977 resultados para Elicitation, Expert Opinion, Regression


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This paper investigates the use of ensemble of predictors in order to improve the performance of spatial prediction methods. Support vector regression (SVR), a popular method from the field of statistical machine learning, is used. Several instances of SVR are combined using different data sampling schemes (bagging and boosting). Bagging shows good performance, and proves to be more computationally efficient than training a single SVR model while reducing error. Boosting, however, does not improve results on this specific problem.

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BACKGROUND: We assessed the impact of a multicomponent worksite health promotion program for0 reducing cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF) with short intervention, adjusting for regression towards the mean (RTM) affecting such nonexperimental study without control group. METHODS: A cohort of 4,198 workers (aged 42 +/- 10 years, range 16-76 years, 27% women) were analyzed at 3.7-year interval and stratified by each CVRF risk category (low/medium/high blood pressure [BP], total cholesterol [TC], body mass index [BMI], and smoking) with RTM and secular trend adjustments. Intervention consisted of 15 min CVRF screening and individualized counseling by health professionals to medium- and high-risk individuals, with eventual physician referral. RESULTS: High-risk groups participants improved diastolic BP (-3.4 mm Hg [95%CI: -5.1, -1.7]) in 190 hypertensive patients, TC (-0.58 mmol/l [-0.71, -0.44]) in 693 hypercholesterolemic patients, and smoking (-3.1 cig/day [-3.9, -2.3]) in 808 smokers, while systolic BP changes reflected RTM. Low-risk individuals without counseling deteriorated TC and BMI. Body weight increased uniformly in all risk groups (+0.35 kg/year). CONCLUSIONS: In real-world conditions, short intervention program participants in high-risk groups for diastolic BP, TC, and smoking improved their CVRF, whereas low-risk TC and BMI groups deteriorated. Future programs may include specific advises to low-risk groups to maintain a favorable CVRF profile.

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Creació d'un sistema d'anàlisi de patrons socials a partir de comportaments predictius de la nostra base de coneixement.

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Les lesions per cremades comporten conseqüències a nivell físic, psicològic i social. Les intervencions psicosocials per aquests pacients estan valorades de forma positiva però manquen estudis fets a l’Estat Espanyol. Les intervencions de pacient expert estan donant resultats positius en moltes patologies cròniques però no n’existeix cap per aquest tipus de lesions cròniques. L’objectiu d’aquest estudi és comprendre la utilitat d’una intervenció de pacient expert a pacients d’entre 18 i 30 anys que han patit lesions per cremades recentment. Es realitzaran 9 sessions de pacient expert des de la perspectiva bio-psicosocial. El grup focal serà un grup de 8-10 pacients de 18 a 30 anys amb un mínim del 15% de superfície corporal cremada de grau 2n profund o 3r, residents a Barcelona o rodalies. Les dades s’analitzaran per mètode mixt amb enfocament dominant qualitatiu. La recollida de dades s’obtindrà d’entrevistes, testos i anotacions realitzades prèvia a la primera sessió, al finalitzar les 9 sessions i als 6 mesos de la última sessió. Les limitacions de l’estudi són: el risc de pèrdua dels membres del grup focal a causa del retorn a la vida laboral i l’heterogeneïtat del grup en la fase d’acceptació, principis i valors personals que podrien desviar els resultats.

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Objectiu general: desenvolupament del Programa Pacient Expert en obesitat. Objectius específics: es basaran amb el compliment de la dieta i l’activitat física, les mesures fisiològiques, la capacitat d’autogestió i el grau de satisfacció. Metodologia: - Àmbit d’estudi: Atenció Primària en Salut. - Disseny: estudi quantitatiu de tipus assaig clínic aleatoritzat. - Participants: adults amb obesitat. - Obtenció de dades: per l’anàlisi de variància per mesures repetides, l’anàlisi del discurs i l’observació estructurada. Limitacions de l’estudi: possible buit de dades per la pèrdua de participants o per la falta de continuïtat d’aquests.

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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 8.564

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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 8.656

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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 8.440

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Collection : Les archives de la Révolution française ; 8.415

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Introduction: Biological. therapy has dramatically changed management of Crohn's disease (CD). New data have confirmed the benefit and relative long-term safety of anti-TNF alpha inhibition as part of a regular scheduled administration programme. The EPACT appropriateness criteria for maintenance treatment after medically-induced remission (MIR) or surgically-induced remission (SIR) of CD thus required updating. Methods: A multidisciplinary international expert panel (EPACT II, Geneva, Switzerland) discussed and anonymously rated detailed, explicit clinical indications based on evidence in the literature and personal expertise. Median ratings (on a 9-point scale) were stratified into three assessment categories: appropriate (7-9), uncertain (4-6 and/or disagreement) and inappropriate (1-3). Experts ranked appropriate medication according to their own clinical practice, without any consideration of cost. Results: Three hundred and ninety-two specific indications for maintenance treatment of CD were rated (200 for MIR and 192 for SIR). Azathioprine, methotrexate and/or anti-TNF alpha antibodies were considered appropriate in 42 indications, corresponding to 68% of all appropriate interventions (97% of MIR and 39% of SIR). The remaining appropriate interventions consisted of mesalazine and a "wait-and-see" strategy. Factors that influenced the panel's voting were patient characteristics and outcome of previous treatment. Results favour use of anti-TNF alpha agents after failure of any immunosuppressive therapy, while earlier primary use remains controversial. Conclusion: Detailed explicit appropriateness criteria (EPACT) have been updated for maintenance treatment of CD. New expert recommendations for use of the classic immunosuppressors as well as anti-TNF alpha agents are now freely available online (www.epact.ch). The validity of these criteria should now be tested by prospective evaluation. (C) 2009 European Crohn's and Colitis Organisation. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.