984 resultados para Statistical inference


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A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

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Statistical models allow the representation of data sets and the estimation and/or prediction of the behavior of a given variable through its interaction with the other variables involved in a phenomenon. Among other different statistical models, are the autoregressive state-space models (ARSS) and the linear regression models (LR), which allow the quantification of the relationships among soil-plant-atmosphere system variables. To compare the quality of the ARSS and LR models for the modeling of the relationships between soybean yield and soil physical properties, Akaike's Information Criterion, which provides a coefficient for the selection of the best model, was used in this study. The data sets were sampled in a Rhodic Acrudox soil, along a spatial transect with 84 points spaced 3 m apart. At each sampling point, soybean samples were collected for yield quantification. At the same site, soil penetration resistance was also measured and soil samples were collected to measure soil bulk density in the 0-0.10 m and 0.10-0.20 m layers. Results showed autocorrelation and a cross correlation structure of soybean yield and soil penetration resistance data. Soil bulk density data, however, were only autocorrelated in the 0-0.10 m layer and not cross correlated with soybean yield. The results showed the higher efficiency of the autoregressive space-state models in relation to the equivalent simple and multiple linear regression models using Akaike's Information Criterion. The resulting values were comparatively lower than the values obtained by the regression models, for all combinations of explanatory variables.

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A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

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A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

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Animal dispersal in a fragmented landscape depends on the complex interaction between landscape structure and animal behavior. To better understand how individuals disperse, it is important to explicitly represent the properties of organisms and the landscape in which they move. A common approach to modelling dispersal includes representing the landscape as a grid of equal sized cells and then simulating individual movement as a correlated random walk. This approach uses a priori scale of resolution, which limits the representation of all landscape features and how different dispersal abilities are modelled. We develop a vector-based landscape model coupled with an object-oriented model for animal dispersal. In this spatially explicit dispersal model, landscape features are defined based on their geographic and thematic properties and dispersal is modelled through consideration of an organism's behavior, movement rules and searching strategies (such as visual cues). We present the model's underlying concepts, its ability to adequately represent landscape features and provide simulation of dispersal according to different dispersal abilities. We demonstrate the potential of the model by simulating two virtual species in a real Swiss landscape. This illustrates the model's ability to simulate complex dispersal processes and provides information about dispersal such as colonization probability and spatial distribution of the organism's path

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Soil penetration resistance (PR) is a measure of soil compaction closely related to soil structure and plant growth. However, the variability in PR hampers the statistical analyses. This study aimed to evaluate the variability of soil PR on the efficiency of parametric and nonparametric analyses in indentifying significant effects of soil compaction and to classify the coefficient of variation of PR into low, medium, high and very high. On six dates, the PR of a typical dystrophic Red Ultisol under continuous no-tillage for 16 years was measured. Three tillage and/or traffic conditions were established with the application of: (i) no chiseling or additional traffic, (ii) additional compaction, and (iii) chiseling. On each date, the nineteen PR data (measured at every 1.5 cm to a depth of 28.5 cm) were grouped in layers with different thickness. In each layer, the treatment effects were evaluated by variance (ANOVA) and Kruskal-Wallis analyses in a completely randomized design, and the coefficients of variation of all analyses were classified (low, intermediate, high and very high). The ANOVA performed better in discriminating the compaction effects, but the rejection rate of null hypothesis decreased from 100 to 80 % when the coefficient of variation increased from 15 to 26 %. The values of 15 and 26 % were the thresholds separating the low/intermediate and the high/very high coefficient variation classes of PR in this Ultisol.

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The fast simultaneous hadronization and chemical freeze-out of supercooled quark-gluon plasma, created in relativistic heavy ion collisions, can lead to the reheating of the expanding matter and to the change in a collective flow profile. We use the assumption of statistical nature of the hadronization process, and study quantitatively the freeze-out in the framework of hydrodynamical Bjorken model with different simple quark-gluon plasma equations of state.

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A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

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The extended Gaussian ensemble (EGE) is introduced as a generalization of the canonical ensemble. This ensemble is a further extension of the Gaussian ensemble introduced by Hetherington [J. Low Temp. Phys. 66, 145 (1987)]. The statistical mechanical formalism is derived both from the analysis of the system attached to a finite reservoir and from the maximum statistical entropy principle. The probability of each microstate depends on two parameters ß and ¿ which allow one to fix, independently, the mean energy of the system and the energy fluctuations, respectively. We establish the Legendre transform structure for the generalized thermodynamic potential and propose a stability criterion. We also compare the EGE probability distribution with the q-exponential distribution. As an example, an application to a system with few independent spins is presented.

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With the advancement of high-throughput sequencing and dramatic increase of available genetic data, statistical modeling has become an essential part in the field of molecular evolution. Statistical modeling results in many interesting discoveries in the field, from detection of highly conserved or diverse regions in a genome to phylogenetic inference of species evolutionary history Among different types of genome sequences, protein coding regions are particularly interesting due to their impact on proteins. The building blocks of proteins, i.e. amino acids, are coded by triples of nucleotides, known as codons. Accordingly, studying the evolution of codons leads to fundamental understanding of how proteins function and evolve. The current codon models can be classified into three principal groups: mechanistic codon models, empirical codon models and hybrid ones. The mechanistic models grasp particular attention due to clarity of their underlying biological assumptions and parameters. However, they suffer from simplified assumptions that are required to overcome the burden of computational complexity. The main assumptions applied to the current mechanistic codon models are (a) double and triple substitutions of nucleotides within codons are negligible, (b) there is no mutation variation among nucleotides of a single codon and (c) assuming HKY nucleotide model is sufficient to capture essence of transition- transversion rates at nucleotide level. In this thesis, I develop a framework of mechanistic codon models, named KCM-based model family framework, based on holding or relaxing the mentioned assumptions. Accordingly, eight different models are proposed from eight combinations of holding or relaxing the assumptions from the simplest one that holds all the assumptions to the most general one that relaxes all of them. The models derived from the proposed framework allow me to investigate the biological plausibility of the three simplified assumptions on real data sets as well as finding the best model that is aligned with the underlying characteristics of the data sets. -- Avec l'avancement de séquençage à haut débit et l'augmentation dramatique des données géné¬tiques disponibles, la modélisation statistique est devenue un élément essentiel dans le domaine dé l'évolution moléculaire. Les résultats de la modélisation statistique dans de nombreuses découvertes intéressantes dans le domaine de la détection, de régions hautement conservées ou diverses dans un génome de l'inférence phylogénétique des espèces histoire évolutive. Parmi les différents types de séquences du génome, les régions codantes de protéines sont particulièrement intéressants en raison de leur impact sur les protéines. Les blocs de construction des protéines, à savoir les acides aminés, sont codés par des triplets de nucléotides, appelés codons. Par conséquent, l'étude de l'évolution des codons mène à la compréhension fondamentale de la façon dont les protéines fonctionnent et évoluent. Les modèles de codons actuels peuvent être classés en trois groupes principaux : les modèles de codons mécanistes, les modèles de codons empiriques et les hybrides. Les modèles mécanistes saisir une attention particulière en raison de la clarté de leurs hypothèses et les paramètres biologiques sous-jacents. Cependant, ils souffrent d'hypothèses simplificatrices qui permettent de surmonter le fardeau de la complexité des calculs. Les principales hypothèses retenues pour les modèles actuels de codons mécanistes sont : a) substitutions doubles et triples de nucleotides dans les codons sont négligeables, b) il n'y a pas de variation de la mutation chez les nucléotides d'un codon unique, et c) en supposant modèle nucléotidique HKY est suffisant pour capturer l'essence de taux de transition transversion au niveau nucléotidique. Dans cette thèse, je poursuis deux objectifs principaux. Le premier objectif est de développer un cadre de modèles de codons mécanistes, nommé cadre KCM-based model family, sur la base de la détention ou de l'assouplissement des hypothèses mentionnées. En conséquence, huit modèles différents sont proposés à partir de huit combinaisons de la détention ou l'assouplissement des hypothèses de la plus simple qui détient toutes les hypothèses à la plus générale qui détend tous. Les modèles dérivés du cadre proposé nous permettent d'enquêter sur la plausibilité biologique des trois hypothèses simplificatrices sur des données réelles ainsi que de trouver le meilleur modèle qui est aligné avec les caractéristiques sous-jacentes des jeux de données. Nos expériences montrent que, dans aucun des jeux de données réelles, tenant les trois hypothèses mentionnées est réaliste. Cela signifie en utilisant des modèles simples qui détiennent ces hypothèses peuvent être trompeuses et les résultats de l'estimation inexacte des paramètres. Le deuxième objectif est de développer un modèle mécaniste de codon généralisée qui détend les trois hypothèses simplificatrices, tandis que d'informatique efficace, en utilisant une opération de matrice appelée produit de Kronecker. Nos expériences montrent que sur un jeux de données choisis au hasard, le modèle proposé de codon mécaniste généralisée surpasse autre modèle de codon par rapport à AICc métrique dans environ la moitié des ensembles de données. En outre, je montre à travers plusieurs expériences que le modèle général proposé est biologiquement plausible.