Utility of a novel risk score for prediction of ventricular tachycardia and cardiac death in chronic Chagas disease - the SEARCH-RIO study

The SEARCH-RIO study prospectively investigated electrocardiogram (ECG)-derived variables in chronic Chagas disease (CCD) as predictors of cardiac death and new onset ventricular tachycardia (VT). Cardiac arrhythmia is a major cause of death in CCD, and electrical markers may play a significant role in risk stratification. One hundred clinically stable outpatients with CCD were enrolled in this study. They initially underwent a 12-lead resting ECG, signal-averaged ECG, and 24-h ambulatory ECG. Abnormal Q-waves, filtered QRS duration, intraventricular electrical transients (IVET), 24-h standard deviation of normal RR intervals (SDNN), and VT were assessed. Echocardiograms assessed left ventricular ejection fraction. Predictors of cardiac death and new onset VT were identified in a Cox proportional hazard model. During a mean follow-up of 95.3 months, 36 patients had adverse events: 22 new onset VT (mean±SD, 18.4±4‰/year) and 20 deaths (26.4±1.8‰/year). In multivariate analysis, only Q-wave (hazard ratio, HR=6.7; P<0.001), VT (HR=5.3; P<0.001), SDNN<100 ms (HR=4.0; P=0.006), and IVET+ (HR=3.0; P=0.04) were independent predictors of the composite endpoint of cardiac death and new onset VT. A prognostic score was developed by weighting points proportional to beta coefficients and summing-up: Q-wave=2; VT=2; SDNN<100 ms=1; IVET+=1. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis optimized the cutoff value at >1. In 10,000 bootstraps, the C-statistic of this novel score was non-inferior to a previously validated (Rassi) score (0.89±0.03 and 0.80±0.05, respectively; test for non-inferiority: P<0.001). In CCD, surface ECG-derived variables are predictors of cardiac death and new onset VT.

Transmission oflight through individually formed fiber- reinforced composite post (Yksilöllisesti muotoillun kuitukomposiittinastan valonläpäisevyys)

Kuitukomposiitista valmistettuja juurikanavanastoja käytetään apuna, kun restauroidaan juurihoidettuja ja kruunuosastaan runsaasti kudosta menettäneitä hampaita. Kliinisen kestävyyden kannalta on tärkeää että nasta kiinnittyy hampaaseen hyvin. Tarvittavan valomäärän saattaminen valokovetuksella pimeään juurikanavaan on vaikeaa ja sen vuoksi nastojen kiinnittämiseen suositellaan kaksoiskovetteista yhdistelmämuovisementtiä, joka kovettuu vain osittain valolla. Jotta nasta ja sementti polymeroituisivat hyvin, nastan hyvä valonläpäisy- ja sirontakyky olisi eduksi. Tehdasvalmisteisten nastojen valonläpäisykyvyn on todettu heikkenevän niiden pituuden kasvaessa. Yksilöllisesti muotoilluilla kuitukomposiittinastoilla, joilla on osittaislomittaismuoviverkostorakenne (semi-IPN) polymeerimatriisi, on todettu tehdasvalmisteisia kuitunastoja parempi sidos nastan ja yhdistelmämuovisementin välillä. Yksilöllisesti muotoilluilla kuitunastoilla näyttäisi myös olevan hyvä valonjohtamiskyky, mutta lisätutkimuksia tarvitaan. Tässä tutkimuksessa selvitettiin yksilöllisesti muotoillun kuitukomposiittinastan (EverStick Post) ja kahden tehdasvalmisteisen (Relyx Fiber Post ja GC Fiber Post) kuitukomposiittina stan valonläpäisevyyttä sekä pituuden vaikutusta niiden valonläpäisykykyyn laboratorio- olosuhteissa. Tutkimushypoteesi oli, että nastojen valonläpäisykyky heikkenee niiden pidentyessä. Tutkimuksessa kaikista nastatyypeistä valmistettiin eripituisia nastoja (4, 8, 12 ja 16 mm). Nastoille tehtiin samanpituiset testikappaleet muoviputkesta ja polyvinyylisiloksaanista, ja nastat asetettiin niiden sisään. Tämän jälkeen nastoja kovetettiin valokovettimella 10 sekuntia, ja läpi päässyt valo mitattiin MARC Resin Calibrator -laitteella. Kontrollina käytettiin tyhjää testikappaletta ilman nastaa. Keskeiseksi tulokseksi saatiin, että yksilöllisesti muotoillulla kuitukomposiittinastalla oli kaikissa pituusryhmissä muita nastoja merkitsevästi parempi valonläpäisykyky. Tulokset osoittivat myös, että kaikkien nastojen valonläpäisevyys laski merkitsevästi nastan pituuden lisääntyessä aina 12 millimetriin asti. Tulosten perusteella yksilöllisesti muotoillulla kuitukomposiittinastalla on tehdasvalmisteista nastaa parempi valonläpäisykyky. Kuitukomposiittinastojen valonläpäisykyky heikkenee niiden pituuden kasvaessa aiempien tutkimusten mukaisesti. Jatkotutkimuksissa tulisi selvittää, miten valonläpäisevyys ja siroaminen vaikuttavat nastan ja sementin polymeroitumiseen ja siten kliiniseen lopputulokseen.

Characterisation of Cladonia rangiferina transcriptome and genome, and the effects of dehydration and rehydration on its gene expression

Lichens are symbiotic organisms, which consist of the fungal partner and the photosynthetic partner, which can be either an alga or a cyanobacterium. In some lichen species the symbiosis is tripartite, where the relationship includes both an alga and a cyanobacterium alongside the primary symbiont, fungus. The lichen symbiosis is an evolutionarily old adaptation to life on land and many extant fungal species have evolved from lichenised ancestors. Lichens inhabit a wide range of habitats and are capable of living in harsh environments and on nutrient poor substrates, such as bare rocks, often enduring frequent cycles of drying and wetting. Most lichen species are desiccation tolerant, and they can survive long periods of dehydration, but can rapidly resume photosynthesis upon rehydration. The molecular mechanisms behind lichen desiccation tolerance are still largely uncharacterised and little information is available for any lichen species at the genomic or transcriptomic level. The emergence of the high-throughput next generation sequencing (NGS) technologies and the subsequent decrease in the cost of sequencing new genomes and transcriptomes has enabled non-model organism research on the whole genome level. In this doctoral work the transcriptome and genome of the grey reindeer lichen, Cladonia rangiferina, were sequenced, de novo assembled and characterised using NGS and traditional expressed sequence tag (EST) technologies. RNA extraction methods were optimised to improve the yield and quality of RNA extracted from lichen tissue. The effects of rehydration and desiccation on C. rangiferina gene expression on whole transcriptome level were studied and the most differentially expressed genes were identified. The secondary metabolites present in C. rangiferina decreased the quality – integrity, optical characteristics and utility for sensitive molecular biological applications – of the extracted RNA requiring an optimised RNA extraction method for isolating sufficient quantities of high-quality RNA from lichen tissue in a time- and cost-efficient manner. The de novo assembly of the transcriptome of C. rangiferina was used to produce a set of contiguous unigene sequences that were used to investigate the biological functions and pathways active in a hydrated lichen thallus. The de novo assembly of the genome yielded an assembly containing mostly genes derived from the fungal partner. The assembly was of sufficient quality, in size similar to other lichen-forming fungal genomes and included most of the core eukaryotic genes. Differences in gene expression were detected in all studied stages of desiccation and rehydration, but the largest changes occurred during the early stages of rehydration. The most differentially expressed genes did not have any annotations, making them potentially lichen-specific genes, but several genes known to participate in environmental stress tolerance in other organisms were also identified as differentially expressed.

A teoria da perspectiva e as mudanças de preferência no mainstream: um prospecto Lakatoseano

The theory of the perspective and the changes of preference in the mainstream: a Lakatosean prospect. For many decades over the 20th Century, the mainstream of economics adopted a normative and axiomatic theory of individual behavior in which maximizing procedures were carried out by rationally unbounded agents. This status has been challenged on many grounds and alternative views from fields like psychology have found a way into the core of economics research frontier. Prospect theory, developed by psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky since the 1970s, has provided a more empirical, inductive and descriptive theory of decision making. It has made significant inroads into mainstream microeconomics, shaking the habits of some of its practitioners. This paper first takes stock of its main developments and then uses a Lakatosian framework to draw out its negative and positive heuristics. In what follows, its heuristics are compared to those of traditional rational decision-making theories. The differences between them are highlighted, pointing to changes in the mainstream of the profession and to new opportunities for research.

Public-private partnership investments in dry ports – Russian logistics markets and risks

The investments have always been considered as an essential backbone and so-called ‘locomotive’ for the competitive economies. However, in various countries, the state has been put under tight budget constraints for the investments in capital intensive projects. In response to this situation, the cooperation between public and private sector has grown based on public-private mechanism. The promotion of favorable arrangement for collaboration between public and private sectors for the provision of policies, services, and infrastructure in Russia can help to address the problems of dry ports development that neither municipalities nor the private sector can solve alone. Especially, the stimulation of public-private collaboration is significant under the exposure to externalities that affect the magnitude of the risks during all phases of project realization. In these circumstances, the risk in the projects also is becoming increasingly a part of joint research and risk management practice, which is viewed as a key approach, aiming to take active actions on existing global and specific factors of uncertainties. Meanwhile, a relatively little progress has been made on the inclusion of the resilience aspects into the planning process of a dry ports construction that would instruct the capacity planner, on how to mitigate the occurrence of disruptions that may lead to million dollars of losses due to the deviation of the future cash flows from the expected financial flows on the project. The current experience shows that the existing methodological base is developed fragmentary within separate steps of supply chain risk management (SCRM) processes: risk identification, risk evaluation, risk mitigation, risk monitoring and control phases. The lack of the systematic approach hinders the solution of the problem of risk management processes of dry port implementation. Therefore, management of various risks during the investments phases of dry port projects still presents a considerable challenge from the practical and theoretical points of view. In this regard, the given research became a logical continuation of fundamental research, existing in the financial models and theories (e.g., capital asset pricing model and real option theory), as well as provided a complementation for the portfolio theory. The goal of the current study is in the design of methods and models for the facilitation of dry port implementation through the mechanism of public-private partnership on the national market that implies the necessity to mitigate, first and foremost, the shortage of the investments and consequences of risks. The problem of the research was formulated on the ground of the identified contradictions. They rose as a continuation of the trade-off between the opportunities that the investors can gain from the development of terminal business in Russia (i.e. dry port implementation) and risks. As a rule, the higher the investment risk, the greater should be their expected return. However, investors have a different tolerance for the risks. That is why it would be advisable to find an optimum investment. In the given study, the optimum relates to the search for the efficient portfolio, which can provide satisfaction to the investor, depending on its degree of risk aversion. There are many theories and methods in finance, concerning investment choices. Nevertheless, the appropriateness and effectiveness of particular methods should be considered with the allowance of the specifics of the investment projects. For example, the investments in dry ports imply not only the lump sum of financial inflows, but also the long-term payback periods. As a result, capital intensity and longevity of their construction determine the necessity from investors to ensure the return on investment (profitability), along with the rapid return on investment (liquidity), without precluding the fact that the stochastic nature of the project environment is hardly described by the formula-based approach. The current theoretical base for the economic appraisals of the dry port projects more often perceives net present value (NPV) as a technique superior to other decision-making criteria. For example, the portfolio theory, which considers different risk preference of an investor and structures of utility, defines net present value as a better criterion of project appraisal than discounted payback period (DPP). Meanwhile, in business practice, the DPP is more popular. Knowing that the NPV is based on the assumptions of certainty of project life, it cannot be an accurate appraisal approach alone to determine whether or not the project should be accepted for the approval in the environment that is not without of uncertainties. In order to reflect the period or the project’s useful life that is exposed to risks due to changes in political, operational, and financial factors, the second capital budgeting criterion – discounted payback period is profoundly important, particularly for the Russian environment. Those statements represent contradictions that exist in the theory and practice of the applied science. Therefore, it would be desirable to relax the assumptions of portfolio theory and regard DPP as not fewer relevant appraisal approach for the assessment of the investment and risk measure. At the same time, the rationality of the use of both project performance criteria depends on the methods and models, with the help of which these appraisal approaches are calculated in feasibility studies. The deterministic methods cannot ensure the required precision of the results, while the stochastic models guarantee the sufficient level of the accuracy and reliability of the obtained results, providing that the risks are properly identified, evaluated, and mitigated. Otherwise, the project performance indicators may not be confirmed during the phase of project realization. For instance, the economic and political instability can result in the undoing of hard-earned gains, leading to the need for the attraction of the additional finances for the project. The sources of the alternative investments, as well as supportive mitigation strategies, can be studied during the initial phases of project development. During this period, the effectiveness of the investments undertakings can also be improved by the inclusion of the various investors, e.g. Russian Railways’ enterprises and other private companies in the dry port projects. However, the evaluation of the effectiveness of the participation of different investors in the project lack the methods and models that would permit doing the particular feasibility study, foreseeing the quantitative characteristics of risks and their mitigation strategies, which can meet the tolerance of the investors to the risks. For this reason, the research proposes a combination of Monte Carlo method, discounted cash flow technique, the theory of real options, and portfolio theory via a system dynamics simulation approach. The use of this methodology allows for comprehensive risk management process of dry port development to cover all aspects of risk identification, risk evaluation, risk mitigation, risk monitoring, and control phases. A designed system dynamics model can be recommended for the decision-makers on the dry port projects that are financed via a public-private partnership. It permits investors to make a decision appraisal based on random variables of net present value and discounted payback period, depending on different risks factors, e.g. revenue risks, land acquisition risks, traffic volume risks, construction hazards, and political risks. In this case, the statistical mean is used for the explication of the expected value of the DPP and NPV; the standard deviation is proposed as a characteristic of risks, while the elasticity coefficient is applied for rating of risks. Additionally, the risk of failure of project investments and guaranteed recoupment of capital investment can be considered with the help of the model. On the whole, the application of these modern methods of simulation creates preconditions for the controlling of the process of dry port development, i.e. making managerial changes and identifying the most stable parameters that contribute to the optimal alternative scenarios of the project realization in the uncertain environment. System dynamics model allows analyzing the interactions in the most complex mechanism of risk management process of the dry ports development and making proposals for the improvement of the effectiveness of the investments via an estimation of different risk management strategies. For the comparison and ranking of these alternatives in their order of preference to the investor, the proposed indicators of the efficiency of the investments, concerning the NPV, DPP, and coefficient of variation, can be used. Thus, rational investors, who averse to taking increased risks unless they are compensated by the commensurate increase in the expected utility of a risky prospect of dry port development, can be guided by the deduced marginal utility of investments. It is computed on the ground of the results from the system dynamics model. In conclusion, the outlined theoretical and practical implications for the management of risks, which are the key characteristics of public-private partnerships, can help analysts and planning managers in budget decision-making, substantially alleviating the effect from various risks and avoiding unnecessary cost overruns in dry port projects.

Probing MST1 Kinase Sequence and Structure for Rational Drug Discovery (Targeting diabetes by blocking protein-protein interactions)

Apoptotic beta cell death is an underlying cause majorly for type I and to a lesser extent for type II diabetes. Recently, MST1 kinase was identified as a key apoptotic agent in diabetic condition. In this study, I have examined MST1 and closely related kinases namely, MST2, MST3 and MST4, aiming to tackle diabetes by exploring ways to selectively block MST1 kinase activity. The first investigation was directed towards evaluating possibilities of selectively blocking the ATP binding site of MST1 kinase that is essential for the activity of the enzymes. Structure and sequence analyses of this site however revealed a near absolute conservation between the MSTs and very few changes with other kinases. The observed residue variations also displayed similar physicochemical properties making it hard for selective inhibition of the enzyme. Second, possibilities for allosteric inhibition of the enzyme were evaluated. Analysis of the recognized allosteric site also posed the same problem as the MSTs shared almost all of the same residues. The third analysis was made on the SARAH domain, which is required for the dimerization and activation of MST1 and MST2 kinases. MST3 and MST4 lack this domain, hence selectivity against these two kinases can be achieved. Other proteins with SARAH domains such as the RASSF proteins were also examined. Their interaction with the MST1 SARAH domain were evaluated to mimic their binding pattern and design a peptide inhibitor that interferes with MST1 SARAH dimerization. In molecular simulations the RASSF5 SARAH domain was shown to strongly interact with the MST1 SARAH domain and possibly preventing MST1 SARAH dimerization. Based on this, the peptidic inhibitor was suggested to be based on the sequence of RASSF5 SARAH domain. Since the MST2 kinase also interacts with RASSF5 SARAH domain, absolute selectivity might not be achieved.

Investigation of the applicability of LVDC microgrids in utility distribution in Russia

The research towards efficient, reliable and environmental-friendly power supply solutions is producing growing interest to the “Smart Grid” approach for the development of the electricity networks and managing the increasing energy consumption. One of the novel approaches is an LVDC microgrid. The purpose of the research is to analyze the possibilities for the implementation of LVDC microgrids in public distribution networks in Russia. The research contains the analysis of the modern Russian electric power industry, electricity market, electricity distribution business, regulatory framework and standardization, related to the implementation of LVDC microgrid concept. For the purpose of the economic feasibility estimation, a theoretical case study for comparing low voltage AC and medium voltage AC with LVDC microgrid solutions for a small settlement in Russia is presented. The results of the market and regulatory framework analysis along with the economic comparison of AC and DC solutions show that implementation of the LVDC microgrid concept in Russia is possible and can be economically feasible. From the electric power industry and regulatory framework point of view, there are no serious obstacles for the LVDC microgrids in Russian distribution networks. However, the most suitable use cases at the moment are expected to be found in the electrification of remote settlements, which are isolated from the Unified Energy System of Russia.

« Recueil des actes, letres et memoires qui ont servi aux conferences tenues en Roussillon, pour les limites des royaumes de France et d'Espagne, du costé des monts Pyrenées, entre Mgrs [Pierre] de Marca, archevesque de Toulouse, et [Hyacinthe] de Serrony, evesque d'Orange, commissaires deputez par le roy [Louis XIV], d'une part, et don Miguel Çalba, lieutenant du maistre rational de la couronne d'Aragon, et don Joseph Romeu, conseiller en l'audiance royale de Barcelone, commissaires deputez par le roy d'Espagne [Philippe IV], d'autre part. Le tout ramassé et mis en ordre par Etienne Baluze, natif de Tulle en Limousin, secretaire dudit seigneur archevesque » de Toulouse. Copies.

Contient : 1 à 71 Ce recueil comprend soixante et onze pièces, dont quinze en espagnol. Les rois Louis XIV et Philippe IV, le cardinal Mazarin, Michel Le Tellier, Pierre de Marca, archevêque de Toulouse, Hyacinthe Serroni, évêque d'Orange, don Miguel Çalba, don Joseph Romeu, le marquis de Mortara, Etienne Baluze, le « docteur Pont, chanoine et archidiacre de la Seu d'Urgel, abbé nommé d'Arles », et « don Joseph de Margarit, marquis d'Aguilar, gouverneur de Catalogne », figurent ici ou comme auteurs ou comme destinataires. Les dates extrêmes sont le 26 novembre 1659 et le 12 novembre 1660

Set and Spike

Brock Men's Volleyball makes a play in this 1978 match.

Implicit self-theories of shyness : predictors and correlates in preadolescence /

Implicit theories of shyness refer to a beUef that shyness is a fixed trait versus the belief that shyness is changeable and controllable. In this study, I explored the association between overall shyness and children's implicit self-theories of shyness, as well as between implicit self-theories of shyness and children's other shyness-related beliefs (perceptions of others' theories of shyness, shyness as a perceived problem, and ideas about treatment for shyness). Forty-six 10-12- year- old children (M = 10.74, SD = .88) were interviewed individually, filled out a set of questionnaires, and completed a computer-presented task. ' "^ As was expected, in ambiguous social situations, children perceived others' theories of shyness in a way that confirmed their own theories. The hypothesized curvilinear relation between shy and implicit self-theories of shyness was not found; instead, a linear positive relationship between these two variables emerged. Although implicit self-theories of shyness were not effective in predicting either the children's views of shyness as a perceived problem or children's ideas about treatment for shyness, some interesting results were found. Specifically, children's motivation to change their shyness correlated with their views of shyness as a problem for children in general and their perceptions of others' theories of shyness. Specific agents and strategies were regarded by children as having different effectiveness in their potential to change shyness. The theoretical and practical implications of these findings were discussed. Suggestions for future research were provided.

Environmental assessment and biomonitoring of the Twelve Mile Creek watershed, Niagara Peninsula, Ontario

In light of the heavy reliance of the people of the Niagara Peninsula on the T\\'elve Mile Creek (TMC) watershed for recreational activities and for municipal and industrial uses ( e.g., drinking water, shipping and discharge of effluents), it was deemed prudent to assess the envirol1tnental health of the system by analysing the sediments total and exchangeable metal, and TPH contents. The MOEE has set guidelines with limits for the protection and management of aquatic sediments, and the sediments from the headwaters of the TMC have total metal and TPH (subset of O&G) contents well below the lower provincial limits. Areas of environmental concern where total metal contents in sediments, either individually or collectively, exceed the guideline, are the south side of Lake Gibson, the Old WeIland Canal, a segment of TMC just south of the QEW and Martindale Pond. The total metal content of sediments does not in all instances identify areas of biological concern. Instead, it has been found that the exchangeable metal fraction of sediments is a better indicator of metal availability and thus potential accumulation in organisms. In some instances, the exchangeable metal fraction agrees with the total metal fraction defining areas of environmental concern, but it does vary from site to site reflecting the natural variability of the ambient environment. Overall, the exchangeable metal fraction of sediments appears to be a better indicator of anthropogenic pollution and ecosystem impact. A histochemical study of Anodon.ta sp., Elliptio sp. and zebra mussels (Dreissena polyn'101pha) was done in conjunction with passive biomonitoring of zebra and quagga mussels (Dreissena bugensis) from the Twelve Mile Creek watershed and Lake 51. Clair (Jeanette's Creek, Chatham, Ontario). The highest concentrations of divalent metals such as Cu, Ni, Cd, and Zn, and trivalent Al appear to accumulate in gill and kidney tissues. Metal contents of organ tissues in Anodonta sp. vary with size class. Organ metal content varies among size classes, thus requiring consideration of size in biomonitoring studies. Shucked zebra and quagga mussel tissues, exhibited similar size class to Al content trends. In addition they reflected the Al content trends of top (approximately 10 cm) most sediments in the Twelve Mile Creek watershed. Quagga mussels appear to have higher Al concentrations than zebra mussels, thus suggesting that quagga mussels may be better passive biomonitors of AI. Cd content in zebra mussel tissues, seemed to increase with size class trends. This was not demonstrated in the quagga mussel tissues. This suggests that Cd may be regulated by quagga mussels and not by zebra mussels, and that zebra mussels may be better passivebiomonitors of Cd than are quagga mussels. Zebra mussel, quagga mussel, Anodonta sp., and Elliptio sp. were used in a two part, active (translocated) biomonitoring study of the Twelve Mile Creek watershed. There was no statistical difference in death rates between zebra and quagga mussels after 65 days of biomonitoring. However there does appear to be a difference of death rates between sites. Unfortunately the data base did not permit us to differentiate between sites. Relative to Port Colborne Harbour (Port Colborne, Ontario), the Twelve Mile Creek watershed appears to be elevated in bioavailable AI. An area near the terminus of the Twelve Mile Creek appears to be an area of environmental concern since mussels seemed to have accumulated relatively large concentrations of Cd, Zn, and Pb. In addition to possible metal loading from a nearby outfalls, or possible upstream outfalls, road salt runoff from storm sewers may have contributed to metal accumulation through cation exchanges processes. Similar trends in cumulative quagga mussel metal concentrations during the two time periods (65 and 159 days), suggest that quagga mussels may reach equilibrium within 65 days of translocation. Differences in bioaccumulated metal concentrations of the two dreissenid species demonstrate that active biomonitoring studies must use a variety of organisms to adequately assess the environmental situation of specific waterways and/or bodies.