Poisson dynamic models. An application to interurban accidents in Spain

In this study we apply count data models to four integer–valued time series related to accidentality in Spanish roads applying both the frequentist and Bayesian approaches. The time series are: number of fatalities, number of fatal accidents, number of killed or seriously injured (KSI) and number of accidents with KSI. The model structure is Poisson regression with first order autoregressive errors. The purpose of the paper is first to sort out the explanatory variables by relevance and second to carry out a prediction exercise for validation.

Accessible interaction solution based on confidence for the deployment of pervasive sensitive services in intelligent environments

Los servicios basados en las Tecnologías de la Información y las Comunicaciones (TIC) están cada vez más presentes en la vida de las personas. El avance de las TIC en términos técnicos y de aceptación social ha dado lugar la creación de nuevos modelos de provisión de servicios. Estos modelos de servicio implican una mayor integración con las actividades de las personas de forma que ya no solo están presentes en su ámbito profesional o de espacio ciudadano sino también en un ámbito más íntimo relacionado con su propia identidad. Así en la actualidad es común encontrar servicios conocedores del estado de salud de las personas, sus hábitos domésticos, su ideología, etc. Por tanto el análisis de los servicios actuales no puede limitarse a una componente técnica sino que es más necesario que nunca la inclusión de aspectos más relacionados con la forma de ser y sentir de sus usuarios. De esta forma no solo se garantizará la corrección técnica de sus funcionalidades sino que también se fomentará la generación de soluciones cívicamente seguras y respetuosas tanto con los derechos como con la forma de ser y sentir de sus usuarios. Desde el punto de vista de ingeniería, la perspectiva del usuario se ha englobado históricamente bajo el concepto de aceptación tecnológica. Dentro de este ámbito se puede interpretar que soluciones respetuosas y adaptadas a los usuarios fomentarán la aceptación por parte de éstos. La aceptación de una solución es algo deseable si bien es difícil de asegurar. Esta dificultad es debida al desconocimiento del número de variables que afectan a la aceptación de soluciones tecnológicas y a la dificultad de optimización de las variables conocidas. En esta tesis doctoral se estudia y caracteriza una de las variables que afecta a la aceptación de los servicios actuales: la confianza. Se define la confianza en términos psicológicos caracterizándola para permitir su uso en los métodos propios de la ingeniería. Además se proponen distintas herramientas que facilitan la optimización de la confianza en servicios cuya complejidad convierte a esta variable en una cuestión básica para mejorar la aceptación. Como contexto de trabajo para la tesis se ha escogido un servicio de salud desplegado en un hogar. Este escenario presenta una serie de restricciones de aceptación relativas a la tecnología utilizada para la creación de los servicios y la forma en que éstos gestionan la información adquirida del usuario. Se trata de servicios altamente sensibles y deslocalizados que pueden afectar a la percepción del usuario sobre el entorno, el hogar, y generar temores o rechazos que impidan su adopción final como solución válida. Una vez definido el marco genérico de trabajo, el objetivo principal de esta tesis doctoral se concreta en contribuir al fomento de la aceptación de nuevos servicios de salud pervasivos y personalizados y su despliegue en entornos inteligentes domésticos mediante un marco de diseño que promueva un estado psicológico de confianza en los usuarios. Para lograr abordar correctamente este objetivo se han proporcionado una serie de resultados tanto a nivel conceptual como tecnológico y experimental. En concreto se ha ofrecido una caracterización completa del sentimiento de confianza desde un punto de vista de ingeniería y una definición del concepto de servicio sensible deslocalizado o pervasivo. Además se ofrece un método para la inclusión del Diseño de Interacción, herramienta muy relacionada con la mejora de las variables de aceptación de tecnología, en los procesos de ingeniería de este tipo de servicios mediante un conjunto de patrones de interacción Persona – Entorno Inteligente. Finalmente se ha proporcionado el desarrollo de una arquitectura software para garantizar el correcto despliegue de estos servicios sensibles pervasivos en espacios inteligentes de una forma confiable. La discusión de los resultados obtenidos sugiere la extensión del modelo a diferentes servicios de la Sociedad de la Información que manejen datos sensibles tanto en el contexto del Hogar Digital como otros contextos donde el usuario realice actividades cotidianas, como los espacios de trabajo o los centros educativos. Las líneas de trabajo futuras contemplan la necesidad inminente de aplicar los resultados a desarrollos en curso, dentro de proyectos de investigación en los que participa el autor así como el desarrollo de nuevas líneas de investigación orientadas a la generación de nuevos espacios y tecnologías de interacción como el Colegio Digital, juguetes del futuro, sistemas de visualización confiables o sistemas de seguridad basados en el estado de las personas.

Voice-processing technologies--their application in telecommunications.

As the telecommunications industry evolves over the next decade to provide the products and services that people will desire, several key technologies will become commonplace. Two of these, automatic speech recognition and text-to-speech synthesis, will provide users with more freedom on when, where, and how they access information. While these technologies are currently in their infancy, their capabilities are rapidly increasing and their deployment in today's telephone network is expanding. The economic impact of just one application, the automation of operator services, is well over $100 million per year. Yet there still are many technical challenges that must be resolved before these technologies can be deployed ubiquitously in products and services throughout the worldwide telephone network. These challenges include: (i) High level of accuracy. The technology must be perceived by the user as highly accurate, robust, and reliable. (ii) Easy to use. Speech is only one of several possible input/output modalities for conveying information between a human and a machine, much like a computer terminal or Touch-Tone pad on a telephone. It is not the final product. Therefore, speech technologies must be hidden from the user. That is, the burden of using the technology must be on the technology itself. (iii) Quick prototyping and development of new products and services. The technology must support the creation of new products and services based on speech in an efficient and timely fashion. In this paper I present a vision of the voice-processing industry with a focus on the areas with the broadest base of user penetration: speech recognition, text-to-speech synthesis, natural language processing, and speaker recognition technologies. The current and future applications of these technologies in the telecommunications industry will be examined in terms of their strengths, limitations, and the degree to which user needs have been or have yet to be met. Although noteworthy gains have been made in areas with potentially small user bases and in the more mature speech-coding technologies, these subjects are outside the scope of this paper.

Deployment of human-machine dialogue systems.

The deployment of systems for human-to-machine communication by voice requires overcoming a variety of obstacles that affect the speech-processing technologies. Problems encountered in the field might include variation in speaking style, acoustic noise, ambiguity of language, or confusion on the part of the speaker. The diversity of these practical problems encountered in the "real world" leads to the perceived gap between laboratory and "real-world" performance. To answer the question "What applications can speech technology support today?" the concept of the "degree of difficulty" of an application is introduced. The degree of difficulty depends not only on the demands placed on the speech recognition and speech synthesis technologies but also on the expectations of the user of the system. Experience has shown that deployment of effective speech communication systems requires an iterative process. This paper discusses general deployment principles, which are illustrated by several examples of human-machine communication systems.

Utilizing Building Usage Assessment: Determining Deployment of Student Workers in an Academic Library

Generating, collecting, and analyzing building usage statistics can greatly increase the ability of an access services unit to meet the changing dynamic of patron needs in an academic library. By analyzing three different data points, the Access Services Unit in Malpass Library at Western Illinois University was able to determine the most effective and efficient way to deploy the student workforce to meet the demonstrated needs of the patron population throughout the day. This article will examine those data points and how they were analyzed in order to improve the services provided by the Access Services Unit.

Smart electricity grids: A very slow deployment in the EU. Egmont Paper No. 74, February 2015

Summary. The European electricity sector will have to deal with a huge challenge in the decades to come. On the one hand, electrical power is increasingly substituted for other forms of energy. It has been forecast that electricity demand will increase in the future (notably because of new needs in transport and heat sectors), although it is currently stagnant, mainly because of the economic crisis. Unless a major alternative energy source is discovered, electricity will become the central energy pillar in the long term. On the other hand, electricity production remains uncertain and will depend on numerous factors: the growth of renewable energy and decentralized energy, the renewal of old power generation capacities, increased external dependency, CO2 charges, etc. This increases the demand for electricity networks that are more reliable, more efficient, and more flexible. Europe’s current electricity networks are ageing, and, as already indicated by the International Energy Agency, many of them will need to be modernized or replaced in the decades to come. Finally, the growing impact of energy trading also needs to be taken into account. These considerations explain the need to modernize the electric grid through various ICT means. This modernization alone may allow the grid to become more flexible and interactive, to provide real time feedback, more adaptation to a fluctuating demand, and finally to reduce the global electricity costs. The paper begins with a description of the EU definition of the term ‘smart grid’ (§ 1) and of the body in charge of advising the Commission (§ 2). The EU legal framework applicable to smart grids is also detailed (§ 3). It is a rather complex domain, connected to various regulations. The paper then examines three critical factors in the development of smart grids (and smart meters as a precondition). Standardization is quite complex, but absolutely essential (§ 4). Innovation is not easily put into action (§ 5). Finally, as digital insecurity has worsened dramatically in recent years, the security of electricity networks, and especially their multiplied electronic components, will become increasingly important (§ 6). Lastly, the paper provides a concise overview of the progress of smart grids in the EU in recent years (§ 7). In a nutshell, the conclusion is that progress is quite slow, many obstacles remain, and, given the appearance of many new regulatory problems, it would be useful to organize a review of the present EU strategy.

Development and application of an electronic-manufacturing selection framework for SMEs

With a wide diversity of available technologies, it is extremely problematic for SMEs to identify, plan, prioritize and use the correct strategy. Electronic-manufacturing has been evolving for some time, but currently an effective planning framework to assist managers with implementing electronic-manufacturing planning is still lacking. A framework, built around three elements: the Balanced Scorecard, Quality Function Deployment and Value Chain Analysis, is proposed here to assist SMEs in managing complexity in e-manufacturing planning. A case study, carried out in Singapore, demonstrates the practicality and utility of the framework in the context of a real business environment. © World Scientific Publishing Company.

Biomass-based small and micro combined heat and power (CHP) systems:application and status in the United Kingdom

This chapter discusses the current state of biomass-based combined heat and power (CHP) production in the UK. It presents an overview of the UK's energy policy and targets which are relevant to the deployment of biomass-based CHP and summarises the current state for renewable, biomass and CHP. A number of small-scale biomass-based CHP projects are described while providing some indicative capital costs for combustion, pyrolysis and gasification technologies. For comparison purposes, it presents an overview of the respective situation in Europe and particularly in Sweden, Finland and Denmark. There is also a brief comment about novel CHP technologies in Austria. Finally it draws some conclusions on the potential of small-scale biomass CHP in the UK. © 2011 Woodhead Publishing Limited All rights reserved.

Queer enough? Contested terrains of identity deployment in the context of gay and lesbian public activism in Poland

Gay and lesbian prides and marches are of crucial relevance to the way in which non-heterosexual lives are imagined internationally despite regional and national differences. Quite often, these events are connected not only with increased activist mobilisation, but also with great controversy, which is the case of Poland, where gay and lesbian marches have been attacked by right-wing protesters and cancelled by right-wing city authorities on a number of occasions. Overall, the scholars analysing these events have largely focused on the macro-context of the marches, paying less attention to the movement actors behind these events. The contribution of this thesis lies not only in filling a gap when it comes to research on sexual minorities in Eastern Europe/Poland, but also in its focus on micro-level movement processes and engagement with theories of collective identity and citizenship. Furthermore, this thesis challenges the inscription of Eastern European/Polish movements into the narrative of victimhood and delayed development when compared to LGBT movements in the Global North. This thesis is grounded in qualitative research including participant observation of public activist events as well as forty semi-structured interviews with the key organisers of gay and lesbian marches in Warsaw, Poznan and Krakow between 2001 and 2007, and five of these interviews were further accompanied by photo-elicitation (self-directed photography) methods. Starting from the processes whereby from 2001 onwards, marches, pride parades and demonstrations became the most visible and contested activity of the Polish lesbian and gay movement, this thesis examines how the activists redefined the meanings of citizenship in the post-transformation context, by incorporating the theme of sexual minorities' rights. Using Bernstein's (1997, 2002, 2005, 2008) concept of identity deployment, I show how and when movement actors use identity tactically, depending on their goals. Specifically, in the context of movement-media interactions, I examine the ways in which the activists use marches to challenge the negative representations of sexual minorities in Poland. I also broaden Bernstein's framework to include the discussion of emotion work as relevant to public LGBT activism in Poland. Later, I discuss how the emotions of protests allowed the activists to inscribe their efforts into the "revolutionary" narrative of the Polish Solidarity movement and by extension, the frame of citizenship. Finally, this thesis engages with the dilemmas of identity deployment strategies, and seeks to problematise the dichotomy between identity-based gay and lesbian assimilationist strategies and the anti-identity queer politics.

Development and deployment of an autonomous micro-drilling system for cochleostomy

This thesis describes the design and development of an autonomous micro-drilling system capable of accurately controlling the penetration of complaint tissues and its application to the drilling of the cochleostomy; a key stage in the cochlea implant procedure. The drilling of the cochleostomy is a precision micro-surgical task in which the control of the burr penetration through the outer bone tissue of the cochlea is vital to prevent damage to the structures within and requires a high degree of skill to perform successfully. The micro-drilling system demonstrates that the penetration of the cochlea can be achieved consistently and accurately. Breakthrough can be detected and controlled to within 20µm of the distal surface and the hole completed without perforation of the underlying endosteal membrane, leaving the membranous cochlea intact. This device is the first autonomous surgical tool successfully deployed in the operating theatre. The system is unique due to the way in which it uses real-time data from the cutting tool to derive the state of the tool-tissue interaction. Being a smart tool it uses this state information to actively control the way in which the drilling process progresses. This sensor guided strategy enables the tool to self-reference to the deforming tissue and navigate without the need for pre-operative scan data. It is this capability that enables the system to operate in circumstances where the tissue properties and boundary conditions are unknown, without the need to restrain the patient.

Servitization of manufacture:exploring the deployment and skills of people critical to the delivery of advanced services

Purpose - This "research note" sets out to fuel the debate around the practices and technologies within operations that are critical to success with servitization. It presents a study of four companies which are delivering advanced services and reports on the organisation and skill-sets of people within these. Design/methodology/approach - This has been case-based research at four manufacturers leading in their delivery of services. Findings - It describes the desirable behaviour of people in the front-line of service delivery, identifies the supporting skill-sets, how these people are organised, and explains why all these factors are so important. Originality/value - This paper contributes to the understanding of the servitization process and, in particular, the implications to broader operations of the firm. © 2013 Emerald Group Publishing Limited. All rights reserved.

In-Motes Bins:a real time application for environmental monitoring in wireless sensor networks

In-Motes Bins is an agent based real time In-Motes application developed for sensing light and temperature variations in an environment. In-Motes is a mobile agent middleware that facilitates the rapid deployment of adaptive applications in Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN's). In-Motes Bins is based on the injection of mobile agents into the WSN that can migrate or clone following specific rules and performing application specific tasks. Using In-Motes we were able to create and rapidly deploy our application on a WSN consisting of 10 MICA2 motes. Our application was tested in a wine store for a period of four months. In this paper we present the In-Motes Bins application and provide a detailed evaluation of its implementation. © 2007 IEEE.