Forecasting the Earth"s radiation belts and modeling solar energetic particle events: Recent results from SPACECAST

High-energy charged particles in the van Allen radiation belts and in solar energetic particle events can damage satellites on orbit leading to malfunctions and loss of satellite service. Here we describe some recent results from the SPACECAST project on modelling and forecasting the radiation belts, and modelling solar energetic particle events. We describe the SPACECAST forecasting system that uses physical models that include wave-particle interactions to forecast the electron radiation belts up to 3 h ahead. We show that the forecasts were able to reproduce the >2 MeV electron flux at GOES 13 during the moderate storm of 7-8 October 2012, and the period following a fast solar wind stream on 25-26 October 2012 to within a factor of 5 or so. At lower energies of 10- a few 100 keV we show that the electron flux at geostationary orbit depends sensitively on the high-energy tail of the source distribution near 10 RE on the nightside of the Earth, and that the source is best represented by a kappa distribution. We present a new model of whistler mode chorus determined from multiple satellite measurements which shows that the effects of wave-particle interactions beyond geostationary orbit are likely to be very significant. We also present radial diffusion coefficients calculated from satellite data at geostationary orbit which vary with Kp by over four orders of magnitude. We describe a new automated method to determine the position at the shock that is magnetically connected to the Earth for modelling solar energetic particle events and which takes into account entropy, and predict the form of the mean free path in the foreshock, and particle injection efficiency at the shock from analytical theory which can be tested in simulations.

Changes in reproductive investment with altitude in an alpine plant

Aims: In perennial species, the allocation of resources to reproduction results in a reduction of allocation to vegetative growth and, therefore, impacts future reproductive success. As a consequence, variation in this trade-off is among the most important driving forces in the life-history evolution of perennial plants and can lead to locally adapted genotypes. In addition to genetic variation, phenotypic plasticity might also contribute to local adaptation of plants to local conditions by mediating changes in reproductive allocation. Knowledge on the importance of genetic and environmental effects on the trade-off between reproduction and vegetative growth is therefore essential to understand how plants may respond to environmental changes. Methods: We conducted a transplant experiment along an altitudinal gradient from 425 m to 1921 m in the front range of the Western Alps of Switzerland to assess the influence of both altitudinal origin of populations and altitude of growing site on growth, reproductive investment and local adaptation in Poa alpina. Important findings: In our study, the investment in reproduction increased with plant size. Plant growth and the relative importance of reproductive investment decreased in populations originating from higher altitudes compared to populations originating from lower altitudes. The changes in reproductive investment were mainly explained by differences in plant size. In contrast to genetic effects, phenotypic plasticity of all traits measured was low and not related to altitude. As a result, the population from the lowest altitude of origin performed best at all sites. Our results indicate that in P. alpina genetic differences in growth and reproductive investment are related to local conditions affecting growth, i.e. interspecific competition and soil moisture content.

Fachada solar como pieza singular de arquitectura sostenible

Articulo sobre la importancia de las energias renovables y su integración arquitectónica en el camino hacia una arquitectura sostenible. Descripción y evaluación del proyecto Fachada Solar SCHOTT Iberica.

Impact of quality and environmental investment on business competitiveness and profitability: The case of travel agencies

Few studies have examined the combined effect of implementing quality and environmental management within the service sector. This void is more evident if we focus on segments in which small businesses predominate and even more so if we look for highly competitive sectors that are very variable and that have high business mortality. After analysing 198 surveys of Spanish travel agency managers using structural equations, it can be concluded that practices of quality management have a significant direct impact on business competitiveness but not on this business's financial results, at least directly. However, there is a significant relationship between environmental management practices and economic benefits. This article suggests that commitment to quality and the environment can allow small businesses in the service sector to have a competitive advantage that will separate surviving and ceased operations, particularly in sectors that are rapidly evolving and highly competitive.

Investment Determinants and Future Shape of Russia's Power Generation

The reformation of power sector is still in the process of development. The present day situation in Russian electricity power market ischaracterized as transitional period: competitive electricity market is forming, new companies are being created and the power of government regulation is decreasing. The main aim of the reformation is to attract much-needed private investments to the power sector. The electricity consumption increases very rapidly and power sector has to cope with high demand. The goal of this master's thesis is to analyze the nowadays situation in Russian power sector, such as generation structure, condition of electricity networks, electricity price formation for end-users, shape of fuel sector and investments risks and attraction.The final result of this work is creation of scenario of Russian power sector future shape and analysis of the present day situation.

Documentació arqueològica del Fortí del Rei (S. XVIII): intervenció en el solar núm. 54 de l'Avinguda de la Reina Maria Cristina de Tarragona

L'exercici de l'arqueologia urbana a Tarragona ha permès la documentació de restes arquitectòniques del fortí del Rei, bastit en el context de la Guerra de Successió. L'element més significatiu és la documentació d'una galeria i/o camí protegit que connectava aquest fortí amb el de l'Oliva.

Estimating the contribution of occupational solar ultraviolet exposure to skin cancer

BACKGROUND: Exposure to solar ultraviolet (UV) light is the main causative factor for skin cancer. Outdoor workers are at particular risk because they spend long working hours outside, may have little shade available and be bound to take their lunch at their workplace. Despite epidemiological evidence of a doubling in risk of squamous cell carcinoma in outdoor workers, the recognition of skin cancer as an occupational disease remains scarce. OBJECTIVE: To assess occupational solar UV doses and its contribution to skin cancer risk. METHODS: A numerical model (SimUVEx) was used to assess occupational and lunch break exposures, characterize exposure patterns and anatomical distribution. Risk of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) was estimated from an existing epidemiological model. RESULTS: Horizontal body locations received 2.0-2.5 times more UV than vertical locations. Dose associated to lunch outdoor every day was similar to outdoor work one day per week but only half of a seasonal worker. Outdoor workers are associated with an increased risk of SCC but also of frequent acute episodes. CONCLUSION: Occupational solar exposure contributes largely to the overall lifetime UV dose, resulting in an excess risk of SCC. The magnitude of the estimated excess in risk supports the recognition of SCC as an occupational disease.

Strategic investment appraisal; extended real options approach

Tutkielma keskittyy lisäämään investointiarviointiprosessien rationaalisuutta strategisten investointien arvioinnissa duopoli- / oligopolimarkkinoilla. Tutkielman päätavoitteena on selvittää kuinka peliteorialla laajennettu reaalioptioperusteinen investointien arviointimenetelmä, laajennettu reaalioptiokehikko, voisi mahdollisesti parantaa analyysien tarkkuutta. Tutkimus lähestyy ongelmaa investoinnin ajoituksen sekä todellisten investoinnin arvoattribuuttien riippuvuuksien kautta. Laajennettu reaalioptiokehikko on investointien analysointi- ja johtamistyökalu, joka tarjoaa osittain rajoitetun (sisältää tällä hetkellä ainoastaan parametrisen ja peliteoreettisen epävarmuuden) optimaalisen arvovälin investoinnin todellisesta arvosta. Kehikossa, ROA kartoittaa mahdolliset strategiset hyödyt tunnistamalla investointiinliittyvät eri optiot ja epävarmuudet, peliteoria korostaa ympäristön luomia paineita investointiin liittyvän epävarmuuden hallitsemisessa. Laajennettu reaalioptiokehikko tarjoaa rationaalisemman arvion strategisen investoinnin arvosta, koska se yhdistää johdonmukaisemmin option toteutuksen ja siten myös optioiden aika-arvon, yrityksen todellisiin rajoitettuihin (rajoituksena muiden markkinatoimijoiden toimet) polkuriippuvaisiin kyvykkyyksiin.

Análise físico-química, microbiológica e sensorial de frutos de manga submetidos à desidratação osmótico-solar

Polpas de mangas foram submetidas a um processo de secagem solar após pré-tratamento osmótico, com o intuito de obter-se produtos de umidade intermediária. Foram testados quatro pré-tratamentos osmóticos, ou seja, imersão em xaropes de sacarose com 45º Brix, 55º Brix, 65º Brix e imersão seqüenciada em xaropes de 45; 55 e 65º Brix. O processamento envolveu os seguintes passos: desidratação osmótica nas soluções de sacarose adicionadas de substâncias conservantes e secagem solar. Após a secagem, os tratamentos com 45 e 65º Brix foram selecionados através de análise sensorial para avaliação da estabilidade durante 180 dias de armazenamento à temperatura ambiente (28º C). Durante todo o processamento e/ou após a obtenção dos produtos finais, três tipos de avaliações foram realizadas: determinações físico-químicas (atividade de água, pH, acidez total, vitamina C, sólidos solúveis, umidade, açúcar total e açúcares redutores), análises microbiológicas e testes sensoriais. De acordo com os resultados obtidos, os dois produtos apresentaram boa estabilidade no que se refere às propriedades microbiológicas e sensoriais durante o armazenamento.

Projecte per la instal·lació de calefacció i A.C.S. solar en una vivenda unifamiliar

Es té una vivenda unifamiliar, de nova construcció, en la que s'ha elaborat un projecte per proporcionar-li un sistema de calefacció, i aprofitant l'energia solar produir ACS. S'han calculat les necessitats tèrmiques de la vivenda considerant que s'ha construit l'envolvent tèrmic de la vivenda segons CTE. S'han estudiat els possibles sistemes de calefacció i s'ha escollit el de radiadors d'aigua calenta amb distribució bitubular i caldera de gasoil. S'han determinat les necessitats d'ACS i s'ha projectat la instal·lació solar amb captadors de tubs de buit i recolzament auxiliar de la pròpia caldera de calefacció. Les instal·lacions s'han projectat complint els requisits de la normativa d'obligat compliment.

Projecte d'una instal·lació elèctrica i una instal·lació solar fotovoltaica connectada a la xarxa de baixa tensió, en una nau industrial

Dissenyar la xarxa elèctrica d'una nau industrial i dissenyar una instal·lació solar fotovoltaica connectada a la xarxa de baixa tensió. Per a la instal·lació de la nova xarxa elèctrica s'ha aprofitat tot l'enllumenat, els endolls i els interruptors existents en la nau, de l'anterior instal·lació, que s'ha quedat obsoleta degut a la instal·lació de noves màquines. S'ha escollit una instal·lació solar fotovoltaica connectada a la xarxa elèctrica perquè s'utilitza una energia purament neta i inesgotable, perquè té una bona rentabilitat.

Disseny d'una instal·lació solar tèrmica per A.C.S. i calefacció en una casa prefabricada

Disseny d'una instal·lació solar tèrmica capaç d'abastir les necessitats d'A.C.S. i representar un suport a les necessitats de calefacció amb sistema de recolzament per garantir una funcionalitat continua. La instal·lació es calcula per instal·lar-la en una casa prefabricada, unifamiliar a Lleida.