Simulating maize phenology as a function of air temperature with a linear and a nonlinear model

The objective of this study was to adapt a nonlinear model (Wang and Engel - WE) for simulating the phenology of maize (Zea mays L.), and to evaluate this model and a linear one (thermal time), in order to predict developmental stages of a field-grown maize variety. A field experiment, during 2005/2006 and 2006/2007 was conducted in Santa Maria, RS, Brazil, in two growing seasons, with seven sowing dates each. Dates of emergence, silking, and physiological maturity of the maize variety BRS Missões were recorded in six replications in each sowing date. Data collected in 2005/2006 growing season were used to estimate the coefficients of the two models, and data collected in the 2006/2007 growing season were used as independent data set for model evaluations. The nonlinear WE model accurately predicted the date of silking and physiological maturity, and had a lower root mean square error (RMSE) than the linear (thermal time) model. The overall RMSE for silking and physiological maturity was 2.7 and 4.8 days with WE model, and 5.6 and 8.3 days with thermal time model, respectively.

A critical evaluation of secondary cancer risk models applied to Monte Carlo dose distributions of 2-dimensional, 3-dimensional conformal and hybrid intensity-modulated radiation therapy for breast cancer.

The comparison of radiotherapy techniques regarding secondary cancer risk has yielded contradictory results possibly stemming from the many different approaches used to estimate risk. The purpose of this study was to make a comprehensive evaluation of different available risk models applied to detailed whole-body dose distributions computed by Monte Carlo for various breast radiotherapy techniques including conventional open tangents, 3D conformal wedged tangents and hybrid intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT). First, organ-specific linear risk models developed by the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) and the Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation (BEIR) VII committee were applied to mean doses for remote organs only and all solid organs. Then, different general non-linear risk models were applied to the whole body dose distribution. Finally, organ-specific non-linear risk models for the lung and breast were used to assess the secondary cancer risk for these two specific organs. A total of 32 different calculated absolute risks resulted in a broad range of values (between 0.1% and 48.5%) underlying the large uncertainties in absolute risk calculation. The ratio of risk between two techniques has often been proposed as a more robust assessment of risk than the absolute risk. We found that the ratio of risk between two techniques could also vary substantially considering the different approaches to risk estimation. Sometimes the ratio of risk between two techniques would range between values smaller and larger than one, which then translates into inconsistent results on the potential higher risk of one technique compared to another. We found however that the hybrid IMRT technique resulted in a systematic reduction of risk compared to the other techniques investigated even though the magnitude of this reduction varied substantially with the different approaches investigated. Based on the epidemiological data available, a reasonable approach to risk estimation would be to use organ-specific non-linear risk models applied to the dose distributions of organs within or near the treatment fields (lungs and contralateral breast in the case of breast radiotherapy) as the majority of radiation-induced secondary cancers are found in the beam-bordering regions.

Study of the robustness of the European air routes network

working paper

Impact of increasing mean air temperature on the development of rice and red rice

The objective of this study was to assess the development response of cultivated rice and red rice to different increases in minimum and maximum daily air temperatures, in Santa Maria, Rio Grande do Sul State, Brazil. One hundred years climate scenarios of temperatures 0, +1, +2, +3, +4, and +5ºC, with symmetric and asymmetric increases in minimum and maximum daily air temperatures were created, using the LARS-WG Weather Generator, and a 1969-2003 database. Nine cultivated rice genotypes (IRGA 421, IRGA 416, IRGA 417, IRGA 420, BRS 7 TAIM, BR-IRGA 409, EPAGRI 109, EEA 406 and a hybrid), and two red rice biotypes (awned black hull-ABHRR, and awned yellow hull-AYHRR) were used. The dates of panicle differentiation (R1), anthesis (R4), and all grains with brown hulls (R9) were estimated with a nonlinear simulation model. Overall, the duration of the emergence-R1 phase decreased, whereas the duration of the R1-R4 and R4-R9 phases most often increased, as temperature increased in the climate change scenarios. The simulated rice development response to elevated temperature was not the same, when the increase in minimum and maximum temperature was symmetric or asymmetric.

L'Océan de Münsingen BE : une mosaïque entre l'air et l'eau

Les deux mosaïques bien connues des thermes de la villa de Münsingen ont été récemment restaurées et sont aujourd'hui exposées dans le parc d'une fabrique de la commune bernoise. C'est l'occasion de faire le point sur les fouilles entreprises autour du secteur de la découverte depuis 1941, confirmant ainsi l'existence d'une façade de villa de plus de 100 m, bordée par une aile saillante ou une annexe renfermant une zone thermale. Le frigidarium en est constitué d'une pièce d'accès à médaillon central avec tête d'Océan et d'une salle de bains à abside décorée de poissons et de dauphins. L'analyse des motifs amène à repérer au moins trois mains à l'oeuvre sur les pavements, reflétant les tendances de la seconde moitié du IIe siècle et du début du IIIe siècle apr. J.-C. Le maître d'atelier, sans doute installé à Avenches, s'est occupé d'Océan, centrant son discours sur son abondante chevelure d'où sortent deux monstres marins et deux dauphins, allégorie de l'Univers et de l'Empire romain.

Factors affecting the snow and wind induced damage of a montane secondary forest in northeastern China

Abstract

Efficacity of in-hospital multidimensional interventions of secondary prevention after acute coronary syndrome : a systematic review and meta-analysis

RAPPORT DE SYNTHÈSE : Contexte Les programmes de prévention cardiovasculaire secondaire après un événement coronarien aigu ont pu démontrer leur efficacité dans le contexte des soins ambulatoires. L'hospitalisation pour une maladie aiguë peut être considérée comme un «instant charnière», particulièrement adapté à un changement de comportement de santé et où des interventions de prévention secondaire, telle l'éducation du patient, pourraient être particulièrement efficaces. De plus, la prescription de médicaments de prévention cardiovasculaire durant l'hospitalisation semble augmenter la proportion des patients traités selon les recommandations sur le long terme. Récemment, plusieurs études ont évalué l'efficacité de programmes de prévention ayant pour but l'éducation des patients et/ou une augmentation du taux de prescription de médicaments prouvés efficaces par les médecins en charge. L'article faisant l'objet du travail de thèse synthétise la littérature existante concernant l'efficacité en termes de mortalité des interventions multidimensionnelles de prévention cardiovasculaire après un syndrome coronarien aigu, débutées à l'hôpital, centrées sur le patient et ciblant plusieurs facteurs de risque cardiovasculaire. MÉTHODE ET RÉSULTATS : En utilisant une stratégie de recherche définie à l'avance, nous avons inclus des essais cliniques avec groupe contrôle et des études avant-après, débutées à l'hôpital et qui incluaient des résultats cliniques de suivi en terme de mortalité, de taux de réadmission et/ou de récidive de syndrome coronarien aigu. Nous avons catégorisé les études selon qu'elles ciblaient les patients (par exemple une intervention d'éducation aux patients par des infirmières), les soignants (par exemple des cours destinés aux médecins-assistants pour leur enseigner comment prodiguer des interventions éducatives) ou le système de soins (par exemple la mise en place d'itinéraires cliniques au niveau de l'institution). Globalement, les interventions rapportées dans les 14 études répondant aux critères montraient une réduction du risque relatif (RR) de mortalité après un an (RR= 0.79; 95% intervalle de confiance (IC), 0.69-0.92; n=37'585). Cependant, le bénéfice semblait dépendre du type d'étude et du niveau d'intervention. Les études avant-après suggéraient une réduction du risque de mortalité (RR, 0.77; 95% IC, 0.66-0.90; n=3680 décès), tandis que le RR était de 0.96 (95% IC, 0.64-1.44; n=99 décès) pour les études cliniques contrôlées. Seules les études avant-après et les études ciblant les soignants et le système, en plus de cibler les patients, semblaient montrer un bénéfice en termes de mortalité à une année. CONCLUSIONS ET PERSPECTIVES : Les preuves d'efficacité des interventions de prévention secondaires débutées à l'hôpital, ciblant le patient, sont prometteuses, mais pas définitives. En effet, seules les études avant-après montrent un bénéfice en termes de mortalité. Les recherches futures dans ce domaine devraient tester formellement quels éléments des interventions amènent le plus de bénéfices pour les patients.

Moving to the development of an HIA methodology : the effects of air pollution in Ticino, Switzerland

This chapter describes the profile of the HIA, provides insight into the process and gives an example of how political decisions may be made on behalf of a concerned population through an HIA approach. [Introduction p. 284]

Investigation into Freezing-Thawing Durability of Low-Permeability Concrete with and without Air Entraining Agent, 2009

The aim of the present study is to investigate the effect of low-permeability concrete, made with reduced water‐to‐binder ratios (w/b) and/or supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs), on the need for air entrainment to achieve freezing‐thawing (F‐T) durability. In the present study, concrete mixes were made with different types of cement (Types I and IP), with or without fly ash replacement (15%), with different water‐to‐binder ratios (w/b =0.25, 0.35, 0.45 and 0.55), and with or without air entraining agent (AEA). All concrete mixtures were controlled to have a similar slump by using different dosages of superplasticizer. The rapid chloride permeability and F-T durability of the concrete samples were determined according to ASTM C1202 and ASTM C666A, respectively. The air void structure of the concrete was studied using the Air Void Analyzer, RapidAir, and porosity tests (ASTM C642). In addition, the general concrete properties, such as slump, air content, unit weight, and 28‐day compressive strength, were evaluated. The results indicate that all concrete mixes with proper air entrainment (ASTM C231 air content ≥ 6%) showed good F‐T resistance (durability factor ≥85%). All concrete mixes without AEA showed poor F‐T resistance (durability factor < 40%), except for one mix that had very low permeability and high strength. This was the concrete made with Type IP cement and with a w/b of 0.25, which had a permeability of 520 coulombs and a compressive strength of 12,760 psi (88 MPa). There were clear relationships between the F‐T durability and hardened concrete properties of non–air entrained concrete. However, such relationships did not exist in concrete with AEA. For concrete with AEA, good F‐T durability was associated with an air void spacing factor ≤ 0.28 mm (by AVA) or ≤ 0.22 mm (by RapidAir).

Letter health consultation : Air emissions from American Packaging Corporation, Story City, Iowa (2009)

A health consultation is a verbal or written response from ATSDR or ATSDR’s Cooperative Agreement Partners to a specific request for information about health risks related to a specific site, a chemical release, or the presence of hazardous material. In order to prevent or mitigate exposures, a consultation may lead to specific actions, such as restricting use of or replacing water supplies; intensifying environmental sampling; restricting site access; or removing the contaminated material. In addition, consultations may recommend additional public health actions, such as conducting health surveillance activities to evaluate exposure or trends in adverse health outcomes; conducting biological indicators of exposure studies to assess exposure; and providing health education for health care providers and community members. This concludes the health consultation process for this site, unless additional information is obtained by ATSDR or ATSDR’s Cooperative Agreement Partner which, in the Agency’s opinion, indicates a need to revise or append the conclusions previously issued.

Health consultation : Sub-Slab Gas and Air Sampling Data Alcoa – Davenport Works CERCLIS No. IAD005270160 Riverdale, Scott County, Iowa (2005)

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the Alcoa – Davenport Works Facility (Alcoa), and concerned citizens and community leaders of Riverdale, Iowa requested the Iowa Department of Public Health (IDPH) Hazardous Waste Site Health Assessment Program to evaluate the health impacts of exposures to volatile organic vapors detected within residences located immediately to the west of the Alcoa property. This health consultation addresses inhalation exposure to individuals that may have occupied the currently vacant residences in which the air sampling was completed.

Who is afraid of the big bad ban? An evaluation of the effects of the Spanish clean air law on expenditure at hospitality venues

Background:In January 2011 Spain modified clean air legislation in force since 2006, removing all existing exceptions applicable to hospitality venues. Although this legal reform was backed by all political parties with parliamentary representation, the government's initiative was contested by the tobacco industry and its allies in the hospitality industry. One of the most voiced arguments against the reform was its potentially disruptive effect on the revenue of hospitality venues. This paper evaluates the impact of this reform on household expenditure at restaurants and bars and cafeterias. Methods and empirical strategy:We use micro-data from the Encuesta de Presupuestos Familiares (EPF) for years 2006 to 2012 to estimate "two part" models where the probability of observing a positive expenditure and, for those who spend, the expected level of expenditure are functions of an array of explanatory variables. We apply a before-after analysis with a wide range of controls for confounding factors and a flexible modeling of time effects.Results:In line with the majority of studies that analyze the effects of smoking bans using objective data, our results suggest that the reform did not cause reductions in households' expenditures on restaurant services or on bars and cafeteria services.

Delayed primary versus late secondary wound closure in the treatment of postsurgical sternum osteomyelitis.

Sternal osteomyelitis and poststernotomy mediastinitis is a severe and life-threatening complication after the cardiac surgery. The incidence ranges up to 3% with a mortality rate up to 29%. In addition, postoperative infections after sternotomy are associated with prolonged hospital stay, increased healthcare costs and impaired quality of patient life, representing an economic and social burden. The emergence of increasing antimicrobial resistant bacteria augments the importance of postsurgical infections since the antimicrobial choices are becoming limited. Furthermore, the incidence of infection is an indicator for the quality of patient care in the international benchmark studies. Although several therapy strategies are nowadays present in clinical practice, there is a lack of evidence-based surgical consensus for treatment of this surgical complication. In most cases the poststernotomy mediastinitis involves surgical revision with debridement, open dressing and/or vacuum-assisted therapy. After the granulation tissue on open chest wound is achieved, secondary closure and/or reconstruction with vascularized soft tissue flaps, such as omentum or pectoral muscle is performed. It seems there is a need for more effective surgical treatment of poststernotomy wound infections, which may address the prolonged hospitalization and reduce the number of surgical interventions and with this also the perioperative morbidity. In light of this we propose a randomized study comparing new delayed primary closure of the sternum to the secondary vacuum-assisted closure.