Bargaining and Conflict with Incomplete Information

This paper studies bargaining and conflict under incomplete information, provides an overview and a critical account of the literature on the topic and contributes with original research. We first revise models of mechanism design and sequential bargaining that take confrontation as final. Conflict and inefficiencies are to be expected in these models whenever parties have optimistic prospects on the outcome of the all-out conflict. After examining the causes and reasons for this optimism, we move to the analysis of the recent literature that considers the existence of limited confrontations that allow bargaining to resume. In the presence of private information, these limited conflicts convey information and thus become a bargaining instrument. The paper closes with a discussion on the related empirical literature, the challenges that it faces and some potential avenues for further research.

Alliance evolutions over the course of short-term dynamic psychotherapy: A case study

Background: Alliance evolutions, i.e. ruptures and resolutions over the course of psychotherapy, have been shown to be important descriptive features in different forms of psychotherapy, and in particular in psychodynamic psychotherapy. This case study of a client presenting elements of adjustment disorder undergoing short-term dynamic psychotherapy is drawn from a systematic naturalistic study and aims at illustrating, on a session-by-session-level, the processes of alliance ruptures and resolutions, by comparing both the client's and the therapist's perspectives. Method: Two episodes of alliance evolution were more fully studied, in relation to the evolution of transference, as well as the client's defensive functioning and core conflictual theme. These concepts were measured by means of valid, reliable observer-rater methods, based on session transcripts: the Defense Mechanisms Rating Scales (DMRS) for defensive functioning and the Core Conflictual Relationship Theme (CCRT) for the conflicts. Alliance was measured after each session using the Helping Alliance questionnaire (HAq-II). Results: The results indicated that these episodes of alliance rupture and resolutions may be understood as key moments of the whole therapeutic process reflecting the client's main relationship stakes. Illustrations are provided based on the client's in-session processes and related to the alliance development over the course of the entire therapy.

La prévention du suicide en milieu scolaire est-elle possible [Is it possible to run suicide prevention interventions within the school setting?]

Suicide represent the second cause of death in Switzerland and, between 15 and 20 years of age, 8% of girls and 4% of boys have attempted suicide at least once in their life. "Universal" primary prevention in schools is usually run through courses dealing with the issue of suicide and which are systematically provided to all pupils. There is no evidence that they have any positive effect and even they may be in some instances harmful. The training of professionals working in the school setting to better identify and refer adolescents facing risky situation is probably effective. Another promising approach is the one which aims at improving the school climate in increasing social connectedness and the pupils' life skills. Finally, the school which faces a suicide should set up debriefing activities, thus deterring vulnerable pupils to engage in violent acting as a result of a contamination process.

Le projet de Jésus. Une énigme non résolue ?

Parler d'une énigme non résolue, lorsqu'il est question de Jésus de Nazareth, paraît proche de la plaisanterie. Tout n'a-t-il pas été dit en 2000 ans de christianisme ? Le sujet n'est-il pas entièrement épuisé ? Or aujourd'hui, de nouvelles poussées viennent ébranler ce que l'on croyait acquis. Nous serions-nous laissés enfermer dans des réponses commodes, mais inexactes ? Daniel Marguerat avance cette question sur trois moments cruciaux de la vie du Galiléen : le baptême de Jésus par Jean le Baptiseur, le geste violent contre le Temple, et son exécution le 7 avril de l'an 30.

Barn owls do not interrupt their siblings

Animals communicate with conspecifics to resolve conflicts over how resources are shared. Since signals reflect individuals' resource-holding potential and motivation to compete, it is crucial that opponents efficiently transmit and receive information to adjust investment optimally in competitive interactions. Acoustic communication is particularly flexible as it can be quickly modulated according to background noise and audience. Diverse mechanisms have evolved to minimize acoustic signal interference, one being the avoidance of signal overlap by adjusting the timing of call production to alternate calls with those of competitors. However, the occurrence and function of overlap avoidance in the resolution of competition among relatives have barely been studied. Using young barn owl siblings, Tyto alba, which vocally negotiate over who will have priority access to food provided by parents, we investigated the extent to which nestlings avoid calling simultaneously and the function of this behaviour. We found that nestlings overlapped both their live siblings' calls and experimentally broadcast calls at least five times less often than expected at random. Furthermore, a focal nestling engaged more intensely in vocal negotiation when competing with nestmates that called simultaneously compared to those that did not overlap their respective calls. This suggests that barn owl nestlings avoid calling simultaneously, as overlapped calls are less efficient at deterring siblings from competing. Overlap avoidance reduces signal interference and, as a consequence, would improve the efficiency of communication among kin.

Ce qu'ils n'ont pas dit de Pâques

Qu'ont-ils dit de Pâques, les évangélistes? Quand ils racontent qu'après le sabbat, les femmes ont vu le tombeau ouvert, et qu'un Revenu d'entre les morts est apparu aux disciples, que disent-ils et sur quoi font-ils silence? Relire leurs récits de Pâques conduit à une découverte: ils disent peu. Très peu. Juste quelques images, rapides, comme si le sujet se dérobait à la description. Les peintres, eux, nous informent beaucoup plus dans leurs tableaux: l'allure du Ressuscité, ses gestes, ses attitudes... mais ils peignent ce que personne ne sait. Ils violent le silence des textes. Tentons d'écouter ce peu que les récits nous livrent, et de nous interroger sur ces pesants silences.

Estudi comparatiu sobre competències parentals de famílies amb dinàmiques violentes vs. famílies amb dinàmiques no violentes ateses al SATAF

A partir de la recerca pilot "Estudi descriptiu de famílies amb dinàmiques de violència domèstica en un context judicial d'ordre civil" es constatà que la valoració tècnica prioritza de forma clara la consideració de les competències i habilitats parentals d'ambdós progenitors quant a formular propostes relacionals. Tenint en compte l'escassa literatura especialitzada quant a les competències parentals de les famílies sotmeses a dinàmiques de violència a la llar, aquest estudi pretén establir una comparativa entre les competències parentals de les famílies ateses al SATAF de Barcelona durant l'any 2008, que presenten dinàmiques amb continguts violents, vs. d'altres famílies que no queden contextualitzades en la violència relacional. Això respon a l'objectiu de constatar l'existència o no de diferències en els estils de criança d'ambdós tipus de famílies, així com si existeixen divergències associades al gènere. A tal fi s'han emprat el test CUIDA i una graella tècnica heteroaplicada per obtenir una mesura de les competències d'aquestes famílies. Els principals resultats obtinguts han partit d'una anàlisi estadística no-paramètrica, considerant el petit tamany de la mostra. A partir d'aquesta anàlisi es copsen diferències entre ambdós tipus de famílies quant a llurs capacitats parentals, així com s'observen dèficits en les mares i pares provinents de dinàmiques violentes. Així mateix, es conclou la dificultat de mesura de les competències parentals a partir de proves d'autoinforme. Finalment, es suggereix el desenvolupament de programes de recuperació i/o millora específics de la parentalitat orientats a aquests progenitors, per tal d'augmentar els nivells de benestar dels seus fills.

Avaluació de variables estàtiques i dinàmiques predictives del risc de reincidència en delinqüents sexuals: estudi d’una mostra dels interns de les presons de Catalunya

Aquest treball presenta un estudi sobre les variables de risc de reincidència d’un grup de 315 delinqüents sexuals. Els subjectes han estat obtinguts del total d’interns que van sortir en llibertat condicional o definitiva de les presons de Catalunya entre 1998 i 2003. La investigació té dues parts. Una primera quantitativa on s’analitza la capacitat predictiva de 18 variables representatives de la carrera delictiva, l’incompliment de les mesures de supervisió a la comunitat, la conflictivitat a la presó, el tractament i les condicions de la condemna. Durant un període de seguiment que va de tres anys i 10 mesos a nou anys i dos mesos s’ha enregistrat la reincidència en delictes sexuals, delictes violents, qualsevol tipus de delicte violent (tant sexual com no sexual) i reincidència general. A la segona part, qualitativa, s’han fet entrevistes semiestructurades a un grup de 14 delinqüents sexuals dels quals nou havien reincidit i cinc estaven en llibertat condicional. Si bé les variables més comunes a la investigació sobre delinqüència general han mostrat relació amb la reincidència general, només tres variables de la carrera delictiva han mostrat relació amb la reincidència sexual. L’estudi qualitatiu ha permès obtenir informació sobre la influència de les variables dinàmiques més importants. A partir de l’anàlisi del procés del delicte es configuren tres perfils de delinqüents sexuals que ja s’havien trobat a altres investigacions. A partir de la informació obtinguda es proposen algunes orientacions pels programes de tractament.

Prevenció de conflictes i governança descentralitzada: alguns comentaris sobre l'estat de la qüestió en la teoria i en la pràctica

Existeix alguna relació entre governabilitat descentralitzada i prevenció de conflictes? El present article intenta respondre a aquesta pregunta presentant la situació actual de la intersecció entre ambdós conceptes. Partint del fet que el conflicte social és inevitable, així com de l’existència de noves amenaces i conflictes i de noves demandes de seguretat basades en les persones (seguretat humana), les nostres societats han d’intentar que els canvis siguin pacífics. A través d’un exhaustiu anàlisis de la bibliografia existent i de l’estudi de diversos casos, aquest article sosté que la governabilitat descentralitzada pot contribuir a aquests esforços transformant conflictes, fomentant el repartiment de poder i augmentant els incentius d’inclusió de grups minoritaris. Tot i la dificultat de mesurar el seu impacte sobre la prevenció de conflictes, s’argumenta que la governabilitat descentralitzada pot tenir un impacte molt positiu en la reducció de les causes que produeixen conflictes gràcies a la seva habilitat per crear war/violence preventors. Més concretament, en aquest article se suggereix que la governabilitat descentralitzada pot influir positivament sobre les causes a curt i mitjà termini.

Présentation de l'adaptation française de « l'échelle de coparentage » de McHale pour familles avec jeunes enfants [Presentation of the french adaptation of McHale's coparenting scale for families with young children.]

The aim of this paper is to present McHale's coparenting scale,a self-administered questionnaire enabling assessment of the quality of coparenting, and first steps in structural and construct validation of the French version. A total of 41 French speaking Swiss families and 84 US families completed this questionnaire and the Dyadic Adjustment Scale, a measure of marital satisfaction. The results of the Swiss families correspond to those of US families: first, items distributed into four factors (family integrity, conflict, affection and disparagement) and second, a partial link was found between quality of coparenting and marital adjustment. This finding supports the construct validity of the questionnaire, reflecting the established link between these two family sub-systems. Given that coparenting quality has a major influence on children's socio-affective development, the questionnaire will find great use in assessing not just negative features of coparenting, such as conflicts and disparagement, but also positive components such as warmth and support. This will be an important asset for research as well as clinical purposes.

Social rules govern vocal competition in the barn owl

To resolve the share of limited resources, animals often compete through exchange of signals about their relative motivation to compete. When two competitors are similarly motivated, the resolution of conflicts may be achieved in the course of an interactive process. In barn owls, Tyto alba, in which siblings vocally compete during the prolonged absence of parents over access to the next delivered food item, we investigated what governs the decision to leave or enter a contest, and at which level. Siblings alternated periods during which one of the two individuals vocalized more than the other. Individuals followed turn-taking rules to interrupt each other and momentarily dominate the vocal competition. These social rules were weakly sensitive to hunger level and age hierarchy. Hence, the investment in a conflict is determined not only by need and resource-holding potential, but also by social interactions. The use of turn-taking rules governing individual vocal investment has rarely been shown in a competitive context. We hypothesized that these rules would allow individuals to remain alert to one another's motivation while maintaining the cost of vocalizing at the lowest level.

Voces del pasado, ecos del presente. la Red de Trabajo Contra la Violencia Sobre las Mujeres en Tiempos de Guerra y su labor en la sociedad japonesa

Gracias al trabajo de las redes transnacionales de defensa los marcos legales internacionales se han adaptado a las nuevas dimensiones que han alcanzado los conflictos armados en los últimos veinte años. Esta investigación estudia el papel de la Violence Against Women in War Network, Japan y del Women's Active Museum on War and Peace, como ejemplos de cómo los actores no gubernamentales pueden sensibilizar y transformar las normas nacionales e internacionales, el comportamiento de los Estados, los organismos supraestatales y a la sociedad en la que desarrollan su labor

The Peace Processes in the Basque Country and Northern Ireland (1994-2006): a Comparative Approach

The peace process in Northern Ireland demonstrates that new sovereignty formulas need to be explored in order to meet the demands of the populations and territories in conflict. The profound transformation of the classic symbolic elements of the nation-state within the context of the European Union has greatly contributed to the prospects for a resolution of this old conflict. Today’s discussions are focused on the search for instruments of shared sovereignty that are adapted to a complex and plural social reality. This new approach for finding a solution to the Irish conflict is particularly relevant to the Basque debate about formulating creative and modern solutions to similar conflicts over identity and sovereignty. The notion of shared sovereignty implemented in Northern Ireland –a formula for complex interdependent relations– is of significant relevance to the broader international community and is likely to become an increasingly potent and transcendent model for conflict resolution and peace building.

The Barcelona Forum: on decentralized governance and conflict prevention 6-8 july 2009

The Barcelona Forum aimed to generate both a theoretical and practical discussion on decentralized governance and its capacity to promote peace, prevent conflict, advance human security and ensure greater governmental accountability. The Forum intended to review the theoretical strength of decentralization as a political tool and discuss how it can be properly implemented. Eight case studies were selected to be covered during the two days in order to draw conclusions and offer proposals for the future implementation of decentralization. The case of Catalonia and the decentralized experience of Spain was given special attention, as an example of successful decentralization. The other cases presented achievements and challenges and prompted discussions on both the validity and universality of decentralization as a way to promote and preserve peace. Topics such as ethnic and territorial divisions, democratic accountability, financial decentralization and distribution, resource sharing, and external implementation of decentralization through peace processes were discussed.

Conflict, Peace and Security in Africa: an Assessment and New Questions After 50 Years of African Independence

Since the independence processes in the African continent, armed conflicts, peace and security have raised concern and attention both at the domestic level and at the international scale. In recent years, all aspects have undergone significant changes which have given rise to intense debate. The end of some historical conflicts has taken place in a context of slight decrease in the number of armed conflicts and the consolidation of post-conflict reconstruction processes. Moreover, African regional organizations have staged an increasingly more active internal shift in matters related to peace and security, encouraged by the idea of promoting “African solutions to African problems”. This new scenario, has been accompanied by new uncertainties at the security level and major challenges at the operational level, especially for the African Union. This article aims to ascertain the state of affairs on all these issues and raise some key questions to consider.