The economic situation

This is a quarterly newsletter on the economy written by Senior Fellow Bruce Yandle, Clemson Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus and Interim Dean of Clemson's College of Business & Behavioral Science. The newsletter provides an analysis of national, regional, and state economic trends and activity. Each issue gives an update on GDP growth, interest rate trends, and comments on major events that affect the economic outlook.

The economic situation

This is a quarterly newsletter on the economy written by Senior Fellow Bruce Yandle, Clemson Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus and Interim Dean of Clemson's College of Business & Behavioral Science. The newsletter provides an analysis of national, regional, and state economic trends and activity. Each issue gives an update on GDP growth, interest rate trends, and comments on major events that affect the economic outlook.

The economic situation

This is a quarterly newsletter on the economy written by Senior Fellow Bruce Yandle, Clemson Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus and Interim Dean of Clemson's College of Business & Behavioral Science. The newsletter provides an analysis of national, regional, and state economic trends and activity. Each issue gives an update on GDP growth, interest rate trends, and comments on major events that affect the economic outlook.

The economic situation

This is a quarterly newsletter on the economy written by Senior Fellow Bruce Yandle, Clemson Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus and Interim Dean of Clemson's College of Business & Behavioral Science. The newsletter provides an analysis of national, regional, and state economic trends and activity. Each issue gives an update on GDP growth, interest rate trends, and comments on major events that affect the economic outlook.

The economic situation

This is a quarterly newsletter on the economy written by Senior Fellow Bruce Yandle, Clemson Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus and Interim Dean of Clemson's College of Business & Behavioral Science. The newsletter provides an analysis of national, regional, and state economic trends and activity. Each issue gives an update on GDP growth, interest rate trends, and comments on major events that affect the economic outlook.

The economic situation

This is a quarterly newsletter on the economy written by Senior Fellow Bruce Yandle, Clemson Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus and Interim Dean of Clemson's College of Business & Behavioral Science. The newsletter provides an analysis of national, regional, and state economic trends and activity. Each issue gives an update on GDP growth, interest rate trends, and comments on major events that affect the economic outlook.

SC INFORMATION LETTER #16-4 (revised)

The interest rate to be applied to underpayments and overpayments of taxes is listed. The rate is compounded daily except simple interest applies to the underpayment of declaration of estimated tax.

The economic situation

This is a quarterly newsletter on the economy written by Senior Fellow Bruce Yandle, Clemson Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus and Interim Dean of Clemson's College of Business & Behavioral Science. The newsletter provides an analysis of national, regional, and state economic trends and activity. Each issue gives an update on GDP growth, interest rate trends, and comments on major events that affect the economic outlook.

The economic situation

This is a quarterly newsletter on the economy written by Senior Fellow Bruce Yandle, Clemson Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus and Interim Dean of Clemson's College of Business & Behavioral Science. The newsletter provides an analysis of national, regional, and state economic trends and activity. Each issue gives an update on GDP growth, interest rate trends, and comments on major events that affect the economic outlook.

The Influence of Age and Size on Family-Owned Firms’ Financing Decisions: Empirical Evidence Using Panel Data

Based on four samples of Portuguese family-owned firmsdi) 185 young, low-sized family-owned firms; ii) 167 young, high-sized familyowned firms; iii) 301 old, low-sized family-owned firms; and iv) 353 old, high-sized family-owned firms d we show that age and size are fundamental characteristics in family-owned firms’ financing decisions. The multiple empirical evidence obtained allows us to conclude that the financing decisions of young, low-sized family-owned firms are quite close to the assumptions of Pecking Order Theory, whereas those of old, high-sized family-owned firms are quite close to what is forecast by Trade-Off Theory. The lesser information asymmetry associated with greater age, the lesser likelihood of bankruptcy associated with greater size, as well as the lesser concentration of ownership and management consequence of greater age and size, may be especially important in the financing decisions of family-owned firms. In addition, we find that GDP, interest rate and periods of crisis have a greater effect on the debt of young, low-sized family-owned firms than on that of family-owned firms of the remainder research samples.

A controversial debate between financial speculation and changes in agricultural commodity spot prices

Some research works state that speculation with agricultural commodities on the futures market has risen agricultural commodity spot prices. This research work analyzes the causal relationships between spot prices of corn, wheat, and soybean and agricultural commodity futures trading activities. These causal relationships between agricultural commodity spot prices and financial variables are tested for Granger-causality. Model results show that causal relationships have been found among changes in “volume traded” and “open positions” of futures contracts and changes in spot prices for corn. These results do not show that financial speculation might be a major driver of rising agricultural commodity prices.

Increasing Derivatives Market Activity in Emerging Markets and Exchange Rate Exposure

Understanding the effects of off-balance sheet transactions on interest and exchange rate exposures has become more important for emerging market countries that are experiencing remarkable growth in derivatives markets. Using firm level data, we report a significant fall in exposure over the past 10 years and relate this to higher derivatives market participation. Our methodology is composed of a three stage approach: First, we measure foreign exchange exposures using the Adler-Dumas (1984) model. Next, we follow an indirect approach to infer derivatives market participation at the firm level. Finally, we study the relationship between exchange rate exposure and derivatives market participation. Our results show that foreign exchange exposure is negatively related to derivatives market participation, and support the hedging explanation of the exchange rate exposure puzzle. This decline is especially salient in the financial sector, for bigger firms, and over longer time periods. Results are robust to using different exchange rates, a GARCH-SVAR approach to measure exchange rate exposure, and different return horizons.

Open and closed positions and stock index futures volatility

In this paper we analyze the relationship between volatility in index futures markets and the number of open and closed positions. We observe that, although in general both positions are positively correlated with contemporaneous volatility, in the case of S&P 500, only the number of open positions has influence over the volatility. Additionally, we observe a stronger positive relationship on days characterized by extreme movements of these contracting movements dominating the market. Finally, our findings suggest that day-traders are not associated to an increment of volatility, whereas uninformed traders, both opening and closing their positions, have to do with it.