Entomological news, and proceedings of the Entomological Section of the Academy of Natural Sciences of Philadelphia.

v. 35 (1924)

Entomological news, and proceedings of the Entomological Section of the Academy of Natural Sciences of Philadelphia.

v. 8 (1897)

Entomological news, and proceedings of the Entomological Section of the Academy of Natural Sciences of Philadelphia.

v. 22 (1911)

Entomological news, and proceedings of the Entomological Section of the Academy of Natural Sciences of Philadelphia.

v. 9 (1898)

Entomological news, and proceedings of the Entomological Section of the Academy of Natural Sciences of Philadelphia.

v. 33 (1922)

Entomological news, and proceedings of the Entomological Section of the Academy of Natural Sciences of Philadelphia.

v. 18 (1907)

Entomological news, and proceedings of the Entomological Section of the Academy of Natural Sciences of Philadelphia.

v. 34 (1923)

Entomological news, and proceedings of the Entomological Section of the Academy of Natural Sciences of Philadelphia.

v. 5 (1894)

Entomological news, and proceedings of the Entomological Section of the Academy of Natural Sciences of Philadelphia.

v. 25 (1914)

Proceedings of the California Academy of Sciences.

v. 4 (1905-1906)

Proceedings of the California Academy of Sciences.

ser. 3, v. 1 (math-phys) (1898-1903)

A Model of Near-Rational Exuberance

We study how the use of judgement or “add-factors” in forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in a standard self-referential environment. Local indeterminacy is not a requirement for existence. We construct a simple asset pricing example and find that exuberance equilibria, when they exist, can be extremely volatile relative to fundamental equilibria.

Serologic evidence of the recent circulation of Saint Louis encephalitis virus and high prevalence of equine encephalitis viruses in horses in the Nhecolândia sub-region in South Pantanal, Central-West Brazil

As in humans, sub-clinical infection by arboviruses in domestic animals is common; however, its detection only occurs during epizootics and the silent circulation of some arboviruses may remain undetected. The objective of the present paper was to assess the current circulation of arboviruses in the Nhecolândia sub-region of South Pantanal, Brazil. Sera from a total of 135 horses, of which 75 were immunized with bivalent vaccine composed of inactive Eastern equine encephalitis virus (EEEV) and Western equine encephalitis virus(WEEV) and 60 were unvaccinated, were submitted to thorough viral isolation, reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and neutralization tests for Saint Louis encephalitis virus (SLEV), EEEV, WEEV and Mayaro virus (MAYV). No virus was isolated and viral nucleic-acid detection by RT-PCR was also negative. Nevertheless, the prevalence of neutralizing antibodies in horses older than seven months was 43.7% for SLEV in equines regardless of vaccine status, and 36.4% for WEEV and 47.7% for EEEV in unvaccinated horses. There was no evidence of MAYV infections. The serologic evidence of circulation of arboviruses responsible for equine and human encephalitis, without recent official reports of clinical infections in the area, suggests that the Nhecolândia sub-region in South Pantanal is an important area for detection of silent activity of arboviruses in Brazil.