Efectes del tipus de contracte en l'evolució de la dispersió salarial a Espanya (1995-2002)

Estudi realitzat a partir d’una estada a la Universidad de Alcalà de Henares, Espanya, des de juliol fins desembre del 2006. Es parteix de la constatació de l'existència d'una bretxa salarial a favor dels treballadors que afavoreix als treballadors amb contracte indefinit i dels estudis precedents centrats en la comparació entre individus representatius per a cada col•lectiu, indefinit i temporal. Així, es va plantejar la idea que el diferencial salarial, i els seves causes, poden ser distintes segons el nivell retributiu. Aquesta hipòtesi ha dut a estendre l'estudi de la possible existència de discriminació salarial contra els treballadors temporals al conjunt de la distribució salarial, seguint l’aproximació metodològica suggerida per Jenkins (1994) i amb els extensions a aquestes de Favaro i Magrini (2003) i Del Rio et al. (2004). Paral•lelament, s'ha proposat una descomposició detallada de les diferències salarials mitjanes entre dos grups d'interès en presència d'un procés de selecció relacionat amb el de determinació dels salaris.

Optimism and commitment: An elementary theory of bargaining and war

We propose an elementary theory of wars fought by fully rational contenders. Two parties play a Markov game that combines stages of bargaining with stages where one side has the ability to impose surrender on the other. Under uncertainty and incomplete information, in the unique equilibrium of the game, long confrontations occur: war arises when reality disappoints initial (rational) optimism, and it persist longer when both agents are optimists but reality proves both wrong. Bargaining proposals that are rejected initially might eventually be accepted after several periods of confrontation. We provide an explicit computation of the equilibrium, evaluating the probability of war, and its expected losses as a function of i) the costs of confrontation, ii) the asymmetry of the split imposed under surrender, and iii) the strengths of contenders at attack and defense. Changes in these parameters display non-monotonic effects.

Cambios políticos y evolución de los partidos en Cataluña (1995-2007)

El propósito principal de este trabajo es contribuir a mostrar la evolución de dos de las principales dimensiones del cambio en los partidos políticos: su legitimidad y su fuerza organizativa. Para ello se analiza el caso de los partidos catalanes (PSC, CDC, UDC, ERC, ICV, PP) en un periodo de tiempo relativamente corto (1995-2007), pero caracterizado por un intenso cambio político e institucional. Para mostrar mejor su evolución en términos comparados estas transformaciones se analizan en dos niveles distintos: a nivel de cada partido y a nivel de sistema de partidos. Los resultados sugieren una progresiva erosión del apoyo social de los partidos desde finales de los años noventa que no se ha traducido, por el momento, en una merma de su fuerza organizativa.

Memory in contracts: the experience of the EBRD (1991-2003)

The objective of this paper is to identify the role of memory as a screening device in repeated contracts with asymmetric information in financial intermediation. We use an original dataset from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. We propose a simple empirical method to capture the role of memory using the client's reputation. Our results unambiguously isolate the dominant effect of memory on the bank's lending decisions over market factors in the case of established clients.

Civil war and foreign influence

We study a symmetric information bargaining model of civil war where a third (foreign) party can affect the probabilities of winning the conflict and the size of the post conflict spoils. We show that the possible alliance with a third party makes peaceful agreements difficult to reach and might lead to new commitment problems that trigger war. Also, we argue that the foreign party is likely to induce persistent informational asymmetries which might explain long lasting civil wars. We explore both political and economic incentives for a third party to intervene. The explicit consideration of political incentives leads to two predictions that allow for identifying the influence of foreign intervention on civil war incidence. Both predictions are confirmed for the case of the U.S. as a potential intervening nation: (i) civil wars around the world are more likely under Republican governments and (ii) the probability of civil wars decreases with U.S. presidential approval rates.

The use and limitations of ultrasonography in the diagnosis of liver morbidity attributable to Schistosoma mansoni infection in community-based surveys

The objective of this population-based study was to estimate the liver morbidity attributable to Schistosoma mansoni infection by ultrasonography adopting the proposed standard protocols of the Cairo Meeting on Ultrasonography, 1991. We examined 2384 individuals representing 20 of the households of the rural population of the Ismailia Governorate, East of Delta, Egypt. Prevalence of S. mansoni and S. haematobium infections were 40.3 and 1.7 respectively. Portal tract thickening (PTT) grade 1, 2 and 3 considered diagnostic of schistosomal liver morbidity was detected in 35.1, 1.3 and 0.2 individuals respectively. Generally, ultrasonographically-detected pathological changes increased with age, but correlated with intensity of infection only in age group 20-59 years. Comparing individuals with and without S. mansoni infections in an endemic and a non-endemic community indicated no significant difference between the former and the latter in either case. In conclusion: ultrasonography had a limited value in estimating schistosomal liver morbidity in our population-based study where early grades of liver morbidly were prevalent. The criteria of diagnosing grade I portal fibrosis need to be revised as well as the staging system proposed by the Cairo Meeting on ultrasonography in schistosomiasis.

Ecology of Triatoma rubrovaria (Hemiptera, Triatominae) in wild and peridomestic environments of Uruguay

This paper describes population structure, spatial distribution and habitat selection of wild and peridomestic populations of Triatoma rubrovaria (Blanchard, 1843). Field studies were carried out at Las Piedras and La Bolsa in the Northern Department of Artigas, Uruguay. A semicircular sampling area, divided in seven or eight triangular sectors was sequentially examined from October 1990 to November 1991. At Las Piedras (typical wild habitat) 1063 T. rubrovaria bugs were collected from 84 of the rocky outcroops ("pedregales"). Abundance varied by season peaking in October-November (spring). Throughout the year, most of the population was made up of third, fourth and fifth instar nymphs; adults were found from October to March. In the peridomestic environment of La Bolsa, however T. rubrovaria was less common and showed a more irregular instar distribution. Colonized ecotopes, were those close to houses. In both sites T. rubrovaria was mainly associated with the geckonid Homonota uruguayensis and the cockroach Blaptica dubia.

Fonaments per a una pedagogia de la lectura en l'obra de Marc-Alain Ouaknin: 1991-2000

L'objectiu és revelar la potència pedagògica de l'obra d'Ouaknin (segle XX): 1991-2000. En conseqüència, la hipòtesi conjectura que un seguiment atent dels textos ouakninians pot derivar vers una pedagogia lectora. El mètode, conreat per la filosofia i adient al fenomen lector, és l'hermenèutica de Gadamer. Bàsicament, tres autories influencien el nostre rabí quant a lectura: Arendt (acció), Ricoeur (triple mimesi) i Levinas (fecunditat). Aquesta pedagogia lectora, espaciotemporalitat que facilita una antropologia on l'humà avé qüestionament (quoibilité), situa les modalitats lectores (intencional i vivencial), vehicula els protagonistes (deixeble, mestre i text) i mostra els moviments concomitants (carícia, bibliofarmacologia i ètica)