Reconciling Precipitation with Runoff: Observed Hydrological Change in the Midlatitudes

Century-long observed gridded land precipitation datasets are a cornerstone of hydrometeorological research. But recent work has suggested that observed Northern Hemisphere midlatitude (NHML) land mean precipitation does not show evidence of an expected negative response to mid-twentieth-century aerosol forcing. Utilizing observed river discharges, the observed runoff is calculated and compared with observed land precipitation. The results show a near-zero twentieth-century trendinobserved NHML landmean runoff,in contrast to the significant positive trend in observed NHML land mean precipitation. However, precipitation and runoff share common interannual and decadal variability. An obvious split, or breakpoint, is found in the NHML land mean runoff–precipitation relationship in the 1930s. Using runoff simulated by six land surface models (LSMs), which are driven by the observed precipitation dataset, such breakpoints are absent. These findings support previous hypotheses that inhomogeneities exist in the early-twentieth-century NHML land mean precipitation record. Adjusting the observed precipitation record according to the observed runoff record largely accounts for the departure of the observed precipitation response from that predicted given the real-world aerosol forcing estimate, more than halving the discrepancy from about 6 to around 2 W m 22. Consideration of complementary observed runoff adds support to the suggestion that NHML-wide early-twentieth-century precipitation observations are unsuitable for climate change studies. The agreement between precipitation and runoff over Europe, however, is excellent, supporting the use of whole-twentieth-century observed precipitation datasets here.

Learning through Listening: Conversations for Strategic Change in a Healtcare Provider

The aim of this paper is investigate the role of conversation in strategic change so as to enhance both theory and practice in this respect. As an investigation on how conversations shape change processes in practice, we reflect on an interpretive case study in a health care organization. Through an OD project complemented by semi-structured interviews with participants, we gained a set of data and experiences that allows us to inquire into the relationship between conversations and change in more depth.

Table to accompany Religion/Spirituality and Change in Meaning after Bereavement: Qualitative Evidence for the Meaning Making Model

This table accompanies the manuscript entitled "Religion/Spirituality and Change in Meaning after Bereavement: Qualitative Evidence for the Meaning Making Model" by Wortmann & Park (2009). The table summarizes the sample characteristics for published, qualitative studies that describe the involvement of religion/spirituality in adjustment after bereavement. Fields include author(s)'s last name, publication year, population characteristics and sample size, study design, age of the bereaved, type or cause of death, and time post-loss.

Deregulation and Structural Change in the U.S. Commercial Banking Industry

Regulatory change not seen since the Great Depression swept the U.S. banking industry beginning in the early 1980s and culminated with the Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994. Banking analysts anticipated dramatic consolidation with large numbers of mergers and acquisitions. Some expressed concern about the long-term health of the smaller community banks. This paper describes and discusses the actual evolution of the U.S. banking industry over the past two decades, using the 1976 to 1998 Report of Condition and Income (Call Report) and merger data recently posted on the web site of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Among several results, more permissive interstate banking and branching regulation significantly associates with higher merger rates, with lower net entry rates, and with higher concentration within states. Interestingly, more permissive intrastate banking and branching regulation only associates with higher concentration.

Stagnation and Change in Islamic History

There appear to be two seemingly contradictory images of economic change in the Islamic World and mixed evidence on whether Islamic societies have been open or conservative against modern ideas, technological advancements, and legal developments. Whereas a conservative attitude has been dominant in some societies and time periods, Muslims were at the forefront of scientific, technological, and legal developments in others. Rather than rely on ad hoc assumptions about the attitudes and characteristics of societies or the inherent qualities of new developments, this paper explains attitudes towards change by studying the political economy of the relationship between the rulers and the legal community. I extend recent theories of endogenous institutional change to develop a framework based on how rulers and legal community reacted to new developments immediately and how their strategic interaction unleashed an endogenous process toward change in the long run. Using this framework, I identify conditions under which new ideas, technologies, and legal developments have resulted in immediate change in Islamic societies. I also examine the process of change in the long run, whether and how immediate outcomes could be sustained over time as strategic interaction continued repeatedly.

Evaluation of the causal pathways through which subjective norms influence mammography intention and stage of change in a national sample of women veterans

Few studies have investigated causal pathways linking psychosocial factors to each other and to screening mammography. Conflicting hypotheses exist in the theoretic literature regarding the role and importance of subjective norms, a person's perceived social pressure to perform the behavior and his/her motivation to comply. The Theory of Reasoned Action (TRA) hypothesizes that subjective norms directly affect intention; while the Transtheoretical Model (TTM) hypothesizes that attitudes mediate the influence of subjective norms on stage of change. No one has examined which hypothesis best predicts the effect of subjective norms on mammography intention and stage of change. Two statistical methods are available for testing mediation, sequential regression analysis (SRA) and latent variable structural equation modeling (LVSEM); however, software to apply LVSEM to dichotomous variables like intention has only recently become available. No one has compared the methods to determine whether or not they yield similar results for dichotomous variables. ^ Study objectives were to: (1) determine whether the effect of subjective norms on mammography intention and stage of change are mediated by pros and cons; and (2) compare mediation results from the SRA and LVSEM approaches when the outcome is dichotomous. We conducted a secondary analysis of data from a national sample of women veterans enrolled in Project H.O.M.E. (H&barbelow;ealthy O&barbelow;utlook on the M&barbelow;ammography E&barbelow;xperience), a behavioral intervention trial. ^ Results showed that the TTM model described the causal pathways better than the TRA one; however, we found support for only one of the TTM causal mechanisms. Cons was the sole mediator. The mediated effect of subjective norms on intention and stage of change by cons was very small. These findings suggest that interventionists focus their efforts on reducing negative attitudes toward mammography when resources are limited. ^ Both the SRA and LVSEM methods provided evidence for complete mediation, and the direction, magnitude, and standard errors of the parameter estimates were very similar. Because SRA parameter estimates were not biased toward the null, we can probably assume negligible measurement error in the independent and mediator variables. Simulation studies are needed to further our understanding of how these two methods perform under different data conditions. ^

Texas dentists' attitudes and activity level since the change in Medicaid reimbursement rates

Purpose. The purpose of this study was to determine if the change in Medicaid reimbursements in Texas affected the activity level of the enrolled providers or changed the attitudes of dentists towards Medicaid. ^ Methods. A letter with instructions for completing a survey online was sent to a random sample of 415 general and 325 pediatric dentists (500 dentists originally sampled by Blackwelder plus 240 additional dentists). The survey consisted of 27 questions about Medicaid. ^ Results. Surveys from 98 (13.2%) of dentists were collected, with 57 (17.5%) from pediatric dentists and 37(9%) from general dentists. Our results were compared to the study by Blackwelder et al, which reported attitudes of Texas dentists toward the Medicaid program prior to the reimbursement change. Our data indicates an increase in Medicaid activity among enrolled providers (58.6% activity to 94.8% activity) with greater percent change among pediatric dentists (61.8% to 97.5%) compared to general dentists (53.3% to 80%). Also, the proportion of enrolled active Medicaid providers spending greater then 10% of their time with Medicaid has increased (76.9% to 87.3%). Furthermore, pediatric dentists spending greater then 50% of their time with Medicaid increased from 30.9% to 38.5%, and general dentists from 18.4% to 37.5%. Perceived barriers appear to be similar to past studies. ^ Conclusions. Our survey indicated the change in Medicaid reimbursements did increase the activity level of enrolled Medicaid providers and it appears that active Medicaid providers are spending more time with Medicaid patients.^

The contribution of change in ethnic composition to prevalence of obesity and overweight

Objective. The prevalence of overweight and obesity differs substantially among children of different ethnic origin in the United States. The objective of this project is to estimate to what extent changes in ethnic composition since 1980 have contributed to the current general “obesity epidemic” in the childhood population of the United States.^ Methods. Populations by single year of age, 0 to 19, male and female, for Hispanics, non-Hispanic whites, and non-Hispanic blacks, from the US Census’ July estimates for 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000 and 2005 were taken and compared to the population and percentage of those groups from 1980. Age, sex, and ethnicity specific prevalence rates for overweight in 1980 were then applied to the populations by age for the specified year and differences in expected and actual overweight populations were assessed.^ Result. The results from this investigation provide estimates of the contribution that different ethnic groups have made to the overall prevalence of overweight and obesity in the childhood population of the United States. Assuming that the 1976-1980 prevalence rates had remained unchanged, and then comparing the population had there been no change in ethnic composition with the population given the actual change in ethnicity, the percentage increase was 1.06% in 1985, 1.72% in 1990, 2.57% in 1995, 3.95% in 2000, and 4.39% in 2005.^ Conclusion. The changes in ethnic composition of the population, independent of changes in ethnicity-specific prevalence, have contributed substantially to the current overall prevalence of obesity in the United States childhood population. There are a number of factors that may be responsible for the apparent susceptibility of Mexican-Americans and non-Hispanic blacks to overweight and obesity. Further research is needed on specific characteristics of those populations.^

Change in permeation rates of acids and bases through limited use protective fabrics after repeated wash cycles

The primary objective of this study was to determine if there is a change in permeation rates when limited use protective fabrics undergo repeated exposure and wash cycles. The null hypothesis of this study was that no substantial change in permeation takes place after the test material is subjected to repeated contact with a strong acid or base and has undergone repeated wash cycles. ^ The materials tested were DuPont Tychem® CPF 3 and CPF 4 fabrics. The challenge chemicals in this study were ninety-eight percent sulfuric acid and fifty percent sodium hydroxide. Permeation testing was conducted utilizing ASTM designation F739-99a Standard Test Method for Resistance of Protective Clothing Materials to Permeation by Liquids or Gases Under Conditions of Continuous Contact. ^ In this study, no change in permeation rates of either challenge chemical was detected for CPF 3 or CPF 4 limited use protective fabrics after repeated exposure and wash cycles. Certain unexposed areas of the fabric suffered structural degradation unrelated to exposure and which may be due to multiple washings.^

CHARACTERIZATION OF THE ROLE OF CARMA3 IN ENDOPLASMIC RETICULUM STRESS-INDUCED NF-κB ACTIVATION

Endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress-induced inflammation plays an important role in the progression of many diseases, such as type II diabetes, insulin resistance, cancers, and so on. NF-κB is believed to be a central regulator of ER stress-induced inflammation. However, studies on how ER stress induces NF-κB activation are limited and, in some cases, controversial. In the present study, we utilized two commonly used ER stress inducers, thapsigargin and tunicamycin, to study the mechanism. We found that two caspase-recruitment domain (CARD)-containing proteins, CARMA3 and BCL10, play a crucial roles on ER stress-induced NF-κB activation by regulating IκBα kinase activity. Consistently, we observed that a physiological ER stress inducer, hypoxia, could activate NF-κB in a CARMA3-dependent manner. Additionally, we showed that the activation of the UPR signaling pathways were intact in both CARMA3- and BCL10-deficient cells under ER stress. Together, this study provides insight into the mechanism of how ER stress induces NF-κB activation. It allows us to better understand ER stress-induced inflammation and develop the corresponding therapeutic interference to treat diseases