993 resultados para Climate perception
Resumo:
Avhandlingen behandlar entreprenöriella intentioner och individens uppfattningar om entreprenörskap. Om vi vill främja entreprenörskap så räcker det inte att vi förstår vilken nytta samhället kan ha av entreprenörer (arbetsplatser, mera skatteinkomster osv.). Vi måste förstå varför entreprenörskap är intressant och attraktiv ur individens synvinkel. Just den frågan har varit central inom kognitiv entreprenörskapsforskning de senaste 10 åren har vår förståelse för entreprenörer ökat betydligt tack vare den forskningen. Problemet med existerande forskning är att uppfattad genomförbarhet och uppfattad attraktivitet, dvs. de attityder som sägs leda till entreprenöriella intentioner, beskriver enbart vilken attityd individen generellt har till entreprenörskap. Enligt tidigare forskningsresultat så är det skillnad på generella attityder till en handling och attityder till att genomföra just den handlingen. Vill vi veta om individen kan tänka sig starta och driva ett företag så måste vi alltså studera individens attityd till att utföra just den specifika handlingen. Enligt avhandlingens forskningsresultat så kan vi lära oss mera om attityder till entreprenörskap genom att studera också motivation och mål. På så sätt kan vi förstå varför en del väljer att bli entreprenörer medan andra väljer att låta bli, även om de utåt sett har samma möjligheter att bli entreprenörer.
Resumo:
I mars 2003 certifierades en finländsk advokatbyrå av den Europeiska kommissionen som den bästa i Europa inom specialkategorin livslångt lärande. Advokatbyrån var överraskad över utnämningen emedan de inte aktivt och/eller medvetet implementerat eller utövat en livslångt lärandestrategi i sin verksamhet bland sin personal. Byrån deltog i en tävling om bästa arbetsplats i Europa ("Best workplaces in Europe 2003") utan att vara medveten om den Europeiska kommissionens special- kategorier. Emedan advokatbyrån inte medvetet implementerat en livslångt lärandestrategi bland sin personal formar aktörerna, vars uppfattning och prat denna avhandling handlar om, sina föreställningar och sitt prat om livslångt lärande efter utnämningen. Översättningsprocessen av en idé utlöses sålunda i denna studie av en extern händelse. I sin avhandling beskriver Annica Isacsson hur och varför en idé (livslångt lärande) föds (på nytt) på en institutionell nivå, hur idén reser och förändras i en process av översättning, hur idén landar i två organisationer samt hur idén om livslångt lärande uppfattas och beskrivs av lokala aktörer i två olika organisationer. Fokus i studien ligger sålunda på enskilda aktörers uppfattning om ett kontroversiellt koncept i en lokal kontext. Teoretiskt möts och sammanlänkas teori om livslångt lärande, sociokulturella teorier om lärande och teorier om organisatoriskt lärande. Isacssons avhandling visar på hur livslångt lärande inte enbart, i en organisatorisk kontext, handlar om individuell kompetensutveckling utan också om organisatoriskt lärande i vilken lärande av andra organisationsmedlemmar och organisationer ingår. Studien visar vidare på hur enskilda aktörers prat påverkas av det institutionella fältet och av den tidsanda inom vilken diskursen livslångt lärande föds, rör sig och ingår.
Resumo:
Risk analysis of climate change on plant diseases has great importance for agriculture since it allows the evaluation of management strategies to minimize future damages. This work aimed to simulate future scenarios of coffee rust (Hemileia vastatrix) epidemics by elaborating geographic distribution maps using a model that estimates the pathogen incubation period and the output from three General Circulation Models (CSIRO-Mk3.0, INM-CM3.0, and MIROC3.2.medres). The climatological normal from 1961-1990 was compared with that of the decades 2020s, 2050s and 2080s using scenarios A2 and B1 from the IPCC. Maps were prepared with a spatial resolution of 0.5 × 0.5 degrees of latitude and longitude for ten producing states in Brazil. The climate variables used were maximum and minimum monthly temperatures. The maps obtained in scenario A2 showed a tendency towards a reduction in the incubation period when future scenarios are compared with the climatological normal from 1961-1990. A reduction in the period was also observed in scenario B1, although smaller than that in scenario A2.
Resumo:
The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential risk of moniliasis occurrence and the impacts of climate change on this disease in the coming decades, should this pathogen be introduced in Brazil. To this end, climate favorability maps were devised for the occurrence of moniliasis, both for the present and future time. The future scenarios (A2 and B2) focused on the decades of 2020, 2050 and 2080. These scenarios were obtained from six global climate models (GCMs) made available by the third assessment report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Currently, there are large areas with favorable climate conditions for moniliasis in Brazil, especially in regions at high risk of introduction of that pathogen. Considering the global warming scenarios provided by the IPCC, the potential risk of moniliasis occurrence in Brazil will be reduced. This decrease is predicted for both future scenarios, but will occur more sharply in scenario A2. However, there will still be areas with favorable climate conditions for the development of the disease, particularly in Brazil's main producing regions. Moreover, pathogen and host alike may undergo alterations due to climate change, which will affect the extent of their impacts on this pathosystem.
Resumo:
Rust, caused by Puccinia psidii, is one of the most important diseases affecting eucalyptus in Brazil. This pathogen causes disease in mini-clonal garden and in young plants in the field, especially in leaves and juvenile shoots. Favorable climate conditions for infection by this pathogen in eucalyptus include temperature between 18 and 25 ºC, together with at least 6-hour leaf wetness periods, for 5 to 7 consecutive days. Considering the interaction between the environment and the pathogen, this study aimed to evaluate the potential impact of global climate changes on the spatial distribution of areas of risk for the occurrence of eucalyptus rust in Brazil. Thus, monthly maps of the areas of risk for the occurrence of this disease were elaborated, considering the current climate conditions, based on a historic series between 1961 and 1990, and the future scenarios A2 and B2, predicted by IPCC. The climate conditions were classified into three categories, according to the potential risk for the disease occurrence, considering temperature (T) and air relative humidity (RH): i) high risk (18 < T < 25 ºC and RH > 90%); ii) medium risk (18 < T < 25 ºC and RH < 90%; T< 18 or T > 25 ºC and RH > 90%); and iii) low risk (T < 18 or T > 25 ºC and RH < 90%). Data about the future climate scenarios were supplied by GCM Change Fields. In this study, the simulation model Hadley Centers for Climate Prediction and Research (HadCm3) was adopted, using the software Idrisi 32. The obtained results led to the conclusion that there will be a reduction in the area favorable to eucalyptus rust occurrence, and such a reduction will be gradual for the decades of 2020, 2050 and 2080 but more marked in scenario A2 than in B2. However, it is important to point out that extensive areas will still be favorable to the disease development, especially in the coldest months of the year, i.e., June and July. Therefore, the zoning of areas and periods of higher occurrence risk, considering the global climate changes, becomes important knowledge for the elaboration of predicting models and an alert for the integrated management of this disease.
Resumo:
The goal of the master‘s thesis is to determine and estimate ice accretion influence on the wind turbine blade performance. The thesis describes the technique of ice accretion calculation on the wind turbine blade and determination characteristics of the turbine with ice accreted. The methodology of the classic Blade Element Moment Theory was used. Iced blade experimental data was investigated in order to calculate blade with ice characteristics. The obtained results shows that iced blade power coefficient is lower than clean blade one. The heating system implementation shows that in the particular site in the Lapland region it is efficient.
Resumo:
Different climate models, modeling methods and carbon emission scenarios were used in this paper to evaluate the effects of future climate changes on geographical distribution of species of economic and cultural importance across the Cerrado biome. As the results of several studies have shown, there are still many uncertainties associated with these projections, although bioclimatic models are still widely used and effective method to evaluate the consequences for biodiversity of these climate changes. In this article, it was found that 90% of these uncertainties are related to methods of modeling, although, regardless of the uncertainties, the results revealed that the studied species will reduce about 78% of their geographic distribution in Cerrado. For an effective work on the conservation of these species, many studies still need to be carried out, although it is already possible to observe that climate change will have a strong influence on the pattern of distribution of these species.
Resumo:
ABSTRACT Climatic conditions stimulates the cambial activity of plants, and cause significant changes in trunk diameter growth and wood characteristics. The objective of this study was to evaluate the influence of climate variables in the diameter growth rate of the stem and the wood density of Eucalyptus grandis trees in different classes of the basal area. A total of 25 Eucalyptus trees at 22 months of age were selected according to the basal area distribution. Dendrometer bands were installed at the height of 1.30 meters (DBH) to monitor the diameter growth every 14 days, for 26 months. After measuring growth, the trees were felled and wood discs were removed at the DBH level to determine the radial density profile through x-ray microdensitometry and then re-scale the average values every 14 days. Climatic variables for the monitoring period were obtained and grouped every 14 days. The effect of the climate variables was determined by maximum and minimum growth periods in assessing trunk growth. These growth periods were related with precipitation, average temperature and relative air humidity. The re-scaled wood density values, calculated using the radial growth of the tree trunks measured accurately with steel dendrometers, enabled the determination of the relationship of small changes in wood density and the effect of the climatic variations and growth rate of eucalyptus tree trunks. A high sensitivity of the wood density to variation in precipitation levels was found.