Forecasts of relative performance in tournaments: Evidence from the field

This paper uses a field experiment to investigate the quality of individuals’ forecasts of relative performance in tournaments. We ask players in luck-based (poker) and skill-based (chess) tournaments to make point forecasts of rank. The main finding of the paper is that players’ forecasts in both types of tournaments are biased towards overestimation of relative performance. However, the size of the biases found is not as large as the ones often reported in the psychology literature. We also find support for the “unskilled and unaware hypothesis” in chess: high skilled chess players make better forecasts than low skilled chess players. Finally, we find that chess players’ forecasts of relative performance are not efficient.

Semantic enrichment of knowledge sources supported by domain ontologies

This thesis introduces a novel conceptual framework to support the creation of knowledge representations based on enriched Semantic Vectors, using the classical vector space model approach extended with ontological support. One of the primary research challenges addressed here relates to the process of formalization and representation of document contents, where most existing approaches are limited and only take into account the explicit, word-based information in the document. This research explores how traditional knowledge representations can be enriched through incorporation of implicit information derived from the complex relationships (semantic associations) modelled by domain ontologies with the addition of information presented in documents. The relevant achievements pursued by this thesis are the following: (i) conceptualization of a model that enables the semantic enrichment of knowledge sources supported by domain experts; (ii) development of a method for extending the traditional vector space, using domain ontologies; (iii) development of a method to support ontology learning, based on the discovery of new ontological relations expressed in non-structured information sources; (iv) development of a process to evaluate the semantic enrichment; (v) implementation of a proof-of-concept, named SENSE (Semantic Enrichment kNowledge SourcEs), which enables to validate the ideas established under the scope of this thesis; (vi) publication of several scientific articles and the support to 4 master dissertations carried out by the department of Electrical and Computer Engineering from FCT/UNL. It is worth mentioning that the work developed under the semantic referential covered by this thesis has reused relevant achievements within the scope of research European projects, in order to address approaches which are considered scientifically sound and coherent and avoid “reinventing the wheel”.

Automatic delimitation of the clinical region of interest in ultra-wide field of view images of the retina

Retinal ultra-wide field of view images (fundus images) provides the visu-alization of a large part of the retina though, artifacts may appear in those images. Eyelashes and eyelids often cover the clinical region of interest and worse, eye-lashes can be mistaken with arteries and/or veins when those images are put through automatic diagnosis or segmentation software creating, in those cases, the appearance of false positives results. Correcting this problem, the first step in the development of qualified auto-matic diseases diagnosis programs can be done and in that way the development of an objective tool to assess diseases eradicating the human error from those processes can also be achieved. In this work the development of a tool that automatically delimitates the clinical region of interest is proposed by retrieving features from the images that will be analyzed by an automatic classifier. This automatic classifier will evaluate the information and will decide which part of the image is of interest and which part contains artifacts. The results were validated by implementing a software in C# language and validated through a statistical analysis. From those results it was confirmed that the methodology presented is capable of detecting artifacts and selecting the clin-ical region of interest in fundus images of the retina.

Caracterização de cepas de referência de Leptospira sp utilizando a técnica de pulsed field gel electrophoresis

INTRODUÇÃO: A leptospirose é uma zoonose endêmica, mundialmente distribuída, causada por bactérias do gênero Leptospira. Este gênero compreende espécies patogênicas e saprofíticas, com mais de 200 sorovares distintos, dificultando sua caracterização. A técnica de pulsed field gel electrophoresis tem sido empregada como uma ferramenta para auxiliar nesta caracterização. Os objetivos deste trabalho foram padronizar a técnica de PFGE, determinar os perfis moleculares das cepas de referência utilizadas pelo Laboratório de Referência Nacional para Leptospirose/Centro Colaborador da Organização Mundial de Saúde para Leptospirose e criar um banco de dados com estes perfis. MÉTODOS: Foram analisadas, por PFGE, dezenove cepas utilizando a enzima de restrição NotI. RESULTADOS: Cada cepa apresentou um perfil único que pode ser considerado como uma identidade genômica específica, com exceção dos sorovares Icterohaemorrhagiae e Copenhageni, cujos perfis foram indistinguíveis. CONCLUSÕES: Dessa forma, foi possível a criação de um banco de perfis moleculares que está sendo utilizado no Laboratório para a comparação e identificação de cepas isoladas de quadros clínicos.

Outbreak of neonatal infection by an endemic clone of Serratia marcescens

INTRODUCTION: The outbreak occurred between February and June 2006 and included identification of the cases, analysis of medical records, cultures from environmental sources, resistance analyses and genotyping profile of Serratia marcescens. METHODS: The cultures were composed of 13 blood isolates, 17 rectal and hand swabs and air sampling. RESULTS: The data obtained by pulsed-field gel electrophoresis exhibited three strains that contaminated 24 patients. Systemic infection was the most common in neonates with lower weight, long periods of hospitalization, premature delivery and the use of mechanical ventilation. CONCLUSIONS: This investigation revealed the multifactorial nature of the outbreak. An endemic clone of S. marcescens was detected.

Photochemical degradation of triclosan: a comparison between different light sources

New emerging contaminants could represent a danger to the environment and Humanity with repercussions not yet known. One of the major worldwide pharmaceutical and personal care productions are antimicrobials products, triclosan, is an antimicrobial agent present in most products. Despite the high removal rate of triclosan present in wastewater treatments, triclosan levels are on the rise in the environment through disposal of wastewater effluent and use of sewage sludge in land application. Regulated in the EC/1272/2008 (annex VI, table 3.1), this compound is considered very toxic to aquatic life and it has been reported that photochemical transformation of triclosan produces dioxins. In the current work it was defined three objectives; determination of the most efficient process in triclosan degradation, recurring to photochemical degradation methods comparing different sources of light; identification of the main by-products formed during the degradation and the study of the influence of the Fenton and photo-Fenton reaction. Photochemical degradation methods such as: photocatalysis under florescent light (UV), photocatalysis under visible light (sunlight), photocatalysis under LEDs, photo-Fenton and Fenton reaction have been compared in this work. The degradation of triclosan was visualized through gas chromatography/mass spectrometry (GC/MS). In this study photo-Fenton reaction has successfully oxidized triclosan to H2O and CO2 without any by-products within 2 hours. Photocatalysis by titanium dioxide (TiO2) under LEDs was possible, having a degradation rate of 53% in an 8 hours essay. The degradation rate of the Fenton reaction, UV light and sunlight showed degradation between 90% and 95%. The results are reported to the data observed without statistic support, since this was not possible during the work period. Hydroquinone specie and 2,4-dichlorophenol by-products were identified in the first hour of photocatalysis by UV. A common compound, possibly identified has C7O4H , was present at the degradation by UV, sunlight and LEDs and was concluded to be a contaminant. In the future more studies in the use of LEDs should be undertaken given the advantages of long durability and low consumption of energy of these lamps and that due to their negative impact on the environment fluorescent lamps are being progressively made unavailable by governments, requiring new solutions to be found. Fenton and photo-Fenton reactions can also be costly processes given the expensive reagents used.

Numerical prediction of diffusion and electric field-induced iron nanoparticle transport

Zero valent iron nanoparticles (nZVI) are considered very promising for the remediation of contaminated soils and groundwaters. However, an important issue related to their limited mobility remains unsolved. Direct current can be used to enhance the nanoparticles transport, based on the same principles of electrokinetic remediation. In this work, a generalized physicochemical model was developed and solved numerically to describe the nZVI transport through porous media under electric field, and with different electrolytes (with different ionic strengths). The model consists of the Nernst–Planck coupled system of equations, which accounts for the mass balance of ionic species in a fluid medium, when both the diffusion and electromigration of the ions are considered. The diffusion and electrophoretic transport of the negatively charged nZVI particles were also considered in the system. The contribution of electroosmotic flow to the overall mass transport was included in the model for all cases. The nZVI effective mobility values in the porous medium are very low (10−7–10−4 cm2 V−1 s−1), due to the counterbalance between the positive electroosmotic flow and the electrophoretic transport of the negatively charged nanoparticles. The higher the nZVI concentration is in the matrix, the higher the aggregation; therefore, low concentration of nZVI suspensions must be used for successful field application.

Evolution of reputation in networks: A mean field game approach

This work models the competitive behaviour of individuals who maximize their own utility managing their network of connections with other individuals. Utility is taken as a synonym of reputation in this model. Each agent has to decide between two variables: the quality of connections and the number of connections. Hence, the reputation of an individual is a function of the number and the quality of connections within the network. On the other hand, individuals incur in a cost when they improve their network of contacts. The initial value of the quality and number of connections of each individual is distributed according to an initial (given) distribution. The competition occurs over continuous time and among a continuum of agents. A mean field game approach is adopted to solve the model, leading to an optimal trajectory for the number and quality of connections for each individual.

Occurrence of Triatoma costalimai (Hemiptera: Reduviidae) in different environments and climatic seasons: a field study in the Brazilian savanna

INTRODUCTION: Trypanosoma cruzi-infected specimens of Triatoma costalimai have been detected in domiciliary units of Central Brazil, thereby maintaining the potential risk of vectorial transmission of Chagas disease. The aim of this study was to determine the occurrence and natural infection of T. costalimai in different environments (gallery forest, dry forest and peridomicile) and climatic seasons (wet and dry), in the municipality of Mambaí, State of Goiás, Brazil. METHODS: Triatomines were captured in October 2010 and in June 2011, employing two different methods (manual capture and mouse-baited adhesive traps). The insects were later separated by sex and nymphal stage, counted and examined parasitologically by abdominal compression and microscopic analysis of feces. RESULTS: Triatoma costalimai was found in three environments and in the two seasons studied. Overall, capture success of 900 traps and 60 blocks of rocks inspected was 5.8% and 11.7%, respectively. The occurrence of T. costalimai was higher among rocks in the peridomicile, where 97% of the 131 specimens were captured. The proportion of nymphs (98%) was much higher than that of adults, which were only detected in peridomicile. Most (95%) insects were captured during the wet season, with predominance of early-stage nymphs. None of the 43 specimens examined were infected by trypanosomatids. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate a greater occurrence of T. costalimai in peridomiciliary environments and during the wet season in Mambaí, Goiás, highlighting the synanthropic behavior of this triatomine species in one area of the Brazilian savanna and the importance of entomological surveillance.

Spraying food sources with pyrethroid to control peridomestic triatomines

Introduction We attempted to supplement traditional insecticide spraying by treating peridomiciliar food sources with a powder formulation. Methods Two groups of houses were treated with deltamethrin suspension concentrate (SC), one of which had its primary peridomestic food sources treated with deltamethrin 2P. Results Triatoma brasiliensis was the most commonly captured triatomine. Birds, dogs and rodents were the major food sources identified by the precipitin reaction; 554 domestic animals received powder treatment. A sharp reduction in infestation rates was observed in the two groups up to 360 days after spraying. Conclusion The combination SC + 2P did not improve the control of triatomines.

Impact of insecticide resistance on the field control of Aedes aegypti in the State of São Paulo

IntroductionThe need to control dengue transmission by means of insecticides has led to the development of resistance to most of the products used worldwide against mosquitoes. In the State of São Paulo, the Superintendência de Controle de Endemias(SUCEN) has annually monitored the susceptibility of Aedes aegypti to insecticides since 1996; since 1999, surveys were conducted in collaboration with the National Network of Laboratories (MoReNAa Network) and were coordinated by the Ministry of Health. In this study, in addition to the biological characterization of insecticide resistance in the laboratory, the impact of resistance on field control was evaluated for vector populations that showed resistance in laboratory assays.MethodsField efficacy tests with larvicides and adulticides were performed over a 13-year period, using World Health Organization protocols.ResultsData from the field tests showed a reduction in the residual effect of temephos on populations with a resistance ratio of 3. For adults, field control was less effective in populations characterized as resistant in laboratory qualitative assays, and this was confirmed using qualitative assays and field evaluation.ConclusionsOur results indicated that management of resistance development needs to be adopted when insect populations show reduced susceptibility. The use of insecticides is a self-limiting tool that needs to be applied cautiously, and dengue control requires more sustainable strategies.

Detection of intestinal parasites on field-grown strawberries in the Federal District of Brazil

Introduction This study evaluated the presence of pathogenic human parasites on field-grown strawberries in the Federal District of Brazil. Methods A total of 48 samples of strawberries and 48 soil samples from 16 properties were analyzed. Results Contaminated strawberries were detected in 56% of the properties. Schistosoma mansoni, Ascaris lumbricoides or Ascaris suum, Balantidium coli, Endolimax nana, and Entamoeba spp. were detected. Soil was contaminated with Entamoeba spp., Entamoeba coli, Strongyloides spp., Ancylostomatidae, and Hymenolepis nana. Conclusions Producers should be instructed on the safe handling of strawberries in order to reduce the incidence of strawberries that are contaminated with enteroparasites.

Aedes aegypti eggs oviposited on water surface collected from field ovitraps in Nova Iguaçu City, Brazil

ABSTRACT INTRODUCTION: Aedes aegypti eggs can be collected from the water surface. METHODS: Aedes aegypti oviposition from 97 field ovitraps was studied. RESULTS: Of the 16,016 eggs collected, 11,439 were obtained from paddles in ovitraps and 4,577 from water. Further, 89 (91.8%) traps contained eggs on water and 22 (22.7%) traps contained eggs only on water. CONCLUSIONS: In field traps, Aedes aegypti females usually oviposit some eggs on water surface suggesting that they might also oviposit on water of some natural breeding, and this possibility needs to be investigated. Eggs oviposited on water need to be considered for collecting trap data.

Field-effect transistors based on Zinc oxide nanoparticles

This work reports the development of field-effect transistors (FETs), whose channel is based on zinc oxide (ZnO) nanoparticles (NPs). Using screen-printing as the primary deposition technique, different inks were developed, where the semiconducting ink is based on a ZnO NPs dispersion in ethyl cellulose (EC). These inks were used to print electrolyte-gated transistors (EGTs) in a staggered-top gate structure on glass substrates, using a lithium-based polymeric electrolyte. In another approach, FETs with a staggered-bottom gate structure on paper were developed using a sol-gel method to functionalize the paper’s surface with ZnO NPs, using zinc acetate dihydrate (ZnC4H6O4·2H2O) and sodium hydroxide (NaOH) as precursors. In this case, the paper itself was used as dielectric. The various layers of the two devices were characterized using X-ray diffraction (XRD), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), Fourier Transform Infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), thermogravimetric and differential scanning calorimetric analyses (TG-DSC). Electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) was used in order to evaluate the electric double-layer (EDL) formation, in the case of the EGTs. The ZnO NPs EGTs present electrical modulation for annealing temperatures equal or superior to 300 ºC and in terms of electrical properties they showed On/Off ratios in the order of 103, saturation mobilities (μSat) of 1.49x10-1 cm2(Vs)-1 and transconductance (gm) of 10-5 S. On the other hand, the ZnO NPs FETs on paper exhibited On/Off ratios in the order of 102, μSat of 4.83x10- 3 cm2(Vs)-1and gm around 10-8 S.