical study with 300 patients.

Stabilization versus insurance: Welfare effects of procyclical taxation under incomplete markets

We construct and calibrate a general equilibrium business cycle model with unemployment and precautionary saving. We compute the cost of business cycles and locate the optimum in a set of simple cyclical fiscal policies. Our economy exhibits productivity shocks, giving firms an incentive to hire more when productivity is high. However, business cycles make workers' income riskier, both by increasing the unconditional probability of unusuallylong unemployment spells, and by making wages more variable, and therefore they decrease social welfare by around one-fourth or one-third of 1% of consumption. Optimal fiscal policy offsets the cycle, holding unemployment benefits constant but varying the tax rate procyclically to smooth hiring. By running a deficit of 4% to 5% of output in recessions, the government eliminates half the variation in the unemployment rate, most of the variation in workers'aggregate consumption, and most of the welfare cost of business cycles.

Frequency and Type of Side Effects of Immunomodulating Medication in the Swiss Inflammatory Bowel Disease Cohort

Background: Medical treatment of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is becoming more and more complex, as several classes of immuno-modulating drugs (IMD) are often used simultaneously. Thus, the probability of adverse effects is greatly increased. Most studies reporting on adverse effects focus on single therapy, and studies providing a global survey of side effects for multiple treatments are lacking. Aim: To assess the type and frequency of adverse events in IBD patients treated with single and multiple IMD therapy. Methods: Analysis of data from the Swiss IBD Cohort Study (SIBDCS) that collects data on a large sample of IBD patients from hospitals and private practices across Switzerland. The following IMD categories were analyzed: 5-ASA, azathioprine (Aza), 6-mercaptopurine (6-MP), methotrexate (MTX), anti-TNF (infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab-pegol), cyclosporine, tacrolimus, and steroids. The following side effects were assessed: hepatitis, pancreatitis, leucopenia, thrombopenia, nephritis, allergic reaction, pneumonitis, infections (including tuberculosis), osteoporosis, abdominal pain/diarrhea (unrelated to IBD activity), cataract, diabetes, exanthema, hirsutism, lupus-like syndrome, myalgias, depression/psychosis, tumor development. Results: A total of 1,961 patients were analyzed (977 [50%] female, mean age 42.1 ± 14.4 years): 1,119 with Crohn's disease (CD), 800 with ulcerative colitis (UC), and 42 with indeterminate colitis (IC). Three-hundred eighteen (16.2%) patients were not treated with any of the above-mentioned medications, while 650 (33.2%), 569 (29%) and 424 (21.6%) patients had one-, two-, and three- or more- IMD therapy, respectively. Of the 1,643 patients treated with IMD, 535 (32.6%) patients reported at least one side effect. We found a significant correlation between the number of drugs used by a patient and the frequency of side effects (17.4% side effects for one drug, 29% for 2 drugs, and 60.6% for three or more drugs, p < 0.001). The frequency of side effects for the different IMD classes were as follows: 5-ASA (n = 980 treated patients) 10.8%, Aza/6-MP (n = 636) 51.9% (pancreatitis in 57 = 9%, hepatitis in 17 = 2.7% of treated patients), MTX (n = 146) 42.5% (hepatitis in 4 = 2.7% of treated patients), anti-TNF (n = 255) 23.1%, cyclosporine (n = 49) 10.2%, tacrolimus (n = 5) 20%, steroids (systemic or topical, n = 1,150) 9.6%. Conclusion: IBD treatment is associated with a significant number of side effects. A direct correlation between the number of IMD used simultaneously and the frequency of side effects was observed. The results of this study indicate that treating physicians should be vigilant for the occurrence of side effects in IBD patients under single and/or multiple drug therapy.

Deciding analytically or trusting your intuition? The advantadges and disadvantadges of analytic and intuitive thought

Recent research has highlighted the notion that people can make judgmentsand choices by means of two systems that are labeled here tacit(or intuitive) and deliberate (or analytic). Whereas most decisionstypically involve both systems, this chapter examines the conditions underwhich each system is liable to be more effective. This aims to illuminatethe age-old issue of whether and when people should trust intuition or analysis. To do this, a framework is presented to understand how thetacit and deliberate systems work in tandem. Distinctions are also madebetween the types of information typically used by both systems as wellas the characteristics of environments that facilitate or hinder accuratelearning by the tacit system. Next, several experiments that havecontrasted intuitive and analytic modes on the same tasks are reviewed.Together, the theoretical framework and experimental evidence leads tospecifying the trade-off that characterizes their relative effectiveness.Tacit system responses can be subject to biases. In making deliberate systemresponses, however, people might not be aware of the correct rule to dealwith the task they are facing and/or make errors in executing it. Whethertacit or deliberate responses are more valid in particular circumstancesrequires assessing this trade-off. In this, the probability of making errorsin deliberate thought is postulated to be a function of the analytical complexityof the task as perceived by the person. Thus the trade-off is one of bias (inimplicit responses) versus analytical complexity (when tasks are handled indeliberate mode). Finally, it is noted that whereas much attention has beenpaid in the past to helping people make decisions in deliberate mode, effortsshould also be directed toward improving ability to make decisions intacit mode since the effectiveness of decisions clearly depends on both. Thistherefore represents an important frontier for research.

Multiple sclerosis-related trigeminal neuralgia: a prospective series of 43 patients treated with gamma knife surgery with more than one year of follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Trigeminal neuralgia (TN) related to multiple sclerosis (MS) is more difficult to manage pharmacologically and surgically. OBJECTIVE: This article aims to evaluate the safety and efficacy of Gamma Knife surgery (GKS) in this special group of patients. METHODS: Between July 1992 and November 2010, 43 cases with more than 1 year of follow-up were operated with GKS for TN related to MS and prospectively evaluated in the Timone University Hospital, Marseille, France. Radiosurgery using the Gamma Knife (model B or C or Perfexion) was performed. A single 4-mm isocenter was positioned at a median distance of 8 mm (range 5.7-14.7) anterior to the emergence of the nerve. A median maximum dose of 85 Gy (range 75-90) was delivered. RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 53.8 months (12-157.1). Thirty-nine patients (90.7%) were initially pain free. Their actuarial probability of remaining pain free without medication at 6 months, 1, 3, 5 and 10 years was 87.2, 71.8, 43.1, 38.3 and 20.5%, respectively, and remained stable till 12 years. The hypoesthesia actuarial rate at 6 months, 1 and 2 years was 11.5, 11.5 and 16%, and remained stable till 12 years. CONCLUSIONS: GKS proved safe and effective in this special group of patients.

Phylogenetic analyses of C4 photosynthesis evolution in grasses: genetics of convergence and convergence of genes

Summary : During the evolutionary diversification of organisms, similar ecological constraints led to the recurrent appearances of the same traits (phenotypes) in distant lineages, a phenomenon called convergence. In most cases, the genetic origins of the convergent traits remain unknown, but recent studies traced the convergent phenotypes to recurrent alterations of the same gene or, in a few cases, to identical genetic changes. However, these cases remain anecdotal and there is a need for a study system that evolved several times independently and whose genetic determinism is well resolved and straightforward, such as C4 photosynthesis. This adaptation to warm environments, possibly driven by past atmospheric CO2 decreases, consists in a CO2-concentrating pump, created by numerous morphological and biochemical novelties. All genes encoding C4 enzymes already existed in C3 ancestors, and are supposed to have been recruited through gene duplication followed by neo-functionalization, to acquire the cell specific expression pattern and altered kinetic properties that characterize Ca-specific enzymes. These predictions have so far been tested only in species-poor and ecologically marginal C4 dicots. The monocots, and especially the grass family (Poaceae), the most important C4 family in terms of species number, ecological dominance and economical importance, have been largely under-considered as suitable study systems. This thesis aimed at understanding the evolution of the C4 trait in grasses at a molecular level and to use the genetics of C4 photosynthesis to infer the evolutionary history of the C4 phenotype and its driving selective pressures. A molecular phylogeny of grasses and affiliated monocots identified 17 to 18 independent acquisitions of the C4 pathway in the grass family. A relaxed molecular clock was used to date these events and the first C4 evolution was estimated in the Chloridoideae subfamily, between 32-25 million years ago, at a period when atmospheric CO2 abruptly declined. Likelihood models showed that after the COZ decline the probability of evolving the C4 pathway strongly increased, confirming low CO2 as a likely driver of C4 photosynthesis evolution. In order to depict the genetic changes linked to the numerous C4 origins, genes encoding phopshoenolpyruvate carboxylase (PEPC), the key-enzyme responsible for the initial fixation of atmospheric CO2 in the C4 pathway, were isolated from a large sample of C3 and C4 grasses. Phylogenetic analyses were used to reconstruct the evolutionary history of the PEPC multigene family and showed that the evolution of C4-specific PEPC had been driven by positive selection on 21 codons simultaneously in up to eight C4 lineages. These selective pressures led to numerous convergent genetic changes in many different C4 clades, highlighting the repeatability of some evolutionary processes, even at the molecular level. PEPC C4-adaptive changes were traced and used to show multiple appearances of the C, pathway in clades where species tree inferences were unable to differentiate multiple C4 appearances and a single appearance followed by C4 to C3 reversion. Further investigations of genes involved in some of the C4 subtypes only (genes encoding decarboxylating enzymes NADP-malic enzyme and phosphoenolpyruvate carboxykinase) showed that these C4-enzymes also evolved through strong positive selection and underwent parallel genetic changes during the different Ca origins. The adaptive changes on these subtype-specific C4 genes were used to retrace the history of the C4-subtypes phenotypes, which revealed that the evolution of C4-PEPC and C4-decarboxylating enzymes was in several cases disconnected, emphasizing the multiplicity of the C4 trait and the gradual acquisition of the features that create the CO2-pump. Finally, phylogenetic analyses of a gene encoding the Rubisco (the enzyme responsible for the fixation of CO2 into organic compounds in all photosynthetic organisms) showed that C4 evolution switched the selective pressures on this gene. Five codons were recurrently mutated to adapt the enzyme kinetics to the high CO2 concentrations of C4 photosynthetic cells. This knowledge could be used to introgress C4-like Rubisco in C3 crops, which could lead to an increased yield under predicted future high CO2 atmosphere. Globally, the phylogenetic framework adopted during this thesis demonstrated the widespread occurrence of genetic convergence on C4-related enzymes. The genetic traces of C4 photosynthesis evolution allowed reconstructing events that happened during the last 30 million years and proved the usefulness of studying genes directly responsible for phenotype variations when inferring evolutionary history of a given trait. Résumé Durant la diversification évolutive des organismes, des pressions écologiques similaires ont amené à l'apparition récurrente de certains traits (phénotypes) dans des lignées distantes, un phénomène appelé évolution convergente. Dans la plupart des cas, l'origine génétique des traits convergents reste inconnue mais des études récentes ont montré qu'ils étaient dus dans certains cas à des changements répétés du même gène ou, dans de rares cas, à des changements génétiques identiques. Malgré tout, ces cas restent anecdotiques et il y a un réel besoin d'un système d'étude qui ait évolué indépendamment de nombreuses fois et dont le déterminisme génétique soit clairement identifié. La photosynthèse dite en Ça répond à ces critères. Cette adaptation aux environnements chauds, dont l'évolution a pu être encouragé par des baisses passées de la concentration atmosphérique en CO2, est constituée de nombreuses nouveautés morphologiques et biochimiques qui créent une pompe à CO2. La totalité des gènes codant les enzymes Ç4 étaient déjà présents dans les ancêtres C3. Leur recrutement pour la photosynthèse Ç4 est supposé s'être fait par le biais de duplications géniques suivies par une néo-fonctionnalisation pour leur conférer l'expression cellule-spécifique et les propriétés cinétiques qui caractérisent les enzymes C4. Ces prédictions n'ont jusqu'à présent été testées que dans des familles C4 contenant peu d'espèces et ayant un rôle écologique marginal. Les graminées (Poaceae), qui sont la famille C4 la plus importante, tant en termes de nombre d'espèces que de dominance écologique et d'importance économique, ont toujours été considérés comme un système d'étude peu adapté et ont fait le sujet de peu d'investigations évolutives. Le but de cette thèse était de comprendre l'évolution de la photosynthèse en C4 chez les graminées au niveau génétique et d'utiliser les gènes pour inférer l'évolution du phénotype C4 ainsi que les pressions de sélection responsables de son évolution. Une phylogénie moléculaire de la famille des graminées et des monocotylédones apparentés a identifié 17 à 18 acquisitions indépendantes de la photosynthèse chez les graminées. Grâce à une méthode d'horloge moléculaire relâchée, ces évènements ont été datés et la première apparition C4 a été estimée dans la sous-famille des Chloridoideae, il y a 32 à 25 millions d'années, à une période où les concentrations atmosphériques de CO2 ont décliné abruptement. Des modèles de maximum de vraisemblance ont montré qu'à la suite du déclin de CO2, la probabilité d'évoluer la photosynthèse C4 a fortement augmenté, confirmant ainsi qu'une faible concentration de CO2 est une cause potentielle de l'évolution de la photosynthèse C4. Afin d'identifier les mécanismes génétiques responsables des évolutions répétées de la photosynthèse C4, un segment des gènes codant pour la phosphoénolpyruvate carboxylase (PEPC), l'enzyme responsable de la fixation initiale du CO2 atmosphérique chez les plantes C4, ont été séquencés dans une centaine de graminées C3 et C4. Des analyses phylogénétiques ont permis de reconstituer l'histoire évolutive de la famille multigénique des PEPC et ont montré que l'évolution de PEPC spécifiques à la photosynthèse Ça a été causée par de la sélection positive agissant sur 21 codons, et ce simultanément dans huit lignées C4 différentes. Cette sélection positive a conduit à un grand nombre de changements génétiques convergents dans de nombreux clades différents, ce qui illustre la répétabilité de certains phénomènes évolutifs, et ce même au niveau génétique. Les changements sur la PEPC liés au C4 ont été utilisés pour confirmer des évolutions indépendantes du phénotype C4 dans des clades où l'arbre des espèces était incapable de différencier des apparitions indépendantes d'une seule apparition suivie par une réversion de C4 en C3. En considérant des gènes codant des protéines impliquées uniquement dans certains sous-types C4 (deux décarboxylases, l'enzyme malique à NADP et la phosphoénolpyruvate carboxykinase), des études ultérieures ont montré que ces enzymes C4 avaient elles-aussi évolué sous forte sélection positive et subi des changements génétiques parallèles lors des différentes origines de la photosynthèse C4. Les changements adaptatifs sur ces gènes liés seulement à certains sous-types C4 ont été utilisés pour retracer l'histoire des phénotypes de sous-types C4, ce qui a révélé que les caractères formant le trait C4 ont, dans certains cas, évolué de manière déconnectée. Ceci souligne la multiplicité du trait C4 et l'acquisition graduelle de composants participant à la pompe à CO2 qu'est la photosynthèse C4. Finalement, des analyses phylogénétiques des gènes codant pour la Rubisco (l'enzyme responsable de la fixation du CO2 en carbones organiques dans tous les organismes photosynthétiques) ont montré que l'évolution de la photosynthèse Ça a changé les pressions de sélection sur ce gène. Cinq codons ont été mutés de façon répétée afin d'adapter les propriétés cinétiques de la Rubisco aux fortes concentrations de CO2 présentes dans les cellules photosynthétiques des plantes C4. Globalement, l'approche phylogénétique adoptée durant cette thèse de doctorat a permis de démontré des phénomène fréquents de convergence génétique sur les enzymes liées à la photosynthèse C4. Les traces génétiques de l'évolution de la photosynthèse C4 ont permis de reconstituer des évènements qui se sont produits durant les derniers 30 millions d'années et ont prouvé l'utilité d'étudier des gènes directement responsables des variations phénotypiques pour inférer l'histoire évolutive d'un trait donné.

Effects of uncertain lifetime and annuity insurance on capital accumulation and growth

This paper studies the effects of uncertain lifetime on capitalaccumulation and growth and also the sensitivity of thoseeffects to the existence of a perfect annuities market. Themodel is an overlapping generations model with uncertainlifetimes. The technology is convex and such that the marginalproduct of capital is bounded away from zero. A contribution ofthis paper is to show that the existence of accidental bequestsmay lead the economy to an equilibrium that exhibits asymptoticgrowth, which is impossible in an economy with a perfect annuitiesmarket or with certain lifetimes. This paper also shows that ifindividuals face a positive probability of surviving in everyperiod, they may be willing to save at any age. This effect ofuncertain lifetime on savings may also lead the economy to anequilibrium exhibiting asymptotic growth even if there exists aperfect annuities market.

Previous microvascular decompression decreases the chances of pain free in patients treated with Gamma Knife radiosurgery for TIC

Object: The authors sought to establish whether the safety-efficacy of Gamma Knife radiosurgery (GKRS) as a second treatment for intractable trigeminal neuralgia (ITN) are influenced by prior microvascular decompression (MVD) which remains, for some of the authors, the reference technique. Methods: Between July 1992 and November 2010, 737 patients have been operated with GKRS for ITN and prospectively evaluated in Timone University Hospital in Marseille, France. Among these, 54 patients had a previous MVD history. Radiosurgery using a Gamma Knife (model B or C or Perfexion) was performed relying on both MR and CT targeting. A single 4 mm isocenter was positioned in the cisternal portion of the trigeminal nerve at a median distance of 7.6 mm (range 3.9- 11.9) anteriorly to the emergence of the nerve (retrogasserian target). A median maximum dose of 85 Gy (range 70-90) was delivered. Are further analyzed only 45 patients with previous MVD and a follow-up longer than one year (the patients with megadolichobasilar artery compression and multiple sclerosis were excluded). Results: The median age in this series was 56.75 years (range 28.09-82.39). The median follow-up period was 39.48 months (range 14.10-144.65). All the patients had a past history of surgery, with at least one previous failed MVD, but also a radiofrequency lesion (RFL) in 16 (35.6%) patients, balloon microcompression in 7 (15.6%) patients and glycerol rhizotomy in 1 case (2.2%). Thirty-five patients (77.8%) were initially pain free in a median time of 14 days (range 0, 180). Patients from this group had less probability of being pain free compared to our global population of essential trigeminal neuralgia without previous MVD history (p=0.010, hazard ratio of 0.64). Their probability of remaining pain free at 3, 5, 7 and 10 years was 66.5%, 59.1%, 59.1% and 44.3%, respectively. Twelve patients (34.3%) initially pain free experienced a recurrence with a median delay of 31.21 months (range 3.40-89.93). The hypoesthesia actuarial rate at 1 year was 9.1% and remained stable till 12 years with a median delay of onset of 8 months (range 8-8). Conclusions: Retrogasserian GKRS proofed to be safe and effective on the long-term basis even after failed previous MVD. Even if the initial result of pain free was of only 77.8%, the toxicity was low with only 9.1% hypoesthesia. No patient reported a bothersome hypoesthesia. The probability of maintaining pain relief in long-term was of 44.3% at 10 years.

The fixation of locally beneficial alleles in a metapopulation.

Extinction, recolonization, and local adaptation are common in natural spatially structured populations. Understanding their effect upon genetic variation is important for systems such as genetically modified organism management or avoidance of drug resistance. Theoretical studies on the effect of extinction and recolonization upon genetic variance started appearing in the 1970s, but the role of local adaptation still has no good theoretical basis. Here we develop a model of a haploid species in a metapopulation in which a locally adapted beneficial allele is introduced. We study the effect of different spatial patterns of local adaptation, and different metapopulation dynamics, upon the fixation probability of the beneficial allele. Controlling for the average selection pressure, we find that a small area of positive selection can significantly increase the global probability of fixation. However, local adaptation becomes less important as extinction rate increases. Deme extinction and recolonization have a spatial smoothing effect that effectively reduces spatial variation in fitness.