998 resultados para Distribuições a priori não informativas
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O objetivo deste trabalho foi verificar a qualidade da modelagem da distribuição diamétrica de povoamentos equiâneos de eucalipto, de acordo com a variação na amplitude de classe utilizada. Avaliaram-se tanto o ajuste da função aos dados observados quanto a projeção dos parâmetros da função, por meio de um modelo de distribuição diamétrica. Foram utilizados dados de 48 parcelas permanentes, obtidos em quatro ocasiões. Constatou-se equivalência estatística entre as distribuições observadas e as estimadas pela função Weibull, em todas as situações. A função Weibull ajustou-se adequadamente aos dados, independentemente da amplitude de classe; no entanto, a redistribuição teórica dos diâmetros por classe, por meio de um modelo de distribuição diamétrica, foi afetada pela amplitude de classe.
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MOTIVATION: The analysis of molecular coevolution provides information on the potential functional and structural implication of positions along DNA sequences, and several methods are available to identify coevolving positions using probabilistic or combinatorial approaches. The specific nucleotide or amino acid profile associated with the coevolution process is, however, not estimated, but only known profiles, such as the Watson-Crick constraint, are usually considered a priori in current measures of coevolution. RESULTS: Here, we propose a new probabilistic model, Coev, to identify coevolving positions and their associated profile in DNA sequences while incorporating the underlying phylogenetic relationships. The process of coevolution is modeled by a 16 × 16 instantaneous rate matrix that includes rates of transition as well as a profile of coevolution. We used simulated, empirical and illustrative data to evaluate our model and to compare it with a model of 'independent' evolution using Akaike Information Criterion. We showed that the Coev model is able to discriminate between coevolving and non-coevolving positions and provides better specificity and specificity than other available approaches. We further demonstrate that the identification of the profile of coevolution can shed new light on the process of dependent substitution during lineage evolution.
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Aquesta tesi s’inicia com un treball de recerca i posteriorment passa a formar part delprojecte de recerca BHA2002-02411 fi nançat pel Ministerio de Ciencia y Tecnología, dins elPlan Nacional de I+D+I (2000-2003).La idea principal, però, s’origina a partir d’un encàrrec professional del Museu-Monestir dePedralbes i del Museu d’Història de la Ciutat l’any 2000.Les pintures murals negres (Figura 1) són una de les obres menys vistoses, de les que tenenmenys protagonisme, d’entre les que integren la col·lecció del Museu-Monestir de Pedralbes.No semblen, a priori, l’obra més interessant des del punt de vista d’un encàrrec professionalper a un conservador-restaurador. Però el poc que es coneix de les pintures negres i la sevararesa (es desconeixen altres pintures similars que s’hagin pogut conservar), així com lespatologies derivades del seu arrencament i traspàs l’any 1974, aconsellaven aprofundir en el seu estudi, que, mica en mica, va acabar resultant absorbent.
Resumo:
Aquesta tesi s’inicia com un treball de recerca i posteriorment passa a formar part delprojecte de recerca BHA2002-02411 fi nançat pel Ministerio de Ciencia y Tecnología, dins elPlan Nacional de I+D+I (2000-2003).La idea principal, però, s’origina a partir d’un encàrrec professional del Museu-Monestir dePedralbes i del Museu d’Història de la Ciutat l’any 2000.Les pintures murals negres (Figura 1) són una de les obres menys vistoses, de les que tenenmenys protagonisme, d’entre les que integren la col·lecció del Museu-Monestir de Pedralbes.No semblen, a priori, l’obra més interessant des del punt de vista d’un encàrrec professionalper a un conservador-restaurador. Però el poc que es coneix de les pintures negres i la sevararesa (es desconeixen altres pintures similars que s’hagin pogut conservar), així com lespatologies derivades del seu arrencament i traspàs l’any 1974, aconsellaven aprofundir en el seu estudi, que, mica en mica, va acabar resultant absorbent.
Resumo:
O objetivo deste trabalho foi avaliar o efeito da interação genótipo x ambiente (GxA), nas características peso à desmama e ganho de peso do nascimento à desmama, em machos e fêmeas da raça Simental, nascidos nas estações chuvosa e seca. Foram avaliados 20 mil animais, aos 210 dias de idade. Realizou-se uma análise multicaracterística, que considerou como distinta a mesma característica nos diferentes grupos ambientais, e uma análise unicaracterística, que considerou cada característica como a mesma em todos os grupos ambientais. Ainteração GxA foi avaliada por meio da correlação genética (r g). As interações foram consideradas importantes quando os valores de r g ficaram abaixo de 0,80. As distribuições posteriores das estimativas de herdabilidades mostraram ausência de heterogeneidade de variâncias entre os sexos, entretanto houve interação GxA entre os grupos ambientais. Observaram-se valores de correlação genética de 0,54 a 0,78 e 0,55 a 0,75 para peso à desmama e ganho de peso do nascimento à desmama, respectivamente. As seleções, baseadas tanto na análise unicaracterística quanto na multicaracterística, não mostraram diferenças significativas quanto ao ganho genético dos animais. Há efeito das estações de nascimento nas características avaliadas, em todos os grupos ambientais, e a interação GxA é mais evidente em fêmeas do que em machos.
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O objetivo deste trabalho foi identificar isolados brasileiros de Ralstonia solanacearum quanto a filotipos e sequevares, determinar sua diversidade genética, realizar a associação da estrutura genética do patógeno com sua classificação e origem geográfica e identificar um marcador molecular para a diagnose do moko-da-bananeira. Um grupo de 33 isolados de R. solanacearum, da coleção da Embrapa Tabuleiros Costeiros, coletado de diversos hospedeiros, foi caracterizado por meio de PCR em sequência palindrômica extragênica repetitiva (rep-PCR) e RAPD. Deste grupo, 19 perteciam à raça 2 do patógeno e 14 à raça 1, e 15 isolados eram associados à cultura da bananeira. Os filotipos e sequevares foram caracterizados e determinados por PCR Multiplex. Verificou-se que 82% dos isolados pertencem ao filotipo II, e 12% ao filotipo III. Todos os isolados da bananeira pertencem ao filotipo II. Atécnica de RAPD foi eficiente em agrupar os isolados de acordo com sua origem geográfica; entretanto, ela requer um número elevado de marcas moleculares. Foi possível relacionar os isolados pela análise rep-PCR. O iniciador com sequências repetitivas enterobacterianas intergênicas de consenso (ERIC) possibilitou a separação dos isolados de acordo com a raça, eoiniciador REP permitiua discriminação entre os filotipos. Estas duas análises foram as mais informativas.
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L'article aborde la façon dont la série BD Le Linceul (2003-2006) s'approprie, dans le cadre de la fiction et du récit d'action grand public, le contexte de la réception de l'image acheiropoïète du Saint Suaire, intégrant la référence à des enjeux théologiques et scientifiques au sein d'une histoire à suspense située à différentes époques et dont les nombreux rebondissements s'articulent autour d'une croyance progressive dans le statut sacré de la vera icon. L'examen détaillé de certains choix narratifs et graphiques de l'auteur Laurent Bidot permet de dégager les modalités d'une exploitation contemporaine et (a priori) laïcisée de la figure de Jésus qui, à l'ère des technologies numériques, conserve sa part de mystère. Dans une perspective narratologique, l'interprétation procède principalement de constats liés à l'organisation énonciative de cette production bédéique.
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This paper surveys the literature on the implications of trade liberalisation for intra-national economic geographies. Three results stand out. First, neither urban systems models nor new economic geography models imply a robust prediction for the impact of trade openness on spatial concentration. Whether trade promotes concentration or dispersion depends on subtle modelling choices among which it is impossible to adjudicate a priori. Second, empirical evidence mirrors the theoretical indeterminacy: a majority of cross-country studies find no significant effect of openness on urban concentration or regional inequality. Third, the available models predict that, other things equal, regions with inherently less costly access to foreign markets, such as border or port regions, stand to reap the largest gains from trade liberalisation. This prediction is confirmed by the available evidence. Whether trade liberalisation raises or lowers regional inequality therefore depends on each country's specific geography.
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We report on the study of nonequilibrium ordering in the reaction-diffusion lattice gas. It is a kinetic model that relaxes towards steady states under the simultaneous competition of a thermally activated creation-annihilation $(reaction$) process at temperature T, and a diffusion process driven by a heat bath at temperature T?T. The phase diagram as one varies T and T, the system dimension d, the relative priori probabilities for the two processes, and their dynamical rates is investigated. We compare mean-field theory, new Monte Carlo data, and known exact results for some limiting cases. In particular, no evidence of Landau critical behavior is found numerically when d=2 for Metropolis rates but Onsager critical points and a variety of first-order phase transitions.
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Peer-reviewed
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Electroencephalography (EEG) is an easily accessible and low-cost modality that might prove to be a particularly powerful tool for the identification of subtle functional changes preceding structural or metabolic deficits in progressive mild cognitive impairment (PMCI). Most previous contributions in this field assessed quantitative EEG differences between healthy controls, MCI and Alzheimer's disease(AD) cases leading to contradictory data. In terms of MCI conversion to AD, certain longitudinal studies proposed various quantitative EEG parameters for an a priori distinction between PMCI and stable MCI. However, cross-sectional comparisons revealed a substantial overlap in these parameters between MCI patients and elderly controls. Methodological differences including variable clinical definition of MCI cases and substantial interindividual differences within the MCI group could partly explain these discrepancies. Most importantly, EEG measurements without cognitive demand in both cross-sectional and longitudinal designs have demonstrated limited sensitivity and generally do not produce significant group differences in spectral EEG parameters. Since the evolution of AD is characterized by the progressive loss of functional connectivity within neocortical association areas, event-modulated EEG dynamic analysis which makes it possible to investigate the functional activation of neocortical circuits may represent a more sensitive method to identify early alterations of neuronal networks predictive of AD development among MCI cases. The present review summarizes clinically significant results of EEG activation studies in this field and discusses future perspectives of research aiming to reach an early and individual prediction of cognitive decline in healthy elderly controls.
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O objetivo deste trabalho foi determinar os parâmetros estatísticos da função densidade de probabilidade (FDP) com melhor ajuste aos valores decendiais de precipitação pluvial observados em diversas localidades brasileiras, e também determinar a relação entre precipitação provável (75% de probabilidade, P75%) e precipitação média () nestas localidades. Foram avaliadas cinco FDPs (normal, triangular, gama, exponencial e uniforme), ajustadas a dados provenientes de 43 municípios, de oito estados, em quatro regiões brasileiras. As localidades foram avaliadas isoladamente ou agrupadas de acordo com estados ou tipos climáticos. O teste de aderência de Kolmogorov‑Smirnov foi utilizado para avaliar o ajuste estatístico das FDPs às séries de dados. As distribuições gama e exponencial foram as que mais frequentemente melhor se ajustaram às séries de precipitação pluvial decendial (41,2 e 30,8%, respectivamente). As relações funcionais mais promissoras entre
e P75% foram obtidas nos climas Cwa (R² = 0,82), Aw (R² = 0,70), As (R² = 0,68) e Cwb (R² = 0,62), e nos estados de Goiás (R² = 0,80), São Paulo (R² = 0,76) e Minas Gerais (R² = 0,70). As distribuições normal (19,3%), triangular (2,2%) e uniforme (3,5%) têm menor participação nos melhores ajustes, mas são importantes nas análises para o período seco.
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Annualising work hours (AH) is a means of achievement flexibility in the use of human resources to face the seasonal nature of demand. In Corominas et al. (1) two MILP models are used to solve the problem of planning staff working hours with annual horizon. The costs due to overtime and to the employment of temporary workers are minimised, and the distribution of working time over the course of the year for each worker and the distribution of working time provided by temporary workers are regularised.In the aforementioned paper, the following is assumed: (i) the holiday weeks are fixed a priori and (ii) the workers are from different categories who are able to perform specific type of task have se same efficiency; moreover, the values of the binary variables (and others) in the second model are fixed to those in the first model (thus, in the second model these will intervene as constants and not as variables, resulting in an LP model).In the present paper, these assumptions are relaxed and a more general problem is solved. The computational experiment leads to the conclusion that MILP is a technique suited to dealing with the problem.
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This work provides a general framework for the design of second-order blind estimators without adopting anyapproximation about the observation statistics or the a prioridistribution of the parameters. The proposed solution is obtainedminimizing the estimator variance subject to some constraints onthe estimator bias. The resulting optimal estimator is found todepend on the observation fourth-order moments that can be calculatedanalytically from the known signal model. Unfortunately,in most cases, the performance of this estimator is severely limitedby the residual bias inherent to nonlinear estimation problems.To overcome this limitation, the second-order minimum varianceunbiased estimator is deduced from the general solution by assumingaccurate prior information on the vector of parameters.This small-error approximation is adopted to design iterativeestimators or trackers. It is shown that the associated varianceconstitutes the lower bound for the variance of any unbiasedestimator based on the sample covariance matrix.The paper formulation is then applied to track the angle-of-arrival(AoA) of multiple digitally-modulated sources by means ofa uniform linear array. The optimal second-order tracker is comparedwith the classical maximum likelihood (ML) blind methodsthat are shown to be quadratic in the observed data as well. Simulationshave confirmed that the discrete nature of the transmittedsymbols can be exploited to improve considerably the discriminationof near sources in medium-to-high SNR scenarios.
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La gouvernance de l'Internet est une thématique récente dans la politique mondiale. Néanmoins, elle est devenue au fil des années un enjeu économique et politique important. La question a même pris une importance particulière au cours des derniers mois en devenant un sujet d'actualité récurrent. Forte de ce constat, c ette recherche retrace l'histoire de la gouvernance de l'Internet depuis son émergence comme enjeu politique dans les années 1980 jusqu'à la fin du Sommet Mondial sur la Société de l'Information (SMSI) en 2005. Plutôt que de se focaliser sur l'une ou l'autre des institutions impliquées dans la régulation du réseau informatique mondial, cette recherche analyse l'émergence et l'évolution historique d'un espace de luttes rassemblant un nombre croissant d'acteurs différents. Cette évolution est décrite à travers le prisme de la relation dialectique entre élites et non-élites et de la lutte autour de la définition de la gouvernance de l'Internet. Cette thèse explore donc la question de comment les relations au sein des élites de la gouvernance de l'Internet et entre ces élites et les non-élites expliquent l'emergence, l'évolution et la structuration d'un champ relativement autonome de la politique mondiale centré sur la gouvernance de l'Internet. Contre les perspectives dominantes réaliste et libérales, cette recherche s'ancre dans une approche issue de la combinaison des traditions hétérodoxes en économie politique internationale et des apports de la sociologie politique internationale. Celle-ci s'articule autour des concepts de champ, d'élites et d'hégémonie. Le concept de champ, développé par Bourdieu inspire un nombre croissant d'études de la politique mondiale. Il permet à la fois une étude différenciée de la mondialisation et l'émergence d'espaces de lutte et de domination au niveau transnational. La sociologie des élites, elle, permet une approche pragmatique et centrée sur les acteurs des questions de pouvoir dans la mondialisation. Cette recherche utilise plus particulièrement le concept d'élite du pouvoir de Wright Mills pour étudier l'unification d'élites a priori différentes autour de projets communs. Enfin, cette étude reprend le concept néo-gramscien d'hégémonie afin d'étudier à la fois la stabilité relative du pouvoir d'une élite garantie par la dimension consensuelle de la domination, et les germes de changement contenus dans tout ordre international. A travers l'étude des documents produits au cours de la période étudiée et en s'appuyant sur la création de bases de données sur les réseaux d'acteurs, cette étude s'intéresse aux débats qui ont suivi la commercialisation du réseau au début des années 1990 et aux négociations lors du SMSI. La première période a abouti à la création de l'Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN) en 1998. Cette création est le résultat de la recherche d'un consensus entre les discours dominants des années 1990. C'est également le fruit d'une coalition entre intérêts au sein d'une élite du pouvoir de la gouvernance de l'Internet. Cependant, cette institutionnalisation de l'Internet autour de l'ICANN excluait un certain nombre d'acteurs et de discours qui ont depuis tenté de renverser cet ordre. Le SMSI a été le cadre de la remise en cause du mode de gouvernance de l'Internet par les États exclus du système, des universitaires et certaines ONG et organisations internationales. C'est pourquoi le SMSI constitue la seconde période historique étudiée dans cette thèse. La confrontation lors du SMSI a donné lieu à une reconfiguration de l'élite du pouvoir de la gouvernance de l'Internet ainsi qu'à une redéfinition des frontières du champ. Un nouveau projet hégémonique a vu le jour autour d'éléments discursifs tels que le multipartenariat et autour d'insitutions telles que le Forum sur la Gouvernance de l'Internet. Le succès relatif de ce projet a permis une stabilité insitutionnelle inédite depuis la fin du SMSI et une acceptation du discours des élites par un grand nombre d'acteurs du champ. Ce n'est que récemment que cet ordre a été remis en cause par les pouvoirs émergents dans la gouvernance de l'Internet. Cette thèse cherche à contribuer au débat scientifique sur trois plans. Sur le plan théorique, elle contribue à l'essor d'un dialogue entre approches d'économie politique mondiale et de sociologie politique internationale afin d'étudier à la fois les dynamiques structurelles liées au processus de mondialisation et les pratiques localisées des acteurs dans un domaine précis. Elle insiste notamment sur l'apport de les notions de champ et d'élite du pouvoir et sur leur compatibilité avec les anlayses néo-gramsciennes de l'hégémonie. Sur le plan méthodologique, ce dialogue se traduit par une utilisation de méthodes sociologiques telles que l'anlyse de réseaux d'acteurs et de déclarations pour compléter l'analyse qualitative de documents. Enfin, sur le plan empirique, cette recherche offre une perspective originale sur la gouvernance de l'Internet en insistant sur sa dimension historique, en démontrant la fragilité du concept de gouvernance multipartenaire (multistakeholder) et en se focalisant sur les rapports de pouvoir et les liens entre gouvernance de l'Internet et mondialisation. - Internet governance is a recent issue in global politics. However, it gradually became a major political and economic issue. It recently became even more important and now appears regularly in the news. Against this background, this research outlines the history of Internet governance from its emergence as a political issue in the 1980s to the end of the World Summit on the Information Society (WSIS) in 2005. Rather than focusing on one or the other institution involved in Internet governance, this research analyses the emergence and historical evolution of a space of struggle affecting a growing number of different actors. This evolution is described through the analysis of the dialectical relation between elites and non-elites and through the struggle around the definition of Internet governance. The thesis explores the question of how the relations among the elites of Internet governance and between these elites and non-elites explain the emergence, the evolution, and the structuration of a relatively autonomous field of world politics centred around Internet governance. Against dominant realist and liberal perspectives, this research draws upon a cross-fertilisation of heterodox international political economy and international political sociology. This approach focuses on concepts such as field, elites and hegemony. The concept of field, as developed by Bourdieu, is increasingly used in International Relations to build a differentiated analysis of globalisation and to describe the emergence of transnational spaces of struggle and domination. Elite sociology allows for a pragmatic actor-centred analysis of the issue of power in the globalisation process. This research particularly draws on Wright Mill's concept of power elite in order to explore the unification of different elites around shared projects. Finally, this thesis uses the Neo-Gramscian concept of hegemony in order to study both the consensual dimension of domination and the prospect of change contained in any international order. Through the analysis of the documents produced within the analysed period, and through the creation of databases of networks of actors, this research focuses on the debates that followed the commercialisation of the Internet throughout the 1990s and during the WSIS. The first time period led to the creation of the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN) in 1998. This creation resulted from the consensus-building between the dominant discourses of the time. It also resulted from the coalition of interests among an emerging power elite. However, this institutionalisation of Internet governance around the ICANN excluded a number of actors and discourses that resisted this mode of governance. The WSIS became the institutional framework within which the governance system was questioned by some excluded states, scholars, NGOs and intergovernmental organisations. The confrontation between the power elite and counter-elites during the WSIS triggered a reconfiguration of the power elite as well as a re-definition of the boundaries of the field. A new hegemonic project emerged around discursive elements such as the idea of multistakeholderism and institutional elements such as the Internet Governance Forum. The relative success of the hegemonic project allowed for a certain stability within the field and an acceptance by most non-elites of the new order. It is only recently that this order began to be questioned by the emerging powers of Internet governance. This research provides three main contributions to the scientific debate. On the theoretical level, it contributes to the emergence of a dialogue between International Political Economy and International Political Sociology perspectives in order to analyse both the structural trends of the globalisation process and the located practices of actors in a given issue-area. It notably stresses the contribution of concepts such as field and power elite and their compatibility with a Neo-Gramscian framework to analyse hegemony. On the methodological level, this perspective relies on the use of mixed methods, combining qualitative content analysis with social network analysis of actors and statements. Finally, on the empirical level, this research provides an original perspective on Internet governance. It stresses the historical dimension of current Internet governance arrangements. It also criticise the notion of multistakeholde ism and focuses instead on the power dynamics and the relation between Internet governance and globalisation.