A comparative analysis by means of quantum molecular similarity measures of density distributions derived from conventional ab initio and density functional methods

A procedure based on quantum molecular similarity measures (QMSM) has been used to compare electron densities obtained from conventional ab initio and density functional methodologies at their respective optimized geometries. This method has been applied to a series of small molecules which have experimentally known properties and molecular bonds of diverse degrees of ionicity and covalency. Results show that in most cases the electron densities obtained from density functional methodologies are of a similar quality than post-Hartree-Fock generalized densities. For molecules where Hartree-Fock methodology yields erroneous results, the density functional methodology is shown to yield usually more accurate densities than those provided by the second order Møller-Plesset perturbation theory

Proximal tibia volumetric bone mineral density is correlated to the magnitude of local acceleration in male long distance runners.

Introduction: The beneficial effect of physical exercise on bone mineral density (BMD) is at least partly explained by the forces exerted directly on the bones. Male runners present generally higher BMD than sedentary individuals. We postulated that the proximal tibia BMD is related to the running distance as well as to the magnitude of the shocks (while running) in male runners. Methods: A prospective study (three yearly measurements) included 81 healthy male subjects: 16 sedentary lean subjects and three groups of runners (5-30 km/week, n=19; 30-50 km/week, n=29; 50-100 km/week, n=17). Several measurements were performed at the proximal tibia level: volumetric BMD (vBMD), cortical index (CI) i.e. an index of cortical bone thickness and peak accelerations (an index of shocks during heel strike) while running (measured by a 3-D accelerometer). A general linear model assessed the prediction of vBMD or CI by a) simple effects (running distance, peak accelerations, time) and b) interactions (for instance if vBMD prediction by peak acceleration depends on running distance). Results: CI and vBMD a) increase with running distance to reach a plateau over 30 km/wk, b) are positively associated with peak accelerations over 30 km/week. Discussion: Running may be associated with high peak accelerations in order to have beneficial effects on BMD. More important strains are needed to be associated with the same increase in BMD during running sessions of short duration than those of long duration. Conclusion: CI and vBMD are associated with the magnitude of the shocks during heel strike in runners. Key words: Bone mineral density, strains, physical exercise, running distance.

Petrology and chemistry of the Chalten Plutonic Complex and implications on the magmatic and tectonic evolution of the Southernmost Andes (Patagonia) during the Miocene

Résumé Scientific:Pétrologie et Géochimie du Complexe Plutonique de Chaltén et les conséquences pour l'évolution magmatique et tectonique du Andes du Sud (Patagonia) pendant le MiocèneLe sujet de cette thèse est le Complexe Plutonique de Chaltén (CHPC), situé à la frontière entre le Chili et l'Argentine, en Patagonie (49°15'S). Ce complexe s'est mis en place au début du Miocène, dans un contexte de changements tectoniques importants. La géométrie et la vitesse de migration des plaques en Patagonie a été modifiée suite l'ouverture de la plaque Farallon il y a 25Ma (Pardo-Casas and Molnar 1987) et la subduction de la ride active du Chili sous la plaque sud-américaine il y a 14Ma (Cande and Leslie 1986). Les effets de cette reconfiguration tectonique sur la morphologie et le magmatisme de la plaque supérieure sont encore sujets à discussion. Dans ce contexte, un groupe d'intrusions miocènes - telle que le CHPC - est particulièrement intriguant, car en position transitionnelle entre le batholithe patagonien et l'arc volcanique cénozoïque et récent à l'ouest, et les laves de plateau de Patagonie à l'est (Fig. 1). A cause de leur position tectonique transitoire, ces plutons isolés hors du batholithe représentent un endroit clé pour comprendre les interactions entre la tectonique à large échelle et le magmatisme en Patagonie. Ici, je présente de nouvelles données de terrain, petrologiques, géochimiques et géochronologiques dans le but de caractériser la nature du CHPC, qui était largement inconnu avant cette étude, dans le but de tester l'hypothèse de migration de l'arc et erosion par subduction.Les résultats de l'investigation géochimique (chapitre 2) montrent que le CHPC n'est qu'un exemple parmi les plutons isolés d'arrière arc ave une composition calco-alcaline caractéristique, c-à-d une signature d'arc. La plupart de ces plutons isolés ont une composition alcaline. Le CHPC, contrairement, a une signature calco-alcaline avec Κ intermédiaire, tel que le batholithe patagonien et la plupart des roches volcaniques quaternaires liées à l'arc le long des Andes.De nouvelles données géochronologiques U-Pb de haute précision sur des zircons, acquis par TIMS, sur le CHPC donnent des âges entre 17.0 et 16.4Ma. Les âges absolus sont en accord avec la séquence intrusive déduite des relations de terrain (chapitre 1). Ces données sont les premières contraintes d'âge U-Pb sur le CHPC. Elles montrent clairement que l'histoire magmatique du CHPC n'a pas de lien direct avec la subduction de la ride à cette latitude (Cande and Leslie 1986), car le complexe est au moins 6Ma plus ancien.Une comparaison en profondeur avec les autres intrusions d'âge Miocène en Patagonie révèlent - pour la première fois - une évolution temporelle intéressante. Il y a une tendance E-W distincte au magmatisme calco-alcalin entre 20-16Ma avec une diminution de l'âge vers l'est - le CHPC est l'expression la plus orientale de cette tendance. Je suggère que la relation espace-temps reflète une migration vers l'est (vers le continent) de l'arc magmatique. Je propose que le facteur principal contrôlant cette migration est la subduction rapide suite à la reconfiguration de la vitesse des plaques tectoniques après l'ouverture la plaque Farallon (à ~26Ma) qui résulterait en une déformation importante ainsi qu'à des taux élevés d'érosion dans la fosse de subduction.Les rapports d'isotopes radiogéniques (Pb, Sr, Nd) élevés, une signature 6018 basse et un rapport Th/La élevé sont des paramètres distinctifs pour les roches mafiques du CHPC. Le modèle isotopique présenté (chapitre 2) suggère que cette signature reflète une contamination de la source, dans le coin de manteau, plutôt qu'une contamination crustale. La signature des éléments en trace du CHPC indiquent que le coin de manteau a été contaminé par des composés terrigènes, le plus vraisemblablement par des sédiments paléozoïques.Les travaux de terrain, la pétrographie et la géothermobarométrie ont été utilisés dans le but de comprendre l'histoire interne du CHPC (chapitre 3). Ces données suggèrent deux niveaux distincts de cristallisation : l'un dans la croûte moyenne (6 à 4.5kbar) et l'autre à un niveau peu profond (3.5 à 2kbar). La modélisation isotopique AFC de la contamination crustale indique des taux variables d'assimilation, qui ne sont pas corrélés avec le degré de différenciation. Cela suggère que différents volumes de magma se sont différenciés en profondeur, de façon indépendante. Cela implique que le CHPC se serait formés en plusieurs puises de magmas provenant d'au moins trois sources différentes. Les textures des granodiorites et des granites indiquent des teneurs élevées en cristaux avant la mise en place et, par conséquent, des températures d'emplacement faibles. Les observations de terrain montrent que les roches mafiques sont déformées, alors que ce n'est pas le cas pour les granodiorites et granites (plus jeunes). La déformation des roches mafiques est encore sujet de recherche, afin de savoir si elle est liée à la déformation régionale en régime compressif ou à l'emplacement lui-même. Cependant, la mise en place de grand volume de magma felsique riche en cristaux suggère un régime d'extension.Scientific Abstract:Petrology and chemistry of the Chaltén Plutonic Complex and implications on the magmatic and tectonic evolution of the Southernmost Andes (Patagonia) during the MioceneThe subject of this thesis is the Chaltén Plutonic Complex (CHPC) located at the frontier between Chile and Argentina in Patagonia (at 49° 15 'Southern latitude). This complex intruded during early Miocene in a context of major tectonics changes. The plate geometry of Patagonia has been modified by changes in the plate motions after the break up of the Farallôn plate at 25Ma (Pardo-Casas and Molnar 1987) and by the subduction of the Chile spreading Ridge beneath South-America at 14 Ma (Cande and Leslie 1986). The effects of this tectonic setting on the morphology and the magmatism of the overriding plate are a matter of on-going discussion. Particularly intriguing in this context is a group of isolated Miocene intrusions - like the CHPC - which are located in a transitional position between the Patagonian Batholith and the Cenozoic and Recent volcanic arc in the West, and the Patagonian plateau lavas in the East (Fig. 1). Due to their transient tectonic position these isolated plutons outside the batholith represent a key to understanding the interaction between global-scale tectonics and magmatism in Patagonia. Here, I present new field, penological, geochemical and geochronological data to characterize the nature of the CHPC, which was largely unknown before this study, in order to test the hypothesis of time- transgressive magmatism.The results of the geochemical investigation (Chapter 2) show that the CHPC is only one among these isolated back-arc plutons with a characteristic calc-alkaline composition, i.e. arc signature. Most of these isolated intrusives have an alkaline character. The CHPC, in contrast, has a medium Κ calc-alkaline signature, like the Patagonian batholith and most of the Quaternary arc-related volcanic rocks along the Andes.New high precision TIMS U-Pb zircon dating of the CHPC yield ages between 17.0 to 16.4 Ma. The absolute ages support the sequence of intrusion relations established in the field (Chapter 1). These data are the first U-Pb age constraints on the CHPC, and clearly show that the magmatic history of CHPC has no direct link to the subduction of the ridge, since this complex is at least 6 Ma older than the time of collision of the Chile ridge at this latitude (Cande and Leslie 1986).An in-depth comparison with other intrusion of Miocene age in Patagonia reveals - for the first time - an interesting temporal pattern. There is a distinct E-W trend of calc-alkaline magmatism between 20-16 Ma with the younging of ages in the East - the CHPC is the easternmost expression of this trend. I suggest that this time-space relation reflects an eastward (landward) migration of the magmatic arc. I propose that main factor controlling this migration is the fast rates of subduction after the major reconfigurations of the plate tectonic motions after the break up of the Farallôn Plate (at -26 ) resulting in strong deformation and high rates of subduction erosion.High radiogenic isotope ratios (Pb, Sr, Nd) ratios, low 5018 signature and high Th/La ratios in mafic rocks are distinctive features of the CHPC. The presented isotopic models (Chapter 2) suggest that this signature reflects source contamination of the mantle wedge rather than crustal contamination. The trace element signature of the CHPC indicates that the mantle wedge was contaminated with a terrigenous component, most likely from Paleozoic sediments.Fieldwork, petrography and geothermobarometry were used to further unravel the internal history of the CHPC (Chapter 3). These data suggest two main levels of crystallization: one a mid crustal levels (6 to 4.5 kbar) and other a shallow level (3.5 to 2 kbar). Isotopic AFC modeling of crustal contamination indicate variable rates of assimilation, which are not correlated with the degree of differentiation. This suggests that different batches of magma differentiate independently at depths. This implies that the CHPC would have formed by several pulses of magmas from at least 3 different sources. Textures of granodiorites and granites indicate a high content of crystals previous to the emplacement and consequently low emplacement temperatures. Field observations show that the mafic rocks are deformed, whereas the (younger) granodiorites and granites are not. It is still subject of investigation whether the deformation of the mafic rocks is related to regional deformation during a compressional regime or to the emplacement it self. However, the emplacement of huge amount of crystal rich felsic magmas suggests an extensional regime.Résumé Grand PublicPétrologie et Géochimie du Complexe Plutonique de Chaltén et les conséquences pour l'évolution magmatique et tectonique du Andes du Sud (Patagonia) pendant le MiocèneLe Complexe Plutonique de Chaltén (CHPC) est un massif montagneux situé à 49°S à la frontière entre le Chili et l'Argentine, en Patagonie (région la plus au sud de l'Amérique du Sud). Il est composé de montagnes qui peuvent atteindre plus de 3000 mètres d'altitude, telles que le Cerro Fitz Roy (3400m) et le Cerro Torre (3100m). Ces montagnes sont composées de roches plutoniques, c.-à-d. des magmas qui se sont refroidis et ont cristallisés sous la surface terrestre.La composition chimique de ces roches montre que les magmas, qui ont formé ce complexe plutonique, font partie d'un volcanisme d'arc. Celui-ci se forme lorsqu'une plaque océanique plonge sous une plaque continentale. Les géologues appellent ce processus « subduction ». Dans un tel scénario, le manteau terrestre, qui se fait prendre entre ces deux plaques, fond pour former ainsi du magma. Ce magma remonte à travers la plaque continentale vers la surface. Si celui-ci atteint la surface, il forme les roches volcaniques, comme par exemple des laves. S'il n'atteint pas la surface, le magma se refroidit pour former finalement les roches plutoniques.Le long de la marge ouest d'Amérique du Sud, la plaque Nazca - qui se situe au sud-est de la plaque océanique pacifique - passe en dessous de la plaque d'Amérique du Sud. La bordure ouest du sud de la plaque sud-américaine a également été affectée par d'autres processus tectoniques, tels que des changements dramatiques dans les déplacements de plaques (il y a 25Ma) et la collision de la ride du Chili (depuis 15 Ma jusqu'à aujourd'hui). Ces caractéristiques tectoniques et magmatiques font de cette région un haut lieu pour les géologues. La plaque Nazca, s'est formée suite à l'ouverture d'une plaque océanique plus ancienne, il y a 25Ma. Cette ouverture est liée aux vitesses de subduction les plus rapides jamais connues. La ride du Chili est l'endroit où le sol de l'Océan Pacifique s'ouvre, formant deux plaques océaniques : les plaques Nazca et Antarctique. La ride du Chili subducte sous la plaque sud-américaine depuis 15Ma, en association avec la formation de grands volumes de magma ainsi que des changements morphologiques importants. La question de savoir lequel de ces changements tectoniques globaux affecte la géologie et la géographie de Patagonie a été, et est encore, discutée pendant de nombreuses années. De nombreux chercheurs suggèrent que la plupart des caractéristiques morphologiques et magmatiques en Patagonie sont liés à la subduction de la ride du Chili, mais cette suggestion est encore débattue comme le montre notre étude.Le batholithe de Patagonie du sud (SPB) est un énorme massif composé de roches plutoniques et il s'étend tout au long de la côte ouest de Patagonie (au sud de 47°S). Ces roches correspondent certainement aux racines d'un ancien arc volcanique, qui a été soulevé et érodé. Le CHPC, ainsi que d'autres petites intrusions dans la région, se situe dans une position exotique, à 100km à l'est du SPB. Certains chercheurs suggèrent que ces intrusions pourraient être liées à la subduction de la ride du Chili.Afin de débattre de cette problématique, nous avons utilisé différentes méthodes géochronologiques pour déterminer l'âge du CHPC et le comparer (a) à l'âge des roches intrusives similaires du SPB et (b) à l'âge de la collision de la ride du Chili. Dans ce travail, nous prouvons que le CHPC s'est formé au moins 7Ma avant la collision avec la ride du Chili. Sur la base des âges du CHPC et de la composition chimique de ses roches et minéraux, nous proposons que le CHPC fait partie d'un arc volcanique ancien. La migration de l'arc volcanique plus profondément dans le continent résulte de la grande vitesse de subduction entre 25 et lOMa. Des caractéristiques évidentes pour un tel processus - telles qu'une déformation importante et une vitesse d'érosion élevée - peuvent être rencontrées tout au long de la bordure ouest de l'Amérique du sud.

Predicting global change impacts on plant species' distributions: Future challenges

Given the rate of projected environmental change for the 21st century, urgent adaptation and mitigation measures are required to slow down the on-going erosion of biodiversity. Even though increasing evidence shows that recent human-induced environmental changes have already triggered species' range shifts, changes in phenology and species' extinctions, accurate projections of species' responses to future environmental changes are more difficult to ascertain. This is problematic, since there is a growing awareness of the need to adopt proactive conservation planning measures using forecasts of species' responses to future environmental changes. There is a substantial body of literature describing and assessing the impacts of various scenarios of climate and land-use change on species' distributions. Model predictions include a wide range of assumptions and limitations that are widely acknowledged but compromise their use for developing reliable adaptation and mitigation strategies for biodiversity. Indeed, amongst the most used models, few, if any, explicitly deal with migration processes, the dynamics of population at the "trailing edge" of shifting populations, species' interactions and the interaction between the effects of climate and land-use. In this review, we propose two main avenues to progress the understanding and prediction of the different processes A occurring on the leading and trailing edge of the species' distribution in response to any global change phenomena. Deliberately focusing on plant species, we first explore the different ways to incorporate species' migration in the existing modelling approaches, given data and knowledge limitations and the dual effects of climate and land-use factors. Secondly, we explore the mechanisms and processes happening at the trailing edge of a shifting species' distribution and how to implement them into a modelling approach. We finally conclude this review with clear guidelines on how such modelling improvements will benefit conservation strategies in a changing world. (c) 2007 Rubel Foundation, ETH Zurich. Published by Elsevier GrnbH. All rights reserved.

Linguistic and maternal genetic diversity are not correlated in native mexicans

Mesoamerica, defined as the broad linguistic and cultural area from middle southern Mexico to Costa Rica, might have played a pivotal role during the colonization of theAmerican continent. It has been suggested that the Mesoamerican isthmus could have played an important role in severely restricting prehistorically gene flow between North and SouthAmerica. Although the Native American component has been already described in admixedMexican populations, few studies have been carried out in native Mexican populations. In thisstudy we present mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) sequence data for the first hypervariable region (HVR-I) in 477 unrelated individuals belonging to eleven different native populations from Mexico. Almost all the Native Mexican mtDNAs could be classified into the four pan-Amerindian haplogroups (A2, B2, C1 and D1); only three of them could be allocated to the rare Native American lineage D4h3. Their haplogroup phylogenies are clearly star-like, as expected from relatively young populations that have experienced diverse episodes of genetic drift (e.g. extensive isolation, genetic drift and founder effects) and posterior population expansions. In agreement with this observation is the fact that Native Mexican populations show a high degree of heterogeneity in their patterns of haplogroup frequencies. HaplogroupX2a was absent in our samples, supporting previous observations where this clade was only detected in the American northernmost areas. The search for identical sequences in the American continent shows that, although Native Mexican populations seem to show a closer relationship to North American populations, they cannot be related to a single geographical region within the continent. Finally, we did not find significant population structure on the maternal lineages when considering the four main and distinct linguistic groups represented in our Mexican samples (Oto-Manguean, Uto-Aztecan, Tarascan, and Mayan), suggesting that genetic divergence predates linguistic diversification in Mexico.

Optimum power allocation for parallel Gaussian channels with arbitrary input distributions

The mutual information of independent parallel Gaussian-noise channels is maximized, under an average power constraint, by independent Gaussian inputs whose power is allocated according to the waterfilling policy. In practice, discrete signalling constellations with limited peak-to-average ratios (m-PSK, m-QAM, etc) are used in lieu of the ideal Gaussian signals. This paper gives the power allocation policy that maximizes the mutual information over parallel channels with arbitrary input distributions. Such policy admits a graphical interpretation, referred to as mercury/waterfilling, which generalizes the waterfilling solution and allows retaining some of its intuition. The relationship between mutual information of Gaussian channels and nonlinear minimum mean-square error proves key to solving the power allocation problem.

Introduced ants in Galápagos (Floreana Island) : importance of competition, coexistence and agressive behaviors

Abstract Invasive species represent with fragmentation of habitat the most serious threats to biodiversity in the world. Galápagos Archipelago, as most oceanic islands, suffers a high rate of introduced animals and plants that affect equilibrium and biodiversity of this unique biota. Ants rank among the most devastating invaders. Their social organization confer them a high ability to adapt and to spread in new environments forming rapidly populous communities. We studied the ant community of Floreana Island composed mainly of introduced species (at least 1 S). Introduction events occurred successively during last century. The last record is Monomorium destructor arrived in the eighties. Our aim is to investigate the modalities of interaction and coexistence of these introduced species. We highlighted the competition hierarchy of the coexisting species using attractive food baits. Two species behave as competitively dominant by monopolizing an important part of resources. They are M. destructor restricted to a small area and the fire ant Solenopsis geminata widely distributed on the island. Then we evaluated the relative importance of abiotic factors and interspecific competition in structuring the community. Ecological data were collected and presence and abundance of species were estimated using different methods in a wide range of habitats. Several species showed preferences either for arid or for humid areas. The little fire ant Wasmannia auropunctata, awell-known devastating species when introduced, was exclusively found in moist habitat in and around the agricultural area situated in the upper and central part of thé island. It coexists with other species in several parts but in a restricted perimeter it excludes all other ants and worker's density on the ground is nearly 70 times higher than ant's density in similar habitats occupied by several species. But most opportunist tramp species establish everywhere without particular ecological requirement. Analyses of species co-occurrences at various levels didn't reveal any marked effect of competition in structuring ant's assemblages. We supposed that the lack ofcompetition-derived structure has to be attributed to the dynamic of the system. Indeed, across the successive census of 1996, 2003, 2004 and 2005, species distributions and abundances appeared to be highly variables. In particular harsh conditions occurring in dry season in certain parts seem to be limiting to S. geminatai. We suggest that huge variations in the local distribution of the dominant S. geminata disrupt the community organization. Finally we conducted artificial ant confrontations to evaluate to what extend an aggressive behavior at the worker level maybe linked to the ecological success of a species on the island. S. geminata was rather indifferent when confronted to a submissive species on food sources, suggesting that its competitive dominance is largely due to a numerical superiority. On the other hand M. destructor exhibits a strong agonistic behavior in similar confrontations. As soon as the presence of a competitor is detected, most workers were observed to abandon foraging and to take part in physical aggressions. Since it is still restricted nearby its introduction spot two decades after its arrival, we suggest that the energetic cost of such an aggressive behavior prevent it to spread on that island already highly colonized. Dominant invasive species such as the fire ants S. geminata and W. auropunctata have negative impacts on Galápagos fauna, disturbing the hatching of land tortoises and birds. But very little is known about the impact of other exotic ants. Indeed, impact on arthropods and generally on ground-dwelling organisms is very diffcult to evaluate. As a consequence of the dynamic character of Floreana I. ant community it is difficult to build models or to málce predictions on evolution of introduced ant fauna. But Camponotus macilentus, an abundant endemic species seems today to be little affected by introduced ant species thanks to its strong interference competition ability and its preference for arid and harsh environments. Résumé Les espèces envahissantes représentent, avec la fragmentation du paysage, la plus grande menace pour la biodiversité. L'archipel des Galápagos, comme la plupart des îles du Pacifique, compte un grand nombre d'espèces introduites qui menacent la biodiversité de ce milieu unique.. Les fourmis sont parmi les envahisseurs les plus dévastateurs. Leur organisation sociale leur permet de s'adapter et de se propager pour devenir rapidement abondantes. Nous avons étudié la communauté de fourmis sur l'île de Floreana principalement composée d'espèces introduites (au moins 15). Les introductions se sont succédées au cours du siècle précédent. La dernière espèce recensée est Monomorium destructor introduite dans les années 80. Notre objectif est de mettre à jour les modalités des interactions et de la coexistence de ces espèces introduites. Nous avons mis en évidence la hiérarchie de compétition des différentes espèces à l'aide d'appâts de nourriture. Deux espèces se comportent de façon dominante en monopolisant une part importante des ressources. Ce sont M. destructor, restreintes à un petit périmètre, et la fourmi de feu Solenopsis geminata, largement distribuée sur l'île. Nous avons évalué l'importance relative des facteurs abiotiques et de la compétition interspécifique dans la structuration des peuplements. Des données écologiques ont été collectées et la présence et l'abondance des espèces ont été estimées à l'aide de trois méthodes au sein d'une grande diversité d'habitats. Plusieurs espèces .montrent des préférences soit pour les milieux humides, soit pour les milieux arides. La petite fourmi de feu Wasmannia auropunctata, une espèce connue pour être dévastatrice dans ses sites d'introduction, est présente exclusivement dans les habitats humides dans et à proximité de la zone agricole située dans la partie centrale de l'île. Elle coexiste en plusieurs points avec d'autres espèces mais au sein d'un périmètre restreint elle exclut toute autre fourmi et atteint des densités record au sol presque 70 fois supérieures aux densités de fourmis observées sur les sites voisins occupés par plusieurs espèces. Mais la plupart des espèces vagabondes opportunistes s'établissent partout sans exigences écologiques particulières. Des analyses de cooccurrence d'espèces à plusieurs niveaux n'ont pas révélé de rôle marqué de la compétition dans la structuration des communautés. Nous supposons que l'absence d'une telle structure doit être attribuée à la dynamique du système. En effet, au cours des différents recensements de 1996-1997, 2003, 2004 et 2005, la distribution et l'abondance des espèces était très variable. En particulier, les conditions rudes qui règnent dans la zone aride durant la saison sèche semblent affecter particulièrement S. geminata. Nous suggérons que de fortes variations dans la distribution de l'espèce dominante perturbent l'orgaiùsation des communautés. Finalement nous avons effectué des confrontations artificielles pour évaluer dans quelle mesure un comportement agressif au niveau de l'ouvrière peut être lié au succès écologique d'une espèce sur l'île. S. geminata montre très peu de réaction face à une espèce subordonnée sur une même source de nourriture, ce qui laisse supposer que sa dominance est largement due à sa supériorité numérique. Par contre, dans des conditions similaires, M. destructor est fortement agressive. En présence d'un compétiteur, la plupart des ouvrières renoncent très vite à leur activité de fourragement pour agresser les individus de l'autre espèce. Puisque deux décennies après son introduction elle est toujours confinée à son point d'arrivée, nous supposons que le coût en énergie et en ouvrières de ce comportement très agressif est un obstacle à son expansion sur cette île déjà fortement colonisée. Les espèces envahissantes dominantes comme les fourmis de feu S. geminata et W. auropunctata sont connues pour leur impact négatif sur la faune des Galápagos, entre autre sur les jeunes des tortues terrestres et des oiseaux. Mais nous savons très peu de choses sur l'impact des autres espèces de fourmis introduites. En effet, l'impact sur les arthropodes, et plus généralement sur la faune du sol, est très difficile à évaluer. En raison du caractère dynamique de la communauté de fourmi de Floreana, il est difficile de construire des modèles et de faire des prédictions sur l'évolution des peuplements de fourmis introduites. Mais Camponotus macilentus, une espèce endémique abondante, semble aujourd'hui peu affectée par les espèces introduites grâce à ses capacités de compétition par interférence et sa préférence pour les milieux arides. Resumen Las, especies invasoras representan, junto con la fragmentación del paisaje, la mayor amenaza para la biodiversidad. El archipiélago de Galápagos, como la mayoría de las islas del Pacífico, cuenta con un gran número de especies introducidas que amenazan la biodiversidad de este lugar único. Las hormigas son uno de los invasores más devastadores. Su organización social les permite adaptarse y propagarse para ser rápidamente abundante. Estudiamos la comunidad de hormigas de la isla Floreana principalmente compuesta de especies introducidas (al menos 15). Las introducciones se sucedieron durante el siglo anterior. La última especie contabilizada es Monomorium destructor introducida en los años 80. Nuestro objetivo es poner al día las modalidades de las interacciones y de la coexistencia de estas especies introducidas. Pusimos de relieve la jerarquía de competencia de las distintas especies con ayuda de cebos de comida. Dos especies se implican de manera dominante monopolizando una parte importante de los recursos. Son M. destructor, limitado a un pequeño perímetro, y la hormiga de fuego Solenopsis geminata; ampliamente distribuida por la isla. Evaluamos la importancia relativa de los factores abióticos y de la competencia interespecífica en la estructuración de la communidad. Se recogieron algunos datos ecológicos y se consideraron la presencia y la abundancia de las especies con ayuda de tres métodos en una gran diversidad de hábitats. Varias especies muestran preferencias o por los medios húmedos, o por los medios áridos. La pequeña hormiga de fuego Wasmannia auropunctata, una especie conocida por ser devastadora en sus lugares de introducción, está presente exclusivamente en los hábitats húmedos y cerca de la zona agrícola situada en la parte central de la isla. Coexiste en varios puntos con otras especies pero en un perímetro limitado excluye a cualquier otra hormiga y alcanza densidades en el suelo casi 70 veces superiores a las densidades de hormigas observadas en los lugares vecinos ocupados por varias especies. Pero la mayoría de las especies vagabundas oportunistas se establecen por todas partes sin exigencias ecológicas particulares. Análisis de cooccurrencía de las especies a varios niveles no revelaron una grande importancía de la competencia en la estructuración de las comunidades. Suponemos que la ausencia de tal estructura Bebé ser por la dinámica del sistema. Efectivamente, durante los distintos censos de 1996-1997, 2003,.2004 y 2005, la distribución ? la abundancia de las especies eran muy variables. En particular, las condiciones drásticas que reinan en la zona árida durante la temporada seca parecen afectar especialmente a S. geminata. Sugerimos que fuertes variaciones en la distribución de la especie dominante perturben la organización de las comunidades. Finalmente efectuamos confrontaciones artificiales para evaluar hastá que punto un comportamiento agresivo a nivel de la obrera puede explicar el éxito ecológico de una especie en la isla. S. geminata muestra muy poca reacción ante una especie subordinada mientras comparten la misma comida, lo que deja suponer que su dominancia se debe a su superioridad numérica. Por el contrario, en condiciones similares, M. destructor es muy agresivo. En presencia de otra especie, la mayóría de las obreras renuncian muy rápidamente a alimentarse para atacar a los individuos de la otra especie. Puesto que dos décadas después de su introducción todavía se confina en su punto de llegada, suponemos que el coste en energía y en obreras de este comportamiento muy agresivo es un obstáculo a su extensión en esta isla ya muy colonizada. Las especiés invasoras dominantes como las hormigas de fuego S. geminata y W. auropunctata son conocidas por su impacto negativo en la fauna de Galápagos, entre otras cosas sobre los juveniles de las tortugas terrestres y pájaros. Pero sabemos muy poco sobre el impacto de las otras especies de hormigas introducidas. Efectivamente es muy difïcil de evaluar el impacto en los artrópodos, y más generalmente en la fauna del suelo. Debido al carácter dinámico de la comunidad de hormiga de Floreana, es diEcil construir modelos y hacer predicciones sobre la evolución de las poblaciones de hormigas introducidas. Pero Camponotus macilentus, una especie endémica abundante, parece poco afectadá hoy por las especies introducidas gracias a sus capacidades de competencia por interferencia y su preferencia por los medios áridos.

Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions.

Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly proposed to support conservation decision making. However, evidence of SDMs supporting solutions for on-ground conservation problems is still scarce in the scientific literature. Here, we show that successful examples exist but are still largely hidden in the grey literature, and thus less accessible for analysis and learning. Furthermore, the decision framework within which SDMs are used is rarely made explicit. Using case studies from biological invasions, identification of critical habitats, reserve selection and translocation of endangered species, we propose that SDMs may be tailored to suit a range of decision-making contexts when used within a structured and transparent decision-making process. To construct appropriate SDMs to more effectively guide conservation actions, modellers need to better understand the decision process, and decision makers need to provide feedback to modellers regarding the actual use of SDMs to support conservation decisions. This could be facilitated by individuals or institutions playing the role of 'translators' between modellers and decision makers. We encourage species distribution modellers to get involved in real decision-making processes that will benefit from their technical input; this strategy has the potential to better bridge theory and practice, and contribute to improve both scientific knowledge and conservation outcomes.

The role of biotic interactions in shaping distributions and realised assemblages of species: implications for species distribution modelling.

Predicting which species will occur together in the future, and where, remains one of the greatest challenges in ecology, and requires a sound understanding of how the abiotic and biotic environments interact with dispersal processes and history across scales. Biotic interactions and their dynamics influence species' relationships to climate, and this also has important implications for predicting future distributions of species. It is already well accepted that biotic interactions shape species' spatial distributions at local spatial extents, but the role of these interactions beyond local extents (e.g. 10 km(2) to global extents) are usually dismissed as unimportant. In this review we consolidate evidence for how biotic interactions shape species distributions beyond local extents and review methods for integrating biotic interactions into species distribution modelling tools. Drawing upon evidence from contemporary and palaeoecological studies of individual species ranges, functional groups, and species richness patterns, we show that biotic interactions have clearly left their mark on species distributions and realised assemblages of species across all spatial extents. We demonstrate this with examples from within and across trophic groups. A range of species distribution modelling tools is available to quantify species environmental relationships and predict species occurrence, such as: (i) integrating pairwise dependencies, (ii) using integrative predictors, and (iii) hybridising species distribution models (SDMs) with dynamic models. These methods have typically only been applied to interacting pairs of species at a single time, require a priori ecological knowledge about which species interact, and due to data paucity must assume that biotic interactions are constant in space and time. To better inform the future development of these models across spatial scales, we call for accelerated collection of spatially and temporally explicit species data. Ideally, these data should be sampled to reflect variation in the underlying environment across large spatial extents, and at fine spatial resolution. Simplified ecosystems where there are relatively few interacting species and sometimes a wealth of existing ecosystem monitoring data (e.g. arctic, alpine or island habitats) offer settings where the development of modelling tools that account for biotic interactions may be less difficult than elsewhere.

Social bases of changing income distributions

On the backdrop of very little sociological concern with rising income inequality, this paper examines how key changes in sociodemographic behaviour may help shed additional light on changes in household income distribution and especially on long-term income dynamics and inter-generational mobility. The paper argues that the joint effect of rising marital homogamy in terms of human capital and labour supply contributes generally to widen the income gap between households. Only uner very restrictive conditions, namely when the labour supply of low educated women grows dis-proportionally fast, will women's earnings contribute to more equality. Finally, the paper suggests that women's rising employment commitments contribute positively to equalizing the opportunity structure both via the income effect and if quality care is available, also via more homogenous cultural and cognitive stimulation of children. Mother's work does not generally have adverse effects for children's development.

Movement, impacts and management of plant distributions in response to climate change: insights from invasions

A major challenge in this era of rapid climate change is to predict changes in species distributions and their impacts on ecosystems, and, if necessary, to recommend management strategies for maintenance of biodiversity or ecosystem services. Biological invasions, studied in most biomes of the world, can provide useful analogs for some of the ecological consequences of species distribution shifts in response to climate change. Invasions illustrate the adaptive and interactive responses that can occur when species are confronted with new environmental conditions. Invasion ecology complements climate change research and provides insights into the following questions: i) how will species distributions respond to climate change? ii) how will species movement affect recipient ecosystems? and iii) should we, and if so how can we, manage species and ecosystems in the face of climate change? Invasion ecology demonstrates that a trait-based approach can help to predict spread speeds and impacts on ecosystems, and has the potential to predict climate change impacts on species ranges and recipient ecosystems. However, there is a need to analyse traits in the context of life-history and demography, the stage in the colonisation process (e.g., spread, establishment or impact), the distribution of suitable habitats in the landscape, and the novel abiotic and biotic conditions under which those traits are expressed. As is the case with climate change, invasion ecology is embedded within complex societal goals. Both disciplines converge on similar questions of "when to intervene?" and "what to do?" which call for a better understanding of the ecological processes and social values associated with changing ecosystems.

Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: setting the scene

An important statistical development of the last 30 years has been the advance in regression analysis provided by generalized linear models (GLMs) and generalized additive models (GAMs). Here we introduce a series of papers prepared within the framework of an international workshop entitled: Advances in GLMs/GAMs modeling: from species distribution to environmental management, held in Riederalp, Switzerland, 6-11 August 2001.We first discuss some general uses of statistical models in ecology, as well as provide a short review of several key examples of the use of GLMs and GAMs in ecological modeling efforts. We next present an overview of GLMs and GAMs, and discuss some of their related statistics used for predictor selection, model diagnostics, and evaluation. Included is a discussion of several new approaches applicable to GLMs and GAMs, such as ridge regression, an alternative to stepwise selection of predictors, and methods for the identification of interactions by a combined use of regression trees and several other approaches. We close with an overview of the papers and how we feel they advance our understanding of their application to ecological modeling.

Oxygen uptake kinetics and middle distance swimming performance.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine whether V˙O(2) kinetics and specifically, the time constant of transitions from rest to heavy (τ(p)H) and severe (τ(p)S) exercise intensities, are related to middle distance swimming performance. DESIGN: Fourteen highly trained male swimmers (mean ± SD: 20.5 ± 3.0 yr; 75.4 ± 12.4 kg; 1.80 ± 0.07 m) performed an discontinuous incremental test, as well as square wave transitions for heavy and severe swimming intensities, to determine V˙O(2) kinetics parameters using two exponential functions. METHODS: All the tests involved front-crawl swimming with breath-by-breath analysis using the Aquatrainer swimming snorkel. Endurance performance was recorded as the time taken to complete a 400 m freestyle swim within an official competition (T400), one month from the date of the other tests. RESULTS: T400 (Mean ± SD) (251.4 ± 12.4 s) was significantly correlated with τ(p)H (15.8 ± 4.8s; r=0.62; p=0.02) and τ(p)S (15.8 ± 4.7s; r=0.61; p=0.02). The best single predictor of 400 m freestyle time, out of the variables that were assessed, was the velocity at V˙O(2max)vV˙O(2max), which accounted for 80% of the variation in performance between swimmers. However, τ(p)H and V˙O(2max) were also found to influence the prediction of T400 when they were included in a regression model that involved respiratory parameters only. CONCLUSIONS: Faster kinetics during the primary phase of the V˙O(2) response is associated with better performance during middle-distance swimming. However, vV˙O(2max) appears to be a better predictor of T400.

Motivation, Test Scores, and Economic Success

This paper argues that low-stakes test scores, available in surveys, may be partially determined by test-taking motivation, which is associated with personality traits but not with cognitive ability. Therefore, such test score distributions may not be informative regarding cognitive ability distributions. Moreover, correlations, found in survey data, between high test scores and economic success may be partially caused by favorable personality traits. To demonstrate these points, I use the coding speed test that was administered without incentives to National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 (NLSY) participants. I suggest that due to its simplicity its scores may especially depend on individuals' test-taking motivation. I show that controlling for conventional measures of cognitive skills, the coding speed scores are correlated with future earnings of male NLSY participants. Moreover, the coding speed scores of highly motivated, though less educated, population (potential enlists to the armed forces) are higher than NLSY participants' scores. I then use controlled experiments to show that when no performance-based incentives are provided, participants' characteristics, but not their cognitive skills, affect effort invested in the coding speed test. Thus, participants with the same ability (measured by their scores on an incentivized test) have significantly different scores on tests without performance- based incentives.