1000 resultados para Erros de estimativa
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Pós-graduação em Bases Gerais da Cirurgia - FMB
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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
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O objetivo deste artigo é contribuir com os questionamentos acerca do ensino da Matemática nas séries iniciais do ensino fundamental apresentando um “olhar” diferente e positivo aos erros em Matemática dos alunos no sentido em que os mesmos possam ser tomados como recurso metodológico e re-orientador da prática pedagógica por parte dos professores. Para tanto, este artigo apresenta uma fundamentação teórica sobre o erro, perpassando por uma breve incursão histórica acerca das pesquisas envolvendo essa temática no mundo e aponta quando esse tema começou a ser tratado no Brasil. Aborda também a questão da cultura avaliativa que acomete os professores e os agentes escolares. Palavras-chave: Erros em Matemática; Avaliação em Matemática; Prática Pedagógica.
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O presente trabalho apresenta equações de estimativa da radiação fotossinteticamente ativa global () e difusa () em função das respectivas radiações global () e difusa () do espectro solar total, bem como a estimativa da fração PAR difusa da PAR global () em função do índice de transmissividade atmosférica (). A base de dados foi adquirida no período de 01/06/1999 a 31/09/2000 na Estação de Radiometria Solar da FCA-UNESP, Botucatu. Foram utilizados dados adicionais, diferentes dos utilizados na geração dos modelos, de forma a possibilitar uma validação adequada dos modelos propostos.
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Pós-graduação em Bases Gerais da Cirurgia - FMB
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Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Energia na Agricultura) - FCA
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As regiões escolhidas para o estudo são importantes no cenário citrícola irrigado, tanto em expansão quanto em atuação. Os dados meteorológicos utilizados para as estimativas são integrantes do banco de dados climáticos do software IRRIPLUS®. Com este software, estimou-se a evapotranspiração de referência (ETo) diária, utilizando as metodologias propostas por Penman-Monteith (EToPM), Hargreaves & Samani (EToHG) e Blaney-Criddle-FAO (EToBC), para o período de um ano. O objetivo deste estudo foi comparar os métodos de estimativa com EToPM, utilizando parâmetros de regressão (β0, β1), coeficiente de determinação (r²), e correlação (r), estimativa do erro-padrão (SEE), índices de concordância (d) e confiança (c). Os resultados indicam tendência de EToHG à superestimativa dos valores de ETo, exceto na região de Jaú, e subestimativa por EToBC, para todas as regiões estudadas. Nos valores mensais de ETo, os três métodos apresentam a mesma distribuição. O método de EToHG apresenta-se como uma excelente alternativa na estimativa de consumo de água pela cultura.
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The estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) subsidizes the calculations of water consumption in irrigated agriculture. The use of simpler methodologies are common however should be carefully studied. The present study evaluated the sensitivity of the Hargreaves -Samani equation compared to the standard Penman-Monteith -FAO to estimate ETo for the climatic conditions of the Bebedouro-SP region, simulating the effects of increasing and decreasing 5 % in the temperatures, resulting in ten different scenarios (PM -Penman-Montheit -FAO; S0 -original Hargreaves Samani; S1 to S8 -modified Hargreaves Samani). The obtained results of sensitivity, linear regression, accuracy and concordance index, were compared. We concluded that the Hargreaves -Samani equation overestimates the monthly values of the ETo in 13% compared to the standard method. A variation of 5% in maximum and minimum temperatures resulted in errors of up to 1 mm day-1 (monthly average) and this increase is more expressive in maximum temperature.
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Poultry facilities must provide an environment that ensures thermal comfort allowing the animal to express its genetic potential for production; and new tools are being applied to measure the thermal comfort, especially thermal cameras. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association of the surface temperature of the birds with those from the facilities, and estimate the sensible heat transfer. For this, the thermal conditions of rearing in two aviaries with different ventilation systems, during the period of March to April 2011 were recorded. The aviaries were divided into six quadrants for the registration of surface temperatures obtained using an infrared thermal camera. In each quadrant the ambient temperature, relative humidity and wind velocity during the obtention of images were also recorded. It was observed that the surface temperatures of birds are associated with the surface temperature of the rearing facilities (side curtains, roof and litter). In aviary with negative pressure higher wind speeds compared to the conventional one were recorded and; therefore, allowed a higher sensible heat transfer by birds, suggesting that this provided better conditions for thermal comfort.
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Leaf area estimate may contribute to understand the relationships of interference among weeds and crops. The objective of this research was to obtain a mathematical equation to estimate the leaf area of Euphorbia heterophylla based on linear measures of the leaf blade. Correlation studies were carried out using the real leaf area and leaf length (C) and the maximum leaf width (L) of 200 leaf blades which were collected from several agroecosystems at Universidade Estadual Paulista in Jaboticabal, SP, Brazil. The evaluated statistic models were: linear Y = a + bx; simple linear Y = bx; geometric Y = ax b; and exponential Y = ab x. All of the evaluated models can be used for E. heterophylla leaf area estimation. The simple linear regression model is suggested using C*L and taking the linear coefficient equal to zero. Thus, an estimate of the leaf area of E. heterophylla can be obtained using the equation Af' = 0.6816*(C*L).
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The objective of this study was to obtain a mathematical equation to estimate the leaf area of Panicum maximum using linear measures of leaf blade. Correlation studies were conducted involving the real leaf area (Sf), the main vein leaf length (C), and the maximum leaf width (L). The linear and geometric equations related to C provided good leaf area estimates. For practical reasons, the use of an equation involving only the C*L product is suggested. Thus, an estimate of P. maximum leaf area can be obtained by the equation Sf = 0.6058 (C*L), with the coefficient of determination R = 0.8586.
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Pós-graduação em Medicina Veterinária - FCAV
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Pós-graduação em Química - IBILCE
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The aim of this research was to estimate the skeletal growth and development by observingradiographically the morphological changes of the first, second and third cervical vertebrae, according to the method proposed by Hassel &Farman32 (1995) in patients who were going through the outbreak of pubertal growth. The radiographic inspection of the cervical vertebrae was performed by means of cephalometric radiographs and the outbreak of pubertal growth was identified through the events of ossification of the hand and wrist. For that purpose, we selected thecephalometric radiographs and hand•wrist radiographs of 110 Brazilianleukoderms, male and female,with chronological age ranging from 8 to 14,6 years old for the girls and from 9,5 to 15,4 years old for the boys.The results showed that there was a statistically significant correlation between the maturation indicators of the cervical vertebrae and the patients who were going through the outbreak of pubertal growth. The conclusion was that the radiographic evalution of the changes of the cervical vertebrae, in the cephalometric radiographs, is an alternative parameter, which is reliable and practical in the skeletal evalution, and the it completes the range of information that must be obtained from the patient under orthodontic treatment and that it can, circumstantially, replace other methods of evalution