Demand Response Design and Use Based on Network Locational Marginal Prices

Power systems have been experiencing huge changes mainly due to the substantial increase of distributed generation (DG) and the operation in competitive environments. Virtual Power Players (VPP) can aggregate several players, namely a diversity of energy resources, including distributed generation (DG) based on several technologies, electric storage systems (ESS) and demand response (DR). Energy resources management gains an increasing relevance in this competitive context. This makes the DR use more interesting and flexible, giving place to a wide range of new opportunities. This paper proposes a methodology to support VPPs in the DR programs’ management, considering all the existing energy resources (generation and storage units) and the distribution network. The proposed method is based on locational marginal prices (LMP) values. The evaluation of the impact of using DR specific programs in the LMP values supports the manager decision concerning the DR use. The proposed method has been computationally implemented and its application is illustrated in this paper using a 33-bus network with intensive use of DG.

Incentive-based demand response programs designed by asset-light retailers for day-ahead market

Following the deregulation experience of retail electricity markets in most countries, the majority of the new entrants of the liberalized retail market were pure REP (retail electricity providers). These entities were subject to financial risks because of the unexpected price variations, price spikes, volatile loads and the potential for market power exertion by GENCO (generation companies). A REP can manage the market risks by employing the DR (demand response) programs and using its' generation and storage assets at the distribution network to serve the customers. The proposed model suggests how a REP with light physical assets, such as DG (distributed generation) units and ESS (energy storage systems), can survive in a competitive retail market. The paper discusses the effective risk management strategies for the REPs to deal with the uncertainties of the DAM (day-ahead market) and how to hedge the financial losses in the market. A two-stage stochastic programming problem is formulated. It aims to establish the financial incentive-based DR programs and the optimal dispatch of the DG units and ESSs. The uncertainty of the forecasted day-ahead load demand and electricity price is also taken into account with a scenario-based approach. The principal advantage of this model for REPs is reducing the risk of financial losses in DAMs, and the main benefit for the whole system is market power mitigation by virtually increasing the price elasticity of demand and reducing the peak demand.

Cost Allocation Model for Distribution Networks Considering High Penetration of Distributed Energy Resources

The high penetration of distributed energy resources (DER) in distribution networks and the competitiveenvironment of electricity markets impose the use of new approaches in several domains. The networkcost allocation, traditionally used in transmission networks, should be adapted and used in the distribu-tion networks considering the specifications of the connected resources. The main goal is to develop afairer methodology trying to distribute the distribution network use costs to all players which are usingthe network in each period. In this paper, a model considering different type of costs (fixed, losses, andcongestion costs) is proposed comprising the use of a large set of DER, namely distributed generation(DG), demand response (DR) of direct load control type, energy storage systems (ESS), and electric vehi-cles with capability of discharging energy to the network, which is known as vehicle-to-grid (V2G). Theproposed model includes three distinct phases of operation. The first phase of the model consists in aneconomic dispatch based on an AC optimal power flow (AC-OPF); in the second phase Kirschen’s andBialek’s tracing algorithms are used and compared to evaluate the impact of each resource in the net-work. Finally, the MW-mile method is used in the third phase of the proposed model. A distributionnetwork of 33 buses with large penetration of DER is used to illustrate the application of the proposedmodel.

Comprehensive treatments for social cognitive deficits in schizophrenia: A critical review and effect-size analysis of controlled studies

Recent advances in psychosocial treatments for schizophrenia have targeted social cognitive deficits. A critical literature review and effect-size (ES) analysis was conducted to investigate the efficacy of comprehensive programs of social cognitive training in schizophrenia. Results revealed 16 controlled studies consisting of seven models of comprehensive treatment with only three of these treatment models investigated in more than one study. The effects of social cognitive training were reported in 11/15 studies that included facial affect recognition skills (ES=.84) and 10/13 studies that included theory-of-mind (ES=.70) as outcomes. Less than half (4/9) of studies that measured attributional style as an outcome reported effects of treatment, but effect sizes across studies were significant (ESs=.30-.52). The effect sizes for symptoms were modest, but, with the exception of positive symptoms, significant (ESs=.32-.40). The majority of trials were randomized (13/16), selected active control conditions (11/16) and included at least 30 participants (12/16). Concerns for this area of research include the absence of blinded outcome raters in more than 50% of trials and low rates of utilization of procedures for maintaining treatment fidelity. These findings provide preliminary support for the broader use of comprehensive social cognitive training procedures as a psychosocial intervention for schizophrenia.

Cost allocation model for distribution networks considering high penetration of distributed energy resources

The high penetration of distributed energy resources (DER) in distribution networks and the competitive environment of electricity markets impose the use of new approaches in several domains. The network cost allocation, traditionally used in transmission networks, should be adapted and used in the distribution networks considering the specifications of the connected resources. The main goal is to develop a fairer methodology trying to distribute the distribution network use costs to all players which are using the network in each period. In this paper, a model considering different type of costs (fixed, losses, and congestion costs) is proposed comprising the use of a large set of DER, namely distributed generation (DG), demand response (DR) of direct load control type, energy storage systems (ESS), and electric vehicles with capability of discharging energy to the network, which is known as vehicle-to-grid (V2G). The proposed model includes three distinct phases of operation. The first phase of the model consists in an economic dispatch based on an AC optimal power flow (AC-OPF); in the second phase Kirschen's and Bialek's tracing algorithms are used and compared to evaluate the impact of each resource in the network. Finally, the MW-mile method is used in the third phase of the proposed model. A distribution network of 33 buses with large penetration of DER is used to illustrate the application of the proposed model.

A representação do conhecimento no discurso arqueológico : exemplo de um baixo-relevo mitraico

A teoria do conhecimento desde há muito que chama a atenção para dois mundos distintos da observação dos fenómenos- quer eles se refiram a objectos ou a documentos escritos. Isto significa que antes de se filosofar sobre qualquer objecto ele deve ser escrupulosamente examinado e descrito. Assim, é necessário observar com rigor e descrever com exact idão aquilo a que chamamos conhecimento, "esse peculiar fenómeno da consciência" (Hessen, 1987:25). Fazêrno-lo procurando apreender os traços essenciais do objecto, por meio de uma auto-reflexão sobre o que vimos quando falamos de conhecimento. Este método fenomenológico é distinto do psico lógico. Enquanto o último investiga os processos psíquicos concretos no seu curso regular e a conexão com outros processos, o primeiro aspira a apreender a essê ncia geral no fenómeno concreto (/bidem:26). Desta forma no conhecimento encontram-se frente a frente duas entidades: o Objecto e o Sujeito. O conhecimento apresenta-se. assim. como uma relação entre estes dois elementos, que permanecem eternamente separados um do outro.

Contributo para o desenvolvimento de uma metodologia que avalia a posição da omoplata: fidedignidade intra e interobservador e validade concorrente

RESUMO: Introdução: A relação cinemática entre as articulações do CAO apresenta grande importância na função do MS, e é por isso cada vez mais investigada e descrita. O posicionamento da omoplata ganha um importante papel para compreender as DCAO. É indiscutível o importante papel da omoplata na dinâmica do MS, bem como o posicionamento escapular como parâmetro clínico de disfunção do CAO. Todos estes factores criam a necessidade de desenvolver instrumentos de avaliação da posição da articulação ET. A grande maioria dos testes de avaliação, restringem a sua avaliação às disfunções da articulação GU, não integrando uma avaliação mais dinâmica e interactiva que respeite os pressupostos teóricos inerentes ao REU. È importante também que os métodos de avaliação sejam de fácil aplicabilidade clínica e que avaliem fidedignamente e com validade os outcomes. Objectivos: Contribuir para o desenvolvimento de uma metodologia de avaliação da omoplata em diferentes amplitudes do MS, através do estudo da validade concorrente, da fidedignidade intra e inter-observador. Metodologia: A amostra foi constituída por 20 elementos seleccionados por conveniência, entre o corpo de discentes da ESS-IPS, sem história de disfunção do CAO. Foi realizada uma análise cinemática ao MS de cada sujeito, usando um aparelho de análise por varrimento electromagnético, o FOB. Em cada sujeito foram ainda medidas, as distâncias escapulares em estudo, usando a fita métrica. Cada método de medição foi constituído por dois momento (teste e reteste), em cada momento, as medidas eram recolhidas por dois investigadores distintos. Resultados e Discussão: Foram considerados como positivos os resultados que se apresentassem acima do limiar de 0,5, que classifica uma correlação como moderada a excelente. Os resultados da validade mostram que para o investigador 1 nas medidas M1e M2 apenas houve correlação com valores excelentes a moderados até aos 30º de elevação do MS. Já para M3 apenas aos 30º no plano da omoplata essa mesma correlação não tem valores próximos do cutpoint. Em M4 nenhum valor tem correlação significativa com os valores do FOB, chegando mesmo a haver correlação negativa para os 120º no plano da omoplata. Em M5 apenas os 0º mostram valores correlacionais excelentes a moderados. Para o investigador 2, em M1 e M2 á semelhança do investigador 1, só existem valores de correlação significativos até aos 30º de elevação do MS. Já para M3 todos os valores mostram excelente a moderada correlação á excepção dos 120º no plano frontal. Em M4 este investigador apresenta maus resultados. Já em M5 os valores de correlação são moderados aos 0º e aos 90º. No que diz respeitos aos resultados dos CCI intra-observador,podemos afirmar que foi em M5 que estes valores mais se aproximaram do cut point. M1 e M2 são as medidas onde se encontram resultados menos satisfatórios. É aos 60º que existem valores mais satisfatórios, seguidos pelos 0º e 30º, quando nos aproximamos de graus mais elevados, como 90º e 120º, estes valores tendem a baixar. Quanto á fidedignidade inter-observador para M1 apenas aos 90º e aos 120º houve valores de correlação abaixo do cutpoint. Em M2, só os 60º do plano sagital não teve valores acima do cutpoint, em M3 apenas os 30º plano sagital não obtiveram valores acima do cut-point, o mesmo acontece para M3 aos 30º plano da omoplata e em M5 aos 30º e 120º no plano frontal. Conclusão: Os resultados deste estudo indicam que a metodologia em causa apresenta elevado grau de fidedignidade inter-observador, já no que toca é fidedignidade intra-observador o grau de semelhança não é tão elevado. Também o erro associado á medida não ultrapassou 1,5cm, sendo considerado baixo. Na validade concorrente concluímos que é aos 0º que a metodologia se torna uma opção válida na aferição das distâncias medidas com uma boa a excelente concordância com o FOB. As medidas consideradas como opções válidas, nas diferentes amplitudes, podem funcionar como parâmetros clínicos de caracterização do posicionamento da omoplata, podendo vir a contribuir ainda para a caracterização da orientação da mesma.-------------------- ABSTRACT:Introduction: The kinematic relationship between the joints of the CAO has great importance in the function of MS, which is why more and more investigated and described. The positioning of the blade gets an important role in understanding the DCAO. There is no doubt the important role of the scapula in the dynamics of MS as well as the positioning of scapular dysfunction as a clinical parameter of the CAO. All these factors create the need to develop tools for evaluating the place of articulation ET. Most assessment tests, restrict its assessment to GU joint disorders, not incorporating a more dynamic and interactive way that respects the theoretical assumptions inherent in the REU. It is also important that the methods are easy to apply clinical and reliably to assess the validity and outcomes. Objectives: To contribute to the development of a methodology for evaluating the scapula in different ranges of MS, through the study of concurrent validity, reliability of intra-and inter-observer. Methodology: The sample consisted of 20 selected elements for convenience, between the body of students of IPS-ESS with no history of dysfunction of the CAO. We performed a kinematic analysis of each subject to MS, using a scanning device for electromagnetic analysis, the FOB. In each subject were also measured, the scapular distances under study, using tape measure. Each method of measuring the time consisted of two (test and retest), in each moment, the measures were collected by two different investigators. Results and Discussion: We considered as positive results that were above the threshold of 0.5, which ranks as a moderate to excellent correlation. The results show that the validity for the researcher in an action M1e M2 was only correlated with moderate to excellent values up to 30º of elevation of the MS. As for M3 only to 30º in the plane of the scapula has the same correlation values near the cutpoint. M4 has no value in correlation with the values of the FOB, and even negative correlation to 120 ° in the plane of the scapula. In M5 show only the values 0 ° correlational excellent to moderate. For investigator 2 in M1 and M2 will be like an investigator, there are only significant correlation values up to 30º of elevation of the MS. As for M3 all the values show excellent correlation to moderate with the exception of 120 ° in the frontal plane. In this researcher M4 has bad results. M5 already in the correlation values are moderate to 0º and 90 º. Regarding the results of ICC intra-observer, we can say that M5 was that these values come closest to the cut point. M1 and M2 are measures which are less than satisfactory results. At 60 ° there are more satisfactory values, followed by 0º and 30º, when we approached the highest levels, such as 90 ° and 120 °, these values tend to decrease. The inter-observer reliability for M1 only to 90 º and 120 ºcorrelation values were below the cutpoint. In M2, only 60 of the sagital plane did not have values above the cutpoint in M3 only 30º sagital plane did not obtain values above the cut-point, the same goes for M3 at 30 ° plane of the scapula and M5 at 30 º and 120 º in frontal plane. Conclusion: The results of this study indicate that the methodology in question has a high degree of inter-observer reliability, as far as intra-observer reliability is the degree of similarity is not as high. Also the error of measure did not exceed 1.5 cm, and is considered low. In concurrent validity conclude that it is at 0 ° the methodology becomes a valid option for the measurement of distances measured with a good to excellent agreement with the FOB. The measures considered as valid options in different amplitudes, can function as clinical parameters to characterize the positioning of the shoulder blade and could further contribute to the characterization of the orientation of the same.

A felicidade enquanto recurso emocional socialmente desigual: para uma abordagem sociológica do sentir

Tradicionalmente, a análise de emoções e sentimentos esteve associada a experiências individuais e singulares e, por isso, afastada do olhar sociológico. Neste trabalho, defendemos que sentimentos e emoções são socialmente moldados e a sua expressão reflecte aspectos sociais. Como tal impõe-­‐se uma abordagem da Sociologia, procurando as regularidades em torno das formas de sentir, expressar e procurar felicidade. O objectivo deste trabalho é identificar as condições sociais que promovem ou limitam a percepção de felicidade, através da análise das características socioculturais diferenciadoras de práticas, representações e expressões de felicidade. Concretamente, pretende-­‐se situar a análise nas condições de vida, tal como são experimentadas pelos actores sociais, que fornecem o contexto objectivo para a percepção e criação de significados de felicidade e que permitem também compreender a orientação para a acção. Em termos metodológicos, propomos uma abordagem a diferentes níveis, articulando a análise da expressão (medida numa amostra extensa e representativa dos portugueses, dados do European Social Survey -­‐ ESS), com a compreensão dos significados e práticas sociais que lhe estão associados e as condições sociais em que são produzidos, através de dados recolhidos por meio de um inquérito sociológico por questionário desenvolvido especificamente com este objectivo. Esta investigação articula assim diferentes níveis de observação, completando os dados macro com uma aproximação mais intensiva e focada em actores sociais concretos. A análise é ainda diferenciada para Portugal (amostra ESS) e para a região de Lisboa (amostra recolhida no âmbito deste estudo). Por meio deste trabalho de investigação foi possível identificar as condições sociais que promovem ou limitam a percepção de felicidade, através da análise das características socioculturais diferenciadoras de práticas, representações e expressões de felicidade. Os resultados mostram que a felicidade é produzida e moldada em circunstâncias concretas, e por isso, algumas pessoas terão maior capacidade de definir as condições para a sua felicidade. Estes resultados vão mais longe do que estudos existentes, porque articulam as percepções, significados e práticas sociais de felicidade com os contextos em que ocorrem e mostram que a felicidade é um recurso emocional socialmente desigual

To determine if the ‘NIMBY’ phenomenon explains the slow progress of wind farm development or do institutional factors need to be taken in to consideration?

The threats posed by climate change are placing governments under increasing pressure to meet electricity demand from low carbon sources. Wind energy has been has been identified as one of the main technologies to help in meeting these demands. The public in general favour wind energy yet proposed targets for generation capacity lag behind proposed goals. The N IM B Y phenomenon has been suggested as one of the reasons why we are behind our wind generation capacity targets. It is a common mistake to take general support for granted and expect the public to support developments when confronted with them in their local area. In many cases it is not unheard of that governing bodies whether social, political, regulatory, environmental, or cultural can overrule general public support and halt developments. Motives to halt developments will vary depending on the institutional body involved. The problem with the term N IM B Y is that it is too basic a term to describe the broad spectrum of complex motives that various institutions including the public may have against a development. This research focuses on a case study where the developer had major problems with the local county council and its wind energy policies when he was erecting a wind turbine despite having gained planning permission. A survey questionnaire was also used as part o f the research to seek the perception a rural community had on wind energy. The research findings and results are discussed with respect to the literature review highlighting a general public support for wind energy and the influence institutional bodies have over the progress of developments.

Management des entreprises de l'économie sociale et solidaire Identités plurielles et spécificités

L'Économie Sociale et Solidaire (ESS) représente aujourd'hui, en Europe, près de 10 % de l'emploi total et même plus dans certains pays, dont la France. Avec la crise, ce secteur prend une importance sociale, économique et politique croissante. La gestion des coopératives, mutuelles, fondations et associations est ainsi doublement interrogée en interne vis-à-vis de leurs « propriétaires » disposant de motivations particulières (socioéconomiques) et vis-à-vis de leurs communautés et territoires (relations aux partenaires publics et aux citoyens). C'est pourquoi la performance de ces organisations prend nécessairement une dimension sociale, voire sociétale. Les logiques de fonctionnement et d'action des managers de l'ESS sont, elles aussi, souvent particulières, hybrides et parfois paradoxales. Elles remettent en cause les découpages et frontières classiques du management, ainsi que les modèles de rationalité associés (public/privé, marchand/non-marchand, intérêt collectif/intérêts particuliers...). Face à une telle complexité, les principes et les outils de gestion de ces entreprises sont-ils alors spécifiques ? Ces entreprises sont-elles à l'origine d'innovations managériales et sociales particulières ? Comment concilier solidarité et efficacité dans un univers de plus en plus concurrentiel ? L'évolution marchande et financière, comme les problématiques de développement durable, interrogent également le mode de fonctionnement et l'avenir de ces organisations. L'objectif de cet ouvrage collectif, auquel ont contribué des experts du management des entreprises de l'économie sociale qui ont participé à un colloque international - soutenu par le Crédit Mutuel - sur le sujet, est d'apporter des réponses quant à la manière de renouveler les stratégies et les modèles de management, sans pour autant renier les valeurs et les principes fondamentaux de l'ESS. Il s'adresse aux étudiants et aux professionnels travaillant dans le secteur de l'économie sociale et solidaire (coopératives, mutuelles, associations et fondations) et intéressera également tous les managers et étudiants en management.

Risk Factors for Anal Cancer in Persons Infected With HIV: A Nested Case-Control Study in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.

Although persons infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), particularly men who have sex with men, are at excess risk for anal cancer, it has been difficult to disentangle the influences of anal exposure to human papillomavirus (HPV) infection, immunodeficiency, and combined antiretroviral therapy. A case-control study that included 59 anal cancer cases and 295 individually matched controls was nested in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (1988-2011). In a subset of 41 cases and 114 controls, HPV antibodies were tested. A majority of anal cancer cases (73%) were men who have sex with men. Current smoking was significantly associated with anal cancer (odds ratio (OR) = 2.59, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.25, 5.34), as were antibodies against L1 (OR = 4.52, 95% CI: 2.00, 10.20) and E6 (OR = â^?, 95% CI: 4.64, â^?) of HPV16, as well as low CD4+ cell counts, whether measured at nadir (OR per 100-cell/μL decrease = 1.53, 95% CI: 1.18, 2.00) or at cancer diagnosis (OR per 100-cell/μL decrease = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.42). However, the influence of CD4+ cell counts appeared to be strongest 6-7 years prior to anal cancer diagnosis (OR for <200 vs. â0/00¥500 cells/μL = 14.0, 95% CI: 3.85, 50.9). Smoking cessation and avoidance of even moderate levels of immunosuppression appear to be important in reducing long-term anal cancer risks.

Les expériences de vulnérabilité collective : de la fragilisation de principes normatifs à leur réaffirmation, de la problématisation de frontières intergroupes à la reconnaissance de droits universels

Plan du travail La première partie de cette thèse est consacrée à la tentative d'identifier les racines et lés contours d'une théorie de la vulnérabilité collective. Des approches théoriques et empiriques différentes sont exposées, et parfois revisitées, dans le but de proposer une perspective intégrative des sollicitations psychologiques particulières et des comportements sociaux caractéristiques d'un contexte de vulnérabilité collective. Dans le premier chapitre, les liens conceptuels entre les trois notions fondamentales de normes, de communautés et d'histoire sont explicités, afin de clarifier l'approche non-réductionniste des dynamiques collectives qui oriente le travail. Une attention particulière est accordée aux processus par lesquels des comportements sociaux orientés par des normes pertinentes au sein d'une communauté permettent de clarifier et de transformer des identités sociales (Reicher, 1982), voire de générer de nouveaux faits institutionnels (Searle, 1995). Il s'agit aussi de mettre en évidence l'apport potentiel d'une théorie qui se construit autour de l'articulation entre l'individu et son contexte social, à un débat épistémologique et méta-théorique entre psychologues sociaux, présent dès l'origine de la discipline (voire notamment Doise, 1982 ; Greenwood, 2004 ; Reicher, 2004 ; Tajfel, 1972). Les deux chapitres suivants proposent une logique explicative de la manière dont les membres d'une communauté, traversant une expérience de vulnérabilité collective, construisent une ligne d'action pour réagir aux sollicitations particulières d'un tel contexte social. Plus précisément, le chapitre 2 met en perspective des travaux de psychologie sociale sur le décalage entre l'identification d'injustices personnelles et l'identification d'injustices collectives, avec des travaux de sciences politiques sur le contraste entre l'irrationnalité apparente des comportements politiques compte tenu des situations de vie individuelles, et la rationnalité collective émergente de ces comportements en réaction à l'évolution de la situation collective. Le chapitre 3 met en perspective les travaux de psychologie sociale sur les motivations psychologiques et les stratégies mises en oeuvre afin de protéger la croyance fondamentale de vivre dans un monde juste, avec des travaux sociologiques rendant compte de l'incapacité humaine à supporter des situations d'anomie. Ces deux chapitres permettent ainsi d'étayer théoriquement l'hypothèse fondamentale qu'une expérience de vulnérabilité collective suscite des réactions qui dépassent la somme des réactions individuelles aux expériences personnelles de victimisation correspondantes. Ils amèneront à identifier deux types de comportements sociaux comme réactions typiques à un contexte de vulnérabilité collective : la contestation des dirigeants et des institutions du pouvoir établi, ainsi que la condamnation des transgressions des principes normatifs fragilisés. Lors des deux derniers chapitres de la partie théorique, ces phénomènes sont inscrits dans une temporalité plus longue. Le chapitre 4 tâche, d'une part, de préciser les conditions sociohistoriques particulières dans lesquelles la mise en cause du pouvoir établi et la réaffirmation de principes normatifs fragilisés amène à la reconnaissance que ces principes devraient s'appliquer également au traitement de personnes en dehors des frontières d'une communauté d'appartenance exclusive, ainsi qu'en particulier à la reconnaissance de droits universels. D'autre part, ce chapitre soulève la question des processus d'institutionnalisation qui stabilisent dans le temps les acquis normatifs résultant d'épisodes socio-historiques spécifiques, en particulier sous forme d'une inscription dans le droit international. L'idée est développée ainsi que c'est avant tout lors d'épisodes de problématisation d'identités exclusives que naît ou renaît l'aspiration à instituer une identité humaine. Le chapitre 5, finalement, introduit un second processus par lequel les acquis normatifs, résultant d'épisodes de vulnérabilité collective, sont susceptibles d'être préservés, à partir de l'idée que ceux-ci ne génèrent pas seulement des conditions favorables à l'émergence de nouvelles institutions, mais affectent également les engagements identitaires d'un nombre important d'individus simultanément. L'hypothèse est développée que la transition à la vie adulte constitue un passage du parcours de vie qui est particulièrement propice à un effet durable du contexte socio-historique sur les engagements identitaires d'une personne. De cette manière, la génération des jeunes adultes lors d'une expérience de vulnérabilité collective est susceptible de porter à travers le temps les traces des reconfigurations symboliques résultant de l'événement. Les arguments théoriques développés à travers les cinq premiers chapitres sont condensés sous forme d'une série de propositions théoriques falsifiables, en plus de l'hypothèse fondamentale d'irréductibilité de l'expérience collective. Afin de faciliter et de structurer la lecture des chapitres 2 à 5, chacune de ces propositions est placée en amont du chapitre dans lequel sont présentés les principaux arguments théoriques qui l'étayent. Ceci devrait aider à la mise en relief d'un fil rouge qui organise ces chapitres au-delà des ramifications argumentatives plus fines. Les propositions théoriques énoncées sont conçues comme un système théorique ; la signification de chacune d'entre elle peut être appréhendée au mieux en relation avec l'ensemble des autres propositions. Néanmoins, ces propositions sont formulées de manière à ce que chacune puisse être confrontée séparément à des observations empiriques systématiques. Il s'agit de répondre entre autres à une exigence pragmatique : aucune base de données, existante à ce jour, ne permettrait une évaluation complète du système théorique proposé. Les deux autres parties de la thèse présentent une suite d'études empiriques destinées à évaluer la pertinence des idées théoriques développées lorsque celles-ci sont appliquées à deux types particuliers d'expériences de vulnérabilité collective : au contexte des sociétés européennes connaissant actuellement un phénomène d'exclusion sociale massive (deuxième partie) et au contexte des sociétés d'après-guerre (troisième partie). Dans les deux cas, une stratégie méthodologique en deux temps est poursuivie. La première étape consiste dans la présentation d'analyses secondaires de la base de données internationale la plus pertinente à disposition. Il s'agit des données du European Social Survey (EES), ainsi que de l'enquête People on War (PoW), c'est-à-dire de deux enquêtes comparatives portant sur des échantillons représentatifs des populations d'un nombre de contextes considérables. Elles présentent l'avantage majeur de fournir simultanément des informations sur les expériences de victimisation pertinentes -situations de chômage et de pauvreté, dans le premier cas, expériences traumatisantes de la guerre dans le second - et sur l'expression de jugements politiques ou normatifs. Etant donné le caractère représentatif des échantillons étudiés, il est possible de construire des indicateurs qui informent sur la qualité des expériences collectives par agrégation des expériences individuelles à un niveau contextuel. L'utilisation de méthodes d'analyse multiniveaux permet ensuite de démêler l'impact des expériences collectives de celui des expériences individuelles sur les jugements exprimés. La deuxième étape consiste à compléter les analyses secondaires par une enquête réalisée directement en vue du cadre théorique présenté ici. Deux enquêtes ont été réalisées sur des échantillons de jeunes (pré-)adultes, à travers des contextes moins nombreux, mais directement sélectionnés selon des critères théoriques. Ainsi, l'Enquête sur l'entrée dans la vie adulte à travers trois régions françaises (EVA), se concentre sur trois contextes régionaux qui représentent trois situations-type quant à l'intensité de la vulnérabilité collective liée à l'exclusion sociale : particulièrement forte, intermédiaire ou particulièrement faible. L'enquête Transition to adulthood and collective expériences survey (TRACES) rassemble quatre pays d'ex-Yougoslavie, selon un plan qui croise les deux types de vulnérabilité collective pris en compte : deux contextes sur quatre ont été marqués par un épisode de vulnérabilité collective particulièrement intense lié à la guerre, et deux contextes sont marqués par une très forte vulnérabilité collective liée à l'exclusion sociale ; l'un de ces deux derniers contextes seulement a également été fortement affecté par la guerre. Se concentrant sur des échantillons plus modestes, ces deux enquêtes permettent des approfondissements importants, du fait qu'elles recourent à des outils d'enquête taillés sur mesure pour la problématique présente, en particulier des outils permettant d'évaluer les réactions face à des cas concrets de violations des droits humains, présentés sous forme de scénarios. Dans leur ordre de présentation, l'objet des quatre chapitres empiriques se résume de la manière suivante. Le chapitre 6 présente des analyses secondaires des deux premières vagues du ESS (2002 et 2004), portant en premier lieu sur l'impact du degré d'exclusion sociale sur la contestation des dirigeants et des institutions politiques, à travers vingt pays européens. Une importance particulière est accordée à la manière dont les expériences modulent l'effet des insertions dans des relations entre groupes asymétriques sur les jugements politiques, ainsi que sur la durabilité des effets des expériences collectives en fonction des cohortes. Les analyses de l'enquête EVA, dans le chapitre 7, approfondissent l'étude des liens entre contexte de vulnérabilité collective liée à l'exclusion sociale, l'insertion dans des rapports sociaux asymétriques et la contestation des institutions politiques. De plus, elles mettent en perspective ces liens avec les variations, en fonction du contexte et de l'origine sociale, de la condamnation de transgressions concrètes des droits socio-économiques. Le chapitre 8 rapporte les analyses secondaires de l'enquête PoW de 1999, qui visent en premier lieu à expliquer - à travers 14 contextes d'après-guerre sur quatre continents - les condamnations des violations du droit international humanitaire et la reconnaissance du caractère légal des normes transgressées en fonction de la distribution des expériences traumatisantes au sein de chaque contexte. Ces analyses permettent en particulier de comparer l'effet à moyen terme de ces expériences en fonction de l'âge au moment de la période du conflit armé. Finalement, le chapitre 9 présente des résultats de l'enquête TRACES. Ceux-ci permettent d'évaluer l'impact des expériences d'une vulnérabilité collective liée à la guerre sur la cohorte des jeunes adultes de la guerre, et de le mettre en perspective avec l'impact de l'exclusion sociale massive. Plusieurs dimensions sont prises en compte : la contestation des institutions politiques et la force de la condamnation de la violation des normes humanitaires ou des droits socio-économiques, ainsi que la reconnaissance d'une juridiction internationale en la matière. De plus, les fonctions psychologiques spécifiques de l'engagement dans la réaffirmation de normes fragilisées sont étudiées, notamment en termes d'effets sur la restauration de la croyance en une justice fondamentale, et sur la satisfaction de vie personnelle. Au fil de ces quatre chapitres empiriques, les propositions théoriques énoncées au préalable servent de passerelles entre le système théorique et les études empiriques. Dans l'introduction de chaque étude, les propositions qui s'y appliquent sont reprises et ensuite reformulées sous forme d'une hypothèse opérationnelle qui adopte la proposition générale au contexte et au phénomène spécifiques. Les deux parties empiriques sont suivies d'une conclusion, qui établit d'abord un bilan de l'apport de l'ensemble des quatre enquêtes analysées à la vérification de toutes les propositions théoriques, pour extraire ensuite trois principes explicatifs plus généraux et pour préciser leur insertion dans un contexte méta-théorique plus large.

Effects of Interviewer Experience on Components of Nonresponse in the European Social Survey

We analyze interviewer related nonresponse differences in face-to-face surveys distinguishing three types of interviewers: those who have previous experience with the same high standard cross-sectional survey ("experienced"), those who were chosen by the survey agency to complete refusal conversions ("seniors"), and usual interviewers. The nonresponse components are obtaining household contact, target person contact, and target person cooperation. In addition we examine if interviewer homogeneity with respect to these components is different across the three interviewer groups. Data come from the European Social Survey (ESS) contact forms from four countries which participated during the three rounds 2002/04/06 and used the same survey agency that in turn used to some extent the same interviewers. To analyze interviewer effects, we use discrete two-level models. We find some evidence of better performance by both senior and experienced interviewers and indications of greater homogeneity for nonresponse components, especially for those that contain room for improvement. Surprisingly, the senior interviewers do not outperform those experienced. We conclude that survey agencies should make more efforts to decrease the comparatively high interviewer turnover.