A Bootstrap Neural Network Based Heterogeneous Panel Unit Root Test: Application to Exchange Rates

This paper proposes a bootstrap artificial neural network based panel unit root test in a dynamic heterogeneous panel context. An application to a panel of bilateral real exchange rate series with the US Dollar from the 20 major OECD countries is provided to investigate the Purchase Power Parity (PPP). The combination of neural network and bootstrapping significantly changes the findings of the economic study in favour of PPP.

Regional productivity variation and the impact of public capital stock: an analysis with spatial interaction, with reference to Spain

In this paper we examine whether variations in the level of public capital across Spain‟s Provinces affected productivity levels over the period 1996-2005. The analysis is motivated by contemporary urban economics theory, involving a production function for the competitive sector of the economy („industry‟) which includes the level of composite services derived from „service‟ firms under monopolistic competition. The outcome is potentially increasing returns to scale resulting from pecuniary externalities deriving from internal increasing returns in the monopolistic competition sector. We extend the production function by also making (log) labour efficiency a function of (log) total public capital stock and (log) human capital stock, leading to a simple and empirically tractable reduced form linking productivity level to density of employment, human capital and public capital stock. The model is further extended to include technological externalities or spillovers across provinces. Using panel data methodology, we find significant elasticities for total capital stock and for human capital stock, and a significant impact for employment density. The finding that the effect of public capital is significantly different from zero, indicating that it has a direct effect even after controlling for employment density, is contrary to some of the earlier research findings which leave the question of the impact of public capital unresolved.

The effects of agglomeration on wages: evidence from the micro-level

This paper estimates individual wage equations in order to test two rival non-nested theories of economic agglomeration, namely New Economic Geography (NEG), as represented by the NEG wage equation and urban economic (UE) theory , in which wages relate to employment density. The paper makes an original contribution by evidently being the first empirical paper to examine the issue of agglomeration processes associated with contemporary theory working with micro-level data, highlighting the role of gender and other individual-level characteristics. For male respondents, there is no significant evidence that wage levels are an outcome of the mechanisms suggested by NEG or UE theory, but this is not the case for female respondents. We speculate on the reasons for the gender difference.

Surfactant protein-D and exposure to bioaerosols in wastewater and garbage workers.

PURPOSE: Bioaerosols and their constituents, such as endotoxins, are capable of causing an inflammatory reaction at the level of the lung-blood barrier, which becomes more permeable. Thus, it was hypothesized that occupational exposure to bioaerosols can increase leakage of surfactant protein-D (SP-D), a lung-specific protein, into the bloodstream. METHODS: SP-D was determined by ELISA in 316 wastewater workers, 67 garbage collectors, and 395 control subjects. Exposure was assessed with four interview-based indicators and by preliminary endotoxin measurements using the Limulus amoebocyte lysate assay. Influence of exposure on serum SP-D was assessed by multiple linear regression considering smoking, glomerular function, lung diseases, obesity, and other confounders. RESULTS: Overall, mean exposure levels to endotoxins were below 100 EU/m(3). However, special tasks of wastewater workers caused higher endotoxin exposure. SP-D concentration was slightly increased in this occupational group and associated with the occurrence of splashes and contact to raw sewage. No effect was found in garbage collectors. Smoking increased serum SP-D. No clinically relevant correlation between spirometry results and SP-D concentrations appeared. CONCLUSIONS: These results support the hypothesis that inhalation of bioaerosols, even at low concentrations, has a subclinical effect on the lung-blood barrier, the permeability of which increases without associated spirometric changes.

No healthy heart for heavy drinkers: a population-based study in Switzerland

Background: Low to moderate alcohol consumption has been associated with lower coronary heart disease (CHD) risk, an effect mainly mediated by an increase in HDL-cholesterol levels. However, data on the CHD risk associated with high alcohol consumption are conflicting. Methods: In a population-based study of 5,769 men and women, aged 35-75 years, without cardiovascular disease in Switzerland, last week alcohol consumption was categorized into 0, 1-6, 7-13, 14-20, 21-27, 28-34, 035 drinks/week and into nondrinkers (0 drink/week), moderate (1-13), high (14-34) and very high drinkers (035). Blood pressure, lipids and high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) were measured, and the 10-year CHD risk was calculated according to the Framingham risk score. Results: 73% (n = 4,214) of the participants consumed alcohol; 16% (n = 909) were considered as high drinkers and 2% (n = 119) as very high drinkers. In multivariate analysis, increasing alcohol consumption was associated with higher HDL-cholesterol (from 1.57 ± 0.01 [adjusted mean ± SE] in nondrinkers to 1.88 ± 0.03 mmol/L in very high drinkers); triglycerides (1.17 ± 1.01 to 1.32 ± 1.05 mmol/L), and systolic and diastolic blood pressure rose significantly (127.4 ± 0.4 to 132.2 ± 1.4 and 78.7 ± 0.3 to 81.7 ± 0.9 mm Hg, respectively, all p for trend <0.001). Predicted 10-year CHD risk increased from 4.31 ± 0.10 to 4.90 ± 0.37 (p = 0.03) with increasing alcohol use, with a J-shaped relationship. Conclusion: As measured by the 10-year CHD risk, the protective effect of alcohol consumption disappears in very high drinkers, namely because the beneficial increase in HDL-cholesterol may be blunt by a rise in blood pressure levels.

Les émotions des professionnels dans les réseaux

Ce texte présente une réflexion sur les émotions et résonances émotionnelles dans les réseaux qui réunissent des praticiens de différentes institutions autour des patients qui fréquentent les Hôpitaux de Jour. La question des émotions autour des patients dans le cadre des synthèses internes à une institution est relativement bien connue sous l'angle des transferts et contre-transferts et des questions sur la dynamique de groupe (Anzieu: Le groupe et l'inconscient). Nous tentons ici d'élargir la réflexion aux pratiques en réseaux de plus en plus fréquentes mais encore peu pensées et codifiées.

Prévention et prise en charge des maladies chroniques : une approche applicable en Suisse

Les maladies chroniques représentent un fardeau important pour la société, en termes de morbidité, dépendance, qualité de vie, mortalité et coûts de la santé. La prise en charge des maladies chroniques constitue ainsi une priorité des systèmes de santé. Tandis que des programmes de prévention et prise en charge des maladies chroniques («prevention and chronic disease management») ont été mis sur pieds depuis plus d'une décennie d'abord en Amérique du Nord puis en Europe, leur développement en Suisse est récent. Ces programmes sont explicitement structurés et organisés, centrés sur les patients et comportent constamment un élément d'éducation thérapeutique. De plus, ils impliquent un travail en équipe ainsi que des prises en charge stratifiées en fonction de la sévérité de la maladie et des besoins des patients, et basées sur les preuves de leur efficacité. Il est important que les médecins et autres professionnels de la santé, ainsi que tous les autres acteurs du système sanitaire reconnaissent la nécessité de mettre en place des modalités adéquates et efficaces de prise en charge des patients présentant des maladies chroniques, participent à leur développement et les soutiennent.

Clinical presentation, etiology, and outcome of infective endocarditis in the 21st century: the International Collaboration on Endocarditis-Prospective Cohort Study.

We sought to provide a contemporary picture of the presentation, etiology, and outcome of infective endocarditis (IE) in a large patient cohort from multiple locations worldwide. Prospective cohort study of 2781 adults with definite IE who were admitted to 58 hospitals in 25 countries from June 1, 2000, through September 1, 2005. The median age of the cohort was 57.9 (interquartile range, 43.2-71.8) years, and 72.1% had native valve IE. Most patients (77.0%) presented early in the disease (<30 days) with few of the classic clinical hallmarks of IE. Recent health care exposure was found in one-quarter of patients. Staphylococcus aureus was the most common pathogen (31.2%). The mitral (41.1%) and aortic (37.6%) valves were infected most commonly. The following complications were common: stroke (16.9%), embolization other than stroke (22.6%), heart failure (32.3%), and intracardiac abscess (14.4%). Surgical therapy was common (48.2%), and in-hospital mortality remained high (17.7%). Prosthetic valve involvement (odds ratio, 1.47; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.90), increasing age (1.30; 1.17-1.46 per 10-year interval), pulmonary edema (1.79; 1.39-2.30), S aureus infection (1.54; 1.14-2.08), coagulase-negative staphylococcal infection (1.50; 1.07-2.10), mitral valve vegetation (1.34; 1.06-1.68), and paravalvular complications (2.25; 1.64-3.09) were associated with an increased risk of in-hospital death, whereas viridans streptococcal infection (0.52; 0.33-0.81) and surgery (0.61; 0.44-0.83) were associated with a decreased risk. In the early 21st century, IE is more often an acute disease, characterized by a high rate of S aureus infection. Mortality remains relatively high.

Development of an immunoenzymatic assay using a monoclonal antibody against a 50-kDa catabolite from the P126 Plasmodium falciparum protein to the diagnosis of malaria infection

The WHO criterion of defering any donation of blood by a confirmed case of malaria for three years after cessation of therapy can not be applied in areas where malaria in endemic. For this reason we developed an immunoenzymatic assay for the detection of plasmodial antigens for blood screening in malararial endemic areas. So, we tested sera from 191 individuals. Among patients with active disease 100% of the cases of Plasmodium falciparum or mixed infections and 91.7% of those with P. vivax were positive for the presence of plasmodial antigens. The lower parasitaemia detected was 0.0003% for P. vivax malária. When the frequency of positive circulating malarial antigens was evaluated among asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals with negative TBS, positive results were found in respectively 38.7% and 17.7% of the individuals studied in the 30 days after confirmed malaria attack. Data provide by these assays have shown that ELISA seemed to be more sensitive than parasitological examination for malaria diagnosis. This test by virtue of its high sensivity and the facilities in processing a large number of specimens, can prove to be useful in endemic areas for the recognition of asymptomatic malaria and screening of blood donors.

La psychothérapie comme traité de navigation. Débat entre François Roustang et Nicolas Duruz

Entretien conduit par Bernard Garnger avec François Roustang et Nicolas Duruz, deux auteurs qui ont beaucoup écrit sur la psychothérapie et son évolution.