Objetiva(ação) da medida e contagem do tempo em práticas socioculturais e educativas

This thesis describes and analyzes various processes established and practiced by both groups about the socio-cultural objective (action) the measurement and timing, mobilized some socio-historical practices as the use of the gnômon of the sundial and reading and interpretation of movements celestial constellations in cultural contexts such as indigenous communities and fishermen in the state of Pará, Brazil. The Purpose of the study was to describe and analyze the mobilization of such practices in the socio-historical development of matrices for teaching concepts and skills related to geometric angles, similar triangles, symmetry and proportionality in the training of mathematics teachers. The record of the entire history of investigation into the socio-historical practice, the formative action was based on epistemological assumptions of education ethnomathematics proposed by Vergani (2000, 2007) and Ubiratan D'Ambrosio (1986, 1993, 1996, 2001, 2004) and Alain Bishop conceptions about mathematics enculturation. At the end of the study I present my views on the practices of contributions called socio-cultural and historical for school mathematics, to give meaning to the concept formation and teaching of students, especially the implications of Education Ethnomatematics proposed by Vergani (2000) for training of future teachers of mathematics

Hacia la resignificación de Casavalle, Montevideo, Uruguay: lineamientos físico-territoriales

Incluye Bibliografía

La economía del cambio climático en el Uruguay: síntesis

Incluye bibliografía

Cooperación ambiental en el NAFTA y perspectivas para el DR-CAFTA

Incluye Bibliografía

Los efectos de los desastres en 2004 y 2005: la necesidad de adaptación de largo plazo

Incluye Bibliografía

Políticas públicas para la reducción de la vulnerabilidad frente a los desastres naturales y socio-naturales

Incluye Bibliografía

Descentralización fiscal en Bolivia

Incluye Bibliografía

Inflation targeting works well in Latin America

Includes bibliography

Una aproximación al comportamiento demográfico en los polos de desarrollo: el caso de ciudad Guayana; trabajo final

Incluye Bibliografía

Captura de carbono y desarrollo forestal sustentable en la Patagonia argentina: sinergias y desafíos

Incluye Bibliografía

Sistemas ambientales y estrategias para ampliar la frontera agropecuaria en América Latina

Incluye Bibliografía

Adaptación al cambio climático en América Latina y el Caribe

Los países de la región han avanzado en la incorporación de la protección ambiental en los procesos de toma de decisiones, en particular en términos de las instituciones ambientales y la legislación, pero todavía hay dificultades para incorporar eficazmente los temas ambientales en las políticas públicas pertinentes. Uno de los principales desafíos de la agenda climática en el sector agropecuario y forestal será lograr la articulación entre las políticas climáticas y las políticas de desarrollo, ordenamiento territorial y sectoriales.

Índices de extremos climáticos e tendências da precipitação anual e sazonal na Amazônia Oriental

Baseado no conjunto de dados diários de precipitação e temperatura do ar de oito estações meteorológicas sobre o Pará, pertencentes ao INMET, disponíveis no período 1961-2007, foram calculados índices de extremos climáticos através da metodologia estatística do software RClimdex. Utilizando-se ainda um conjunto de dados mensais de precipitação de 134 estações pluviométricas da Amazônia oriental, provenientes da ANA e INMET, foram analisadas as tendências anual e sazonal num período de 25 a 37 anos (1970-2009), através da aplicação da estatística não-paramétrica (teste de Mann-Kendall e método de Sen). E por fim, utilizaram-se dados de desmatamento do PRODES/INPE no período 2000-2007, para analisar a possível influência do desmatamento nas tendências de precipitação anual e sazonal do Pará. Considerando os índices de extremos climáticos referentes aos dados diários de precipitação, constatou-se que a variabilidade interanual dos índices possui relações com os episódios ENOS e as fases do Dipolo do Atlântico. Para os extremos climáticos de temperatura evidenciaram-se reduções sistemáticas dos dias frios (TX10p) e aumentos sistemáticos da mínima da máxima temperatura (TXN), da percentagem de noites quentes (TX90p) e da temperatura máxima da máxima (TXX). Os resultados das tendências da precipitação anual usando os testes não-paramétricos evidenciaram que do total de 134 estações, em torno de 51% apresentam tendências positivas e 41% tendências negativas sobre a Amazônia oriental. Contudo, essas tendências anuais “mascararam” de certa forma as tendências sazonais, cujos resultados mostraram-se mais diversificados, explicando melhor os aspectos da variabilidade climática regional. Para o trimestre MAM, observaram-se 99 estações (74%) com tendências positivas, indicando que a quantidade de precipitação durante o período chuvoso principal vem aumentando sistematicamente durante a última década. Em DJF, notaram-se 45 estações (34%) com tendências positivas e 78 estações (58%) com tendências negativas. Por outro lado, nos trimestres que englobam o período seco ou menos chuvoso verificaram-se tendências sazonais predominantemente negativas, com 84 estações (62%) em JJA e 89 estações (66%) em SON. Portanto, a evidência observacional de que a precipitação do período seco encontra-se em diminuição gradativa nas últimas décadas corrobora com a hipótese de que o desmatamento associa-se com a redução da precipitação em escala regional, porém sugere-se que isso ocorra em escala de tempo sazonal.

Analyzing the dependence structure of microarray data: a copula–based approach

The main aim of this Ph.D. dissertation is the study of clustering dependent data by means of copula functions with particular emphasis on microarray data. Copula functions are a popular multivariate modeling tool in each field where the multivariate dependence is of great interest and their use in clustering has not been still investigated. The first part of this work contains the review of the literature of clustering methods, copula functions and microarray experiments. The attention focuses on the K–means (Hartigan, 1975; Hartigan and Wong, 1979), the hierarchical (Everitt, 1974) and the model–based (Fraley and Raftery, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2007) clustering techniques because their performance is compared. Then, the probabilistic interpretation of the Sklar’s theorem (Sklar’s, 1959), the estimation methods for copulas like the Inference for Margins (Joe and Xu, 1996) and the Archimedean and Elliptical copula families are presented. In the end, applications of clustering methods and copulas to the genetic and microarray experiments are highlighted. The second part contains the original contribution proposed. A simulation study is performed in order to evaluate the performance of the K–means and the hierarchical bottom–up clustering methods in identifying clusters according to the dependence structure of the data generating process. Different simulations are performed by varying different conditions (e.g., the kind of margins (distinct, overlapping and nested) and the value of the dependence parameter ) and the results are evaluated by means of different measures of performance. In light of the simulation results and of the limits of the two investigated clustering methods, a new clustering algorithm based on copula functions (‘CoClust’ in brief) is proposed. The basic idea, the iterative procedure of the CoClust and the description of the written R functions with their output are given. The CoClust algorithm is tested on simulated data (by varying the number of clusters, the copula models, the dependence parameter value and the degree of overlap of margins) and is compared with the performance of model–based clustering by using different measures of performance, like the percentage of well–identified number of clusters and the not rejection percentage of H0 on . It is shown that the CoClust algorithm allows to overcome all observed limits of the other investigated clustering techniques and is able to identify clusters according to the dependence structure of the data independently of the degree of overlap of margins and the strength of the dependence. The CoClust uses a criterion based on the maximized log–likelihood function of the copula and can virtually account for any possible dependence relationship between observations. Many peculiar characteristics are shown for the CoClust, e.g. its capability of identifying the true number of clusters and the fact that it does not require a starting classification. Finally, the CoClust algorithm is applied to the real microarray data of Hedenfalk et al. (2001) both to the gene expressions observed in three different cancer samples and to the columns (tumor samples) of the whole data matrix.

Prevalence and determinants of colonic polyps in children undergoing colonoscopy: A large hospital-based cross-sectional study

Background. Colorectal polyps are abnormal growths in the wall of the colon including the rectum. The study aims to estimate the prevalence and type of colonic polyps in children undergoing colonoscopic examination at Texas Children's Hospital (TCH) in Houston, Texas during 2000-2007. Also, to examine the factors associated with colonic polyps and the potential determinants of colonic polyps in children undergoing colonoscopy and compare those who had colonic polyps with those who did not on colonoscopy, and determine the significant risk factors of colonic polyps in these children. ^ Methods. We conducted a cross sectional study to analyze data collected at TCH. We obtained demographic, clinical, and histopathology information on consecutive patients who underwent colonoscopy during 2000-2007 from endoscopic records contained in the PEDS-CORI registry (Pediatric Endoscopy Database System-Clinical Outcomes Research Initiative), and abstracted data from the accompanying histopathology reports. ^ Results. We identified 2,693-unique patients, under 18 years of age, who underwent colonoscopy. Approximately 65.5% were white non-Hispanic, and 10.8% African-American. The mean age was 8.7 years and 51.8% were female patients. Polyps were present in 174 patients (6.5%). The most common two histological types were juvenile (60.6%), inflammatory (17.4%). We found that the prevalence of polyps was higher in younger aged children (12.9% in 0-5 years) than in older aged children (4% in 15-17 years), and slightly higher in males than in females (7.9% and 5.4% respectively). For males only, the odds of polyps were statistically significantly higher in Blacks and Hispanics compared to white non Hispanics (OR of 2.2 and 2.1, respectively, and 95% CI of 1.3, 3.9 and 1.3, 3.5 respectively). The indications for colonoscopy were different for children with polyps compared to those without polyps, i.e., 47.0% vs. 19.8% respectively for lower GI bleeding, 2.7% vs. 21.4% respectively for abdominal pain/bloating, and, or 0.9% vs. 9.6% respectively for diarrhea. ^ Conclusion. Colorectal polyps occur in about 1 in 15 children and adolescents undergoing first colonoscopy. The demographic variable of younger age is strongly associated with having polyps irrespective of ethnicity. Lower GI bleeding is strongly related to the presence of colorectal polyps in children and adolescents undergoing colonoscopy.^