Experimental design on the simplex

Optimum experimental designs depend on the design criterion, the model andthe design region. The talk will consider the design of experiments for regressionmodels in which there is a single response with the explanatory variables lying ina simplex. One example is experiments on various compositions of glass such asthose considered by Martin, Bursnall, and Stillman (2001).Because of the highly symmetric nature of the simplex, the class of models thatare of interest, typically Scheff´e polynomials (Scheff´e 1958) are rather differentfrom those of standard regression analysis. The optimum designs are also ratherdifferent, inheriting a high degree of symmetry from the models.In the talk I will hope to discuss a variety of modes for such experiments. ThenI will discuss constrained mixture experiments, when not all the simplex is availablefor experimentation. Other important aspects include mixture experimentswith extra non-mixture factors and the blocking of mixture experiments.Much of the material is in Chapter 16 of Atkinson, Donev, and Tobias (2007).If time and my research allows, I would hope to finish with a few comments ondesign when the responses, rather than the explanatory variables, lie in a simplex.ReferencesAtkinson, A. C., A. N. Donev, and R. D. Tobias (2007). Optimum ExperimentalDesigns, with SAS. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Martin, R. J., M. C. Bursnall, and E. C. Stillman (2001). Further results onoptimal and efficient designs for constrained mixture experiments. In A. C.Atkinson, B. Bogacka, and A. Zhigljavsky (Eds.), Optimal Design 2000,pp. 225–239. Dordrecht: Kluwer.Scheff´e, H. (1958). Experiments with mixtures. Journal of the Royal StatisticalSociety, Ser. B 20, 344–360.1

Abnormal cortical network activation in human amnesia: A high-resolution evoked potential study.

Little is known about how human amnesia affects the activation of cortical networks during memory processing. In this study, we recorded high-density evoked potentials in 12 healthy control subjects and 11 amnesic patients with various types of brain damage affecting the medial temporal lobes, diencephalic structures, or both. Subjects performed a continuous recognition task composed of meaningful designs. Using whole-scalp spatiotemporal mapping techniques, we found that, during the first 200 ms following picture presentation, map configuration of amnesics and controls were indistinguishable. Beyond this period, processing significantly differed. Between 200 and 350 ms, amnesic patients expressed different topographical maps than controls in response to new and repeated pictures. From 350 to 550 ms, healthy subjects showed modulation of the same maps in response to new and repeated items. In amnesics, by contrast, presentation of repeated items induced different maps, indicating distinct cortical processing of new and old information. The study indicates that cortical mechanisms underlying memory formation and re-activation in amnesia fundamentally differ from normal memory processing.

Bridging DSGE models and the raw data

A method to estimate DSGE models using the raw data is proposed. The approachlinks the observables to the model counterparts via a flexible specification which doesnot require the model-based component to be solely located at business cycle frequencies,allows the non model-based component to take various time series patterns, andpermits model misspecification. Applying standard data transformations induce biasesin structural estimates and distortions in the policy conclusions. The proposed approachrecovers important model-based features in selected experimental designs. Twowidely discussed issues are used to illustrate its practical use.

Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE): explanation and elaboration.

Much medical research is observational. The reporting of observational studies is often of insufficient quality. Poor reporting hampers the assessment of the strengths and weaknesses of a study and the generalisability of its results. Taking into account empirical evidence and theoretical considerations, a group of methodologists, researchers, and editors developed the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) recommendations to improve the quality of reporting of observational studies. The STROBE Statement consists of a checklist of 22 items, which relate to the title, abstract, introduction, methods, results and discussion sections of articles. Eighteen items are common to cohort studies, case-control studies and cross-sectional studies and four are specific to each of the three study designs. The STROBE Statement provides guidance to authors about how to improve the reporting of observational studies and facilitates critical appraisal and interpretation of studies by reviewers, journal editors and readers. This explanatory and elaboration document is intended to enhance the use, understanding, and dissemination of the STROBE Statement. The meaning and rationale for each checklist item are presented. For each item, one or several published examples and, where possible, references to relevant empirical studies and methodological literature are provided. Examples of useful flow diagrams are also included. The STROBE Statement, this document, and the associated Web site (http://www.strobe-statement.org/) should be helpful resources to improve reporting of observational research.

Exclusion of lumbar arteries by aortic endovascular grafts: can angiography demonstrate sealing characteristics?

BACKGROUND: This study evaluates sealing characteristics of two designs of endovascular grafts by angiographic demonstration of exclusion of porcine lumbar arteries. METHODS: 6 endovascular grafts (3 self-expandable with integrated polyurethane wall versus 3 nitinol structures covered with polyester fabric) were implanted in 6 porcine aortae. Perfusion of lumbar arteries was assessed by angiography after implantation and by angiography and dissection at graft explantation after 4 +/- 2 months. Tissue healing was evaluated by light and scanning electron microscopy. RESULTS: Immediate exclusion of the lumbar arteries was achieved in 14/31 vessels (12 by polyurethane grafts and 2 by polyester grafts, p < 0.001). Follow-up angiography and dissection at explantation revealed perfusion of 30/31 lumbar arteries with a collateral network in most cases. Another reason for reperfusion of initially excluded branches was distention of the polyurethane grafts with resulting shortening allowing reperfusion of 8 of the 31 originally covered branches. Histological examination revealed a complete neointimal lining and a tight contact between endovascular grafts and aorta. CONCLUSIONS: The immediate angiographic demonstration of exclusion of lumbar arteries predicts sealing characteristics of endovascular grafts. Later angiographic reappearance is due to development of a collateral network and possible shortening of self-expandable devices.

Efeito da Sequestração de Intermediários na Eficácia Funcional de Ciclos Metabólicos de Transferência de Grupos

Um Ciclo Metabólico de Transferência de Grupo, CMTG, é um conjunto de reacções químicas acopladas, catalisadas por enzimas, que transfere um grupo químico de um dador para um aceitante, via um intermediário recirculado. No caso minimalista - ciclo referência - o ciclo tem duas reacções. Uma reacção, catalisada por uma enzima de carga, onde o dador transfere o grupo químico para o intermediário, que passa de intermediário descarregado a intermediário carregado. Outra reacção catalisada por uma enzima de descarga, onde o intermediário carregado transfere o grupo para o aceitante. Os CMTG’s exibem diversidade a nível do design, sendo muito comum que o intermediário tanto na forma carregada como na descarregada seja sequestrado. Na primeira parte do trabalho, investiga-se os princípios de design dum CMTG e na segunda parte investiga-se as implicações funcionais da sequestração do intermediário carregado e do desacarregado. Quanto aos princípios de design dum CMTG, concluiu-se, utilizando novos métodos, que para um CMTG funcionar eficazmente, o intermediário deve estar predominantemente na forma carregada, a enzima de carga deve estar saturada com o dador enquanto que a enzima de descarga deve estar saturada com o intermediário carregado e insaturada com o aceitante. A comparação entre os diferentes design’s, mostrou que a sequestração do intermediário carregado tem as seguintes vantagens: • aumenta a tamponização do intermediário carregado com respeito à variações nas variáveis externas • diminui a sensibilidade da concentração do intermediário carregado às actividades enzimáticas • aumenta o acoplamento entre a demanda e o fluxo de fornecimento de grupos para o aceitante. No entanto, a sequestração desse intermediário tem a desvantagem de aumentar o tempo de resposta do ciclo à perturbações.

Efeito da sequestração de Intermediários na Eficácia Funcional de Ciclos Metabólicos de Transferência de Grupos

Um Ciclo Metabólico de Transferência de Grupo, CMTG, é um conjunto de reacções químicas acopladas, catalisadas por enzimas, que transfere um grupo químico de um dador para um aceitante, via um intermediário recirculado. No caso minimalista - ciclo referência - o ciclo tem duas reacções. Uma reacção, catalisada por uma enzima de carga, onde o dador transfere o grupo químico para o intermediário, que passa de intermediário descarregado a intermediário carregado. Outra reacção catalisada por uma enzima de descarga, onde o intermediário carregado transfere o grupo para o aceitante. Os CMTG’s exibem diversidade a nível do design, sendo muito comum que o intermediário tanto na forma carregada como na descarregada seja sequestrado.Na primeira parte do trabalho, investiga-se os princípios de design dum CMTG e na segunda parte investiga-se as implicações funcionais da sequestração do intermediário carregado e do desacarregado. Quanto aos princípios de design dum CMTG, concluiu-se, utilizando novos métodos, que para um CMTG funcionar eficazmente, o intermediário deve estar predominantemente na forma carregada, a enzima de carga deve estar saturada com o dador enquanto que a enzima de descarga deve estar saturada com o intermediário carregado e insaturada com o aceitante. A comparação entre os diferentes design’s, mostrou que a sequestração do intermediário carregado tem as seguintes vantagens: 1)aumenta a tamponização do intermediário carregado com respeito à variações nas variáveis externas 2) diminui a sensibilidade da concentração do intermediário carregado às actividades enzimáticas 3)aumenta o acoplamento entre a demanda e o fluxo de fornecimento de grupos para o aceitante. No entanto, a sequestração desse intermediário tem a desvantagem de aumentar o tempo de resposta do ciclo à perturbações.A sequestração do intermediário descarregado, por seu lado, piora as tamponizações, as sensibilidades e o acoplamento referidos acima. Quanto ao aspecto temporal não se obteve um resultado absoluto do efeito dessa sequestração, mas antes, mostrou-se que o resultado depende do ambiente, pois para certos ambientes melhora o tempo de resposta em relação ao ciclo referência e para outros piora. Concluiu-se que há uma relação de compromisso entre os diferentes aspectos da eficácia funcional. A sequestração do intermediário carregado melhora os aspectos relacionados com propriedades estacionárias, isto é , tamponizações, sensibilidades e outros, enquanto que piora os aspectos temporais. Já a sequestração do intermediário descarregado piora os aspectos relacionados com variações nas propriedades estacionárias.

Planeamento de Experiências: Modelos e desafios dos Planos em Blocos Incompletos

O principal objetivo de um Planeamento de Experiências reside essencialmente na procura de relações entre variáveis e na comparação de níveis de fatores, recorrendo ao tratamento estatístico dos dados recolhidos. A utilização de blocos no Planeamento de Experiências é fundamental, pois permite reduzir ou eliminar a variabilidade introduzida por fatores que podem influenciar a experiência mas que não interessam e/ou não foram explicitamente incluídos durante o planeamento. Neste trabalho apresentamos os resultados do estudo e investigação dos Planos em Blocos Incompletos Equilibrados (BIBD), Planos em Blocos Incompletos Equilibrados com repetição de blocos (BIBDR) e Planos em Blocos Incompletos com blocos de diferentes dimensões (VBBD). Exploramos algumas propriedades e métodos de construção destes planos e ilustramos, sempre que possível, com exemplos. Tendo como base o planeamento em blocos, apresentamos uma aplicação dos BIBDR na área da Educação com o objetivo de comparar cinco domínios do pensamento algébrico de uma amostra de alunos do 1º ano do ensino superior em Cabo Verde. Para a análise dos dados da amostra foi utilizado o software R, versão 2.12.1. Pudemos constatar que existem diferenças significativas entre alguns dos domínios do pensamento algébrico, nomeadamente entre os domínios da Generalização da Aritmética e Tecnicismo Algébrico com os restantes domínios. Recomendamos a escolha de uma amostra mais representativa constituída por alunos de todas as instituições superiores de Cabo Verde.

Costly search and design

Firms compete by choosing both a price and a design from a family of designs thatcan be represented as demand rotations. Consumers engage in costly sequential searchamong firms. Each time a consumer pays a search cost he observes a new offering. Anoffering consists of a price quote and a new good, where goods might vary in the extentto which they are good matches for the consumer. In equilibrium, only two design-styles arise: either the most niche where consumers are likely to either love or loathethe product, or the broadest where consumers are likely to have similar valuations. Inequilibrium, different firms may simultaneously offer both design-styles. We performcomparative statics on the equilibrium and show that a fall in search costs can lead tohigher industry prices and profits and lower consumer surplus. Our analysis is relatedto discussions of how the internet has led to the prevalence of niche goods and the"long tail" phenomenon.

Planeamento de experiências : modelos e desafios dos planos em blocos incompletos

The main purpose of an Experimental Design resides mainly in the search for relationships between variables and in comparing levels of factors, using statistical treatment of collected data. The use of blocks in Experimental Design is essential because it allows reducing or eliminating the variability introduced by factors that can influence the experience but are not of main interest and/or were not explicitly included during experiments. In this work we present the results of the study and research of Balanced Incomplete Block Designs (BIBD), Balanced Incomplete Block Designs with repeated blocks (BIBDR) and the Incomplete Blocks Designs with blocks with different dimensions (VBBD). We explore some properties and construction methods of such designs and illustrate, when possible, with examples. Based on Block Designs, we present an application of BIBDR in Education, with the aim of comparing five domains of algebraic thinking in a sample of 1st year students of higher education in Cape Verde. For the analysis of sample data, the software R was used, version 2.12.1. We observed that significant differences exist between some of the domains of algebraic thinking, especially among the domains of Generalization of Arithmetic and Algebraic Technicality with the remaining areas. For a more representative sample, we recommend a bigger sample consisting of students from all higher institutions of Cape Verde.

Planeamento de experiências : modelos e desafios dos planos em blocos incompletos

The main purpose of an Experimental Design resides mainly in the search for relationships between variables and in comparing levels of factors, using statistical treatment of collected data. The use of blocks in Experimental Design is essential because it allows reducing or eliminating the variability introduced by factors that can influence the experience but are not of main interest and/or were not explicitly included during experiments. In this work we present the results of the study and research of Balanced Incomplete Block Designs (BIBD), Balanced Incomplete Block Designs with repeated blocks (BIBDR) and the Incomplete Blocks Designs with blocks with different dimensions (VBBD). We explore some properties and construction methods of such designs and illustrate, when possible, with examples. Based on Block Designs, we present an application of BIBDR in Education, with the aim of comparing five domains of algebraic thinking in a sample of 1st year students of higher education in Cape Verde. For the analysis of sample data, the software R was used, version 2.12.1. We observed that significant differences exist between some of the domains of algebraic thinking, especially among the domains of Generalization of Arithmetic and Algebraic Technicality with the remaining areas. For a more representative sample, we recommend a bigger sample consisting of students from all higher institutions of Cape Verde.

K. J. Gummerus Osakeyhtiö 10.11.1959 Direktionen

Kirje

Planeamento de experiências : modelos e desafios dos planos em blocos incompletos.

O principal objetivo de um Planeamento de Experiências reside essencialmente na procura de relações entre variáveis e na comparação de níveis de fatores, recorrendo ao tratamento estatístico dos dados recolhidos. A utilização de blocos no Planeamento de Experiências é fundamental, pois permite reduzir ou eliminar a variabilidade introduzida por fatores que podem influenciar a experiência mas que não interessam e/ou não foram explicitamente incluídos durante o planeamento. Neste trabalho apresentamos os resultados do estudo e investigação dos Planos em Blocos Incompletos Equilibrados (BIBD), Planos em Blocos Incompletos Equilibrados com repetição de blocos (BIBDR) e Planos em Blocos Incompletos com blocos de diferentes dimensões (VBBD). Exploramos algumas propriedades e métodos de construção destes planos e ilustramos, sempre que possível, com exemplos. Tendo como base o planeamento em blocos, apresentamos uma aplicação dos BIBDR na área da Educação com o objetivo de comparar cinco domínios do pensamento algébrico de uma amostra de alunos do 1º ano do ensino superior em Cabo Verde. Para a análise dos dados da amostra foi utilizado o software R, versão 2.12.1. Pudemos constatar que existem diferenças significativas entre alguns dos domínios do pensamento algébrico, nomeadamente entre os domínios da Generalização da Aritmética e Tecnicismo Algébrico com os restantes domínios. Recomendamos a escolha de uma amostra mais representativa constituída por alunos de todas as instituições superiores de Cabo Verde

Timing of seasonal sales

We present a model of timing of seasonal sales where stores chooseseveral designs at the beginning of the season without knowingwich one, if any, will be fashionable. Fashionable designs have achance to fetch high prices in fashion markets while non-fashionableones must be sold in a discount market. In the beginning of theseason, stores charge high prices in the hope of capturing theirfashion market. As the end of the season approaches with goods stillon the shelves, stores adjust downward their expectations that theyare carrying a fashionable design, and may have sales to capture thediscount market. Having a greater number of designs induces a storeto put one of them on sales earlier to test the market. Moreover,price competition in the discount market induces stores to startsales earlier because of a greater perceived first-mover advantage incapturing the discount market. More competition, perhaps due todecreases in the cost of product innovation, makes sales occur evenearlier. These results are consistent with the observation that thetrend toward earlier sales since mid-1970's coincides with increasingproduct varieties in fashion good markets and increasing storecompetition.

Design effect and interviewer effects: Evidence from the Spanish ESS3-2006 Data

In 2007 the first Quality Enhancement Meeting on sampling in the European SocialSurvey (ESS) took place. The discussion focused on design effects and inteviewereffects in face-to-face interviews. Following the recomendations of this meeting theSpanish ESS team studied the impact of interviewers as a new element in the designeffect in the response s variance using the information of the correspondent SampleDesign Data Files. Hierarchical multilevel and cross-classified multilevel analysis areconducted in order to estimate the amount of responses variation due to PSU and tointerviewers for different questions in the survey. Factor such as the age of theinterviewer, gender, workload, training and experience and respondent characteristicssuch as age, gender, renuance to participate and their possible interactions are alsoincluded in the analysis of some specific questions like trust in politicians and trustin legal system . Some recomendations related to future sampling designs and thecontents of the briefing sessions are derived from this initial research.