Havaintojärjestelmäkokeet numeerisessa sään ennustamisessa

Sään ennustamisessa tärkeä työväline on numeerinen säämalli, jossa ilmakehän tilan kuvaaminen perustuu niin sanottujen perusyhtälöiden ratkaisemiseen. Niiden avulla lasketaan tuulen nopeuden, ilmanpaineen, lämpötilan ja kosteuden muutokset pienin aika-askelin eteenpäin. Numeerinen säämalli tarvitsee lähtötiedokseen laadultaan hyviä havaintoja ilmakehän todellisesta tilasta. Joka vuorokausi kymmenet in-situ- ja kaukohavaintojärjestelmät tekevät havaintoja ilmakehästä sen pintakerroksesta ylärajaan asti. Pelkät havainnot eivät kuitenkaan riitä antamaan tarpeeksi tarkkoja lähtötietoja säämallille. Ongelman ratkaisu on data-assimilaatiojärjestelmä. Se yhdistää laatukontrollin läpikäyneen havaintotiedon ja mallitiedon, jota kutsutaan ennakkokentäksi, ja luo niiden avulla analyysin ilmakehän todellisesta tilasta. Havaintojärjestelmäkokeiden (OSE) avulla testataan havaintojärjestelmien vaikutuksia data-assimilaatiojärjestelmän tuottamien analyysien ja niistä tuotettujen sääennusteiden laatuun. OSE:n avulla selvitetään, kuinka hyvin saatavilla olevia havaintoja käytetään hyväksi, tai kannattaako jokin uusi havaintojärjestelmä ottaa mukaan operatiiviseen ennustusjärjestelmään. Tämän tutkielman aluksi tutustutaan lyhyesti numeerisiin säämalleihin, havaintojärjestelmiin ja dataassimilaatiojärjestelmiin, minkä jälkeen tehdään yleinen kirjallisuuskatsaus havaintojärjestelmäkokeiden suorittamisesta. Sen jälkeen keskitytään Doppler-säätutkan tuottamien tutkasäteen suuntaisten tuulen nopeushavaintojen hyödyntämiseen rajoitetun alueen HIRLAM-säämallissa, mitä on tutkittu viime vuosina Ilmatieteen laitoksessa (IL). Kaukohavaintojärjestelmien käyttö on lisääntynyt viime vuosien aikana kehittyneiden analyysimenetelmien ansiosta. Tavanomaisten in-situ- havaintojärjestelmien raju vähentäminen dataassimilaatiossa ei näytä kuitenkaan vielä olevan mahdollista. Kaukohavainnot ovat useiden OSE-kokeiden perusteella parantaneet analyysiä ja ennusteita erityisesti alueilla, joissa tavanomainen havaintoverkosto on harva. Tutkatuulihavaintojen on ajateltu tuovan parannuksia rajoitetun alueen säämalleihin, sillä niiden avulla saadaan tärkeää lisätietoa tuulen ageostrofisista ominaisuuksista. Sen johdosta pienen mittakaavan sääilmiöiden kuten meri- ja rinnetuulien ennustettavuuden toivotaan paranevan. IL:ssa on kehitetty tutkatuulihavaintojen käsittely- ja mallintamismenetelmiä, minkä jälkeen on suoritettu OSE Suomen tutkaverkoston tuulihavainnoilla aikavälille 1.-29.2.2008 HIRLAMin operatiiviselle 3D-VAR dataassimilaatiojärjestelmälle. Kyseisen OSE:n aineisto on saatu käyttöön tähän tutkielmaan. Kontrolliassimilaatiossa CON ovat mukana kaikki operatiiviset havaintojärjestelmät ja koeassimilaatioon RAD_ALL on syötetty myös tutkatuulihavainnot. Tässä tutkielmassa OSE:n tulokset todennetaan TEMP-tuulihavaintojen avulla tutkimalla ennakkokentän ja analyysin harhaa sekä satunnaisvirhettä. Tulosten perusteella tutkatuulihavainnot parantavat ennakkokenttää ja analyysiä erityisesti keskitroposfäärissä, mutta alatroposfäärissä vaikutus analyysiin on lähes neutraali. Koska tutkatuulihavainnot ulottuvat n. 4-6 km korkeuteen, ne eivät vaikuta ylätroposfäärin analyysiin. Tulokset eivät kuitenkaan ole tilastollisen testin perusteella tilastollisesti merkitseviä. Parhaimmillaan RAD_ALLassimilaation voidaan osoittaa olevan CON-assimilaatiota parempi 20% merkitsevyystasolla. Lopuksi suoritettu tapaustutkimus osoittaa, että tutkatuulihavaintojen vaikutus näkyy tuulen nopeuden analyysi-inkrementtikentässä sekä jossain määrin myös lyhyessä 12h pintapaine-ennusteessa Suomen alueella. Tapaustutkimuksen perusteella tutkatuulihavaintojen vaikutus analyysiin ja ennusteeseen näyttäisi olevan lähes neutraali. OSE:n toistaminen kesäkuukaudelle voisi olla hyödyllistä, koska talvella ei esiinny esimerkiksi merituulia. Tämän tutkielman tulosten perusteella tutkatuulihavaintojen käyttäminen HIRLAMin 3D-VAR assimilaatiojärjestelmässä on hyödyllistä. Avainsanat – Nyckelord – Keywords Havaintojärjestelmäkoe, data-assimilaatio, Doppler-tutkatuulihavainto Säilytyspaikka – Förvaringställe – Where deposited Kumpulan tiedekirjasto

Long waves in inviscid compressible atmosphere II

Solitary waves have been found in an adiabatic compressible atmosphere which, in ambient state, has winds and temperature gradient, generalizing our earlier results for the isothermal atmosphere. Explicit results are obtained for the special case of linear temperature and linear wind distributions in the undisturbed conditions. An important result of the study is that the number of possible critical speeds of the flow depends crucially on whether the maximum Richardson number (which is variable in the present example) is greater or less than 1/4.

Huffman Binary Coding of WLN Symbols for File-Compression

Construction of Huffman binary codes for WLN symbols is described for the compression of a WLN file. Here, a parenthesized representation of the tree structure is used for computer encoding.

Magmatic evolution of topaz-bearing granite stocks within the Wiborg rapakivi granite batholith

This study brings new insights into the magmatic evolution of natural F-enriched peraluminous granitic systems. The Artjärvi, Sääskjärvi and Kymi granite stocks within the 1.64 Ga Wiborg rapakivi granite batholith have been investigated by petrographic, geochemical, experimental and melt inclusion methods. These stocks represent late-stage leucocratic and weakly peraluminous intrusive phases typical of rapakivi granites worldwide. The Artjärvi and Sääskjärvi stocks are multiphase intrusions in which the most evolved phase is topaz granite. The Kymi stock contains topaz throughout and has a well-developed zoned structure, from the rim to the center: stockscheider pegmatite equigranular topaz granite porphyritic topaz granite. Geochemically the topaz granites are enriched in F, Li, Be, Ga, Rb, Sn and Nb and depleted in Mg, Fe, Ti, Ba, Sr, Zr and Eu. The anomalous geochemistry and mineralogy of the topaz granites are essentially magmatic in origin; postmagmatic reactions have only slightly modified the compositions. The Kymi equigranular topaz granite shows the most evolved character, and the topaz granites at Artjärvi and Sääskjärvi resemble the less evolved porphyritic topaz granite of the Kymi stock. Stockscheiders are found at the roof contacts of the Artjärvi and Kymi stocks. The stockscheider at Artjärvi is composed of biotite-rich schlieren and pegmatite layers parallel to the contact. The schlieren layering is considered to have formed by velocity-gradient sorting mechanism parallel to the flow, which led to the accumulation of mafic minerals along the upper contact of the topaz granite. Cooling and contraction of the topaz granite formed fractures parallel to the roof contact and residual pegmatite magmas were injected along the fractures and formed the pegmatite layers. The zoned structure of the Kymi stock is the result of intrusion of highly evolved residual melt from deeper parts of the magma chamber along the fractured contact between the porphyritic granite crystal mush and country rock. The equigranular topaz granite and marginal pegmatite (stockscheider) crystallized from this evolved melt. Phase relations of the Kymi equigranular topaz granite have been investigated utilizing crystallization experiments at 100 to 500 MPa as a function of water activity and F content. Fluorite and topaz can crystallize as liquidus phases in F-rich peraluminous systems, but the F content of the melt should exceed 2.5 - 3.0 wt % to facilitate crystallization of topaz. In peraluminous F-bearing melts containing more than 1 wt % F, topaz and muscovite are expected to be the first F-bearing phases to crystallize at high pressure, whereas fluorite and topaz should crystallize first at low pressure. Overall, the saturation of fluorite and topaz follows the reaction: CaAl2Si2O8 (plagioclase) + 2[AlF3]melt = CaF2 (fluorite) + 2Al2SiO4F2 (topaz). The obtained partition coefficient for F between biotite and glass D(F)Bt/glass is 1.89 to 0.80 (average 1.29) and can be used as an empirical fluormeter to determine the F content of coexisting melts. In order to study the magmatic evolution of the Kymi stock, crystallized melt inclusions in quartz and topaz grains in the porphyritic and the equigranular topaz granites and the marginal pegmatite were rehomogenized and analyzed. The homogenization conditions for the melt inclusions from the granites were 700 °C, 300 MPa, and 24 h, and for melt inclusions from the pegmatite, 700 °C, 100 MPa, and 24/96 h. The majority of the melt inclusions is chemically similar to the bulk rocks (excluding H2O content), but a few melt inclusions in the equigranular granite show clearly higher F and low K2O contents (on average 11.6 wt % F, 0.65 wt % K2O). The melt inclusion compositions indicate coexistence of two melt fractions, a prevailing peraluminous and a very volatile-rich, possibly peralkaline. Combined petrological, experimental and melt inclusion studies of the Kymi equigranular topaz granite indicate that plagioclase was the liquidus phase at nearly water-saturated (fluid-saturated) conditions and that the F content of the melt was at least 2 wt %. The early crystallization of biotite and the presence of muscovite in crystallization experiments at 200 MPa contrasts with the late-stage crystallization of biotite and the absence of muscovite in the equigranular granite, indicating that crystallization pressure may have been lower than 200 MPa for the granite.

Natural frequencies of circumferentially truncated sector plates with simply supported straight edges

The classical Rayleigh-Ritz method in conjunction with suitable co-ordinate transformations is found to be effective for accurate estimation of natural frequencies of circumferentially truncated circular sector plates with simply supported straight edges. Numerical results are obtained for all the nine combinations of clamped, simply supported and free boundary conditions at the circular edges and presented in the form of graphs. The analysis confirms an earlier observation that the plate behaves like a long rectangular strip as the width of the plate in the radial direction becomes small.

Open-circuit potential-time transient of the magnesium anode

On interrupting polarisation, the magnesium anode exhibits a negative overshoot in potential followed by a slow recovery to a steady state value. A model has been proposed to explain the opencircuit potential-time transient in terms of a spontaneous passivation of the metal and the consequent changes in the corrosion potential. Theoretical expressions have been derived for the timedependence of the open-circuit electrode potential. Calculated, potential-time curves thus obtained are in qualitative agreement with experimental data. A possible application of this phenomenon to develop non-destructive quality control tests of Mg, Li and Al-based dry cells has been pointed out.

Papers relating to the Ladies Benevolent Society

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Green and brown bridges between weeds and crops reveal novel Diaporthe species in Australia

Diaporthe (syn. Phomopsis) species are well-known saprobes, endophytes or pathogens on a range of plants. Several species have wide host ranges and multiple species may sometimes colonise the same host species. This study describes eight novel Diaporthe species isolated from live and/or dead tissue from the broad acre crops lupin, maize, mungbean, soybean and sunflower, and associated weed species in Queensland and New South Wales, as well as the environmental weed bitou bush (Chrysanthemoides monilifera subsp. rotundata) in eastern Australia. The new taxa are differentiated on the basis of morphology and DNA sequence analyses based on the nuclear ribosomal internal transcribed spacer region, and part of the translation elongation factor-1α and ß-tubulin genes. The possible agricultural significance of live weeds and crop residues ('green bridges') as well as dead weeds and crop residues ('brown bridges') in aiding survival of the newly described Diaporthe species is discussed.

The jump in vorticity across a shock wave in relativistic hydrodynamics

Using the singular surface theory, an expression for the jump in vorticity across a shock wave of arbitrary shape propagating in a uniform, perfect fluid occupying the space-time of special relativity, has been derived. It has been shown that the jump in vorticity across a shock of given strength and curvature depends only on the velocity of the medium ahead of the shock.

Going bush: Preparing pre-service teachers to teach in regional Western Australia

This paper reports on outcomes of Phases One and Two of the ALTC Competitive Research and Development Project "Developing Strategies at the Pre-Service Level to Address Critical Teacher Attraction and Retention Issues in Australian Rural, Regional and Remote Schools." This project funded over two years aims to strengthen the capacity and credibility of universities to prepare rural, regional and remote educators, similar to the capacity and credibility that has been created in preparing Australia's rural, regional and remote health workers. There is a strong recognition of the fundamental importance of quality teaching experiences rural, regional and remote schools and throughout this project over 200 pre-service teachers have participated in a curriculum module/object and completed a survey that encourages them to consider teaching in regional Western Australia. The project has mapped current Western Australian rural, regional and remote pre-service teacher education curriculum and field experience model. This mapping completed a comparison of national information with the identification of rural, regional and remote education curriculum and/or field experience models used nationally and internationally. In particular results from Phase One and Two will be presented reporting on the findings of the first year of the project.

A novel method of current efficiency determination

A simple and rapid method, based on the open-circuit decay of potential, is described for the determination of the current efficiency with which metals are electrodeposited. The advantages and disadvantages of the method are discussed.

Positive associations of serum Perfluoroalkyl substances with uric acid and hyperuricemia in children from Taiwan

To investigate the risk of hyperuricemia in relation to Perfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) in children from Taiwan, 225 Taiwanese children aged 12-15 years were recruited from 2009 to 2010. Linear and logistic regression models were employed to examine the influence of PFASs on serum uric acid levels. Findings revealed that eight of ten PFASs analyses were detected in > 94% of the participants' serum samples. Multivariate linear regression models revealed that perfluorooctanic acid (PFOA) was positively associated with serum uric acid levels (β=0.1463, p<0.05). Of all the PFASs analyses, only PFOA showed a significant effect on elevated levels of hyperuricemia (aOR=2.16, 95%CI: 1.29-3.61). When stratified by gender, the association between serum PFOA and uric acid levels was only evident among boys (aOR=2.76, 95%CI: 1.37-5.56). In conclusion, PFOA was found to be associated with elevated serum levels of uric acid in Taiwanese children, especially boys. Further research is needed to elucidate these links.

An object-centred approach to encourage online participation in the context of behaviour change

Online groups rely on contributions from their members to flourish, but in the context of behaviour change individuals are typically reluctant to participate actively before they have changed successfully. We took inspiration from CSCW research on objects to address this problem by shifting the focus of online participation from the exchange of personal experiences to more incidental interactions mediated by objects that offer support for change. In this article we describe how we designed, deployed and studied a smartphone application that uses different objects, called distractions and tips, to facilitate social interaction amongst people trying to quit smoking. A field study with 18 smokers revealed different forms of interaction: purely instrumental interactions with the objects, subtle engagement with other users through receptive and covert interactions, as well as explicit interaction with other users through disclosure and mutual support. The distraction objects offered a stepping-stone into interaction, whereas the tips encouraged interaction with the people behind the objects. This understanding of interaction through objects complements existing frameworks of online participation and adds to the current discourse on object-centred sociality. Furthermore, it provides an alternative approach to the design of online support groups, which offers the users enhanced control about the information they share with other users. We conclude by discussing how researchers and practitioners can apply the ideas of interaction around objects to other domains where individuals may have a simultaneous desire and reluctance to interact.

BRCA1 and BRCA2 germline mutation analysis among Indian women from south India: identification of four novel mutations and high-frequency occurrence of 185delAG mutation

Mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes profoundly increase the risk of developing breast and/or ovarian cancer among women. To explore the contribution of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations in the development of hereditary breast cancer among Indian women, we carried out mutation analysis of the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes in 61 breast or ovarian cancer patients from south India with a positive family history of breast and/or ovarian cancer. Mutation analysis was carried out using conformation-sensitive gel electrophoresis (CSGE) followed by sequencing. Mutations were identified in 17 patients (28.0%); 15 (24.6%) had BRCA1 mutations and two (3.28%) had BRCA2 mutations. While no specific association between BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutations with cancer type was seen, mutations were more often seen in families with ovarian cancer. While 40% (4/10) and 30.8% (4/12) of families with ovarian or breast and ovarian cancer had mutations, only 23.1% (9/39) of families with breast cancer carried mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes. In addition, while BRCA1 mutations were found in all age groups, BRCA2 mutations were found only in the age group of <= 40 years. Of the BRCA1 mutations, there were three novel mutations (295delCA; 4213T -> A; 5267T -> G) G) and three mutations that have been reported earlier. Interestingly, 185delAG, a BRCA1 mutation which occurs at a very high frequency in Ashkenazi Jews, was found at a frequency of 16.4% (10/61). There was one novel mutation (4866insT) and one reported mutation in BRCA2. Thus, our study emphasizes the importance of mutation screening in familial breast and/or ovarian cancers, and the potential implications of these findings in genetic counselling and preventive therapy.