Valence and spatial explanations for voting in the 2013 Australian election

This paper examines the 2013 Australian federal election to test two competing models of vote choice: spatial politics and valence issues. Using data from the 2013 Australian Election Study, the analysis finds that spatial politics (measured by party identification and self-placement on the left-right spectrum) and valence issues both have significant effects on vote choice. However, spatial measures are more important than valence issues in explaining vote choice, in contrast with recent studies from Britain, Canada and the United States. Explanations for these differences are speculative, but may relate to Australia’s stable party and electoral system, including compulsory voting and the frequency of elections. The consequently high information burden faced by Australian voters may lead to a greater reliance on spatial heuristics than is found elsewhere.

Documenting the inevitable: Voting behaviour at the 2013 Australian election

This chapter uses data from the 2013 Australian Election Study (AES), conducted by Clive Bean, Ian McAllister, Juliet Pietsch and Rachel Gibson (Bean et al. 2014) to investigate political attitudes and voting behaviour in the election. The study was funded by the Australian Research Council and involved a national survey of political attitudes and behaviour using a self-completion questionnaire mailed to respondents on the day before the 7 September election. The sample was a systematic random sample of enrolled voters throughout Australia, drawn by the Australian Electoral Commission. Respondents were given the option of returning the completed questionnaire by reply-paid mail or completing the survey online. Non-respondents were sent several follow-up mailings and the final sample size was 3955, representing a response rate of 34 per cent. The data were weighted to reflect population parameters for gender, age, state and vote.

Just a piece of cloth? German courts and employees with headscarves

On 10 October 2002, and on 24 September 2003, the German Federal Labour Court and the German Federal Constitutional Court each delivered a decision on the consequences of wearing a headscarf for employees. Both courts appeared to protect the individual rights of the woman in question. The Federal Labour Court invalidated the dismissal of a salesperson based on the wearing of a headscarf; the Federal Constitutional Court held that a school teacher must not be denied employment on grounds of wearing a headscarf. However, both courts also left some room for manoeuvre in favour of clothing policies or laicism principles which could be used to justify head-scarf bans. This note discussed the potential and drawback of these cases, especially as regards intersectional inequalities along the lines of gender, religion and ethnicity.

A crisis of social democracy : organized labour and the NDP in an era of neoliberalism

The NDP was founded out of the ashes of the Co-Operative Commonwealth Federation to cooperate with the Canadian Labour Congress to become the 'political arm of organized labour' in Canada. The NDP has long claimed they are the party which represents the policy goals of organized labour in Canada: that the NDP alone will fight for trade union rights, and will fight for Canadian workers. Divergent Paths is an examination of the links between the labour movement and the ND P in an era ofneo-liberalism. Provincial NDP governments have become increasingly neoliberal in their ideological orientation, and have often proved to be no friend to the labour movement when they hold office. The Federal party has never held power, nor have they ever formed the Official Opposition. This thesis charts the progress of the federal NDP as they become more neoliberal from 1988 to 2006, and shows how this trend effects the links between the NDP and labour. Divergent Paths studies each federal election from 1988 to 2006, looking at the interactions between Labour and the NDP during these elections. Elections provide critical junctions to study discourse - party platforms, speeches, and other official documents can be used to examine discourse. Extensive newspaper searches were used to follow campaign events and policy speeches. Studying the party's discourse can be used to determine the ideological orientation of the party itself: the fact that the party's discourse has become neoliberal is a sure sign that the party itself is neoliberal. The NDP continues to drive towards the centre of the political spectrum in an attempt to gain multi-class support. The NDP seems more interested in gaining seats at any cost, rather then promoting the agenda of Labour. As the party attempts to open up to more multi-class support, Labour becomes increasingly marginalised in the party. A rift which arguably started well before the 1988 election was exacerbated during that election; labour encouraged the NDP to campaign solely on the issue of Free Trade, and the NDP did not. The 1993 election saw the rift between the two grow even further as the Federal NDP suffered major blowbacks from the actions of the Ontario NDP. The 1997 and 2000 elections saw the NDP make a deliberate move to the centre of the political spectrum which increasingly marginalised labour. In the 2004 election, Jack Layton made no attempt to move the party back to the left; and in 2006 the link between labour and the NDP was perhaps irreparably damaged when the CAW endorsed the Liberal party in a strategic voting strategy, and the CLC did not endorse the NDP. The NDP is no longer a reliable ally of organized labour. The Canadian labour movement must decide wether the NDP can be 'salvaged' or if the labour movement should end their alliance with the NDP and engage in a new political project.

A finite state model for on-line analytical processing in triadic contexts

About ten years ago, triadic contexts were presented by Lehmann and Wille as an extension of Formal Concept Analysis. However, they have rarely been used up to now, which may be due to the rather complex structure of the resulting diagrams. In this paper, we go one step back and discuss how traditional line diagrams of standard (dyadic) concept lattices can be used for exploring and navigating triadic data. Our approach is inspired by the slice & dice paradigm of On-Line-Analytical Processing (OLAP). We recall the basic ideas of OLAP, and show how they may be transferred to triadic contexts. For modeling the navigation patterns a user might follow, we use the formalisms of finite state machines. In order to present the benefits of our model, we show how it can be used for navigating the IT Baseline Protection Manual of the German Federal Office for Information Security.

La educación de adultos en zonas rurales en proceso de modernización : situación del debate en la República Federal de Alemania.

Está en fase de reorientación y cambio del espacio agrícola. En los últimos cincuenta años se ha desarrollado de forma rápida e imparable, ya poco después de 1945 fue identificado por la educación de adultos como un reto y problema. Pero, el espacio rural quedó rezado a un segundo plano, también para la educación de adultos. Los potenciales educativos y los recursos humanos latentes en él, debían ser encomendados a una labor educativa urbana. Para la mayoría e los científicos el espacio rural desempeñaba hasta hace pocos años un papel secundario o no desempeñaba papel alguno. Pero este enfoque urbano limitado a la educación de adultos ha ido cambiando a partir de los años ochenta sin que pueda hablarse en la actualidad de una època dorada de la educación de adultos en las zonas rurales, en los últimos años se ha cuestionado críticamente la propia posición. Se ha detectado las insuficiencias y se han hecho esfueszos para corregir las deficiencias, por lo menos en el modelo y de forma visible de cara a la colectividad política y elaborar perspectivas. Este cambio realista desde lo años ochenta de la educación de adultos en zonas rurales. Las orientaciones hacia la labor cultural y educaciones forjadoras de identidad y determinadas por lo geográfico-temporal y búsqueda de las raíces y tierra natal, es su lema. Y no los nuevos acercamientos cualitativos al espacio cultural pueden justificar que se constate un cambio hacia lo cotidiano. Así, actualmente se define la educación de adultos como un factor de desarrollo y localización.

The impact of fragmentation and density regulation on forest succession in the Atlantic rain forest

The Atlantic Rain Forest, an important biodiversity hot spot, has faced severe habitat loss since the last century which has resulted in a highly fragmented landscape with a large number of small forest patches (<100 ha). For conservation planning it is essential to understand how current and future forest regeneration depends on ecological processes, fragment size and the connection to the regional seed pool. We have investigated the following questions by applying the forest growth simulation model FORMIND to the situation of the Atlantic Forest in the state of Sao Paulo, SE Brazil: (1) which set of parameters describing the local regeneration and level of density regulation can reproduce the biomass distribution and stem density of an old growth forest in a reserve? (2) Which additional processes apart from those describing the dynamics of an old growth forest, drive forest succession of small isolated fragments? (3) Which role does external seed input play during succession? Therefore, more than 300 tree species have been classified into nine plant functional types (PFTs), which are characterized by maximum potential height and shade tolerance. We differentiate between two seed dispersal modes: (i) local dispersal, i.e. all seedlings originated from fertile trees within the simulated area and (ii) external seed rain. Local seed dispersal has been parameterized following the pattern oriented approach, using biomass estimates of old growth forest. We have found that moderate density regulation is essential to achieve coexistence for a broad range of regeneration parameters. Considering the expected uncertainty and variability in the regeneration processes it is important that the forest dynamics are robust to variations in the regeneration parameters. Furthermore, edge effects such as increased mortality at the border and external seed rain have been necessary to reproduce the patterns for small isolated fragments. Overall, simulated biomass is much lower in the fragments compared to the continuous forest, whereas shade tolerant species are affected most strongly by fragmentation. Our simulations can supplement empirical studies by extrapolating local knowledge on edge effects of fragments to larger temporal and spatial scales. In particular our results show the importance of external seed rain and therefore highlight the importance of structural connectivity between regenerating fragments and mature forest stands. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Are corridors, fragment size and forest structure important for the conservation of leaf-litter lizards in a fragmented landscape?

To investigate the implications of forest fragmentation for conservation of leaf-litter lizards the importance of fragment size, corridors and forest structure was examined in 20 forest fragments and six localities within a continuous forest in the Atlantic Plateau of Sao Paulo state, Brazil. The fragments were 2-276 ha in area and had different degrees of connectivity depending on the presence or absence of corridors. Two species of lizards were dominant, Ecpleopus gaudichaudii and Enyalius perditus. Variation in forest structure among sites was important only in explaining the abundance of E. perditus. Regardless of variation in forest structure, lizard species composition, total lizard abundance, number of species and abundance of E. perditus were sensitive to fragmentation per se but not to fragment size or corridor linkage. The inhospitable matrix surrounding fragments is probably what determines the presence and abundance of E. perditus and the high er lizard richness in continuous forests. These conditions may have prevented lizard species from recolonizing the forest fragments. Our results emphasize that the conservation of this leaf-litter fauna depends on the maintenance of large tracts of continuous forests and not on the size of fragments or on the presence of forest connections. Strategies for conservation of leaf-litter lizards in such highly fragmented Atlantic Forest landscapes should consider the enlargement of landscape connectivity between fragments and continuous forest, allowing the latter areas to act as a source of individuals for fragments.

Relation of genetic phylogeny and geographical distance of tick-borne encephalitis virus in central Europe

Tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV) is the most important arboviral agent causing disease of the central nervous system in central Europe. In this study, 61 TBEV E gene sequences derived from 48 isolates from the Czech Republic, and four isolates and nine TBEV strains detected in ticks from Germany, covering more than half a century from 1954 to 2009, were sequenced and subjected to phylogenetic and Bayesian phylodynamic analysis to determine the phylogeography of TBEV in central Europe. The general Eurasian continental east-to-west pattern of the spread of TBEV was confirmed at the regional level but is interlaced with spreading that arises because of local geography and anthropogenic influence. This spread is reflected by the disease pattern in the Czech Republic that has been observed since 1991. The overall evolutionary rate was estimated to be approximately 8x10(-4) substitutions per nucleotide per year. The analysis of the TBEV E genes of 11 strains isolated at one natural focus in Zd`ar Kaplice proved for the first time that TBEV is indeed subject to local evolution.

Bindung an Freiwilligenorganisationen

Die Arbeit beantwortet die Frage danach, warum Freiwilliges organisationales Engagement langfristig aufrechterhalten wird. Der Forschungsstand zum Thema Bindung ist durch Disparitäten hinsichtlich Definition, Fragestellung und Erklärungskonzepten gekennzeichnet. Bislang ist nicht erforscht, warum freiwillig und unentgeltlich engagierte Menschen langfristig Mitglieder in einer Organisation bleiben. Zur Untersuchung des Bindungsverhaltens freiwillig Engagierter in Organisationen werden in der Arbeit die Helferinnen und Helfer der Bundesanstalt Technisches Hilfswerk (THW) befragt. Vor dem Hintergrund bisheriger Forschung wird zur empirischen Analyse ein Modell gewählt, durch das sowohl individuelle als auch soziale Faktoren von Bindung integriert werden können. Das Modell der Handlungsorganisation nach Manfred Hennen stellt den Bezug zwischen individuellen Handlungsmotiven und von der Gesellschaft bereitgestellten Handlungsstrukturen her. Bindung an Organisationen bedeutet, so das Verständnis in dieser Arbeit, die Bindung an das eigene Handeln in der Organisation. Zur Übertragung des Modells von Manfred Hennen auf den Untersuchungsgegenstand werden zwei analytische Differenzierungen eingeführt. Zum einen wird die Prozessualität von Bindung durch die Abbildung von zwei Zeitpunkten erfasst. Sowohl die Entstehung von Bindung zum Zeitpunkt des Eintritts in die Organisation als auch die Reproduktion von Bindung zu einem späteren Zeitpunkt der Mitgliedschaft werden analysiert. Der prozessualen Entwicklung und Redefinition der Lösungskompetenzen von Programmen kann somit Rechnung getragen werden. Zum anderen wird das Handlungsprogramm Freiwilliges organisationales Engagement differenziert betrachtet. Das Programm umfasst zwei Ebenen: Das Freiwillige organisationale Engagement an sich und das Freiwillige Engagement in der spezifischen Organisation werden voneinander unterschieden. Diese Differenzierung erlaubt die Beantwortung der Frage nach Bindung an Freiwilliges Engagement in der spezifischen Organisation, in der es ausgeübt wird (hier: THW) und Freiwilliges organisationales Engagement, unabhängig vom hier untersuchten Gegenstandsbereich THW.

Anwendung der CE-ICP-MS und RIMS sowie Entwicklung und Anwendung der CE-RIMS auf Umweltproben

Die vorliegende Arbeit wurde im Rahmen des Verbundprojektes „Wechselwirkung und Transport von Actiniden im natürlichen Tongestein unter Berücksichtigung von Huminstoffen und Tonorganika – Wechselwirkung von Neptunium und Plutonium mit natürlichem Tongestein“ durchgeführt. Diese Untersuchungen sollen die thermodynamische Datenbasis für Actiniden erweitern sowie Informationen zur Ableitung von Bewertungskriterien für die Endlagerung radioaktiver Abfälle in Ton als Wirtsgestein, insbesondere über das Rückhaltevermögen von Tongestein gegenüber Radionukliden, liefern. Dabei stand die Anwendung verschiedener Speziationstechniken wie CE-ICP-MS, UV/VIS und die apparative Entwicklung der CE-RIMS im Vordergrund. Es sollte das Verhalten von Plutonium in umweltrelevanten Medien und Konzentrationen, im Ultraspurenbereich, untersucht werden. Unabhängig davon sollten Uranproben aus dem 2. Weltkrieg und Umweltproben des Landesamts für Umwelt und Forsten Rheinland-Pfalz auf ihren Plutoniumgehalt analysiert werden. Dazu wurde zunächst ein neues ICP-MS-Gerät Agilent 7500ce in Betrieb genommen und auf die Verwendung in Kombination mit der Kapillarelektrophorese optimiert. Die erreichte Nachweisgrenze für die vier Oxidationsstufen des Pu beträgt 0,05 ppb des gesamten Plutoniums in Lösung. Mit Hilfe der CE-ICP-MS wurde die Redoxstabilität einer Mischung aus verschiedenen Oxidationszuständen des Plutoniums in Opalinus-Ton-Porenwasser und Vergleichsmedien unter aeroben und anaeroben Bedingungen mit der CE untersucht. Die Untersuchungen zeigen das Pu(III) bis zu 40 min im verwendeten Elektrolytsystem stabil ist und dann oxidiert wird. In Porenwasser wurde als vorherrschende Spezies Pu(V) bestimmt. Die Redoxstabilität von Pu(VI) wurde untersucht, dabei wurde festgestellt, dass sich Pu(VI) bereits durch einfaches Verdünnen reduzieren lässt. Weiterhin wurden die Kd-Werte für die Sorption von Plutonium an Opalinuston unter aeroben und anaeroben Bedingungen für Pu(III) und Pu(IV) im System Porenwasser/Opalinuston von Kd(aerob) Pu(III) ≈ 53 m3/kg, Kd(aerob) Pu(IV) ≈ 14 m3/kg, Kd(anaerob) Pu(III) ≈ 114 m3/kg, Kd(anaerob) Pu(IV) ≈ 178 m3/kg bestimmt. Ein weiterer Schwerpunkt der Arbeit war die Entwicklung, Optimierung und Anwendung der Kopplung CE-RIMS zur Speziation des Plutoniums im Ultraspurenbereich. Dies konnte erfolgreich in mehreren Schritten durchgeführt und an den Proben aus den Batchversuchen zur Kd-Wert Bestimmung angewandt werden. Der Memory-Effekt des an den Kapillarwänden sorbierenden Pu(IV) konnte mit der empfindlichen Kopplung CE-RIMS ebenfalls nachgewiesen werden.

Recombinant human erythropoiesis-stimulating agents and mortality in patients with cancer: a meta-analysis of randomised trials

BACKGROUND: Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents reduce anaemia in patients with cancer and could improve their quality of life, but these drugs might increase mortality. We therefore did a meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials in which these drugs plus red blood cell transfusions were compared with transfusion alone for prophylaxis or treatment of anaemia in patients with cancer. METHODS: Data for patients treated with epoetin alfa, epoetin beta, or darbepoetin alfa were obtained and analysed by independent statisticians using fixed-effects and random-effects meta-analysis. Analyses were by intention to treat. Primary endpoints were mortality during the active study period and overall survival during the longest available follow-up, irrespective of anticancer treatment, and in patients given chemotherapy. Tests for interactions were used to identify differences in effects of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents on mortality across prespecified subgroups. FINDINGS: Data from a total of 13 933 patients with cancer in 53 trials were analysed. 1530 patients died during the active study period and 4993 overall. Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents increased mortality during the active study period (combined hazard ratio [cHR] 1.17, 95% CI 1.06-1.30) and worsened overall survival (1.06, 1.00-1.12), with little heterogeneity between trials (I(2) 0%, p=0.87 for mortality during the active study period, and I(2) 7.1%, p=0.33 for overall survival). 10 441 patients on chemotherapy were enrolled in 38 trials. The cHR for mortality during the active study period was 1.10 (0.98-1.24), and 1.04 (0.97-1.11) for overall survival. There was little evidence for a difference between trials of patients given different anticancer treatments (p for interaction=0.42). INTERPRETATION: Treatment with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents in patients with cancer increased mortality during active study periods and worsened overall survival. The increased risk of death associated with treatment with these drugs should be balanced against their benefits. FUNDING: German Federal Ministry of Education and Research, Medical Faculty of University of Cologne, and Oncosuisse (Switzerland).

Multi- and Transdisciplinarity as a Challenge for Environmental Psychology (Symposium)

Since 2008 the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) has been funding ten transdisciplinary research projects within the thematic focus ‘From Knowledge to Action - New Paths towards Sustainable Consumption’. A particular challenge which is faced with the programm is the task to build a bridge between individual activities and ecological and social framework conditions. Environmental psychologists are involved in half of the ten transdisciplinary projects. The symposium gives an insight into the new thematic focus and the variety of psychological contributions. The presentations will focus on the specific competence of psychology within the broader research focus of the transdisciplinary projects. An invited discussant will reflect on the role of psychology within the field of sustainable consumption and about challenges of transdisciplinary research in general.

Política de la República Federal de Alemania hacia España durante el franquismo y la transición (1949-1979)

En este artículo se realiza un análisis de la evolución de la política que la República Federal de Alemania (RFA) desarrolló hacia España durante las tres décadas que separan la creación del joven Estado federal y la entrada en vigor de la Constitución Española. Sin tratar de abarcar todos y cada uno de los asuntos que la caracterizaron, se pretende estudiar la conformación de los grandes vectores que la articularon y su paulatina transformación, en sintonía con la evolución internacional y la de ambos países.

The future of the Eurozone and the role of the German Constitutional Court. Research Papers in Law, 05/2012

[Introduction.] Necessary reforms towards a deepened and increased European shaped economic, financial and budgetary policy, paraphrased with the term “fiscal union”, could possibly reach constitutional limits. In its EFSF judgment1, the German Constitutional Court, following the Lisbon judgment in which certain government tasks were determined as being part of the “constitutional identity”2, connected the budget right of the parliament via the principle of democracy to the eternity clause of Art. 79 para 3 Basic Law. A transfer of essential parts of the budget right of the German Bundestag, which would be in conflict with the German constitution, is said to exist when the determination of the nature and amount of the tax affecting the citizens is largely regulated on the supranational level and thereby deprived of the Bundestag’s right to disposition. A reform of the Economic and Monetary Union that touches the core of the budget right can, according to the German Federal Court, with regard to Art. 79 (3) of the Basic Law only be realized by way of Art. 146 of the Basic Law, thus with a new constitution given by the people that replaces the Basic Law.3