938 resultados para probability indicator


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Context: Telomerase promoter mutations (TERT) were recently described in follicular cell-derived thyroid carcinomas (FCDTC) and seem to be more prevalent in aggressive cancers. Objectives: We aimed to evaluate the frequency of TERT promoter mutations in thyroid lesions and to investigate the prognostic significance of such mutations in a large cohort of patients with differentiated thyroid carcinomas (DTCs). Design: This was a retrospective observational study. Setting and Patients: We studied 647 tumors and tumor-like lesions. A total of 469 patients with FCDTC treated and followed in five university hospitals were included. Mean follow-up (±SD) was 7.8 ± 5.8 years. Main Outcome Measures: Predictive value of TERT promoter mutations for distant metastasization, disease persistence at the end of follow-up, and disease-specific mortality. Results: TERT promoter mutations were found in 7.5% of papillary carcinomas (PTCs), 17.1% of follicular carcinomas, 29.0% of poorly differentiated carcinomas, and 33.3% of anaplastic thyroid carcinomas. Patients with TERT-mutated tumors were older (P < .001) and had larger tumors (P = .002). In DTCs, TERT promoter mutations were significantly associated with distant metastases (P < .001) and higher stage (P < .001). Patients with DTC harboring TERT promoter mutations were submitted to more radioiodine treatments (P = .009) with higher cumulative dose (P = .004) and to more treatment modalities (P = .001). At the end of follow-up, patients with TERT-mutated DTCs were more prone to have persistent disease (P = .001). TERT promoter mutations were significantly associated with disease-specific mortality [in the whole FCDTC (P < .001)] in DTCs (P < .001), PTCs (P = .001), and follicular carcinomas (P < .001). After adjusting for age at diagnosis and gender, the hazard ratio was 10.35 (95% confidence interval 2.01–53.24; P = .005) in DTC and 23.81 (95% confidence interval 1.36–415.76; P = .03) in PTCs. Conclusions: TERT promoter mutations are an indicator of clinically aggressive tumors, being correlated with worse outcome and disease-specific mortality in DTC. TERT promoter mutations have an independent prognostic value in DTC and, notably, in PTC.

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Dissertação de Mestrado apresentada ao Instituto de Contabilidade e Administração do Porto para a obtenção do grau de Mestre em Contabilidade e Finanças, sob orientação do Mestre Adalmiro Álvaro Malheiro de Castro Andrade Pereira.

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This paper proposes a PSO based approach to increase the probability of delivering power to any load point by identifying new investments in distribution energy systems. The statistical failure and repair data of distribution components is the main basis of the proposed methodology that uses a fuzzyprobabilistic modeling for the components outage parameters. The fuzzy membership functions of the outage parameters of each component are based on statistical records. A Modified Discrete PSO optimization model is developed in order to identify the adequate investments in distribution energy system components which allow increasing the probability of delivering power to any customer in the distribution system at the minimum possible cost for the system operator. To illustrate the application of the proposed methodology, the paper includes a case study that considers a 180 bus distribution network.

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This paper proposes a methodology to increase the probability of delivering power to any load point through the identification of new investments. The methodology uses a fuzzy set approach to model the uncertainty of outage parameters, load and generation. A DC fuzzy multicriteria optimization model considering the Pareto front and based on mixed integer non-linear optimization programming is developed in order to identify the adequate investments in distribution networks components which allow increasing the probability of delivering power to all customers in the distribution network at the minimum possible cost for the system operator, while minimizing the non supplied energy cost. To illustrate the application of the proposed methodology, the paper includes a case study which considers an 33 bus distribution network.

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A methodology to increase the probability of delivering power to any load point through the identification of new investments in distribution network components is proposed in this paper. The method minimizes the investment cost as well as the cost of energy not supplied in the network. A DC optimization model based on mixed integer non-linear programming is developed considering the Pareto front technique in order to identify the adequate investments in distribution networks components which allow increasing the probability of delivering power for any customer in the distribution system at the minimum possible cost for the system operator, while minimizing the energy not supplied cost. Thus, a multi-objective problem is formulated. To illustrate the application of the proposed methodology, the paper includes a case study which considers a 180 bus distribution network

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RESUMO - A exposição a formaldeído é reconhecidamente um dos mais importantes factores de risco presente nos laboratórios hospitalares de anatomia patológica. Neste contexto ocupacional, o formaldeído é utilizado em solução, designada comummente por formol. Trata-se de uma solução comercial de formaldeído, normalmente diluída a 10%, sendo pouco onerosa e, por esse motivo, a eleita para os trabalhos de rotina em anatomia patológica. A solução é utilizada como fixador e conservante do material biológico, pelo que as peças anatómicas a serem processadas são previamente impregnadas. No que concerne aos efeitos para a saúde do formaldeído, os efeitos locais parecem apresentar um papel mais importante comparativamente com os efeitos sistémicos, devido à sua reactividade e rápido metabolismo nas células da pele, tracto gastrointestinal e pulmões. Da mesma forma, a localização das lesões correspondem principalmente às zonas expostas às doses mais elevadas deste agente químico, ou seja, o desenvolvimento dos efeitos tóxicos dependerá mais da intensidade da dose externa do que da duração da exposição. O efeito do formaldeído no organismo humano mais facilmente detectável é a acção irritante, transitória e reversível sobre as mucosas dos olhos e aparelho respiratório superior (naso e orofaringe), o que acontece em geral para exposições frequentes e superiores a 1 ppm. Doses elevadas são citotóxicas e podem conduzir a degenerescência e necrose das mucosas e epitélios. No que concerne aos efeitos cancerígenos, a primeira avaliação efectuada pela International Agency for Research on Cancer data de 1981, actualizada em 1982, 1987, 1995 e 2004, considerando-o como um agente cancerígeno do grupo 2A (provavelmente carcinogénico). No entanto, a mais recente avaliação, em 2006, considera o formaldeído no Grupo 1 (agente carcinogénico) com base na evidência de que a exposição a este agente é susceptível de causar cancro nasofaríngeo em humanos. Constituiu objectivo principal deste estudo caracterizar a exposição profissional a formaldeído nos laboratórios hospitalares de anatomia patológica Portugueses. Pretendeu-se, ainda, descrever os fenómenos ambientais da contaminação ambiental por formaldeído e explorar eventuais associações entre variáveis. Considerou-se uma amostra de 10 laboratórios hospitalares de anatomia patológica, avaliada a exposição dos três grupos profissionais por comparação com os dois referenciais de exposição e, ainda, conhecidos os valores de concentração máxima em 83 actividades. Foram aplicados simultaneamente dois métodos distintos de avaliação ambiental: um dos métodos (Método 1) fez uso de um equipamento de leitura directa com o princípio de medição por Photo Ionization Detection, com uma lâmpada de 11,7 eV e, simultaneamente, realizou-se o registo da actividade. Este método disponibilizou dados para o referencial de exposição da concentração máxima; o outro método (Método 2) traduziu-se na aplicação do método NIOSH 2541, implicando o uso de bombas de amostragem eléctricas de baixo caudal e posterior processamento analítico das amostras por cromatografia gasosa. Este método, por sua vez, facultou dados para o referencial de exposição da concentração média ponderada. As estratégias de medição de cada um dos métodos e a definição dos grupos de exposição existentes neste contexto ocupacional, designadamente os Técnicos de Anatomia Patológica, os Médicos Anatomo-Patologistas e os Auxiliares, foram possíveis através da informação disponibilizada pelas técnicas de observação da actividade da análise (ergonómica) do trabalho. Estudaram-se diversas variáveis independentes, nomeadamente a temperatura ambiente e a humidade relativa, a solução de formaldeído utilizada, as condições de ventilação existentes e o número médio de peças processadas por dia em cada laboratório. Para a recolha de informação sobre estas variáveis foi preenchida, durante a permanência nos laboratórios estudados, uma Grelha de Observação e Registo. Como variáveis dependentes seleccionaram-se três indicadores de contaminação ambiental, designadamente o valor médio das concentrações superiores a 0,3 ppm em cada laboratório, a Concentração Média Ponderada obtida para cada grupo de exposição e o Índice do Tempo de Regeneração de cada laboratório. Os indicadores foram calculados e definidos através dos dados obtidos pelos dois métodos de avaliação ambiental aplicados. Baseada no delineado pela Universidade de Queensland, foi ainda aplicada uma metodologia de avaliação do risco de cancro nasofaríngeo nas 83 actividades estudadas de modo a definir níveis semi-quantitativos de estimação do risco. Para o nível de Gravidade considerou-se a informação disponível em literatura científica que define eventos biológicos adversos, relacionados com o modo de acção do agente químico e os associa com concentrações ambientais de formaldeído. Para o nível da Probabilidade utilizou-se a informação disponibilizada pela análise (ergonómica) de trabalho que permitiu conhecer a frequência de realização de cada uma das actividades estudadas. A aplicação simultânea dos dois métodos de avaliação ambiental resultou na obtenção de resultados distintos, mas não contraditórios, no que concerne à avaliação da exposição profissional a formaldeído. Para as actividades estudadas (n=83) verificou-se que cerca de 93% dos valores são superiores ao valor limite de exposição definido para a concentração máxima (VLE-CM=0,3 ppm). O “exame macroscópico” foi a actividade mais estudada e onde se verificou a maior prevalência de resultados superiores ao valor limite (92,8%). O valor médio mais elevado da concentração máxima (2,04 ppm) verificou-se no grupo de exposição dos Técnicos de Anatomia Patológica. No entanto, a maior amplitude de resultados observou-se no grupo dos Médicos Anatomo-Patologistas (0,21 ppm a 5,02 ppm). No que respeita ao referencial da Concentração Média Ponderada, todos os valores obtidos nos 10 laboratórios estudados para os três grupos de exposição foram inferiores ao valor limite de exposição definido pela Occupational Safety and Health Administration (TLV-TWA=0,75 ppm). Verificou-se associação estatisticamente significativa entre o número médio de peças processadas por laboratório e dois dos três indicadores de contaminação ambiental utilizados, designadamente o valor médio das concentrações superiores a 0,3 ppm (p=0,009) e o Índice do Tempo de Regeneração (p=0,001). Relativamente à temperatura ambiente não se observou associação estatisticamente significativa com nenhum dos indicadores de contaminação ambiental utilizados. A humidade relativa apresentou uma associação estatisticamente significativa apenas com o indicador de contaminação ambiental da Concentração Média Ponderada de dois grupos de exposição, nomeadamente com os Médicos Anatomo-Patologistas (p=0,02) e os Técnicos de Anatomia Patológica (p=0,04). A aplicação da metodologia de avaliação do risco nas 83 actividades estudadas permitiu verificar que, em cerca de dois terços (35%), o risco foi classificado como (pelo menos) elevado e, ainda, constatar que 70% dos laboratórios apresentou pelo menos 1 actividade com a classificação de risco elevado. Da aplicação dos dois métodos de avaliação ambiental e das informações obtidas para os dois referenciais de exposição pode concluir-se que o referencial mais adequado é a Concentração Máxima por estar associado ao modo de actuação do agente químico. Acresce, ainda, que um método de avaliação ambiental, como o Método 1, que permite o estudo das concentrações de formaldeído e simultaneamente a realização do registo da actividade, disponibiliza informações pertinentes para a intervenção preventiva da exposição por permitir identificar as actividades com a exposição mais elevada, bem como as variáveis que a condicionam. As peças anatómicas apresentaram-se como a principal fonte de contaminação ambiental por formaldeído neste contexto ocupacional. Aspecto de particular interesse, na medida que a actividade desenvolvida neste contexto ocupacional e, em particular na sala de entradas, é centrada no processamento das peças anatómicas. Dado não se perspectivar a curto prazo a eliminação do formaldeído, devido ao grande número de actividades que envolvem ainda a utilização da sua solução comercial (formol), pode concluir-se que a exposição a este agente neste contexto ocupacional específico é preocupante, carecendo de uma intervenção rápida com o objectivo de minimizar a exposição e prevenir os potenciais efeitos para a saúde dos trabalhadores expostos. ---------------- ABSTRACT - Exposure to formaldehyde is recognized as one of the most important risk factors present in anatomy and pathology laboratories from hospital settings. In this occupational setting, formaldehyde is used in solution, typically diluted to 10%, and is an inexpensive product. Because of that, is used in routine work in anatomy and pathology laboratories. The solution is applied as a fixative and preservative of biological material. Regarding formaldehyde health effects, local effects appear to have a more important role compared with systemic effects, due to his reactivity and rapid metabolism in skin, gastrointestinal tract and lungs cells. Likewise, lesions location correspond mainly to areas exposed to higher doses and toxic effects development depend more on external dose intensity than exposure duration. Human body formaldehyde effect more easily detectable is the irritating action, transient and reversible on eyes and upper respiratory tract (nasal and throat) membranes, which happen in general for frequent exposure to concentrations higher than 1 ppm. High doses are cytotoxic and can lead to degeneration, and also to mucous membranes and epithelia necrosis. With regard to carcinogenic effects, first assessment performed by International Agency for Research on Cancer in 1981, updated in 1982, 1987, 1995 and 2004, classified formaldehyde in Group 2A (probably carcinogenic). However, most recent evaluation in 2006, classifies formaldehyde carcinogenic (Group 1), based on evidence that exposure to this agent is likely to cause nasopharyngeal cancer in humans. This study principal objective was to characterize occupational exposure to formaldehyde in anatomy and pathology hospital laboratories, as well to describe formaldehyde environmental contamination phenomena and explore possible associations between variables. It was considered a sample of 10 hospital pathology laboratories, assessed exposure of three professional groups for comparison with two exposure metrics, and also knows ceiling concentrations in 83 activities. Were applied, simultaneously, two different environmental assessment methods: one method (Method 1) using direct reading equipment that perform measure by Photo Ionization Detection, with 11,7 eV lamps and, simultaneously, make activity description and film. This method provided data for ceiling concentrations for each activity study (TLV-C). In the other applied method (Method 2), air sampling and formaldehyde analysis were performed according to NIOSH method (2541). This method provided data average exposure concentration (TLV-TWA). Measuring and sampling strategies of each methods and exposure groups definition (Technicians, Pathologists and Assistants) was possible by information provided by activities (ergonomic) analysis. Several independent variables were studied, including temperature and relative humidity, formaldehyde solution used, ventilation conditions, and also anatomic pieces mean value processed per day in each laboratory. To register information about these variables was completed an Observation and Registration Grid. Three environmental contamination indicators were selected has dependent variables namely: mean value from concentrations exceeding 0,3 ppm in each laboratory, weighted average concentration obtained for each exposure group, as well each laboratory Time Regeneration Index. These indicators were calculated and determined through data obtained by the two environmental assessment methods. Based on Queensland University proposal, was also applied a methodology for assessing nasopharyngeal cancer risk in 83 activities studied in order to obtain risk levels (semi-quantitative estimation). For Severity level was considered available information in scientific literature that defines biological adverse events related to the chemical agent action mode, and associated with environment formaldehyde concentrations. For Probability level was used information provided by (ergonomic) work analysis that helped identifies activity frequency. Environmental assessment methods provide different results, but not contradictory, regarding formaldehyde occupational exposure evaluation. In the studied activities (n=83), about 93% of the values were above exposure limit value set for ceiling concentration in Portugal (VLE-CM = 0,3 ppm). "Macroscopic exam" was the most studied activity, and obtained the higher prevalence of results superior than 0,3 ppm (92,8%). The highest ceiling concentration mean value (2,04 ppm) was obtain in Technicians exposure group, but a result wider range was observed in Pathologists group (0,21 ppm to 5,02 ppm). Concerning Method 2, results from the three exposure groups, were all lower than limit value set by Occupational Safety and Health Administration (TLV-TWA=0,75ppm). There was a statistically significant association between anatomic pieces mean value processed by each laboratory per day, and two of the three environmental contamination indicators used, namely average concentrations exceeding 0,3 ppm (p=0,009) and Time Regeneration Index (p=0,001). Temperature was not statistically associated with any environmental contamination used indicators. Relative humidity had a statistically significant association only with one environmental contamination indicator, namely weighted average concentration, particularly with Pathologists group (p=0,02) and Technicians group (p=0,04). Risk assessment performed in the 83 studied activities showed that around two thirds (35%) were classified as (at least) high, and also noted that 70% of laboratories had at least 1 activity with high risk rating. The two environmental assessment methods application, as well information obtained from two exposure metrics, allowed to conclude that most appropriate exposure metric is ceiling concentration, because is associated with formaldehyde action mode. Moreover, an environmental method, like Method 1, which allows study formaldehyde concentrations and relates them with activity, provides relevant information for preventive information, since identifies the activity with higher exposure, as well variables that promote exposure. Anatomic pieces represent formaldehyde contamination main source in this occupational setting, and this is of particular interest because all activities are focused on anatomic pieces processing. Since there is no prospect, in short term, for formaldehyde use elimination due to large number of activities that still involve solution use, it can be concluded that exposure to this agent, in this particular occupational setting, is preoccupant, requiring an rapid intervention in order to minimize exposure and prevent potential health effects in exposed workers.

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The objective of the paper is to help to understand recent changes in the structure of R&D activities, by analyzing data on the expenditure of the business sector in research and development (R&D). The results are framed in an international context, through comparison with indicators from the most developed countries, divided by technological intensity and economic activity. The study reveals that the indicators of Portuguese R&D expenditure in the business sector are closely linked both to fiscal policy and to high foreign direct investment in knowledge-intensive industries. It also links these indicators to phenomena such as the abundance of skilled labor in pharmaceutical industries and the government intervention in some sectors of the economy (namely health and rail transportation).

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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies

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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

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PURPOSE: Recently, the absence of spontaneous venous pulsation (SVP) has been suggested as a vascular risk factor for primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG). As the mechanism behind this phenomenon is still unknown, the authors have studied this vascular component using colour Doppler imaging (CDI). METHODS: A total of 236 patients were divided into three diagnostic groups: healthy controls (81), POAG (86) and normal tension glaucoma (NTG; 69). All subjects were submitted to CDI studies of the retrobulbar circulation, intraocular pressure measurements and assessment of SVP existence. Mann-Whitney, chi-square contingency tables and Spearman correlations were used to explore differences and correlations between variables in the diagnostic groups. RESULTS: Eighty-two percent of healthy controls had SVP (66/81), while a smaller numbers were registered in both glaucoma groups: POAG - 50% (43/86); NTG - 51% (35/69). In NTG patients, but not in POAG patients, the prevalence of the SVP phenomenon decreases with increased glaucoma damage (p = 0.04; p = 0.55, respectively). Overall glaucoma patients from both groups had lower central retinal vein (CRV) velocities than the healthy controls (p < 0.05). NTG patients with SVP had less severe visual field defects (mean defect -6.92 versus -11.1, p < 0.05), higher [correction added after online publication 21 September 2012; the word 'higher' has been inserted to replace the word 'lower'] peak systolic and mean flow velocities in the central retinal artery (p < 0.01; p < 0.05, respectively) as well as higher [correction added after online publication 21 September 2012; the word higher has been inserted to replace the word lower] maximal velocities and RI of the CRV (p < 0.02; p < 0.05, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Glaucoma patients have a decrease in CRV velocities. SVP is less prevalent in glaucoma patients than in healthy individuals. This phenomenon apparently reflects different hemodynamic patterns in the central retinal vessels. This variable may be of particular importance in NTG patients, where it may be associated with more advanced functional damage.

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The paper presented herein proposes a reliability-based framework for quantifying the structural robustness considering the occurrence of a major earthquake (mainshock) and subsequent cascading hazard events, such as aftershocks that are triggered by the mainshock. These events can significantly increase the probability of failure of buildings, especially for structures that are damaged during the mainshock. The application of the proposed framework is exemplified through three numerical case studies. The case studies correspond to three SAC steel moment frame buildings of 3-, 9-, and 20- stories, which were designed to pre-Northridge codes and standards. Twodimensional nonlinear finite element models of the buildings are developed using the Open System for Earthquake Engineering Simulation framework (OpenSees), using a finite-length plastic hinge beam model and a bilinear constitutive law with deterioration, and are subjected to multiple mainshock-aftershock seismic sequences. For the three buildings analyzed herein, it is shown that the structural reliability under a single seismic event can be significantly different from that under a sequence of seismic events. The reliability-based robustness indicator used shows that the structural robustness is influenced by the extent by which a structure can distribute damage.

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This study aimed to compare the radiographic characteristics of patients with pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection with those of HIV-negative patients. In all, 275 TB patients attending the outpatients clinics at the University Hospital/UFPE, were studied from January 1997 to March 1999. Thirty nine (14.2%) of them were HIV+, with a higher frequency of males in this group (p=0.044). Seventy-five percent of the HIV+ patients and 19% of the HIV- had a negative tuberculin test (PPD) (p < 0.001). The proportion of positive sputum smears in the two groups was similar. The radiological finding most strongly associated with co-infection was absence of cavitation (p < 0.001). It may therefore be concluded that the lack of cavitation in patients with pulmonary TB may be considered a useful indicator of the need to investigate HIV infection. This approach could contribute to increasing the effectiveness of local health services, by offering appropriate treatment to co-infected patients.

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In this paper, we investigate whether being part of the euro area influences the conditional probability of going through a sudden stop or a bonanza of capital flows. Our sample period is from 1995 until 2014. We identify these two phenomena and we evaluate which push and pull factors help predict the conditional probability of experiencing one of them. We find that most countries had significant capital inflows until 2008 and that there were more sudden stops during the recent financial crisis than in any other moment in our sample. The factors that better help forecast the conditional probability of a sudden stop are global uncertainty (represented by the push factor “Volatility Index”), and the domestic economic activity (pull factors “GDP growth” and “consumer confidence”). An indicator of country risk (pull factor “change in credit rating”) is the most significant one for predicting bonanzas. Ultimately, we find no evidence that being part of the euro area influences the conditional probability of going through a sudden stop or a bonanza.

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METHODS: Refractive lens exchange was performed with implantation of an AT Lisa 839M (trifocal) or 909MP (bifocal toric) IOL, the latter if corneal astigmatism was more than 0.75 diopter (D). The postoperative visual and refractive outcomes were evaluated. A prototype light-distortion analyzer was used to quantify the postoperative light-distortion indices. A control group of eyes in which a Tecnis ZCB00 1-piece monofocal IOL was implanted had the same examinations. RESULTS: A trifocal or bifocal toric IOL was implanted in 66 eyes. The control IOL was implanted in 18 eyes. All 3 groups obtained a significant improvement in uncorrected distance visual acuity (UDVA) (P < .001) and corrected distance visual acuity (CDVA) (P Z .001). The mean uncorrected near visual acuity (UNVA) was 0.123 logMAR with the trifocal IOL and 0.130 logMAR with the bifocal toric IOL. The residual refractive cylinder was less than 1.00 D in 86.7% of cases with the toric IOL. The mean light-distortion index was significantly higher in the multifocal IOL groups than in the monofocal group (P < .001), although no correlation was found between the light-distortion index and CDVA. CONCLUSIONS: The multifocal IOLs provided excellent UDVA and functional UNVA despite increased light-distortion indices. The light-distortion analyzer reliably quantified a subjective component of vision distinct from visual acuity; it may become a useful adjunct in the evaluation of visual quality obtained with multifocal IOLs.

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The purpose of this paper aims at carrying out a study in the area of Statistics for classifying Portuguese Secondary Schools (both mainland and islands: “Azores” and “Madeira”), taking into account the results achieved by their students in both national examinations and internal assessment. The main according consists of identifying groups of schools with different performance levels by considering the sub-national public and private education systems’ as well as their respective geographic location. For this, we developed an alternative educational indicator for the so-called Secondary Education indicator rankings released since 2001 by the Portuguese media.