Econometrics as an Academic Discipline in Higher Education: An Exploratory Study of the Need, Relevance and Significance

Econometrics is a young science. It developed during the twentieth century in the mid-1930’s, primarily after the World War II. Econometrics is the unification of statistical analysis, economic theory and mathematics. The history of econometrics can be traced to the use of statistical and mathematics analysis in economics. The most prominent contributions during the initial period can be seen in the works of Tinbergen and Frisch, and also that of Haavelmo in the 1940's through the mid 1950's. Right from the rudimentary application of statistics to economic data, like the use of laws of error through the development of least squares by Legendre, Laplace, and Gauss, the discipline of econometrics has later on witnessed the applied works done by Edge worth and Mitchell. A very significant mile stone in its evolution has been the work of Tinbergen, Frisch, and Haavelmo in their development of multiple regression and correlation analysis. They used these techniques to test different economic theories using time series data. In spite of the fact that some predictions based on econometric methodology might have gone wrong, the sound scientific nature of the discipline cannot be ignored by anyone. This is reflected in the economic rationale underlying any econometric model, statistical and mathematical reasoning for the various inferences drawn etc. The relevance of econometrics as an academic discipline assumes high significance in the above context. Because of the inter-disciplinary nature of econometrics (which is a unification of Economics, Statistics and Mathematics), the subject can be taught at all these broad areas, not-withstanding the fact that most often Economics students alone are offered this subject as those of other disciplines might not have adequate Economics background to understand the subject. In fact, even for technical courses (like Engineering), business management courses (like MBA), professional accountancy courses etc. econometrics is quite relevant. More relevant is the case of research students of various social sciences, commerce and management. In the ongoing scenario of globalization and economic deregulation, there is the need to give added thrust to the academic discipline of econometrics in higher education, across various social science streams, commerce, management, professional accountancy etc. Accordingly, the analytical ability of the students can be sharpened and their ability to look into the socio-economic problems with a mathematical approach can be improved, and enabling them to derive scientific inferences and solutions to such problems. The utmost significance of hands-own practical training on the use of computer-based econometric packages, especially at the post-graduate and research levels need to be pointed out here. Mere learning of the econometric methodology or the underlying theories alone would not have much practical utility for the students in their future career, whether in academics, industry, or in practice This paper seeks to trace the historical development of econometrics and study the current status of econometrics as an academic discipline in higher education. Besides, the paper looks into the problems faced by the teachers in teaching econometrics, and those of students in learning the subject including effective application of the methodology in real life situations. Accordingly, the paper offers some meaningful suggestions for effective teaching of econometrics in higher education

Improved Biometric Authentication System Using Multimodal Cue Integration

Biometrics is an efficient technology with great possibilities in the area of security system development for official and commercial applications. The biometrics has recently become a significant part of any efficient person authentication solution. The advantage of using biometric traits is that they cannot be stolen, shared or even forgotten. The thesis addresses one of the emerging topics in Authentication System, viz., the implementation of Improved Biometric Authentication System using Multimodal Cue Integration, as the operator assisted identification turns out to be tedious, laborious and time consuming. In order to derive the best performance for the authentication system, an appropriate feature selection criteria has been evolved. It has been seen that the selection of too many features lead to the deterioration in the authentication performance and efficiency. In the work reported in this thesis, various judiciously chosen components of the biometric traits and their feature vectors are used for realizing the newly proposed Biometric Authentication System using Multimodal Cue Integration. The feature vectors so generated from the noisy biometric traits is compared with the feature vectors available in the knowledge base and the most matching pattern is identified for the purpose of user authentication. In an attempt to improve the success rate of the Feature Vector based authentication system, the proposed system has been augmented with the user dependent weighted fusion technique.

Incident-Reporting-Systeme als Möglichkeit zum organisationalem Lernen (nicht nur) aus Fehlern und kritischen Ereignissen

Die vorliegende Dissertation betrachtet institutionsinterne lokale (Critical-)Incident-Reporting-Systeme ((C)IRS) als eine Möglichkeit zum Lernen aus Fehlern und unerwünschten kritischen Ereignissen (sogenannte Incidents) im Krankenhaus. Die Notwendigkeit aus Incidents zu lernen, wird im Gesundheitswesen bereits seit den 1990er Jahren verstärkt diskutiert. Insbesondere risikoreichen Organisationen, in denen Incidents fatale Konsequenzen haben können, sollten umfassende Strategien erarbeiten, die sie vor Fehlern und unerwünschten Ereignissen schützen und diese als Lernpotenzial nutzen können. Dabei können lokale IRS als ein zentraler Bestandteil des Risikomanagements und freiwillige Dokumentationssysteme im Krankenhaus ein Teil dieser Strategie sein. Sie können eine Ausgangslage für die systematische Erfassung und Auswertung von individuellen Lerngelegenheiten und den Transfer zurück in die Organisation schaffen. Hierfür sind eine lernförderliche Gestaltung, Implementierung und Einbettung lokaler IRS eine wichtige Voraussetzung. Untersuchungen über geeignete lerntheoretisch fundierte und wirkungsvolle IRS-Modelle und empirische Daten fehlen bisher im deutschsprachigen Raum. Einen entsprechenden Beitrag leistet die vorliegende Fallstudie in einem Schweizer Universitätsspital (800 Betten, 6.100 Mitarbeitende). Zu diesem Zweck wurde zuerst ein Anforderungsprofil an lernförderliche IRS aus der Literatur abgeleitet. Dieses berücksichtigt zum einen literaturbasierte Kriterien für die Gestaltung und Nutzung aus der IRS-Literatur, zum anderen die aus der Erziehungswissenschaft und Arbeitspsychologie entlehnten Gestaltungsbedingungen und Erfolgskriterien an organisationales Lernen. Das Anforderungsprofil wurde in drei empirischen Teilstudien validiert und entsprechend adaptiert. In der ersten empirischen Teilstudie erfolgte eine Standortbestimmung der lokalen IRS. Die Erhebung erfolgte in vier Kliniken mittels Dokumentenanalyse, leitfadengestützter Interviews (N=18), sieben strukturierter Gruppendiskussionen und teilnehmender Beobachtungen über einen Zeitraum von 22 Monaten. Erfolgskritische IRS-Merkmale wurden identifiziert mit dem Ziel einer praxisgerechten lernförderlichen Systemgestaltung und Umsetzung von Incident Reporting unter Betrachtung von organisationalen Rahmenbedingungen, Lernpotenzialen und Barrieren. Die zweite Teilstudie untersuchte zwei Fallbeispiele organisationalen Lernens mittels Prozessbegleitung, welche zu einem verwechslungssicheren Design bei einem Medizinalprodukt und einer verbesserten Patientenidentifikation in Zusammenhang mit Blutentnahmen führten. Für das organisationale Lernen im Spital wurden dabei Chancen, Barrieren und Gestaltungsansätze abgeleitet, wie erwünschte Veränderungen und Lernen unter Nutzung von IRS initiiert werden können und dabei ein besseres Gesundheitsresultat erreicht werden kann. Die dritte Teilstudie überprüfte, inwiefern die Nutzung und Implementierung lokaler IRS mittels einer Mitarbeitervollbefragung zur Sicherheitskultur gefördert werden kann. Hierfür wurde eine positive Interaktion, zwischen einer starken Sicherheitskultur und der Bereitschaft ein IRS zu implementieren und Incidents zu berichten, angenommen. Zum Einsatz kam eine deutschsprachige Version des Hospital Survey on Patient Safety Culture (Patientensicherheitsklimainventar) mit einem Rücklauf von 46.8% (2.897 gültige Fragebogen). In 23 von 37 Kliniken führte laut einer Nachbefragung die Sicherheitskulturbefragung zum Implementierungsentscheid. Dies konnte durch Monitoring der IRS-Nutzung bestätigt werden. Erstmals liegen mit diesen Studien empirische Daten für eine wirkungsvolle und lernförderliche Gestaltung und Umsetzung von lokalen IRS am Beispiel einer Schweizer Gesundheitsorganisation vor. Die Ergebnisse der Arbeit zeigen Chancen und Barrieren für IRS als Berichts- und Lernsysteme im Krankenhaus auf. Als Resultat unsachgemäss gestalteter und implementierter IRS konnte dabei vor allem Lernverhinderung infolge IRS aufgezeigt werden. Blinder Aktionismus und eine fehlende Priorisierung von Patientensicherheit, unzureichende Kompetenzen, Qualifikationen und Ressourcen führten dabei zur Schaffung neuer Fehlerquellen mit einer Verstärkung des Lernens erster Ordnung. Eine lernförderliche Gestaltung und Unterhaltung der lokalen IRS, eingebettet in eine klinikumsweite Qualitäts- und Patientensicherheitsstrategie, erwiesen sich hingegen als wirkungsvoll im Sinne eines organisationalen Lernens und eines kontinuierlichen Verbesserungsprozesses. Patientensicherheitskulturbefragungen erwiesen sich zudem bei entsprechender Einbettung als effektives Instrument, um die Implementierung von IRS zu fördern. Zwölf Thesen zeigen in verdichteter Form auf, welche Gestaltungsprinzipien für IRS als Instrument des organisationalen Lernens im Rahmen des klinischen Risikomanagements und zur Förderung einer starken Patientensicherheitskultur zu berücksichtigen sind. Die Erkenntnisse aus den empirischen Studien münden in ein dialogorientiertes Rahmenmodell organisationalen Lernens unter Nutzung lokaler IRS. Die Arbeit zeigt damit zum einen Möglichkeiten für ein Lernen auf den verschiedenen Ebenen der Organisation auf und weist auf die Notwendigkeit einer (Re-)Strukturierung der aktuellen IRS-Diskussion hin.

Evolutionäre Optimierung von Mensch-Maschine-Schnittstellen

Vorgestellt wird eine weltweit neue Methode, Schnittstellen zwischen Menschen und Maschinen für individuelle Bediener anzupassen. Durch Anwenden von Abstraktionen evolutionärer Mechanismen wie Selektion, Rekombination und Mutation in der EOGUI-Methodik (Evolutionary Optimization of Graphical User Interfaces) kann eine rechnergestützte Umsetzung der Methode für Graphische Bedienoberflächen, insbesondere für industrielle Prozesse, bereitgestellt werden. In die Evolutionäre Optimierung fließen sowohl die objektiven, d.h. messbaren Größen wie Auswahlhäufigkeiten und -zeiten, mit ein, als auch das anhand von Online-Fragebögen erfasste subjektive Empfinden der Bediener. Auf diese Weise wird die Visualisierung von Systemen den Bedürfnissen und Präferenzen einzelner Bedienern angepasst. Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit kann der Bediener aus vier Bedienoberflächen unterschiedlicher Abstraktionsgrade für den Beispielprozess MIPS ( MIschungsProzess-Simulation) die Objekte auswählen, die ihn bei der Prozessführung am besten unterstützen. Über den EOGUI-Algorithmus werden diese Objekte ausgewählt, ggf. verändert und in einer neuen, dem Bediener angepassten graphischen Bedienoberfläche zusammengefasst. Unter Verwendung des MIPS-Prozesses wurden Experimente mit der EOGUI-Methodik durchgeführt, um die Anwendbarkeit, Akzeptanz und Wirksamkeit der Methode für die Führung industrieller Prozesse zu überprüfen. Anhand der Untersuchungen kann zu großen Teilen gezeigt werden, dass die entwickelte Methodik zur Evolutionären Optimierung von Mensch-Maschine-Schnittstellen industrielle Prozessvisualisierungen tatsächlich an den einzelnen Bediener anpaßt und die Prozessführung verbessert.

Development of directly modulated high speed telecommunication lasers based on surface defined feedback gratings

High-speed semiconductor lasers are an integral part in the implemen- tation of high-bit-rate optical communications systems. They are com- pact, rugged, reliable, long-lived, and relatively inexpensive sources of coherent light. Due to the very low attenuation window that exists in the silica based optical fiber at 1.55 μm and the zero dispersion point at 1.3 μm, they have become the mainstay of optical fiber com- munication systems. For the fabrication of lasers with gratings such as, distributed bragg reflector or distributed feedback lasers, etching is the most critical step. Etching defines the lateral dimmensions of the structure which determines the performance of optoelectronic devices. In this thesis studies and experiments were carried out about the exist- ing etching processes for InP and a novel dry etching process was de- veloped. The newly developed process was based on Cl2/CH4/H2/Ar chemistry and resulted in very smooth surfaces and vertical side walls. With this process the grating definition was significantly improved as compared to other technological developments in the respective field. A surface defined grating definition approach is used in this thesis work which does not require any re-growth steps and makes the whole fabrication process simpler and cost effective. Moreover, this grating fabrication process is fully compatible with nano-imprint lithography and can be used for high throughput low-cost manufacturing. With usual etching techniques reported before it is not possible to etch very deep because of aspect ratio dependent etching phenomenon where with increasing etch depth the etch rate slows down resulting in non-vertical side walls and footing effects. Although with our de- veloped process quite vertical side walls were achieved but footing was still a problem. To overcome the challenges related to grating defini- tion and deep etching, a completely new three step gas chopping dry etching process was developed. This was the very first time that a time multiplexed etching process for an InP based material system was demonstrated. The developed gas chopping process showed extra ordinary results including high mask selectivity of 15, moderate etch- ing rate, very vertical side walls and a record high aspect ratio of 41. Both the developed etching processes are completely compatible with nano imprint lithography and can be used for low-cost high-throughput fabrication. A large number of broad area laser, ridge waveguide laser, distributed feedback laser, distributed bragg reflector laser and coupled cavity in- jection grating lasers were fabricated using the developed one step etch- ing process. Very extensive characterization was done to optimize all the important design and fabrication parameters. The devices devel- oped have shown excellent performance with a very high side mode suppression ratio of more than 52 dB, an output power of 17 mW per facet, high efficiency of 0.15 W/A, stable operation over temperature and injected currents and a threshold current as low as 30 mA for almost 1 mm long device. A record high modulation bandwidth of 15 GHz with electron-photon resonance and open eye diagrams for 10 Gbps data transmission were also shown.

Image Based Rendering Using Algebraic Techniques

This paper presents an image-based rendering system using algebraic relations between different views of an object. The system uses pictures of an object taken from known positions. Given three such images it can generate "virtual'' ones as the object would look from any position near the ones that the two input images were taken from. The extrapolation from the example images can be up to about 60 degrees of rotation. The system is based on the trilinear constraints that bind any three view so fan object. As a side result, we propose two new methods for camera calibration. We developed and used one of them. We implemented the system and tested it on real images of objects and faces. We also show experimentally that even when only two images taken from unknown positions are given, the system can be used to render the object from other view points as long as we have a good estimate of the internal parameters of the camera used and we are able to find good correspondence between the example images. In addition, we present the relation between these algebraic constraints and a factorization method for shape and motion estimation. As a result we propose a method for motion estimation in the special case of orthographic projection.

Active Learning with Statistical Models

For many types of learners one can compute the statistically 'optimal' way to select data. We review how these techniques have been used with feedforward neural networks. We then show how the same principles may be used to select data for two alternative, statistically-based learning architectures: mixtures of Gaussians and locally weighted regression. While the techniques for neural networks are expensive and approximate, the techniques for mixtures of Gaussians and locally weighted regression are both efficient and accurate.

Learning Three-Dimensional Shape Models for Sketch Recognition

Artifacts made by humans, such as items of furniture and houses, exhibit an enormous amount of variability in shape. In this paper, we concentrate on models of the shapes of objects that are made up of fixed collections of sub-parts whose dimensions and spatial arrangement exhibit variation. Our goals are: to learn these models from data and to use them for recognition. Our emphasis is on learning and recognition from three-dimensional data, to test the basic shape-modeling methodology. In this paper we also demonstrate how to use models learned in three dimensions for recognition of two-dimensional sketches of objects.

Model-based objects recognition in industrial environments for autonomous vehicles control

Behavior-based navigation of autonomous vehicles requires the recognition of the navigable areas and the potential obstacles. In this paper we describe a model-based objects recognition system which is part of an image interpretation system intended to assist the navigation of autonomous vehicles that operate in industrial environments. The recognition system integrates color, shape and texture information together with the location of the vanishing point. The recognition process starts from some prior scene knowledge, that is, a generic model of the expected scene and the potential objects. The recognition system constitutes an approach where different low-level vision techniques extract a multitude of image descriptors which are then analyzed using a rule-based reasoning system to interpret the image content. This system has been implemented using a rule-based cooperative expert system

Model-based objects recognition in man-made environments

We describe a model-based objects recognition system which is part of an image interpretation system intended to assist autonomous vehicles navigation. The system is intended to operate in man-made environments. Behavior-based navigation of autonomous vehicles involves the recognition of navigable areas and the potential obstacles. The recognition system integrates color, shape and texture information together with the location of the vanishing point. The recognition process starts from some prior scene knowledge, that is, a generic model of the expected scene and the potential objects. The recognition system constitutes an approach where different low-level vision techniques extract a multitude of image descriptors which are then analyzed using a rule-based reasoning system to interpret the image content. This system has been implemented using CEES, the C++ embedded expert system shell developed in the Systems Engineering and Automatic Control Laboratory (University of Girona) as a specific rule-based problem solving tool. It has been especially conceived for supporting cooperative expert systems, and uses the object oriented programming paradigm

Semiactive backstepping control for vibration attenuation in structures equipped with magnetorheological actuatorscat

This paper deals with the problem of semiactive vibration control of civil engineering structures subject to unknown external disturbances (for example, earthquakes, winds, etc.). Two kinds of semiactive controllers are proposed based on the backstepping control technique. The experimental setup used is a 6-story test structure equipped with shear-mode semiactive magnetorheological dampers being installed in the Washington University Structural Control and Earthquake Engineering Laboratory (WUSCEEL). The experimental results obtained have verified the effectiveness of the proposed control algorithms

EdShare: collaboration in a University for learning and teaching

Poster for the School of Electronics and Computer Science, Learning Societies Lab Open Day, 27 February 2008 at the University of Southampton. Profile and presentation of the EdShare resource. The poster illustrates the philosophy of EdShare, how it relates to the Web 2.0 environment and its relationship to the education agenda in a University.

Evaluación de la efectividad de una organización en el campo de percepción de marca usando un sistema de simulación computarizado basado en agentes

El presente proyecto de investigación tiene como objetivo general evaluar la efectividad de los esfuerzos de una unidad de negocio particular de la compañía Novartis de Colombia S.A. en el área de la percepción de marca mediante un sistema de simulación que implementa una metodología para la medición de esta última. Se tiene en cuenta que contar con datos exactos acerca de cómo los clientes finales perciben una marca es un tarea dispendiosa y que aún no tiene una fórmula matemática, por lo tanto, es muy subjetivo el proceso de entender a los consumidores por parte de los directivos de la empresa. El proceso planea que por medio del procedimiento planteado que se basa en una simulación por computador y más concretamente con una modelación basada en agentes se permita acercar a las partes involucradas en el proceso de compra, es decir, la empresa involucrada, vendedores, clientes y finalmente clientes potenciales.

Impact on the quality of learning as a result of the use of computers in schools

The educational software and computer assisted learning has been used in schools to promote the interest of students in new ways of thinking and learning so it can be useful in the reading learning process. Experimental studies performed in preschool and school age population have shown a better yield and a positive effect in reading, mathematics and cognitive skills in children who use educative software for fi fteen to twenty minutes a day periods. The goal of this study was to evaluate the progression in verbal, visual-motor integration and reading skills in children who were using educational software to compare them with a group in traditional pedagogic methodology. Results: All children were evaluated before using any kind of pedagogic approach. Initial evaluation revealed a lower–age score in all applied test. 11% of them were at high risk for learning disorders. There was a second evaluation that showed a significant positive change compared with the fi rst one. Nevertheless, despite some items, there were no general differences comparing the groups according if they were using or not a computer. In conclusion, policies on using educational software and computers must be revaluated due to the fact that children in our public schools come from a deprived environment with a lack of opportunities to use technologies.