Impact of adjunct cytogenetic abnormalities for prognostic stratification in patients with myelodysplastic syndrome and deletion 5q.

This cooperative study assessed prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and risk of transformation to acute myeloid leukemia (AML) in 541 patients with de novo myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) and deletion 5q. Additional chromosomal abnormalities were strongly related to different patients' characteristics. In multivariate analysis, the most important predictors of both OS and AML transformation risk were number of chromosomal abnormalities (P<0.001 for both outcomes), platelet count (P<0.001 and P=0.001, respectively) and proportion of bone marrow blasts (P<0.001 and P=0.016, respectively). The number of chromosomal abnormalities defined three risk categories for AML transformation (del(5q), del(5q)+1 and del(5q)+ ≥ 2 abnormalities) and two for OS (one group: del(5q) and del(5q)+1; and del(5q)+ ≥ 2 abnormalities, as the other one); with a median survival time of 58.0 and 6.8 months, respectively. Platelet count (P=0.001) and age (P=0.034) predicted OS in patients with '5q-syndrome'. This study demonstrates the importance of additional chromosomal abnormalities in MDS patients with deletion 5q, challenges the current '5q-syndrome' definition and constitutes a useful reference series to properly analyze the results of clinical trials in these patients.

Troponin-based risk stratification of patients with acute nonmassive pulmonary embolism: systematic review and metaanalysis.

BACKGROUND: Controversy exists regarding the usefulness of troponin testing for the risk stratification of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). We conducted an updated systematic review and a metaanalysis of troponin-based risk stratification of normotensive patients with acute symptomatic PE. The sources of our data were publications listed in Medline and Embase from 1980 through April 2008 and a review of cited references in those publications. METHODS: We included all studies that estimated the relation between troponin levels and the incidence of all-cause mortality in normotensive patients with acute symptomatic PE. Two reviewers independently abstracted data and assessed study quality. From the literature search, 596 publications were screened. Nine studies that consisted of 1,366 normotensive patients with acute symptomatic PE were deemed eligible. Pooled results showed that elevated troponin levels were associated with a 4.26-fold increased odds of overall mortality (95% CI, 2.13 to 8.50; heterogeneity chi(2) = 12.64; degrees of freedom = 8; p = 0.125). Summary receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed a relationship between the sensitivity and specificity of troponin levels to predict overall mortality (Spearman rank correlation coefficient = 0.68; p = 0.046). Pooled likelihood ratios (LRs) were not extreme (negative LR, 0.59 [95% CI, 0.39 to 0.88]; positive LR, 2.26 [95% CI, 1.66 to 3.07]). The Begg rank correlation method did not detect evidence of publication bias. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this metaanalysis indicate that elevated troponin levels do not adequately discern normotensive patients with acute symptomatic PE who are at high risk for death from those who are at low risk for death.

Canopy stratification in peatland forests in Finland

Abstract

Growth and demise of Permian biogenic chert along northwest Pangea: evidence for end-Permian collapse of thermohaline circulation

The Permian Chert Event (PCE) was a 30 Ma long episode of unusual chert accumulation along the northwest margin of Pangea, and possibly worldwide. The onset of the PCE occurred at about the Sakmarian-Artinskian boundary in the Sverdrup Basin, Canadian Arctic, where it coincides with a maximum flooding event, the ending of high-frequency/high-amplitude shelf cyclicity, the onset of massive biogenic chert deposition in deep-water distal areas, and a long-term shift from warm- to cool-water carbonate sedimentation in shallow-water proximal areas. A similar and coeval shift is observed from the Barents Sea to the northwestern USA. A landward and southward expansion of silica factories occurred during the Middle and Late Permian at which time warm-water carbonate producers disappeared completely from the northwest margin of Pangea. Biotically impoverished and increasingly narrow cold-water carbonate factories (characterised by non-cemented bioclasts of sponges, bryozoans, echinoderms and brachiopods) were then progressively replaced by silica factories. By Late Permian time, little carbonate sediments accumulated in the Barents Sea and in the Sverdrup Basin. where the deep- to shallow-water sedimentary spectrum was occupied by siliceous sponge spicules. By that time, biogenic silica sedimentation was common throughout the world. Silica factories collapsed in the Late Permian, abruptly bringing the PCE to an end. In northwest Pangea, the end- Permian collapse of the PCE was associated with a major transgression and with a return to much warmer oceanic and continental climatic conditions. Chert deposition resumed in the distal oceanic areas during the early Middle Triassic (Anisian) after a 8-10 Ma interruption (Early Triassic Chert Gap). The conditions necessary for the onset, expansion and zenith of the PCE were provided by the thermohaline circulation of nutrient-rich cold waters along the northwestern and western margin of Pangea, and possibly throughout the world oceans. These conditions provided an efficient transportation mechanism that constantly replenished the supply of silica in the area, created a nutrient- and oxygen-rich environment favouring siliceous biogenic productivity. established cold sea-floor conditions, hindering silica dissolution, while increasing calcium carbonate solubility, and provided conditions adverse to organic and inorganic carbonate production, The northwest margin of Pangea was, for nearly 30 Ma. bathed by cold waters presumably derived from the seasonal melting of northern sea ice, the assumed engine for thermohaline circulation. This process started near the Sakmarian-Artinskian boundary. intensified throughout Middle and Late Permian time and ceased suddenly in latest Permian time, It led to oceanic conditions much colder than normally expected from the palaeolatitudes. and the influence of cold northerly-derived water was felt as far south southern Nevada. The demise of silica factories was caused by the rapid breakdown of these conditions and the establishment of a much warmer marine environment accompanied by sluggish circulation and perhaps a reduced input of dissolved silica to the ocean. Complete thawing of northern sea ice would have ended thermohaline circulation and led to warm and sluggish oceanic conditions inimical to the production. accumulation and preservation of biogenic silica.

Germination and development of pecan cultivar seedlings by seed stratification

Abstract: The objective of this work was to evaluate the effect of seed stratification on germination rate, germination speed, and initial development of seedlings of six pecan (Carya illinoinensis) cultivars under subtropical climatic conditions in southern Brazil. For stratification, the seeds were placed in boxes with moist sand, in a cold chamber at 4°C, for 90 days. In the fourteenth week after sowing, the emergence speed index, total emergence, plant height, stem diameter, and number of leaves were evaluated. Seed stratification significantly improves the germination potential and morphological traits of the evaluated cultivars.

PAX3/FOXO1 fusion gene status is the key prognostic molecular marker in rhabdomyosarcoma and significantly improves current risk stratification.

PURPOSE: To improve the risk stratification of patients with rhabdomyosarcoma (RMS) through the use of clinical and molecular biologic data. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Two independent data sets of gene-expression profiling for 124 and 101 patients with RMS were used to derive prognostic gene signatures by using a meta-analysis. These and a previously published metagene signature were evaluated by using cross validation analyses. A combined clinical and molecular risk-stratification scheme that incorporated the PAX3/FOXO1 fusion gene status was derived from 287 patients with RMS and evaluated. RESULTS: We showed that our prognostic gene-expression signature and the one previously published performed well with reproducible and significant effects. However, their effect was reduced when cross validated or tested in independent data and did not add new prognostic information over the fusion gene status, which is simpler to assay. Among nonmetastatic patients, patients who were PAX3/FOXO1 positive had a significantly poorer outcome compared with both alveolar-negative and PAX7/FOXO1-positive patients. Furthermore, a new clinicomolecular risk score that incorporated fusion gene status (negative and PAX3/FOXO1 and PAX7/FOXO1 positive), Intergroup Rhabdomyosarcoma Study TNM stage, and age showed a significant increase in performance over the current risk-stratification scheme. CONCLUSION: Gene signatures can improve current stratification of patients with RMS but will require complex assays to be developed and extensive validation before clinical application. A significant majority of their prognostic value was encapsulated by the fusion gene status. A continuous risk score derived from the combination of clinical parameters with the presence or absence of PAX3/FOXO1 represents a robust approach to improving current risk-adapted therapy for RMS.

De la stratification sociale à la mobilité : une analyse du positionnement professionnel perçu

Avant-propos : De nombreuses études ont été réalisées sur les inégalités factuelles des structures sociales, comprenant aussi bien l'aspect statique de la stratification sociale que l'aspect dynamique de la mobilité sociale (voir par exemple Levy et Suter, 2002, Lemel, 1991, Erikson et Goldthorpe, 1992, Esping-Andersen, 1993). Par contre, les recherches portant sur la perception, par les acteurs, des inégalités des structures sociales sont en comparaison peu nombreuses en ce qui concerne les représentations de la stratification sociale (Levy et al., 1997, Lorenzi-Cioldi et Joye, 1988, Coxon, Davies et Jones, 1986, Zwicky, 1989) et presque inexistantes dans le cas des représentations de la mobilité sociale (Attias-Donfut et Wolff, 2001). La présente recherche se propose d'étudier simultanément la perception de la stratification sociale et de la mobilité sociale intragénérationnelle par les acteurs en intégrant le caractère multidimensionnel du système d'inégalités. Elle défend la thèse fondamentale d'une double origine des inégalités perçues, qui participeraient à la fois d'aspects macrosociaux et mésosociaux de la stratification sociale, les premiers portant sur la structure sociale dans son ensemble, les seconds sur une partie seulement de celle-ci (voir par exemple Kelley et Evans, 1995, Levy, 2002). Dans une perspective systémique, on se trouverait, à côté de la structure macrosociale, en présence de sous-systèmes mésosociaux, de portée restreinte. La perception de la stratification sociale dépendrait alors du cadre de référence adopté par les acteurs, selon qu'il porte sur le système dans son ensemble ou sur un sous-système. Un des objectifs de cette recherche sera d'établir que la pertinence des cadres de référence macrosocial et mésosocial est étroitement liée à la lecture statique ou dynamique de la stratification sociale. Dans le cas statique, celui du positionnement, les représentations sociales s'articuleraient autour des inégalités macrosociales, tenant compte du système dans son ensemble, tandis que dans le cas dynamique, celui de la mobilité ou de l'évolution du positionnement, les inégalités mésosociales, propres aux sous-systèmes, l'emporteraient. D'une part, la perception du positionnement social dépendrait de l'insertion de l'acteur dans la structure sociale, comprise dans son ensemble, et reproduirait les inégalités factuelles macrosociales, telles qu'elles apparaissent par exemple au travers des catégories socioprofessionnelles. D'autre part, la perception du parcours de mobilité ? conservation, amélioration ou dégradation de la position perçue ? resterait indépendante des changements macrosociaux de l'insertion, mais relèverait avant tout de déterminants propres à l'environnement social immédiat de l'acteur. L'environnement de l'acteur, en tant qu'il s'inscrit dans une partie restreinte de la structure sociale, permettrait de saisir les inégalités mésosociales. L'expérience, par les acteurs, de ces deux aspects de la structure sociale conduirait à la mise en place de deux types d'inégalités perçues irréductibles les unes aux autres dans la mesure où le système macrosocial et les sous-systèmes mésosociaux présentent une certaine autonomie. Cette autonomie peut être vue d'une part en rapport avec l'importance propre des organisations de nature mésosociale - en particulier les entreprises - dans les sociétés contemporaines (Sainsaulieu et Segrestin, 1986, Perrow, 1991), d'autre part en relation avec l'hétérogénéité que ces dernières induisent en termes de segmentation du marché de l'emploi (Baron et Bielby, 1980). Dans une large mesure, les organisations intermédiaires se distinguent ainsi de la structure sociale prise dans son ensemble: plutôt que de reproduire les inégalités macrosociales, elles constitueraient des systèmes d'inégalités indépendants, notamment quant à la régulation des parcours professionnels (Bertaux, 1977). Ainsi, la perception de la structure sociale ne se réduirait pas aux seuls facteurs macrosociaux, mais dépendrait, en l'absence d'un modèle d'organisation mésosocial unique, de la diversité des structures intermédiaires. On peut d'ailleurs supposer que la prise en compte des organisations mésosociales est susceptible de pallier la faiblesse des explications classiques en termes macrosociologiques, relevées par les tenants des thèses avançant le déclin du pouvoir structurant de la stratification sociale ou du travail (voir Levy, 2002 et, sur les thèses citées, par exemple Beck, 1983, Matthes, 1983, Berger et Hradil, 1990, Clark et Lipset, 1991). En effet, dans la mesure où l'acteur serait plus souvent confronté aux structures de son environnement social immédiat plutôt qu'à la structure sociale dans son ensemble, la perception pourrait dépendre en premier lieu de facteurs mésosociaux, susceptibles de supplanter ou, à tout le moins, d'atténuer l'effet des facteurs macrosociaux. Une telle approche permet de conserver une lecture structurelle de la perception du positionnement en enrichissant la relation classique entre structure macrosociale et acteur d'une composante mésosociologique, évitant ainsi le recours à une explication culturelle ad hoc Dès lors, la principale question de recherche s'adresse au lien entre structure sociale factuelle et structure sociale perçue. Dans la perspective statique du positionnement, l'effet des structures mésosociales serait tel qu'il se superposerait à la détermination macrosociale de la perception, sans pour autant subvertir la hiérarchie des positions induites par les catégories socioprofessionnelles. Dans la perspective dynamique, en revanche, les changements liés à l'insertion mésosociale peuvent l'emporter sur l'immobilité ou la mobilité définies en termes macrosociologiques. D'une part, en supposant que les plans mésosocial et macrosocial agissent de manière plus ou moins autonome sur la perception, l'amélioration, la conservation ou la dégradation de la position ne coïncide pas nécessairement selon ces deux plans. D'autre part, l'ampleur de la mobilité perçue due à l'écart entre le positionnement mésosocial passé et actuel peut dépasser celle qui est liée à la mobilité macrosociale, surtout si cette dernière est de faible distance. Le passage de la perspective statique à la perspective dynamique peut dès lors être vu comme un moyen de faire apparaître le rôle fondamental joué par les structures mésosociales au sein de la stratification sociale. L'orientation de la recherche consistera d'abord à mettre en évidence, par-delà les différences macrosociales des représentations des positions professionnelles, les variations de la perception au sein des catégories socioprofessionnelles. Ces étapes montreront, à différents égards, que les représentations se singularisent en relation avec l'insertion mésosociale de l'acteur. On verra également que la perception de la mobilité échappe à une détermination macrosociale, mais qu'elle présente une cohérence mésosociale certaine. Ces résultats, insistant sur la prise en compte des structures mésosociales, nous amèneront enfin à un examen systématique des déterminants de la perception du positionnement et du parcours de mobilité, mettant en oeuvre une variété de facteurs explicatifs dépassant un cadre d'analyse purement structurel. La recherche débute par une discussion de la place qui revient à une étude des représentations du parcours professionnel dans le champ des travaux sur la stratification et la mobilité sociale, en particulier sa justification théorique et empirique, et la formulation des hypothèses de recherche (chapitre 1). Elle se poursuit par la présentation de l'échantillonnage et des variables utilisées (chapitre 2). Le traitement des hypothèses de recherche fait l'objet de trois chapitres distincts. Chaque hypothèse s'accompagne, en plus des développements liés à son examen, d'une introduction et d'une conclusion spécifiques. Le premier (chapitre 3) porte sur la perception de la stratification sociale des positions professionnelles, le second (chapitre 4) sur la perception du parcours de mobilité et le troisième (chapitre 5) sur les déterminants sociologiques de la perception des inégalités liées au positionnement et à la mobilité professionnels. Enfin, au traitement des hypothèses fait suite la conclusion de la recherche (chapitre 6).

Stratification of the severity of critically ill patients with classification trees

Background: Development of three classification trees (CT) based on the CART (Classification and Regression Trees), CHAID (Chi-Square Automatic Interaction Detection) and C4.5 methodologies for the calculation of probability of hospital mortality; the comparison of the results with the APACHE II, SAPS II and MPM II-24 scores, and with a model based on multiple logistic regression (LR). Methods: Retrospective study of 2864 patients. Random partition (70:30) into a Development Set (DS) n = 1808 and Validation Set (VS) n = 808. Their properties of discrimination are compared with the ROC curve (AUC CI 95%), Percent of correct classification (PCC CI 95%); and the calibration with the Calibration Curve and the Standardized Mortality Ratio (SMR CI 95%). Results: CTs are produced with a different selection of variables and decision rules: CART (5 variables and 8 decision rules), CHAID (7 variables and 15 rules) and C4.5 (6 variables and 10 rules). The common variables were: inotropic therapy, Glasgow, age, (A-a)O2 gradient and antecedent of chronic illness. In VS: all the models achieved acceptable discrimination with AUC above 0.7. CT: CART (0.75(0.71-0.81)), CHAID (0.76(0.72-0.79)) and C4.5 (0.76(0.73-0.80)). PCC: CART (72(69- 75)), CHAID (72(69-75)) and C4.5 (76(73-79)). Calibration (SMR) better in the CT: CART (1.04(0.95-1.31)), CHAID (1.06(0.97-1.15) and C4.5 (1.08(0.98-1.16)). Conclusion: With different methodologies of CTs, trees are generated with different selection of variables and decision rules. The CTs are easy to interpret, and they stratify the risk of hospital mortality. The CTs should be taken into account for the classification of the prognosis of critically ill patients.

Stratification of regional sampling by model-predicted changes of carbon stocks in Forested mineral soils

Selective papers of the workshop on "Development of models and forest soil surveys for monitoring of soil carbon", Koli, Finland, April 5-9 2006.

Improving the calculation of rate of stratification in APROS

APROS (Advanced Process Simulation Environment) is a computer simulation program developed to simulate thermal hydraulic processes in nuclear and conventional power plants. Earlier research at VTT Technological Research Centre of Finland had found the current version of APROS to produce inaccurate simulation results for a certain case of loop seal clearing. The objective of this Master’s thesis is to find and implement an alternative method for calculating the rate of stratification in APROS, which was found to be the reason for the inaccuracies. Brief literature study was performed and a promising candidate for the new method was found. The new method was implemented into APROS and tested against experiments and simulations from two test facilities and the current version of APROS. Simulation results with the new version were partially conflicting; in some cases the new method was more accurate than the current version, in some the current method was better. Overall, the new method can be assessed as an improvement.

Modelling of hydrogen stratification and gas mixing in containment using the APROS code

Hydrogen stratification and atmosphere mixing is a very important phenomenon in nuclear reactor containments when severe accidents are studied and simulated. Hydrogen generation, distribution and accumulation in certain parts of containment may pose a great risk to pressure increase induced by hydrogen combustion, and thus, challenge the integrity of NPP containment. The accurate prediction of hydrogen distribution is important with respect to the safety design of a NPP. Modelling methods typically used for containment analyses include both lumped parameter and field codes. The lumped parameter method is universally used in the containment codes, because its versatility, flexibility and simplicity. The lumped parameter method allows fast, full-scale simulations, where different containment geometries with relevant engineering safety features can be modelled. Lumped parameter gas stratification and mixing modelling methods are presented and discussed in this master’s thesis. Experimental research is widely used in containment analyses. The HM-2 experiment related to hydrogen stratification and mixing conducted at the THAI facility in Germany is calculated with the APROS lump parameter containment package and the APROS 6-equation thermal hydraulic model. The main purpose was to study, whether the convection term included in the momentum conservation equation of the 6-equation modelling gives some remarkable advantages compared to the simplified lumped parameter approach. Finally, a simple containment test case (high steam release to a narrow steam generator room inside a large dry containment) was calculated with both APROS models. In this case, the aim was to determine the extreme containment conditions, where the effect of convection term was supposed to be possibly high. Calculation results showed that both the APROS containment and the 6-equation model could model the hydrogen stratification in the THAI test well, if the vertical nodalisation was dense enough. However, in more complicated cases, the numerical diffusion may distort the results. Calculation of light gas stratification could be probably improved by applying the second order discretisation scheme for the modelling of gas flows. If the gas flows are relatively high, the convection term of the momentum equation is necessary to model the pressure differences between the adjacent nodes reasonably.