Molecular characterization of two rocio flavivirus strains isolated during the encephalitis epidemic in são paulo state, brazil and the development of a one-step rt-pcr assay for diagnosis

Rocio virus (ROCV) was responsible for an explosive encephalitis epidemic in the 1970s affecting about 1,000 residents of 20 coastland counties in São Paulo State, Brazil. ROCV was first isolated in 1975 from the cerebellum of a fatal human case of encephalitis. Clinical manifestations of the illness are similar to those described for St. Louis encephalitis. ROCV shows intense antigenic cross-reactivity with Japanese encephalitis complex (JEC) viruses, particularly with Ilheus (ILHV), St. Louis encephalitis, Murray Valley and West Nile viruses. In this study, we report a specific RT-PCR assay for ROCV diagnosis and the molecular characterization of the SPAn37630 and SPH37623 strains. Partial nucleotide sequences of NS5 and E genes determined from both strains were used in phylogenetic analysis. The results indicated that these strains are closely related to JEC viruses, but forming a distinct subclade together with ILHV, in accordance with results recently reported by Medeiros et al. (2007).

The differential effects of switching costs and attractiveness of alternatives on customer loyalty

Dissertação apresentada como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Estatística e Gestão de Informação.

Using GIS to map the spatial and temporal occurrence of cholera epidemic in Camaroon

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies

Beriberi epidemic within rural Muslin fishing communities in Guiné - Bissau

Beriberi, ou cardiopatia e polineuropatia ligada à deficiência de tiamina, foi, antigamente, um flagelo nas populações. Os mais notáveis surtos de beriberi ocorreram após o advento da moagem de massa de arroz, em várias zonas da Ásia, no final do século XIX. Com a descoberta de vitamina B1, "anti-beriberi", e, subsequentemente, o enriquecimento de alimentos e as campanhas de sensibilização de saúde pública, a doença foi esquecida por muitos profissionais de saúde. Contudo, sabe-se que, hoje em dia, em diferentes partes do mundo, muitos casos de beriberi são os focos primários de epidemias de outras deficiências potencialmentes fatais, em comunidades vulneráveis. Determinados alimentos, assim como o álcool, são conhecidos para reduzir a absorção de vitamina B1. A Encefalopatia de Wernicke, a deficiência de tiamina mais conhecida pelos médicos que trabalham em países desenvolvidos, está associada à ingestão de álcool. Estudos recentes demonstraram, por um lado, atrasos significativos do desenvolvimento neurolinguístico em crianças alimentadas com leite sem tiamina, assim como uma possível correlação entre malária grave e deficiencia em Vitamina B1, o que reforça a importância desta vitamina na saúde das populações. A Guiné-Bissau, um país fragilizado pelos conflitos coloniais e pós-coloniais, instabilidade política, tráfico de droga e deficiente acesso à Saúde, continua sendo um dos países mais pobres do mundo. A maioria da população vive da agricultura de subsistência, pesca e colheita de cajú. O Islão é practicado por quase metade da população, e as religiões animistas e cristãs compõem as outras religiões principais do país. De acordo com a fé islâmica, os muçulmanos da Guiné-Bissau praticam o jejum, em função da luz do dia, durante o mês de Ramadão. Existe pouca investigação publicada sobre os efeitos nutricionais e na saúde deste ritual. Este trabalho é o primeiro a relacionar uma deficiência de micronutrientes ao mês sagrado do Ramadão. Esta tese apresenta casos clínicos de beriberi em comunidades rurais muçulmanas, que ocorreram no final da época das chuvas, que coincide com o mês de Ramadão. A análise dos dados mostra que, uma vez que alguns dos doentes apresentavam os mesmos sintomas, repetidamente, todos os anos, estes casos podem refletir a ponta do iceberg da ocorrência de beriberi na Guiné-Bissau. Parte da discussão centra-se na necessidade de mais investigação para confirmar o grau de deficiência na população em geral, efeitos de deficiência de tiamina relacionados com a malária, e consequências possíveis da deficiência marginal, a longo prazo, desta vitamina na saúde. A discussão apresenta ainda sugestões práticas para a redução da incidência da deficiência de vitamina B1 na Guiné-Bissau.

Lessons from the epidemiological surveillance program, during the influenza A (H1N1) virus epidemic, in a reference university hospital of Southeastern Brazil

INTRODUCTION: The case definition of influenza-like illness (ILI) is a powerful epidemiological tool during influenza epidemics. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted to evaluate the impact of two definitions used as epidemiological tools, in adults and children, during the influenza A H1N1 epidemic. Patients were included if they had upper respiratory samples tested for influenza by real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction during two periods, using the ILI definition (coughing + temperature > 38ºC) in period 1, and the definition of severe acute respiratory infection (ARS) (coughing + temperature > 38ºC and dyspnoea) in period 2. RESULTS: The study included 366 adults and 147 children, covering 243 cases of ILI and 270 cases of ARS. Laboratory confirmed cases of influenza were higher in adults (50%) than in children (21.6%) ( p < 0.0001) and influenza infection was more prevalent in the ILI definition (53%) than ARS (24.4%) (p < 0.0001). Adults reported more chills and myalgia than children (p = 0.0001). Oseltamivir was administered in 58% and 46% of adults and children with influenza A H1N1, respectively. The influenza A H1N1 case fatality rate was 7% in adults and 8.3% in children. The mean time from onset of illness until antiviral administration was 4 days. CONCLUSIONS: The modification of ILI to ARS definition resulted in less accuracy in influenza diagnosis and did not improve the appropriate time and use of antiviral medication.

Interpretation of the presence of IgM and IgG antibodies in a rapid test for dengue: analysis of dengue antibody prevalence in Fortaleza City in the 20th year of the epidemic

INTRODUCTION: The diagnosis of dengue and the differentiation between primary and secondary infections are important for monitoring the spread of the epidemic and identifying the risk of severe forms of the disease. The detection of immunoglobulin (Ig)M and IgG antibodies is the main technique for the laboratory diagnosis of dengue. The present study assessed the application of a rapid test for dengue concerning detection of new cases, reinfection recognition, and estimation of the epidemic attack rate. METHODS: This was a retrospective, cross-sectional, descriptive study on dengue using the Fortaleza Health Municipal Department database. The results from 1,530 tested samples, from 2005-2006, were compared with data from epidemiological studies of dengue outbreaks in 1996, 2003, and 2010. RESULTS: The rapid test confirmed 52% recent infections in the tested patients with clinical suspicion of dengue: 40% detected using IgM and 12% of new cases using IgG in the non-reactive IgM results. The positive IgM plus negative IgG (IgM+ plus IgG-) results showed that 38% of those patients had a recent primary dengue infection, while the positive IgG plus either positive or negative IgM (IgG+ plus IgM+/-) results indicated that 62% had dengue for at least a second time (recent secondary infections). This proportion of reinfections permitted us to estimate the attack rate as >62% of the population sample. CONCLUSIONS: The rapid test for dengue has enhanced our ability to detect new infections and to characterize them into primary and secondary infections, permitting the estimation of the minimal attack rate for a population during an outbreak.

Factors related to severe dengue during an epidemic in Vitoria, State of Espirito Santo, Brazil, 2011

Introduction The prognosis of dengue depends on early diagnosis and treatment, which can help prevent severe forms whose characteristics were evaluated here. Methods A cross-sectional study was conducted involving dengue cases in Vitória, State of Espírito Santo, Brazil, in 2011. Results Two health regions registered 56.3% of 371 cases of severe dengue. Of these cases, 21.3% presented with dengue hemorrhagic fever. There were associations between dengue hemorrhagic fever with younger ages and a longer time before receiving care. Conclusions There was a greater involvement of dengue hemorrhagic fever in young people. Delay in care, poor urban quality and high endemicity were identified as possible risk factors for dengue severity.

HIV/AIDS epidemic in the State of Amazonas: characteristics and trends from 2001 to 2012

A scoping review was conducted to describe the epidemiological characteristics of the human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) epidemic in the State of Amazonas, Brazil, from 2001 to 2012, and temporary patterns were estimated from surveillance data. The results suggest that in its third decade, the Amazon HIV/AIDS epidemic is far from being stabilized and displays rising AIDS incidence and mortality rates and late diagnoses. The data suggest that AIDS cases are hitting mostly young adults and have recently shifted toward men, both homosexual and heterosexual. AIDS cases among the indigenous people have remained stable and low. However, the epidemic has disseminated to the interior of the state, which adds difficulties to its control, given the geographical isolation, logistical barriers, and culturally and ethnically diverse population. Antiretroviral (ARV) therapy has been decentralized, but peripheral ARV services are still insufficient and too distant from people who need them. Recently, the expansion of point-of-care (POC) rapid HIV testing has been contributing to overcoming logistical barriers. Other new POC devices, such as the PIMA CD4 analyzer, will bring the laboratory to the patient. AIDS uniquely coexists with other tropical infections, sharing their epidemiological profiles. The increased demand for HIV/AIDS care services can only be satisfied through increased decentralization to peripheral health units, which can also naturally integrate care with other tropical infections and can promote a shift from vertical to integrated programming. Future challenges involve building surveillance data on HIV case notification and covering the spectrum of engagement in care, including adherence to treatment and follow-up loss.

Epidemic store for massive scale systems

The MAP-i doctoral program of the Universities of Minho, Aveiro and Porto

Analysis of a Local HIV-1 Epidemic in Portugal Highlights Established Transmission of non-B and -G Subtypes

Existing data supports Portugal as the Western Europe country with highest HIV-1 subtype diversity. However, detailed phylogenetic studies of Portuguese HIV-1 epidemics are still scarce. Thus, our main goal was to analyze the phylodynamics of a local HIV-1 infection in the Portuguese region of Minho. Molecular epidemiological analysis was applied to data from 289 HIV-1 infected individuals followed in the reference Hospital of the province of Minho, Portugal, in which isolated viruses had been sequenced between 2000 and 2012. Viruses of the G (29.1%) and B (27.0%) subtypes were the most frequent, followed by recombinant forms (17.6%), C (14.5%), F1 (7.3%) and A1 (4.2%) subtypes. Multinomial logistic regression revealed that the odds of being infected with A1 and F1 subtype increased over the years when compared with B, G, C or recombinant viruses. As expected, polyphyletic patterns suggesting multiple and old introductions of subtypes B and G were found. However, transmission clusters of non-B and -G viruses among native individuals were also found with the dates of the most recent common ancestor estimated to the early 2000s. Our study supports that the HIV-1 subtype diversity in the Portuguese region of Minho is high and has been increasing in a manner that is apparently driven by factors other than immigration and international travel. Infections with A1 and F1 viruses in the region of Minho are becoming established and were mainly found in sexually transmitted clusters, reinforcing the need for more efficacious control measures targeting this infection route.

Sustentabilidad del monocultivo de soja y otras alternativas agrícolas, en relación a los recursos suelo y agua, en la Región Centro-Norte de Córdoba. Sustainability of soybean monoculture and another agricultural alternatives, in relation to soil and water natural resources, in the north-central area of Cordoba (Argentina).

En este proyecto se pretende demostrar que existen alternativas sustentables al monocultivo de soja y económicamente factibles si se consideran los costos ambientales.Se cumplirán los siguientes objetivos específicos:- Caracterizar la sensibilidad de indicadores de calidad del suelo: infiltración, densidad aparente, penetrometría, C orgánico, fracciones de la MO y un índice químico de disponibilidad de N. - Medir escurrimiento y erosión en dos microcuencas con manejos contrastantes donde existe instrumental instalado y registros desde hace mas de 10 años.- Establecer rangos para las situaciones encontradas en los suelos representativos de la región.- Integrar los parámetros considerados en un sistema de diagnóstico de calidad/salud del suelo, para las condiciones de la región. - Aplicar el sistema de Calidad/salud del suelo para situaciones con monocultivo de soja y otras alternativas.- Calibrar y aplicar el modelo de simulación de la materia orgánica AMG, al monocultivo de soja y otras alternativas, a distintas escalas temporales y espaciales.- Estimar los costos ambientales de monocultivo a partir de los datos obtenidos.- Extrapolar los resultados del monocultivo y las otras alternativas a los suelos característicos, para estimar la sustentabilidad de los suelos en el centro-norte de la provincia de Córdoba.Se trabajará en dos áreas piloto en campos de productores, con y sin erosión hídrica. Se evaluarán parámetros indicadores del estado de los suelos, se los integrará en un sistema, se evaluarán los suelos con situaciones de monocultivo de soja y manejos contrastantes y se los correlacionará con su historial de intervención antrópica. Se brindará una herramienta apta para el ordenamiento territorial.

Diseño y evaluación de alternativas de manejo sustentable para la recuperación y conservación de bosques degradados de la región del Espinal en la provincia de Córdoba. Design and evaluation of sustainable management alternatives for the recovery and conservation of degraded forest in the Espinal Region in Córdoba province.

El avance de la frontera agropecuaria y la urbanización han reducido la superficie boscosa del Espinal en Córdoba a fragmentos que son sumamente valiosos como relictos del ambiente original del Algarrobal y como barreras frente a la acción erosiva del agua y los vientos. Por su estructura, degradada y enmarañada, el productor agropecuario generalmente los visualiza como una molestia ya que le restan superficie apta para el cultivo y resultan poco aprovechables para el pastoreo de los animales. Bajo pautas de manejo adecuadas estos bosquecillos podrían rehabilitarse para el aprovechamiento del ganado y otros usos complementarios. Para que el productor local cuente con herramientas de manejo sustentable de sus recursos naturales es necesario generar información confiable para la zona. En ese contexto, se plantea la siguiente Hipótesis General: Existen alternativas de manejo que, aplicadas sobre los bosques del Espinal, permiten recuperar y conservar la biodiversidad a la vez que mejoran la rentabilidad del productor. El Objetivo General es diseñar y evaluar, en términos ecológicos, tecnológicos y socio-económicos, alternativas de manejo sustentable de bosques degradados del Espinal de la provincia de Córdoba tendientes a su recuperación y conservación. El proyecto se localizará en el bosque fragmentado del Campo Escuela de la FCA-UNC. Se establecerán parcelas con distintos niveles de cobertura arbustiva en las que se medirán el efecto de los arbustos sobre la regeneración de especies arbóreas deseables, la producción y calidad de la pastura, el crecimiento de los árboles y las condiciones edáficas del sistema. Además, la incidencia del ganado vacuno sobre la regeneración de especies arbóreas deseables, la riqueza y abundancia de especies forrajeras deseables y las condiciones edáficas del sistema. Se hará enriquecimiento con plantines de tres especies de Prosopis tanto en el bosque con distintos anchos de fajas como en suelo desmontado, para evaluar su comportamiento. También se probará la diseminación y establecimiento posterior de estas especies por medio de la ingesta del ganado vacuno. Se relevarán especies medicinales, aromáticas, melíferas, tintóreas y ornamentales nativas, y se las valorará económicamente según su uso actual y potencial en esta y otras zonas de la provincia y el país. Se efectuará la caracterización socio-económica y ambiental del área circundante al Campo Escuela y mediante encuestas se determinará el grado de valorización del bosque que tienen los pobladores zonales. Se realizará el análisis económico y financiero del sistema propuesto versus el sistema sin proyecto, considerando bienes producidos y servicios ambientales del bosque y se socializará el proyecto a través de encuestas y reuniones participativas con los productores zonales. Para el análisis de toda la información se usará el software INFOSTAT 2007. Se harán tablas y gráficos de estadística descriptiva para visualizar la distribución de datos. Se usará análisis de correlación, análisis de regresión lineal múltiple, ANAVA y test a posteriori. Se espera generar pautas preliminares de manejo, sencillas y económicas, fácilmente adoptables por los productores de la región, que aseguren la persistencia de estos fragmentos boscosos, relictos de la vegetación original del Espinal.

Alternatives to Aerobic Exercise Prescription in Patients with Chronic Heart Failure

Background: Exercise is essential for patients with heart failure as it leads to a reduction in morbidity and mortality as well as improved functional capacity and oxygen uptake (v̇O2). However, the need for an experienced physiologist and the cost of the exam may render the cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) unfeasible. Thus, the six-minute walk test (6MWT) and step test (ST) may be alternatives for exercise prescription. Objective: The aim was to correlate heart rate (HR) during the 6MWT and ST with HR at the anaerobic threshold (HRAT) and peak HR (HRP) obtained on the CPET. Methods: Eighty-three patients (58 ± 11 years) with heart failure (NYHA class II) were included and all subjects had optimized medication for at least 3 months. Evaluations involved CPET (v̇O2, HRAT, HRP), 6MWT (HR6MWT) and ST (HRST). Results: The participants exhibited severe ventricular dysfunction (ejection fraction: 31 ± 7%) and low peak v̇O2 (15.2 ± 3.1 mL.kg-1.min-1). HRP (113 ± 19 bpm) was higher than HRAT (92 ± 14 bpm; p < 0.05) and HR6MWT (94 ± 13 bpm; p < 0.05). No significant difference was found between HRP and HRST. Moreover, a strong correlation was found between HRAT and HR6MWT (r = 0.81; p < 0.0001), and between HRP and HRST (r = 0.89; p < 0.0001). Conclusion: These findings suggest that, in the absence of CPET, exercise prescription can be performed by use of 6MWT and ST, based on HR6MWT and HRST